⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11882
OR
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 1.11865 - 1.11895

CPI data will be released in just over an hour and will be a major market driver, including for the USD. We have LONG USD exposure through two positions, as we also hold a USD/JPY LONG, and are reducing that exposure.

We are setting a very tight TP here to exit with a small profit and want to close before the CPI data release.


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Noah
📍 Austria 🇦🇹

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🏆 One overnight Goldman Sachs trade. €281.28 in profit.
Opened Monday evening. Closed just after Tuesday’s NYSE open.

📈 Goldman Sachs (GS) | LONG
► +2.63% price movement
► €281.28 profit before swap fees / €279.51 after swaps


Noah didn’t have to find this opportunity himself.

He followed a SmartTrader VIP 💎 signal with a clear entry level, clear take-profit target, and an explanation of WHY we were taking the trade and EXACTLY what price move we expected.

That’s what SmartTrader VIP delivers: actionable trading opportunities backed by clear and in-depth market analysis, so you understand the reasoning behind each trade while trading profitably.


‼️ Over 90% our predictions have been correct over the past four months.


Congrats, Noah - thanks for sharing your result! 👏


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅4079 - 4087


► The CPI report came in as we expected, once again showing that extremely high fuel prices had a significant impact on consumer prices. YoY core inflation came in at 2.6%, above expectations of 2.5%. That is a clear acceleration from 2.4% in August. Particularly shocking for the market is monthly headline inflation, which rose to 0.6% - even though this was in line with expectations (YoY 3.7% vs. 3.6% expected).

► Overall, this outcome was foreseeable, even though the market is now reacting sharply. At least it shows that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is independent - these figures represent a major headwind for Republicans just weeks before the midterm elections.

► The market reaction has already gone far, and we are trading the rebound. Gains in the USD and losses in precious metals have already been substantial. This outcome was to be expected - it shows that many market participants apparently allowed themselves to be misled by the PCE data.

► We are cautiously going LONG in gold here (against the market!) and may improve our entry if gold falls significantly further. Silver is actually slightly more attractive for a dip purchase here, but is likely to remain very volatile and has also still more downside potential.

► It is entirely possible that gold could dip toward 4050 or last week’s low. However, gold will attempt to recover sooner than the market expects.

► The USD is trading at its highest level in more than 18 months. Our USD/JPY LONG position easily hit our TP ✅. EUR/USD also fell well below our TP ✅ (or closing range). We also expect stocks to stabilize soon. The Nasdaq 100 should find support near 🔼 30350, although a decline to 30300 (= 30500 Dec future) cannot be ruled out.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101401A


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——————————————


Gold EXACTLY stabilized in our entry-range - a crazily accurate prediction against the market.


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
SL 🔑 @: 4094.73
TP ✅ @: 4117.66
⚠️ SL ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

We are setting an in-profit SL for gold here. If it is triggered - which is quite possible given how tight it is - we can find a new entry slightly lower. We are also tightening our TP a little.

Gold found buyers exactly in our expected support range - an almost unrealistically perfect prediction against a market gripped by panic selling.


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: 25321.60 (25352.60 GDAXI)
⚠️ ALREADY NEAR TP ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 25415
📌 GDAXI 30 points lower

► The EUR’s recent sharp weakness (particularly against the USD) provides fragile support for the DAX.

► The DAX is up around 0.45% today, even after the latest decline following the US CPI data. The CAC_40 is around 0.5% higher.

► We also see some “Sell America” rotation, but the gains are primarily driven by the weak EUR - which is viewed as positive for Europe.

► While we generally remain constructive and see upside potential for global stocks, we are selling the DAX’s current outperformance.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2–2.5 (200%–250%) - 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101402A


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——————————————


Our DAX position is very close to TP here already.


