Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸 TP ✅ triggered @: 29094.90 📸
(29164.90 future)
(XAG/USD)🥈TP ✅ triggered @: 74.49 | or 74.97 📸

We saw exactly the market (US pre-market) that we expected today: markets continue trying to rebound, supported by buying early on Wednesday ahead of the NVDA earnings report (the world’s most valuable stock and, in particular, the most important stock for the market-driving AI trade) - which will likely, however, face some profit taking later in the second half of trading, especially with some caution around NVDA.

Silver already hit our TP during Asian trading, supported by early dip buying from Asian buyers.

Yields continued to cool slightly further (US 10-Y -3bps), while oil prices also traded lower (Brent -2.6%) - despite absolutely no progress in the US-Iran negotiations and even renewed threats from both sides that attacks could resume.

We saw gains in Asian equities, while Europe is currently trading clearly in the green (DAX +0.4%; CAC +0.6%; FTSE flat). The Nasdaq is currently around +0.65% higher, benefiting from gains in the chip sector and especially NVDA (+1.8%). The S&P 500 is currently trading around +0.35% higher - we can widen our TP here again for now and move it back into profit / break-even territory (well in profit in case of a re-entry). The HSI also managed to close slightly higher (+0.1%).


——————————————


⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 7423.90

We are moving the TP ✅ for our still open S&P 500 position back to break-even / in-profit territory here.



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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 104.60 🔄
(107.90)

🔄 now possible Range ✅102.60 - 103.10
(105.90 - 106.40)

-> LCO1 (Jul'26) Contract is $3.30 higher

► Lower oil prices have helped improve risk sentiment, resulting in gains for equities globally while also helping to cool the recently sharp rise in yields.

► Despite lower oil prices, we continue to see a strong USD, which is also putting additional pressure on oil prices.

► Oil prices edged slightly lower following optimistic comments from US President Donald Trump. Trump claimed that the war with Iran would end “very quickly” - despite there still being absolutely no visible progress in the ongoing negotiations and both sides once again speaking about a potential resumption of attacks. At the same time, however, it remains clear that in reality neither side truly wants a renewed military escalation. Pressure on Trump to end the conflict is increasing as the midterm elections move further into focus.

► It is more likely that the current optimism will once again turn into disappointment soon, accompanied by further threats from Trump, who is desperately looking for a moment to declare “victory” and move on from the issue - but for that he still needs some form of concession from Iran.

► According to the API data released yesterday, US crude oil inventories have now fallen for a fifth consecutive week, while fuel inventories also continue to decline. Today’s EIA data release will likely paint a similar picture.

► We are buying the sharp dip and expect some rebound later today / around NYSE opening / early NYSE trading.

Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0 – 3.0x (200% – 300%) when trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) – contract size 10 - 1/2 position size

Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.20 – 0.30x (20% – 30%) when trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) – contract size 100 - 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052001A


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——-

We found a great entry into Brent but the position dodged our TP by 1 cent (!) / 3 cents for the future.

You can buy the current new dip in oil prices.

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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range✅386.80 - 387.50
(384.15 - 384.75 for GOOG)

GOOG trades $2.75 below GOOGL

⚠️ BETTER ENTRY POSSIBLE NOW ⚠️
GOOGL 🔼 382.90 - 384.00; GOOG 🔼 378.90 - 380.00


🔹 S&P 500 (+0.4%) – is opening higher, benefiting in particular from renewed buying interest in the semiconductor sector - with NVDA especially (reporting earnings later today) helping to keep the broader tech sector positive. Other chip stocks such as AVGO, MU, AMD, INTC and LRCX are also opening higher, making our MU SHORT trading from yesterday look even more impressive in hindsight. Semiconductor ETFs (such as the iShares Semiconductor ETF) rose more than +2.2%, once again highlighting the ongoing rotation into and out of the chip sector. The tech mega caps that recently weighed on Wall Street and caused underperformance this week are now mostly trading positively. Our Nasdaq 100 already hit TP earlier today. We had widened the TP for the S&P 500 slightly - otherwise that TP would have triggered as well by now. ⚠️ ALREADY TP TRIGGERED ⚠️

🔹 Boeing (+0.7%) – is opening strong, benefiting from broad gains in New York as well as cooling energy prices. We are adjusting our TP ✅.
👉 TP ✅@: 220.84 ⚠️ ALREADY TP TRIGGERED ⚠️


► There are several attractive early trades here, including NVDA, which will likely rise initially ahead of earnings before profit taking may set in later during US trading hours. We also see rebound potential in some of yesterday’s big-tech laggards such as AMZN and GOOG/L, both of which fell more than -2% yesterday. NVDA could also become an attractive entry well below 223.00, as could MSFT, which is initially opening around -1% lower.

