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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 30083.90 (30297.90 future)
⚠️ ALREAY CLOSED DEEP IN PROFIT (TP) ⚠️

Recommended Entry Range ✅29760 - 29800
(29970 -30015 future)

📌 Nasdaq future (Sep'26) ~215 points higher
Sep'26 futures contract!


► It was a good start to today's session for us. Our Russell 2000 hit our very well-positioned TP ✅📸 before pulling back around 15 points alongside global equity markets - also weighed down by higher oil prices and the typically cautious positioning into quarter-end. Gold also hit our TP ✅📸, resulting in another strong close overall (including a re-entry; I widened my TP slightly). In the short term, however, we continue to see downside potential for precious metals and expect further selling pressure.

► It has been an exceptional quarter and first half of the year - despite the heightened volatility and uncertainty, particularly in the energy markets and due to the war in Iran. For semiconductor stocks, it was the best quarter in history. The extreme concentration and very rich valuations of many AI stocks remain a risk for H2, but overall we remain optimistic. In particular, lower oil prices are easing inflationary pressure, while expectations for another strong earnings season remain high.

► We expect the rebound in oil prices to prove only temporary and continue to see further downside potential in July, as long as commercial vessels can continue to pass through the strategically important Strait of Hormuz.

► Market breadth is rather weak today. However, key stocks - including NVDA and several mega caps that recently came under selling pressure - are once again showing early signs of recovery. At the same time, investment banks and major asset managers continue to recommend buying these mega-cap technology stocks.

► The Nasdaq is currently trading around 200 points below its pre-market highs. Overall, we have seen a solid session so far, with further initial gains, although Asia and Europe have already experienced some mild profit taking.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0-2.5x (200%-250%) - 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26063001A


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You missed out on this beautiful Nasdaq 100 LONG (already closed well in profit).

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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (+0.1%) - is trading largely flat following yesterday's very strong session, during which the tech-heavy index gained more than 2% and recovered most of the previous week's losses. Market breadth in the Nasdaq 100 is rather weak in pre-market trading, but key stocks - including the mega caps and major semiconductor names (NVDA, AVGO, AMD, though currently not MU) - are trading higher. Additional support comes from fresh "BUY" recommendations by investment banks and investment firms. For now, we can tighten our TP a little, as we continue to expect elevated volatility and can also use potential profit-taking waves for new entries.
👉 TP ✅ @: 29946.40 (30161.30 future)


🔹 Boeing (+0.9%) - is opening higher (near our TP) after yesterday's profit taking as the market rotated back into technology and AI stocks. BA remains a very attractive longer-term investment for the coming months, H2 2026 and beyond, while also offering significant short-term upside - particularly if oil prices continue to decline, supporting the airline sector. We keep our TP unchanged for now (TP ✅ @: 218.67) and currently see absolutely no pressure to exit the position at lower levels.

🔹 ExxonMobil (+0.2%) - is opening slightly higher, benefiting from a temporary rebound in oil and natural gas prices. Energy prices are receiving some support from ongoing concerns that negotiations between the US and Iran may remain difficult, as well as generally more cautious trading into quarter-end and the end of H1. We are tightening our TP slightly but continue to see the energy sector underperforming.
👉 TP ✅ @: 135.33

🔹 NVDA (+0.9%) - is extending yesterday's gains. We expect NVDA to have a strong month ahead after the AI chip leader lost more than 13% (m/m) in June. CLSA reiterated its "Outperform" rating and expects a very strong performance over the next 12 months, raising its price target from $300 to $360.

🔹 Tesla (-1.7%) - is opening lower after yesterday's strong gains but should initially attract dip-buying. We remain comfortably in profit with our small position and are tightening our TP slightly. Deutsche Bank reacted positively following the delivery numbers and reiterated its "BUY" rating on TSLA.
👉 TP ✅ @: 397.56



► We first want to observe the initial trading activity in semiconductor stocks and see whether we get another brief rotation out of the sector (particularly the higher-risk chip names). Overall, however, we continue to see upside potential for chip stocks here, which should also benefit the Nasdaq 100. We are therefore already well positioned for further early gains and can also close our Nasdaq 100 position at higher levels if we see another quick rally.

