❗️ COVER LETTER #FEDERAL SERIES

▫️Economic activity continues to grow at a solid pace.
▫️Job growth has slowed.
▫️Unemployment has increased but remains low.
▫️Inflation is steadily moving toward the 2% target.
▫️The risks to the Fed's dual mandate are balanced (inflation/labor market).
▫️The economic outlook is uncertain.
▫️The Fed's further monetary policy depends on macro data.
▫️The Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet (#QT).
▫️This year, the Fed expects two more rate cuts of 25 bp each.
▫️Fed Rate Forecast = 3.4% by end-2025.
▫️Inflation Forecast = 2.3% by end-2024 (previously = 2.6%).
▫️GDP Forecast = 2% by end-2024 (previously = 2.1%).
▫️Unemployment Forecast = 4.4% by end-2024 (previously = 4%).

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