๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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Forwarded from [VIP] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข by Robert Lindner; Fundamental Trading Signals (Robert B. Lindner)
๐Ÿ”ฅ12๐Ÿค“5โค3๐Ÿค”2๐Ÿคช2
๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Micron (MU) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: (NUR VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)
TP
โœ… @: (NUR VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry โœ…near/below 851.00

โ–บ Following today's strong gains in chip stocks, we are seeing some profit-taking ahead of AMD's earnings report.

โ–บ Investors are unsettled after a series of rather mixed earnings reports. A significant portion of the recent sharp losses in AI stocks, including chip stocks, was also triggered by concerns about the sustainability of AI infrastructure investment. There are growing fears that expected revenue growth may not materialize while capital expenditures continue to rise sharply.

โ–บ SK Hynix reported outstanding earnings last week and provided a highly optimistic outlook. Although the stock has since given back a larger portion of its gains, it has delivered a strong performance today overall.

โ–บ Apple also said that high memory-chip prices are weighing on profit margins. Apple's latest statements reinforce our view that memory-chip manufacturers currently have significant pricing power. SK Hynix's earnings and outlook also confirm this trend.

โ–บ We expect strong earnings from AMD, which should differ considerably from Intel's (INTC) results.

โ–บ Regardless, we see further short-term upside potential in semiconductor stocks - particularly MU, which has recently experienced disproportionately heavy profit-taking.

โ–บ Additional profit-taking followed surprisingly strong US job openings data and the resulting increase in US Treasury yields.

โ–บ We are therefore building a small position in MU at current levels and expect increased buying interest around 850 or below. We are using an SL, but deliberately keeping it somewhat wider given the elevated volatility.

Micron (MU): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by ~18-20x (1,700%-2,000%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110308A

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Forwarded from [VIP] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข by Robert Lindner; Fundamental Trading Signals (Robert B. Lindner)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ If you could only choose between the two major U.S. political parties, who would you vote for?
Anonymous Poll
63%
๐Ÿ”ต Democrats
37%
๐Ÿ”ด Republicans
๐Ÿ‘8โค5๐Ÿ‘5๐Ÿค”1
๐Ÿ”น FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days ๐Ÿ”น

๐Ÿ—“ September 23 - November 03
๐Ÿ’ฏ Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


๐Ÿ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: September 23 - October 27
(= 25 full trading days)

๐Ÿ”น Number of Trades/Signals: 132 (excl. 2 open p.)
๐Ÿ”น Number of Trades Won: 110
๐Ÿ”น Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 83.3%๐Ÿ”ฝ

Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100% ๐Ÿ’Ž Signal Accuracy (September 22)
Added to statistics: 4/4 - 100%
๐Ÿ’Ž Signal Accuracy (October 27)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


๐Ÿ”น The last 5 trading days: October 28 - November 03 ๐Ÿ”น

โŒ 28.10 - USOIL - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (SL - 102.011)
โœ… 28.10 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 971.77)
โœ… 28.10 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 976.83)
โœ… 28.10 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 978.87)
โœ… 28.10 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 348.52 me |346.82 + gap)
โœ… 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 157.951 me | or 158.031)
โœ… 28.10 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 157.688)
โœด๏ธ 28.10 - NAS100 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 28635.70 (28806 Dec futures) ๐Ÿ”„

6/8 - (1 open position)

โŒ 29.10 - XAG/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 51.139 or 50.740 | +re-entry in profit)
โœ… 29.10 - MU - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 951.56)
โœ… 29.10 - AMD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 563.67)
โœ… 29.10 - LLY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 1377.60)
โœ… 29.10 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP-52329.90 me|or 52314.90|overall - in-profit)
โœด๏ธ 29.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (open - off-profit; pot. re-entry in profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 1.33863 ๐Ÿ”„

4/6 - (1 open position)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


It was an outstanding session for us, although there were only few changes in this section of the overview.

NVDA closed higher and extended its gains in after-hours trading after AMD delivered exceptional earnings as we expected and well above analysts expectations. Revenue jumped 45%, while data center sales nearly doubled from a year earlier. Many investors had feared an INTC-style sell-off - not understanding that data center sales (AI chips) is where the growth potential for AMD is. The Nasdaq had a strong session, while precious metals were more mixed as yields rose after job openings data pointed to a resilient U.S. labor market and, by extension, a healthy broader economy.