► We are looking for entries in semiconductor stocks. After a mixed start to trading, we expect to see some additional profit taking. We also continue to see further upside for GOOG/L, although some mild profit taking may occur first following yesterday's strong gains - gains we were able to benefit from.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Alphabet (GOOGL) 🇺🇸
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 354.47 ⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅ 349.90 - 350.80
(347.60 - 348.50 for GOOG)

► We saw a strong start to the final trading session of this quarter. Our Nasdaq 100 has already hit its TP and subsequently gained another ~80 points, driven in particular by further strength in semiconductor stocks such as NVDA and AVGO. MU also turned positive again, along with AMD, INTC and others. After these initial gains, however, we could first see some mild profit taking in the semiconductor sector again. If you are still LONG here, you can close at higher levels around ~30080 - 30200 (+215 points for the future).

► We continue to observe rotational movements. Market breadth has improved somewhat, which is a positive sign, although overall we still see rather mixed market and sector performance.

► GOOG/L has pulled back slightly following yesterday's strong gains. We can buy this dip of nearly 1% and see Alphabet with rebound potential in July after a disappointing month. We can re-enter here near yesterday's triggered TP (slightly 🔼 below 351).

Alphabet (GOOGL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 75–85x (7,500%–8,500%) – 2/3 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26063002A


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Outstanding NYSE Opening trade (Early NYSE Trading). More profits with Alphabet 📉📈


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 8419.30
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅8367 - 8374

► We are buying the weakness in the CAC 40 after the important luxury sector weighed heavily on the French benchmark index today. In particular, luxury giant Kering (-6.5%), as well as Louis Vuitton, Hermès, L'Oréal and Pernod Ricard, are all trading sharply lower. The CAC 40 is currently hovering around the flat line.

► A warning from Barclays following a pre-earnings meeting with analysts ahead of its late-July earnings release triggered heavy selling in Kering. Following the briefing, Barclays stated that Kering's full-year guidance now appears "increasingly unattainable," sending the stock to its lowest level in three weeks. In particular, the slow recovery in Gucci sales continues to weigh on Kering. Citi also lowered its growth expectations for Kering. Other luxury stocks came under pressure in sympathy. We believe the market reaction is excessive and has been further amplified by the ongoing rotation of institutional capital into Wall Street as well as technology and AI stocks.

► Overall, however, we continue to see broadly positive risk sentiment across Europe, even though the technology-driven tailwinds are providing only limited support to the technology-light CAC 40.

► German inflation came in lower than expected, providing another positive boost for the European economy by reducing expectations for further ECB rate hikes. It also helped ease some of the strength in the euro. In addition, lower oil prices continue to provide support for European equity markets.

CAC 40 (FRA_40): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 6–7x (600%–700%) – 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26063003A

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——————————————


We made a dream-come-true CAC_40 trade here.
Superb entry just before the rebound 📉📈💵


We won our last 10 index trades:

❌ 22.06 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (+Re-Entries all in profit)
✅ 24.06 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.06 - US30 - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.06 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.06 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
✅ 25.06 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.06 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 26.06 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️
✅ 29.06 - US2000 - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.06 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️
✅ 30.06 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️ 📸

❌ NO MORE MISSING OUT ❌
❌ NO MORE MISSING OUT ❌
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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 💰
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅58050 - 58200

► We are buying today's sharp weakness in the cryptocurrency market amid the ongoing crypto winter.

► New EU regulations have pushed numerous crypto platforms out of the European market - including Binance. Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, has been forced to cease its operations in Europe after failing to obtain the authorization required to continue its activities beyond July 1. The Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation comes into force at the beginning of H2 and introduces new requirements for corporate governance, capital reserves, internal controls, and cybersecurity across the crypto sector. Customers in some countries, including parts of the EU, are not immediately affected - but the direction of regulation is clear.

► Cryptocurrencies are also coming under pressure from the stronger US dollar and a rotation back into equities. Investors remain optimistic that the strong performance in the technology and AI sectors will continue into Q3 following the typical end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing. At the same time, investors temporarily bought the weakness in precious metals.

