🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 52485 - 52515 (52443-52473 DJI)
OR
TP ✅ @: 52498.40 (52456.40 DJI)
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED / CLOSED IN PROFIT ⚠️📸

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29828.30 (29998.40 Dec futures)

WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
SL 🔑 @: 102.011
TP ✅ @: 100.821
⚠️ SL TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Silver (XAG/USD) ⚪️
TP ✅ @: 54.503

We are adjusting some positions based on early US trading activity. Our Dow TP was almost triggered - we want to close soon or even right here, as we can find a better re-entry anyway.

WTI is no longer looking as good - we are making a slight adjustment here. We are also tightening the TP ✅ on our silver position, which came close to hitting our TP overnight.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 969.60

► Our second MU position hit our very well-placed TP ✅📸. MU then failed to revisit the highs reached shortly after the NYSE open and fell again.

► However, we see rising support with higher lows.

► More importantly, SKHY not only held all its gains but also reached higher highs and is now up around 12% - unfortunately, another reminder of yesterday’s exit at our TP. We missed out on huge gains here.

► We can remain LONG in MU. Overall, trading remains cautious, with oil prices still weighing and the Fed’s rate decision coming later today. The BoC raised rates by 25 basis points to 2.5%, as expected. Rates therefore remain well below the current Fed policy rate of 4%.

► The rally in the memory chip giants has stronger fundamental support than many previous AI-sector rebounds. SK Hynix’s capacity commitments and, above all, its record earnings, which far exceeded already high expectations, provide very concrete evidence of extremely strong demand - rather than speculative enthusiasm.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~18-20x (1,700%-2,000%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102804A


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Apple (AAPL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅343.95 - 344.45 🔄


► After a week of huge gains in the chip sector, we are seeing some profit-taking. Strong earnings / forecasts from key companies and Anthropic’s upcoming IPO boosted related stocks such as AMZN, GOOGL, NVDA, and particularly AVGO. Defensive stocks are now benefiting, and the Dow is also outperforming the Nasdaq 100.

► AAPL is still trading around 0.5% lower today, underperforming the Nasdaq 100 / Wall Street.

► As is often the case, AAPL failed to benefit from unveiling several product updates. These include the announcement of its first touchscreen laptop, which Apple calls the “MacBook Pro with ProLED XDR Display.” Apple also introduced new iMac and MacBook Pro models with M6 chips. On Monday, Apple unveiled an iPad Mini starting at $699 - $100 more than its predecessor. Investors see upside from higher pricing, following MacBook price increases back in June and, of course, higher iPhone prices with the new generation.

► Investment banks remain broadly bullish. AAPL received an “Outperform” rating from Evercore ISI today. We expect AAPL to benefit as gains broaden beyond AI stocks and overall sentiment becomes more cautious. AAPL is unlikely to be particularly volatile. We can build a LONG position below 345.00. A stronger USD following the Fed’s rate decision could weigh somewhat on AAPL.

Apple (AAPL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 65–75x (6,500%–7,500%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102805A


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We saw AAPL a bit falling post Fed rate decision and now improved risk sentiment. However, we see AAPL in good position for a positive performance from here in the near-term.

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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 158.031
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED; closed slightly lower ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅158.290 - 158.340

► The Fed votes 10 to 2 to keep its policy rate unchanged in the 3.75%-4% range (=4%). We see a mixed reaction. Overall, however, the market is reacting to the two dissents in favor of a rate hike, which give this pause a somewhat more restrictive (= hawkish) tone. Lisa Cook joined Hammack.

► The reaction is muted but reflects the hawkish signals. We see higher yields and a stronger USD following an initial slight decline. The rise in yields is now showing signs of cooling.

► The statement is short, consistent with Fed Chair Warsh’s new approach. It acknowledges elevated inflation and inflation risks while expressing optimism about the US economy.

► USD/JPY is now trading at session highs (= a seven-day high). We can open a SHORT position here. Given high US inflation, the decision is not really more hawkish than could have been expected. Warsh is also unlikely to provide a particularly detailed outlook at the press conference - consistent with how he has handled his role so far.

► We see a slight risk-off move, indicating that the market is treating this as a hawkish signal for now.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102806A


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We found the perfect entry range for the USD/JPY post Fed rate decision.


