🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
TP
✅ @: 4117.71
⚠️ ALREADY WIDENED TO ✅ @: 4111.72 ⚠️

EUR/USD
TP
✅ @: 1.11826

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP
✅ @: 167.17

Nvidia (NVDA) 🇺🇸
TP
✅ @: 238.78


Gold will retest 4100 and fall further as long as oil prices remain this elevated / continue to rise.

We are not currently seeing sharp losses in Gold, as investors are looking for somewhere to park their money. Bonds continue to fall, and other risk assets, including stocks, are also under pressure today from higher oil prices and further gains in yields.

Gold has become more of a safe haven again - even in an environment of sharply rising yields. We are tightening our TP here and would prefer to close our position soon, as we can continue to find good / even better entries.

We are also adjusting the TPs for our XOM and EUR/USD positions. There is absolutely no reason (!) to panic, but we want to work with tighter TPs.


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
TP
✅ @: 4111.72

We do not want to get greedy here, but Gold will fall a little further. Gold is impressively still holding up well and remains in positive territory, as investors struggle to find a safe haven amid sharply rising oil prices and deteriorating risk sentiment, initially viewing Gold as an apparent refuge.

Stocks will be the better choice, however. Gold will fall a little further. We are setting our TP for today near the previous session’s close. Meanwhile, Silver also attempted to recover but is coming under renewed selling pressure.


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🚀 Trade of the Day 🚀

✅ 07.10 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️

Average movement in our favor: + 1.56% 📈

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +2.46% 📈❗️

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$122.93 Profit with just this Trade (+2.46% 📈❗️🚀)


📊 Last 5 closed Stocks trades
✅ 05.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️
✅ 05.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️
✅ 06.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️
✅ 07.10 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️

🖥 Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator

🚨Make sure you don’t miss the next ones!

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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: 4136.56
TP
✅ @: 4093.67
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED near break-even ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅4112 - 4115


► Gold just triggered our TP ✅📸, delivering a nice small profit. We could also have tightened the SL and widened the TP.

► We are absolutely satisfied with this TP closing, but see further downside potential and can therefore sell again.

► We do not need a significantly better re-entry price and can simply get back in slightly above our triggered TP.

► Gold is currently hovering around 4112, near the previous session’s close.

► Silver is down around 1.4%, near session lows. Oil prices have edged up further, with Brent now up nearly 5.5%. Oil prices will remain key.

► The USD is also gaining again for now - our EUR/USD position is trading in profit.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100805A


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⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED! ⚠️


——————————————


We made a gold trade here that we closed near break-even following Trump's Iran comments.


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🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯 SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡 ⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size SL 🔑 @: 4136.56 TP ✅ @: 4093.67 ⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED near break-even ⚠️ Recommended Entry Range ✅4112 - 4115 ► Gold just triggered our TP ✅📸, delivering a nice small profit.…
⚡️ LIGHTNING - RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
CLOSE NOW
✅ @: 4114 - 4118
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11870
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸


We are exiting Gold with a very small loss / near break-even after Trump claimed that his administration is holding productive talks with Iran and that the US would not attack Iran before the midterm elections.

This is clearly an attempt to push oil prices lower - and it has worked to a moderate extent for now.

We are also tightening our TP for EUR/USD and closing with a nice small profit.

We are closing Gold and cautiously entering the Nasdaq:


——


🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range
✅30640 - 30700 🔄

📌 Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~200 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


► Although Trump is clearly lying about “productive talks” with Iran, it will now be harder for him and his administration to justify strikes before the midterm elections. This is causing oil prices to ease slightly (2% below their highs, but still up around 2.5% for the day), and we are trading these oil price moves.

► As we discussed yesterday, Trump’s continued attempts to prevent further price increases ahead of the elections remain an important factor - albeit more a source of uncertainty - as Trump will primarily try to influence oil prices in the short term through his statements.

► We are seeing a shock reaction as OpenAI, according to financial documents shared with investors, apparently expects annualized revenue to be around $20 billion below the level previously indicated by the company. This completely unexpected and massive gap immediately hit AI / chip stocks hard and dampened optimism about the AI growth story.

► We are buying this sharp dip and expect the Nasdaq 100 to find support near or below 30700 following the current excessive selloff. The losses are concentrated in AI / chip stocks.

► This news was completely impossible to anticipate. Growth stocks are now trading lower despite oil prices retreating from their session highs. It is not our fault that we got caught in this profit-taking - but we are taking action and buying the dip. Pullbacks in chip stocks now also offer attractive buying opportunities (such as NVDA 230 - 231.50 | INTC near / below 106.00 | AMD below 616 - 620 | SKHY near / below 168.00) - but please watch your overall exposure!