► Overall, we continue to see positive risk sentiment, which should support rebound attempts in the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.40–0.60x (40%–60%). Cryptocurrencies should always be traded with caution. Short-term moves of 5% or more are possible at any time. 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26063004A


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LONG (BUY)🔼 Dow Jones (US30)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅52340 - 52390 🔄

📌 DJI future Sep'26 ~260 points higher

► Semiconductor stocks in particular, which had come under significant selling pressure due to portfolio rebalancing, have rebounded very strongly over the past two trading sessions.

► Overall risk sentiment remains positive. The strong gains in the semiconductor sector have been supported by a rotation out of more defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, and also the energy sector. The Dow Jones is currently little changed for the day, while the Nasdaq is up around +1.8%.

► Market breadth has improved somewhat, although gains remain largely concentrated in the semiconductor sector.

► Wall Street is ending an exceptionally strong quarter and first half of the year on a positive note - despite geopolitical tensions and increasingly volatile trading sessions that were often accompanied by panic selling. Corporate earnings remain exceptionally strong, as demonstrated by Micron's outstanding earnings report last week. As a result, investors are also looking ahead to the upcoming earnings season with optimism.

► The market is once again showing that buying the dips in the AI sector remains a profitable strategy.

► The path of least resistance continues to point higher. With portfolio rebalancing now (largely) completed, we expect further gains ahead. We believe the strong performance in the technology sector will broaden to the wider market later this week before investors become somewhat more cautious again ahead of tomorrow's key labor market data and, more importantly, Thursday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFPs).

► We are currently seeing a slight cooling in the market after oil prices temporarily rebounded from their session lows.

Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 1.25–1.75x (125%–175%)

position code / 100% Transparency - 26063005A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 May 15 - June 30
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


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📊 5 - Week -Performance: May 15 - June 23
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 132 (+2 open p. - NVDIA & USD/JPY)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 107
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 81.1% 🔼

Dropped from statistics: 3/5 - 60% Signal Accuracy (May 14)
Added to statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (June 23)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: June 24 - June 30 🔹

✅ 24.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24723.90)
✅ 24.6 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 522.97 me)
✅ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1003.26)
❌ 24.6 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1181.11 or similar/lower)

3/4 = 75% Signal Accuracy

✅ 25.6 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 70.46 |or 69.70)
✅ 25.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 52378.90)
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 340.49)
✅ 25.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 341.44 me | or 339.99)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7399.70)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP -7423.30)
✅ 25.6 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7401.80)

7/7 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy


——————————————


Our 🔼 success rate improved slightly after a - rather rare during May - not-perfect 3/5 session (SA/SR = 60%) dropped out of the statistics and was replaced by last Tuesday's strong 5/6 session (SA/SR = 83.3%).

We continue to hold our NVDA position. As we expected already last week, NVDA climbed back above the $200.00 level in a very strong session (+2.54%). USD/JPY saw several intervention attempts but continued to edge higher. We continue to expect further attempts by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to slow the yen's depreciation. For now, however, we are tightening our TP here:
👉 USD/JPY | TP ✅ @: 162.053

No further updates for the days shown here.

🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅ 26.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24733.90)
✴️ 26.6 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 397.56 🔄
(🟡 26.6 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (127.56 me | or similar))*
✅ 26.6 - BA - LONG ↗️ (TP 218.67| overall - in-profit) 🔄📸
✅ 26.6 - DAX_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 24761.90)

3/4 - (1 open position)
*excl. INTC, as some members may have closed position break-even only.

