πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½Gold (XAU/USD)πŸ₯‡ ⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size TP βœ… @: 4141.36 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED | @ 4136.26 βš οΈπŸ“Έ Recommended Entry βœ…4158 - 4163 πŸ”° VIP UPDATE SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position…
⚑️ RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Gold (XAU/USD)πŸ₯‡
TP βœ… @: 4136.26
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

GBP/USD
TP βœ… @: 1.33667 (if not already closed)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

ExxonMobil (XOM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 139.76
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ


We are widening the TP for our gold position a little further - but not by too much. Most of you have already closed our GBP/USD trade (overall) in profit. We are tightening the TP there again, as we are already double - if not triple - LONG the USD (with gold also likely to come under pressure from a stronger US dollar).

We are, however, tightening the TP βœ… for our XOM position a bit, although we are confident we could ultimately close it even lower. Oil prices have continued to rise, providing additional fundamental tailwinds for XOM. Overall, however, the energy sector has rallied a bit too much today - mainly due to the rotation out of semiconductor stocks into other sectors.

We appear to have found a very good - potentially perfect - entry in the Nasdaq and expect buyers to take control from here.

Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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BEAUTIFUL TRADING - Congrats! πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘

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πŸ’» VT Markets (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ’» TMGM (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ PU Prime (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Vantage (πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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πŸ…WINNING STREAK ALERT – Indices πŸ”₯

βœ”οΈ We’ve closed 18 winning Index trades in a row!
πŸ—“ From 24.06 to 07.07 – 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy!
πŸ“ˆ This is what real, fundamentals-backed trading looks like.

πŸ“Š Performance Summary – Streak Overview
πŸ“ˆ Average % Move: +0.48%
πŸš€ Best: +1.04% (βœ… 02.07 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️)
πŸ—“ Total Trades: 18


πŸ‘‰ All trades from the streak:
(*clickable!*)

01. βœ… 24.06 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
02. βœ… 25.06 - US30 - LONG ↗️
03. βœ… 25.06 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
04. βœ… 25.06 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
05. βœ… 25.06 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
06. βœ… 26.06 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
07. βœ… 26.06 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
08. βœ… 29.06 - US2000 - LONG ↗️
09. βœ… 30.06 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
10. βœ… 30.06 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️
11. βœ… 30.06 - US30 - LONG ↗️
12. βœ… 01.07 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️
13. βœ… 01.07 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
14. βœ… 02.07 - US30 - LONG ↗️
15. βœ… 02.07 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
16. βœ… 03.07 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
17. βœ… 06.07 - US30 - LONG ↗️
18. βœ… 07.07 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-entry)

---

Legend:
βœ… Closed in profit

⏱ Still watching from the sidelines?

➑️Join VIP now and catch the next trade.
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πŸ“Š Indices Win Streak Profit Overview

From 24 Jun to 07 Jul, all 18 Index signals closed in profit β€” 100% win rate! πŸš€

πŸ“Œ Based on our official SmartTrader Lot Size calculator

πŸ’° Starting Capital β†’ Potential Profit
- $1,000 β†’ +$372.64 πŸ€‘ (+37.26%)
- $5,000 β†’ +$1,863.19
πŸ€‘ (+37.26%)
- $10,000 β†’ +$3,726.38
πŸ€‘ (+37.26%)


πŸ”— Link to the 18 Index trades

No time to waste ⏱
The next trades won’t wait
➑️ message us now!
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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½Gold (XAU/USD)πŸ₯‡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: 4118.26
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

Recommended Entry Range βœ…4142 - 4145

β–Ί We set the perfect TP βœ… for gold, which triggered almost exactly before gold found support. We also identified the perfect Nasdaq re-entry range (also already closed at TP βœ… / I closed my position slightly higher; although the Nasdaq is already facing renewed headwinds). Right at the beginning of today's trading session, we had already closed our previous gold position at the day's low with our tighter TP (4117.33).

β–Ί I continue to see further downside potential for gold from here (potentially even below the 4100 level), and we can therefore re-enter the position - even above our already triggered TP. We are setting our new TP at a level similar to the position we opened last Thursday, which was triggered at the start of today's session.

β–Ί Gold is down around 0.5% today (while silver is down nearly 2%, once again highlighting that gold still has significant downside potential from here in the short-term - although silver is also coming off much stronger gains over the past week).