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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SELL EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔽Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅345.60 - 346.20


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (-0.65%) | Russell 2000 (-1.1%) - are trading lower. Wall Street had a very positive pre-market session. Many investors were apparently hoping that the CPI data would not yet reflect the sharp rise in fuel prices - much like the PCE data, which we described as very outdated but which the market apparently used to guide its expectations. However, the figures showed that inflationary pressures had increased, and faster than analysts expected. Nevertheless, we expect markets to be able to stabilize. Given the extremely high oil and fuel prices, it would actually have been a major surprise if inflation had not accelerated further. We are tightening our TPs:
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
👉 TP ✅ @: 30669.70 | 30869.90 Future
Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
👉 TP ✅ @: 2803.30


🔹 ExxonMobil (+0.4%) - continues to benefit from high oil prices. A strong USD is creating some short-term headwinds for oil prices. We are tightening our TP.
👉 TP ✅ @: 172.52

🔹 Intel (-2.5%) - staged a very impressive rebound yesterday, but is opening significantly lower again following the hotter-than-expected inflation report. We are working with a tighter TP. We expect dip buying.
👉 TP ✅ @: 109.79

🔹 Morgan Stanley (-2.6%) - opens lower, despite beating estimates for both earnings per share and revenue on very strong trading revenue. However, sentiment has soured. While trading revenue, investment banking, and wealth management were strong (as we expected, although less positive than GS), there were also some areas of weakness, such as fixed-income trading revenue. Our position will close at the SL at the open.

🔹 Nvidia (-1.0%) - is giving back yesterday’s gains (+1.0%) in pre-market trading for now, but remains above our re-entry range from yesterday. The hotter-than-expected inflation report and growing concerns about interest rate hikes are weighing on growth stocks. NVDA has plenty of upside potential. Today, investment bank Mizuho is also recommending buying, or more specifically, overweighting NVDA. We are keeping our TP (✅ @: 231.03).

🔹 SK Hynix (-3.7%) - remains under pressure from panic selling. Since we hold only a very small position, we can wait for a better exit. In the near term, there could be some further downside toward ~$140 (in New York). Once risk sentiment stabilizes, SKHY will rebound sharply.


► The market was apparently too optimistic about the inflation data. This is not a good open or pre-market session for our portfolio. However, we expect stabilization, supported in part by renewed dip buying, including in chip stocks.

► We see a rotation into defensive stocks and generally cautious market sentiment, which benefits AAPL. AAPL is trading around 1.1% higher at slightly above 345.00 in the late pre-market session. We expect some cooling and resistance in the 345.00 - 346.50 range.

Apple (AAPL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 80-90x (8,000%-9,000%) - 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101403A


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——————————————


We identified exactly where AAPL will hit resistance.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Dell Technologies (DELL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅ 510.50 - 512.00 🔄

► Although we are aiming to reduce our exposure to the technology sector, we are buying the very sharp sell-off in DELL. Chip stocks, and particularly AI infrastructure stocks, fell sharply today as hotter-than-expected inflation data created additional headwinds.

► At now more than -10% (!), however, the sell-off in DELL went very far and was accelerated by panic selling following the recent losses.

► We are going against the market here and buying this very sharp dip. Dell will remain volatile and has also a bit more downside potential but has more potential to recover some of its steep losses later today.

Dell Technologies (DELL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 25–30x (2,500%–3,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101404A


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——————————————


DELL extended losses as concerns mount that the Fed will raise interest rates after all, despite very high energy prices, to combat elevated inflation.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 4080

► Our tight SL ✅📸 was triggered for small profit - which was not unexpected. Gold is currently hovering around 4080 🔄, or slightly below. We are getting back in here and expect buying to outweigh selling again very soon.

► Silver continues to fall sharply and has also put pressure on gold. Although silver has more short-term rebound potential, it is good that we chose gold here.

► The USD has rallied sharply in a short period. We now see the USD stabilizing, easing the headwinds for gold.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101405A


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Please make sure you are never missing out on gold / silver trades from us.

Over the last 16 weeks we have won 65 from 68 gold trades.
65/68 = 95.6% Success Rate


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 29945

📌 Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~190 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


► It would have been good position management to close before the CPI release. We saw heavy selling after the US CPI data showed the fastest increase in inflation since April, driven almost entirely by high energy / fuel costs. The hot inflation report reinforced expectations that the Fed has little room left to wait and must raise rates further. Markets are now pricing in two rate hikes by year-end again. We already closed our DAX SHORT position at TP ✅📸 today - we could even have closed significantly lower. Initial selling then turned into panic selling.

► These concerns triggered another rotation out of growth stocks - particularly chip / AI stocks - into more defensive sectors and energy stocks.

