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Forwarded from The Noticer
There is a phrase I hear quite often - "Donald Trump listens to the last person he spoke with". Given this characteristic, some people in the White House use the Bad Orange Man to manipulate the markets - and given what I keep seeing, Donald Trump is surprisingly easy to control. This is my guess based on the observation of Trump's social media posts, that go from "Iran will be destroyed!" to "Iran is negotiating peace, war will be over very soon", and then back to the posts about the total war against Iran.

I think this behavior of the USA will motivate the rest of the planet to double their efforts in isolating themselves economically from the USA. Once Donald Trump is out of the office - what stops those "market manipulators" (most of whom, I am sure, have Israeli citizenship) to simply keep doing what they are doing?

Quite ironic how the USA went from one senile, easily manipulated president to an another senile, easily manipulated president. Nothing ever happens, truly.

#USA #economy #market #Trump
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Forwarded from The Noticer
UAE, OPEC, oil

Meanwhile in the Middle East things are getting more interesting. The United Arab Emirates have officially announced their withdrawal from OPEC and the wider OPEC+ alliance - which surprised and annoyed their 'best friends' in the oil business, the Saudis. The UAE's exit, effective May 1st, 2026, ends their nearly 60-year membership in the oil cartel - the one that decides how much money per barrel of oil all other countries must pay.

Officially, the UAE are simply doing their best in these difficult times. Unofficially - who knows. Maybe they got tired from the meddling of the royal Saudi family. Maybe the UAE always wanted a bit more profit, and now they see such opportunity. Maybe the whole OPEC will fall apart, and they'll sell oil cheaply from now on. Time will show.

#UAE #OPEC #oil #market #Saudis #economy
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Forwarded from The Noticer
The USA declared a ceasefire - Brent went down in price.

The US Ambassador to the UN Mike Walz confirmed that Donald Trump ordered a ceasefire to "give diplomacy some space". This decision was made on the advice of Admiral Brad Cooper, the supreme commander of US forces in the Middle East, who noted that the military campaign had reached its strategic limits.

The Omani delegations held a series of intensive meetings in Iran. They are attempting to develop a preliminary transit plan through the Strait of Hormuz.

A joint diplomatic initiative of Pakistan and Qatar are trying to fully restore the original 60-day temporary ceasefire.

While Iran officially doesn't recognize this pause of hostilities, Iran still insists on formalizing a system of maritime dues and monitoring of the strait. The USA demands less restrictive freedom of navigation for vessels from around the world.

My bet is on the market manipulations via the "insiders" in the White House - it happened before.

#USA #Iran #oil #market #Brent
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