🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 11 - June 24
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 11 - June 16
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 125 (+1 open p. - NVDIA)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 106
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 84.8% 🔼

Dropped from statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (May 08)
Added to statistics: 6/6 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (June 16)


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🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 17 - June 24 🔹

✴️ 17.6 - GBR_100 - LONG ↗️ (open - slightly off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 10526.40 🔄
✴️ 17.6 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 378.79 🔄
✅ 17.6 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 400.16 me | or 400.57)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4330.89)
✅ 17.6 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 2980.90 me)
✴️ 17.6 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit| +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.13947 🔄
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4259.93)
✅ 17.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4304.37) - optional

4/7 - (3 open positions)

✅ 18.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 64065.40)
✅ 18.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4272.84)
✅ 18.6 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 452.27 me | or 447.31)
✅ 18.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 64074.90)
❌✴️ 18.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 4038.79 🔄
✅ 18.6 - MRVL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 325.06 me | or TP - 321.26)
✅ 18.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51907.40)
✅ 18.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 74.026)
—-
✴️ 19.6 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 161.236

7/9 - (2 open positions)


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Our focus today was in particular on reducing our overall exposure. That was somewhat limiting, as we could have been more aggressive in buying the sharp pullbacks in several AI and semiconductor stocks ahead of Micron's earnings - or immediately following the exceptionally strong earnings report.

NVDA also remained open today. The stock initially posted modest losses during regular trading but is back in positive territory in after-hours trading. We continue to see NVDA hovering around the $200.00 level and expect further gains both tomorrow and throughout July.

Our success rate improved slightly, as a 5/6 session (SA/SR = 83.3%) dropped out of the statistics and was replaced by last Tuesday's outstanding 6/6 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%).

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7541.70)
❌✅ 22.6 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 414.87 me |or TP-434.89)
✅ 22.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 221.33) 🔄 📸
❌ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7434.90) 🔄 📸
✴️ 22.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 30058.90 (30289.30 future) 🔄
✴️ 22.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 278.79 🔄

2/6 - (2 open positions)

✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80756)
✅ 23.6 - IBM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 260.92) 🔄📸
✅ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP -1089.70)
✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80906)
❌ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1060.89 me) 🔄📸
✅ 23.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.76) 🔄📸

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy


🔹TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 24.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24723.90) 📸
✅ 24.6 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 522.97 me) 📸
✅ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1003.26) 📸
❌✴️ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (open - just-entered)
👉 TP ✅ @: 991.11

3/4 - (1 open position / will be lost)


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As mentioned earlier, our primary objective was to reduce our overall exposure, and we die a solid job with this today. The few trades we opened today were deliberately intended as intraday trades. Overall, we made good - albeit difficult - decisions, including our AMD LONG 📸 and our MU positions 📸 (with our pre-earnings MU SHORT opening with a significant loss tomorrow). Nevertheless, MU's exceptionally strong earnings report is overall very positive for our portfolio. We have already widened the TPs for our Nasdaq position, and both MRVL and NVDA are expected to benefit from the renewed optimism surrounding the AI sector.

Many of our positions hit their TPs ✅ today - not all of them in profit - but we were still able to significantly reduce our exposure in equities and indices, including BA 📸, the MU LONG 📸, as well as the S&P 500 📸 and IBM 📸 (already at the NYSE opening).

The session began with our WTI position 📸 hitting its TP - however, that TP was set too tightly, which was also a consequence of our earlier overexposure and our goal of reducing overall exposure. Even so, we should have closed WTI here better.

Given that our portfolio was not ideally positioned overall, it was still a solid trading day. However, we also still hold a few positions with substantial unrealized losses - or positions that have likely already hit your SL - such as Gold or EUR/USD.

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅69.80 - 70.00
(+$0.10 futures contract - AUG'26; 69.90 - 70.10)

► We could have traded the recent sharp decline in oil prices even more aggressively. However, part of the additional downside pressure was driven not only by the de-escalation between the US and Iran, but also by the stronger USD and the recent weakness in equity markets.

