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LONG (BUY) 🔼 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 89.24

(+$0.54 futures contract - Nov'26; near/below 89.78

► We continue to see these 24–48-hour markets and another shift in risk sentiment, driven by concerns that oil prices will rise again after the recent decline, as well as actual gains (WTI up around 0.5%, Brent more than 1.2%) following fresh escalations in the Strait of Hormuz. Oman’s air force evacuated ten crew members from a Panamanian-flagged oil tanker following an attack in the Strait of Hormuz. The attack sparked a fire on board the vessel. According to Marisks, a shipping intelligence service, at least seven other incidents involving tankers have been reported over the past week.

► Tehran once again warned against using “illegal” routes in the Strait of Hormuz and reiterated that there would be consequences and that these routes would be closed.

► Higher oil prices are once again driving strength in the USD and a further rise in yields (also putting pressure on precious metals and causing our gold position—if not already closed earlier—to hit its SL). The significantly stronger USD has limited oil’s gains for now, but we expect further increases before oil prices can stabilize.

► Further increases in oil prices mean, however, that risk assets, including stocks, will remain under pressure for now, with Wall Street trading near all-time highs and corporate earnings still expected to remain strong.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.5–3.5x (250%–350%) – if contract size 10; 3/5 position size
WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.25–0.35x (25%–35%) – if contract size 100; 3/5 position size
WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.025–0.035x (2.5%–3.5%) – if contract size 1000; 3/5 position size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100701A



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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 51000 🔄

📌 DJI future ~42 points lower


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SHORT AFTER NYSE TRADING 🔽 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: 376.61 🔄
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED 📸⚠️


Recommended Entry Range ✅381.00 - 382.00


🔹 Russell 2000 (-0.8%) - is trading lower with global stocks seeing some profit taking as returning concerns about higher oil prices as well as inflation and no end in sight for the rising yields soured sentiment. We generally expect markets to stabilize later today, however, small caps will react more sensitively to oil prices and yields. We thus set our TP near entry price.
👉 TP ✅ @: 2834.90


🔹 Apple (+1.1%) - is the big and one of the very few strong winners in New York and especially in the Nasdaq 100. If your position did not already hit TP in pre-market then it will hit it at NYSE opening + gap. Yorkville Ives gave AAPL an outperform rating and an impressive PT of $400.

🔹 Intel (-0.2%) - opens only slightly lower, but has seen some selling also in the previous session. INTC will find buyers nearing $110.00 but short-term the stock will remain volatile. For now, we tighten our TP.
👉 TP ✅ @: 118.97

🔹 Meta (+0.4%) - is opening a bit lower but generally remains bullish. However, we expect a negative session for META today. Nevertheless, we keep our current TP (✅ @: 759.39).

🔹 Nvidia (-0.8%) - is facing a bit of profit taking after the recent sharp gains but remains bullish. Yorkville Ives is the next investment firm which urges to invest in NVDA and expects the chip giant to "outperform" (PT $300). It remains attractive to buy dips and we will look to do so in the range $234 - $236 in case NVDA cools further. We tighten our TP ✅ for now.
👉 TP ✅ @: 242.39


► While tech / growth stocks, particularly the important chip / AI stocks, are seeing further profit-taking after recent gains, the Dow is falling even more sharply, despite the 30-stock index already underperforming last week. This is due to weakness in financials and CAT, which is linked to the AI sector and is one of the Dow’s most important stocks. However, losses in GS, V, JPM, and AXP are weighing particularly heavily on the Dow.

► While we look for dip-buying opportunities in chip stocks such as AMD, MU, MRVL, and NVDA, we are buying the dip in the Dow for now. We may initially see some additional selling pressure, but we see upside potential for the Dow and generally expect less volatility and downside potential than in the Nasdaq - at least today. We are using the volatility around the NYSE opening to find an entry near 51000 - we see the Dow trading at around 51060 in pre-market trading.

► We are also opening a small SHORT position and choosing TSLA. Investment banks are not optimistic about TSLA ahead of earnings - for example, Goldman Sachs yesterday with a “Neutral” rating and a $360 price target, below the current price, or UBS today, also with a “Neutral” rating and a $391 price target (up from $385). A “Neutral” rating is in reality a negative rating.

► TSLA benefits from expectations of potentially massive future growth, as investors believe in CEO Musk’s vision. With SPCX, however, they now have a more attractive stock through which to bet on that vision. TSLA remains extremely expensive and is, of course, absurdly overvalued on fundamentals. We are cautiously going SHORT and see some headwinds ahead. TSLA is opening around 0.6% lower near 378.20 - initially, however, we expect a rebound driven by the typical dip-buying in TSLA & SPCX, followed by resistance in the 🔽 381.00 - 382.50 range and then losses toward 375.00.

Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your “standard position size (EUR/USD)” by ~1.2 - 1.5x (120%-150%) - 2/3 position size

Tesla (TSLA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 50–55x (5,000%– 5,500%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100702A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26100703A


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“TSLA is opening around 0.6% lower near 378.20 - initially, however, we expect a rebound driven by the typical dip-buying in TSLA & SPCX, followed by resistance in the 🔽 381.00 - 382.50 range and then losses toward 375.00.”


This may be the most accurate price prediction you will ever see with TSLA which is generally seen as unpredictable. We could not have been more right. TSLA is now trading slightly below 375 and has some further downside potential. I updated the TP from its original level of 375.57 (where I closed) - but even at 376.61: a phenomenal trade.


The Dow now offers a better entry 🔼 below 51000


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near 4102.50


► We see stabilizing risk sentiment, as oil prices are no longer rising—but only after our TP was triggered. Oil prices now paint a mixed picture: WTI is actually down today (-0.4%), while Brent is still up around 0.6%.

► We see upside potential in risk assets, including stocks and the Nasdaq 100, but do not want to increase our exposure too much, as we are already positioned LONG in the Dow and Russell 2000. The Dow would actually be trading significantly higher if its two most heavily weighted stocks were not sharply lower (GS -2.3% and CAT down more than 6.2%).

► We could call it an unfortunate end to our gold position—and it certainly was, with our TP nearly triggered twice. At the same time, we could have / should have closed, as the high volatility and market swings would have allowed for a lower entry anyway.

► We are a little late to the rebound, but see gold moving higher in the short term, as we expect only limited additional near-term upside for the USD. Oil prices remain key.

► Gold is trying to find buyers near 4100 (and silver at $60/oz). We limit potential losses with a relatively tight SL.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 2610704A


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 51169.40
TP ✅ @: 51264.90
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: 51240 - 51270

📌 DJI future ~25 points lower


We are setting an in-profit SL for our Dow position, which is now trading near our TP. We see some resistance in the 51250 - 51300 range, so we are also tightening our TP - or, better yet, simply closing the position.

You can close the position, as we expect continued volatility to allow for a lower re-entry anyway.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 SK Hynix (SKHY) 🇰🇷(🇺🇸)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/5 position size;
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅177.10 - 177.40


► We are cautiously buying a small position in SKHY, which has significantly underperformed this week and is also trading 3% lower in today’s final trading minutes (in New York) - currently near 177.00.

► Samsung and SKHY, both leaders in High-Bandwidth Memory alongside MU, dominate the market and have benefited from massive memory demand and rising prices, which have pushed margins to extreme levels.

► D.A. Davidson expects the MU stock price to triple and sees memory demand significantly outstripping supply in 2027 and even into 2028. MU is up more than 3.5% following this very positive outlook / analyst call, while SKHY (and Samsung) remain under pressure.

► SKHY will remain volatile, but we can start building a LONG position here. Strong gains in MU and a broader stabilization of the memory sector will also support SKHY. The stock has fallen sharply over recent sessions ahead of earnings later this month.

► AMD is also interesting - currently with support at 🔼 650.00. We remain bullish on NVDA (we are LONG - we see further support at 🔼 234.50 - 236.50). INTC has outperformed other chipmakers today (currently up 0.8%).

SK Hynix (SKHY): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 100–120x (10,000%–11,000%) – 2/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100705A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 19 - October 07
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 19 - September 30
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. INTC & META)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 123
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 89.8% 🔽 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 3/4 - 75% Signal Accuracy (August 18)
Added to statistics: 5/8 - 62,5% Signal Accuracy (September 30)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 01 - October 07 🔹

✅ 1.10 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️(TP-99.52 m. or100.21|+re-entry)
✅ 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30609.40 me | or clsd)
✅ 1.10 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1084.70 me or 1081.10)
✅ 1.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4174.13)
✅ 1.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51047.40)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51472.30)
❌ 2.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4119.43 | +re-entry) 🔄📸
✅ 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51284.70)
✅ 2.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 67.69 me | or 67.63)
✅ 2.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 162.51)
✅ 2.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 162.71)
✅ 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30950.40)
✅ 2.10 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 100.36)

7/8 = 87.5% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


——————————————


Our 🔽 signal accuracy / success rate slipped slightly as a 3/4 session (SA/SR = 75%) dropped out of our statistics and was replaced by last Wednesday’s 5/8 session (SA/SR = 62.5%). Our success rate remains exceptional at 89.8%, falling below 90% for the first time since the five-trading-week period of June 18 - July 24.