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070707A

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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


ALL our gold/silver trades from the past three weeks:

βœ… 16.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (optional Trade)
βœ… 18.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 18.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 29.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 01.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (+Re-entry)
βœ… 01.07 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 02.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ

βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ πŸ“Έ

11/12 = 91.7% Signal Accuracy


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πŸ’» VT Markets (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ’» TMGM (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ PU Prime (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Vantage (πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½Gold (XAU/USD)πŸ₯‡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 4116


β–Ί Our gold trade once again hit its TP βœ…πŸ“Έ as gold declined sharply, even breaking below the 4100 level. Silver fell even more sharply and is still down more than 3%, although it did attract some temporary dip buyers.

β–Ί All of our USD LONG positions have now reached their TPs as well. Our USD/JPY hit the perfectly placed TP βœ…πŸ“Έ (our GBP/USD position had already been closed earlier today).

β–Ί We remain SHORT in gold here and continue to see further downside potential, especially now that the 4100 level has been broken.

β–Ί Today's sharp rise in oil prices (more than +5%) supported the USD, pushed bond yields higher, weighed once again on market sentiment, and is also creating headwinds for gold.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070708A

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πŸ–₯ PU Prime (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Vantage (πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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⚑️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Tesla (TSLA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 413.96 (+pot. re-entry)

Micron (MU) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 974.47

⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

We are tightening our TPs βœ… a bit further here. MU found support exactly in the range we expected. Semiconductor stocks now have significant upside potential again. We expect to see the next rotation back into chip stocks very soon.

We are setting a tighter TP and can make a small (!) re-entry in TSLA shortly before the market close (near/below πŸ”Ό 402.50).

⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 6️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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πŸ›  SmartTrader Tools:
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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ May 21 - July 07
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: May 21 - June 29
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 131 (+1 open p. - NVDIA)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 104
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 79.4% πŸ”Ό

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% Signal Accuracy (May 20)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100%
πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (June 29)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: June 30 - July 07 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 30.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29996.70 me | or 29946.40)
βœ… 30.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 354.47)
βœ… 30.6 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 8419.30)
βœ… 30.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 58353.90)
βœ… 30.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52476.30)

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy

βœ… 1.7 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 8356.40)
βœ… 1.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4031.61 | +re-entry)
✴️ 1.7 - MU - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 974.47 πŸ”„
βœ… 1.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30048.90)
βœ… 1.7 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 447.97)
βœ… 1.7 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 59.316)

5/6 - (1 open position)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


One of the few non-perfect May sessions (4/5; SA/SR = 80%) has dropped out of our five-week statistics and has been replaced by last Monday's flawless 5/5 session (πŸ’Ž; SA/SR = 100%). Since last Monday, we have not closed a single trade from our positions outside of profit.

As a result, our
πŸ”Ό success rate has moved slightly higher again. NVDA (+0.71%) remains open and closed surprisingly strong today, considering how much pressure the semiconductor sector came under.

We also made a very good second re-entry into MU today. The semiconductor sector - especially memory chip stocks - will remain highly volatile.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 2.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52744.90)
βœ…
2.7 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 161.063)
βœ…
2.7 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.14205)
βœ… 2.7 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 458.79)
βœ…
2.7 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 449.53 | or 448.43)
βœ…
2.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4117.33) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ…
2.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29453.70)
β€”-
βœ… 3.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29840.30)

8/8 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy

βœ… 6.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP- 1.33667|overall - in-profit)πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 6.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 53092.90)
βœ… 6.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 362.48)
βœ… 6.7 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 386.87)
βœ… 6.7 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 390.43) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES πŸ”Ή

βœ… 7.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29338.40 me | or 29298.40 | overall - deep in-profit) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 7.7 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit |+pot. re-entry)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 413.96
βœ… 7.7 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 139.76) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 7.7 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 162.124) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 7.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4136.26) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 7.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4118.26) πŸ“Έ
βœ…βœ΄οΈ 7.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - SL-in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 4111.77 πŸ”„ | TP βœ… @: 4081.27 πŸ”„

6/7 - (2 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


It's remarkable how well we continue to perform in a very challenging market environment full of traps (today especially oil, gold, the USD, and overall risk sentiment were very tricky).

We have adapted extremely well and made sure we're not chasing this highly volatile market. Our start to July has been exceptionally strong
πŸš€

We can
(optionally) already set an in-profit SL πŸ”‘ for our third gold position from today and tighten the TP βœ… slightly. Outstanding timing across all our gold trades today (our gold position πŸ“Έ from Thursday, plus all 3 (!) gold trades πŸ“Έ from today). Add to that a spectacular Nasdaq re-entry πŸ“Έ and a strong closing for an overall deep-in-profit close - bringing us to 18 consecutive winning index trades.