► Today's focus will be on the PCE report - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - which will be released at 12:30 UTC+0 (~40 minutes from now). Analysts expect inflation to have accelerated again on both a monthly and annual basis, somewhat limiting the potential for a negative surprise. Over recent weeks, markets have increased expectations for additional Fed rate hikes after inflation reaccelerated and the new Fed Chair made fighting inflation his top priority.

► Oil prices have now moved back toward pre-war levels. After hitting their lows during European trading around three hours ago, WTI has since rebounded by more than 1.5%.

► Warnings from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy that safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz would only be permitted via routes designated by Tehran once again highlight that risks to this key shipping lane remain. The IRGC also stated that vessels violating transit instructions would "face action." Nevertheless, the overall picture continues to point toward further de-escalation. The US has little interest in another escalation, while Iran understands that its regional position has strengthened as Israel becomes increasingly isolated. The Iranian regime will therefore seek to preserve its currently improved relations with the United States.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 4–5x (400%–500%) – if contract size 10; 2/3 position size
WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.4–0.5x (40%–50%) – if contract size 100; 2/3 position size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062501A


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LONG (BUY)🔼 Dow Jones (US30) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 52378.90 (52638.90 future Sep'26)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 52120

📌 DJI future Sep'26 ~260 points higher

► Today's PCE data came as no surprise and matched analyst expectations. The report showed a slight acceleration in inflation, with the core inflation rate rising to 3.4% in May - the highest level since October 2023. Analysts had expected core inflation to accelerate to 3.4% YoY (from 3.3% YoY in April). The monthly reading also came in exactly in line with expectations at 0.3%.

► Overall, the market reaction was limited. The USD was unable to move further North following the release.

► GDP data, however, came in stronger than expected, confirming that the US economy remains in expansion mode. GDP grew by a robust 2.1% QoQ, well above the expected 1.6%.

► Personal income and consumer spending also increased more than expected. In particular, the 0.7% MoM rise in personal income may add somewhat to inflation concerns, as income growth continues to outpace the current inflation rate.

► Initial jobless claims also confirmed a resilient labor market, although continuing jobless claims came in above expectations.

► We remain constructive here after MU's exceptional earnings report restored optimism across the AI sector. The latest economic data continue to paint the picture of a very resilient US economy, supported by strong economic activity and a robust US consumer.

► While the Russell 2000 offers somewhat greater percentage upside potential from here, it is likely to move very similarly to the Nasdaq 100. We therefore prefer to buy the Dow Jones here, which is trading close to flat (for today), as most of today's gains remain concentrated in technology and AI stocks.

Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 1.25–1.75x (125%–175%)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062502A


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——————————————

The DOW quickly hit TP after NYSE opening.

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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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LONG WHEN NYSE OPENS 🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 340.49 (340.13 GOOG)
⚠️ TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅ 335.50 - 337.50
(335.10 - 337.10 for GOOG)


🔹 Dow Jones (+0.5%) - is trading higher but continues to significantly lag behind the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 as defensive sectors come under pressure amid a rotation back into growth and AI stocks. We expect the Dow to catch up strongly once the NYSE opens. ⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️

🔹 Nasdaq 100 (+2.3%) - is being driven by strong gains in the semiconductor sector, with chip stocks trading significantly higher in pre-market. However, the sharp rally is once again leading to a very concentrated market. Ideally, we would like to see broader market participation. Memory chip stocks in particular are performing exceptionally well following MU's earnings report, which significantly exceeded expectations. Our TP is now only around 100 points away. We are also setting a SL now due to concerns about potential profit-taking in the hyperscalers.
👉 SL 🔑 @: 29744.70 (29974.70 future) 🔄
| TP ✅ @: 30038.90 (30268.90 future) 🔄

🔹 Marvell (+4.5%) - is opening sharply higher and should easily trigger our TP right at the NYSE opening.
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️

