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โ 19.10 - CAT - LONG โ๏ธ
Average movement in our favor: + 1.28%
โ๏ธ You could have increased your capital by: +2.07%๐ โ๏ธ
Example:โ๏ธ Initial Capital: $5,000 โ> +$103.61 Profit with just this Trade (+2.07%๐ โ๏ธ ๐ )
โ 16.10 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 19.10 - CAT - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 19.10 - GS - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 20.10 - MMM - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 20.10 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ
Contact us to make sure you donโt miss the next trades:
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SHORT (SELL)๐ฝ Chevron (CVX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 1/2 trade size
SL ๐ @: 226.76
TPโ
@: 223.73
Recommended Entry Rangeโ
224.90 - 225.20
โ ๏ธ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED โ ๏ธ
โบ Denials of an alleged agreement between the US and Iran on a Pakistan-brokered deal caused oil prices to rebound. Tehran added that Pakistan had โnothing new to sayโ to the US. Iran also reiterated that vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz without authorization would continue to be attacked. Additionally, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said the Iranian government must be overthrown and that the topic had been discussed with Trump in recent days.
โบ Nevertheless, we see oil prices stabilizing at lower levels and facing some short-term resistance, while overall risk sentiment has also improved.
โบ XOM is still down around 0.5% for the day, while CVX is up approximately 0.25%. We expect some resistance near or above 225.00. We are limiting potential losses with an SL.
โบ The White House has confirmed plans for US envoys Witkoff and Kushner to visit Russia on October 21.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102004A
โโ-
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LONG (BUY)๐ผ Walmart (WMT) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ Elevated Volatility; 3/5 position size
SL ๐ @: 117.04
TPโ
@: 119.02
Recommended Entry Rangeโ
117.90 - 118.15
โ ๏ธ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED โ ๏ธ
โบ We remain broadly positive on the outlook for more defensive stocks and value stocks. We should have held our LONG position in MMM a little longer. We still see upside potential for 3M, but also the possibility of a better entry.
โบ WMT is by no means cheap, but it is considered a defensive quality growth stock that typically benefits from a high-inflation environment.
โบ We have seen some sector rotation, with capital flowing in and out - mainly depending on whether chip stocks can rebound again or renewed concerns emerge over AI spending and revenue growth.
โบ Oil prices fell sharply earlier today after optimistic signals pointed to a potential new path toward US-Iran negotiations. Some of that optimism faded following conflicting reports. Although oil prices subsequently rebounded, they stabilized at lower levels for the day - at least for now.
โบ We see positive market breadth and are going LONG in WMT here. We see WMT as well positioned as risk sentiment improves, but also solidly positioned if chip stocks come under renewed selling pressure. Improved risk sentiment has caused defensive names to underperform today - something we can also see in stocks such as AAPL, KO, and WMT.
โบ COST has a more attractive valuation, making it somewhat more appealing over the longer term. However, we expect WMT to continue outperforming for now.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102005A
โ ๏ธ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED โ ๏ธ
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We made two more trades before NYSE closing.
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SHORT (SELL)
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 1/2 trade size
SL ๐ @: 226.76
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ Denials of an alleged agreement between the US and Iran on a Pakistan-brokered deal caused oil prices to rebound. Tehran added that Pakistan had โnothing new to sayโ to the US. Iran also reiterated that vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz without authorization would continue to be attacked. Additionally, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said the Iranian government must be overthrown and that the topic had been discussed with Trump in recent days.
โบ Nevertheless, we see oil prices stabilizing at lower levels and facing some short-term resistance, while overall risk sentiment has also improved.
โบ XOM is still down around 0.5% for the day, while CVX is up approximately 0.25%. We expect some resistance near or above 225.00. We are limiting potential losses with an SL.
โบ The White House has confirmed plans for US envoys Witkoff and Kushner to visit Russia on October 21.
Chevron (CVX): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 75โ85x (7.500%โ8.500%) โ 1/2 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102004A
โโ-
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LONG (BUY)
โ ๏ธ Elevated Volatility; 3/5 position size
SL ๐ @: 117.04
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ We remain broadly positive on the outlook for more defensive stocks and value stocks. We should have held our LONG position in MMM a little longer. We still see upside potential for 3M, but also the possibility of a better entry.
โบ WMT is by no means cheap, but it is considered a defensive quality growth stock that typically benefits from a high-inflation environment.
โบ We have seen some sector rotation, with capital flowing in and out - mainly depending on whether chip stocks can rebound again or renewed concerns emerge over AI spending and revenue growth.
โบ Oil prices fell sharply earlier today after optimistic signals pointed to a potential new path toward US-Iran negotiations. Some of that optimism faded following conflicting reports. Although oil prices subsequently rebounded, they stabilized at lower levels for the day - at least for now.