► However, we are buying GOOGL directly at the NYSE opening, as we see the tech giant and the world’s second most valuable company as underperforming following yesterday’s already significant -2.3% decline. Alphabet also received positive analyst commentary following Google’s annual I/O developer conference from firms including Bank of America, Piper Sandler, Citizens, and Morgan Stanley.

► I am convinced that Alphabet can dethrone NVDA as the world’s most valuable company in the medium term - given its AI monetization potential, exceptional fundamentals including very robust earnings growth, and still attractive valuation.

► Overall, we continue to see some additional upside potential in early trading and still view the Nasdaq 100 as an attractive entry here - however, we are already LONG in the S&P 500 and do not want to increase our LONG exposure too aggressively. I already bought GOOGL in pre-market trading and expect immediate buying after the opening.

Alphabet (GOOGL): Multipliziere deine „Standard (EUR/USD)“-Positionsgröße mit ca. 75–85x (7.500%–8.500%) – 2/3 Positionsgröße.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052002A


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——

You can find a better entry in 🔼 GOOGL now (382.90 - 384.00; 378.90 - 380.00 for GOOG - correction with GOOG) after some short-term profit taking.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: 223.87
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED; CLSD MINIMALLY HIGHER ⚠️ 📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅219.80 - 220.60

► Rebounding oil prices (as we expected & traded) are weighing on risk sentiment - our Brent position is currently well in profit. However, we still see Wall Street as overall robust with further upside potential.

► NVDA has given back all of its pre-market gains and has now fallen below $221.00. We are buying this dip and initially expect some buying ahead of today’s NVDA earnings report (after the bell), after NVDA recently significantly underperformed relative to other chip stocks.

► We currently see NVDA trading nearly flat for the day (near 220.50) and expect stronger support around the 220.00 level.

Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 120–130x (12,000%–13,000%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052003A


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——-

Another day, another perfect NVDA entry / trade.

Alone with our NVDA trades many of you could already earn multiple average monthly salaries.

❌ NEVER, NEVER, NEVER MISS A NVDA TRADE ❌
❌ NEVER, NEVER, NEVER MISS A NVDA TRADE ❌
❌ NEVER, NEVER, NEVER MISS A NVDA TRADE ❌

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: 104.97 (spot) | 108.29 (Jul'26 future)

⚠️ POSITION ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️ 📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅102.60 - 103.10
(105.90 - 106.40)

⚠️ POSITION ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️ 📸

-> LCO1 (Jul'26) Contract is $3.30 higher

► The spot price missed our TP by just 1 cent (!) and the future by only 3 cents before oil initially hit resistance and then saw strong profit taking, causing the price to even fall below our entry (a sudden LONG squeeze with a drop of more than -3% and continued hopes for progress in the slow-moving US-Iran negotiations). We are buying this sharp dip again here and are now tightening our TP ✅ by slightly more than $1 per barrel.

► Brent is currently trading more than -4.5% lower for the day. We are buying this second dip back near the session lows.

► The sudden decline in oil prices also triggered gains in risk assets and “helped” the USD cool down slightly in the short term.

► Our BA position hit the (off-profit) TP ✅ after the planemaker rose around +3%. NVDA also hit our TP ✅ - we found the PERFECT entry - congratulations. GOOGL initially rose quickly but narrowly missed our widened TP and is now trading at session lows - we can stay LONG and potentially add a small position again around 383.00 (380.00 GOOG).

Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0 – 3.0x (200% – 300%) when trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) – contract size 10 - 1/2 position size

Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.20 – 0.30x (20% – 30%) when trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) – contract size 100 - 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052001B


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——

We made a re-entry in Brent - but already closed our whole Brent position earlier today.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅77250 - 77400

► Hopes that Pakistan may soon announce the final draft of a peace agreement between the US and Iran - triggered by a report from Saudi state news agency Al-Hadath - have now improved risk sentiment even further and pushed oil prices lower again - caution: overreaction. We are lowering our TP for the Brent position here in case you are still LONG. While we do see an overreaction in oil prices, the current optimism remains short-term headwinds for oil. It is therefore better to exit here. We can get out here relatively unharmed.
👉 TP ✅ @: 103.29 (spot) | 106.59 (Jul'26 future)
(or BETTER simply close near/above 103.10 | 106.40 - I closed at 103.17 📸)

► The Nasdaq 100 is now around +1.5% higher, while the S&P 500 is also up nearly +1% (triggering our widened TP).

► We are going LONG here in Bitcoin, which has so far lagged somewhat behind while investors are increasingly rotating back into equities - especially more risk-sensitive / growth-oriented assets.

► Any démenti from the Iranian side, however, would immediately weigh heavily on the current positive risk sentiment and push oil prices sharply higher again. We have seen these situations countless times before whenever a breakthrough was expected. We therefore do not want to overtrade these conditions and have already reduced our exposure well with many good closings.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.40–0.50x (40%–50%). Always trade cryptocurrencies with caution. Short-term moves (~7%+) are possible. 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052004A


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——-

🛢📉💸📈

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅7417 - 7426
(7407 - 7416 for SPX)

📌 S&P 500 future (SPX) ~10 points lower

► We managed the recent dip in equities very well - both the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 were closed with a slight profit following today’s sharp rebound. We still see the S&P 500 hovering near 7425 and therefore almost exactly where our TP was triggered.

► We can stay LONG or re-enter here. Today we saw broad gains in New York driven by hopes for an agreement that could pave the way for an end to the war in Iran. Trump clearly wants this conflict to end - that is a major positive - especially with the US midterm elections moving increasingly into focus after the Memorial Day weekend (coming up this weekend).

► We saw a sharp decline in oil prices today - still at elevated levels of course - but it shows how closely current risk sentiment is now tied to the outlook for increased oil supply. Yields, inflation expectations, concerns about more hawkish monetary policy - all of it currently depends on whether the Iran conflict can be resolved. Even small signs of hope are enough to trigger a strong risk-on boost.

► We significantly reduced our LONG exposure today and currently only hold a LONG index position in the Hang Seng, which is expected to open very strongly tomorrow.

► The focus is now increasingly shifting toward NVDA. It is less about whether NVDA can beat expectations or not - but rather by how much earnings are exceeded and how convincingly positive the outlook will be. NVDA already delivered a mega earnings report in February - yet the stock initially dropped afterward, which led me to say that NVDA would quickly rise back toward $230 - exactly what we have seen over this three-month period.

► It will be difficult for NVDA to move significantly higher in the short term, but another positive earnings report could provide additional fuel for the current AI rally.

► We are seeing broad gains today, with lower oil prices particularly supporting cyclical stocks as well as small caps. We remain LONG and once again choose the S&P 500 here. Additional tailwinds are coming from significantly cooled yields (US 10-year yields down around -9bps).

S&P 500 (SPX500): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 10–13x (1,000%–1,300%) with contract size 1=1 – 3/4 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052005A


Update/Signal ist ⚠️ VERZÖGERT ⚠️ um: 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
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——-

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 April 02 - May 20
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: April 02 - May 13
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 121 (excl. EUR/JPY; May 11)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 109
🔹 Overall REAL Success Rate = 90.1% 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100% 💎 Success Rate (April 01)
Added to statistics: 4/4 - 100% 💎 Success Rate (May 13)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: May 14 - May 20 🔹

✅ 14.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29558.90)
✅ 14.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 233.73)
(❌/✅ 14.5 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 398.98 or clsd 401+))
✴️ 14.5 - HKG_50 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 26069.40
❌ 14.5 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 220.84) 🔄
✅ 14.5 - AMD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 439.56 + big gap)

3/5 - (1 open position)
*excluding GOOGL closed by most members well in profit / or slightly off-profit

✅ 15.5 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 1.33321)
✅ 15.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29178.40)
✅ 15.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 228.23)
✅ 15.5 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 29211.30 | TP-29172.20)

4/4 = 100% 💎 Success Rate


——————————————


For the third session in a row, our 🟡 success rate remains stable at 90.1% - a remarkable achievement maintaining such an extremely high success rate across multiple sessions, which most traders would (rightfully) describe as absolutely unachievable.

