The 2nd IPCC Assessment Report (1995) presented Scenario IS92a, which matched real-world pCO2 since then rather well 🌍📈. Their prediction for the resulting sea level rise came out very close to observations 🌊📏.
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#IPCC1995 #ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise #EnvironmentalScience #CarbonDioxide
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#IPCC1995 #ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise #EnvironmentalScience #CarbonDioxide
AGU Journals
Evaluating IPCC Projections of Global Sea‐Level Change From the Pre‐Satellite Era
IPCC projections in the mid-1990s of global sea-level change over the next 30 years were remarkably robust
The largest disparities between projections and observations were due to underestimated ...
The largest disparities between projections and observations were due to underestimated ...
The timing of emissions cuts, not just their speed, will determine our planet’s fate 🌍 as a new Cornell study warns that delaying reductions beyond 2050 could push the probability of irreversible ice melt ❄️ and sea-level rise 🌊 above 50%, locking humanity into centuries of coastal transformation.
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#EmissionsCuts #ClimateAction #SustainableFuture #SeaLevelRise #IceMelt
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#EmissionsCuts #ClimateAction #SustainableFuture #SeaLevelRise #IceMelt
Nature
The interplay of future emissions and geophysical uncertainties for projections of sea-level rise
Nature Climate Change - Unclear emissions and ice-sheet processes drive uncertainties in future sea-level rise. The authors show that the timing of emissions reductions drives the uncertainties...
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Sea levels have risen about 1.5 mm per year since 1900 — faster than at any point in 4,000 years 🌊📈, warns a new study. Warming oceans 🌡️ and melting glaciers ❄️ drive the surge, while coastal deltas, notably in China 🇨🇳, face rising threats from subsidence and human pressure.
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #MeltingGlaciers #CoastalImpact
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #MeltingGlaciers #CoastalImpact
Nature
Modern sea-level rise breaks 4,000-year stability in southeastern China
Nature - Spatiotemporal hierarchical modelling of geological sea-level proxies and tide gauge data suggest that the modern global mean sea-level rise rate since 1900 has exceeded any century over...
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**Research found that rapid emissions cuts would avoid 64cm of ‘locked in’ sea level rise by 2300 🌊📉. Rising seas are already threatening to wipe out small-island nations 🏝️, jeopardising the security, livelihoods and cultures of people who live in these areas.**
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#ClimateAction #SeaLevelRise #SustainableFuture #ProtectOurIslands #ActOnClimate
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#ClimateAction #SeaLevelRise #SustainableFuture #ProtectOurIslands #ActOnClimate
Carbon Brief
Rapid emissions cuts would avoid 64cm of ‘locked in’ sea level rise by 2300
Cutting emissions in line with the 1.5C warming limit, rather than following current climate policies, could curb long-term sea level rise by 64cm.
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New study reveals Canadian ice sheet was major driver of sea-level rise during final stages of the last ice age, not Antarctica 🌊🧊📉
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #IceAge #CanadianIceSheet #EnvironmentalScience
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #IceAge #CanadianIceSheet #EnvironmentalScience
Research and innovation
New study reveals Canadian ice sheet was major driver of sea-level rise during final stages of the last ice age
These findings from a new Tulane University-led study published in Nature Geoscience - co-authored by Professor Glenn Milne, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at the University of Ottawa, with colleagues at Memorial University, Maynooth University…
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Early IPCC estimates of sea level rise turned out to be stunningly precise 🌊. Decades ago scientists projected roughly eight centimetres 📏 without today’s modelling power and real-world measurements now show nearly nine as oceans continue their steady climb 📈.
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #IPCC #OceanHealth #Sustainability
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #IPCC #OceanHealth #Sustainability
AGU Journals
Evaluating IPCC Projections of Global Sea‐Level Change From the Pre‐Satellite Era
IPCC projections in the mid-1990s of global sea-level change over the next 30 years were remarkably robust
The largest disparities between projections and observations were due to underestimated ...
The largest disparities between projections and observations were due to underestimated ...
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Sea levels are rising globally—but around Greenland, they may fall. 🌊🧊A new study suggests that as climate change accelerates ice loss, local sea levels near Greenland could drop by about 0.9 m in a low-emissions scenario and up to 2.5 m in a high-emissions future by 2100.
