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LONG (BUY) 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: 24843.90 (already changed)
TP ✅ @: Currently 24735.90 | or ✅ Close above 24730 🔄

⚠️ VERY CLOSE TO CLOSING PRICE ⚠️

Recommended Entry ✅24650 - 24700 🔄

► Global risk sentiment remains fragile after the tech mega-caps suffered heavy losses during yesterday's New York session. That weakness extended into Asian trading - particularly in the technology- and semiconductor-heavy Japanese market, and even more so in South Korea.

► The Korea Exchange has activated circuit breakers only eleven times since 2000 - two of those eleven instances occurred this week alone. Micron's earnings report in particular triggered both panic buying and panic selling (especially in the hyperscalers).

► We are currently in an exceptionally volatile market. The sheer level of volatility, combined with rapidly shifting market sentiment, is unsettling investors and repeatedly triggering sharp waves of profit taking.

► Europe is also trading lower today. While I see upside in the more defensive markets - such as the FTSE 100 - we are buying the DAX here. The index is currently down around 1.3%, facing headwinds from a stronger EUR, weakness in the technology sector, and losses among German industrial companies (Siemens Energy -3.6%; Siemens AG -1.8%), as well as the important automotive sector (Porsche -4.7%; BMW -1.6%). German technology stocks are also under pressure, including chipmaker Infineon (-4%), software giant SAP, and e-commerce company Zalando (-6.3%), which is additionally weighed down by Germany's financial regulator BaFin reviewing last year's financial statements.

► Overall, technology remains under pressure but is not the main driver of the DAX. Additional headwinds came from reports that OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, is likely to postpone its IPO - a sign that the company has become more cautious given the current market environment.

► Sharply lower oil prices (currently down almost 4%) are, however, providing a major tailwind for the DAX and European equities. While we expect another difficult and volatile trading session today, we see attractive upside potential for the DAX around/below the 24700 level.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.0–2.5 (200%–250%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062601A

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——

We found a solid entry (range) for the DAX. Market sentiment, however, is too fragile at the moment. We thus already went out or changed to tight TP.

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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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SHORT AFTER NYSE OPENING 🔽 Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅385.00 - 387.50 🔄


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (-1.4%) - is trading lower again, with semiconductor stocks leading the losses. Reports that OpenAI may postpone its planned IPO (potentially due to the rather disappointing performance of SpaceX shares following its own IPO) further weighed on sentiment. In Seoul, we saw the second trading halt of the week after Korean chip and memory giants Samsung and SK Hynix again plunged sharply. In addition, the launch of GLM 5.2 by Hong Kong-listed Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI), which delivers coding performance comparable to today's leading AI models at only a fraction of the cost, represents another "DeepSeek moment."
👉 TP ✅ @: 29524.30 (29754.30 future)

🔹 Microsoft (+1.1%) - is recovering part of the sharp losses from previous sessions. Investment banks remain broadly bullish on MSFT as well as most other big tech companies that recently experienced heavy profit taking. Deutsche Bank reiterated its "BUY" rating and continues to view Microsoft as significantly undervalued.
👉 TP ✅ @: 368.49

🔹 Nvidia (-1.4%) - is extending its losses as profit taking in the semiconductor sector continues and is now also hitting memory chip makers, which rallied strongly yesterday following Micron's exceptionally strong earnings report. We are tightening our TP a bit further for now. Micron is currently trading about 7% lower in pre-market trading. Mizuho reiterated its "Outperform" rating on Nvidia and continues to see the company as the clear leader in AI training and inference chips for data center applications.
👉 TP ✅ @: 205.03


► While we are likely to first see markets stabilize in early NYSE trading following the sharp pre-market losses, along with some dip buying in the semiconductor sector, we still expect another difficult session overall - particularly for AI/chip high-flyers and high-risk growth stocks.

► We continue to see additional headwinds for TSLA. SPCX has also been unable to hold onto its early gains and is currently hovering around the $150.00 level. In addition, investors continue to question whether the AI businesses of Tesla and SPCX justify their extremely high valuations.

► TSLA is opening about 1.3% lower around the 370.00 level. We expect some initial dip buying and will only go SHORT after initial gains.

► Sharply falling oil prices are generally positive for the automotive sector, but they are not a tailwind for Tesla or other pure EV manufacturers. Overall, we continue to see industrial and consumer discretionary stocks under pressure.

