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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 1089.70 ⚠️ me CLSD minimally higher ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅1057 - 1063

► MU fell a bit further after the exaggerated panic selling following the market open and briefly traded below the 1060 level. These sharp losses were driven both by the tremendous gains seen over recent weeks and by the heavy sell-off across the memory sector during Asian trading. We are taking the opposite side here - rather than selling MU, we expect a rebound.

► Although we are already somewhat over-positioned overall, we definitely want to buy this roughly 12.5% pullback with a small position.

► MU continues to receive major analyst upgrades - including today. BofA continues to rate MU a "Buy" despite the strong gains already recorded and raised its price target from $950 to $1,500.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 15–20x (1,500%–2,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26060405A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29938.30 (30183.40 future)

S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 7444.90 (7494.90 future)

Dell Technologies (DELL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 414.87 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

Int'l Business Machines (IBM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 258.02


We are seeing significant dip-buying. We are widening the TPs on our index positions (with the FTSE largely unaffected anyway). MU has already hit TP ✅ - if you are still LONG, we expect further gains toward the 1110 - 1120 area.

DELL is also staging a strong recovery. We can remain LONG here for a longer period and continue to see additional upside potential.

In case you did not close IBM already in profit - we set a tighter TP.


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 USD/CHF
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near 0.81025

► We set the perfect TP ✅📸 for our USD/CHF trade. USD/CHF fell significantly after the NYSE opening but has since rebounded back near - or even at - the session high (a 7-month high) and is once again trading above the key 0.81000 level, despite US yields declining further and oil prices also continuing to cool moderately (now down nearly 2%).

► We are re-entering here and expect another round of mild USD weakness later in today's session.

► We are entering roughly 10 pips higher than our previous entry and are setting the TP approximately 10 pips above our previous TP 📸 as well.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26022304A

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅1079 - 1083

► We made an excellent against-the-market trade in MU when many investors were panic selling. MU subsequently rallied well above 1100 and into the 1110 - 1120 range (and even beyond) - as we expected.

► MU encountered resistance around the 1125 area and has since fallen back below 1090 (below our TP), thus still (or again) trading more than roughly 10.5% below yesterday's closing price.

► We are re-entering here / shortly (even below our already triggered TP ✅📸; I closed minimally differently because I simply pulled the TP) and expect some returning dip-buying.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 15–20x (1,500%–2,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062305A

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅73.15 - 73.30)
(+$0.10 futures contract - AUG'26; 73.25 - 73.40)

► We currently see oil prices trading around 1.2% above the session lows that were reached during late Asian and European trading, when oil came under additional pressure from panic selling as well as strong USD gains.

► Markets increasingly appear convinced that the Iran conflict is moving closer to an end. In particular, the US has softened its tone toward Iran after both sides reported significant progress in talks held in Switzerland earlier this week. This is despite the fact that Iran temporarily announced over the weekend that it had once again closed the Strait of Hormuz following another wave of heavy Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon that killed at least 16 people, including two children. Since Israel began its military campaign against Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon on March 2, reports indicate that at least 250 children have been killed and more than 1,000 injured.

► The US and Israel's neighboring countries have increased pressure on Israel to end its military campaign. At the same time, it appears unlikely that Trump will fundamentally change course on Israel, as both Israel's war against its neighbors and US support for Israel are becoming increasingly unpopular among the American public.

► Trump stated that 19 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday and described the volume as a record. This figure has not been independently verified. Before the war, however, approximately 20 million barrels of crude oil and refined products were already passing through Hormuz each day, meaning that this would not actually represent a record but rather a return toward previous levels.

► We expect oil prices to have some additional downside potential and are selling the current modest rebound.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 4–5x (400%–500%) – if contract size 10; 2/3 position size
WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.4–0.5x (40%–50%) – if contract size 100; 2/3 position size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062306A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 161.236

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.14247

USD/CHF
TP ✅ @: 0.80906

⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

Microsoft (MSFT) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 380.03

Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 286.46

Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 221.39

Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 1084.19

International Business Machines (IBM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 260.92

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29798.30 (30042.90 future) 🔄

S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 7437.40 (7484.90 future; Sep'26)

WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
TP ✅ @: 72.76 (72.86 future; Aug'26)

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 4160.87

Following the pre-market losses, we saw mostly sideways trading in New York today, albeit with elevated volatility. We are currently observing quarter-end rebalancing activity across both sectors and asset classes. Such rebalancing tends to be more pronounced when markets have experienced particularly large moves during the quarter - which has certainly been the case this quarter, given the record gains in the semiconductor sector. Adding to this is uncertainty surrounding the monetary policy outlook following the recent reacceleration in inflation. However, if we were not approaching quarter-end, we would likely be seeing a more positive overall market sentiment.

