⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15683

GBP/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.33968

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
TP ✅ @: 4205.38

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29486.20 (29481.60 future)

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
TP ✅ @: 63317.60

Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 274.06

We see a market that is searching for direction amid a long list of uncertainties. The SpaceX IPO - the largest IPO in history - ultimately performed strongly and better than expected - simply very well executed. A good IPO typically ends with gains of around +20% - and SPCX is currently doing even better, trading near $175 (roughly +30% above its IPO offering price of $135.00). Retail investors were able to get in at around $150.00, leaving everyone happy for now.

We continue to see overall positive risk sentiment, as the Trump administration is once again sending positive signals regarding another ceasefire with Iran that could potentially be signed as early as Sunday.

While we expect somewhat more caution toward the NYSE close, we generally see improved risk sentiment and a good chance that the recent period of weakness is over for now - at least provided that negotiations between the US and Iran do not break down significantly over the weekend.

We are tightening our TPs here (while remaining LONG NVDA & GOOG/L). At the same time, we are seeing oil prices edge higher, which could ultimately weigh somewhat on the currently positive risk sentiment. Bond yields also remain higher today (US 10Y +2 bps).

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: near/below 29670 🔄
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: near/below 4215 🔄
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
TP ✅ @: 63553.60

EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15736 (or just close near break-even)
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️

GBP/USD
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 1.34110 - 1.34150
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️


While we have seen some mild de-risking, we continue to see a significantly improved risk sentiment overall. It is likely that some form of ceasefire will be presented over the weekend which, while it may ultimately prove to be just as fragile as the previous agreement, will be received positively by the markets. The prospect of further de-escalation alone is likely to reassure investors and help cool oil prices somewhat further.

We are currently positioned mixed in the market and intend to close or reduce our Risk-SHORT positions.

Oil prices remain the key driver of risk sentiment. Even though there is a high probability that the US and Iran will continue to have major differences over the weekend (and that no deal may ultimately be reached), Trump is likely to maintain optimistic rhetoric. The Trump administration wants to present some form of success and is just wants to move past the Iran conflict.

The fact alone that we saw a very successful IPO today should provide additional support for market sentiment and demonstrates that overall sentiment toward technology companies remains positive.

Even though we are closing these positions here off-profit or near break-even, I prefer to re-position at these levels. If today were not a Friday, we would likely see considerably more risk-on positioning as well.
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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
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Recommended Entry ✅near/below 29600

📌 Nasdaq future (Jun'26) ~5 points lower


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
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Recommended Entry ✅near/below 24660


► We saw surprisingly little volatility during the final trading hours. Risk assets and most other asset classes traded largely sideways. SPCX gave back part of its strong gains but is still likely to close the session up around +20% (currently trading near $161), ultimately finishing roughly where it was trading during its first few minutes when trading for the first time.

► With Iran, the US, and also the Prime Minister of Pakistan all sending strong signals that some form of agreement can be reached, we are likely to hear additional positive headlines over the weekend - more likely even a renewed ceasefire agreement. That alone should be enough for investors to look past the war again at the start of next week. Investors are likely to begin the week with a more positive tone overall, especially as there are now once again clear signs that the Trump administration is pushing for a deal - even one that is much closer to Iran's demands from recent weeks. Ultimately, any agreement will remain fragile, as Iran in particular is likely to insist that a ceasefire between Lebanon/Hezbollah and Israel be part of the arrangement.

► We see oil prices having cooled significantly and ending the week near multi-month lows - a substantial tailwind for market sentiment.

► We were already LONG the DAX earlier today (and closed the position too early) and are now re-entering. At the same time, we are also going LONG the Nasdaq.

► We are trading both positions with reduced size. We are taking advantage of the late dip that ultimately did materialize. If you are still SHORT the Nasdaq, you can close the position now near 29600 and then turn around. We are working with fairly wide TPs here (or even open TPs).

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 1.5–2.0x (200%–250%) - 1/2 position size

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~1.5–2.0x (200%–250%) - 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26061205A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26061206A


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 30248.90
(or already triggered; re-entry possible)

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 24894.90
TP ✅ @: 25134.90
(or already triggered; re-entry possible)

We saw stocks open very strongly into the new week (into the Asian session) after the US and Iran announced that they had reached an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz will (or rather, is supposed to) reopen on Friday upon the signing of the agreement with Iran, President Trump said in a post on Truth Social. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif was the first to announce the deal, followed by Trump and Iranian state media. While we still view this more as an optimism trade than absolute certainty, there is now significantly (!) more room for further gains in equities as well as additional downside potential for oil prices.