🔹 Micron (+17%) - is surging following its exceptional earnings report. We still hold a very small position, which will nevertheless open with a significant loss. We are looking for an exit here. Although we ended up on the wrong side of the trade and it was highly risky, the trade still made sense as a small hedge against what had become an overly aggressive sell-off in semiconductor stocks. It also seemed very likely that the market would initially take profits even after a strong earnings report - that was both our expectation and the market's consensus. However, the revenue growth and guidance are simply extraordinary. Even so, we expect significant profit-taking waves post opening. For now, we are setting the TP around 1200, although we may widen it further if necessary.
👉 TP ✅ @: 1201.21 ⚠️ CLOSED BUT LOWER ⚠️

🔹 Microsoft (-0.5%) - is opening slightly lower after MU's sharply higher margins also highlighted the increased costs faced by hyperscalers. We currently see investors, for good reason, favoring companies that benefit directly from the hyperscalers' massive CAPEX spending. Our TP missed by less than 0.1% yesterday, so we are lowering it slightly.
👉 TP ✅ @: 376.32

🔹 Nvidia (+1.3%) - is opening higher as investors become increasingly convinced that the AI boom remains fully intact.


► The recent weakness in hyperscalers, driven by renewed concerns over extremely high CAPEX spending and the rotation into semiconductor manufacturers, has gone far enough. These moves were further amplified by MU's exceptionally high gross margin (close to 85%), highlighting that hyperscalers are currently building AI infrastructure at highly inflated prices.

► Alphabet is also facing additional headwinds after two more AI researchers left Google for Anthropic. Reports that Google's next frontier AI model, Gemini 3.5 Pro, has been delayed until July for final refinements have also weighed slightly on GOOG/L.

► However, GOOGL's recent sharp decline is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. We now see GOOG/L trading at a two-month low and expect stronger dip buying to emerge. GOOGL is expected to open around 2.5% lower, likely below 337, giving us an opportunity to buy immediately.

Alphabet (GOOGL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 75–85x (7,500%–8,500%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062503A


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——————————————

Crazy GOOG/L trade with perfect TP trigger after about 2 minutes.

❌ NO MORE MISSING OUT ❌

Alphabet (GOOGL) quickly rallied into our TP ✅📸- almost hitting it to the cent. However, GOOGL is now trading back near its pre-market lows and around the NYSE opening price, giving us another opportunity to enter.

Our Dow Jones position also hit TP ✅📸 shortly after the opening. MRVL 📸 was likewise closed right at the opening.


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LONG (BUY)🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 339.99 (339.89 GOOG)
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅ 334.80 - 336.20
(334.70 - 336.10 for GOOG)

► We are re-entering here (or staying LONG if you are still holding the position).

Alphabet (GOOGL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 75–85x (7,500%–8,500%) – 2/3 position size.

⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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edit: Screenshot was missing

⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29869.90 (30099.90 future) 🔄

Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 1187.56 (or lower)
⚠️ TRIGGERED 📸 ⚠️

We can avoid the SL being triggered here and instead prefer to work with a tighter TP. Alternatively, you can allow the SL to trigger and look for a better re-entry.

The sharp losses in the hyperscalers - led by AAPL, which is down around 5% - are weighing heavily on the Nasdaq 100. However, we expect the major technology stocks to stabilize again very soon. NVDA (as a major buyer of memory chips), MSFT, AMZN, GOOG/L and META are also trading lower.

AAPL's particularly steep losses are an additional drag on the Nasdaq 100. High memory chip prices and limited supply are weighing especially on Apple.

We can widen MU's TP slightly from here.

If you currently do NOT hold a Nasdaq 100 position, you can buy the current dip (🔼 in any case below 29400 / 29620 future).


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——

MU fell significantly further after its very strong opening.

A tough hit for us - this will almost certainly be our losing trade of the month.

As always - 💯 transparency.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 7397.90 (7377.90 future)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️ 📸

Recommended Entry ✅7340 - 7348
(7320 - 7328)

📌 S&P 500 future Sep'26 ~20 points lower

► Our Dow Jones has already hit TP ✅. At the same time, we are seeing the broadening of gains into non-tech sectors exactly as we expected. As a result, the Dow is now trading at fresh all-time highs.

► The sharp losses in the hyperscalers and mega-cap stocks have now weighed heavily on both the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 - with the S&P 500 being affected even more, as semiconductor stocks have a smaller weighting in the index. We expect both indices to rebound, at least partially, in the near term.