We are tightening our TPs ✅ here and generally prefer to reduce our overall exposure. In hindsight, it would probably have been better to start doing so earlier today rather than continuing to target some of the larger potential gains.

We are also tightening the TPs ✅ on our FX positions, our WTI position (although we still see further downside potential in oil prices), as well as gold. The USD remained largely in demand today despite falling yields. Part of the decline in yields was driven by increased demand for bonds as a safe-haven asset amid portfolio reallocation activity. Cash allocations have also increased a bit.

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⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 08 - June 23
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 08 - June 15
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 125 (+1 open p. - NVDIA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 105
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 84% 🔼

Dropped from statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (May 07)
Added to statistics: 8/8 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (June 15)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 16 - June 23 🔹

✅ 16.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd at 4342.67 me or similar)
✅ 16.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP-30463.40|overall - in-profit)
✅ 16.6 - ORCL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 192.13)
✅ 16.6 - DAL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 83.90)
✅ 16.6 - INTC - LONG ↗️ (TP-123.79| overall deep in-profit)
✅ 16.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24923.70)

6/6 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy

✴️ 17.6 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 10517.40
✴️ 17.6 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 380.03
✅ 17.6 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 400.16 me | or 400.57)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4330.89)
✅ 17.6 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2980.90 me)
✴️ 17.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.14247 🔄
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4259.93)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4304.37) - optional

4/7 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


After the recent decline - albeit from levels that are, in reality, not even achievable, let alone sustainable - our 🔼 Signal Accuracy (success rate) in our five-week statistics has improved again for the time being to 84%. For the first time since 11 consecutive perfect sessions, a non-flawless session has dropped out of the statistics. The 5/6 session (SA/SR = 83.3%) was replaced by last Monday's mega session (8/8; 💎 SA/SR = 100%).

In addition, we still have one open position within our five-week statistics - NVDA. The chip giant closed lower today as concerns emerged that the AI rally may have gone too far over the past few months. Quarter-end rebalancing has led to capital outflows from the AI sector, which has also affected NVDA.

Our FTSE 100 moved close to its TP today and could reach it tomorrow, while MSFT and EUR/USD remain open.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 18.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 64065.40)
✅ 18.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4272.84)
✅ 18.6 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 452.27 me | or 447.31)
✅ 18.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 64074.90)
✴️ 18.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 4160.87 🔄
✅ 18.6 - MRVL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 325.06 me | or TP - 321.26)
✅ 18.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51907.40)
✅ 18.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 74.026)
—-
✴️ 19.6 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 161.236 🔄

7/9 - (2 open positions)

✅ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7541.70)
❌✅ 22.6 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 414.87 me |or TP-434.89)🔄📸
✴️ 22.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 221.39 🔄
✴️ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 7437.40 (7484.90 future; Sep'26) 🔄
✴️ 22.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 29798.30 (30042.90 future) 🔄
✴️ 22.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 286.46 🔄

1/6 - (4 open positions)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80756)
✴️ 23.6 - IBM - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 260.92
✅ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP -1089.70)
✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80906)
✴️ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1084.19
✴️ 23.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 72.76 (72.86 future; Aug'26)

3/6 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


In hindsight, we should have managed positions (even) more tightly today and reduced our exposure earlier. It would also have been sensible to take profit on some positions sooner - including IBM and the MU re-entry. Our first MU trade 📸 was excellent, and we also successfully traded the overbought USD conditions after the Asian session with our USD/CHF 📸 position. Most of you already closed DELL 📸 yesterday with very strong profits - unfortunately, my pending order was triggered far too late. I also did not manage the DELL exit particularly well today, as the stock ultimately finished the session very strongly, gaining +2.15%.

At the moment, we are a bit over-positioned in a market that is becoming a bit more defensive at the end of a very strong quarter. Nevertheless, risk sentiment still has room to improve again - although this will likely be more of a story for next week.