If you had set TPs, they have been triggered - if not, you can continue to move your TPs higher from here (I personally worked with open TPs).

I see substantial additional upside potential from here, as there is currently a great deal of optimism in the market that this "peace agreement" paves the way toward ending a conflict that has claimed thousands of lives, heavily burdened the global economy through significantly higher energy prices, brought inflation back, even led to an ECB rate hike - all of which caused considerable volatility across virtually all markets for more than three months.

Congratulations!

If your TPs were triggered - congratulations - you can re-enter here for now. We expect significant additional upside potential (particularly in European equities, which are currently still lagging somewhat behind).


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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 30029.40
TP ✅ @: 30288.90

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
SL 🔑 @: 24928.90
TP ✅ @: 25134.90

We can widen our TP ✅ for the Nasdaq 100 a bit further from here. At the same time, we are tightening our SL 🔑 significantly for the DAX and can now also set a SL 🔑 for the Nasdaq 100.

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 April 30 - June 12
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: April 30 - June 05
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 117 (+2 open p. - GOOGL & NVDIA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 107
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 91.5% 🔽 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (April 29)
Added to statistics: 4/5 - 80% Signal Accuracy (June 05)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 06 - June 12 🔹

✅ 8.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 89.561 me | or 91.38)
✅ 8.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 88.836)
✅ 8.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 302.43 me | or 297.79)
✅ 8.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51087.90)
✅ 8.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29657.90 me |or 29651.20)
❌ 8.6 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 295.37 | +re-entry in profit)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy

❌ 9.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29254.90 me or similar | partial close TP - 28924.90 or similar/higher | overall off-profit)
✅ 9.6 - CVX - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 187.36)
❌ 9.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 268.69 | overall - off-profit)
🟡❌ 9.6 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (clsd near 1.15455)

1/4 = 25% Signal Accuracy


——————————————


After 3-4 outstanding months, we are looking back at a mixed previous week in which we were often not ahead of the markets - and even ended Friday overall in negative territory. For now, however, our 🔽 success rate in our five-week statistics remains above the supposedly "impossible" threshold of 90% - currently standing at 91.5%.

Yet another perfect 4/4 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%) has dropped out of the statistics and has been replaced by last Friday's 4/5 session (SA/SR = 80%).

We still have two open positions within this time frame (GOOG/L & NVDA), with both closing positively today. GOOGL gained more than 0.5%, while NVDA managed to post a small gain of 0.16%.

Apart from that, nothing has changed compared to the trading days shown here. We continue to count the EUR/USD trade as a losing trade, even though in reality it was a break-even exit (and slightly profitable for me personally). This will "unfortunately" cause our success rate to come down somewhat from the truly galactic levels where it has been for many weeks now.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹


🟡 10.6 - AUS_200 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 8636.10)
✅ 10.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd at 4179.13 me)
✅ 10.6 - PEP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 144.48)
❌ 10.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4107.73| +re-entry)
✅ 10.6 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15283)

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy

✅ 11.6 - EUR/GBP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 0.86364)
✅ 11.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 28626.60)
❌ 11.6 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 1.34136 or similar) 🔄📸
✴️ 11.6 - MRVL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 274.06 🔄
✅ 11.6 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 114.11)
❌ 11.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 29652.70| o. off-profit) 🔄📸
❌ 11.6 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 63553.60) 🔄📸
✅ 11.6 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 160.04)

4/8 - (1 open positions)


🔹FRIDAY'S TRADES 🔹

❌🟡 12.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (clsd 24549.30 or similar) 📸
✅ 12.6 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.28) 📸
(🟡 12.6 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15736 | break-even))*
❌ 12.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4221.60 me) 📸
✅✴️ 12.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 30043.40 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 30296.90 🔄
✅✴️ 12.6 - DAX_40 - LONG (open - in-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 24942.90 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 25134.90 🔄

3/5 - (4 open positions)
*excl. break-even position


——————————————


It was not a great previous week - the first not very profitable week in many months. The many swings, mixed economic data, market reversals, and unexpected events (particularly those driven by Trump), combined with broader uncertainty, led to several situations where we found ourselves slightly behind the market. Our main problem was often our positioning at the start of a trading session, only for the market to reverse course once again.

In the end, we made the decision to close virtually everything on Friday - including some positions at a loss - in order to reposition ourselves once again (bullish). This time, however, we managed to get well ahead of the markets, and are now benefiting from the strong gains in global equities that we expected following some form of "peace" agreement between the US and Iran. The sharp decline in energy prices has been one of the key drivers behind these strong market gains.