โบ We see positive market breadth and are going LONG in WMT here. We see WMT as well positioned as risk sentiment improves, but also solidly positioned if chip stocks come under renewed selling pressure. Improved risk sentiment has caused defensive names to underperform today - something we can also see in stocks such as AAPL, KO, and WMT.
โบ COST has a more attractive valuation, making it somewhat more appealing over the longer term. However, we expect WMT to continue outperforming for now.
Walmart (WMT): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 240โ260x (14,000%โ 26,000%) โ 3/5 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102005A
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We made two more trades before NYSE closing.
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2๏ธโฃ Receive ~5 - 10 trading signal every day
3๏ธโฃ Receive updates on every single trade ๐ฒ
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๐ฌ๐ง SmartTrader by Robert Lindner - LIVE CHAT ๐ฌ
Join SmartTrader for 90%+ success rate signals and full transparency. Trade with confidence and expert mentor support!
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๐ September 01 - October 20
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
(= 25 full trading days)
๐น Number of Trades/Signals: 136 (excl. 5 open p.)
๐น Number of Trades Won: 119
๐น Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 87.5%
Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100%
Added to statistics: 3/5 - 60% Signal Accuracy (October 13)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 4094.73)
โ 14.10 - DAX_40 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 25321.60)
โ 14.10 - AAPL - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 343.54)
โ 14.10 - DELL - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 498.79)
โ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4100.13)
โ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 158.197)
5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
โ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.12016 me | or clsd)
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4163.39)
โ 15.10 - COST - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 998.77)
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4176.79 me | or 4171.96)
โ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.11957)
โ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ(TP-1.12226|overall-in-profit)
โ 15.10 - AMD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 559.58)
โ 15.10 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 149.97 + gap|or 149.89)
8/8 = 100% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Sorry for the late update - I had a meeting / consulting session with "colleagues" based in FL, US.
Another favorable session for our portfolio today. Markets rebounded sharply after once again overreacting to questionable indications of weaker-than-expected data center demand and AI revenue potential, fueling fears of an imminent slowdown in AI revenue growth. The sell-off was triggered by a 30% plunge in Korean provider Elice Group's shares during its stock market debut in South Korea.
Our Russell 2000 position hit its TP for an overall off-profit closing. While we see further near-term upside, we want to continue reducing exposure.
A flawless 5/5 session ๐ (SA/SR = 100%) rolled out of our rolling five-week calculation and was replaced by last Tuesday's 3/5 session (SA/SR = 60%). Our
We also closed COST with a small profit today, bringing the session associated with that trade to a phenomenal 8/8 ๐ (SA/SR = 100%).
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โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4198.39 or similar)
โ 16.10 - USOIL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 96.33)
โ 16.10 - TRV - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 381.79 me | or 381.93, 379.49)
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4189.42 me|or 4189.14)
โ 16.10 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 342.19)
5/5 = 100%
โ 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.12056)
โด๏ธ 19.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit | + re-entry)
๐ TP
โด๏ธ 19.10 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โ 19.10 - CAT - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 731.49 me | or 731.17)
โ 19.10 - GS - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 876.06)
3/5 - (2 open positions)
โด๏ธ 20.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โ 20.10 - MMM - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 166.79)
โ 20.10 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 145.69)
โด๏ธ 20.10 - CVX - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
๐ SL ๐ @: 226.76 | TP
โด๏ธ 20.10 - WMT - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 117.04 | TP
2/5 - (3 open positions)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
A good session for us and our portfolio
A very impressive SPCX earnings report further boosted risk sentiment. SPCX surged around 8%, while NVDA jumped 2.1%, INTC gained 3.2%, and SKHY rose 2.9%. Nasdaq 100 futures advanced about 1%.
We also closed our Russell 2000 ๐ธ position today (I closed 5 points higher) and will continue reducing exposure.