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#Greenland #SeaLevelRise #IceLoss #LowEmissions #HighEmissions
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#Greenland #SeaLevelRise #IceLoss #LowEmissions #HighEmissions
Nature
Projections of 21st-century sea-level fall along coastal Greenland
Nature Communications - Melting from the Greenland Ice Sheet triggers land uplift beneath the ice sheet and changes to Earth’s gravitational field and rotation axis, a process called Glacial...
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Climate models are likely overestimating how much Antarctic ice sheets could contribute to sea level rise. Ice sheet simulations, a recent study showed, don’t fully account for the way supporting bedrock rebounds upward when ice above shrinks. This effect could slow melting by up to 20%.
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#ClimateScience #SeaLevelRise #AntarcticIce #IceSheetModeling #ReboundEffect
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#ClimateScience #SeaLevelRise #AntarcticIce #IceSheetModeling #ReboundEffect
PNAS
Rising ground in the Antarctic lifts melting ice sheets, limiting sea level rise
Models might not be taking into account an important phenomenon that helps to mitigate ice sheet melt and, as a result, sea level rise. Image credit: Shutterstock/Goldilock Project
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Venice may need to be entirely relocated or protected by a massive €30 billion "super levee" as sea levels rise, researchers warn. A new study shows that the city's current mobile barriers will likely be overwhelmed by 2300, requiring radical engineering to save its residents and history.
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#Venice #SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange
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#Venice #SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange
Nature
Long-term adaptation pathways for Venice and its lagoon under sea-level rise
Scientific Reports - Long-term adaptation pathways for Venice and its lagoon under sea-level rise
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New Orleans may have crossed a climate tipping point. Almost 75% of the region will be underwater by 2070 because of rising sea levels, and will need large-scale depopulation. Without rapid mitigation and adaptation, other low-lying regions may face similar risks.
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#ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise #Adaptation2020s
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#ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise #Adaptation2020s
Nature
Climate-driven depopulation and adaptation realities in America’s coastal ground zero
Nature Sustainability - Climate change-induced sea-level rise poses a significant societal challenge, but the extent of potential inundation remains uncertain. Looking at the recent geologic past...
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Antarctic ice shelves are melting from below much faster than expected. A new study reveals that grooves under the ice trap warm water, creating a "heat trap" that could accelerate global sea level rise beyond current IPCC models.
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#Antarctica #SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange2024
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#Antarctica #SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange2024
Nature
Channelized topography amplifies melt-sensitivity of cold Antarctic ice shelves
Nature Communications - Cold Antarctic ice shelves may be more vulnerable than assumed. High-resolution modelling shows that small basal channels trap warm water, amplify melting, and trigger a...
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Rising seas are consuming coastal farmlands twice as fast as forests, despite farmers' efforts to build levees. A new study reveals that over 25,000 acres of Mid-Atlantic cropland have been lost to saltwater intrusion, as annual crops lack the resilience of trees.
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#SeaLevelRise #CoastalFarming #SaltwaterIntrusion
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#SeaLevelRise #CoastalFarming #SaltwaterIntrusion
Nature
Sea-level-driven land conversion amplified by coastal agriculture
Nature Sustainability - As sea levels rise, coastal ecosystems and economies are threatened by saltwater intrusion and wetland encroachment. These effects are accelerated by coastal agriculture,...
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Scientists Solve "Missing Data" Mystery of Sea Level Rise
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateScience #MissingDataMystery
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateScience #MissingDataMystery
EurekAlert!
Scientists improve knowledge on sea level rise — and confirm it is accelerating since 1960
A new international study, published in Science Advances, fully accounts for what is driving the world's rising oceans over six decades.
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Human activities caused up to 20% of the retreat of Antarctica's Pine Island Glacier since the 1940s, a study reveals. This is the first research to directly quantify the impact of human emissions on a major Antarctic glacier, a key contributor to global sea-level rise.
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#Antarctica #SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange
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#Antarctica #SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange
tc.copernicus.org
Detection and attribution of the role of anthropogenic climate change in industrial-era retreat of Pine Island Glacier
Abstract. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) has undergone rapid change over the satellite era, characterized by significant thinning, grounding-line retreat, and mass loss. More than a third of the ice loss from this region is from Pine Island Glacier (PIG).…
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Extreme coastal floods that historically had a 1% annual chance are now 12 times more likely, with human-driven climate change quadrupling the risk since the 1960s and acting as the dominant driver of rising sea levels, two new studies reveal.