We are tightening our GBP/USD TP
โœ… slightly, while still targeting an overall profitable exit. We are widening our Nasdaq TP โœ… slightly, as we expect AMD's results to provide further support for chip stocks tomorrow.

Our
๐Ÿ”ฝ success rate edged slightly lower as a flawless 6/6 session ๐Ÿ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%) was replaced by last Tuesday's perfect 4/4 session ๐Ÿ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%).
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๐Ÿ”น OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days ๐Ÿ”น

โœ… 30.10 - USD/JPY - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 157.421)
โœ… 30.10 - AMD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 511.66)
โœ… 30.10 - AAPL - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 346.87)
โœ… 30.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 1.11502 or clsd ~1.11610)
โœ… 30.10 - AMD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 503.54)
โœ… 30.10 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (clsd 51825 - 51845)

6/6 = 100% ๐Ÿ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

โœ… 2.11 - DAX_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 25915.90 me or 25886.90)
โœด๏ธ 2.11 - BTC/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 78066.70
โœ… 2.11 - AVGO - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 331.69)
โœ… 2.11 - DAX_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 25979.90)
โœ… 2.11 - USD/JPY - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 157.747) ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 2.11 - CVX - SHORT โ†˜๏ธ (TP - 227.26) ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ“ธ
โŒ 2.11 - SPX500 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (SL - 7524.70) ๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿ“ธ

5/7 - (1 open positions)


๐Ÿ”นTODAY'S TRADES (TUESDAY) ๐Ÿ”น

โœ…
3.11 - XAG/USD - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 50.189 me | or 49.97) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - SPX500 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 7578.40) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - SPX500 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 7584.60) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœด๏ธ 3.11 - DAX_40 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - off-profit | re-entry ๐Ÿ”„)
๐Ÿ‘‰ TP โœ… @: 25919.70 (25899 GDAXI) ๐Ÿ”„
โœ… 3.11 - PLTR - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 170.43) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - PLTR - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 173.92) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœ… 3.11 - US30 - LONG โ†—๏ธ (TP - 51892.70) ๐Ÿ“ธ
โœด๏ธ 3.11 - MU - LONG โ†—๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 828.79 | TP โœ… @: 878.47

6/8 - (2 open positions)


โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”


What a session for us!
๐Ÿš€

It started even with a setback: the S&P 500 hit our relatively tight SL ๐Ÿ”‘ during Asian / early European trading before rebounding well above our entry. We more than made up for it with two successful S&P 500 LONGs ๐Ÿ“ธ and a winning Dow trade ๐Ÿ“ธ. Our DAX position is still trading at a loss. We see room for a little more downside and can re-enter in the
๐Ÿ”ผ 25660 - 25710 range. We are tightening our DAX TP โœ….

Our first two new trades of the day, silver ๐Ÿ“ธ and the S&P 500 ๐Ÿ“ธ, both hit their TPs within minutes, giving us two strong gains early on. I closed silver a little higher.

Our NYSE opening trade was once again a standout, this time with an exceptionally large profit. We traded PLTR ๐Ÿ“ธ against the prevailing market move, then followed up with a LONG. PLTR went on to rebound even further.

Congrats on today's huge profits and great timing.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US MIDTERMS UPDATE

The Republican Party is facing a devastating election night.

Prediction markets on Kalshihave surged to 99% in favor of Democrats taking control of BOTH the House and Senate
๐Ÿ“ธ, with the probability of a complete Democratic sweep approaching 100%.

We had anticipated an extreme - never seen before Democratic victory and developments so far point to exactly that - if not even worse for the Republicans.


โ–บ The implications for Trump will be enormous. Democrats are about to secure both chambers and will become a lame-duck president in legislative terms for the remaining two years of his presidency. His ability to advance major parts of his domestic agenda will be severely constrained, while Democrats would gain powerful tools to investigate his administration, scrutinize executive decisions challenge government spending.

Perhaps even more consequential would be the changing political dynamics within the Republican Party itself. A sufficiently severe defeat will very likely undermine Trump's authority over his own party. Republican lawmakers, including some previously loyal "MAGA" supporters, may increasingly question whether continued unconditional support for Trump serves their political interests ahead of the 2028 elections. Internal divisions will intensify, particularly if Republicans conclude that the president's policies contributed to their electoral losses -> In reality Trump is the one and only reason.