We can adjust our Nasdaq 100 target slightly:
๐ TP
We are tightening our gold TP
An exceptional NYSE opening trade in MMM ๐ธ today, as "always" - one of the best opportunities available. We also executed a strong SPCX ๐ธ trade, entering more than 10% below the current after-hours price. SPCX had also reported extraordinary revenue growth in its previous earnings release, but investors struggled to price it in. Still, we could have held a very small position through earnings.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
โฆ๏ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Inflation Rate SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Core Inflation Rate SEP (YoY) โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง BoE Gov Bailey Speech โ 13:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change OCT/16 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change OCT/16 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ ECB President Lagarde Speech โ 16:00
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
๐ Meta Platforms (META) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Tesla (TSLA) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Lam Research (LRCX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Philip Morris (PM) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ SAP (SAP) ๐ฉ๐ช
โ๏ธ Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Texas Instruments (TXN) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ IBM (IBM) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Abbott (ABT) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ NextEra Energy (NEE) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ AT&T (T) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Danaher (DHR) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Iberdrola (IBDRY) ๐ช๐ธ
โ๏ธ CME Group (CME) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Elevance Health (ELV) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ CSX (CSX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Moody's (MCO) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Kinder Morgan (KMI) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ United Rentals (URI) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Westinghouse Air Brake (WAB) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ DNB Bank (DNBBY) ๐ณ๐ด
๐ Waste Connections (WCN) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Crown Castle (CCI) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Svenska Handelsbanken (SVNLY) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Northern Trust (NTRS) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Teledyne Technologies (TDY) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Fresnillo (FNLPF) ๐ฒ๐ฝ
๐ Las Vegas Sands (LVS) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Reliance (RS) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
โฆ๏ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Inflation Rate SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Core Inflation Rate SEP (YoY) โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง BoE Gov Bailey Speech โ 13:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change OCT/16 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change OCT/16 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ ECB President Lagarde Speech โ 16:00
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
๐ Meta Platforms (META) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Tesla (TSLA) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Lam Research (LRCX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Philip Morris (PM) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ SAP (SAP) ๐ฉ๐ช
โ๏ธ Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Texas Instruments (TXN) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ IBM (IBM) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Abbott (ABT) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ NextEra Energy (NEE) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ AT&T (T) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Danaher (DHR) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Iberdrola (IBDRY) ๐ช๐ธ
โ๏ธ CME Group (CME) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Elevance Health (ELV) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ CSX (CSX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Moody's (MCO) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Kinder Morgan (KMI) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ United Rentals (URI) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Westinghouse Air Brake (WAB) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ DNB Bank (DNBBY) ๐ณ๐ด
๐ Waste Connections (WCN) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Crown Castle (CCI) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Svenska Handelsbanken (SVNLY) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Northern Trust (NTRS) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Teledyne Technologies (TDY) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Fresnillo (FNLPF) ๐ฒ๐ฝ
๐ Las Vegas Sands (LVS) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Reliance (RS) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
๐4โค3๐3๐ฅ1๐1๐ค1
Gold (XAU/USD)
TP
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
TP
It was a very good overnight session. SPCX and SMCI gave AI stocks strong tailwinds. Higher oil prices created some headwinds after statements from Tehran dampened optimism about a potential agreement mediated by Pakistan. Earnings season has been positive so far, and we expect further encouraging results to extend the rebound in the key AI sector.
Oil prices are now edging lower, giving BTC and gold a further boost.
Our gold position is around breakeven overall. We can widen our TP slightly further to target a solid overall profit. We are also setting a TP for our BTC position that would secure an overall profit. We want to find an exit in BTC, while there is less urgency with gold. Once our gold TP is triggered, we still see scope for better re-entry opportunities below 4150.
๐ธ Gold / BTC for now overall still slightly off-profit
Signal/Update ist
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PS - you likely have a significantly better initial entry in gold as I went in a bit earlier.
IMPORTANT:
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 1/2 position size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
(GOOG $3.60 below GOOGL)
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING
TP
Recommended Entry
๐น Nasdaq 100 (+0.65%) - continues its rebound, driven by gains in chip / AI stocks and particularly strong gains in SPCX. The stock is up more than 8% after the company significantly beat earnings expectations yesterday, delivered a better-than-expected outlook, and Musk endorsed a potential SPCX / TSLA merger. Server maker SMCI provided another sign of strong AI spending and demand: its stock rose more than 12% in early trading after preliminary quarterly results came in well above expectations. NFLX fell sharply after earnings. Key chip stocks such as NVDA, AVGO, MU, AMD, ASML, INTC, LRCX, etc. are up between 1% and 3.2%.
๐น Chevron (-0.25%) - opens slightly lower. Oil prices are now slightly lower after initial overnight gains. We are looking for an exit and do see signs of some selling in early NYSE trading.
๐ SL ๐ @: 226.87
๐น Meta (-0.3%) - is trading slightly lower alongside some of the more established big tech companies. META reports earnings today after the bell.
๐ TP
๐น Nvidia (+1.9%), Intel (+1.8%), SK Hynix (+4.2%) - are sharply higher after already recovering from weak openings yesterday. Melius is the latest investment firm strongly urging investors to โBUYโ NVDA and also sees tailwinds for NVDA from SPCXโs enormous earnings growth. We remain LONG.
๐น Walmart (-0.5%) - opens slightly lower and faces pressure from sector rotation, rather than fundamental factors. We would prefer to remove or widen our SL (to below 115.98) and set a tight TP instead. WMT has little risk of sharp losses, but the stock is not turning bullish yet either. However, our tight SL could be triggered at the opening for a small loss. We set the SL too tight here.
๐ TP
โบ We like the outlook for further gains in the AI sector. There are also plenty of reasons for optimism about SPCX, although it is already up more than 8% in pre-market trading.