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We have won every single FX trade in October:

✅ 08.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 22.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 23.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ 📸

13/13
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29923.30 (30093.30 Dec futures)

We are now seeing the reaction we expected and an overall risk-on move following statements from Fed Chair Warsh that revealed little. We can widen the TP on our Nasdaq 100 position again. USD/JPY has already hit our TP ✅📸 (I closed marginally lower; we found the perfect entry range against the market).

Gold, silver, and other USD-denominated assets are also rebounding for now - though that could still change heading into the US close.

The Fed under Warsh is clearly signaling that it has time to make a decision and that ongoing geopolitical tensions are the main driver of inflationary pressures. If those tensions ease, inflation would also decline. The Fed’s generally more “silent” approach under Warsh is also providing no support for the USD.

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅157.930 - 157.980

► USD/JPY is hovering slightly below the key level of 158.000. In particular, Warsh’s statement that there is broad agreement within the FOMC that the monetary medicine is starting to work is being interpreted as a clear signal that he wants to maintain a wait-and-see approach. This is especially true given his remark that the coming period will be “information-rich.”

► Warsh is clearly reluctant to send a more hawkish signal to the market.

► Warsh also added that he does not see the US economy running “too hot” and would prefer not to push people into unemployment - a signal that he is concerned higher rates could raise the unemployment rate, but in any case another of the new Fed chair’s many vague statements. He also said that economic growth, while strong, is not causing additional inflation. None of these statements are hawkish.

► Warsh is more cautious about providing guidance or making statements that could later be used against him. The market would generally prefer a Fed chair who shares more insight into the thinking within the FOMC.

► We expect a further modest weakening of the USD and can enter SHORT again slightly below the key level of 158.00.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26102806A


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 29813.40| 29983.40 Dec future)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 29550

📌 Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~170 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


► The Nasdaq 100 hit our widened TP ✅ following a jump at the NYSE close. However, mixed earnings reports pushed the Nasdaq 100 significantly lower again in after-hours trading. Concerns about extremely high AI infrastructure spending are weighing on GOOGL, its earnings, and free cash flow. Palo Alto also fell sharply following a preliminary earnings outlook. MSFT, meanwhile, surged after beating both earnings and revenue expectations. NVDA and CRWD are also weighing on the Nasdaq. We expect GOOGL to recover some of its after-hours losses.

► The broader decline in tech stocks after the close gives us an opportunity to re-enter the Nasdaq 100 - almost 400 points below our triggered TP. We are also seeing some profit-taking in other risk-sensitive assets, including cryptocurrencies, following initial gains.

► Silver also hit our TP, allowing us to close the position at an overall profit.

► We can slightly widen the TP on our gold position. Our USD/JPY position moved well into profit in after-hours trading.

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
👉 TP ✅ @: 4098.79

► Although ORCL is not part of the Nasdaq 100, its strong gains are providing tailwinds for the AI sector. ORCL reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook, including its forecast for sharp revenue growth to at least $225 billion by fiscal 2030. Truly “staggering” figures - although the market remains skeptical about ORCL.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~2.0 - 2.5x (200%-250%) - 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102808A



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🥇 GOLD or BITCOIN? 💲


THIS OR THAT #1 | PART 1 🎬

8 questions. 2 choices each. 1 investment specialist.

We put SmartTrader founder Robert Lindner on the spot in Berlin for our new This or That series.

From financial markets and investment strategies to trading psychology, Robert has to choose between two options and explain the reasoning behind his decisions.


Check the full video on our IG:
Full Video on Instagram 🌐


What's your pick? Leave a comment on Instagram.
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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 September 10 - October 28
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: September 10 - October 21
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 138 (excl. 3 open p.)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 118
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 85.5%🔽

Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (September 09)
Added to statistics: 3/4* - 75%
Signal Accuracy (October 21)
(*1 open position: GOOGL)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 21 - October 28 🔹

✅ 22.10 - HD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 317.33)
✅ 22.10 - UK100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 10723.60)
✅ 22.10 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 54.503 - overall in profit)
✅ 22.10 - UK100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 10708.10)
✅ 22.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.12052)
❌ 22.10 - MRNA - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 200.11)

3/4 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 23.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 156.819)
✅ 23.10 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 647.57 or similar)
✅ 23.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (CLSD 52425 or similar|SL-52328.40)
*🟡 23.10 - BA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 188.31 me or similar | break-even)
❌ 23.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 80127.40)

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
*excl. BA, which closed break-even or with mini-profit


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Good Morning!