We also had a very unfortunate SL closing with Gold today - a position we should have closed (well) in profit. Ultimately, our position management was too greedy, resulting in an extremely rare off-profit closing for us in a precious metals position.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 5.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30909.30)
✅ 5.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 335.33)
✅ 5.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51174.90)
✅ 5.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.43)
✅ 5.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 163.21)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 6.10 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7824.90)
✅ 6.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 336.67 | or 335.07 + gap) 🔄📸
✴️ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 242.39 🔄
✴️ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 86366.40
✴️ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2834.90 🔄

2/5 - (3 open positions)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (WEDNESDAY) 🔹

✅ 7.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 89.99) 📸
✅ 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar) 📸
✅ 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61) 📸
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4128.13) 📸
✴️ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG ↗️ (open - deep in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 179.98

4/5 - (1 open positions)


——————————————


It is of course frustrating, because this session could have been exceptionally strong. Ultimately, a very rare position management mistake in Gold 📸 - my responsibility! - led to mixed results. Our position was well in profit overall on Tuesday and should have been closed. Many of you probably did so, as we were also seeing the volatility. Particularly frustrating: Twice, the position came extremely close to a TP ✅ closing - less than 0.05% away.

Aside from that, we reacted very well to today’s market moves, made strong decisions, and showed excellent timing - including an absolutely perfect TSLA 📸 prediction.

Our new Gold 📸 position has already hit TP. We could have found a slightly better entry here; with the previous position, we should not (!) have let it reach an SL closing in the first place.

Toward the end of NYSE trading, we found an excellent entry in SKHY. SKHY is already trading at 181.50 after hours, putting it well above our TP.

I closed AAPL 📸 in pre-market trading after widening my TP. AAPL opened at 336.96 - so if your position had not already been closed in pre-market by you or your broker, your exit was even better.

Our portfolio positions delivered mixed performances. However, we see signs of stabilizing risk sentiment. INTC rebounded strongly, while we want to give META, NVDA, Russell 2000, and BTC a little more time.

Today’s session was an important reminder to be a little more conservative with positions that are sensitive to risk sentiment. At the same time, it is essential to recognize changing market conditions and make informed decisions (the right ones!), rather than act out of panic. We did that very well today 👏

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 4123


► We are seeing significantly higher oil prices: WTI and Brent are up around 5% - supported by additional panic buying following the initial gains. Escalation concerns are keeping markets on edge after reports emerged that the Trump administration is considering large-scale military operations in Iran in the coming weeks. US President Donald Trump said last week, and reiterated in statements this week, that he does not want a deal with Iran to end the war. Yields have risen further and are also climbing sharply today / right now with the US 10-year Treasury yield up more than 7 basis points, for example.

► Gold is currently still trading higher for the day as investors pull out of risk assets and, with few places to hide, some turn to gold as a safe haven. Gold has benefited little from this recently, as it has been strongly negatively correlated with oil prices, whose rise has pushed yields to their highest levels in decades.

► We expect selling pressure in Gold. Silver is already down more than 1.5%, and Gold will also be unable to stay in positive territory from here unless oil’s gains ease very significantly. We are selling near 4125.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100801A


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.11970

► We are seeing some “Sell America” trading amid concerns that the US will soon resume its strikes against Iran. At the same time, there are no signs that US President Donald Trump is pushing for a deal with Iran to end the ongoing war.

►We are seeing significantly higher oil prices today, with WTI up nearly 5%. The “Sell America” trade is limiting USD gains here. However, higher oil prices will continue to weigh on the EUR, JPY, and other currencies. In the Eurozone, more EUR must be exchanged for USD to pay for more expensive oil imports.

► We are seeing sharply rising yields in the US - but also in Europe, so this effect creates no additional headwinds for EUR/USD.

► The “Sell America” trade will fade as strong US corporate earnings continue to confirm Wall Street’s outperformance relative to Europe.

► Additionally, the FOMC minutes reinforced the hawkish tone that accompanied the Fed’s September rate hike. Most participants considered further tightening appropriate, and almost all saw inflation risks tilted to the upside. Recent weaker hiring data and the surprisingly cooler-than-expected, though already outdated, PCE report will only temporarily temper expectations that further tightening is needed.