โบ We are buying the weak opening in GOOG/L. I see Alphabetโs capabilities across the entire technology stack as undervalued and the recent pullback as very attractive, particularly over the longer term. GOOGL opens around 1% lower today, putting it at its lowest level in more than a month.
โบ We are also opening a small position in TSLA. While SPCX is attracting most of the Musk-driven hype buying - rightly so - a potential SPCX / TSLA merger is exciting news for TSLA investors. Teslaโs integrated storage business and the massive growth in its solar business are very positive, although the stock is, of course, very expensive.
Alphabet (GOOGL): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 60โ70x (6,000%โ7,000%) โ 1/2 position size.
Tesla (TSLA): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 50โ55x (5,000%โ 5,500%) โ 1/2 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102101A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102102A
โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED
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We made a โmonsterโ NYSE opening trade with TSLA
As always -> NEVER MISS OUR NYSE OPENING TRADES
We have won MORE than 89.5% of our NYSE opening trades over the past 16 weeks.
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โ 20.10 - MMM - LONG โ๏ธ
Average movement in our favor: + 2.63%
โ๏ธ You could have increased your capital by: +5.14%๐ โ๏ธ
Example:โ๏ธ Initial Capital: $5,000 โ> +$256.80 Profit with just this Trade (+5.14%๐ โ๏ธ ๐ )
โ 19.10 - GS - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 20.10 - MMM - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 20.10 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 20.10 - CVX - SHORT โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ 21.10 - TSLA - LONG โ๏ธ
Contact us to make sure you donโt miss the next trades:
๐ Your trading success starts with a free call!
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LONG (BUY)๐ผ JPMorgan (JPM) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ Low volume; 2/3 positions size
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entry Rangeโ
332.90 - 333.40
โบ We have made very good trading decisions overall in recent sessions and closed many positions today as well - including our BTC position, reducing our exposure. We made a phenomenal NYSE opening trade with TSLA ๐ธ (I closed slightly higher; congratulations on that trade). We also bought the underperformance in GOOG/L very well - an excellent entry range. Our SLs for CVX and WMT were too tight (if triggered). META also hit TP. The Nasdaq is up 1.2%.
โบ We see further upside in chip / AI stocks, although there could be some cooling first - such as in DELL. AMD, NVDA, MU, etc. have further upside.
โบ We see some weakness in more defensive stocks, as price movements are heavily influenced by sector rotation.
โบ There were also some tailwinds after the Kremlin said that a new round of trilateral talks between Russia, the US, and Ukraine could take place in Abu Dhabi.
โบ We also see some temporary weakness in financials and are buying JPM here.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102103A
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We found a "super entry" here.
IMPORTANT:
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LONG (BUY)
โ ๏ธ Low volume; 2/3 positions size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ We have made very good trading decisions overall in recent sessions and closed many positions today as well - including our BTC position, reducing our exposure. We made a phenomenal NYSE opening trade with TSLA ๐ธ (I closed slightly higher; congratulations on that trade). We also bought the underperformance in GOOG/L very well - an excellent entry range. Our SLs for CVX and WMT were too tight (if triggered). META also hit TP. The Nasdaq is up 1.2%.
โบ We see further upside in chip / AI stocks, although there could be some cooling first - such as in DELL. AMD, NVDA, MU, etc. have further upside.
โบ We see some weakness in more defensive stocks, as price movements are heavily influenced by sector rotation.
โบ There were also some tailwinds after the Kremlin said that a new round of trilateral talks between Russia, the US, and Ukraine could take place in Abu Dhabi.
โบ We also see some temporary weakness in financials and are buying JPM here.
Multiply your usual position size by ~70 - 80 (7.000% - 8.000%) when trading JPMorgan Chase (JPM) - 2/3 trade size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102103A
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We found a "super entry" here.
IMPORTANT:
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG (BUY)๐ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ
โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entryโ
near/below 57.51
โบ We see upside potential in precious metals and some additional modest tailwinds from the US Treasury Departmentโs announcement of Iran General License HH, issued by the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC). The authorization applies to seven specifically named vessels associated with Roxette Maritime Shipping and Trading S.A. Cargo may be delivered and unloaded if it was loaded on or before October 21, 2026. This is another attempt to slightly increase global oil supply to somehow โgetโ oil prices down ahead of the US midterm elections. It shows that the Trump administration is actively looking for ways to push oil prices lower - even if only marginally.
Official document: US Treasury - Iran General License HH (PDF)
โบ Silver is significantly underperforming gold and is trading about 0.65% lower today. We see short-term upside potential.