Tesla (TSLA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 60–65x (6,000%–6,500%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062602A

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——————————————


TSLA rose significantly further. We expected gains post opening, but TSLA saw significant dip buying. You can enter at a better price here.


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
⚠️ VERY HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅129.00 - 129.90

► INTC has further downside potential given the ongoing profit taking in the semiconductor sector. We are trading only a small position due to the stock's very high volatility.

► Intel remains extremely highly valued and has recently benefited primarily from major deals (such as the Apple-Intel partnership) as well as expectations of future revenue growth driven by increasing demand for Intel chips and chip manufacturing. Its valuation remains very demanding, with its P/E ratio now well above 120.

► Intel was one of the biggest beneficiaries of Micron's strong earnings report yesterday. After the sharp profit taking, the stock managed to recover somewhat toward the end of yesterday's session. At the same time, investment banks remain rather cautious following Intel's massive rally this year. Goldman Sachs initiated coverage yesterday with a "Neutral" rating and a $150 price target.

Intel (INTC): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 130–150x (13,000%–15,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062603A


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INTC rebounded with also other chip stock seeing dip buying after NYSE opening. We expect a bit more selling in final US trading for INTC and some of the other chip highflyers

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
CLOSE SOON/NOW ✅ @: 24730 - 24755
OR
TP ✅ @: 24733.90
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED OR TP HIT ⚠️ 📸


We are now seeing some dip buying, particularly on Wall Street and in the stocks that had been heavily sold earlier, allowing them to recover part of their sharp losses. MSFT in particular, which at one point gained more than 3% (currently around +2.6%), is helping both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 rebound. Semiconductor heavyweights NVDA and MU have also significantly reduced their pre-market losses, supporting the recovery on Wall Street.

Market sentiment, however, remains very fragile and highly volatile. We continue to expect several waves of profit taking.

We are therefore securing the small profits on our DAX position here. We continue to see significant rebound potential for European equities next week, but we will very likely be able to find even better entry opportunities later today - therefore we are closing the position.

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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Microsoft (MSFT) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 371.97
OR
KEEP TP ✅ @: 368.49
⚠️ IF KEPT TP HIT ⚠️

Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 370.57

Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 126.21

MSFT is the clear top performer today - currently up around 4%.

You can keep the current TP, which may still be triggered, or alternatively switch to a wider TP (which would then very likely not be triggered today). A TP trigger would be a good outcome, even closing below 367.50 - 370.00 is perfectly fine, as we expect also returning waves of profit taking anyway.

TSLA and INTC have also recovered a bit more. For now, we are tightening the TPs, although we still expect additional profit taking later on.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅215.85 - 216.10

► Wall Street stabilized after the opening exactly as we expected following yet another highly chaotic week, which was marked in particular by extreme volatility in technology stocks, including another sharp sell-off in semiconductor stocks today.

► While we continue to see (partly significant) profit taking in mega caps and some of the highflyers, the broader market remains robust overall. The majority of stocks in New York are trading in the green. This week's sell-off was more of a rotation into other sectors than a broad-based market sell-off.

► Although investors have become somewhat more cautious about whether the historic rally in chip and AI stocks may have gone a little too far, too quickly, we continue to see broadly positive fundamentals - including strong economic activity in the US and corporate earnings that continue to exceed expectations (including from AI companies).

► Further support for risk sentiment comes from declining oil prices, which have fallen sharply once again today.

► We are buying BA here, which continues to lag the broader market (significantly compared with tourism stocks), even though the major headwind from previously elevated energy prices has now largely disappeared. In addition, Boeing secured a $3.62 billion order from China Southern Airlines. The stock initially rallied strongly following news of the deal but gave back most of those gains during the typically cautious Friday trading session.

► We see further upside potential for BA next week and are going LONG here.

Boeing (BA): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 110–120x (11,000%–12,000%) – 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062604A


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——


🔤🔤📉2️⃣1️⃣6️⃣📈

BA fell further towards session end and falling to sessions lows.

We can enter here near/below 216.00
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
CLOSE SOON ✅ @: 127.20 - 127.90
OR
TP ✅ @: 127.47

Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 374.26

We are tightening our TP ✅ for INTC or alternatively closing ✅ the position here for a small profit or near break-even.

We are also tightening our TP ✅ for TSLA.

