Silver (XAG/USD)
SL ๐ @: 60.954
TP
We are securing our Silver profits. We can lower the TP slightly here as we are also entering Gold:
โโ
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL
LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ We are already LONG in Silver, but are adding a small Gold position as we expect further gains following comments from Fed members that were just made.
โบ Fedโs Williams said that there is no need for urgency following the Fedโs September rate hike and that one additional rate hike this year may be sufficient. This is a fairly dovish view from an important Fed and FOMC member. Williams added that he sees inflation at 3.5% this year and expects it to return to the 2% target only in 2028 - which, in reality, is a very vague outlook.
โบ Fedโs Musalem and Goolsbee were somewhat more cautious in their remarks. However, all three expect the US economy to remain strong going forward.
โบ In addition, there are clear signs that the mediators - including Qatar - remain highly committed to keeping US-Iran talks going and achieving at least an interim agreement.
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26092906A
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Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ
Gold (XAU/USD)๐ก
Quick ๐ธ-Update
Both TPsโ
were triggered - practically at the same time.
โโ
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LONG (BUY)๐ผ Gold (XAU/USD) ๐ก
โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 2/3 position size
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entryโ
near 4165
โบ We set strong TPs in both cases, although our previous TP for Silver would have been triggered as well. We can stay LONG and re-enter - this time again in Gold - slightly below our triggered TP. Silver is also trading near/below our TP.
โบ New York Fed President Williams indicated that one additional rate hike this year may be appropriate to contain inflation, while stressing that there is no urgency to move again following this monthโs rate hike - a surprisingly dovish assessment. Swap markets subsequently reduced their expectations for further rate hikes, providing tailwinds for precious metals and causing the strong USD to temporarily ease somewhat.
โบ Lower oil prices also supported easing concerns about tighter monetary policy later this year.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26092907A
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๐ป VT Markets (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
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๐ฅ Startrader (๐จ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Vantage (๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
Gold (XAU/USD)
Quick ๐ธ-Update
Both TPs
โโ
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL
LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry
โบ We set strong TPs in both cases, although our previous TP for Silver would have been triggered as well. We can stay LONG and re-enter - this time again in Gold - slightly below our triggered TP. Silver is also trading near/below our TP.
โบ New York Fed President Williams indicated that one additional rate hike this year may be appropriate to contain inflation, while stressing that there is no urgency to move again following this monthโs rate hike - a surprisingly dovish assessment. Swap markets subsequently reduced their expectations for further rate hikes, providing tailwinds for precious metals and causing the strong USD to temporarily ease somewhat.
โบ Lower oil prices also supported easing concerns about tighter monetary policy later this year.
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26092907A
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๐ฅ PU Prime (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Startrader (๐จ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Vantage (๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
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๐ August 11 - September 29
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
(= 25 full trading days)
๐น Number of Trades/Signals: 137
๐น Number of Trades Won: 128
๐น Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 93.4%
Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100%
Added to statistics: 6/6 - 100%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โโ 23.9 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 30547.30 | overall off-profit | re-entry in profit)
โ 23.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4302.29| overall in-profit)
โ 23.9 - EUR/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 1.13969)
โ 23.9 - NVDA - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 225.59)
(โ 23.9 - AMZN - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 248.34)*
3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
excl. AMZN, may have closed off-profit for some members
โ 24.9 - USOIL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 93.040)
โ 24.9 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 337.97)
โ 24.9 - BTC/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 84333.90 me |or 84289.90)
โ 24.9 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 92.76)
โ 24.9 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 30512.60)
5/5 = 100%
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Even a perfect 6/6 session ๐ (SA/SR = 100%) entering our five-week statistics was not enough to push our already - to be fair - "unreachable" ๐ก Success Rate any higher.
Our success rate remained at 93.4%
No further updates here, as all other positions visible in this part of the overview had already been closed before the start of todayโs session.
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โ 25.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4154.21|overall off-profit| re-entry in profit)
โด๏ธ 25.9 - INTC - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โด๏ธ 25.9 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โ 25.9 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 157.317)
โ 25.9 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 30248.90 | +re-entry)
โ 25.9 - NVDA - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 226.19)
2/6 - (2 open positions)
โ 28.9 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 157.198 or similar)
โ 28.9 - XOM - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 160.67)
โ 28.9 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 30413.80)
3/3 = 100%
โ 29.9 - XAG/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 61.297) ๐ธ
โ 29.9 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 148.34) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 29.9 - LLY - LONG โ๏ธ (open - slightly in profit)
๐ TP
โ โด๏ธ 29.9 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - SL in-profit)
๐ SL ๐ @: 51414.90 | 51369.90 future (DJI)
๐ TP
โ 29.9 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 156.669) ๐ธ
โ 29.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4171.89) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 29.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐ TP
4/7 - (3 open positions)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
We traded todayโs swings and difficult market conditions very well overall.