Yesterday was a very busy session for markets and for us, with numerous trading decisions and position closures, including our Nasdaq 100 & INTC positions, which we had held for some time. Most of you have likely closed much earlier - please make sure that you not have an exposure that is too large for your account balance. Never lose more than 3% absolute max 5% of your balance in a position (incl. potential re-entries!).

We also closed our silver position at an overall profit after the Fed left rates unchanged again and Warsh avoided to send a particularly hawkish message.

We have raised the TP on our gold positions, but tighten a bit 👉 TP
✅ @: 4093.53. 🔄

Overall, it was a good session, with one major exception: GOOGL fell around 9% in after-hours trading following an EPS miss, concerns over Alphabet's massive AI investments and a negative free cash flow of $9.07 billion in Q3. GOOGL is now very attractive over the long term, and these investments will likely help establish Google as a leading AI company for years to come. However, concerns about the scale of AI spending will persist for a while and result in a weak performance in upcoming sessions / weeks. We expect a bit of a recovery but will work with a tight TP / close soon.

Our 🔽 signal accuracy / success rate declined as a flawless 6/6 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%) rolled out of our five-week calculation.
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 26.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 80526.40)
✅ 26.10 - LMT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 627.23)
✅ 26.10 - META - LONG ↗️ (TP - 646.79)
✅ 26.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52472.20 )
✅ 26.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 80496.90 me or similar)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 27.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52513.30 | +re-entry)
✅ 27.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 345.68)
✅ 27.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 345.68)
✅ 27.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52498.40) 🔄📸

4/4 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (WEDNESDAY) 🔹

❌ 28.10 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 102.011) 📸
✅ 28.10 - MU - LONG ↗️ (SL - 971.77) 📸
✅ 28.10 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 976.83) 📸
✅ 28.10 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 978.87) 📸
✴️ 28.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 346.82
✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 157.951 me | or 158.031) 📸
✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 157.688) 📸
✴️ 28.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 29722.30 | 29892.30 Dec future) 🔄

5/8 - (2 open positions)


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The overview looks somewhat weaker in the screenshot than the session actually was, as we we reduced our exposure very significantly today. Overall, it was actually a very good session. Our whole week has been exceptional so far, with many strong trading decisions yesterday and numerous good exits, including three MU 📸 LONGs that benefited particularly from SKHY's outstanding earnings report. I kept a INTC LONG and still see upside in early November.

Our tight WTI SL 📸 was triggered. However, in a market characterized by sharp swings, I prefer a lower success rate to accumulating excessive exposure, as we did earlier in October. Being “right” on fundamentals helps little when sentiment and sector rotation dominate price action.

We also extended our FX winning streak to 14 consecutive trades, with two successful USD/JPY SHORTs 📸.

Ideally, we would have closed our Nasdaq 100 position much earlier, but we ultimately secured a solid exit just before the index fell again. We bought that sharp dip and are now tightening our TP ✅ slightly following the mixed earnings reports.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

🔸 🇯🇵 Consumer Confidence OCT – 05:00 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇮🇹 Unemployment Rate SEP – 09:00 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 BoE Consumer Credit SEP – 09:30
🔸 🇬🇧 Mortgage Approvals SEP – 09:30
🔸 🇪🇺 Economic Sentiment OCT – 10:00
♦️ 🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index SEP (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q3 – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Personal Income MoM SEP – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Personal Spending MoM SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 GDP Price Index QoQ Adv Q3 – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims OCT/24 – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 PCE Price Index SEP (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
♦️ 🇪🇺 ECB Interest Rate Decision OCT – 13:15
♦️ 🇪🇺 Deposit Facility Rate OCT – 13:15
🔸 🇪🇺 ECB Monetary Policy Statement OCT – 13:15
♦️ 🇪🇺 ECB Press Conference OCT – 13:45
🔸 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speech OCT/29 – 15:15
🔸 🇺🇸 7-Year Treasury Note Auction OCT/29 – 17:00
🔸 🇯🇵 Unemployment Rate SEP – 23:30
🔸 🇯🇵 Industrial Production MoM Prel SEP – 23:50
🔸 🇯🇵 Retail Sales YoY SEP – 23:50

