πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Apple (AAPL) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…331.20 - 331.70


πŸ”Ή S&P 500 (+0.4%) - is trading near its all-time high. We found an excellent entry, and our position is well in profit. We are setting an in-profit SL πŸ”‘ and keeping our current TP, which is at an all-time high.

πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 7805.40 | TP βœ… @: 7824.90
(-10 points for SPX)
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ


πŸ”Ή ExxonMobil (-1.0%) - is opening significantly lower. We found the absolute perfect entry yesterday. XOM is trading below our TP (163.21) in pre-market. This will be another big profit with XOM - congratulations!
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ

πŸ”Ή Intel (+1.0%) - is opening strongly after coming under pressure yesterday amid concerns that INTC will have to compete with TSMC for Musk’s Terafab initiative. However, the deal remains enormous, and the outlook for AI CPU demand remains very positive. INTC benefits significantly from being a chip foundry with manufacturing operations primarily located in the US. We remain LONG.

πŸ”Ή Meta (+0.3%) - is opening slightly higher after a very strong previous session. We remain LONG and keep our TP (βœ… @: 759.39). Wells Fargo raised its price target for META to a whopping $1,000 (from $796).

πŸ”Ή Netflix (0.0%) - is opening flat. We found a good entry after NFLX’s weak performance over the past 5 weeks. We can slightly widen our TP βœ…. Investment giant Goldman Sachs recommends a β€œBUY” on NFLX with a price target of $90 (previously $94).
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 67.63
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED | closed a bit higher βš οΈπŸ“Έ


β–Ί We made excellent trades during the previous session and consistently stayed ahead of the market. Investment banks also issued the analyst calls we expected or generally agree with our views. Overall, we could, and probably should, have stayed LONG in NVDA, as I remain very bullish on the leader in AI GPUs - across all time frames - and consider it undervalued. NVDA’s gains are the engine driving Wall Street and other chip / AI stocks. NVDA received another boost from the strong capabilities demonstrated by Europe’s largest AI model, Mistral. Mistral Large 4 (ML4), also known as le Chonk, was trained over two months on 4,000 Nvidia Grace Blackwell GPUs deployed in Mistral’s own data centers in Europe.

β–Ί We are seeing outperformance in tech / growth stocks. This is generally an environment in which AAPL also underperforms. AAPL is opening slightly lower, similar to yesterday. We still like AAPL and see short-term upside potential. While the stock is not in focus today, we are getting a solid entry here.

β–Ί We see upside potential in Korean company SKHY, which is opening weakly following even sharper losses in Korea. An entry below 192.00 is attractive. We are generally looking for entries in chipmakers, including NVDA, MRVL, and potentially MU. AMD is also bullish but is already opening very strongly. We want to buy dips. We are already LONG in INTC.


Apple (AAPL): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 80–90x (8,000%–9,000%) – 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100602A


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Congratulations on amazing profits including yet another huge profit with oil (XOM). πŸ’΅πŸ’΅πŸ’΅


AAPL fell even near 330.50 but is well in profit now (for us).


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Nvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ 3/4 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…239.40 - 239.90 πŸ”„


β–Ί We generally see further upside potential for NVDA, even though we are now seeing some headwinds. After NVDA reached a new all-time high and approached a $6 trillion market cap, we also saw some profit-taking. Following NVDA’s initial outperformance, AVGO has now jumped sharply, supported by closer cooperation with Anthropic and a massive circular investment deal.

β–Ί We see further upside potential in the tech sector, with NVDA retaining a key role. We will not get a particularly large dip, so we are happy with an entry in NVDA to now near 240.00. We are seeing some profit-taking for now, but remain bullish on NVDA - across all time frames. We want to build a LONG position and further improve our average entry if needed.

β–Ί We expect further Buy / Overweight recommendations from investment banks in the coming sessions, along with significantly higher price targets.

β–Ί A slight rebound in oil prices halted the strong gains on Wall Street that had pushed the Nasdaq and now also the S&P 500 to new all-time highs (also triggering our TP βœ… πŸ“Έ; we also made nice profits with XOM πŸ“Έ directly at the NYSE opening and with NFLX πŸ“Έ - I closed slightly higher). MRVL jumped more than 7% following impressive long-term revenue projections.

Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 100 – 110x (10,000%–11,000%) – 3/4 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100603A


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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

NVDA has now fallen further - even below πŸ”½ $240.00 πŸ“ˆ and into negative territory for the day.

We want to hold a LONG position in NVDA.