The unexpectedly dovish tone from the Fedโs Williams, the decline in oil prices, and potentially some BoJ intervention pushed our USD/JPY ๐ธ position into the SL.
It is, of course, also disappointing to see our extremely long Gold/Silver winning streak come to an end - it was very likely the longest ever achieved winning streak in short-term precious-metals trading - congrats again!
Unfortunately, the closing was not ideal for our first lost gold trade, as we were caught by the aggressive overselling.
It was our first negative closing with a precious metal position since our gold trade from June 18 (
That said, we found a perfect final re-entry and followed it up with several strong Gold and Silver trades throughout today's session. We are still LONG. We tighten the TP
Similarly, we could have closed all of our recent index trades profitably. Our Dow Jones position is now deep in profit, and we are setting a tight TP
I am still not entirely sure why my initial Nasdaq 100 ๐ธ position from Monday had a minimally different TP. In hindsight, we could have closed that position higher - same applies to our Gold position of course.
We also executed an outstanding XOM trade ๐ธ on Monday with a perfect entry, followed by another excellent SPCX trade ๐ธ at todayโs NYSE open.
Gold may have been frustrating today, and in the end we didn't close ideally at all, but overall we traded an extremely difficult market environment very well today.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ Building Permits MoM Prel AUG โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ Inflation Rate AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ RBA Trimmed Mean CPI AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 01:30 (๐ก)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ NBS Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ RatingDog Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 01:45 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ RatingDog Services PMI SEP โ 01:45 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Housing Starts YoY AUG โ 05:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Retail Sales AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Current Account Q2 โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท Inflation Rate Prel SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 06:45 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Unemployment Change SEP โ 07:55 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Unemployment Rate SEP โ 07:55 (reported: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Business Confidence SEP โ 08:00 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Consumer Confidence SEP โ 08:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Inflation Rate Prel SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 09:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/25 โ 11:00
โฆ๏ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Inflation Rate Prel SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 12:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ADP Employment Change SEP โ 12:15
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Core PCE Price Index AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 12:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q2 โ 12:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Personal Income MoM AUG โ 12:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Personal Spending MoM AUG โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ PCE Price Index AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Chicago PMI SEP โ 13:45
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/25 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/25 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Barkin Speech โ 17:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Goolsbee Speech โ 21:10
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Kashkari Speech โ 22:00
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
โ๏ธ Jabil (JBL) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ Building Permits MoM Prel AUG โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ Inflation Rate AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ RBA Trimmed Mean CPI AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 01:30 (๐ก)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ NBS Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ RatingDog Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 01:45 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ RatingDog Services PMI SEP โ 01:45 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฏ๐ต Housing Starts YoY AUG โ 05:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Retail Sales AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Current Account Q2 โ 06:00 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท Inflation Rate Prel SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 06:45 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Unemployment Change SEP โ 07:55 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Unemployment Rate SEP โ 07:55 (reported: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Business Confidence SEP โ 08:00 (reported: ๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Consumer Confidence SEP โ 08:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Inflation Rate Prel SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 09:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/25 โ 11:00
โฆ๏ธ ๐ฉ๐ช Inflation Rate Prel SEP (MoM/YoY) โ 12:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ADP Employment Change SEP โ 12:15
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Core PCE Price Index AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 12:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q2 โ 12:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Personal Income MoM AUG โ 12:30
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Personal Spending MoM AUG โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ PCE Price Index AUG (MoM/YoY) โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Chicago PMI SEP โ 13:45
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/25 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/25 โ 14:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Barkin Speech โ 17:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Goolsbee Speech โ 21:10
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Kashkari Speech โ 22:00
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
โ๏ธ Jabil (JBL) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
โค7๐5๐3๐พ3๐ฅ1
Forwarded from ๐ฌ๐ง SmartTraderโข - Overview and Results
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG (BUY)๐ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ
โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
SL ๐ @: (ONLY VIP๐ )
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entry Rangeโ
61.06 - 61.16
โบ The PCE data surprised positively, coming in lower than expected and remaining largely unchanged from the previous month. While inflation remains elevated, analysts had expected a further acceleration. However, we should absolutely not overestimate the signals suggesting that inflation may no longer be a key issue - particularly because of the way PCE is calculated and the fact that these are the August rather than September figures. Personal spending, on the other hand, showed higher spending, which is more likely attributable to inflation than to an actual increase in real consumption.