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~1.5-2.5x (150%-250%) - 2/3 positions size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100805A


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The Nasdaq 100 fell now temporarily even below 30600 (below 30800 for the future) - we are buying this sharp dip.


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🔰 VIP (UPDATE) SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL)🔽 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: 167.56

Recommended Entry Range ✅168.80 - 169.10


⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


► We saw significant losses in key AI / AI infrastructure stocks after OpenAI told investors it had reached around $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September. This is significantly below the $68 billion widely reported late last month. This discrepancy likely stems from a misunderstanding in the reporting and forecasts, or how investors interpreted them. Apparently, the $68 billion figure also included gross revenue from OpenAI’s partners, which was intended to allow investors to make a more direct comparison with its main rival, Anthropic. Nevertheless, the figures remain very impressive. In addition to the $50 billion in annualized revenue, OpenAI reported total revenue run-rate growth of 77% during the third quarter, along with 107% revenue run-rate growth for its enterprise offering over the same period.

► We do not want to increase our exposure too much here, but I see significant rebound potential in AI stocks / the Nasdaq 100, etc. If you made re-entries as described earlier - such as in NVDA, INTC, AMD, etc. - that is good. Otherwise, we are already heavily positioned to benefit from the coming rebound.

► XOM reached our TP, but your position may not have closed due to the spread. If your position closed in profit, this is a new entry; otherwise, it is a re-entry at a higher price.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~220 - 250 (22.000% - 25.000%) - 3/4 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100807A


⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


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We found the perfect entry range at session highs.

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 20 - October 08
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 20 - October 01
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. INTC & META)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 124
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.5% 🔼 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% Signal Accuracy (August 19)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100%
💎 Signal Accuracy (October 01)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 02 - October 08 🔹

✅ 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51472.30)
❌ 2.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4119.43 | +re-entry)
✅ 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51284.70)
✅ 2.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 67.69 me | or 67.63)
✅ 2.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 162.51)
✅ 2.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 162.71)
✅ 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30950.40)
✅ 2.10 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 100.36)

7/8 = 87.5% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 5.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30909.30)
✅ 5.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 335.33)
✅ 5.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51174.90)
✅ 5.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.43)
✅ 5.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 163.21)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


——————————————


Our
🔼 signal accuracy / success rate dipped below 90% only briefly over the rolling five-week period. A 4/5 session (SA/SR = 80%) rolled out of the calculation and was replaced by last Thursday's flawless 5/5 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%). Our success rate is now back at 90.5% 🏆

No other updates in this part of the performance overview. Our two remaining open positions (META, INTC) took a hit from a sharp market overreaction to a report that OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, was on track to generate roughly $50B in annualized revenue. Some outlets apparently misinterpreted earlier reports as indicating that the company was on track for $68B. The reaction underscores how heavily the AI growth narrative depends on expectations of sustained, explosive growth.

We see stocks recouping some of their losses from the initial shock / panic reaction.
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅
6.10 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7824.90)
✅ 6.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 336.67 | or 335.07 + gap)
✴️ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 238.78 🔄
✴️ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit + pot. re-entry 🔄)
👉 TP ✅ @: 85666.90 🔄
✴️ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2823.30 🔄

2/5 - (3 open positions)

✅
7.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 89.99)
✅ 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar)
✅ 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61)
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4128.13)
✴️ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 178.44 🔄

4/5 - (1 open position)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (THURSDAY) 🔹

✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4111.72) 📸
✅ 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11870) 📸
✅(✴️) 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.17 | pot. open) 📸
🟡❌8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd) 📸
✴️ 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 30942.90 | 31142.40 Dec future) 🔄
✴️ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 167.56

3/6 - (2 open position)


——————————————


The performance overview paints a more favorable picture than our portfolio currently reflects, as our open positions were hit by the OpenAI shock & panic reaction. However, we also managed to capitalize on the sell-off to a limited extent and even more if you dip bought chip stocks that became oversold across the board. Our analysis of the situation was correct. We are already seeing significant rebounds in NVDA, INTC, SKHY & co - we identified the ideal re-entry ranges.

We also responded to Trump's renewed "market manipulation". We handled the situation well (closed gold on time), but we are recording the "tiny" loss on gold 📸 as a losing position here, even though I personally closed it at a profit. We also closed another gold 📸 position successfully. Oil prices have eased further during the Asian session. We will also see the BTC rebound (still a good re-entry possible near 🔼 81500) - we tighten our TP ✅.