A flawless 4/4 session 💎 (SR = 100%) dropped out of the statistics and was replaced by yet another 4/4 session 💎 (SR = 100%).

Our EUR/JPY position also remained open. The pair is currently around 40 pips away from TP - we are keeping the TP ✅ unchanged.

Aside from that, we closed our BA position today after BA rallied sharply and became one of the top-performing non-tech stocks. We actually closed BA a bit too early with our off-profit TP ✅ and could / should have widened the TP a bit more here. However, it was not foreseeable that oil prices would fall as sharply as they did today (due to renewed hopes that the United States and Iran may move closer toward a peace agreement).

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 18.5 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7423.90) 🔄📸
✅ 18.5 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 266.79)
✅ 18.5 - ETH/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2129.70)
✅ 18.5 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29094.90) 🔄📸
✅ 18.5 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.33953)
✅ 18.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 222.32)

6/6 = 100% 💎 Success Rate

✴️ 19.5 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 159.189 🔄
✅ 19.5 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 686.43 me or TP-685.19+)
✅ 19.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd above 4508 |or SL-4489.69)
✅ 19.5 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4499.14)
✅ 19.5 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 74.49 me | or 74.97) 🔄📸
✅ 19.5 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 709.41)
✅ 19.5 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 694.94)

6/7 - (1 open position)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

❌ 20.5 - UKOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 103.17 me| +re-entry in profit) 📸
✴️ 20.5 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 394.43 (391.69 GOOG)
✅ 20.5 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 224.17 me | or 223.87) 📸
✅✴️ 20.5 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 77598.30 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 78412.20 🔄
✴️ 20.5 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 7454.90 (7444.70 future) 🔄

2/5 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


We successfully reduced our LONG exposure - exactly what we wanted to achieve in an increasingly mixed market. We waited for that one day with stronger dip-buying - which ultimately turned out to be very strong position management. Today we then saw significant gains, particularly driven by renewed hopes for progress in the US-Iran negotiations. However, we would have held positions into today and the NVDA earnings report anyway, as we expected it to provide fresh fuel for the AI rally after it had cooled somewhat following the phenomenal April rally (the best monthly performance for semiconductor stocks in history).

We once again made another very strong NVDA 📸 trade today - over the last 6 weeks alone we have now completed 16 NVDA trades - ALL ‼️WON - many of them similar to today with perfect dip-buying and an average asset move of around 2%. Our NVDA profits alone over the past weeks have been nothing short of phenomenal.

Although I personally closed our oil trades 📸 overall in profit, we count this as a losing trade here, since certainly not every member managed to close the oil trade profitably overall - even though we found a very good exit price.

We are slightly widening the TP ✅ for our BTC position and setting an in-profit SL 🔑. At the same time, we are slightly tightening the TP ✅ for both our S&P 500 and USD/JPY positions.

Congratulations 👏 - with very strong position management, we were once again able to close the session overall very profitably.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/below 29165
(29225 for future)

📌 Nasdaq future (Jun'26) ~60 points higher

► We see Wall Street trading lower overall in pre-market trading - mainly pressured by oil prices, which have recovered again from yesterday’s overreaction. Signs of disagreement between the US and Iran on key negotiation points moved back into focus after Iran’s Supreme Leader made clear that the Islamic Republic is not willing to give up its enriched uranium. This once again dampened hopes for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz - a development that I had already described yesterday as highly likely.

► Following yesterday’s gains, Wall Street is once again trading near all-time highs, which naturally increases the likelihood of profit taking at these levels - especially with yields moving higher again. Even NVDA’s another strong earnings beat and very positive guidance failed to create an additional strong upside impulse - similar to what we already saw after the February earnings - simply because investor expectations have become extremely high.