โบ US GDP growth QoQ came in stronger than expected, but was certainly also supported by elevated inflation.
โบ Expectations for further rate hikes and yields have now fallen, however, resulting in a weaker USD, which should support precious metals.
โบ Gold has moved above 4200. Gains in Silver have so far been more limited, with Silver still trading lower today - currently at 61.20, or around 0.35% down. We are buying Silver here and see significant upside potential.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26083002A
โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update isโ ๏ธ DELAYED โ ๏ธ by: 2๏ธโฃ 5๏ธโฃ + minutes!
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Our gold position had already hit TPโ
๐ธ during Asian trading.
NO DELAY as SmartTrader VIP๐ member โ โฐ
Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting with a SmartTrader Account Manager:
๐๐ Book a free intro call meeting๐ ๐
LONG (BUY)
SL ๐ @: (ONLY VIP
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ The PCE data surprised positively, coming in lower than expected and remaining largely unchanged from the previous month. While inflation remains elevated, analysts had expected a further acceleration. However, we should absolutely not overestimate the signals suggesting that inflation may no longer be a key issue - particularly because of the way PCE is calculated and the fact that these are the August rather than September figures. Personal spending, on the other hand, showed higher spending, which is more likely attributable to inflation than to an actual increase in real consumption.
โบ US GDP growth QoQ came in stronger than expected, but was certainly also supported by elevated inflation.
โบ Expectations for further rate hikes and yields have now fallen, however, resulting in a weaker USD, which should support precious metals.
โบ Gold has moved above 4200. Gains in Silver have so far been more limited, with Silver still trading lower today - currently at 61.20, or around 0.35% down. We are buying Silver here and see significant upside potential.
Silver (XAG/USD):
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 6.0โ7.5 (600%โ750%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 100
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 0.6โ0.75 (60%โ75%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 1000
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 0.12โ0.15 (12%โ15%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 5000
You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).
position code / 100% Transparency - 26083002A
โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Our gold position had already hit TP
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โ 29.09 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
Average movement in our favor: +0.83%
โ๏ธ You could have increased your capital by: +4.81%๐ โ๏ธ
Example:โ๏ธ Initial Capital: $5,000 โ> +$240.36 Profit with just this Trade (+4.81%๐ โ๏ธ ๐ )
โ 23.09 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ 24.09 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ
โ 25.09 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (+Re-entry)
โ 28.09 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ
โ 29.09 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ
Contact us to make sure you donโt miss the next trades:
๐ Your trading success starts with a free call!
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๐ฅ5โค4๐4
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL
LONG (BUY)
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
๐ Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~230 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING
โ ๏ธ 2/3 position size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
๐น Eli Lilly (+0.1%) - is opening at a similar level to yesterday and nearly flat. Todayโs surprisingly soft PCE inflation data could result in a rotation back into growth / tech stocks. LLY has further upside potential, but we are now working with a tight TP, which should also be triggered soon.
๐ TP
๐น Intel (+1.0%) - is opening higher after yesterdayโs nearly flat session and continues to recover from Mondayโs losses. Todayโs US economic data provides tailwinds for growth / risk assets. We expect a positive session for INTC. We are keeping our TP unchanged for now (
๐น Meta (-1.0%) - had a very strong session yesterday (+3.24%), but is seeing some cooling today and is one of the few tech stocks trading lower. We remain LONG.
โบ The market is somewhat confused that PCE inflation data in the US did not rise at all. One reason, however, is that the data is from August and was therefore still influenced by the more moderate prices from June through August. A large part of the recent sharp increase in energy prices only occurred in September.
โบ Ultimately, however, the market also trades the available data and expectations, and in combination with yesterdayโs comments from Fedโs Williams, we are seeing lower expectations for further rate hikes. This should temporarily cool yields somewhat and is positive for stocks. Investors nevertheless remain somewhat cautious overall, as this is the final trading session of the quarter and MUโs earnings report is also coming up.
โบ The combination of PCE and GDP data is positive overall. Strong GDP data alone would probably have been negative, but together with the inflation data (even though they are outdated in reality), we expect some buying during regular trading.