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Bitcoin (BTC/USD) πŸ’°
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…85450 - 85650


β–Ί Some investment banks have lowered their BTC price targets for 2026, including Standard Chartered ($100K), Citigroup ($113K), and Bernstein ($125K). Nevertheless, all their targets remain very ambitious and would imply extremely impressive further gains in the fourth quarter.

β–Ί I see cryptocurrencies as well positioned for further gains, particularly since they showed strong resilience and even substantial gains in September - a rather chaotic month that often weighs on risk-sensitive assets. Historically, September has also been the weakest month for BTC - not just for stocks - with an average decline of 2.4% in September from 2013 to 2025. This September, however, Bitcoin rose more than 6%.

β–Ί Higher oil prices and a strong USD did little to diminish the appeal of cryptocurrencies amid growing doubts about financial stability and plunging bond prices.

β–Ί A rebound in oil prices has now pulled BTC slightly lower. BTC lost more than 1% over the past hour, but remains up around 0.5% over the past 24 hours. We are also seeing a slight correction in other risk assets, including stocks. Oil prices remain key.

β–Ί We see further upside potential for cryptocurrencies in October and a strong fourth-quarter performance that could indeed push BTC toward $100,000.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.35–0.40x (35%–40%). Cryptocurrencies should always be traded with caution. Short-term moves of 5% or more are possible at any time. 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100604A


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πŸ’ΈπŸ“‰8️⃣5️⃣5️⃣0️⃣0οΈβƒ£πŸ“ˆ


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Russell 2000 (US2000) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
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TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…2828 - 2833


β–Ί We have seen significant underperformance in small caps since the start of the Iran war - and again as oil prices resumed their sharp rise from late August / September through today.

β–Ί The Russell 2000 is also significantly underperforming today and is now trading well in the red amid a rebound in oil prices.

β–Ί Crude exports from the Middle East exceeded pre-war levels on four days during the last week of September, according to shipping data released on Monday. This underscores the resilience of regional oil flows despite attacks on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and attacks by Iran-backed Houthi forces on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.

β–Ί While there is little reason for optimism about a diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran, it is clear that the Trump administration will try additional ways to bring down high oil and fuel prices ahead of the midterm elections.

β–Ί While we generally expect the outperformance of tech / Big Tech / AI to continue, we like this entry into the Russell 2000 and are taking it. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reached new all-time highs today, while the Russell 2000 remains far from its own.


Russell 2000 (US2000): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 15–18x (1,700%–2,000%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26090605A


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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 18 - October 06
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 18 - September 29
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 133 (excl. INTC & META)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 121
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 91% πŸ”½ πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (August 17)
Added to statistics: 6/7 - 85.7%
Signal Accuracy (September 29)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: September 30 - October 06 πŸ”Ή

❌ 30.9 - NAS100 - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 30466.60 | or clsd)
βœ… 30.9 - XAG/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 60.897 - overall in profit)
βœ… 30.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30632.30)
βœ… 30.9 - MSFT - LONG ↗️ (TP - 519.23)
βœ… 30.9 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4192.12)
❌ 30.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (SL - 51032.90)
βŒβœ… 30.9 - EUR/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1.12721 | mixed | +re-entry in profit)
βœ… 30.9 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51163.90)

5/8 = 62.5% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 1.10 - UKOIL - SHORT β†˜οΈ(TP-99.52 m. or100.21|+re-entry)
βœ… 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30609.40 me | or clsd)
βœ… 1.10 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1084.70 me or 1081.10)
βœ… 1.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4174.13)
βœ… 1.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51047.40)

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Most of our sessions during the five-week period are flawless (meaning that we closed all positions opened that day with a significant profit). One of these flawless sessions πŸ’Ž (4/4; SA/SR = 100%) dropped out of our statistics and was replaced by a strong but not flawless 6/7 session (SA/SR = 85.7%). Our πŸ”½ success rate therefore slipped slightly but remains extremely high at 91% πŸ†

No further updates in this part of the overview. Our META and INTC positions remain open. After initial gains, both stocks closed lower. META remains bullish, while INTC continues to be held back by renewed profit-taking following rebound attempts.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51472.30)
✴️ 2.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - overall near break-even)
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 4119.43 πŸ”„ | TP βœ… @: 4183.13 πŸ”„
βœ… 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51284.70)
βœ… 2.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 67.69 me | or 67.63) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 2.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 162.51)
βœ… 2.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 162.71)
βœ… 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30950.40)
βœ… 2.10 - UKOIL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 100.36)

7/8 - (1 open position)

βœ… 5.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30909.30)
βœ… 5.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 335.33)
βœ… 5.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51174.90)
βœ… 5.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.43)
βœ… 5.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 163.21) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (TUESDAY) πŸ”Ή

βœ… 6.10 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7824.90) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 6.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 335.07
✴️ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 243.43
✴️ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 86366.40 πŸ”„
✴️ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - break-even)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2851.70

1/5 - (4 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


We closed three positions from three different sessions. Overall, it was a good session, with Gold also moving back into profit (currently around break-even overall, depending on the initial entry price). We are moving our SL πŸ”‘ & TP βœ… slightly lower.