โบ The overall improvement in risk sentiment is not a headwind for silver - quite the opposite. Gold is seeing some rotational flows as investors move back into stocks. However, gold also remains bullish. We remain LONG in gold.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102104A
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โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โช๏ธ ๐คฉ ๐คฉ ๐คฉ ๐คฉ ๐คฉ ๐ผ
Our last 12 gold / silver trades:
โ 09.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โด๏ธ 19.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ + re-entry - TPโ
4152.87
๐ 21.10 - XAG/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting with a SmartTrader Account Manager:
๐๐ Book a free intro call meeting๐ ๐
LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry
โบ We see upside potential in precious metals and some additional modest tailwinds from the US Treasury Departmentโs announcement of Iran General License HH, issued by the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC). The authorization applies to seven specifically named vessels associated with Roxette Maritime Shipping and Trading S.A. Cargo may be delivered and unloaded if it was loaded on or before October 21, 2026. This is another attempt to slightly increase global oil supply to somehow โgetโ oil prices down ahead of the US midterm elections. It shows that the Trump administration is actively looking for ways to push oil prices lower - even if only marginally.
Official document: US Treasury - Iran General License HH (PDF)
โบ Silver is significantly underperforming gold and is trading about 0.65% lower today. We see short-term upside potential.
โบ The overall improvement in risk sentiment is not a headwind for silver - quite the opposite. Gold is seeing some rotational flows as investors move back into stocks. However, gold also remains bullish. We remain LONG in gold.
Silver (XAG/USD):
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 6.0โ7.5 (600%โ750%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 100
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 0.6โ0.75 (60%โ75%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 1000
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 0.12โ0.15 (12%โ15%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 5000
You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102104A
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โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Our last 12 gold / silver trades:
โ 09.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ
โด๏ธ 19.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ + re-entry - TP
Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting with a SmartTrader Account Manager:
๐๐ Book a free intro call meeting
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๐ฌ๐ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ LONG (BUY) ๐ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size TP โ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ ) Recommended Entry โ
near/below 57.51 โบ We see upside potential in precious metals and some additional modest tailwinds from the US Treasury Departmentโsโฆ
Silver (XAG/USD)
SL ๐ @: 57.64
TP
OR
CLOSE
We want to set an in-profit SL for our silver position here. We found excellent entries today (also in JPM, GOOG/L, and of course TSLA).
We see some resistance in precious metals - including gold (again) at the key level of 2140. We are securing profits or even closing in profit.
Signal/Update ist
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โฐ
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If you are still LONG in silver here - we expect a short-term dip followed by a rebound. You can close in profit near / above 57.55 on the next rebound.
We are seeing some risk-off movement as oil prices jump higher. We are monitoring developments but consider the reaction somewhat exaggerated for now. However, if oil prices continue to rise, risk appetite could weaken further toward the end of US trading.
A potential trade for this would be
๐ฐ OPTIONAL TRADE
SHORT (SELL)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ Set an in-profit SL once BTC reaches 84000.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 0.25โ0.3x (25%โ30%). Cryptocurrencies should always be traded with caution. Short-term moves of 5% or more are possible at any time. 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102105O
Signal/Update ist
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Never miss a profitable trade:
Trading with SmartTrader is incredible easy:
WRITE US NOW ๐จ - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP
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๐ฌ๐ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
CLOSE
We see the market already stabilizing with also oil prices not spiralling higher. While BTC has a bit of room for a correction after today's sharp gains. In case you went in - we get out already.
We also see the rebound in precious metals - with silver back near/above 57.40 - we expect further gains from here.
Signal/Update ist
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โฐ
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๐ September 02 - October 21
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
(= 25 full trading days)
๐น Number of Trades/Signals: 136 (excl. 4 open p.)
๐น Number of Trades Won: 119
๐น Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 87.5%
Dropped from statistics: 6/7 - 85.7% Signal Accuracy (September 01)
Added to statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (October 14)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.12016 me | or clsd)
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4163.39)
โ 15.10 - COST - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 998.77)
โ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4176.79 me | or 4171.96)
โ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.11957)
โ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ(TP-1.12226|overall-in-profit)
โ 15.10 - AMD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 559.58)
โ 15.10 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 149.97 + gap|or 149.89)
8/8 = 100%
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4198.39 or similar)
โ 16.10 - USOIL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 96.33)
โ 16.10 - TRV - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 381.79 me | or 381.93, 379.49)
โ 16.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4189.42 me|or 4189.14)
โ 16.10 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 342.19)
5/5 = 100%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
A beautiful performance overview, with flawless results in recent sessions. Our ๐ก signal accuracy / success rate remains unchanged as a strong 6/7 session (SA/SR = 85.7%) rolled out of our five-week calculation and was replaced by a slightly weaker 5/6 session (SA/SR = 83.3%). We also reduced our open positions by closing BTC at an overall profit.
We could have closed our BTC position slightly higher, but as expected, renewed selling during overnight trading pushed it back below our triggered TP as we also saw oil prices edging higher again. Crypto has more room to rise.