โบ We are buying the Nasdaq 100 and also adding a small position in MSFT. The software giant has recently traded mostly sideways, or rather faced some selling pressure following Fridayโs gains, and is also opening nearly flat today. MSFT should see moderate volatility today. I already bought during pre-market trading. Piper Sandler reiterates MSFT as โOverweightโ, which should also provide tailwinds, and raises its price target from $550 to $610. We expect MSFT to break out of its recent slightly negative sideways movement today.
Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by ~1.5-2x (150%-200%) - 2/3 position size
Microsoft (MSFT): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by ~46-52x (4,600%-5,200%) - 2/3 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093003A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093004A
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We made MEGA NYSE-Opening trades today again ("as always").
You missed out as non-VIP - unfortunately.
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๐ฌ๐ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ LONG (BUY) ๐ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size SL ๐ @: (ONLY VIP ๐ ) TP โ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ ) Recommended Entry Range โ
61.06 - 61.16 โบ The PCE data surprised positively, coming in lower than expected and remaining largelyโฆ
Silver (XAG/USD)
SL ๐ @: 60.469 (No longer current
TP
now
SL ๐ @: 59.78
TP
We are giving Silver a bit more room and tightening our TP
โโ
๐ฐ VIP SIGNAL
LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
โบ We are seeing a somewhat directionless and genuinely confused market. The PCE data came in surprisingly soft. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) for August rose 3.4% YoY, down from 3.7% in the previous month. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had expected inflation to remain unchanged at 3.7%. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, was even more encouraging. It rose 3.0% YoY, down from 3.3% in the previous month, and also came in below economistsโ expectations. Core PCE MoM came in at 0.2% versus 0.3% expected.
โบ In reality, however, the inflation data is already outdated, and PCE inflation is calculated in a way that means it generally reacts with a time lag (+ is from August!).
โบ Even though we are already LONG in Silver, Gold generally reacts more strongly to inflation data. Surprisingly, the Silver price action does not even look particularly strong right now.
โบ We saw Gold jump back above 4200, but it is now trading even below its pre-PCE levels again. We are buying this Gold correction as an additional position, with Gold now back below 4180 - and therefore also below the triggered TP from yesterdayโs position.
โบ Higher oil prices are weighing on Gold / Silver, keeping the USD elevated and are currently the main reason why Gold and Silver have not been able to move higher for now.
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093005A
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You can enter gold lower now
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Silver (XAG/USD)
SL ๐ @: 60.269 (No longer current
TP
now
SL ๐ @: 59.78
TP
Gold (XAU/USD)
TP
We are giving Silver a bit more room, as we are seeing profit-taking despite inflation data coming in softer than expected. Gold has also moved a bit lower. In addition, we are seeing some selling pressure related to portfolio rebalancing.
Precious metals are currently under some pressure from higher oil prices and the rotation back into equities. At the same time, this has already pushed our Nasdaq 100 LONG and MSFT into their TPs
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โค7๐5๐4๐ฅ1
๐ฌ๐ง SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ LONG (BUY) ๐ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size SL ๐ @: (ONLY VIP ๐ ) TP โ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ ) Recommended Entry Range โ
61.06 - 61.16 โบ The PCE data surprised positively, coming in lower than expected and remaining largelyโฆ
๐ฐ VIP UPDATE SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG (BUY)๐ผ Silver (XAG/USD) โช๏ธ
โ ๏ธ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 position size
SL ๐ @: (ONLY VIP๐ )
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entryโ
near/below 60.10
โบ We are changing our strategy here, as Silver is now clearly oversold.
โบ The market got the soft PCE data it had been hoping for and certainly did not expect. At the same time, US Treasury yields fell after the softer-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will refrain from another rate hike in October. Swap markets are still pricing in one more rate cut in 2026 - but only one.
โบ Instead of working with an increasingly tighter SL, we prefer to manage the position more actively and buy the current overselling.
โบ We are setting a TPโ
that allows us to close the overall position profitably.
โบ Gold is also trading a bit lower now - however, we expect Gold to find buyers near 4150, at least for now. We are not increasing our Gold exposure for the time being.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26083002B
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LONG (BUY)
SL ๐ @: (ONLY VIP
TP
Recommended Entry
โบ We are changing our strategy here, as Silver is now clearly oversold.
โบ The market got the soft PCE data it had been hoping for and certainly did not expect. At the same time, US Treasury yields fell after the softer-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will refrain from another rate hike in October. Swap markets are still pricing in one more rate cut in 2026 - but only one.