Monday’s XOM trade πŸ“Έ was an absolutely perfect trade - even against the market. We could not have sold at a better level on Monday and closed below our TP at today’s opening.

We also closed NFLX πŸ“Έ from Friday and today’s S&P 500 πŸ“Έ position, with the TP at an all-time high.
We are tightening the TP βœ… for our BTC position slightly.

We still like our overall positioning. We did not make the mistake of buying too aggressively into the rally and instead looked for solid entries.

Overall, not a particularly spectacular session, but a good one. Congratulations.
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🌎 SmartTrader around the globe 🌎

Julian
πŸ“ Austria πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή

β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

πŸ† From €1,500 to more than €10,000 in about four months.
Nearly €1,500 in profit in the latest week alone.



Julian joined SmartTrader VIP πŸ’Ž at the end of May 2026 with €1,500 in starting capital and little prior success in trading.

By October 2, he reported approximately €8,800 in total profit, bringing his account balance to more than €10,000.

His latest weekly screenshot shows €1,437.02 in profit after swaps. Even Julian was surprised by how well the week had gone πŸ‘


β€”


His plans for those profits make the story even better.

🏍 A passionate motocross rider, Julian plans to buy a KTM 250 for next season.
πŸŽ„ He also wants to surprise his whole family with a vacation as a Christmas gift - including his grandmother, who hasn’t traveled outside Austria in more than 15 years ❀️


Congrats, Julian - and thank you for sharing your results with us!


β€”


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’ (spot)
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 3/5 position size

Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 89.24

(+$0.54
futures contract - Nov'26; near/below 89.78

β–Ί We continue to see these 24–48-hour markets and another shift in risk sentiment, driven by concerns that oil prices will rise again after the recent decline, as well as actual gains (WTI up around 0.5%, Brent more than 1.2%) following fresh escalations in the Strait of Hormuz. Oman’s air force evacuated ten crew members from a Panamanian-flagged oil tanker following an attack in the Strait of Hormuz. The attack sparked a fire on board the vessel. According to Marisks, a shipping intelligence service, at least seven other incidents involving tankers have been reported over the past week.

β–Ί Tehran once again warned against using β€œillegal” routes in the Strait of Hormuz and reiterated that there would be consequences and that these routes would be closed.

β–Ί Higher oil prices are once again driving strength in the USD and a further rise in yields (also putting pressure on precious metals and causing our gold positionβ€”if not already closed earlierβ€”to hit its SL). The significantly stronger USD has limited oil’s gains for now, but we expect further increases before oil prices can stabilize.

β–Ί Further increases in oil prices mean, however, that risk assets, including stocks, will remain under pressure for now, with Wall Street trading near all-time highs and corporate earnings still expected to remain strong.


WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’: Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 2.5–3.5x (250%–350%) – if contract size 10; 3/5 position size
WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’: Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.25–0.35x (25%–35%) – if contract size 100; 3/5 position size

WTI (USOIL) πŸ›’: Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.025–0.035x (2.5%–3.5%) – if contract size 1000; 3/5 position size

(Contract size: right-click the asset in MT4/5 -> β€œSpecification”)


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100701A



⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 8️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⏰❌ KILL THE DELAY ❌⏰
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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Dow Jones (US30) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 51000 πŸ”„

πŸ“Œ DJI future ~42 points lower


πŸ”°
VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT AFTER NYSE TRADING πŸ”½ Tesla (TSLA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP βœ… @: 376.61 πŸ”„
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED πŸ“Έβš οΈ


Recommended Entry Range βœ…381.00 - 382.00


πŸ”Ή Russell 2000 (-0.8%) - is trading lower with global stocks seeing some profit taking as returning concerns about higher oil prices as well as inflation and no end in sight for the rising yields soured sentiment. We generally expect markets to stabilize later today, however, small caps will react more sensitively to oil prices and yields. We thus set our TP near entry price.
πŸ‘‰ TP
βœ… @: 2834.90


πŸ”Ή Apple (+1.1%) - is the big and one of the very few strong winners in New York and especially in the Nasdaq 100. If your position did not already hit TP in pre-market then it will hit it at NYSE opening + gap. Yorkville Ives gave AAPL an outperform rating and an impressive PT of $400.