We are LONG in the semiconductor sector and hope to benefit from a strong rotation back into chip stocks over the coming trading sessions.

β€”

PS: Spectacular profits this month (so far) - please pass on the helping hand you receive from us to other people (in need)
❀️ - thank you very much.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate JUL/03 – 11:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change JUL/03 – 14:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change JUL/03 – 14:30
♦️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Minutes – 18:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ RICS House Price Balance JUN – 23:01

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations


---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

No major earnings reports today

---

SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½Gold (XAU/USD)πŸ₯‡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 4078

β–Ί The US launched a fresh wave of strikes against Iran and simultaneously revoked a waiver that had allowed the sale of Iranian oil. Iran's Foreign Ministry responded by stating that last month's interim peace agreement had become "ineffective." The fragile ceasefire now appears to be over for the time being, raising serious doubts about whether the planned peace negotiations will move forward.

β–Ί "For me, it's over (...) As far as I'm concerned, it's just a waste of time," Trump said today in Ankara while sitting next to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. At the same time, it is important to note that Trump has shown very little appetite in recent weeks to return to a full-scale military conflict, even though the peace talks have so far shown little sign of progress.

β–Ί Oil prices surged following the news. Brent crude rose by more than 6% at one point, reaching as high as $79 per barrel in London (currently around $77.5). Brent is now up approximately 8.5% for the week.

β–Ί Our gold position from yesterday once again hit its TP βœ…πŸ“Έ (or the optional in-profit SL πŸ”‘; I personally left the SL open), delivering another very strong profit before gold continued to decline even further. Gold is now trading back near our triggered TP as risk sentiment has stabilized somewhat and oil has given back part of its sharp gains.

β–Ί Nevertheless, we continue to see further downside potential for gold from here, as the situation is still likely to affect bond yields, interest rate and inflation expectations, while keeping demand for the US dollar elevated. Silver is currently down more than 2% (having fallen more than 3% earlier today), while gold is down around 0.8% and trading in the 4070 - 4080 range.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070801A


Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚑️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel


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⏰ NO DELAY IN VIP-CHANNEL πŸ’Ž

πŸ’» VT Markets (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ’» TMGM (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ PU Prime (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Vantage (πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Dow Jones (US30)
⚠️ Elevated volatility
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 52250πŸ”„

πŸ“Œ DJI future Sep'26 ~230 points higher


πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Broadcom (AVGO) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: 383.89
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED; 385.79 me ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range βœ…375.00 - 377.50

AVGO opened slightly higher (@377.52) but still has plenty of upside potential. We can enter near current levels
πŸ”„


Stocks are, of course, now under pressure following the renewed US strikes on Iran. Overall, however, we do not expect the impact to be long-lasting. In reality, the renewed tensions have only a minimal - if any - effect on the revenue outlook for the growth, technology, and AI stocks that are currently under pressure. Much stronger headwinds are coming from the stronger USD, as well as renewed inflation and interest rate concerns.


πŸ”Ή Nvidia (-0.5%) - is opening slightly lower again following yesterday's strong rebound. Nevertheless, NVDA remains in a very good position for gains over the coming trading sessions. BofA reiterated its "BUY" rating on NVDA and continues to view the stock as very attractively valued.

πŸ”Ή Micron (-3.1%) - is also opening lower for now but remains above yesterday's lows. MU is considered a high-risk growth stock and is therefore temporarily under greater pressure following the renewed US-Iran escalation. Additional headwinds came from further losses in Samsung and SK Hynix in Korea. In reality, however, the impact of the increased geopolitical tensions is close to zero - especially given the exceptionally high margins and seemingly insatiable demand for memory chips.

πŸ”Ή Tesla (-0.7%) - is opening slightly lower, in line with the broader market, but continues to have short-term upside potential and may also benefit from further gains in SPCX. We are tightening our TP slightly for now, although we still expect some near-term headwinds.
πŸ‘‰
βœ… @: 411.88


β–Ί The renewed escalations are headwinds - no question. A stronger USD and inflation concerns coming back is headwinds. However, the market was generally not expecting a very positive and strong peace agreement as both sides remained too far away. The question is rather will we go back to full escalations and a closed Strait of Hormuz? I see that as rather unlikely given the severe pressure Trump is to get the conflict solved and oil prices low ahead of Midterm elections.