► We also see an attractive entry in USD/JPY at 🔼 158.000 - 158.100, but are choosing EUR/USD here near the key level of 🔽 1.12000.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100802A


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
⚠️HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅233.30 - 233.90


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SHORT EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔽 (ONLY VIP 💎)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅(ONLY VIP 💎)


🔹 Russell 2000 (-0.5%) - is trading weaker in pre-market, as sharp gains in oil prices and higher yields weigh on stocks. As we saw yesterday, we expect stocks to stabilize and trade well above their pre-market lows. However, much will depend on oil prices. We are tightening our TP ✅.
👉 TP ✅ @: 2819.70


🔹 Intel (-1.7%) - is opening lower after yesterday’s outperformance relative to the Nasdaq 100 / chip stocks. Uncertainty over INTC’s involvement in Musk’s Terafab AI chip complex persists and will likely cause INTC to temporarily fall below 110.00. This is compounded by broader profit-taking, as higher oil prices and another surge in yields have dampened risk sentiment.

🔹 Meta (+1.1%) - is opening very well after some profit-taking yesterday, but faces an unfavorable sentiment environment, primarily due to high oil prices. META continues to offer significant upside potential, but will likely remain mostly in a volatile sideways range for a while longer.

🔹 Nvidia (-0.7%) - continues to see some profit-taking and is opening in a range where we want to re-enter. NVDA remains bullish regardless and will continue to receive very positive analyst calls - such as today’s call from Citi, which again urged investors to “BUY” Nvidia and sees significant upside potential in the fourth quarter. We are making a re-entry and tightening our TP.
👉 TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

🔹 SK Hynix (-1.0%) - traded well above our TP after hours, but has since given back those gains and is now opening around 1% lower. We have a very small position and had expected continued high volatility. SKHY offers significant upside potential following its recent weakness.
👉 TP ✅ @: 178.44


► We are buying the dip in NVDA. However, NVDA will be volatile at the opening and fluctuate around 234.00, allowing us to find an entry slightly below 234.00 as well.

► We are selling the very strong opening in (ONLY VIP 💎) - the stock is opening around (ONLY VIP 💎)% higher today. Although that is a smaller gain than (ONLY VIP 💎), especially as “Big Money” prefers to invest in tech / AI stocks ahead of the upcoming earnings reports.

Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~65 – 75x (6,500%–7,500%) – 1/2 position size.

(ONLY VIP 💎)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100803A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26100804A


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Perfect Re-Entry


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
TP ✅ @: 4117.71
⚠️ ALREADY WIDENED TO ✅ @: 4111.72 ⚠️

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11826

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 167.17

Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 238.78


Gold will retest 4100 and fall further as long as oil prices remain this elevated / continue to rise.

We are not currently seeing sharp losses in Gold, as investors are looking for somewhere to park their money. Bonds continue to fall, and other risk assets, including stocks, are also under pressure today from higher oil prices and further gains in yields.

Gold has become more of a safe haven again - even in an environment of sharply rising yields. We are tightening our TP here and would prefer to close our position soon, as we can continue to find good / even better entries.

We are also adjusting the TPs for our XOM and EUR/USD positions. There is absolutely no reason (!) to panic, but we want to work with tighter TPs.


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
TP ✅ @: 4111.72

We do not want to get greedy here, but Gold will fall a little further. Gold is impressively still holding up well and remains in positive territory, as investors struggle to find a safe haven amid sharply rising oil prices and deteriorating risk sentiment, initially viewing Gold as an apparent refuge.

Stocks will be the better choice, however. Gold will fall a little further. We are setting our TP for today near the previous session’s close. Meanwhile, Silver also attempted to recover but is coming under renewed selling pressure.


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: 4136.56
TP ✅ @: 4093.67
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED near break-even ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅4112 - 4115


► Gold just triggered our TP ✅📸, delivering a nice small profit. We could also have tightened the SL and widened the TP.

► We are absolutely satisfied with this TP closing, but see further downside potential and can therefore sell again.

► We do not need a significantly better re-entry price and can simply get back in slightly above our triggered TP.

► Gold is currently hovering around 4112, near the previous session’s close.

► Silver is down around 1.4%, near session lows. Oil prices have edged up further, with Brent now up nearly 5.5%. Oil prices will remain key.

► The USD is also gaining again for now - our EUR/USD position is trading in profit.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100805A


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⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED! ⚠️


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We made a gold trade here that we closed near break-even following Trump's Iran comments.


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⚡️ LIGHTNING - RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
CLOSE NOW ✅ @: 4114 - 4118
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11870
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸


We are exiting Gold with a very small loss / near break-even after Trump claimed that his administration is holding productive talks with Iran and that the US would not attack Iran before the midterm elections.