We are now working mostly with tight(er) TPs ✅ and will additionally introduce some SLs tomorrow and/or look for suitable exit opportunities.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: 24783.40 ⚠️ CAN BE CLOSE ALREADY 24700+ ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 24660

► We continue to see mixed sentiment with ongoing concerns about elevated valuations in the AI sector. At the same time, however, we expect positive momentum for the sector as MU reports earnings after the close today. MU is already trading nearly 5% higher in the pre-market and is likely to open well above our TP. At least heading into the earnings report, we are likely to see first some gains.

► However, the MU earnings report also represents a significant risk factor for the broader semiconductor sector. There is little doubt that MU will report very strong results and exceptional revenue growth. However, expectations are extremely high. The key question is how much the results - and especially the outlook - can exceed analyst expectations in order to prevent profit-taking, particularly after MU's massive gains of more than 260% year-to-date.

► The USD continues its winning streak and has risen to its highest level of 2026. The very strong USD - driven by expectations of additional Fed rate hikes - continues to weigh on USD-denominated assets, including precious metals.

► Overall, we see global equity markets as relatively positive for today, less constructive for the remainder of this week, but positive again for July. The DAX is currently a notable exception, primarily due to the sharp losses in German defense giant Rheinmetall. The trigger was reports that Germany is set to abandon plans to build six warships. The multi-billion-euro F126 frigate project, for which Rheinmetall was expected to serve as lead contractor, appears unlikely to proceed. Instead, Berlin seems poised to purchase eight smaller Meko A-200 frigates from German shipbuilder TKMS.

► Overall, significantly lower oil prices (our WTI position hit its overly tight TP overnight and then fell substantially further) as well as a weaker EUR/USD exchange rate are supportive factors for the DAX.

► We are cautiously going LONG the DAX here and generally continue to see upside potential in European equities - especially in July following the sharp decline in oil prices.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.0–2.5 (200%–250%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062401A


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 527.30 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED TIGHTENED TP ⚠️ 📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅515.00 - 517.50


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (+0.35%) - is trading higher following yesterday's sharp losses. The index was significantly higher during early pre-market trading but is seeing some selling pressure ahead of the opening. We are seeing gains in the semiconductor sector, including heavyweights NVDA, AVGO, and especially MU ahead of today's earnings release, but we also see a high risk of profit-taking returning.

🔹 S&P 500 (+0.25%) - is also benefiting from dip buying, particularly in the stocks and sectors that led yesterday's declines. However, we generally prefer to look for exit opportunities here as we are currently overexposed in New York. We are tightening our TP slightly. JPMorgan remains optimistic and raised its year-end target to 7800 (from 7200). At the same time, the investment bank highlighted significant risks, particularly whether the Iran conflict can ultimately be resolved.
👉 TP ✅ @: 7434.90 (7481.70 future; Sep'26)

🔹 Boeing (+0.2%) - is opening slightly higher but continues to underperform the broader airline sector. Headwinds are primarily coming from Boeing's defense business. We currently see no urgent reason to exit the position.
👉 TP ✅ @: 221.33

🔹 IBM (-1.8%) - is experiencing the profit-taking we expected following yesterday's rally driven by JPMorgan's positive analyst call. Our position has a very high probability of reaching its TP (✅ @: 260.92), as selling pressure in IBM is even increasing shortly before the opening.
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

🔹 Marvell (+2.1%) - is initially opening higher following yesterday's sharp losses and is trading near our TP, which we can slightly widen for now. In general, however, we would prefer to exit the position soon.
👉 TP ✅ @: 287.23

🔹 Micron (+3.0%) - is opening very strongly ahead of today's earnings release after the close. The stock is currently trading above our TP in pre-market trading, making a TP hit (1084.19) highly likely. At times, MU was up around 5% in pre-market trading.
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

🔹 Microsoft (-0.7%) - is trading opposite to the semiconductor sector and remains generally undervalued, particularly given its strong revenue outlook and excellent cloud business performance. MSFT came within roughly 1% of our TP yesterday but is opening lower again today.
👉 TP ✅ @: 378.79


🔹 Nvidia (+0.1%) - remains under pressure due to concerns about stretched valuations in the AI sector, but should continue to outperform the S&P 500 over the coming quarters. NVDA is hovering around the $200.00 level, may temporarily move lower, but is likely to stage a rebound in July. We are tightening our TP to Monday's highs for now.
👉 TP ✅ @: 213.69


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► While we want to remain cautious, we see short-term upside potential in the semiconductor sector - both ahead of MU's earnings and following the sharp losses of recent days. We are buying AMD after the opening, while securing profits with a trailing SL. We expect early gains in AMD, which benefits from its leadership in CPU development, an area becoming increasingly important for agentic AI. More broadly, we see a trend toward greater use of CPUs alongside traditional GPUs for AI workloads. UBS recently issued a very positive rating on AMD, which should provide additional tailwinds during early trading. AMD is opening roughly flat to slightly negative.