MSFT has just hit our TP ✅ - we did not expect that. If you are still LONG, you can alternatively work with a wider TP.
Tesla (TSLA) 🇺🇸 | 👉 TP ✅ @: 375.11


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅24685 - 24700

► We also saw some typical mild risk-off trading, which is often seen on Fridays.

► This week, the extreme swings and the sharp shift in sentiment surrounding AI and semiconductor stocks dominated the markets and made investors increasingly nervous - despite very robust fundamentals, a resilient US economy and labor market, sharply lower oil prices, declining bond yields, and PCE data that, while showing further acceleration in inflation, did not increase inflation concerns.

► We are taking advantage of the mild sell-off and are getting back into the DAX. I personally entered just before the NYSE close, but shortly afterward the DAX jumped quite sharoky. We are now seeing some renewed selling ahead of the end of after-hours trading, allowing us to still enter here.

► We expect European equities to have further upside, supported by an overall positive risk sentiment (outside the technology sector) as well as oil prices having returned to pre-war levels.

► Today's Wall Street session was mixed overall but did not continue the sharp selling that we saw during Asian trading and later again in the US pre-market.

DAX (GER_40): Multiply your "standard (EUR/USD)" trade size by ~2.0–2.5 (200%–250%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062605A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 13 - June 26
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 13 - June 18
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 129 (+2 open p. - NVDIA & USD/JPY)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 107
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 82.9% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (May 12)
Added to statistics: 7/9* - 77.8% Signal Accuracy (June 18-19)
(*1 open positions: USD/USD)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 22 - June 26 🔹

✅ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7541.70)
❌✅ 22.6 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 414.87 me |or TP-434.89)
✅ 22.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 221.33)
❌ 22.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7434.90)
✴️ 22.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 29662.90 (29962.90 future) 🔄
❌ 22.6 - MRVL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 278.79 + big gap)

2/6 - (1 open position)

✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80756)
✅ 23.6 - IBM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 260.92)
✅ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP -1089.70)
✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80906)
❌ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1060.89 me)
✅ 23.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.76)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy


——————————————


It is difficult to maintain our 🔽 success rate at this level when virtually only flawless sessions are dropping out of the statistics. Once again, a perfect 4/4 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%) has dropped out of our five-week statistics and has been replaced by last Thursday's session (including one trade from Friday). From the week of June 15 - 21, we continue to hold our USD/JPY position (TP ✅ @: 161.268).

We also closed our MSFT and EUR/USD positions on Friday, which were still listed as open trades in the previous overview.

NVDA continued to decline but should be able to stabilize again once the portfolio rebalancing phase in July has been completed. Overall, Friday was once again a highly volatile session, which was particularly evident in the Nasdaq 100.

🔄 We are also updating our TP ✅ for our Nasdaq 100 position as we see significantly more rebound potential for the tech heavy index this week after sharp losses in chip / big tech in the previous week.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 24.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24723.90)
✅ 24.6 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 522.97 me)
✅ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1003.26)
❌ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1181.11 or similar/lower)

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy

✅ 25.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 70.46 |or 69.70) 🔄📸
✅ 25.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52378.90)
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 340.49)
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 341.44 me | or 339.99)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7399.70)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP -7423.30)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7401.80)

7/7 = 100% Signal Accuracy


🔹FRIDAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 26.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24733.90) 📸
✴️ 26.6 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 374.26
(🟡 26.6 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (127.56 me | or similar) 📸)*
✴️ 26.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry in profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 219.29
✴️ 26.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (open - just-entered)
👉 ✅ @: 24877.70 🔄

1/4 - (1 open positions)
*excl. INTC, as some members may have closed position break-even only.

——————————————


We managed to finish a very difficult trading week on a positive note 👏 on Friday and were also able to further reduce our exposure by closing additional positions. However, we could have closed MSFT 📸 significantly better - especially considering its very strong gains at the start of the new week (+7% in pre-market). If you are still LONG, you should be able to close the position with a very substantial profit after today's NYSE opening.

We experienced exceptionally volatile markets last week. The best example were the two trading halts in South Korea after the extreme swings in Samsung and SK Hynix moved the Kospi Index by more than 8% on both occasions, triggering the circuit breakers. Two trading halts in a single week - compared to only eleven in total since 2000 - illustrate just how historically volatile the current market environment is, particularly in the semiconductor sector.

We closed INTC 📸 with a small profit (at least break-even, or with a solid profit if you made a small re-entry). However, I don't count this position as a winning trade since some of you likely closed it at break-even only.