✅ 29.6 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 3017.80) 🔄📸
✅ 29.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 349.69)
✅ 29.6 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1088.89)
✅ 29.6 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP- 4029.79 me| overall in profit | or 4007.28+) 🔄📸
✅ 29.6 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 135.33) 🔄📸

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy


🔹TODAY'S TRADES 🔹

✅ 30.6 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29996.70 me | or 29946.40) 📸
✅ 30.6 - GOOGL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 354.47) 📸
✅ 30.6 - CAC_40 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 8419.30) 📸
✅✴️ 30.6 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - SL in profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 58353.90 🔄 | TP ✅ @: 58893.70 🔄
✴️ 30.6 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 52476.30 (52735.90 future Sep'26) 🔄

4/5 - (2 open positions)


——————————————


A very strong session - congratulations! 👏

We found excellent entries for most of our positions today, with many of them ending in strong profits intraday or even just a few minutes after entry. We also managed to close several existing positions very successfully, helping us reduce our overall exposure for now. TSLA opened weak, rallied strongly during the session, but then saw significant profit taking once again. We should therefore look to exit our small position soon (if you are still holding it). Perfect TP on XOM 📸, while BA 📸 also closed near the session high (219.23). Another outstanding GOOG/L trade 📸 with a perfect entry.

We are also updating the SL 🔑 and TP ✅ for our BTC position to lock in profits. In addition, we are tightening the TP ✅ for our Dow position.

🎉 H1 is officially behind us!

It has been a fantastic first half of 2026 - and congratulations on a great trading session today! 👏

We'd like to thank each and every one of you for being part of the SmartTrader community. We wish you all an incredibly successful and profitable H2/2026! 🚀

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 CAC 40 (FRA_40) 🇫🇷
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅8316 - 8326 🔄

► Concerns about further interest rate hikes - from the Fed to the ECB - are weighing somewhat on sentiment at the start of H2 after equities delivered an exceptionally strong first half of the year and global stock markets have already posted back-to-back gains this week. Today's focus shifts to comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh as well as other central bank officials from Europe and the UK at the central banking forum in Sintra, Portugal.

► Bond yields are moving higher today, reflecting the general expectation that interest rates could continue to rise. In the US, it is no longer just elevated oil prices (which have already fallen back to pre-war levels) that are driving sentiment, but also the continued strength of the economy, supported by a robust labor market and ongoing wage inflation.

► In Europe, inflation data came in below expectations. Headline inflation rose 2.8% versus expectations of 3.0%, while Eurozone core inflation came in at 2.4% versus 2.6% expected and below the previous month's reading of 2.6%. This should reduce expectations of a new ECB rate-hiking cycle.

► The CAC 40 is once again underperforming the broader market and is trading at a three-day low. The index is being weighed down primarily by further losses in the French luxury goods sector - including Pernod Ricard, Louis Vuitton, and Kering - as well as sharp declines in telecommunications giant Orange. Industrials, on the other hand, are performing well, which we generally view as a positive sign. French June PMI data also came in stronger than expected at 51.2 versus 50.7 expected, improving significantly from 49.7 in May.

► At the same time, oil prices continue to decline and are currently down around 1%, which generally provides tailwinds for European equities.

CAC 40 (FRA_40): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 6–7x (600%–700%) – 2/3 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26070101A

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——————————————


The underperformance of the CAC intensified a bit further.

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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Micron (MU) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility & Risk; 1/2 position size;
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅1062 - 1075

(MU eröffnet rund 6.5% tiefer und dürfte zunächst nochmals etwas Gewinnmitnahmen sehen; starke Unterstützung im Bereich 1020 - 1050)


🔹 Dow Jones (-0.2%) - is trading slightly lower, but solely because of the sharp decline in Caterpillar, which is weighing heavily on the 30-stock index. With a weighting of 12.2%, CAT is the largest component of the Dow Jones and is trading significantly lower in pre-market as AI, semiconductor, and data center stocks come under pressure today. CAT has significant exposure to the AI sector. Overall, we are seeing the expected rotation out of AI stocks and into more defensive sectors. We remain LONG the Dow and expect it to outperform the Nasdaq today, exactly as we anticipated. We are keeping our current TP (✅ @: 52476.30 | 52735.90 future) unchanged.

🔹 NVDA (-2.1%) - is giving back part of its strong gains from the start of the week. We continue to see the typical swings in the AI sector - today once again with significant profit taking after two very strong trading sessions. We remain LONG. Evercore ISI reiterated its "Outperform" rating on NVDA, calling it their "best idea" and emphasizing that it remains the only full-stack chip maker.