โ–บ A politically weakened Trump would likely not mean a less confrontational presidency. With his legislative options restricted, he could rely more heavily on executive powers, tariffs and foreign policy, areas in which the president retains considerable discretion. This creates some additional uncertainty, particularly given the fragile geopolitical situation. At the same time, stronger congressional opposition / potentially declining Republican unity will constrain some of his decisions.


โ–บ For financial markets, the initial implications are mixed, but we see headwinds for equities. US stock futures have already come under some pressure as the prospect of a Democratic sweep has strengthened, with tech stocks particularly vulnerable. Markets generally like a split scenario - in which neither party can push agendas through without the need to get bi-partisan support.

Democratic control of Congress will likely result in significantly greater scrutiny of major technology companies, artificial intelligence, data-center expansion and corporate market power. This comes also at a sensitive time, with investors already questioning the sustainability of enormous AI infrastructure investments and the ability of companies to generate sufficient returns on that spending. However, I would not overstate this, US tech / AI companies remain well ahead of competition - the money is and will be in the US to push technology forward.

There could also be renewed political pressure for higher corporate taxes / tighter regulation. Actual tax increases would face major legislative obstacles, including Trump's presidential veto, but even the prospect of future policy changes could weigh on valuations.

โ–บ US Treasuries could benefit from a different set of expectations. A Democratic-controlled Congress would severely restrict Trump's ability to introduce additional deficit-financed tax cuts and other major fiscal initiatives. This could ease some concerns about the trajectory of US borrowing and provide support for longer-dated government bonds.

However, this is not an entirely straightforward development for bonds. Political gridlock will also complicate budget negotiations and future debt-ceiling discussions. Inflation, Fed policy, US economic growth will remain of course important drivers of yields.


โ–บ This is a fundamental shift in Washington's balance of power. Instead of governing with Republican majorities in both chambers, Trump will face two years of congressional opposition + growing resistance from within his own party.

Meanwhile Trump is shooting even against FOX News ๐Ÿ“ธ - he is losing it...
๐Ÿ”ฅ7โค3๐Ÿ‘3๐Ÿพ1
Forwarded from [VIP] ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง SmartTraderโ„ข by Robert Lindner; Fundamental Trading Signals (Robert B. Lindner)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US MIDTERMS UPDATE

The Republican Party is facing a devastating election night.

Prediction markets on Kalshihave surged to 99% in favor of Democrats taking control of BOTH the House and Senate
๐Ÿ“ธ, with the probability of a complete Democratic sweep approaching 100%.

We had anticipated an extreme - never seen before Democratic victory and developments so far point to exactly that - if not even worse for the Republicans.


โ–บ The implications for Trump will be enormous. Democrats are about to secure both chambers and will become a lame-duck president in legislative terms for the remaining two years of his presidency. His ability to advance major parts of his domestic agenda will be severely constrained, while Democrats would gain powerful tools to investigate his administration, scrutinize executive decisions challenge government spending.

Perhaps even more consequential would be the changing political dynamics within the Republican Party itself. A sufficiently severe defeat will very likely undermine Trump's authority over his own party. Republican lawmakers, including some previously loyal "MAGA" supporters, may increasingly question whether continued unconditional support for Trump serves their political interests ahead of the 2028 elections. Internal divisions will intensify, particularly if Republicans conclude that the president's policies contributed to their electoral losses -> In reality Trump is the one and only reason.


โ–บ A politically weakened Trump would likely not mean a less confrontational presidency. With his legislative options restricted, he could rely more heavily on executive powers, tariffs and foreign policy, areas in which the president retains considerable discretion. This creates some additional uncertainty, particularly given the fragile geopolitical situation. At the same time, stronger congressional opposition / potentially declining Republican unity will constrain some of his decisions.


โ–บ For financial markets, the initial implications are mixed, but we see headwinds for equities. US stock futures have already come under some pressure as the prospect of a Democratic sweep has strengthened, with tech stocks particularly vulnerable. Markets generally like a split scenario - in which neither party can push agendas through without the need to get bi-partisan support.

Democratic control of Congress will likely result in significantly greater scrutiny of major technology companies, artificial intelligence, data-center expansion and corporate market power. This comes also at a sensitive time, with investors already questioning the sustainability of enormous AI infrastructure investments and the ability of companies to generate sufficient returns on that spending. However, I would not overstate this, US tech / AI companies remain well ahead of competition - the money is and will be in the US to push technology forward.