โบ Instead of working with an increasingly tighter SL, we prefer to manage the position more actively and buy the current overselling.
โบ We are setting a TP
โบ Gold is also trading a bit lower now - however, we expect Gold to find buyers near 4150, at least for now. We are not increasing our Gold exposure for the time being.
Silver (XAG/USD):
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 6.0โ7.5 (600%โ750%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 100
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 0.6โ0.75 (60%โ75%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 1000
Multiply your usual โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approx. 0.12โ0.15 (12%โ15%) โ 3/5 position size, for contract size 5000
You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).
position code / 100% Transparency - 26083002B
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG (BUY)๐ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL ๐ @ (ONLY VIP๐ )
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entryโ
near 51210
๐ DJI future ~45 points lower
โบ Higher oil prices reduced the positive impact of the surprisingly โsoftโ - but in reality outdated - PCE data, the Fedโs preferred inflation gauge.
โบ Expectations for further rate hikes have declined. Swap markets are currently pricing in only around a 39% chance of a rate hike in October, down from roughly 51% yesterday and 71% last week.
โบ We are now seeing oil prices cool somewhat after the EIA also reported a build in crude oil inventories - although gasoline inventories fell more sharply than expected. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs say they expect Middle East oil flows to move back toward pre-war levels after Saudi Arabia increased shipments in recent days through a key pipeline that exports oil via its Red Sea ports. This pipeline significantly reduces the importance of the Strait of Hormuz - at least for Saudi Arabia.
โบ We made a great Nasdaq 100 trade before / around the NYSE opening and now see upside in the Dow, which has underperformed due to a rotation into riskier / growth stocks. We also closed a Dow LONG at 51638.40 during Asian / European trading - more than 400 points above the current price. The Dow is now trading at its session lows, weighed down by losses in financial stocks (particularly GS, but also V, JPM and AXP, as financials are not benefiting from expectations of lower rates). At the same time, we are seeing underperformance in defensive stocks.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093006A
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Book a free exclusive one-on-one meeting with a SmartTrader Account Manager:
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LONG (BUY)
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL ๐ @ (ONLY VIP
TP
Recommended Entry
๐ DJI future ~45 points lower
โบ Higher oil prices reduced the positive impact of the surprisingly โsoftโ - but in reality outdated - PCE data, the Fedโs preferred inflation gauge.
โบ Expectations for further rate hikes have declined. Swap markets are currently pricing in only around a 39% chance of a rate hike in October, down from roughly 51% yesterday and 71% last week.
โบ We are now seeing oil prices cool somewhat after the EIA also reported a build in crude oil inventories - although gasoline inventories fell more sharply than expected. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs say they expect Middle East oil flows to move back toward pre-war levels after Saudi Arabia increased shipments in recent days through a key pipeline that exports oil via its Red Sea ports. This pipeline significantly reduces the importance of the Strait of Hormuz - at least for Saudi Arabia.
โบ We made a great Nasdaq 100 trade before / around the NYSE opening and now see upside in the Dow, which has underperformed due to a rotation into riskier / growth stocks. We also closed a Dow LONG at 51638.40 during Asian / European trading - more than 400 points above the current price. The Dow is now trading at its session lows, weighed down by losses in financial stocks (particularly GS, but also V, JPM and AXP, as financials are not benefiting from expectations of lower rates). At the same time, we are seeing underperformance in defensive stocks.
Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your โstandard position size (EUR/USD)โ by ~1.25 - 1.5x (175%-200%) - 2/3 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093006A
โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG NOW / SOON (BUY)๐ผ EUR/USD
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entryโ
near/below 1.13215
โบ Todayโs USD strength is somewhat difficult to justify fundamentally after PCE data - the Fedโs preferred inflation gauge - showed a softer-than-expected increase in US inflation for August.
โบ Combined with yesterdayโs more dovish Fed commentary, the PCE report has significantly reduced expectations for another Fed rate hike this year. Less than 40% of the market is now pricing in an October hike, compared with more than 70% last week.
โบ A renewed rebound in oil prices has nevertheless provided some support for the USD, which is on track for its strongest month since June, with Brent remaining close to $100 per barrel.
โบ We are also seeing typical quarter-end positioning and portfolio rebalancing, which is providing additional near-term support for the USD.
โบ Eurozone inflation data was broadly similar in direction to the US figures, although these were already September readings: 3.0% YoY in France, 4.2% in Italy, and 3.3% in Germany.