► We also like GOOGL, which will replace Verizon in the Dow Jones on June 29. This should make the Dow more relevant to current industry trends and increase the importance of AI-related exposure within the index. GOOGL is opening about 0.7% higher. As we do not want to increase our exposure further at this stage, we will pass on this trade for now.

AMD (AMD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 35–40x (3,500%–4,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062302A

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Check our Fully Transparent Trading Report from MAY 👈

⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: in profit once AMD hits 521 again
TP ✅ @: 523.79 ⚠️ TRIGGERED ⚠️📸
OR
CLOSE SOON/NOW ✅ @: above 522

Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 278.79

Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
CLOSE SOON/NOW ✅ @: 1057 - 1069 ⚠️ CLOSED ⚠️📸

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
CLOSE SOON/NOW ✅ @: near/above 24700 🔄
OR
TP ✅ @: 24723.90 ⚠️ TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

We are not panicking, but risk sentiment is currently too fragile, as concerns remain that the AI sell-off could continue through the end of the month.

We are therefore reducing our exposure further. MU missed our TP by only around 0.1% before pulling back again. We are closing the position here or shortly with a small loss, as the risk of further panic selling ahead of earnings appears too high.

IBM hit its TP ✅ (even with a gap). MSFT missed its TP by only a few cents, but we continue to see buying interest in the stock and will keep the current TP in place for now.

We will also be closing our DAX position shortly with a small profit.


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Good position management today.

AMD would have also hit our potential TP (rose even further to 525).


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅1027 - 1032

► We initially saw a very positive opening in MU today, although gains were significantly stronger during pre-market trading (at times around +5%). MU is now trading at session lows and we expect additional selling pressure into the end of the session as investors increasingly worry that the company may not be able to meet extremely elevated expectations.

► I also believe that investors could react negatively even to a very strong earnings report from MU. The market's hidden expectations (beyond analyst estimates) have become extraordinarily high following a share price surge of more than 250% this year and will be extremely difficult - if not impossible - to exceed. Any indication of potential risks, such as production constraints or capacity limitations, would likely be received very negatively by the market.

► While we continue to see substantial upside potential for the semiconductor sector overall in 2026 - even after this year's strong gains - we expect further short-term profit taking in MU before today's close and are generally observing a sector-wide rotation.

► Given the increasing selling pressure across semiconductor stocks - even after very positive analyst commentary (such as today's bullish outlook on AMD) - retail investors in particular are likely to become increasingly nervous and continue panic selling MU.

► We see significant additional downside potential from here. MU could fall toward the $1000 level before the end of today's session. However, we also expect elevated volatility, meaning that working with a pending order may be appropriate.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 15–20x (1,500%–2,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062403A


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 1022.02
TP ✅ @: 1003.26 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

We set an in-profit SL 🔑 for our MU SHORT position here.

We see the risk-off ahead of MU's earnings report. We also see increased concerns that post MU losses could weigh heavily on the chip sector.

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——-

If you are still SHORT you can close even better now (✅ 990 - 996).

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility & Risk; 1/3 position size; Pre-Earnings
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1029 🔄

► Our MU position hit TP ✅📸 and subsequently even broke below the key $1,000 level.

► MU has significantly exceeded expectations in previous quarters, including a massive positive surprise in March (~40% above analyst expectations). Despite the strong Q1 report, MU initially opened lower following the release. Since March 18, however, the stock has gained more than 130%.

► It is now extremely difficult for MU to deliver an earnings report that does not trigger at least some additional profit-taking - especially after one of the most impressive stock rallies in Wall Street history, which rapidly propelled MU into the trillion-dollar club (as one of only 15 companies worldwide).

► We are opening only a very small position here and will hold it through the earnings release.

► After briefly falling below $1,000, MU has recovered some ground and is now trading again above $1,020.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 10–15x (1,000%–1,500%) – 1/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062403A


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——-


MU rebounded even back to near 1030+. We expect a strong earnings report that will still trigger additional profit taking.