Your initial XOM 📸 position may still be open due to a slightly wider spread, even though our TP ✅ was reached. However, we identified a strong re-entry level, which I have recorded here as a regular reopening.

We are already seeing risk sentiment improve again, including a rebound in the oversold tech / AI sector. We can raise our Nasdaq 100 TP ✅ slightly. We can also raise our Russell 2000 TP ✅ a little, as the index was generally less affected by the market's overreaction to the OpenAI report (the Dow even closed higher).

Credit to us for keeping a cool head and assessing the situation correctly.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

🔸 🇮🇹 Industrial Production AUG (MoM) – 08:00 (reported: 🔴)
♦️ 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Employment Change SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Full Time Employment Change SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Part Time Employment Change SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Participation Rate SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel OCT – 14:00
🔸 🇺🇸 Fed Collins Speech – 20:00

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Delta Air Lines (DAL) 🇺🇸

---

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅30935 - 30985 🔄

📌 Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~205 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


► The OpenAI shock stemmed entirely from a misunderstanding among analysts and market participants, followed by panic selling. It shows again that the market is NOT always right: Market participants often act irrationally and follow the herd - often with the lack of understanding - all of this is exaggerated now with the use of AI. We were among the one in ten analysts who immediately recognized that this had to be a misunderstanding. It also exposes the poor level of much the analysts: the apparent gap between a $68B projection and a subsequent $50B annualized revenue figure should have prompted them to check whether the figures referred to the same period and if they are not comparing apple with pears.

► OpenAI has now reinforced its outlook, saying it will reach or exceed $70B annualized revenue by year-end, driven largely by rapid growth in its enterprise business. OpenAI is also in talks to raise another $30 billion at a $1.4 trillion valuation in its latest funding round. If OpenAI were publicly listed with a market capitalization of around $1.4T, it would rank as the 12th-largest company, just behind TSLA.

► We raised our TP yesterday (I have closed a little higher ✅📸), but even after strong gains, with the Nasdaq now up around 0.75% on the day, we still see further upside. Our overall position closed deep in profit.

► Oil prices eased following Trump's comments and extended their decline during Asian trading (Brent is currently down around 1.5%). We do not expect much additional support for equities from lower oil prices, but stocks still have room to recover from yesterday's analyst misinterpretation. We identified the perfect (re-)entry in XOM yesterday.

Congratulations again to the community for keeping a cool head. We secured an excellent Nasdaq re-entry and identified similarly strong re-entry opportunities in chip stocks.


Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~1.75 - 2.5x (175%-250%) - 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100901A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——————————————


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 SpaceX (SPCX) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅162.20 - 163.00 🔄


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (+0.85%) - is significantly higher following yesterday’s market “misreaction” to OpenAI’s revenue update, which we successfully used as a buying opportunity. The IRGC’s claim that it had hit another tanker briefly pushed oil prices higher, causing another short dip in the Nasdaq 100, and will likely lead to moderate selling. This attack changes today’s outlook for oil prices somewhat. In uncertain times such as the ongoing Iran war, oil prices tend to rise on Fridays anyway. We are tightening our TP slightly. AAPL is weighing heavily on the Nasdaq 100 following signs of potentially softening demand for the iPhone 18.

👉 TP ✅ @: 31054.90 (31259.90 future)

🔹 Russell 2000 (+0.25%) - is hovering around 2800. The Russell 2000 is more sensitive to oil price changes. We are tightening our TP ✅ slightly. Oil prices remain the “risk factor”.
👉 TP ✅ @: 2818.90


🔹 ExxonMobil (-0.5%) - is opening lower and near / potentially below our TP. We can widen our TP slightly, although it may already be triggered immediately. We once again found the perfect entry in XOM.
👉 TP ✅ @: 167.46 (if possible)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

🔹 Intel (+1.5%) - is opening significantly higher, although this follows sharp losses yesterday. As a highly risk-sensitive stock, INTC needs calmer market conditions to move substantially higher. We are updating our TP ✅.
👉 TP ✅ @: 114.96

🔹 Meta (+0.7%) - remained in the sideways range we anticipated, but remains fundamentally bullish. We are leaving our TP unchanged (TP ✅ @: 759.39).

🔹 Nvidia (+1.6%) - is opening strongly and is driving Wall Street today. UBS is urging investors to “BUY” NVDA, saying Taiwan’s export data shows that AI demand remains very strong. We are keeping our current TP (TP ✅ @: 238.78).