There could also be renewed political pressure for higher corporate taxes / tighter regulation. Actual tax increases would face major legislative obstacles, including Trump's presidential veto, but even the prospect of future policy changes could weigh on valuations.

โ–บ US Treasuries could benefit from a different set of expectations. A Democratic-controlled Congress would severely restrict Trump's ability to introduce additional deficit-financed tax cuts and other major fiscal initiatives. This could ease some concerns about the trajectory of US borrowing and provide support for longer-dated government bonds.

However, this is not an entirely straightforward development for bonds. Political gridlock will also complicate budget negotiations and future debt-ceiling discussions. Inflation, Fed policy, US economic growth will remain of course important drivers of yields.


โ–บ This is a fundamental shift in Washington's balance of power. Instead of governing with Republican majorities in both chambers, Trump will face two years of congressional opposition + growing resistance from within his own party.

Meanwhile Trump is shooting even against FOX News ๐Ÿ“ธ - he is losing it...
โค4๐Ÿ‘3๐Ÿพ2๐Ÿคช2
Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ RatingDog Services PMI OCT โ€“ 01:45 (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Change OCT โ€“ 08:00 (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P Global Services PMI OCT โ€“ 08:15 (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น S&P Global Services PMI OCT โ€“ 08:45 (reported: ๐ŸŸข)
โ™ฆ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Inflation Rate Flash OCT (MoM/YoY) โ€“ 10:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Core Inflation Rate Flash OCT (YoY) โ€“ 10:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ADP Employment Change OCT โ€“ 13:15
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Balance of Trade OCT โ€“ 13:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Balance of Trade SEP โ€“ 13:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Exports AUG โ€“ 13:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Imports AUG โ€“ 13:30
โ™ฆ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Services PMI OCT โ€“ 15:00
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change OCT/30 โ€“ 15:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change OCT/30 โ€“ 15:30
๐Ÿ”ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes โ€“ 23:50

๐Ÿ”ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โ™ฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐Ÿ”ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ŸŸก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ŸŸข = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

๐ŸŒ™ Arm Holdings (ARM) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง (reported: ๐Ÿ”ด)
โ˜€๏ธ McDonald's (MCD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Novo Nordisk (NVO) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
๐ŸŒ™ Qualcomm (QCOM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Uber (UBER) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ McKesson (MCK) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ CVS Health (CVS) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Mitsubishi (MSBHF) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (reported: ๐ŸŸข)
โ˜€๏ธ Itochu (ITOCY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต (reported: ๐ŸŸข)
โ˜€๏ธ Emerson Electric (EMR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ NTT (NTTYY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
โ˜€๏ธ Mitsui & Company (MITSY) ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
๐ŸŒ™ MercadoLibre (MELI) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท
๐ŸŒ™ Motorola Solutions (MSI) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Datadog (DDOG) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ AppLovin (APP) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Manulife Financial (MFC) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
๐ŸŒ™ Allstate (ALL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ W.W. Grainger (GWW) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Cencora (COR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ MetLife (MET) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Aflac (AFL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Cenovus Energy (CVE) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
๐ŸŒ™ Vivmark (VMRK) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Sun Life Financial (SLF) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
โ˜€๏ธ Medline (MDLN) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Revolution Medicines (RVMD) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Coherent (COHR) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โ˜€๏ธ BMW (BMWKY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ Royalty Pharma (RPRX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Expedia (EXPE) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ TKO Group Holdings (TKO) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐ŸŒ™ Nutrien (NTR) ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
โ˜€๏ธ Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
โ˜€๏ธ Fresenius (FSNUY) ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
โ˜€๏ธ SharkNinja (SN) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

---

SmartTraderโ„ข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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๐Ÿ”ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ๐Ÿ’ฐ
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range
โœ…77900 - 78100


โ–บ Markets were overly nervous during the US midterm elections. Risk appetite has since rebounded strongly, as we expected, helped by AMDโ€™s strong quarterly results. The chipmaker has given back most of its after-hours gains, though, and is now up โ€œonlyโ€ about 2%. The prospect of a โ€œblue waveโ€ is weighing somewhat on chip and AI stocks as investors consider the possibility of tighter regulatory scrutiny.