I still have the two index positions (Nasdaq / DAX) open, but if they had already been closed, Friday's session (including the opening trades) would actually have ended quite positively. We are once again updating our SLs 🔑 and TPs ✅.

This week will be great again 🚀

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 (ONLY VIP 💎)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅(ONLY VIP 💎)

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅30250 - 30285
(30215 - 30245 future)

📌 Nasdaq future (Jun'26) ~35 points lower

► Despite the agreement between the US and Iran, which will (likely) lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, we are still seeing only limited gains in Europe, particularly (ONLY VIP 💎). The (ONLY VIP 💎) is currently trading less than (ONLY VIP 💎) above Friday's close - an anomaly.

► News that oil will soon be able to flow freely again caused oil prices to plunge by around 5%. The new agreement - which postpones the most difficult issues to a later stage - effectively puts the US back on almost the same diplomatic footing it was on before the US and Israel launched strikes against Iran in March. If negotiations continue along a similar path, this war will ultimately have to be viewed as a failure from the US perspective. Trump, however, wants out of the conflict and will certainly declare some form of victory.

► This framework agreement nevertheless represents a major step toward ending the conflict - even though it has not yet been officially signed. At the same time, it now becomes significantly more difficult for Trump to allow the conflict to escalate again.

► The weak performance of the (ONLY VIP 💎) can largely be attributed to sharp declines in (ONLY VIP 💎), as well as a degree of caution ahead of this week's central bank rate decisions (ONLY VIP 💎).

► Given these very positive geopolitical developments, it is difficult to imagine the (ONLY VIP 💎) turning (ONLY VIP 💎) from here and failing to move higher. We are buying this underperformance.

► At the same time, we remain LONG Wall Street and are re-entering the Nasdaq 100 (slightly below our triggered TP ✅📸 | DAX hit our SL 🔑📸).

(ONLY VIP 💎)

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0-2.5x (200%-250%) - 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26061501A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26061502A


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❌ DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS! ❌
❌ DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS! ❌
❌ DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS! ❌


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹

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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅24940 - 24990

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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 229.07 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅224.00 - 225.50
(BA opened a bit higher - at 225.30)

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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 391.50 🔄

🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG WHEN NYSE TRADING 🔼 Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
⚠️ VERY HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: 132.19 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅ 128.00 - 129.00


Stocks are rallying as oil prices fall to three-month lows after the US and Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and signals continue to strengthen that the three-month conflict is coming to an end. The now expected normalization of energy flows would not only unwind the still significant risk premium in energy prices, but also comes as a major relief for central bank policymakers after they had already shifted course in response to the re-acceleration in inflation caused by the largest oil shock in history.


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (+2.3%) - is trading sharply higher, with technology and growth stocks benefiting particularly strongly from the temporary solution between the US and Iran. SpaceX (not part of the Nasdaq 100) continues its rally following Friday's successful IPO, reinforcing the overall very positive risk sentiment. We expect further gains.

🔹 Alphabet (+1.9%) - is opening higher and extending Friday's gains. We are widening our TP back toward last week's highs.
👉 TP ✅ @: 371.89 | (370.34 GOOG) 🔄

🔹 Nvidia (+1.8%) - still has substantial upside potential. NVDA touched $210.00 in pre-market trading but subsequently saw some mild profit-taking. We remain LONG and are moving our TP higher, while being willing to hold the position for longer. NVDA would have opened even higher, but news of a $20 billion bond offering is weighing slightly in the short term - even though it makes virtually no difference fundamentally.
👉 TP ✅ @: 217.37

🔹 Marvell (+4.8%) - opens significantly higher alongside other chip stocks. We will exit the position on the next pullback but do not want to wait much longer. There is likely to be resistance near/above $300.00 for now.
👉 TP ✅ @: 285.43


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► We are going LONG Boeing, which offers further upside potential after a weak performance over the past 30 days and is still down nearly 5% month-over-month despite today's roughly 2% rebound. Boeing benefits significantly from lower fuel prices, which are also helping airline and cruise operators gain more than 4%. The tourism and hospitality sector is among the biggest beneficiaries of the new ceasefire and sharply lower oil prices. Oil prices are down around 5% (WTI even about 5.5%).

► The DAX is currently facing resistance around the key 25000 level. We already closed the position earlier today with a substantial profit and are now adding the DAX back to our list of index LONGs. The DAX is up around 1.4% and still has considerable upside potential. Lower oil prices have pushed EUR/USD higher, while last week's ECB rate hike continues to support the EUR - which is a slight headwind for Germany's export-oriented economy. However, lower oil prices and hopes that the re-acceleration in inflation can be contained, making another rate hike later this year less likely, provide significant support for the DAX.