► We are also seeing the expected heavy profit-taking in semiconductor stocks - including MU following its very strong opening. MU has now given back nearly half of its gains and is trading less than 10% higher, below 1140. If you are still SHORT or shorted the rally, we expect MU to decline a bit further - potentially into the 1100 - 1125 range. "Ideally", close the position near/below 1130.

► We are buying the dip in the S&P 500 at fresh weekly lows.

► Concerns over very high memory chip prices and still insufficient supply are weighing heavily on the market - especially on AAPL.

S&P 500 (SPX500): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 7–10x (700%–1,000%) with contract size 1=1 – 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062505A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 7369.70
TP ✅ @: 7399.70
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29777.90 (30099.90 future) 🔄

We bought the dip in the S&P 500 💯 perfectly. We are now setting an in-profit SL 🔑.

We are also tightening the TP of our Nasdaq 100 slightly. Looking back, it would indeed have been better to let the SL trigger and then re-enter much lower. I can see that many of you either let the SL trigger or couldn't update it in time - in hindsight, that would have worked out very well / better.


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——-

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🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 7419.90 (7399.90 future)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅7373 - 7384
(7353 - 7364 future)

📌 S&P 500 future Sep'26 ~20 points lower

► We can stay LONG in the S&P 500 - re-enter below our previously triggered TP ✅ (7397.90 / 7399.90).

► However, we continue trading with a smaller position size, as we still expect high volatility that could lead to further panic selling. That said, we currently expect dip buying to outweigh selling - at least for now. The sharp losses in the tech mega-caps, driven by concerns over high memory chip prices and limited availability (leaving little room for customers to negotiate lower prices), continue to weigh on both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100.

► High memory chip prices have now even resulted in Apple to raise prices.

S&P 500 (SPX500): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 7–10x (700%–1,000%) with contract size 1=1 – 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062506A


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——

We also found the perfect entry for our second S&P 500 trade.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 7423.30

In these volatile markets, it's difficult to consistently catch the perfect entries - sorry if my updates or analyses are a bit shorter than usual. I'm doing this to get the information to you as quickly as possible.

Please don't get frustrated if you did in some cases not catch the perfect entry or end up closing a trade a little "too early" in profit. The market is simply very volatile at the moment.

Once the S&P 500 trades back to 7410 (7390 for the Sep'26 future) - or even a bit earlier - you can optionally set an in-profit SL 🔑. We expect volatility to remain elevated, and we'll likely continue to see additional waves of profit-taking throughout the session.

For now, I'm working with a slightly wider TP ✅ .


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———-

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 S&P 500 (SPX500) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅7360 - 7370
(7340 - 7350 future)

📌 S&P 500 future Sep'26 ~20 points lower

► We are buying the S&P 500 for the third time (our previous S&P 500 LONG position hit TP ✅📸, moved a bit higher afterward, but then ran into two sharp waves of profit-taking). The S&P 500 has now slipped back into negative territory and is being dragged lower primarily by losses in the tech mega-caps - especially AAPL and MSFT. AAPL has extended its decline and is now down almost 6.5%. The other big tech stocks are also trading lower. The major exception is MU, which has climbed back above $1,200 and is now up around 15.5% on the day. MU is currently the only top-10 S&P 500 component trading in positive territory.

► Overall, however, we are not seeing broad-based selling at all. The majority of S&P 500 stocks continue to trade higher, with around 60% of the index components in positive territory.

► We see only limited additional downside for the big tech sector from here - at least for today. We are also already seeing semiconductor stocks recover somewhat after the initial heavy profit-taking.

► We are entering below 7370, although technically we are seeing lower lows. This suggests that the next rebound will likely remain below the highs of the previous rebound (7425 / 7405 future). We are therefore setting our TP slightly lower - just below our previously achieved TP ✅📸.

S&P 500 (SPX500): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 7–10x (700%–1,000%) with contract size 1=1 – 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062506A


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We also hit the perfect entry for our third S&P 500 position (still open).