► Oil prices remain in focus. With no signs of serious peace efforts in the Middle East and instead indications of further escalation, oil prices have risen over recent sessions. A container ship sank in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday as Iran intensified its attacks on commercial vessels and Saudi Arabia faced fresh Houthi attacks. Despite all this, we are seeing little further upside in oil prices today.

► I still expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged this month and opt for a hike in December instead.

► The Nasdaq 100 fell around 2%.

► We are now seeing more signs of stabilization, although tomorrow’s PPI data will likely show that producer price inflation also remains high. Oil prices are stabilizing, and the USD is temporarily giving back some of its very strong gains.

► The sharp pullback invites dip-buying ahead of Big Tech earnings. However, ongoing uncertainty, very high oil prices and yields, and increased rate hike expectations continue to weigh.

► We can make a small re-entry in the Nasdaq 100, but want to close on the next rebound.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~1.5 - 2.0x (150%-200%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101201B

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
SL 🔑 @: 4054.87
TP ✅ @: 4100.13
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

We are tightening our TP ✅ and SL 🔑 for our gold position, although we are now seeing more dip-buying again. Oil prices hitting resistance are providing support, also limiting further USD gains for now. We can soon buy the pullback in the USD.


—-

Dell Technologies (DELL) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 498.79
TP ✅ @: 531.44

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 175.26

We are also updating our DELL position, which fell slightly further, and setting an SL. For XOM, we are working with a tighter TP (off-profit TP).


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——————————————


Also our second GOLD position from today already closed in profit. If you are still LONG you can close a bit higher ✅ 4104 - 4109.

Congrats!

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 USD/JPY
⚠️ Elevated Volatility
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅158.130 - 158.170

► The USD is sharply higher today, and the DXY reached a new 18-month high. We have since seen a slight correction, likely due to some intervention measures after the pair pushed back toward 159.00, triggering our TP along the way. The pair also moved above its 200-day moving average earlier today. The 158.00 - 160.00 range is considered a zone that makes both the US and Japan very uncomfortable.

► However, even the strong measures and coordinated efforts by Washington and Tokyo have done little to deter traders from betting against the JPY. Recent gains were primarily driven by USD strength, rather than JPY weakness.

► The pair is now trading well below its pre-CPI level. That is quite remarkable, as the hot CPI data triggered a further rise in US Treasury yields and reinforced expectations that high inflationary pressure will force the Fed to raise rates further. The market expects two more Fed rate hikes. These expectations should push the pair toward 160.00.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101406A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 26 - October 14
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 26 - October 07
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 136 (excl. 5 open p.)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 123
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.4% 🔽 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 7/7 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (August 25)
Added to statistics: 4/5* - 80% Signal Accuracy (October 07)
(*1 open position: SKHY)


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🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 08 - October 14 🔹

✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4111.72)
✅ 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11870)
✅ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.17)
🟡❌8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
✅ 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit)
✅ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31054.90)
✅ 9.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 166.53)
✅ 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 60.811)
✅ 9.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 168.56)
✅ 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.32256)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


——————————————


With the biggest event risk behind us, there is room for modest gains in the second half of the week, although tomorrow's US PPI report will likely deliver another hot inflation reading. However, concerns over escalating geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on risk sentiment and make a strong oil price cooling impossible.

In our five (!) years of recorded performance, we have never had five open positions in our rolling five-week statistics. We aim to reduce that number later this week, although we will likely hold some positions a little longer - such as NVDA & SKHY. We are tightening the TP ✅ on our BTC position, which came under pressure as the USD rallied sharply and expectations for rate hikes increased.
BTC/USD 👉 TP ✅ @: 83767.30

Meanwhile, our 🔽 signal accuracy / success rate edged down slightly as an outstanding 7/7 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%) rolled out of the calculation.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✴️❌ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - TP off-profit + re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 30123.90| 30313.40 Dec future) 🔄
✴️❌ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - TP off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 175.26 🔄
✅ 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 910.49 me | or 900.49 + gap)
✅ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 59.99)
✅ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.697) 🔄📸

3/5 - (2 open positions)

✅ 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11882) 🔄📸
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4156.16)
❌ 13.10 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4153.06)
❌ 13.10 - MS - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.39) 🔄📸

3/5 = 60% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (WEDNESDAY) 🔹

✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4094.73) 📸
✅ 14.10 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 25321.60) 📸
✅ 14.10 - AAPL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 343.54) 📸
✴️ 14.10 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 498.79 | TP ✅ @: 531.44
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4100.13) 📸
✴️ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit + pot. re-entry 🔄)
👉 TP ✅ @: 158.227 🔄

4/6 - (2 open positions)


——————————————


We closed many positions today, most in profit, but position management fell a bit short. We anticipated hotter CPI data, yet the market was still surprised by the contrast with September's already outdated PCE report. We missed larger profits on our two LONG USD positions and should have protected our Nasdaq 100 position.