โบ In the very near term, we see some upside potential in EUR/USD from current levels. The broader outlook, however, remains bearish as long as the Iran conflict remains unresolved and the prospects for renewed diplomacy remain uncertain.
โบ We can buy EUR/USD near 1.13200.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093007A
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๐ถ ๐ต ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
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SmartTrader_Onboarding ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐
LONG NOW / SOON (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry
โบ Todayโs USD strength is somewhat difficult to justify fundamentally after PCE data - the Fedโs preferred inflation gauge - showed a softer-than-expected increase in US inflation for August.
โบ Combined with yesterdayโs more dovish Fed commentary, the PCE report has significantly reduced expectations for another Fed rate hike this year. Less than 40% of the market is now pricing in an October hike, compared with more than 70% last week.
โบ A renewed rebound in oil prices has nevertheless provided some support for the USD, which is on track for its strongest month since June, with Brent remaining close to $100 per barrel.
โบ We are also seeing typical quarter-end positioning and portfolio rebalancing, which is providing additional near-term support for the USD.
โบ Eurozone inflation data was broadly similar in direction to the US figures, although these were already September readings: 3.0% YoY in France, 4.2% in Italy, and 3.3% in Germany.
โบ In the very near term, we see some upside potential in EUR/USD from current levels. The broader outlook, however, remains bearish as long as the Iran conflict remains unresolved and the prospects for renewed diplomacy remain uncertain.
โบ We can buy EUR/USD near 1.13200.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093007A
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โค5๐ฅ4๐2๐1
๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
LONG (BUY)๐ผ Dow Jones (US30) ๐บ๐ธ
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TPโ
@: (ONLY VIP ๐ )
Recommended Entryโ
near/below 50940
๐ DJI future ~45 points lower
โบ Our previous Dow position hit the very tight SL ๐๐ธ before falling another ~100 points amid increased profit-taking during the final minutes of the quarter and ahead of MU earnings.
โบ The SL was probably slightly too tight. However, the subsequent decline now allows us to re-enter below our previous SL, leaving us in a better position than if we had simply continued holding. We actually also found a good entry with the position first rising more than 100 points but then facing some sentiment selling (quarter end selling).
โบ The Dow lost more than 250 points during the final hour of trading that saw a bit of turbulence.
โบ Both the S&P 500 and Dow closed lower despite fresh US economic data showing softer inflation, which simultaneously pushed Treasury yields lower.
โบ MU has now reported very strong earnings, including an equally strong outlook that exceeded consensus expectations. The key question is how high investorsโ unofficial โwhisper/shadowโ expectations had become ahead of the report, given the already very bullish analyst forecasts.
โบ The report itself was stronger than an already elevated consensus. MU is currently trading modestly higher at around +0.5%.
โบ We are buying the dip in the Dow here and continue to see upside potential into October.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093008A
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โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ฏ ๐
We hit the exact session low with our second entry HERE.
LET'S TRADE TOGETHER:
๐ป VT Markets (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ป TMGM (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ PU Prime (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Startrader (๐จ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Vantage (๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
LONG (BUY)
โ ๏ธ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP
Recommended Entry
๐ DJI future ~45 points lower
โบ Our previous Dow position hit the very tight SL ๐๐ธ before falling another ~100 points amid increased profit-taking during the final minutes of the quarter and ahead of MU earnings.
โบ The SL was probably slightly too tight. However, the subsequent decline now allows us to re-enter below our previous SL, leaving us in a better position than if we had simply continued holding. We actually also found a good entry with the position first rising more than 100 points but then facing some sentiment selling (quarter end selling).
โบ The Dow lost more than 250 points during the final hour of trading that saw a bit of turbulence.
โบ Both the S&P 500 and Dow closed lower despite fresh US economic data showing softer inflation, which simultaneously pushed Treasury yields lower.
โบ MU has now reported very strong earnings, including an equally strong outlook that exceeded consensus expectations. The key question is how high investorsโ unofficial โwhisper/shadowโ expectations had become ahead of the report, given the already very bullish analyst forecasts.
โบ The report itself was stronger than an already elevated consensus. MU is currently trading modestly higher at around +0.5%.
โบ We are buying the dip in the Dow here and continue to see upside potential into October.
Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your โstandard position size (EUR/USD)โ by ~1.25 - 1.5x (175%-200%) - 2/3 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26093008A
โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED
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โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
We hit the exact session low with our second entry HERE.