► However, gains in Asian tech stocks show how positively NVDA’s signals were received in Asia - especially after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang highlighted new opportunities in robotics and autonomous driving. NVDA still has further upside potential, with the AI chip leader also retaining significant growth potential in China sales. Demand continues to exceed Nvidia’s production expansion, which has also helped gross margins remain at very high levels. NVDA is currently trading nearly flat.

► We adjusted the TP ✅📸 on the S&P 500 perfectly. Overall, we can remain LONG and enter the Nasdaq 100 here, which is trading around -0.5% lower in pre-market trading. However, this remains far from an easy trade, as important fundamental factors continue to weigh on the Nasdaq and especially on cyclical and rate-sensitive stocks.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0–2.5x (200%–250%) - 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052101A


Update/Signal ist ⚠️ VERZÖGERT ⚠️ um: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
⚡️ unverzögerte Signale & Updates im VIP-Channel 💎


——

ALL our index trades of the last 6 weeks:

✅ 10.04 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.04 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.04 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.04 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 16.04 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 17.04 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 17.04 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.04 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.04 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.04 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 21.04 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 22.04 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.04 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.04 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 23.04 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 24.04 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 24.04 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 24.04 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.04 - US2000 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.04 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.04 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.04 - US2000 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.04 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 29.04 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.04 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 30.04 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 04.05 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.05 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 04.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.05 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.05 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 06.05 - US2000 - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.05 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 07.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 08.05 - US2000 - LONG ↗️
✅ 08.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
❌ 08.05 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 11.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 11.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 12.05 - US2000 - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.05 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✴️ 14.05 - HKG_50 - LONG ↗️ (currently off-profit)
✅ 15.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.05 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️
✅ 18.05 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
✅ 18.05 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 20.05 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️


❌ NEVER, NEVER, NEVER MISS AN INDEX TRADE ❌

🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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BUY WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅157.00 - 157.80
⚠️ LOWER ENTRY POSSIBLE NOW ⚠️


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SHORT WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔽 Goldman Sachs (GS) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: 969.67 ⚠️ NEAR TP ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅986.00 - 988.00


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (-0.6%) – is currently seeing moderate profit taking - particularly in the chip sector, which delivered outsized gains yesterday. These daily swings between profit taking and renewed buying continue to be the key driver behind Nasdaq movements. However, not everything is trading lower, with key stocks such as MU, ARM, and MRVL still trading positively in pre-market. NVDA is currently trading around -1% lower and weighing on the Nasdaq 100, although this is partly offset by Microsoft’s +1.7% gain. Overall, we are seeing rather moderate profit taking and not a full shift in sentiment. Market breadth within the Nasdaq 100 and across Wall Street in general remains weak, which suggests we are more likely to see stabilizing markets rather than aggressive buying in the short term. The renewed increase in oil prices remains an important fundamental headwind for the broader market.

🔹 Alphabet (-0.4%) – is opening slightly lower but generally continues to benefit from NVDA’s earnings update and outlook. Nevertheless, we are tightening the TP here slightly.
👉 TP ✅ @: 388.47


► The fundamental trader in me would naturally buy the dip in NVDA here, but we will first observe the opening and early trading, as NVDA is currently trading entirely sentiment driven following yet another extremely strong earnings report (which is even more important in the short-term timeframe anyway) - despite revenue surging +85% YoY to $81.62 billion while margins remain exceptionally high.

► We are now looking a bit outside the tech sector. I see correction potential in Goldman Sachs after yesterday’s very strong performance following reports that SpaceX will likely work with Goldman Sachs for its planned record-breaking IPO. We may also see losses in stocks that benefited strongly yesterday from falling oil prices - including airlines, but also for example BA.

► We are selling GS near the ATH level where the stock closed yesterday and is opening today. GS is opening near or slightly above 984.00 - however, we initially expect a move above 986 and can then go SHORT there / near 990.

► At the same time, we are buying the sharp dip in XOM from yesterday after the oil & gas giant dropped nearly -4% following falling oil and gas prices - driven by hopes for a possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Additional outsized selling occurred shortly before the NYSE close yesterday. XOM is currently opening around +1% higher near 157.80 and still has further recovery potential.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 150–170x (15,000%–17,000%) – 2/3 position size.