Markets attempted to stabilize, but fears of renewed inflation and further rate hikes weighed heavily. Sky high oil and fuel prices remain the dominant driver of global inflation and are already straining the economy.

Strong gold 📸 trading "as always," although we were a little too cautious in trading the rebound. Also a good NYSE "opening" trade with AAPL 📸.

Surprisingly strong Japanese machinery orders gave the "sell America" trade some momentum during Asian trading. We are tightening our USD/JPY TP ✅, but still expect the USD to remain in demand. EUR/USD above 1.12000 is also attractive (SHORT). We want to avoid excessive exposure, but you can take a small USD/JPY re-entry in the 🔼 157.60 - 157.70 range.

An unlucky exit on MS erased much of my profit. The stock opened in reality at 180.45, well above my exit price, and is now back at 183.00 in after-hours trading. The key metrics matched our expectations, but weak risk sentiment and an overall less impressive report than GS weighed on the stock. Financials nevertheless are attractive after the recent sell-off.

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.12190

► An already nervous market reacted negatively to revenue updates from TSMC, even though the world’s most important chip foundry reported better-than-expected profit for the September quarter. More important was the outlook from Anthropic: The Claude developer told prospective investors that third-quarter revenue reached $16.8 billion - an increase of 46% from $11.5 billion in the preceding three months. Growth rates that other companies or industries can only dream of. Anthropic presented the figures at its headquarters on Wednesday, just weeks before a planned IPO that could value the company at up to $2 trillion. The AI growth story remains intact, but concerns are growing that a slowdown could arrive sooner than expected, particularly as much of the growth is debt-financed (which is completely normal). Debt concerns were particularly pronounced at CoreWeave, whose corporate bond yields surged. Panic selling in the chip sector is going very far.

► Overall, however, we see a mixed market, with only the technology sector trading significantly lower. The more defensive Dow, for example, is trading in positive territory.

► The ongoing sell-off, now concentrated primarily in AI / chip stocks, triggered a flight to safety. Some investors bought bonds, pushing the 10-year US Treasury yield down by more than 10 basis points. The USD has given back all the gains it made following yesterday’s hot inflation data.

► USD/JPY found buyers in the range we expected (157.60 - 157.70).

► We expect the PPI data to be less concerning than yesterday’s CPI data. However, inflationary pressure will also be visible in producer prices.

► Temporarily lower oil prices also helped unwind the USD’s recent excessive gains.

► We expect EUR/USD to retest 1.12000 later today and remain bearish over the medium term. The decline in US Treasury yields will be temporary.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101501A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11902
OR
CLOSE ✅ @: below 1.11950
⚠️ NO LONGER CURRENT - upd. to close near/below 1.12040⚠️

USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 158.266
⚠️ NO LONGER CURRENT - upd. to 158.197 ⚠️

The PPI data came in very hot. Nevertheless, we are seeing a relatively muted reaction. We expect some rebound in the USD from here, as both the core and headline figures are well above analyst expectations.

Headline PPI rose 1.3% month over month (very hot!) versus 0.5% expected. Core PPI came in at 0.7% month over month versus 0.3% expected. Core PPI was 5% year over year (!) versus 4.4% expected.

Since we are LONG the USD through two positions, we do not want to get too greedy. Our USD/JPY position is also well in profit overall. We are making slight adjustments to our TPs for now.

An important point, however - analyst forecasts were not updated after yesterday’s hot CPI report, so actual market expectations had already adjusted higher.

The USD would be stronger if oil prices had not eased somewhat for now.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅4137.50 - 4142.50

► Another hot inflation report has strengthened the case for rate hikes, providing fundamental support for the USD and headwinds for gold. Nevertheless, yields continue to decline for now as demand for bonds remains strong.