► We are further increasing our exposure to the chip sector and are adding both AVGO and INTC to our portfolio. INTC serves as a good hedge for our MRVL position, while AVGO has substantial rebound potential. Alternatively, one could also re-enter NVDA (although we should already have strong re-entries there). We are likely to find a better entry in AVGO shortly after the open (not directly at opening), while INTC is expected to move higher quickly and reach our TP.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.0–2.5 (200%–250%) – 2/3 position size.

Boeing (BA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 100–110x (10,000%–11,000%) – 2/3 position size

Broadcom (AVGO): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 80–90x (8,000%–9,000%) – 1/2 position size.

Intel (INTC): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 150–170x (15,000%–17,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26061503A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26061504A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26061505A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26061506A

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——

A beautiful NYSE opening for us. Also our Nasdaq 100 already hit TP ✅📸. Our GOOG/L position is very close to TP as well.

You can find an entry into DAX now even lower (🔼 24900)


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Delta Air Lines (DAL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅83.90 - 84.10


► Airline stocks gave back most of their initial gains following profit-taking after a very strong opening.

► We wanted to trade the travel and hospitality sector (particularly the airline sector), but chose BA due to the already very strong opening in airline stocks - which turned out to be the perfect decision. Our BA trade has already hit TP ✅📸 (as have Nasdaq 100 / INTC 📸), delivering a nice profit thanks to a very strong, almost perfect entry range.

► DAL is now only trading around 1.3% higher and hovering around the $84.00. We are entering here and continue to see upside potential.

► Oil prices have fallen further, providing strong tailwinds for the sector. WTI is now down more than 5%, while fuel prices are down around 3%, somewhat less but still with additional short-term downside potential.

Delta Airlines (DAL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 320–350x (32,000%–35,000%) – 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26061507A

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅2963 - 2969

► There is a significant risk that the Strait of Hormuz, which Trump says will be fully reopened by Friday, will instead reopen only gradually and under challenging conditions, or that disruptions return after the initial reopening. The specific terms of the reopening still leave considerable room for renewed tensions and incidents. Nevertheless, I believe it is more likely that the news flow remains positive in the coming days, even though Iran's desire to control traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and collect fees will likely lead to a deterioration in rhetoric again over the coming weeks.

► The Trump administration wants to present developments as positively as possible and frame them as a success. US Vice President JD Vance stated that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has already increased over the past 24 hours. However, ship-tracking firm Kpler has not yet observed a meaningful increase in transits, although traffic is likely to rise sharply once an official agreement is signed. Vance also said he expects the US-Iran deal to keep the Strait of Hormuz open without tolls in the long term - an overly optimistic assumption.

► Another risk factor remains the potential resumption of Israel's military campaign in Lebanon. Trump is likely to increase pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu to restrain Israeli strikes, military actions, and aggressive rhetoric.

► We see some cooling in what had previously been a very positive risk sentiment, but still expect further gains tomorrow. We are buying the dip in the Russell, with the small-cap index trading near its Friday highs.

► Our European index positions are currently slightly off-profit, but still have substantial room for further gains (or, in the case of the FTSE_100, a return to today's highs during tomorrow's session).

► The Russell 2000 has solid support in the 2950 - 2970 range (particularly below 2970) and benefits from lower oil prices as well as declining bond yields. At 2969, the Russell 2000 is up around 0.9% and still has significant upside potential from here.

Russell 2000 (US2000): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 20–23x (2,000%–2,300%) - 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26061508A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 25037.30

FTSE 100 (GBR_100) 🇬🇧
TP ✅ @: 10499.70

Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 2988.70

Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 296.21

Delta Air Lines (DAL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 84.93

Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 395.07

We are updating our positions. If you are still holding MRVL, we need to move our TP further higher following the very strong session for chip stocks.

By contrast, we are tightening our TP for AVGO, allowing for the possibility of closing the position at tomorrow's NYSE open with a potential gap higher (the same applies to DAL).

For our European indices, we are tightening our TPs slightly for now. We are also making a small downard adjustment to our Russell 2000 TP.


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 01 - June 15
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 01 - June 08
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 118 (+1 open p. - NVDIA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 107
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.7% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (April 30)
Added to statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (June 08)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 09 - June 15 🔹

❌ 9.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29254.90 me or similar | partial close TP - 28924.90 or similar/higher | overall off-profit)
✅ 9.6 - CVX - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 187.36)
❌ 9.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 268.69 | overall - off-profit)
🟡❌ 9.6 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (clsd near 1.15455)

1/4 = 25% Signal Accuracy

(🟡 10.6 - AUS_200 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 8636.10))*
✅ 10.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (clsd at 4179.13 me)
✅ 10.6 - PEP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 144.48)
❌ 10.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4107.73| +re-entry)
✅ 10.6 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15283)

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy


——————————————


Our 🔽 success rate slips slightly to 90.7% as yet another one of the many flawless 5/5 💎 sessions (SA/SR = 100%) dropped out of our 5-week statistics and was replaced by last Monday's 5/6 session (SA/SR = 83.3%).