This is clearly an attempt to push oil prices lower - and it has worked to a moderate extent for now.

We are also tightening our TP for EUR/USD and closing with a nice small profit.

We are closing Gold and cautiously entering the Nasdaq:


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅30640 - 30700 🔄

📌 Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~200 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


► Although Trump is clearly lying about “productive talks” with Iran, it will now be harder for him and his administration to justify strikes before the midterm elections. This is causing oil prices to ease slightly (2% below their highs, but still up around 2.5% for the day), and we are trading these oil price moves.

► As we discussed yesterday, Trump’s continued attempts to prevent further price increases ahead of the elections remain an important factor - albeit more a source of uncertainty - as Trump will primarily try to influence oil prices in the short term through his statements.

► We are seeing a shock reaction as OpenAI, according to financial documents shared with investors, apparently expects annualized revenue to be around $20 billion below the level previously indicated by the company. This completely unexpected and massive gap immediately hit AI / chip stocks hard and dampened optimism about the AI growth story.

► We are buying this sharp dip and expect the Nasdaq 100 to find support near or below 30700 following the current excessive selloff. The losses are concentrated in AI / chip stocks.

► This news was completely impossible to anticipate. Growth stocks are now trading lower despite oil prices retreating from their session highs. It is not our fault that we got caught in this profit-taking - but we are taking action and buying the dip. Pullbacks in chip stocks now also offer attractive buying opportunities (such as NVDA 230 - 231.50 | INTC near / below 106.00 | AMD below 616 - 620 | SKHY near / below 168.00) - but please watch your overall exposure!

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~1.5-2.5x (150%-250%) - 2/3 positions size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100805A


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The Nasdaq 100 fell now temporarily even below 30600 (below 30800 for the future) - we are buying this sharp dip.


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Sorry - Repost

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SHORT (SELL)🔽 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: 167.56

Recommended Entry Range ✅168.80 - 169.10


⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


► We saw significant losses in key AI / AI infrastructure stocks after OpenAI told investors it had reached around $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September. This is significantly below the $68 billion widely reported late last month. This discrepancy likely stems from a misunderstanding in the reporting and forecasts, or how investors interpreted them. Apparently, the $68 billion figure also included gross revenue from OpenAI’s partners, which was intended to allow investors to make a more direct comparison with its main rival, Anthropic. Nevertheless, the figures remain very impressive. In addition to the $50 billion in annualized revenue, OpenAI reported total revenue run-rate growth of 77% during the third quarter, along with 107% revenue run-rate growth for its enterprise offering over the same period.

► We do not want to increase our exposure too much here, but I see significant rebound potential in AI stocks / the Nasdaq 100, etc. If you made re-entries as described earlier - such as in NVDA, INTC, AMD, etc. - that is good. Otherwise, we are already heavily positioned to benefit from the coming rebound.

► XOM reached our TP, but your position may not have closed due to the spread. If your position closed in profit, this is a new entry; otherwise, it is a re-entry at a higher price.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~220 - 250 (22.000% - 25.000%) - 3/4 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100807A


⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


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We found the perfect entry range at session highs.

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 20 - October 08
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 20 - October 01
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. INTC & META)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 124
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.5% 🔼 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% Signal Accuracy (August 19)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (October 01)


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🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 02 - October 08 🔹

✅ 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51472.30)
❌ 2.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4119.43 | +re-entry)
✅ 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51284.70)
✅ 2.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 67.69 me | or 67.63)
✅ 2.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 162.51)
✅ 2.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 162.71)
✅ 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30950.40)
✅ 2.10 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 100.36)

7/8 = 87.5% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 5.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30909.30)
✅ 5.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 335.33)
✅ 5.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51174.90)
✅ 5.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.43)
✅ 5.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 163.21)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


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Our 🔼 signal accuracy / success rate dipped below 90% only briefly over the rolling five-week period. A 4/5 session (SA/SR = 80%) rolled out of the calculation and was replaced by last Thursday's flawless 5/5 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%). Our success rate is now back at 90.5% 🏆

No other updates in this part of the performance overview. Our two remaining open positions (META, INTC) took a hit from a sharp market overreaction to a report that OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, was on track to generate roughly $50B in annualized revenue. Some outlets apparently misinterpreted earlier reports as indicating that the company was on track for $68B. The reaction underscores how heavily the AI growth narrative depends on expectations of sustained, explosive growth.

We see stocks recouping some of their losses from the initial shock / panic reaction.