β–Ί While I see short-term more upside in the Nasdaq, we are already exposed to the tech sector. Instead we buy here the Dow trading nearly 1% lower for today. We take advantage of increased volatility around the NYSE opening.

β–Ί We also buy AVGO, even with the chip giant already opening about 1.5% higher (near 376.00; although after a 0.83% decline yesterday / down 5.5% m/m). Apple and Broadcoms $30B chip deal is huge - especially for AVGO. It's a long-term supply deal through 2031 and adds to the strong partnerships Broadcom made with key hyperscalers.

β–Ί Broadcom will spend $1.5B to expand a factory in Fort Collins, Colorado. Apple said that the deal, which will result in the production of at least 15 billion chips, is part of its work with the Trump’s administration to source more of its chips from the U.S.

Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 1.25–1.75x (125%–175%)

Broadcom (AVGO): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 65–75x (6,500%–7,500%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070802A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26070803A

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β€”β€”

We made an exceptional trade with AVGO at NYSE opening.
(already triggered TP βœ…πŸ“Έ)

The Dow offers now an entry near session lows.

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SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ GBP/USD
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry
βœ…near/above 1.33760

β–Ί GBP/USD is currently trading higher - quite a remarkable development (an anomaly) given the renewed escalation in tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran, as well as the sharp rise in oil prices.

β–Ί The USD is benefiting from the fact that Wall Street is far less concerned than Europe about the US-Iran peace talks being put on hold. The conflict in Iran is economically a much bigger issue for Europe and Asia than for the US due to their greater dependence on energy imports.

β–Ί We also see attractive entry levels in EUR/USD, as well as further upside potential in USD/JPY. However, given the current price levels, we prefer GBP/USD here, as it offers us a particularly attractive entry.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26070804A

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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

We found the perfect entry into the pair.

Our FX trades over the past two weeks:

βœ… 23.06 - USD/CHF - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 23.06 - USD/CHF - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 02.07 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️
βœ… 02.07 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 06.07 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (+Re-entry)
βœ… 07.07 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️

πŸ†• 08.07 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ

❌ DON'T MISS A SINGLE FX TRADE ❌


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό AMD (AMD) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…497.00 - 499.00

β–Ί Broadcom was the best LONG trade we could have made at the NYSE open (market capitalization > $40B). Our position has already hit its TP βœ…πŸ“Έ (I closed slightly higher). Overall, however, Wall Street remains firmly in the red today, while semiconductor stocks are holding up relatively well. More than 80% of stocks in New York are trading lower after renewed tensions in the Persian Gulf raised concerns about another wave of disruptions to global energy trade and pushed oil prices up by more than 7% today. The sharp rebound in oil prices has reignited inflation concerns. Oil received an additional boost after Trump said the US may continue its strikes as early as tonight.

β–Ί We continue to cautiously buy further dips and are now seeing several semiconductor stocks trading sharply lower - including INTC and AMD. AMD has now fallen below the key $500 level. We are building a LONG position at these levels. From a longer-term perspective in particular, AMD looks very attractive here.

β–Ί AMD has recently come under some pressure after AVGO secured several major contracts. At the same time, after weeks of unusual underperformance, NVDA has also become very attractively valued and is once again attracting increased investor interest. AMD is trading at a significantly richer valuation, but still offers substantial upside potential across all time frames. At last week's recent peak, AMD was trading around 15% higher.

AMD (AMD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 35–40x (3,500%–4,000%) – 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070805A



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β€”β€”


We found the perfect entry into AMD here completely against the market.

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SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½Gold (XAU/USD) ❀️
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 4069

β–Ί We made very strong trades today in an extremely challenging market environment over the past days and today. We generated another round of big profits with gold, with our latest SHORT position also hitting its TP βœ…πŸ“Έ (as did AMD πŸ“Έ, which has already reached its TP - we also achieved what seemed almost impossible by buying AMD right at the session lows; if you're still LONG, you can close in the 514 - 519 range).

β–Ί The renewed tensions in the Persian Gulf have also brought inflation concerns back into focus, creating significant headwinds for gold. In particular, concerns that interest rates may remain higher for longer continue to weigh on the precious metal. At the same time, equities remain well supported overall, with institutional investors in particular staying invested in Wall Street ahead of the upcoming earnings season. As we anticipated, we saw a strong rebound after the initial sell-off.