โ–บ Our BTC position hit its TP ๐Ÿ“ธ, as did our DAX position, for a large combined profit.

โ–บ Yields have fallen as divided government looks increasingly likely in Washington: The White House remains in Republican hands, while Democrats are on track to win majorities in both chambers of Congress. That would make it harder to pass further tax cuts or deficit-financed stimulus measures.

โ–บ A weaker USD is also supporting BTC and other risk assets. Precious metals are up sharply, with silver outpacing gold. Weโ€™re keeping the TP on our gold position unchanged for now (โœ… @: 4067.43). Gold has already come close to that level.

โ–บ Oil prices have also fallen, with Brent down about 1.7%. The market expects Trump to face more obstacles in pursuing his goals in the Middle East.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approximately 0.35โ€“0.40x (35%โ€“40%). Cryptocurrencies should always be traded with caution. Short-term moves of 5% or more are possible at any time. 3/4 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110401A

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We booked huge (!) profits in the VIP channel, including two more MEGA trades at the NYSE open: our SPCX LONG and CVX SHORT both hit their TPs โœ….

With markets this volatile, weโ€™re focusing our updates on the VIP channel.

Itโ€™s a real shame our TRIAL members missed these trades. You can join VIP for FREE to receive our signals and updates without delay.

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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Nikkei 225 ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range
โœ…62750 - 62900

โ–บ Uncertainty over the outcome of the US midterm elections triggered sharp losses in overnight trading in New York and weighed on markets worldwide. European markets have since more than recovered their losses: the DAX is up 1.8% today, the CAC is up 1.9%, and the FTSE 100 is up 1.7%. We see room for further gains. The rebound came a little too late for Asia.

โ–บ In Asia, the tech-heavy markets in Japan and Taiwan closed lower. South Koreaโ€™s Kospi rebounded to close in positive territory despite its heavy weighting in chip stocks. Chipmakers werenโ€™t behind the recovery: Samsung and SK Hynix both closed lower.

โ–บ We see significant room for a further rebound. The Nikkei is also benefiting from the continued decline in oil prices. A weaker US dollar is a modest headwind for both Europe and Japan, as the euro and yen have strengthened against it.

โ–บ The Nikkei is trading slightly lower after hours, hovering around 63000. We see further upside.

โ–บ I see the Democratsโ€™ decisive election victory as a positive for markets because it reduces political uncertainty overall. The margins are too wide for Trump to credibly claim election fraud - although he will blame the losses on the media and โ€œfake news.โ€

โ–บ The Democrats will control both the House and the Senate, while the White House will remain in Republican hands. Markets generally like this kind of political gridlock.

โ–บ Investors remain skeptical, with selling concentrated in chip stocks. We expect some further selling at first, followed by a rebound.

Nikkei 225: Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. 130โ€“150x (13,000โ€“15,000) if the contract size = 1 (!!!). Adjust accordingly if your broker uses a higher contract size (e.g., if contract size is 100, divide by 100) โ€“ 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110402A


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We found the PERFECT entry on this one.


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๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Startrader (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
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๐Ÿ”น NYSE OPENING UPDATE ๐Ÿ”น


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING ๐Ÿ”ผ SpaceX (SPCX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP โœ… @: 136.89
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ธ


Recommended Entry โœ…near 133.00
๐Ÿ”„ SPCX opened at 133.24 (low was 133.14)

๐Ÿ”ฐ
VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
SHORT EARLY NYSE TRADING ๐Ÿ”ฝ Chevron (CVX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP โœ… @: 219.06
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ธ

Recommended Entry โœ…222.50 - 223.50
๐Ÿ”„ CVX opened at 222.56 (high was 223.01)



๐Ÿ”น Nasdaq 100 (+0.6%) - The index is recovering some of its overnight losses. The prospect of Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress raised concerns about tighter restrictions on data center construction and stricter AI regulations. SPCX and TSLA plunged, weighing heavily on the Nasdaq 100. Musk was one of the most vocal Republican supporters. AMD has given back most of its after-hours gains: after rising more than 10% at one point overnight, the stock is opening โ€œonlyโ€ about 1.8% higher. A strong rebound in AAPL and solid gains in MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL and META are supporting the Nasdaq. Our TP remains unchanged (โœ… @: 28635.70 | 28806 for December futures).