We are tightening the TP ✅ for our DAX position slightly. We only went LONG towards the end of Friday's session / during after-hours trading as we expect further rebound potential for European equities this week. Although there was another exchange of missiles over the weekend, both the US and Iran have agreed to halt further attacks for now before resuming peace talks regarding the Strait of Hormuz and other issues. The key point is that vessels continue to move freely through the world's most important oil shipping route, and it is quite clear that neither side currently wants to bring the peace efforts to an end.

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅3008 - 3012

► Wall Street is attempting to rebound following a difficult previous week, during which technology and semiconductor stocks in particular came under selling pressure.

► The US attacked Iranian military targets over the weekend in response to (alleged) Iranian attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump threatened to "annihilate Iran" in a Truth Social post. However, both sides agreed on Sunday to pause hostilities and once again allow commercial vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz freely. The key point is that neither side - and especially not the Trump administration - appears interested in further escalation, but instead is seeking to return to détente as quickly as possible, even after military exchanges.

► Equity markets started the week on a positive note. We are seeing gains across Asia, Europe and New York (pre-market). At the same time, oil prices have cooled significantly after their initial gains.

► We continue to see mixed markets. Some semiconductor stocks - particularly memory-chip names - continue to experience, or are once again seeing, significant profit taking. Meanwhile, other stocks, including several major technology companies that recently suffered substantial losses - among them AAPL, MSFT, AMZN and META - are trading firmly higher in pre-market.

► Overall, we continue to see strong performance in economically sensitive stocks outside the semiconductor sector. Bond yields are slightly higher, but this is primarily due to investors reducing their safe-haven bond positions. In our view, this creates only limited headwinds for equities.

► We see further upside potential from here and believe the Russell 2000 has room to return to new all-time highs. We also like the Dow at current levels, although we could see some short-term profit taking in MSFT after its +7.5% (!) gain in pre-market. At the same time, we expect a rebound in financial stocks such as GS and JPM.

► Nevertheless, we prefer entering the Russell 2000 here near 3010.

Russell 2000 (US2000): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 17–20x (1,700%–2,000%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062901A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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——————————————


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Check our Fully Transparent Trading Report from MAY 👈

🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 349.69 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry Range ✅ 340.90 - 343.00 🔄
(338.90 - 341.00 for GOOG)


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (+0.8%) - is trading strongly higher and well above both Friday's after-hours levels and the regular closing price. Strong gains in several mega caps - particularly MSFT, but also AAPL and AMZN - which weighed on the market last week, are providing support for the Nasdaq 100 today. The index is currently trading around the 29500 level (~29720 for the future). We continue to see further upside from here, particularly if semiconductor stocks can stabilize. At the same time, however, there is still a risk of further profit taking in the mega caps and especially across the chip sector. We keep our TP unchanged for now (slightly lower for the future). We also expect significantly elevated volatility again after the NYSE opening.
👉 TP ✅ @: 29662.90 (29952.90 future)

🔹 Russell 2000 (+0.4%) - continues to perform well and is far less affected by the volatile semiconductor sector or the recent profit taking in big tech. We expect the small-cap index to push toward new all-time highs later this week. We keep our current TP (✅ @: 3036.90) near ATH.


🔹 Boeing (+0.7%) - is opening higher and still has rebound potential. BA is opening close to our current TP (✅ @: 219.29).

🔹 NVDA (+0.7%) - is opening in positive territory and has room to recover from last week's oversold conditions. We expect NVDA to have a positive trading week, with significant rebound potential in July and Q3 following the rather disappointing share price performance since its latest strong earnings report.

🔹 Tesla (+0.5%) - remains volatile and continues to benefit from speculation about a potential merger between SpaceX and Tesla - which, in reality, would make little economic sense. Investment banks remain divided on TSLA. The company will report delivery numbers later this week. We expect some investors to become a bit more cautious ahead of the release, although the generally solid risk sentiment at the start of the week continues to provide support for now. We keep our TP unchanged for the time being (✅ @: 373.47).


► We see more upside for Alphabet which is trading for the first time in the Dow today. Alphabet is replacing Verizon on the 30-member chip index. Alphabet is currently trading around 341.00 in pre-market - I have already entered my position here.