β–Ί We are looking to go SHORT in gold again here (or very soon) and can now re-enter well above our previously triggered TP (near 4070).

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070806A

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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Our last 15 gold/silver trades:

βœ… 16.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (optional Trade)
βœ… 18.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 18.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 29.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 01.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (Re-entry)
βœ… 01.07 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 02.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 08.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ πŸ“Έ

πŸ†• 08.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ

❌ PLEASE NEVER MISS A GOLD-TRADE ❌❀️
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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό DAX (GER_40) πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 25010

β–Ί While the risk of further US strikes against Iranian targets remains a headwind for market rebound attempts, Trump also knows that the conflict - and especially its impact on oil prices - is highly unpopular in the US with the Midterm Elections only four months away. Speaking in Ankara today, Trump said he does not expect the war to restart, despite threatening to launch new strikes tonight, reimpose the blockade, and take control of Kharg Island. He has to maintain the narrative that he is in control, that the US is being respected, that the operation was a success (it wasn't), and that there is no war because it has already been won.

β–Ί The DAX was among today's hardest-hit major indices, as the German economy is particularly sensitive to higher energy prices.

β–Ί Nearly all 40 DAX components closed the session lower. Only four stocks managed to finish in positive territory, and all of them gained less than 0.8%.

β–Ί The sharpest losses were seen in technology, software (SAP), materials, financials, and industrials - including Germany's important automotive sector.

β–Ί We see rebound potential for tomorrow and are building a LONG position in the DAX, which is still trading around 2% lower for the day despite some modest after-hours gains in Frankfurt.

β–Ί As we expected, the technology sector - and especially semiconductor stocks - managed to look beyond the overnight escalation. The Nasdaq 100 has now recovered to trade roughly flat on the day, with particularly strong gains in NVDA and AVGO providing significant support to the index.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.0–2.5 (200%–250%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070807A


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό USD/JPY ⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) Recommended Entry Range βœ…161.820 - 161.870 β–Ί Due to its recent and ongoing interventions, the Bank of Japan has managed to reduce JPY selling. Investors…
⚑️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Nvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 208.53

Micron (MU) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 982.43

Tesla (TSLA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 408.08

Gold (XAU/USD)πŸ₯‡
TP βœ… @: 4059.93 πŸ”„

Our NVDA TP was nearly reached after NVDA was up more than 4% at one point. While we will likely see another round of profit taking, NVDA has clearly regained bullish momentum. Institutional investors in particular continue to build positions in NVDA, with the stock now very attractively valued - especially after its weak performance over the past two to three months. If your re-entries are already deep in profit, you can close them around βœ… 205, as we expect NVDA to move back into the 197 - 203 range again (likely several times).

We are also widening the TP for MU slightly. If you prefer, you can close the re-entry - which is now deep in profit - a bit earlier (for example in the βœ… 960 - 975 range). We are tightening the TP βœ… for TSLA slightly as well (if you are still holding a LONG position).

We are also tightening the TP βœ… for our gold position, as gold is currently benefiting from hopes that the market can already look past the renewed US-Iran tensions - especially given the clear signs that Trump has little interest in restarting the war with Iran.


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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ May 22 - July 08
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: May 22 - June 30
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 131 (+1 open p. - NVDIA)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 105
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 80.2% πŸ”Ό

Dropped from statistics: 4/5 - 80% Signal Accuracy (May 21)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100%
πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (June 30)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: July 01 - July 08 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 1.7 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 8356.40)
βœ… 1.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4031.61 | +re-entry)
✴️ 1.7 - MU - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 982.43 πŸ”„
βœ… 1.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30048.90)
βœ… 1.7 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (SL - 447.97)
βœ… 1.7 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 59.316)

5/6 - (1 open position)

βœ… 2.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52744.90)
βœ…
2.7 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 161.063)
βœ…
2.7 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.14205)
βœ… 2.7 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 458.79)
βœ…
2.7 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 449.53 | or 448.43)
βœ…
2.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4117.33)
βœ…
2.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29453.70)
β€”-
βœ… 3.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29840.30)

8/8 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Our brief intermezzo below the 80% πŸ”Ό signal accuracy mark is already over. Once again, one of the very few and last remaining non-flawless May sessions (4/5, SA/SR = 80%) has dropped out of our five-week statistics and has been replaced by last Tuesday's perfect 5/5 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%).

