Michael A. Horowitz
Yesterday we saw a clear effort by the #Houthis to further escalate tensions in the #RedSea. The group carried out four attacks, including three against civilian shipping (one that forced the crew to abandon ship) and another against a US drone.

This could be a response to the re-designation of the Houthi as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist group, but I also think this may stem from Iran's growing reliance on the group as the tip of the spear of the #Gaza response

The spike in Houthi attacks comes as all other avenues of Iranian-tied response carry with them growing risk:
(1) The Hezbollah-Israel dynamic is becoming extremely dangerous - even more than before.
(2) Following the US strikes in response to the death of three US soldiers, attacks against US bases and force in Iraq and Syria have stopped. This probably won't last, but showed the risk associated with these attacks have increase.
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OSINTdefender
RT @Schizointel: 22FEB2024 Updated Infographic of Houthi Missiles, Drones, USV's, UUV'S, Boat launches/interceptions.

Total Interceptions/Strikes by US and Coalition Forces.
5x ASCM
7x LACM
12x ASBM
101x UAV
14x USV
3x Speed boats
1x UUV
28x ASBM Launch Sites
50x ASCM Launch Sites
4x LACM Launch Sites
18x Drones Launch Site
2x SAM
1+ Radar Site
2+ Helicopters

Total Missiles, UAV, USV launched by Houthis
5x ASCM
7x LACM
52x ASBM
122x Drones
2x USV

Total ASBM fired and or destroyed on ground 80.
Total ASCM fired and or destroyed on ground 55.
Total LACM fired and or destroyed on ground 11.
Total UAV fired and or destroyed on ground 140.
Total USV launched and or destroyed in port 14.
Total UUV launched and or destroyed
1. #Israel #Navy #RedSea #persiangulf #gulfofoman #gulfofaden #arabiansea #Gaza #Palestine #Houthis #Somalipirates #piracy #MaritimeSecurity #AntiPiracy
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The Intel Crab
RT @TheOsintBunker: COMING SOON: S1E05 @TheOsintBunker News Snapshots ft. @DefenceGeek @Osinttechnical @AnAustinThing2 @geoallison and guest @All_Source_News discussing #RedSea shipping, #Haiti Crisis and Wars in #Gaza and #Ukraine
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Nuno Felix
RT @ianellisjones: Incredible infographics & insight from @Schizointel on military activity in the Middle East:

11MAR2024 Updated Infographic of Houthi Missiles, Drones, USV's, UUV'S, Boat launches/interceptions.

Total Interceptions/Strikes by US and Coalition Forces.
5x ASCM
9x LACM
14x ASBM
147x UAV
18x USV
3x Speed boats
1x UUV
33x ASBM Launch Sites
71x ASCM Launch Sites
4x LACM Launch Sites
23x Drones on ground
3x+ SAM
3+ Radar Site
2+ Helicopters

Total Missiles, UAV, USV launched by Houthis
5x ASCM
9x LACM
62x ASBM
175x Drones
2x USV

Total ASBM fired and or destroyed on ground 95.
Total ASCM fired and or destroyed on ground 76.
Total LACM fired and or destroyed on ground 11.
Total UAV fired and or destroyed on ground 201.
Total USV launched and or destroyed in port 18.
Total UUV launched and or destroyed
1.

Causalities
3x Civilian Merchant Sailors killed
4x Civilian Merchant Sailors wounded
1x Civilian Merchant Ship sunk
13~ Civilian Merchant Ships damaged

#Israel #Navy #RedSea #persiangulf #gulfofoman #gulfofaden #arabiansea #Gaza #Palestine #Houthis #Somalipirates #piracy #MaritimeSecurity #AntiPiracy - Intelschizo
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Nuno Felix
RT @camalees: Mas alguém tinha dúvidas que o ataque terrorista de 7.10 não se encontra enquadrado num contexto mais amplo ? Desestabilizar o Ocidente é um dos objetivos da guerra híbrida russa.

No coincidence with crisis in #RedSea: Yemeni Houthi rebels cooperate with Russia and China in order to weaken the Western states and to destroy the unipolar world concept, Houthi Politburo member Ali al-Qahoum said, quoted by Russian official media TASS. #Velsig #geopolitics - Velina Tchakarova
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @arabnews: #BREAKING: #Iranian navy says its forces will accompany Iranian commercial ships in the #RedSea in light of the existing tension arab.news/geg84
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Nuno Felix
RT @ChowdahHill: Here’s a 19-yr old master-at-arms from Atlanta, GA who proudly serves her country while fighting in the #RedSea. Her mom wanted her to tell her, “I love you more than there are stars in the sky.” Her message back: “Love you mom. It’s quite the experience out here, but I’ve made good friends on the ‘boat’!” 🇺🇸🫡 #ILikeIKE
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Nuno Felix
Outstanding work.

Behold - Peak Badass!! 🤙🏻

A female Naval Aviator from the "Fighting Swordsmen" (VFA-32) @TheCVN69 (USS #Eisenhower) during her deployment in the #RedSea, became the first US female to score a combat air-to-air kill.

(And the haters just can't help themselves in the comments!) - Ric CoIe 🇬🇧
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Nuno Felix
RT @ric_cole: Behold - Peak Badass!! 🤙🏻

A female Naval Aviator from the "Fighting Swordsmen" (VFA-32) @TheCVN69 (USS #Eisenhower) during her deployment in the #RedSea, became the first US female to score a combat air-to-air kill.