๐Ÿ”น Alphabet (+1.8%) - The stock is opening sharply higher. If youโ€™re still LONG: TP โœ… @: 288.43 ๐Ÿ”„
โš ๏ธ TP TRIGGERED โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ”น Micron (-2.6%) - Concerns about tighter regulation are weighing on MU. The stock was up around 5% at one point overnight. If your broker provides after-hours quotes, your position hit its TP. Otherwise, your SL could be triggered at the NYSE open, with MU opening near 832. You can widen your SL and tighten your TP. We expect a rebound.
๐Ÿ‘‰ SL ๐Ÿ”‘ @: 815.69 | TP โœ… @: 851.76 (if possible)
โš ๏ธ CLOSED IN PREVIOUS SL โš ๏ธ

๐Ÿ”น Nvidia (-1.2%) - NVDA is opening lower after giving back its overnight gains. The outlook remains positive. We could see further profit-taking in the chip sector in the short term, but we expect chip stocks to stabilize after that.


โ–บ Muskโ€™s strong support for Republicans and his sharp attacks on candidates such as Abdul El-Sayed (Michigan) and James Talarico (Texas) are backfiring. SPCX has been hit particularly hard. In our view, the stock is oversold, and the selling is driven almost entirely by sentiment.

โ–บ Weโ€™re buying the sharp dip in SPCX and expect a rebound. The stock is trading around 132.00 in the premarket. Morgan Stanley says the stock is now โ€œcheaperโ€ given its strong earnings growth and recommends overweighting SPCX.

โ–บ Weโ€™re also looking to buy dips in chip stocks. We think the market is overreacting.

โ–บ We see significant further downside in the short term for CVX and the energy sector as a whole. Republican policies are generally more favorable to the sector, and energy prices are falling sharply again. CVX is opening about 0.8% lower. We expect it to fall further right away.

SpaceX (SPCX): Multiply your standard EUR/USD position size by approximately 130-140x (13,000%-14,000%) - 1/2 position size.

Chevron (CVX): Multiply your standard EUR/USD position size by approximately 120-130x (12,000%-13,000%) - 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110403A

position code / 100% Transparency - 26110404A


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๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Startrader (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Micron (MU) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TP
โœ… @: 836.39
โš ๏ธ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED; closed a bit higher โš ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ธ

Recommended Entry โœ…near/below 818.00

โ–บ If MU didnโ€™t hit your TP in after-hours trading, your SL was unfortunately triggered at the open. If you adjusted your SL or your position is still open, you can stay LONG. Despite the heavy selling, we expect an initial rebound toward 840.

โ–บ Weโ€™re buying this further dip in MU. We also see a very attractive entry in AMD near ๐Ÿ”ผ 476 (optional trade). AMD is now down on the day. We expect a rebound in AMD, which would also matter for other chip stocks, including NVDA. Nvidia fell a little over 1% further after the open, but we expect that decline to be temporary.

โ–บ For now, weโ€™re going with MU and re-entering here.

Micron (MU): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by ~21-23x (2,100%-2,300%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110405A


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Please remember that in just a few minutes, we make profits that most people would have to work days or even weeks to earn. Please always share some of your profits with people in need.

A PERFECT entry on MU.


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โšก๏ธ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE ๐Ÿ•ฏ
Nasdaq 100 (US100) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
TP โœ… @: 28773.90 (28604 Dec' Fut)

Gold (XAU/USD) ๐ŸŸก
TP โœ… @: 4076.43

We like the outlook here for Gold and the Nasdaq 100. Our Nikkei position is in profit. BTC just hit TP for a nice profit we may see BTC rise a bit further but it will likely hit a bit of resistance in the 79.5K - 80K range.

MU already hit TP - if you are still LONG close in the range โœ… 846 - 850 for mega profits. AMD at near 476 would have been the perfect entry indeed - if you went LONG in AMD you can work with TP โœ… @: 512.97 for huge profits.


โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED โš ๏ธ by 2๏ธโƒฃ4๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ+ minutes! โš ๏ธ
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๐Ÿ–ฅ PU Prime (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
๐Ÿ–ฅ Startrader (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŒ)
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๐Ÿ“ˆ STOCKS or REAL ESTATE? ๐Ÿข

THIS OR THAT #1 | PART 2 ๐ŸŽฌ

8 more questions. 2 choices each. 1 investment specialist.