► We also observe MU for a potential entry after the sharp correction on Friday. We expect to see first some additional profit taking with also a lackluster performance of chip stocks in Korea today after last week's / Friday's sharp correction.

► We generally see a bit of a rotation of institutional capital out of AI hardware and semiconductor names and back into the large-cap software stocks / hyperscalers.

Alphabet (GOOGL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 75–85x (7,500%–8,500%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062902A

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility & Risk; 1/2 position size;
TP ✅ @: 1114.47
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 1080


► We can very cautiously buy the sharp correction in the memory-chip sector after MU has fallen another 4%+ today following Friday's steep decline. We are seeing increased buy orders in the 1075 - 1085 range and are building a LONG position here, although we may need to add to the position later.

► Additional headwinds for the memory sector stem from a class-action lawsuit alleging price-fixing against Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Commodity DRAM prices have risen by approximately 700% over the past four years - a move the plaintiffs claim is the direct result of alleged supply manipulation.

► We are working with a wide TP here - or potentially no TP at all - although any target remains below Friday's closing price.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 15–20x (1,500%–2,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062603A


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💻 VT Markets (🇨🇦🇬🇧🇳🇿🇪🇺🌍)
💻 TMGM (🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿🇬🇧🇪🇺🌍)
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 29596.70 (29816.70 future) 🔄
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 3020.70

DAX (GER_40) 🇩🇪
TP ✅ @: 24761.90

Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 1088.89 (+ re-entry below near/below 🔼 1025)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

Boeing (BA) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 218.67

We initially saw a strong rebound in the technology sector - particularly in big tech and software stocks - but (temporary/outsized) profit taking in the semiconductor sector accelerated once again. We are now also seeing some renewed selling pressure. We are therefore tightening our TP ✅ for the Nasdaq slightly. We are also tightening our TP ✅ for the Russell 2000 after it has pulled back somewhat as well.

MU continued to decline as the ongoing rotation out of semiconductor stocks - particularly memory-chip names - and into big tech and software stocks continued. The stock also came under additional pressure due to concerns that the currently exceptionally high margins of Micron, as well as the other memory-chip giants (Samsung & SK Hynix), could come under pressure because of the class-action lawsuit in the US. The companies are accused of engaging in coordinated anti-competitive behavior in the DRAM market, including manipulating supply and pricing since 2022. We are not overtrading MU here, but we expect increasing support below Wednesday's closing price (near 1045; before the exceptionally strong earnings report). We currently see larger buy orders stacked in the 🔼1015 - 1030 range, where we can make a small re-entry.

BA missed our TP by less than 0.1% - we are therefore tightening it slightly.

We expect Wall Street, and the technology sector in particular, to stabilize again very soon / from current levels (so now!) as the renewed profit taking and selling pressure in semiconductor stocks is likely to fade from here.


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We hit the PERFECT (!) entry range for MU here with the memory chip maker indeed turning around at "exactly" 🔼 1025 📸.

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LONG (BUY)🔼Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅4006 - 4011 💎

► Gold has come under significant pressure over the past few weeks - particularly since the Iran conflict brought inflation concerns and fears of higher interest rates for longer back into focus.

► The key drivers for gold remain the oil price and the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook. Swap markets are currently pricing in roughly a 60% probability of a rate hike by September.

► I believe the market's expectations are currently somewhat too restrictive / hawkish, regarding the interest rate outlook - at least as long as the Iran conflict does not escalate again.

► The renewed rise in tensions between the US and Iran has increased concerns that reaching a peace agreement will be difficult and that the path toward one is unlikely to be without setbacks.

► We are seeing slightly higher bond yields today - but this is also mainly because investors are becoming somewhat more risk-on again and are therefore selling bonds, not because expectations for additional Fed rate hikes have increased.

► Many investors also remain on the sidelines for now, waiting for further developments in the US-Iran negotiations as well as the labor market data due later this week.

► Although we also like an oil SHORT after today's gains, I currently prefer gold a bit more, as it has rebound potential during the first half of the week and is still (at least for now) finding support around the $4,000 level. Gold will benefit from oil sliding lower again.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062904A


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅136.15 - 136.45


► It has been a very strong day for semiconductor stocks, which rebounded sharply following last week's heavy losses - particularly on Friday. We continue to see further upside potential here. We closed our MU position a bit too early, but at least we didn't panic sell - which, once again, many retail traders did after another wave of profit taking emerged.