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#ClimateChange #CoastalFlooding #SeaLevelRise
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#ClimateChange #CoastalFlooding #SeaLevelRise
Nature
Human-driven sea-level rise has quadrupled the frequency of coastal sea-level extremes since 1900
Nature Climate Change - Sea-level rise in conjunction with storm surge and tidal variations leads to extreme sea levels that threaten coastal systems. Here the authors use tide-gauge data and...
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A global review found sea-level rise is expected to predominantly harm shorebirds, with 78% of studies reporting negative impacts on coastal habitat and 89% finding negative effects on shorebird populations or individual birds.
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#SeaLevelRise #Shorebirds #CoastalHabitatImpact
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#SeaLevelRise #Shorebirds #CoastalHabitatImpact
SpringerLink
Impacts of sea level rise on the world’s shorebirds
Biodiversity and Conservation - Sea level rise (SLR) poses a significant threat to coastal ecosystems worldwide. Migratory shorebirds rely heavily on nearshore and intertidal ecosystems throughout...
Greenland and Antarctica have lost 11.3 trillion metric tons of ice since the 1970s, raising global sea level by more than 3 centimeters (1.2 inches). For every third of an inch (or centimeter) of sea level rise, another 2 to 3 million people get flooded at least once per year.
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #IceLoss
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#SeaLevelRise #ClimateChange #IceLoss
NBC News
Satellites show Earth lost more than 12 trillion tons of ice from Greenland, Antarctica in 47 years
The numbers behind the melting ice are both mind-bogglingly huge and deceptively small.
Science News
Greenland and Antarctica have lost 11.3 trillion metric tons of ice since the 1970s, raising global sea level by more than 3 centimeters (1.2 inches). For every third of an inch (or centimeter) of sea level rise, another 2 to 3 million people get flooded at…
🧊 Over 12.5 trillion tons of ice have melted from Greenland and Antarctica since 1979, enough to cover the continental U.S. in five feet of ice. This melt has raised global sea levels by about an inch (3.1 cm).
🌊 Warmer ocean waters, not just hotter air, are the primary cause of this accelerated melting, with glaciers flowing into the sea. This phenomenon is directly linked to climate change.
📉 Ice melt has significantly increased, particularly in the 2010s. This trend, which began accelerating in the 1990s, is expected to continue for decades, even if global warming stops.
#ClimateChange #IceMelt #SeaLevelRise
🌊 Warmer ocean waters, not just hotter air, are the primary cause of this accelerated melting, with glaciers flowing into the sea. This phenomenon is directly linked to climate change.
📉 Ice melt has significantly increased, particularly in the 2010s. This trend, which began accelerating in the 1990s, is expected to continue for decades, even if global warming stops.
#ClimateChange #IceMelt #SeaLevelRise
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More than 70% of U.S. coastal areas are sinking by over 1 millimeter per year, according to new research, increasing the risk of flooding and amplifying the impacts of rising sea levels.
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#SeaLevelRise #CoastalSinking #FloodRisk
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#SeaLevelRise #CoastalSinking #FloodRisk
ScienceAlert
Over 70% of US Coastal Areas Are Sinking Faster Than 1 Millimeter a Year
Action is needed now.
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Science News
Antarctica’s ice loss is locked in and extra snowfall won’t save it, even if 1.5° warming target is met, according to new study using physics-informed machine learning model that looked at hundreds of thousands of potential futures and the impact of each on…
🧊 A new study in Nature Geoscience reveals Antarctica's ice loss this century is inevitable, even if global warming is limited to 1.5°C.
💻 Researchers used machine learning to analyze millions of scenarios, finding that Antarctica will contribute more to sea-level rise than currently projected.
🌊 The study emphasizes that reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial, as extra snowfall won't offset ice loss due to a warming ocean. Without emission cuts, Antarctica alone could contribute up to 10 inches (25 cm) of sea-level rise by 2100.
#ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise #Antarctica
💻 Researchers used machine learning to analyze millions of scenarios, finding that Antarctica will contribute more to sea-level rise than currently projected.
🌊 The study emphasizes that reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial, as extra snowfall won't offset ice loss due to a warming ocean. Without emission cuts, Antarctica alone could contribute up to 10 inches (25 cm) of sea-level rise by 2100.
#ClimateChange #SeaLevelRise #Antarctica
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