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Check our Fully Transparent Trading Report from MAY 👈

❗️ MU liefert extrem starke Earnings-Überraschung - Nachfrage nach KI-Speicher explodiert weiter

Micron Technology (MU) 🇺🇸 hat erneut außergewöhnlich starke Quartalszahlen vorgelegt (einer der stärksten Earnings Reports jemals) und bleibt einer der größten Profiteure des globalen KI-Infrastruktur-Booms. Die Ergebnisse lagen bei Umsatz, Gewinn pro Aktie (EPS) und Ausblick deutlich über den ohnehin extrem hohen Erwartungen und bestätigen, dass Speicherlösungen weiterhin zu den wichtigsten Engpässen in der KI-Lieferkette gehören. Die Aktie notiert nachbörslich aktuell rund +9 % im Plus.

Der Bericht von MU ist ein wichtiger Impuls für den gesamten KI-Sektor und dürfte als wichtiges positives Signal für das KI-Ökosystem sowie die Halbleiterbranche gewertet werden. Während NVIDIA weiterhin das Gesicht der KI-Infrastruktur ist, hat sich Micron hinter den Kulissen zu einem der wichtigsten Profiteure entwickelt. Die stark steigende Nachfrage nach High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) und Rechenzentrums-DRAM verknappt das Angebot weiter und stärkt die Preissetzungsmacht im Speichermarkt.

Early look:

🟢 Bereinigtes EPS: $25,11 vs. $20,78 erwartet
🟢 Umsatz: $41,46 Mrd. vs. $35,84 Mrd. erwartet
🟢 Umsatzwachstum: +345 % YoY ‼️
🟢 Nettogewinn: $28,24 Mrd. (+1.380 % YoY) ‼️
🟢 Umsatzprognose Q4: ca. $50,0 Mrd. vs. $43,58 Mrd. erwartet
🟢 Non-GAAP Bruttomarge Q3: 84,9 % ‼️ vs. 81,7 % erwartet
🟢 Aktie nachbörslich: +9 %

Der wichtigste Treiber war natürlich erneut die außergewöhnlich starke Nachfrage aus dem Bereich der KI-Infrastruktur. Speicher ist mittlerweile eine der kritischsten Komponenten moderner KI-Systeme, und die Nachfrage übersteigt weiterhin das verfügbare Angebot. Da Hyperscaler und Unternehmen ihre KI-Rechenzentren massiv ausbauen, konnte Micron seine Preissetzungsmacht nochmals deutlich erhöhen, was sowohl Umsatz als auch Profitabilität auf Rekordniveaus getrieben hat. Diese verbesserten operative Margen trugen erheblich zur starken Entwicklung bei.

Besonders wichtig - und einer der Hauptgründe für die positive Marktreaktion - ist der deutlich stärkere Ausblick. Micron erwartet im kommenden Quartal einen Umsatz von rund $50 Milliarden, deutlich über den Analystenschätzungen und mehr als viermal so hoch wie im Vorjahreszeitraum.

Obwohl wir aktuell eine sehr kleine SHORT-Position halten, die nun deutlich gegen uns läuft, unterstützt dieser Bericht unsere weiterhin offenen KI- und Technologiepositionen massiv.

Wir hatten zwar mit einem starken Bericht gerechnet, der dem KI-Sektor Rückenwind geben würde, doch diese Zahlen übertreffen selbst die optimistischsten Erwartungen. Der Bericht ist so stark, dass es mich nicht überraschen würde, wenn MU morgen mit einem Plus von sogar deutlich mehr als 10 % eröffnet und damit sowohl den KI-Sektor als auch die Wall Street insgesamt nach oben zieht.


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29963.40 (30194.90 future)

FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: 10526.40

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 4038.79

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.13947

Unser S&P 500 hat den TP bereits früher heute erreicht. Für den Nasdaq 100 können wir den TP nun deutlich ausweiten.

Falls du noch eine LONG-Position in Gold hältst, wir updaten den TP. Gleiches gilt für unsere EUR/USD-Position.

Auch beim FTSE 100 können wir den TP leicht nach oben anpassen. Unser DAX traf heute bereits TP.


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 30058.90 (30289.30 future)

We are widening the TP ✅ for our Nasdaq 100 even further here after MU's blockbuster earnings report brought extreme FOMO buying back into the semiconductor sector. MU is now up more than 14%. However, Micron's exceptionally high operating margins are also creating some pressure on hyperscalers as well as some of Micron's largest customers - including NVDA.

Other semiconductor stocks are also trading significantly higher. For example, MRVL is now trading well above our TP in after-hours trading.


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