🔹 SK Hynix (+1.7%) - is opening sharply higher. We are tightening our TP slightly. Any re-entries are well in profit.
👉 TP ✅ @: 177.58


► The strong rotation into higher-risk assets / growth stocks is weighing on AAPL as a more defensive tech stock. AAPL benefited this week from more cautious sentiment and strong analyst calls. Investors will become increasingly cautious toward the close, which should improve the sentiment backdrop for AAPL. Signs of softening demand for the iPhone 18 are weighing on AAPL.

► We see further upside potential for SPCX following the mobile spectrum announcement and given the company’s ambitions to become a major US mobile carrier. The announcement sent telecom stocks sharply lower. Although SPCX is already opening around 2.7% higher, we see further upside potential. The market is rightly excited about a potentially enormous new revenue stream for SPCX. The stock fell 4.2% following yesterday’s OpenAI shock and therefore has rebound potential. SPCX was trading around 164.50 in pre-market. We may enter well below that.


SpaceX (SPCX): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~150-170x (15,000%-17,000%) - 3/5 position size.



position code / 100% Transparency - 26100902A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——————————————


SPCX lost some of the strong pre-market gains. We can enter (LONG) below 🔼 163.00


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Silver (XAG/USD) ⚪️
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅ near/above 60.97


► We are seeing significantly higher precious metals prices, particularly in Silver. Gains have been supported by lower oil prices and Gold’s return as a safe haven. This reflects concerns about fiscal stability, including France’s fiscally unsustainable path toward sovereign default, as well as sharply falling bond prices in the US and even Japan (essentially worldwide).

► I consider the gains in Silver excessive here and generally expect oil prices to find buyers ahead of the weekend, which will also weigh on Silver.

► We also generally expect Gold to encounter some resistance around / near 🔽 4200 (and Silver at 🔽 $61 per ounce). Silver will certainly retest the key 60.00 level next week - potentially as early as today. We are trading against the market and selling into the very strong gains, with Silver currently up 3%.


Silver (XAG/USD):

Multiply your usual “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 6.0–7.5 (600%–750%) – 3/5 position size, for contract size 100

Multiply your usual “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.6–0.75 (60%–75%) – 3/5 position size, for contract size 1000

Multiply your usual “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.12–0.15 (12%–15%) – 3/5 position size, for contract size 5000

You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100903A


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SHORT (SELL)🔽 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 169.70


► We have sold the spikes in XOM extremely well over previous sessions. Today it will be a bit more tricky as it is a Friday.

► We couldn't update our TP 📸✅ anymore (I actually could have due to delayed opening) as XOM already opened below our TP but we are re-entering again now with XOM trading near 169.70 supported by a rebound in oil prices around / shortly after NYSE opening.

► We see XOM now at the highest since End of March earlier this year and SHORT here.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~220 - 250 (22.000% - 25.000%) - 3/4 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100904A


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅1.32400 - 1.32450 🔄


► We see GBP/USD trading flat / even slightly higher, with the GBP benefiting today from improved risk sentiment and weakness in other major currencies, including the EUR and GBP.

► The USD came under some pressure following weak consumer sentiment data from the University of Michigan (reported at 46.3 versus 47.6 expected and 48.1 previously).

► Oil prices also remain lower for now. However, we expect a slight uptick heading into the weekend amid concerns about further escalation in the Persian Gulf - particularly additional IRGC attacks on tankers. There is also a risk of further escalation between Yemen’s Houthi rebels and Saudi Arabia. Three Saudi citizens were killed and several others injured in attacks on Riyadh airport, for which the Iran-backed Houthis claimed responsibility.

► A weak Canadian jobs report also reinforced expectations of a slowdown in the US, particularly following last week’s weak NFP report. Reduced expectations for Fed rate hikes have recently limited USD gains.

► We remain bullish on the USD overall in the near term.

► We do not expect any major swings, but the pair has room for a modest pullback. The key 1.32000 level is also likely to be retested in the coming sessions. The pair received another boost from lower oil prices, but we see resistance to further upside from here.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26100905A


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The pair has edged further up, but we expect resistance above 🔽 1.32400.


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🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯 SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Silver (XAG/USD) ⚪️ ⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎) Recommended Entry ✅ near/above 60.97 ► We are seeing significantly higher precious metals prices, particularly in Silver. Gains have been…
⚡️ LIGHTNING - RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Silver (XAG/USD) ⚪️
TP
✅ @: 60.811
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

GBP/USD
TP
✅ @: 1.32256

Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
TP
✅ @: 2834.70

We are seeing low volatility and light trading volume in the market. Escalation risks appear to have already been largely priced into oil, with prices showing little movement and only marginal gains today. Another key factor supporting slightly greater optimism and easing oil prices is Trump's latest post stating that Russia will deliver a total of 3 million metric tons of diesel to the US.