It was a very good session for us overall, with our remaining open positions also benefiting from today's moves.
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โ 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 1.12056)
โด๏ธ 19.10 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit | re-entry in profit)
๐ TP
โ 19.10 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 704.87 | or 704.49)
โ 19.10 - CAT - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 731.49 me | or 731.17)
โ 19.10 - GS - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 876.06)
4/5 - (1 open position)
โด๏ธ 20.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โ 20.10 - MMM - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 166.79)
โ 20.10 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 145.69)
โ 20.10 - CVX - SHORT โ๏ธ (SL - 226.76| +re-entry)
โ 20.10 - WMT - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 117.04)
2/5 - (1 open position)
โด๏ธ 21.10 - GOOGL - LONG โ๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐ TP
โ 21.10 - TSLA - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 387.97 me | or 386.79) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 21.10 - JPM - LONG โ๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐ TP
โ 21.10 - XAG/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 57.64 | or clsd 57.80+) ๐ธ
(โ 21.10 - BTC/USD - SHORT โ๏ธ (clsd 84271 me) - optional trade) ๐ธ
2/4 - (2 open position)
*BTC/USD optional trade
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Our stop-loss levels were too tight on both CVX and especially WMT - sorry about that. Despite some exits at a loss, it was a very good session overall, with positive net realized profits. Our portfolio also benefited from today's moves, and we closed our previous BTC ๐ธ position at an overall profit (this refers to the previous position, not the optional ๐ธ trade).
As always, our NYSE opening trades were very strong, and keeping TSLA ๐ธ out of earnings proved to be the right decision. Both TSLA and META reported strong earnings, with META also issuing very upbeat guidance above expectations. We could have secured a better overall exit in META ๐ธ, but profit-taking weighed on the market.
Much of the price action occurred during U.S. premarket trading. Avoiding overtrading was the right approach, although we should have bought some of the dips in the Dow.
We are tightening our gold TP
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Two members. Two NYSE opening trades. Two stories worth sharing.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Oliver
๐ United Kingdom ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ ยฃ312.31 in profit in under 5 minutes.
Oliver followed our Tuesday NYSE opening signal on 3M (MMM) which hit our TP shortly after.
Oliver has earned between ยฃ2,700 and ยฃ4,300 per month from trading over the past three months. His trading profits now exceed his income from his regular job as an insurance broker.
He wants to see whether he can maintain that consistency through November, then use his remaining vacation time in December before deciding whether to trade full-time in 2027.
All the best with your plans, Oliver - keep us posted!
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Kevin
๐ Canada ๐จ๐ฆ
๐ US$104.40 in profit in under 15 minutes.
Kevin followed our Wednesday NYSE opening signal on Tesla (TSLA) which hit our TP shortly after.
Kevin has only been with us for ten - eleven weeks and has already experienced both sides of trading. He grew his account from $1,500 to more than $4,000, before giving back those gains and returning to $1,500.
He acknowledges that he took too much risk and opened too many gold positions. Heโs now taking a more conservative approach, paying closer attention to managing his exposure with support from his mentor.
His personal goal is to reach US$5,000 before Christmas. For now, his focus is on rebuilding with more discipline.
Thanks for sharing the full picture, Kevin - the progress AND the lessons.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
What have your recent profits made possible? What have you learned along the way? Share your experience, whatever your results.
If we feature your story, youโll receive two weeks of VIP
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ New Car Registrations YoY SEP โ 04:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท Business Confidence OCT โ 06:45 (reported: ๐ข
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง CBI Business Optimism Index Q4 โ 10:00
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง CBI Industrial Trends Orders OCT โ 10:00
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง BoE Governor Bailey Speech โ 10:50
๐ธ ๐จ๐ฆ New Housing Price Index MoM SEP โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Initial Jobless Claims OCT/17 โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Consumer Confidence Flash OCT โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash OCT โ 22:00
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ S&P Global Services PMI Flash OCT โ 22:00
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง GfK Consumer Confidence OCT โ 23:01
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Inflation Rate YoY SEP โ 23:30
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Core Inflation Rate YoY SEP โ 23:30
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
โ๏ธ Roche Holding (RHHBY) ๐จ๐ญ
โ๏ธ Procter & Gamble (PG) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Nestlรฉ (NSRGY) ๐จ๐ญ
โ๏ธ Union Pacific (UNP) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Hermรจs International (HESAY) ๐ซ๐ท
๐ Western Digital (WDC) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Blackstone (BX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Lockheed Martin (LMT) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Valero Energy (VLO) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Newmont (NEM) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Spotify (SPOT) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Atlas Copco (ATLCY) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Comcast (CMCSA) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Barclays (BCS) ๐ฌ๐ง