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 70.46 (70.56 futures contract; Aug'26)

Recommended Entry Range ✅near/above 72.35
(+$0.10 futures contract - AUG'26; near/above 72.45)

► Oil prices have extended their rebound slightly after the USD gave back part of its recent gains. Today's PCE data came in no hotter than expected, easing some of the inflation concerns that had recently intensified. The DXY slipped around 0.2%, also helping other USD-denominated assets - including precious metals - stage a modest rebound.

► An additional - and more important - driver behind the rise in oil prices was that a cargo vessel near Oman was struck by an unidentified projectile. This incident triggered some panic buying in the oil market.

► After oil prices temporarily returned close to pre-war levels, the market's focus has increasingly shifted to how long it will take before oil exports from the Middle East fully return to the levels seen before the US-Israel war against Iran.

► The normalization of shipping traffic will likely take several more weeks, as mines first need to be cleared from the Strait of Hormuz. In addition, several oil and energy facilities have been damaged or destroyed, temporarily limiting production - a situation that will likely take several months to fully recover.

► We also continue to see a geopolitical risk premium, as insurance costs remain elevated.

► Severe earthquakes in Venezuela are also likely to negatively impact the country's oil exports after Venezuela had spent recent months trying to increase production - with only limited success.

► Nevertheless, we continue to see significant downside potential for oil prices and remain SHORT while improving our entry. High oil prices have already resulted in demand destruction - especially in China. If current oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain at these levels or - more likely in our view - continue to increase, particularly through higher exports from Saudi Arabia and Qatar, the oil market could move back into oversupply.

► Downside may be somewhat limited during tomorrow's session. However, we expect the decline to continue over the course of next week. WTI is likely to encounter stronger resistance around the $73.00 area before falling back, potentially even below $68.00 during the coming week. We already expect resistance at the current level $72.35 and above and go SHORT here.

WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 4–5x (400%–500%) – if contract size 10; 2/3 position size
WTI (USOIL) 🛢: Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.4–0.5x (40%–50%) – if contract size 100; 2/3 position size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> “Specification”)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062501B

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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 12 - June 25
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 12 - June 17
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 123 (+3 open p. - NVDIA, MSFT & EUR/USD)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 104
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 84.6% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 7/7 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (May 11)
Added to statistics: 5/7* - 71.4% Signal Accuracy (June 17)
(*2 open positions: MSFT & EUR/USD)


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🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 18 - June 25 🔹

✅ 18.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 64065.40)
✅ 18.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4272.84)
✅ 18.6 - TSM - LONG ↗️ (TP - 452.27 me | or 447.31)
✅ 18.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 64074.90)
❌ 18.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4038.79) 🔄
✅ 18.6 - MRVL - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 325.06 me | or TP - 321.26)
✅ 18.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51907.40)
✅ 18.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 74.026)
—-
✴️ 19.6 - USD/JPY - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 161.236

7/9 - (1 open position)

✅ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7541.70)
❌✅ 22.6 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 414.87 me |or TP-434.89)
✅ 22.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 221.33)
❌ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7434.90)
✴️ 22.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 29777.90 (30099.90 future) 🔄
❌ 22.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 278.79 + big gap) 🔄

2/6 - (1 open position)


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Sorry for the late update. I watched Germany's final group-stage match with some colleagues yesterday. This morning I already had two job interviews - not exactly ideal timing.

Our 🔽 success rate slipped slightly as a mega session (7/7; 💎 SA/SR = 100%) dropped out of the statistics and was replaced by last Wednesday. Of the seven trades from that session, we have already closed five with strong profits. Our EUR/USD and MSFT positions remain open - both currently with off-profit TPs.

MSFT disappointed today and fell sharply as investor concerns over high, rising and potentially unjustified CAPEX spending intensified. The trigger was further evidence that demand for memory chips continues to exceed supply, keeping prices elevated. MU's earnings report highlighted the continued surge in memory prices very clearly. NVDA - itself one of Micron's largest customers - also came under pressure and dropped sharply, falling below the $200.00 level. We expect a bit more weakness during Friday's session before NVDA is likely to recover next week.