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

🌙 Amazon (AMZN) 🇺🇸
☀️ Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
☀️ Mastercard (MA) 🇺🇸
🌙 Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
☀️ Merck & Co (MRK) 🇺🇸
☀️ Caterpillar (CAT) 🇺🇸
☀️ Shell (SHEL) 🇬🇧 (reported: 🟢)
☀️ Linde (LIN) 🇮🇪
🌙 SanDisk (SNDK) 🇺🇸
🌙 Gilead Sciences (GILD) 🇺🇸
☀️ Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) 🇧🇪 (reported: 🟢)
☀️ BBVA (BBVA) 🇪🇸
☀️ Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) 🇺🇸
☀️ Altria (MO) 🇺🇸
🌙 Keyence (KYCCF) 🇯🇵
🌙 Starbucks (SBUX) 🇺🇸
🌙 Stryker (SYK) 🇺🇸
☀️ Trane Technologies (TT) 🇮🇪
☀️ ING (ING) 🇳🇱
☀️ ASE Industrial (ASX) 🇹🇼 (reported: 🟢)
☀️ Quanta Services (PWR) 🇺🇸
☀️ Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) 🇺🇸
🌙 Japan Tobacco (JAPAY) 🇯🇵
☀️ Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) 🇺🇸
☀️ Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) 🇬🇧
🌙 Mondelez International (MDLZ) 🇺🇸
☀️ Howmet Aerospace (HWM) 🇺🇸
🌙 Republic Services (RSG) 🇺🇸
🌙 Digital Realty (DLR) 🇺🇸
🌙 Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) 🇺🇸
☀️ Takeda Pharmaceutical (TAK) 🇯🇵 (reported: 🟢)
☀️ Cheniere Energy (LNG) 🇺🇸
🌙 Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) 🇺🇸
☀️ CRH (CRH) 🇮🇪
🌙 Strategy (MSTR) 🇺🇸

---

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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🌎 SmartTrader around the globe 🌎

Theo

📍 United Kingdom 🇬🇧

🏆 £124.42 in profit in just 16 minutes.
Theo followed our Wednesday SHORT signal on USD/JPY, reaching take profit in less than 20 minutes.


Theo was on a train to Heathrow Airport 🇬🇧, about to fly to Berlin for a long weekend to catch up with old friends from university for an extended weekend holiday ✈️

On the way, he spotted our USD/JPY signal and placed the trade on his phone. Just 16 minutes later, the TP was hit, securing £124.42 in profit.

The best part? That one trade on the way to the airport covered his flight to Berlin - with money left over for ... a beer! 🍻

Thanks for sharing, Theo. Enjoy Berlin and the reunion with your friends! 🕰


——————————————



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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 Silver (XAG/USD) ⚪️
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅ 52.06 - 52.26 🔄


► We closed silver yesterday at 54.50 - near the high at the NYSE close, following the Fed’s rate decision and press conference and ahead of big tech earnings, which then initially reversed sentiment.

► Following the Fed’s rate decision and Warsh’s remarks, investors are no wiser than before. He again provided little insight into what the Fed is likely to do in the coming weeks / months. Instead, he said there was more time to monitor economic data and that the current “medicine” was showing signs of working.

► The still outdated PCE data, although already affected by the sharp rise in oil prices, showed no inflation warning signs.

► Quarter-over-quarter GDP growth even exceeded expectations.

► The combination of a still-uncertain Fed outlook, with investors continuing to expect further rate hikes in the coming months, and the reversal following yesterday’s mixed earnings, which halted the strong tech rally for now, sparked some concerns about economic growth. Silver, as an industrial metal, is particularly affected.

► Sentiment toward silver is very bearish, leading to further selling in a cautious market environment.

► Nevertheless, we are buying this sharp dip with a small position, re-entering more than $2 per ounce below our triggered TP - almost 4% lower. The dip in BTC is also interesting.

► We see no warning signs from yields and are buying silver’s significant underperformance here. Further short-term selling is certainly possible, so we see this as building a position.


Silver (XAG/USD):

Multiply your usual “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 5.0–6.0 (500%–600%) – 1/2 position size, for contract size 100

Multiply your usual “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.5–0.60 (50%–60%) – 1/2 position size, for contract size 1000

Multiply your usual “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12 (10%–12%) – 1/2 position size, for contract size 5000

You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102901A


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Silver tested the $52.00 level and will remain very volatile. We see short-term a bit of rebound potential.


