Trump’s Iran War Is Hitting the Same Political Wall

The new polling is brutal, and it reads like a warning that the war has already lost the country even if the White House is still pretending otherwise. A Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos survey says 61 percent of Americans call the Iran campaign a mistake, with support among Republicans still strong but the country overall leaning sharply toward disapproval.

That is the core contradiction of Trump’s war. Inside the MAGA camp, the conflict still has defenders. Outside it, most Americans see an expensive mess, a recession risk, and a conflict with no convincing endgame.

The economic anxiety is doing real damage. More than half of respondents say the war has increased recession risk, and large numbers say they are already changing how they drive, travel, and spend at home because of higher prices.

What makes this worse for Trump is that the comparison is now historical. When a war reaches Iraq- and Vietnam-era disapproval levels only two months in, that is not a dip in popularity. That is a legitimacy problem.

Trump keeps talking like the answer is to squeeze Iran harder until it “cries uncle.” The polling says a large part of America is already tired of hearing that line, and even more tired of paying for it.

#Trump #Iran #polling #USpolitics #war #economy

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Choose Your Channel, Choose Your Majority

Israel’s election has three different parliaments on screen. Only one gives Netanyahu a government.

Channel 14 projects 30 seats for Likud and 62 for its right-wing bloc. The other two polls put Likud at 21 and 17 seats and leave Netanyahu’s bloc short of the 61 needed for a majority.

Channel 16 advertises more than 5,000 respondents and a 1.4% margin of error. It gives the coalition 52 seats. Channel 14 gives it 62. A bigger sample shrinks random error. It does not explain why two polls describe such different electorates.

Eisenkot’s Yashar leads in two of the polls. Yet the anti-Netanyahu Zionist parties reach only 50 or 52 seats there, with the Arab parties counted separately. Finishing first is easier than forming the promised replacement government.

Netanyahu’s camp gets a majority on Channel 14. His opponents get first place elsewhere.

#IsraelElections #Polling #Netanyahu #Eisenkot

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