Goldman Sachs (GS): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 20-25x (2,,00%-2,500%) - 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052102A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26052103A


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———

We made two contrarian trades at opening. GS is already near TP. XOM allows for an entry at yesterday's lows now (near 🔼 156.00).


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅220.60 - 221.50

► Over the past 6 weeks we completed and won 16 NVDA trades (100% success rate). This NVDA LONG is nevertheless a very difficult trade - not from a fundamental perspective after yet another extremely strong earnings report - but because even such a strong report failed to create real excitement among investors. Expectations are simply too high and many investors wanted to see something that would significantly exceed even their already extremely bullish expectations. We have likely bought dips in NVDA more successfully than almost any other short-term trader over the past weeks and months - and we are buying again here with reduced trade size while fully aware of the volatility.

► The earnings report was in reality almost as strong as anyone could possibly have imagined - NVDA fully delivered. No weakness in sight. No margin pressure whatsoever from increasing competition.

► We are buying NVDA here after the stock initially moved higher and is now trading around -0.7% lower near 221.50 for the day.

Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 100–110x (10,000%–11,000%) – 3/5 position size.

EDIT: position code / 100% Transparency - 26052104A


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——

NVDA has fallen a bit further and currently hovers around 221.00


Our NVDA trades over the last 6 weeks:

01. ✅ 10.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
02. ✅ 13.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
03. ✅ 13.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
04. ✅ 13.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
05. ✅ 14.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
06. ✅ 16.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
07. ✅ 21.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
08. ✅ 23.04 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
09. ✅ 01.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
10. ✅ 07.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
11. ✅ 11.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
12. ✅ 12.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
13. ✅ 14.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
14. ✅ 15.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
15. ✅ 18.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
16. ✅ 20.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️

16/16 = 100% Success Rate

🆕 21.05 - NVDA - LONG ↗️

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Goldman Sachs (GS) 🇺🇸
CLOSE SOON / NOW ✅ @: near/below 971.50
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29193.90 (29253.90 future)
TP ✅ @: 29271.40 (29331.40 future)
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 158.21

We are updating some of our stock / index positions here.

GS was a somewhat wild contrarian trade. While we still expect a bit more profit taking, we prefer to close the position here soon / now, as we also saw some additional gains after the opening.

We are also securing our Nasdaq position and tightening the TP for XOM. For the Nasdaq, it will be crucial in which direction oil prices break out from the current sideways movement (and therefore bond yields as well).


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——

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅158.830 - 158.910

► We are now seeing another fairly significant decline in oil prices after a mostly sideways regular US trading session, which is supporting short-term risk sentiment. At the same time, the USD weakened somewhat, which in turn supported precious metals that have shown a very counter-cyclical pattern versus energy prices (“negative correlation”) since the Iran conflict began. We now see the Nasdaq trading back near record highs.

► We still do not see any near-term solution to the conflict, and investors are likely to become increasingly nervous over the coming trading hours and tomorrow - especially ahead of the weekend and Memorial Day on Monday, when Wall Street will be closed.

► We could also buy oil here, but we are already LONG positioned in XOM and are instead looking for a potential re-entry.

► Instead, we are buying the dip in USD/JPY after our previous position already hit TP ✅📸 before today's NYSE opening.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052105A


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———

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: 156.69

Recommended Entry Range ✅153.50 - 154.00

► We are seeing lower oil prices leading to a further / accelerated rotation into cyclical / growth stocks while simultaneously weighing on the energy sector.

► We now see XOM trading near 154.00 and are making a re-entry here + tightening our TP ✅.

► We saw a decline in oil prices that was accompanied by typical additional overselling. We expect oil prices to stabilize again soon.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 100–120x (10,000%–12,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26052102B

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———

🔤🔤🔤📉1️⃣5️⃣3️⃣🔣5️⃣0️⃣📈

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 222.13

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 156.37

Optimism that progress can be made in the US-Iran negotiations - after Pakistani mediators traveled to Tehran - has supported risk sentiment and helped oil prices cool down a bit. This also allowed yields to pull back slightly from their stronger gains earlier today.

However, we will likely see investors become increasingly nervous as signs continue to grow that Iran is probably not willing to back down. Both countries want to emerge from the negotiations as the perceived winner of the conflict.

We are setting tighter TPs ✅ for our two remaining open stock positions.


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⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️