โ๏ธ Norfolk Southern (NSC) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Bloom Energy (BE) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ RELX (RELX) ๐ฌ๐ง
โ๏ธ Honeywell (HON) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ argenx (ARGX) ๐ณ๐ฑ (reported: ๐ด)
โ๏ธ Nasdaq (NDAQ) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Nokia (NOK) ๐ซ๐ฎ
๐ Comfort Systems (FIX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Sandvik (SDVKY) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Swedbank (SWDBY) ๐ธ๐ช (reported: ๐ข)
๐ Banco Bradesco (BBD) ๐ง๐ท
โ๏ธ Roper Technologies (ROP) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ CBRE Group (CBRE) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Kering (PPRUY) ๐ซ๐ท
โ๏ธ PG&E (PCG) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ VeriSign (VRSN) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Dover (DOV) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Quest Diagnostics (DGX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ Omnicom (OMC) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Dow (DOW) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ PulteGroup (PHM) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ SS&C Technologies (SSNC) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ New Car Registrations YoY SEP โ 04:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท Business Confidence OCT โ 06:45 (reported: ๐ข
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง CBI Business Optimism Index Q4 โ 10:00
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง CBI Industrial Trends Orders OCT โ 10:00
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง BoE Governor Bailey Speech โ 10:50
๐ธ ๐จ๐ฆ New Housing Price Index MoM SEP โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Initial Jobless Claims OCT/17 โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Consumer Confidence Flash OCT โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash OCT โ 22:00
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ S&P Global Services PMI Flash OCT โ 22:00
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง GfK Consumer Confidence OCT โ 23:01
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Inflation Rate YoY SEP โ 23:30
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Core Inflation Rate YoY SEP โ 23:30
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
โ๏ธ Roche Holding (RHHBY) ๐จ๐ญ
โ๏ธ Procter & Gamble (PG) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Nestlรฉ (NSRGY) ๐จ๐ญ
โ๏ธ Union Pacific (UNP) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Hermรจs International (HESAY) ๐ซ๐ท
๐ Western Digital (WDC) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Blackstone (BX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Lockheed Martin (LMT) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Valero Energy (VLO) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Newmont (NEM) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Spotify (SPOT) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Atlas Copco (ATLCY) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Comcast (CMCSA) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Barclays (BCS) ๐ฌ๐ง
โ๏ธ Norfolk Southern (NSC) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Bloom Energy (BE) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ RELX (RELX) ๐ฌ๐ง
โ๏ธ Honeywell (HON) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ argenx (ARGX) ๐ณ๐ฑ (reported: ๐ด)
โ๏ธ Nasdaq (NDAQ) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Nokia (NOK) ๐ซ๐ฎ
๐ Comfort Systems (FIX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Sandvik (SDVKY) ๐ธ๐ช
โ๏ธ Swedbank (SWDBY) ๐ธ๐ช (reported: ๐ข)
๐ Banco Bradesco (BBD) ๐ง๐ท
โ๏ธ Roper Technologies (ROP) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ CBRE Group (CBRE) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ Kering (PPRUY) ๐ซ๐ท
โ๏ธ PG&E (PCG) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ VeriSign (VRSN) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Dover (DOV) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Quest Diagnostics (DGX) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) ๐ฌ๐ง
๐ Omnicom (OMC) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ Dow (DOW) ๐บ๐ธ
โ๏ธ PulteGroup (PHM) ๐บ๐ธ
๐ SS&C Technologies (SSNC) ๐บ๐ธ
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SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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๐ฌ๐ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ LONG (BUY) ๐ผ Gold (XAU/USD) ๐ก โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size TP โ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ ) Recommended Entry Range โ
4140 - 4144 ๐ โบ Strong gains in stocks - particularly US tech / chip stocks, with the Nasdaq 100 now up more than 1.3%โฆ
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG (BUY)๐ผ Gold (XAU/USD) ๐ก
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 1/2 position size
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entry Rangeโ
4056 - 4065
(we expect support near/below 4060)
โบ The recent price spikes failed to trigger our TP. The real problem, however, was not securing profits earlier and then looking for fresh dip-buying opportunities. We repeatedly saw resistance around / above 4140.
โบ Gold is now trading around 4060 after sharp overnight losses - significantly lower on the day. Silver fell even more sharply and is trading more than 3.5% lower. The main driver for gold here is higher oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Increased attacks on tankers by the IRGC and on Saudi energy infrastructure by Tehran-backed Houthi militants pushed oil prices higher. The US ordered some diplomats to leave Saudi Arabia amid threats from Houthi militants. After an initial rebound, the market turned significantly more cautious overnight following new reports of attacks and threats. Yesterdayโs EIA report showed US crude inventories falling by 3.06 million barrels, compared with expectations for a much smaller draw. This also heightened concerns about limited supply.