The news has pushed oil prices a little lower again.

This also supports risk sentiment, although the impact would be stronger if it were not Friday evening. We see no deterioration in risk sentiment heading into the weekend and no longer expect one.
Investors are also generally confident that earnings season, which begins next week, will provide further positive catalysts.

We are setting a tight TP ✅ for our silver position, as lower oil prices are also weakening the USD in the short term.
Our XOM position has already hit TP ✅📸.

These developments favor our positioning, with the exception of GBP/USD. We are setting a tight TP ✅ here. We expect resistance for the pair in the 🔽 1.32400–1.32450 range and continued low volatility overall. We are raising the TP ✅ on our Russell 2000 position and can close it at a significantly higher level next week.


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 21 - October 09
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 21 - October 02
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 140 (excl. INTC & META)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 127
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.7% 🔼 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% Signal Accuracy (August 20)
Added to statistics: 7/8 - 87.5%
Signal Accuracy (October 02)


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🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 03 - October 09 🔹

✅ 5.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30909.30)
✅ 5.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 335.33)
✅ 5.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51174.90)
✅ 5.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.43)
✅ 5.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 163.21)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 6.10 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7824.90)
✅ 6.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 336.67 | or 335.07 + gap)
✴️ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 238.78
✴️ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit + pot. re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 85666.90
✴️ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2834.70 🔄

2/5 - (3 open positions)


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Good Morning!

Our 🔼 signal accuracy / success rate improved as a 4/5 session (SA/SR = 80%) was replaced by last Friday’s very strong 7/8 session (SA/SR = 87.5%). Our overall success rate over the rolling five-week period now stands at a still extremely high 90.7% 🏆

In a relatively quiet session today, risk sentiment improved following Thursday’s losses, which were primarily triggered by a “misunderstanding” of the latest reports on OpenAI’s business performance.

Stocks closed mostly higher, although chip stocks faced renewed profit-taking and INTC extended its decline. META closed little changed. Other tech stocks, including software names, as well as consumer and financial stocks, posted strong gains ahead of earnings season.

Slightly lower oil prices also provided support. This was partly driven by expectations that a deal between US President Trump and his Russian counterpart Putin would bring larger volumes of Russian diesel to global markets / into the US.
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅
7.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 89.99)
✅ 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar)
✅ 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61)
✅ 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4128.13)
✴️ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 177.58 🔄

4/5 - (1 open position)

✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4111.72)
✅ 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11870)
✅ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.17)
🟡❌8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
✅ 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit) 🔄📸
✅ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46) 🔄📸

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (FRIDAY) 🔹

✴️ 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 31054.90 (31259.90 future)
✴️ 9.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 167.98
✅ 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 60.811) 📸
✅ 9.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 168.56) 📸
✴️ 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.32256

2/5 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


It was not a very busy session, with investors showing little appetite for major directional bets. Risk sentiment ended on a positive note ahead of earnings season, supported by lower oil prices with the prospect of additional Russian diesel supplies easing pressure on oil and fuel prices.

We extended our already impressive recent performance in XOM
📸 with two more short positions opened on price spikes, both of which hit their TPs. Alone our XOM profits alone over the past few days have paid for several months’ worth of fuel for many of you, if not years for many of you - another reminder to share some of our profits with people in need ❤️

We could of traded the rebound in gold more, particularly the recovery that began on Thursday as oil prices started giving back their recent gains. Instead, we shorted the overextended rally in silver
📸. We could have secured a slightly better exit, but we are happy with the closing and will find plenty of opportunities in the coming week.

Our session started with a big profit with the Nasdaq 📸 when we took advantage of the largely unjustified "OpenAI shock". We are LONG again - a position that may close on Monday.

Underperformance in the chip sector weighed somewhat on our portfolio, but we are already positioned for what is likely to be another strong earnings season. LONG positions in financials could have been an option, but if anything, we already have slightly too much exposure on the LONG side.

It was a challenging week, with markets remaining choppy, but overall yet another positive one for us overall.

Enjoy your Sunday.
Yours, Rob
☀️
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

🔸 🇺🇸 Fed Hammack Speech – 16:50
🔸 🇬🇧 BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY SEP – 23:01

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

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Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No major earnings reports today

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SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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