πŸ”Ή Intel (-0.2%) - opens only slightly lower, but has seen some selling also in the previous session. INTC will find buyers nearing $110.00 but short-term the stock will remain volatile. For now, we tighten our TP.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 118.97

πŸ”Ή Meta (+0.4%) - is opening a bit lower but generally remains bullish. However, we expect a negative session for META today. Nevertheless, we keep our current TP (βœ… @: 759.39).

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (-0.8%) - is facing a bit of profit taking after the recent sharp gains but remains bullish. Yorkville Ives is the next investment firm which urges to invest in NVDA and expects the chip giant to "outperform" (PT $300). It remains attractive to buy dips and we will look to do so in the range $234 - $236 in case NVDA cools further. We tighten our TP βœ… for now.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 242.39


β–Ί While tech / growth stocks, particularly the important chip / AI stocks, are seeing further profit-taking after recent gains, the Dow is falling even more sharply, despite the 30-stock index already underperforming last week. This is due to weakness in financials and CAT, which is linked to the AI sector and is one of the Dow’s most important stocks. However, losses in GS, V, JPM, and AXP are weighing particularly heavily on the Dow.

β–Ί While we look for dip-buying opportunities in chip stocks such as AMD, MU, MRVL, and NVDA, we are buying the dip in the Dow for now. We may initially see some additional selling pressure, but we see upside potential for the Dow and generally expect less volatility and downside potential than in the Nasdaq - at least today. We are using the volatility around the NYSE opening to find an entry near 51000 - we see the Dow trading at around 51060 in pre-market trading.

β–Ί We are also opening a small SHORT position and choosing TSLA. Investment banks are not optimistic about TSLA ahead of earnings - for example, Goldman Sachs yesterday with a β€œNeutral” rating and a $360 price target, below the current price, or UBS today, also with a β€œNeutral” rating and a $391 price target (up from $385). A β€œNeutral” rating is in reality a negative rating.

β–Ί TSLA benefits from expectations of potentially massive future growth, as investors believe in CEO Musk’s vision. With SPCX, however, they now have a more attractive stock through which to bet on that vision. TSLA remains extremely expensive and is, of course, absurdly overvalued on fundamentals. We are cautiously going SHORT and see some headwinds ahead. TSLA is opening around 0.6% lower near 378.20 - initially, however, we expect a rebound driven by the typical dip-buying in TSLA & SPCX, followed by resistance in the πŸ”½ 381.00 - 382.50 range and then losses toward 375.00.



Dow Jones (US30): Multiply your β€œstandard position size (EUR/USD)” by ~1.2 - 1.5x (120%-150%) - 2/3 position size

Tesla
(TSLA): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 50–55x (5,000%– 5,500%) – 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100702A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26100703A


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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Dow Jones (US30) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 position size TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 51000 πŸ”„ πŸ“Œ DJI future ~42 points lower πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― SHORT AFTER NYSE TRADING…
β€œTSLA is opening around 0.6% lower near 378.20 - initially, however, we expect a rebound driven by the typical dip-buying in TSLA & SPCX, followed by resistance in the πŸ”½ 381.00 - 382.50 range and then losses toward 375.00.”


This may be the most accurate price prediction you will ever see with TSLA which is generally seen as unpredictable. We could not have been more right. TSLA is now trading slightly below 375 and has some further downside potential. I updated the TP from its original level of 375.57 (where I closed) - but even at 376.61: a phenomenal trade.


The Dow now offers a better entry πŸ”Ό below 51000


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry
βœ…near 4102.50


β–Ί We see stabilizing risk sentiment, as oil prices are no longer risingβ€”but only after our TP was triggered. Oil prices now paint a mixed picture: WTI is actually down today (-0.4%), while Brent is still up around 0.6%.

β–Ί We see upside potential in risk assets, including stocks and the Nasdaq 100, but do not want to increase our exposure too much, as we are already positioned LONG in the Dow and Russell 2000. The Dow would actually be trading significantly higher if its two most heavily weighted stocks were not sharply lower (GS -2.3% and CAT down more than 6.2%).

β–Ί We could call it an unfortunate end to our gold positionβ€”and it certainly was, with our TP nearly triggered twice. At the same time, we could have / should have closed, as the high volatility and market swings would have allowed for a lower entry anyway.

β–Ί We are a little late to the rebound, but see gold moving higher in the short term, as we expect only limited additional near-term upside for the USD. Oil prices remain key.