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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SHORT WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔽 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TP
✅ @: 951.56
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅966.00 - 968.00
(MU opened at 967.94 🔄)


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (-1.0%) - suffered sharp overnight losses amid concerns about excessive AI infrastructure spending and renewed doubts about whether revenue growth can continue. Massive AI spending significantly weighed on GOOGL’s cash flow for another quarter. Samsung - although not part of the Nasdaq - fell after a new shareholder return plan was delayed, chip division profits missed expectations, and capital expenditures increased. Strong cloud revenue growth from GOOGL and MSFT was not enough. We bought the very sharp dip. Our position is near breakeven. We see tech stocks stabilizing but prefer a tighter TP. Tech stocks will be highly volatile.
👉 TP ✅ @: 29657.40 (29827.40 Dec futures)

🔹 Apple (+1.4%) - is opening very strongly following the rally before yesterday’s NYSE close and will open well above our TP, unless it was already triggered in premarket trading. I closed pre-market at a widened TP - AAPL has risen further since. We had expected some rotation benefiting defensive stocks after excessive gains in chip stocks. Goldman Sachs recommends investors “BUY” Apple. That is exactly what we saw - a great trade. Overall, we see strong gains in defensive stocks. As a result, the Dow is trading almost flat despite heavy losses in GOOGL and CAT (down 11-12%), as well as CRM (-5.2%).
⚠️ CLOSED IN PROFIT; adjust TP ⚠️📸

🔹 Alphabet (-11.1%) - is opening sharply lower and extended its losses even further in premarket trading. There is a risk of additional panic selling, although the sell-off has already gone very far. If you had set an SL, it was triggered in after-hours trading - or at the open at the latest. We are working with a tight TP for now but are looking for an exit. Even for medium- / long-term investments, there is room for the sell-off to extend further, as these figures will keep concerns about capital expenditures elevated for much longer - even into next quarter. There are also positives for GOOGL, including cloud revenue growth and the revenue outlook for its new TPUs. Losses have become so substantial that we could initially see a technical rebound. The most important investment bank, JPMorgan, expects GOOGL to “outperform” the market. Citizens sees only “Market Perform.”
👉 TP ✅ @: 292.04

🔹 Nvidia (-0.2%) - has recovered most of its after-hours losses. We remain LONG for now, with investment banks still strongly recommending buying. We are adjusting our TP. StoneX reiterates its “BUY” rating on Nvidia.
👉 TP ✅ @: 225.63


► We are taking the opposite trade to yesterday and see some short-term correction potential in memory stocks following yesterday’s very strong gains. These pushed SKHY to a 13.3% higher close in New York and allowed us to execute three successful MU LONGs. Samsung could not deliver results comparable to SKHY’s. MU closed 5.9% higher yesterday and will likely open around 1.6% lower today - near 968.00. We see a high short-term risk of a downward move and are therefore selling at the NYSE open. Samsung closed more than 4% lower in Korea, while SK Hynix (+2.6%) managed another higher close following its huge gains in New York.


Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~18-20x (1,700%-2,000%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102802A


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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: 563.67
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅571.50 - 572.50

► Micron hit our TP ✅ within just a few minutes - I hope you were able to adjust your TP slightly. MU opened exactly where we expected, but then fell even faster than I had anticipated. This shows that sentiment in the AI sector has shifted from overly bullish back to fearful, highlighting how fragile the sector is - though we already knew that.

► We see a sharp rebound in AMD and are selling it here. We expect chip stock volatility to remain high, meaning rebounds will encounter fresh waves of profit-taking for now.

AMD (AMD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 40–50x (4,000%–5,000%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102803A

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——————————————


Insane trade(s). AMD turned around in the range we expected.

Another big reversal trade hitting TP shortly after entry.


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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Eli Lilly (LLY) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 1377.60
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅1395 - 1404


► LLY is trading more than 8% higher following strong earnings. Revenue rose a breathtaking 38.6% year over year to $24.4 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $91.5 billion at the midpoint came in 3.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

► LLY is also benefiting from sector rotation into “defensive” stocks and healthcare. I no longer see LLY as defensive, but rather as a growth stock whose huge gains are driven by a single product - its weight-loss drug or treatment.

► LLY is trading at an all-time high. We expect some profit-taking from here.

Eli Lilly (LLY): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~ 10 - 14 (1,000% - 1,400%); 1/2 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102804A


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We also made a beautiful contrarian trade with 🔼🔽LLY - selling the overgains.