LET'S TRADE TOGETHER:
๐ป VT Markets (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ป TMGM (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ PU Prime (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Startrader (๐จ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ Vantage (๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
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๐ฅ6โค5๐2๐2๐1
๐ August 12 - September 30
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
(= 25 full trading days)
๐น Number of Trades/Signals: 135
๐น Number of Trades Won: 125
๐น Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 92.6%
Dropped from statistics: 6/6 - 100%
Added to statistics: 3/4 - 75% Signal Accuracy (September 23)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ 24.9 - USOIL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 93.040)
โ 24.9 - AAPL - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 337.97)
โ 24.9 - BTC/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 84333.90 me |or 84289.90)
โ 24.9 - USOIL - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 92.76)
โ 24.9 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 30512.60)
5/5 = 100%
โ 25.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4154.21|overall off-profit| re-entry in profit)
โด๏ธ 25.9 - INTC - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โด๏ธ 25.9 - META - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โ 25.9 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 157.317)
โ 25.9 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 30248.90 | +re-entry)
โ 25.9 - NVDA - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 226.19)
2/6 - (2 open positions)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Our
Another flawless session (6/6; ๐ SA/SR = 100%) dropped out of our five-week statistics and was replaced by a 3/4 session (SA/SR = 75%).
We still have two open stock positions from Friday, both of which continue to offer meaningful upside potential at the start of Q4. META gave back part of Tuesdayโs sharp gains today, while INTC delivered a very strong session and closed +3.7%. Both stocks are also trading higher in after-hours trading.
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โค6๐ฅ5๐4๐ค1
โ 28.9 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 157.198 or similar)
โ 28.9 - XOM - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 160.67)
โ 28.9 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 30413.80)
3/3 = 100%
โ 29.9 - XAG/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 61.297)
โ 29.9 - SPCX - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 148.34)
โ 29.9 - LLY - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 1191.87)
โ 29.9 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 51638.40)
โ 29.9 - USD/JPY - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 156.669)
โ 29.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4171.89)
โ 29.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 4193.23)
6/7 = 85.7% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
โ 30.9 - NAS100 - SHORT โ๏ธ (TP - 30466.60 | or clsd) ๐ธ
โ 30.9 - XAG/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 60.897 - overall in profit) ๐ธ
๐ SL ๐ @: 59.78 | TP
โ 30.9 - NAS100 - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 30632.30) ๐ธ
โ 30.9 - MSFT - LONG โ๏ธ (TP - 519.23) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 30.9 - XAU/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - off-profit)
๐ TP
โ 30.9 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (SL - 51032.90) ๐ธ
โด๏ธ 30.9 - EUR/USD - LONG โ๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐ TP
โด๏ธ 30.9 - US30 - LONG โ๏ธ (open - in-profit)
๐ TP
3/8 - (3 open positions)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
It was not a perfect session - but under todayโs conditions, that would have been nearly impossible to achieve. The PCE data came in very differently from expectations, and the subsequent market reaction was almost the opposite of what would have made fundamental sense. Oil prices remained a factor but also the fact that it was the last Q3 session.
We had a few small off-profit closings, including our first Dow ๐ธ position, where the SL was very tight. Overall, however, we traded the market well - limiting risk, waiting for better entry levels, and positioning ourselves on the right side of the intraday swings.
Silverโs price action was a perfect example of just how confused the market was today, with a long list of conflicting factors influencing risk sentiment. We adjusted our strategy well and identified an excellent re-entry range.
As always, we also delivered very strong NYSE Opening Trades, including MSFT ๐ธ and our Nasdaq 100 LONG ๐ธ.
We are slightly adjusting the TPs
โ
PS: Sorry for the late update. I had to take care of some portfolio rebalancing work for a consulting client.
Congrats on another strong session - in truly challenging markets! Great trading!