NVDA surged today (+3.7%), supported by strong institutional buying. MU (+1.1%) also finished the session well, with our re-entry now sitting deep in profit. All other positions shown in this section of the performance update had already been closed before the start of today's trading session - all of them in profit βœ…
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 6.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP- 1.33667|overall - in-profit)
βœ… 6.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 53092.90)
βœ… 6.7 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 362.48)
βœ… 6.7 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 386.87)
βœ… 6.7 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 390.43)


5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy

βœ… 7.7 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29338.40 me | or 29298.40 | overall - deep in-profit)
✴️ 7.7 - TSLA - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit |+pot. re-entry)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 408.08 πŸ”„
βœ… 7.7 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 139.76)
βœ… 7.7 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 162.124)
βœ… 7.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4136.26)
βœ… 7.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4118.26)
βœ… 7.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4081.27|opt. SL-4111.77) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ

6/7 - (1 open position)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES πŸ”Ή

βœ… 8.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4046.77) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 8.7 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 52501.90 (52631.90 sep'26 future) πŸ”„
βœ… 8.7 - AVGO - LONG ↗️ (TP - 385.79 me | or TP-383.89) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 8.7 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 1.33643 πŸ”„
βœ… 8.7 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 509.57) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 8.7 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 4061.67 πŸ”„
✴️ 8.7 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 25178.90 πŸ”„

3/7 - (4 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Market conditions remained very volatile, swingy, and difficult to trade today. Nevertheless, we have stayed one step ahead of the markets over the past few days and never reacted in panic while the market was trying to assess the renewed tensions in the Persian Gulf, triggering a great deal of panic repricing. The US military has now struck Iran for the second consecutive day, further straining the already fragile ceasefire. The key point, however, is that the Trump administration has little appetite to escalate the conflict again just four months ahead of the crucial Midterm Elections.

It was another strong day for our portfolio
πŸ‘ We also saw the expected rebound in semiconductor stocks, although the sector remains highly volatile and vulnerable to profit taking. On top of that, we delivered another series of excellent gold trades πŸ“Έ, as well as - once again - an exceptional NYSE opening trade with AVGO πŸ“Έ. We also made a very strong AMD trade πŸ“Έ.

We slightly tighten the TPs
βœ… for both of our index positions, as well as for our still-open gold SHORT position. We are also tightening the TP βœ… for our GBP/USD SHORT slightly.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Inflation Rate JUN (MoM/YoY) – 01:30 (reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ PPI YoY JUN – 01:30 (reported: 🟑)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Balance of Trade MAY – 06:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Exports MoM MAY – 06:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts – 11:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Initial Jobless Claims JUL/04 – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Williams Speech – 13:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales JUN – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales MoM JUN – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Logan Speech – 17:3

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️ = Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations


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Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

β˜€οΈ PepsiCo (PEP) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
πŸŒ™ Fast Retailing (FRCOY) πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅

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SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
❀6πŸ‘4πŸ”₯3πŸ†1🍾1πŸ€“1
πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½Gold (XAU/USD) ❀️
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…4109 - 4117

β–Ί We have traded the swings in gold exceptionally well over the past few weeks. Our second SHORT position from yesterday hit its perfectly placed TP βœ…πŸ“Έ before gold rallied sharply again (our Dow Jones also reached its well-adjusted TP βœ…πŸ“Έ). Gold is currently hovering around the 4110 level, supported in part by cooling oil prices. The market is increasingly interpreting the recent US strikes as a short-term show of strength rather than a genuine military campaign aimed at significantly degrading Iran's capabilities.

β–Ί However, we do not expect oil prices to decline much further from here. Instead, they are likely to remain supported heading into the weekend. The main short-term downside risk for oil would be if Trump declares the current air strikes complete.

β–Ί Although the Trump administration clearly wants to avoid a full re-escalation of the conflict, the recent strikes have put the already fragile "ceasefire" between the US and Iran - and the broader path toward a peace agreement - on even shakier ground. Higher oil prices and concerns that the conflict could remain unresolved for much longer have brought inflation concerns back into focus, creating significant headwinds for gold.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26070901A

⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 4️⃣5️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⏰❌ KILL THE DELAY ❌⏰

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SmartTrader_Onboarding πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ”—

βœ… 16.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 17.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (optional Trade)
βœ… 18.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
❌ 18.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 29.06 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
βœ… 01.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (Re-entry)
βœ… 01.07 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 02.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 07.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 08.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 08.07 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈπŸ“Έ

14/15 = 93.3% Signal Accuracy
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