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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅52180 - 52210 🔄

📌 DJI future ~42 points lower


► Although concerns in the AI sector have resurfaced following GOOGL’s enormous spending, which significantly weighed on profitability and free cash flow, there are also several positive factors: lower oil prices, lower yields, and therefore a weaker USD, alongside gains broadening beyond chip stocks = better market breadth. We are also seeing no massive panic selling in chip stocks. The huge investments are continuing, and AI stocks need to be assessed individually - because that money is flowing into AI infrastructure companies. ORCL’s outstanding earnings update and outlook also show that unprecedented revenue growth remains possible for years to come.

► The Dow is being heavily weighed down by CAT and GOOGL, although both are trading well above their session lows.
We see resistance for the Dow at 52400, but also upside potential and technically higher highs. Economically sensitive sectors such as industrials, financials, and materials are also trading higher.

► Cryptocurrencies have rebounded sharply. This also shows that risk sentiment remains resilient and that the market broadly interpreted yesterday’s Fed update as confirmation that the Fed remains in wait-and-see mode. Crypto would have been an even better trade than silver.

Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your “standard position size (EUR/USD)” by approximately 1.2-1.5x (120%-150%) - 3/4 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26102805A



Signal/Update ist ⚠️ VERZÖGERT ⚠️ um: 5️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
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🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.33735

► We are selling GBP strength here. The USD emerged somewhat weaker from the Fed decision, as investors had expected a more hawkish outlook. In reality, however, we are largely in the same situation as before.

► Lower US yields and UK gilt yields generally exceeding their US counterparts are positive factors for the GBP.

► The market also expects a BoE rate hike on November 5. The GBP received additional support from yesterday’s relatively reassuring UK budget and recent better-than-expected business activity, with services as the main driver.

► Lower oil prices also helped push the USD somewhat lower today. However, we see little room for further relief in oil prices and instead expect moderate gains again ahead of the weekend.

► US GDP growth reached 3.4% in the third quarter, slightly exceeding expectations. Monetary policy does not appear to be restraining US economic growth too severely, although we see signs of a slowdown. Nevertheless, the US economy will continue to outperform the UK economy.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26102806A


Signal/Update ist ⚠️ VERZÖGERT ⚠️ um: 1️⃣2️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
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——————————————


We hit the perfect entry here.


We have won every single FX trade in October:

✅ 08.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 09.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
✅ 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 20.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 22.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 23.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️
✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️

14/14 = 100% Success Rate 🏅


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🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯 LONG (BUY) 🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸 ⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎) TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎) Recommended Entry Range ✅52180 - 52210 🔄 📌 DJI future ~42 points lower ► Although concerns in the AI sector have resurfaced…
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.33552

Silver (XAG/USD) ⚪️
TP ✅ @: 52.602

Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
TP ✅ @: 4074.57

Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 288.09


Our Dow also hit TP (📸 I closed minimally higher), allowing us to close the position at an overall profit. If you are still LONG, you can close higher (above ✅ 52360), ideally before AMZN’s earnings report, as we already have exposure to it.

If you still hold a LONG position or bought the sharp dip, we are working with a tighter TP ✅.

It is somewhat surprising that gold / silver could not attract more buyers despite lower yields. We are working with a tighter TP for silver. We can also tighten the TP on our gold position slightly for now. 🔄

US 10-year Treasury yields are down nearly 7 basis points, showing that the market viewed yesterday’s Fed update as less hawkish than expected. We are tightening our TP ✅ for GBP/USD slightly. We found a very good entry just before the pair slipped again. However, the USD faces some headwinds from the sharp decline in US Treasury yields.


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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🏅WINNING STREAK ALERT – Forex 🔥

✔️ We’ve closed 14 winning Forex trades in a row!
🗓 From 08.10 to 28.10 – 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy!

📊 Performance Summary – Streak Overview
📈 Average % Move: +0.13%
🚀 Best: +0.22% (✅ 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️; ✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️)
🗓 Total Trades: 14


👉 All trades from the streak:
(*clickable!*)

01. ✅ 08.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
02. ✅ 09.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️
03. ✅ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
04. ✅ 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
05. ✅ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
06. ✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
07. ✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
08. ✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (+Re-entry)
09. ✅ 19.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
10. ✅ 20.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
11. ✅ 22.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️
12. ✅ 23.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
13. ✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️
14. ✅ 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️

---

Legend:
✅ Closed in profit

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