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ Balance of Trade AUG โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Nationwide Housing Prices (MoM/YoY) SEP โ 06:00 (๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ ECB General Council Meeting โ 07:00
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 07:45 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 07:50 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 07:55 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 08:00 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Unemployment Rate AUG โ 08:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 08:30 (๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Unemployment Rate AUG โ 09:00 (reported: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Challenger Job Cuts SEP โ 09:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Initial Jobless Claims SEP/26 โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Barkin Speech โ 13:05
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Collins Speech โ 13:05
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Schmid Speech โ 13:05
๐ธ ๐จ๐ฆ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 13:30
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ ECB President Lagarde Speech โ 13:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 13:45
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Manufacturing Employment SEP โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Manufacturing Prices SEP โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Williams Speech โ 19:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Logan Speech โ 22:45
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
โ๏ธ Accenture (ACN) ๐ฎ๐ช
๐ Nike (NKE) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ Balance of Trade AUG โ 01:30 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง Nationwide Housing Prices (MoM/YoY) SEP โ 06:00 (๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ ECB General Council Meeting โ 07:00
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 07:45 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ซ๐ท S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 07:50 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ช S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 07:55 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 08:00 (๐ข)
๐ธ ๐ฎ๐น Unemployment Rate AUG โ 08:00 (reported: ๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ฌ๐ง S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 08:30 (๐ด)
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ Unemployment Rate AUG โ 09:00 (reported: ๐ก)
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Challenger Job Cuts SEP โ 09:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Initial Jobless Claims SEP/26 โ 12:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Barkin Speech โ 13:05
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Collins Speech โ 13:05
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Schmid Speech โ 13:05
๐ธ ๐จ๐ฆ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 13:30
๐ธ ๐ช๐บ ECB President Lagarde Speech โ 13:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final SEP โ 13:45
โฆ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Manufacturing PMI SEP โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Manufacturing Employment SEP โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ISM Manufacturing Prices SEP โ 14:00
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Williams Speech โ 19:30
๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ Fed Logan Speech โ 22:45
๐ธ = Event of medium/high importance
โฆ๏ธ= Event of very high importance
๐ด = Data worse than analysts' expectations
๐ก = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
๐ข = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
โ๏ธ Accenture (ACN) ๐ฎ๐ช
๐ Nike (NKE) ๐บ๐ธ
---
SmartTraderโข Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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๐ฐ FREE VIP SIGNAL ๐ฏ
SHORT (SELL)๐ฝ Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) ๐ข (spot)
โ ๏ธ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TPโ
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Recommended Entry Rangeโ
99.50 - 99.60
โบ During late Asian / European trading, we saw fluctuations, with moves in oil prices being the key driver. Oil prices rose after initially trading lower, following a Reuters report that Chinese state oil major PetroChina had suspended its October fuel exports, putting additional pressure on already war-constrained energy markets. Beijing appears to be trying to safeguard domestic supplies.
โบ According to calculations from several major investment banks, including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and UOB, crude oil flows from the Middle East are reportedly moving back toward pre-war levels. However, supplies of refined fuels, particularly gasoline, continue to lag behind.
โบ The renewed rise in oil prices also pushed yields higher, with global bond yields at multi-decade highs. Our Gold position was able to hit the TP ๐ธ (at the current daily high) before Gold moved lower again as oil prices rose. We are also seeing a stronger USD as a result of higher oil prices and yields.
โบ Market sentiment initially started the day positively and was additionally supported by Micronโs strong earnings report.
โบ We see further upside in oil prices as limited from here and are selling Brent.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26100101A
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SHORT (SELL)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
-> LCO1 (Dec'26) Contract is $0.70 higher (100.20- 100.30)
โบ During late Asian / European trading, we saw fluctuations, with moves in oil prices being the key driver. Oil prices rose after initially trading lower, following a Reuters report that Chinese state oil major PetroChina had suspended its October fuel exports, putting additional pressure on already war-constrained energy markets. Beijing appears to be trying to safeguard domestic supplies.
โบ According to calculations from several major investment banks, including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and UOB, crude oil flows from the Middle East are reportedly moving back toward pre-war levels. However, supplies of refined fuels, particularly gasoline, continue to lag behind.
โบ The renewed rise in oil prices also pushed yields higher, with global bond yields at multi-decade highs. Our Gold position was able to hit the TP ๐ธ (at the current daily high) before Gold moved lower again as oil prices rose. We are also seeing a stronger USD as a result of higher oil prices and yields.
โบ Market sentiment initially started the day positively and was additionally supported by Micronโs strong earnings report.
โบ We see further upside in oil prices as limited from here and are selling Brent.
Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 2.0-3.0x (200%-300%) when trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) - contract size 10 - 1/2 position size
Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL): Multiply your โstandard (EUR/USD)โ position size by approximately 0.20-0.30x (20%-30%) when trading Brent Oil (CL_Brent / UKOIL) - contract size 100 - 1/2 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26100101A
โฑ๏ธ Signal / Update is DELAYED
โก๏ธ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
NO DELAY as SmartTrader VIP
Become a SmartTrader VIP
๐ป VT Markets (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ง๐ณ๐ฟ๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ป TMGM (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
๐ฅ PU Prime (๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐บ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
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๐ฅ Vantage (๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐)
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