Losses in Wall Street's largest companies (particularly within the S&P 500) caused the major US indices to lose momentum and triggered several sharp waves of profit taking. The Dow Jones, on the other hand, reached a new all-time high (which we traded very well), while overall more stocks advanced than declined - a sign of healthy market breadth. However, the sell-off in the tech mega-caps also dragged the Nasdaq 100 lower. We should have managed that position better today and are now working with a tighter TP ✅ if you're still positioned.

Gold closed at our off-profit TP ✅. Precious metals remain under pressure amid concerns that US interest rates may rise again. MRVL also closed at an off-profit TP - but at least on a more positive note. Some of you may even have managed a much better exit, as MRVL actually opened at 291.18!

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80756)
✅ 23.6 - IBM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 260.92)
✅ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP -1089.70)
✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80906)
❌ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1060.89 me)
✅ 23.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.76)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy

✅ 24.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24723.90)
✅ 24.6 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 522.97 me)
✅ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1003.26)
❌ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1181.11 or similar/lower) 🔄📸

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy


🔹THURSDAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅✴️ 25.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 70.46 |me open w/ in-profit SL)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 70.52 (70.62 fut; Aug'26) - me
| TP ✅ @: 69.70 (69.80 fut; Aug'26) - me
✅ 25.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52378.90) 📸
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 340.49) 📸
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 341.44 me | or 339.99) 📸
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7399.70) 📸
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP -7423.30) 📸
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7401.80) 📸

7/7 = 100% Signal Accuracy


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The positive news first - overall, we traded Thursday's session exceptionally well, at least when it comes to the trades we executed.

The sharp profit taking in the tech mega-caps - which we had already identified as a major risk yesterday following MU's earnings report - caused heavy volatility and has left our Nasdaq 100 position in limbo for now. Some of you were probably stopped out earlier with what was actually a well-placed SL. The sharp losses in the mega-caps were the main drag on Wall Street today and even overshadowed the massive gains in memory chip stocks.

Apart from that, we had numerous TP closures (WTI may also have already hit TP for many of you) - although some of them were well off-profit, including Gold 📸. Overall, however, it's good that we are no longer LONG in gold, as the market remains concerned about further Fed rate hikes despite today's PCE data coming in line with expectations (while inflation continues to accelerate) - although those concerns eased somewhat following the release.

With the exception of our Nasdaq 100 management, the index trading was exceptionally good - especially the many dips and swings in the S&P 500 📸, which we traded "absurdly" well. We also closed our FTSE 100 📸 in profit (although an even better exit would have been possible), and our Dow Jones LONG 📸 was another excellent trade.

MU 📸 was obviously painful - especially considering that we had held a LONG position the day before. Nevertheless, I don't consider the trade itself to have been a bad one, as a negative market reaction was certainly a realistic scenario. We expected a very strong earnings report that would support the entire sector. Instead, MU completely crushed expectations. At the same time, however, the massive increase in memory chip prices raised significant investor concerns about the hyperscalers and their soaring / too high CAPEX spending. In the middle of the sell-off in the tech mega-caps, we traded GOOG/L 📸 very well today (I closed my re-entry slightly above our original TP).

I widened the TP ✅ on my WTI position a little further, although for most of you the TP had probably already been triggered earlier, resulting in an overall very profitable exit. Following the market's panic reaction to the attack on a cargo vessel near Oman, we found the absolute PERFECT re-entry.

EUR/USD - TP triggered ✅ @: 1.13947
WTI (USOIL) 🛢 (spot) - TP triggered ✅ @: 69.70 me | or 70.46

Our EUR/USD position is now also closed (USD/JPY remains open, with the pair currently down around 30 pips today). Falling oil prices are putting additional pressure on the USD following yesterday's PCE data, which had already eased inflation concerns somewhat. Thanks to the TP trigger, we ultimately still closed our EUR/USD position at an off-profit TP.

My WTI position has now also hit TP ✅. Even if your TP had already been triggered earlier at 70.46, we still closed the trade with a very solid overall profit thanks to our PERFECT re-entry.


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