Additionally, we closed our still-open GOOG/L position today at TP ✅. Overall, the trade finished slightly in profit thanks to our very strong re-entry. However, I do not want to count this position as a winning trade, as our original entry was still closed significantly off-profit and we always want to remain conservative with our statistics. Ideally, we could have closed the position a bit higher later this week. That said, we still managed the trade well.

We therefore classify our GOOGL position as Break-even 🟡 and exclude it from our performance overview (it will, of course, still be included in the raw data). This leaves us with 11 losing trades over 25 trading days - meaning that the majority of trading days over the past 5-6 weeks still ended with a flawless record.

No other updates from the positions shown here. Our NVDA position remains open - but it was once again a very strong trading session for the AI chip leader today (+3.54%).

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 11.6 - EUR/GBP - LONG ↗️ (TP - 0.86364)
✅ 11.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 28626.60)
❌ 11.6 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 1.34136 or similar)
❌✴️ 11.6 - MRVL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 296.21 🔄
✅ 11.6 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 114.11)
❌ 11.6 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (clsd 29652.70| o. off-profit)
❌ 11.6 - BTC/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 63553.60)
✅ 11.6 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 160.04)

4/8 - (1 open positions)

❌🟡 12.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (clsd 24549.30 or similar)
✅ 12.6 - XOM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 148.28)
(🟡 12.6 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.15736 | break-even))*
❌ 12.6 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4221.60 me)
✅ 12.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP- 30296.90|o. 30039.40+gap)🔄📸
✅ 12.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (SL- 24942.90|o. 24853.90+gap)🔄📸

3/5 = 60% Signal Accuracy
*excl. break-even position


🔹TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✴️ 15.6 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 10499.70
✅ 15.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30479.40) 📸
✴️ 15.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 25037.30
✅ 15.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 229.07) 📸
✴️ 15.6 - AVGO - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 395.07
✅ 15.6 - INTC - LONG ↗️ (TP - 132.19) 📸
✴️ 15.6 - DAL - LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 84.93
✴️ 15.6 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 2988.70

3/8 - (5 open positions)


——————————————


Very strong profits today, generating enough gains to more than recover our potential losses from Friday. In particular, our strong positioning and re-positioning on Friday proved crucial. Congratulations!

While we did see some consolidation after the sharp gains, we expect the market to remain broadly optimistic. The Trump administration will likely continue to promote a positive news flow and maintain an optimistic tone - even though there are still numerous risks that the current peace plan could ultimately fail.

We also executed several strong NYSE opening trades today. BA 📸, AVGO, INTC 📸, and our portfolio overall - with the exception of MRVL - benefited significantly from today's risk-on sentiment. Ideally, we should have closed MRVL on Friday alongside our other risk-off positions. Following today's outsized gains, we will now look for an exit on the next pullback.

The bulk of today's profits, however, came from our index positions (DAX 📸, but especially Nasdaq 📸 x2).

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LONG (BUY)🔼Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 4337

► Sharply lower oil prices have helped push bond yields lower (currently around -2bps for the US 10Y) and reduce expectations for additional central bank rate hikes in the coming months. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 1.0% - the highest level since 1995. The RBA left rates unchanged. The Fed is also expected to keep rates unchanged tomorrow, with all eyes on the first Fed meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

► While the upcoming agreement between the US and Iran remains fragile, Israel in particular represents a significant risk to the deal. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu openly opposes the agreement the US and Iran are seeking to reach. Netanyahu has made it clear that Israel does not support the deal and will continue to do whatever it deems necessary for its security.

► Our two European index LONGs have already hit their respective TPs ✅ (DAX, FTSE 📸) following a strong rebound and a further decline in oil prices. Precious metals are also trading higher today but remain below yesterday's session highs.

► Gold prices are facing some headwinds from concerns about potentially hawkish comments from Warsh tomorrow. However, I believe it is more likely that Warsh will choose his words carefully - both to avoid entering into conflict with President Trump at the beginning of his tenure and because there is now a genuine prospect of lower energy prices significantly easing inflationary pressures in the coming weeks.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.12–0.14x (12%–14%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26061601A


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