► The 10-year US Treasury yield is now 13 basis points lower - partly because investors are lowering their economic growth expectations.

► Oil prices also remain lower, but are likely to attract buyers during regular US trading. Tensions between the US and Iran are escalating rather than easing - particularly following reports that the US military has developed new strike plans. These could include using the so-called “mother of all bombs” against Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear facilities if US President Donald Trump orders combat operations to resume before or after the midterm elections.

► We are seeing mixed reactions, as investors are currently unsure how to price in the PPI data.

► Increased demand for safe havens should continue to support gold demand. We are entering with a small position here.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101502A


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 (ONLY VIP 💎) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅(ONLY VIP 💎)


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (-1.1%) | Russell 2000 (+0.2%) - are showing a mixed picture. Chip stocks, particularly memory stocks, are trading sharply lower and weighing on Wall Street. Overall, however, more stocks are rising than falling in New York. The panic sell-off has extended further as investors continue to unwind their AI exposure in a panic. We expect markets to stabilize today, despite another hot inflation report.
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
👉 TP ✅ @: 30043.90 | 30234.90 Future
Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
👉 TP ✅ @: 2796.40


🔹 ExxonMobil (+0.5%) - is trading higher, benefiting from the rotation out of tech stocks. However, we expect some waves of profit-taking to kick in today. We are looking for an exit.
👉 TP ✅ @: 175.36

🔹 Dell (-5.6%) - is opening nearly 6% lower. We bought the sharp dip yesterday, but panic selling continued. Our position is opening below the SL. Investors are unwinding some of DELL’s very strong gains this year. There is currently too much panic selling to attempt buying the dip right at the NYSE opening.

🔹 Nvidia (-1.7%); Intel (-3.6%); SK Hynix (-5.7%) - remain in panic-selling mode. We now see very attractive entries for medium-term investments in many chip stocks. Concerns about rising chip production in China potentially flooding the market, but above all about the debt-financed AI rally, are making investors nervous. We can close well above today’s opening prices, but we are managing our exposure. Meanwhile, KeyBank reiterates its “Overweight” recommendation for NVDA. Even CoreWeave received a “BUY” rating from Deutsche Bank, which explicitly recommends “BUYING THE DIP.”


► While the tech sector is down, more S&P 500 stocks are rising than falling in pre-market trading, supported by the ongoing rotation out of the AI sector. We see strong gains in healthcare and consumer staples. I see short-term upside potential in WMT, COST, HD, and even AAPL, which we successfully SHORTed yesterday. Today, we could do the opposite and initially expect further gains in AAPL.

► WMT is up around 3.5%, also benefiting from a Deutsche Bank upgrade to “BUY” (from “HOLD”). I expect consumer staples stocks (defensive consumer stocks) to remain bullish today. We are buying (ONLY VIP 💎) at (ONLY VIP 💎). The stock has rebound potential, remains bullish for now, and benefits from the very strong gains in (ONLY VIP 💎)

► Higher inflation generally improves (ONLY VIP 💎) ...

(ONLY VIP 💎) ...

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101503A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: below 1.12040
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸

USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 158.197

We see a somewhat confused market. The PPI data came in very hot, but unlike yesterday, the market had prepared for a high reading. We want to reduce our exposure now and close EUR/USD in profit very soon. We remain LONG in USD/JPY for now.

We see something of a typical “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” effect.

Further bond purchases are pushing yields lower - creating some headwinds for the USD.


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This one was missing in TRIAL.

EUR/USD already closed in profit | we went already SHORT again near 1.12200 (perfect entry).

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 4151


► Gold has already triggered our TP ✅📸 (before that, we closed EUR/USD 📸 in profit). We are re-entering and now see gold trading back near 4150.

► Yields remain lower and are edging down even further. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries is now down 14 basis points. That provides a tailwind for gold.

► Nevertheless, we should not be too aggressive here. The USD is somewhat oversold - even trading below its pre-CPI level - and remains bullish overall.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101504A


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🌉📈📉📈📉4️⃣1️⃣5️⃣0️⃣📈


Our gold / silver trades from the past 7 days:


✅ 09.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

🆕 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️


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