► Overall, we remain LONG technology. We believe we will get another better entry in the Nasdaq 100, and we also expect the Russell 2000 (where we remain LONG) to benefit during tomorrow's session from today's strong gains in the mega-cap technology stocks.

► We continue to see oil prices under pressure - in hindsight, an oil SHORT instead of our gold LONG would have been the slightly trade - with near perfect entry timing.

► We remain bearish on oil and expect new lows during the course of this week. XOM is trading almost unchanged shortly before the NYSE close, and we see further short-term downside from here.

► We are setting our TP near last week's lows. CVX already hit a multi-month low today (its lowest level since January 2025). We also see further downside potential for XOM from current levels.

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 200–220x (20,000%–22,000%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26062905A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 14 - June 29
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 14 - June 22
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 131 (+2 open p. - NVDIA & USD/JPY)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 105
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 80.2% 🔽

Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (May 13)
Added to statistics: 2/6 - 33.3% Signal Accuracy (June 22)


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🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 23 - June 29 🔹

✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80756)
✅ 23.6 - IBM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 260.92)
✅ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP -1089.70)
✅ 23.6 - USD/CHF - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 0.80906)
❌ 23.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1060.89 me)
✅ 23.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 72.76)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy

✅ 24.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24723.90)
✅ 24.6 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 522.97 me)
✅ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1003.26)
❌ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1181.11 or similar/lower)

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy


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Our 🔽 success rate has declined further but remains at a very strong level above the 80% mark. Nevertheless, it has now fallen to the lowest level in our five-week statistics this year (currently 80.2%). Once again, a flawless session (4/4; 💎 SA/SR = 100%) has dropped out of the statistics and has been replaced by last week's overall weak Monday session (2/6; SA/SR = 33.3%). Although we closed the Nasdaq 100 at our TP and all of our re-entries in profit, we cannot count the overall position as a winning trade because of our initial entry (or because some of you likely closed the position much earlier in profit). However, our two re-entries closed well in profit.

We closed the Nasdaq 100 a little too early today - I widened the TP slightly, but we could have closed the position significantly higher. Other than that, there are no further updates.

NVDA remains open and had a positive session, attempting to rebound back toward $200.00. USD/JPY has moved further away from our TP. With the pair trading above 162.00 - the highest level in more than 40 years - the probability of an intervention has increased further. We will therefore have to tighten our exit, but we can make a re-entry near/above 🔽 162.250.

New TP ✅ for our USD/JPY 👉 TP ✅ @: 161.718.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 25.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 70.46 |or 69.70)
✅ 25.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52378.90)
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 340.49)
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 341.44 me | or 339.99)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7399.70)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP -7423.30)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7401.80)

7/7 = 100% Signal Accuracy

✅ 26.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24733.90)
✴️ 26.6 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 373.47 🔄
(🟡 26.6 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (127.56 me | or similar))*
✴️ 26.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 218.67 🔄
✅ 26.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24761.90) 🔄📸

2/4 - (2 open positions)
*excl. INTC, as some members may have closed position break-even only.


🔹TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✴️ 29.6 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 3017.80 🔄
✅ 29.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 349.69) 📸
✅ 29.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1088.89) 📸
✴️ 29.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 4039.93 🔄
✴️ 29.6 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 135.03

2/5 - (3 open positions)


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Overall, it was a good session for us - although, in hindsight, an oil SHORT would have been the better trade than the gold LONG. USD strength remained in place and even intensified further as signs increased once again that the US-Iran negotiations still carry a significant risk of failure. In particular, Iran continues to insist on maintaining control over maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including the imposition of transit fees - something the US and neighboring countries consider completely unacceptable.

We are tightening our TP ✅ slightly for both the Russell 2000 and our gold position. You can make a small re-entry in gold in the 🔼 3941 - 3956 range. The $4,000 level will remain a key level for gold for some time. Overall, however, selling pressure remains elevated - particularly in silver.

Our stock portfolio requires a few closings - especially if you are still holding a small TSLA SHORT, which rallied sharply today following better-than-expected Q2 delivery numbers and positive updates regarding Tesla's FSD software. While we still consider TSLA overvalued, the stock traded with clearly positive momentum today. BA missed our TP by less than 0.1%. We found a good entry in XOM. We also made very strong trades with GOOGL 📸 (I entered already in pre-market) and MU 📸 - although we could have closed MU at a significantly higher level.