โบ We can clearly see that, unlike Trump, Tehran is trying to heighten concerns and escalate tensions ahead of the midterm elections, further damaging the already struggling Republican Party. The most likely scenario is a complete debacle and a loss of power for Trump.
โบ We could sell oil here, for example Brent with prices up almost 3%, but I prefer buying gold and expect support in the 4050 - 4060 range - at least for now. We need to work with a tighter TPโ
.
โบ The sharply deteriorating risk sentiment, also driven by generally somewhat disappointing earnings reports - particularly from LRCX - triggered another strong rotation out of chip stocks into defensive stocks, with higher oil prices significantly amplifying the effect.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101902C
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LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
(we expect support near/below 4060)
โบ The recent price spikes failed to trigger our TP. The real problem, however, was not securing profits earlier and then looking for fresh dip-buying opportunities. We repeatedly saw resistance around / above 4140.
โบ Gold is now trading around 4060 after sharp overnight losses - significantly lower on the day. Silver fell even more sharply and is trading more than 3.5% lower. The main driver for gold here is higher oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Increased attacks on tankers by the IRGC and on Saudi energy infrastructure by Tehran-backed Houthi militants pushed oil prices higher. The US ordered some diplomats to leave Saudi Arabia amid threats from Houthi militants. After an initial rebound, the market turned significantly more cautious overnight following new reports of attacks and threats. Yesterdayโs EIA report showed US crude inventories falling by 3.06 million barrels, compared with expectations for a much smaller draw. This also heightened concerns about limited supply.
โบ We can clearly see that, unlike Trump, Tehran is trying to heighten concerns and escalate tensions ahead of the midterm elections, further damaging the already struggling Republican Party. The most likely scenario is a complete debacle and a loss of power for Trump.
โบ We could sell oil here, for example Brent with prices up almost 3%, but I prefer buying gold and expect support in the 4050 - 4060 range - at least for now. We need to work with a tighter TP
โบ The sharply deteriorating risk sentiment, also driven by generally somewhat disappointing earnings reports - particularly from LRCX - triggered another strong rotation out of chip stocks into defensive stocks, with higher oil prices significantly amplifying the effect.
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101902C
Signal/Update ist
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
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Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting with a SmartTrader Account Manager:
๐๐ Book a free intro call meeting
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๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL
LONG AFTER NYSE OPENED
โ ๏ธ Elevated Volatility; 2/3 positions size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
๐น Nasdaq 100 (-1.6%) - is losing most of its weekly gains in overnight trading as the market has shifted back into risk-off mode. Most earnings reports were solid / even positive overall, but expectations were high. META initially rallied after earnings, but sentiment turned. Concerns about the financing and profitability of AI expansion returned to the spotlight amid lower investments from TSLA and declining free cash flow (FCF). A strong record quarter from LRCX was not enough because its outlook disappointed investors. LRCX also highlighted supply chain bottlenecks. We are tightening our TP
TP
๐น Alphabet (-1.6%) - opens lower in line with losses in the tech sector. We found a strong entry range yesterday, but sentiment soured overnight as the outlook for AI revenue growth is being questioned again. Our position is initially opening at a loss. We are tightening our TP. GOOG/L is very attractive as a medium- / long-term holding.
TP
๐น JPMorgan (-0.6%) - opens lower in todayโs sea of red. Financials struggle to advance when risk sentiment deteriorates. JPM opens near our entry price. We are setting a tighter TP for now but expect a rebound that could allow us to close slightly higher. We also continue to see financials as well positioned for a strong year-end rebound.
TP
๐น Nvidia (-2.4%), Intel (-4.8%), SK Hynix (-4.7%) - are giving back a large share of their weekly gains. Following warnings from AI equipment maker LRCX about its outlook and bottlenecks, the market is once again becoming fearful of the AI sector. Investment banks continue to strongly urge investors to โBUYโ NVDA - today, for example, investment banking giant Goldman Sachs. We will adjust our positions after early NYSE trading.
โบ After several very good sessions for our portfolio, we saw a return to risk-off mode overnight and lower openings. There are, of course, dip-buying opportunities - including LRCX, which opens around 9.5% (!) lower after earnings.
โบ Our tight SL on WMT hurts again now, as we wanted to maintain some exposure to defensive stocks.
โบ The current sentiment environment is favorable for AAPL, although the stock is trading at fairly high levels. We are also looking for entries in SPCX and META.
โบ We are taking a defensive position here and choosing HD. The stock opens flat / slightly lower (just below 314) and offers significant upside as a consumer staple, while other consumer staples are opening around 1% higher.
Home Depot (HD): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by ~80โ90x (8,000%โ9,000%) โ 2/3 trade size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26102201A
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As every day - we made a mega NYSE opening trade.
Our position hit again TP after a few minutes.
No matter how busy you are and how big you want to invest:
NEVER, NEVER, NEVER MISS OUR NYSE OPENING TRADES
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