🔹 Tesla (-0.2%) - is opening slightly lower after what has been a strong trading week so far. We are tightening our TP once again and continue to see some short-term correction potential.
👉 TP ✅ @: 413.18


► We see p semiconductor stocks opening sharply lower -articularly memory stocks including MU, WDC, STX, and SNDK. I particularly like SNDK here, as the stock is opening around 8.5% lower. However, many CFD brokers do not offer the stock for trading. A good entry range would be between 2050 - 2075.

► MU is opening around 6.5-7% lower and may initially experience another wave of panic selling before the memory giant can stabilize. We want to build another LONG position here. In any case, we see an attractive entry below 1080. We may initially see a bit more selling pressure after the opening, but particularly below 1050 we expect increasing support and stronger dip buying.

► We are working with a wide TP here and may improve our entry later today (similar to how we traded MU on Monday).

► Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to provide any hints regarding a potential July rate hike, which at least did not confirm the market's previously hawkish expectations. His comments - or rather what he deliberately did not say, such as placing greater emphasis on fighting inflation - helped bond yields (and the US dollar) cool somewhat, although both remain significantly higher on the day. Gold subsequently rose to new session highs (although we see significant resistance at/above the 4100 level), while equities - particularly growth and technology stocks - could receive some support from this. The market's focus now shifts to tomorrow's NFP report.

Micron (MU): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 15–20x (1,500%–2,000%) – 1/2 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26070103A


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
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Recommended Entry Range ✅29930 - 29980
(30145 -30195 future)

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SHORT (SELL) 🔽Gold (XAU/USD)🥇
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Recommended Entry ✅near/above 4100


► We saw the Nasdaq 100 pulling back after the NYSE opening as the semiconductor sector, which had rallied strongly at the start of the week, came under significant profit taking.

► Kevin Warsh's decision not to comment on a potential July rate hike (or any July rate decision) was taken positively by the market, as many investors had feared he would already signal a rate hike. He later added that inflation is "too high" - which, however, was hardly surprising and therefore had little impact on the markets.

► Gold initially reacted with a sharp rally, followed by panic buying, or rather FOMO buying. We can go SHORT here near/above 4100 and work with a not too tight TP ✅ as we expect profit taking to soon kick in.

► At the same time, we can buy the current dip in the Nasdaq. We expect the sharp losses in semiconductor stocks to ease somewhat - including in NVDA and AVGO. Overall, we actually see healthy market breadth, including within the Nasdaq, with only chip and AI stocks once again experiencing a short-term wave of profit taking.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.0-2.5x (200%-250%) - 2/3 position size

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.10–0.12x (10%–12%) – 3/5 position size.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26070104A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26070102B


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 TSMC (TSM) 🇹🇼(🇺🇸)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
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Recommended Entry Range ✅444.10 - 445.60 🔄

► We have seen another wave of significant profit taking in the semiconductor sector after its strong rebound over the past two trading sessions following a very mixed June. Overall, the semiconductor sector gained an incredible 80% during the first half of the year.

► Meta led an impressive comeback in big tech today, supporting the broader market. META is up more than 10% after announcing plans to launch a cloud business and monetize excess computing capacity, which could provide an additional boost to revenue.

► It is incredibly difficult to catch the exact bottom during these sharp pullbacks, which is why we prefer to gradually build a LONG position. Overall, however, we continue to see very strong rebound potential following today's massive sell-off.

► We see strong rebound potential in MRVL near/below 🔼 275.00, ASML below 🔼 1850, and AMD below 🔼 550. Even INTC, which is currently down more than 7.5%, looks like an attractive buy near 🔼 128.50 if you can handle the very high volatility. We remain particularly bullish on memory-chip stocks and are already LONG MU. We expect stronger support around and especially below the 1050 level, with significant short-term rebound potential. We are buying TSMC here, which remains very attractively valued compared with most other semiconductor stocks. We are buying TSM near/below 446.00 and are building a small position.

TSMC (TSM): Multiply your your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 45 - 55 (4.500% - 5.500%) - 1/2 position size

position code / 100% Transparency - 26070105A


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