(And the haters just can't help themselves in the comments!)
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Nuno Felix
RT @hissgoescobra: Cool stuff. The Ukraine War has proven again that women are very capable n combat roles. I still think female snipers have a slight edge over men.

An unnamed Naval Aviator from the "Fighting Swordsmen" of VFA-32, deployed aboard @TheCVN69 (USS #Eisenhower) during her deployment in the #RedSea, became the first American female to score an air-to-air kill in combat. | @docinkc - Faytuks Network
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Michael A. Horowitz
EU-led naval mission reports on the rescue of the crew of the MV SOUNION, which was likely hit by #Houthi attacks and lost engine power. The mission also says it destroyed an unmanned surface vessel during the operation.

On August 21, the MV SOUNION, which had not asked for EUNAFVOR ASPIDES 🇪🇺 protection, came under an attack in the South Red Sea area and lost its engine power.

Following a request from the master, the operation dispatched a ship in order to rescue the crew.

While approaching the area, the EUNAVFOR ASPIDES ship destroyed an Unmanned Surface Vessel (USV) that posed an imminent threat to the ship and the crew. All on board the MV SOUNION were subsequently rescued and are being transported to Djibouti, the nearest safe port of call.

The lives of seafarers and freedom on the high seas are nonnegotiable values and their protection is a key objective of EUNAVFOR ASPIDES.

Carrying 150.000 tonnes of crude oil, the MV SOUNION now represents a navigational and environmental hazard. It is essential that everyone in the area exercises caution and refrains from any actions that could lead to a deterioration of the current situation.

EUNAVFOR ASPIDES 🇪🇺with a defensive mandate acts as a credible EU maritime security provider, with the aim to contribute to the freedom of navigation in the area of operation and the safe passage of merchant vessels.
@eu_eeas #MaritimeSecurity #RedSea - EUNAVFOR ASPIDES
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OSINTdefender
RT @mercoglianos: Video released by the #Houthis seems to show the setting of explosive charges on the deck of the tanker #Sounion off the coast of Yemen in the #RedSea.

At 150k tons, this tanker is almost twice the size of Exxon Valdez and the environmental damage to the region will be massive.
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Evergreen Intel
RT @BlackSky_Inc: Abandoned, on fire & laden with a million barrels of #crudeoil, the #Sounion tanker poses a serious navigational and environmental hazard in the #RedSea.
BlackSky has been monitoring the ship in real time since the Houthi attack on Aug. 21. This series shows the fires burning topside throughout the day & night. Today's afternoon image was captured & delivered in under 90 minutes & traces a ~4 km visible trail on the surface of the water extending from the stern. #maritimesecurity #OSINT
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @Ndawsari: #Iran’s real destabilizer isn’t its nuclear ambitions. It’s its relentless support for nonstate actors that have spread chaos across the region. Without addressing this threat, the region will never see peace, much less prosperity. #RedSea

“A deal with Iran will only be completed if it is a Trump deal. Any final arrangement must set a framework for peace, stability, and prosperity in the Middle East -- meaning that Iran must stop and eliminate its nuclear enrichment and weaponization program. It is imperative for the world that we create a tough, fair deal that will endure, and that is what President Trump has asked me to do.”
- Ambassador Witkoff - Office of the Special Envoy to the Middle East
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OSINTdefender
RT @d_viekass: #CSG8 With #USSHarrySTruman #CVN75 crossing #SuezCanal on 17 May 25, marks the end of her 06
month deployment to #RedSea.Her deployment pattern #GIS plot from 15 Dec 24 - 17 May 25. 📸#Sentinel2 & #Landsat 🛰️ @Moochikal @raje271065 @BerrySuraj @MT_Anderson @AllSourceA @tom_bike https://twitter.com/d_viekass/status/1924890433718538316/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
Good report on the tempo of Houthi strikes against targets in Saudi Arabia and their implications from Martin Kelly of Orbital Risk Intelligence.

This week's Orbital Risk Intelligence Saudi Arabia Weekly Security Report is out, and the headline number tells only half the story.

#Houthi launches against the kingdom fell by about a third on the previous week: at least 30 missiles and drones intercepted, against at least 46 the week before. On the surface, that looks like easing pressure.

It isn't. The Houthis fired at #SaudiArabia every single day, and the ballistic missiles they did launch went at economic targets. One reached Ras Tanura. Satellite imagery shows fire damage at Saudi Arabia's largest refinery, beside one of its main crude export terminals, more than 1,200 km from Yemen. Fewer missiles, more serious damage.

From 30 October the pattern changed again, to one or two missiles a day at most and single drones over several regions. We assess that as deliberate conservation, not lost capability. The Houthis are holding missiles back, and the obvious trigger is a US or Israeli strike on Iran now that the US midterms are here.

That is what makes this week important for anyone with exposure to the kingdom. Saudi exports now face threats on both coasts at once: Houthi missiles at Ras Tanura, Abqaiq and Rabigh, Iranian attacks on shipping spreading into the northern Gulf off Ras Al Khafji, and a continuing threat to Saudi-linked vessels in the Red Sea.

This week's report adds a week-on-week tempo comparison, an escalation and de-escalation outlook, and a carrier-by-carrier list of airline suspensions, with some now running into 2027.

If you want the full report, or would like to talk about what this means for your operations, message me, use the download link or contact commercial@orbitalriskintelligence.com

https://2h37s9.share-eu1.hsforms.com/2FoGK3PkIR5yKPF_wzvHTog

#SaudiArabia #MaritimeSecurity #EnergySecurity #RedSea #Intelligence - Martin Kelly
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