Still in Berlin with SmartTrader founder Robert Lindner for Part 2 of our This or That series.

From investment strategies and market timing to trading psychology and risk management, Robert faces 8 more decisions and explains the reasoning behind his choices.

Check out the full video on our IG:

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full Video on Instagram - Pt. II ๐ŸŒ

What's your pick? STOCKS or REAL ESTATE? Leave a comment on Instagram!
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๐Ÿ”ฐ VIP SIGNAL ๐Ÿ•ฏ
LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Marvell (MRVL) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TP โœ… @: (ONLY VIP ๐Ÿ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range โœ…156.10 - 157.50 ๐Ÿ”„

โ–บ Chip stocks are seeing some renewed selling, but we still see room for a rebound and find MU, AMD and NVDA attractive. Weโ€™d consider re-entering MU, or also AMD. However, we donโ€™t want to overtrade.

โ–บ The sharp sell-off in MRVL has created an attractive entry. The stock is still down more than 6% on the day. Weโ€™re choosing MRVL despite its high volatility because we expect a short-term rebound.

โ–บ Marvellโ€™s proposed acquisition values Lumentum at $115 billion including debt, with an equity value of approximately $80 billion. Marvell will issue 4.5 shares of its common stock for each Lumentum share. The deal has weighed heavily on MRVL, but we now see room for a rebound.

Marvell (MRVL): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by approx. ~110โ€“120x (11,000%โ€“12,000%) โ€“ 1/2 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110406A


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โš ๏ธ NYSE CLOSING ...โš ๏ธ


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MRVL fell a little further ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ


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LONG (BUY) ๐Ÿ”ผ Micron (MU) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size;
TP
โœ… @: 823.97

Recommended Entry โœ…near/below 805.00 ๐Ÿ”„

โ–บ Chip stocks fell further as investors rotated into consumer stocks following the plunge in oil prices. The Trump administration, through JD Vanceโ€™s post on X, acknowledged that the war with Iran was the biggest drag on Republicans in the elections. That has raised expectations that the administration may now do more to end the war. Trump reportedly asked his advisers whether Hegseth should step down as secretary of defense. That would fit Trumpโ€™s pattern of blaming others for defeats, though I still think an immediate departure is unlikely.

โ–บ MU resumed its decline and briefly slipped below $800. Weโ€™re seeing early signs of a recovery, especially in chip stocks like NVDA, which are generally less sensitive to swings in market sentiment. Selling persisted a little longer in more risk-sensitive names like MU and MRVL. Weโ€™re LONG MRVL, and the position is currently at a loss.

โ–บ Significantly lower oil prices are supporting stocks overall, but they matter less for AI stocks. Thatโ€™s one reason consumer stocks and European markets are outperforming.

Micron (MU): Multiply your โ€œstandard (EUR/USD)โ€ position size by ~21-23x (2,100%-2,300%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110407A



โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED โš ๏ธ by 1๏ธโƒฃ8๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ+ minutes! โš ๏ธ
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โš ๏ธ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED โš ๏ธ


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SHORT (SELL)๐Ÿ”ฝ Chevron (CVX) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
โš ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP โœ… @: 214.53

Recommended Entry โœ…near 217.40

โš ๏ธ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED โš ๏ธ


โ–บ Given the recent plunge in oil prices, Iโ€™d normally prefer COP or APA for an energy short. Both have earnings coming up, though, which adds risk: high energy prices last quarter mean theyโ€™re likely to report very strong, possibly record results. OXY is also more sensitive to oil price swings than CVX.

โ–บ APA and OXY have already seen heavy selling and are further along in their corrections. CVX has held up relatively well for good reason: Chevron recently reported strong quarterly results and could expand its oil production in Venezuela. Still, I think expectations for the additional revenue that expansion could generate over the medium term are too high.

โ–บ We already shorted CVX successfully at todayโ€™s NYSE open (see todayโ€™s NYSE opening trades ๐Ÿ“ธ). As oil prices fell further, energy stocks sold off sharply as well.

โ–บ CVX has since rebounded and is trading about 1.5% above its session low. We can go SHORT again before the NYSE close.

Chevron (CVX): Multiply your standard EUR/USD position size by approximately 120-130x (12,000%-13,000%) - 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26110408A

โš ๏ธ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED โš ๏ธ

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