β–Ί Gold is trying to find buyers near 4100 (and silver at $60/oz). We limit potential losses with a relatively tight SL.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 2610704A


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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Dow Jones (US30) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/3 position size TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) Recommended Entry βœ…near/below 51000 πŸ”„ πŸ“Œ DJI future ~42 points lower πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― SHORT AFTER NYSE TRADING…
⚑️ RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Dow Jones (US30) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
SL
πŸ”‘ @: 51169.40
TP
βœ… @: 51264.90
OR
CLOSE βœ… @: 51240 - 51270

πŸ“Œ DJI future ~25 points lower


We are setting an in-profit SL for our Dow position, which is now trading near our TP. We see some resistance in the 51250 - 51300 range, so we are also tightening our TP - or, better yet, simply closing the position.

You can close the position, as we expect continued volatility to allow for a lower re-entry anyway.

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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό SK Hynix (SKHY) πŸ‡°πŸ‡·(πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ)
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 2/5 position size;
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…177.10 - 177.40


β–Ί We are cautiously buying a small position in SKHY, which has significantly underperformed this week and is also trading 3% lower in today’s final trading minutes (in New York) - currently near 177.00.

β–Ί Samsung and SKHY, both leaders in High-Bandwidth Memory alongside MU, dominate the market and have benefited from massive memory demand and rising prices, which have pushed margins to extreme levels.

β–Ί D.A. Davidson expects the MU stock price to triple and sees memory demand significantly outstripping supply in 2027 and even into 2028. MU is up more than 3.5% following this very positive outlook / analyst call, while SKHY (and Samsung) remain under pressure.

β–Ί SKHY will remain volatile, but we can start building a LONG position here. Strong gains in MU and a broader stabilization of the memory sector will also support SKHY. The stock has fallen sharply over recent sessions ahead of earnings later this month.

β–Ί AMD is also interesting - currently with support at πŸ”Ό 650.00. We remain bullish on NVDA (we are LONG - we see further support at πŸ”Ό 234.50 - 236.50). INTC has outperformed other chipmakers today (currently up 0.8%).

SK Hynix (SKHY): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 100–120x (10,000%–11,000%) – 2/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100705A


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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 19 - October 07
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 19 - September 30
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. INTC & META)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 123
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 89.8% πŸ”½ πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 3/4 - 75% Signal Accuracy (August 18)
Added to statistics: 5/8 - 62,5%
Signal Accuracy (September 30)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: October 01 - October 07 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 1.10 - UKOIL - SHORT β†˜οΈ(TP-99.52 m. or100.21|+re-entry)
βœ… 1.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30609.40 me | or clsd)
βœ… 1.10 - MU - LONG ↗️ (TP - 1084.70 me or 1081.10)
βœ… 1.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4174.13)
βœ… 1.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51047.40)

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51472.30)
❌ 2.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4119.43 | +re-entry) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 2.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51284.70)
βœ… 2.10 - NFLX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 67.69 me | or 67.63)
βœ… 2.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 162.51)
βœ… 2.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 162.71)
βœ… 2.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30950.40)
βœ… 2.10 - UKOIL - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 100.36)

7/8 = 87.5% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Our πŸ”½ signal accuracy / success rate slipped slightly as a 3/4 session (SA/SR = 75%) dropped out of our statistics and was replaced by last Wednesday’s 5/8 session (SA/SR = 62.5%). Our success rate remains exceptional at 89.8%, falling below 90% for the first time since the five-trading-week period of June 18 - July 24.

We also had a very unfortunate SL closing with Gold today - a position we should have closed (well) in profit. Ultimately, our position management was too greedy, resulting in an extremely rare off-profit closing for us in a precious metals position.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 5.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30909.30)
βœ… 5.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 335.33)
βœ… 5.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51174.90)
βœ… 5.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (TP - 238.43)
βœ… 5.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 163.21)

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 6.10 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7824.90)
βœ… 6.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 336.67 | or 335.07 + gap) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
✴️ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 242.39 πŸ”„
✴️ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 86366.40
✴️ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2834.90 πŸ”„

2/5 - (3 open positions)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (WEDNESDAY) πŸ”Ή

βœ…
7.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 89.99) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61) πŸ“Έ
βœ… 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4128.13) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG ↗️ (open - deep in profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 179.98

4/5 - (1 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


It is of course frustrating, because this session could have been exceptionally strong. Ultimately, a very rare position management mistake in Gold πŸ“Έ - my responsibility! - led to mixed results. Our position was well in profit overall on Tuesday and should have been closed. Many of you probably did so, as we were also seeing the volatility. Particularly frustrating: Twice, the position came extremely close to a TP βœ… closing - less than 0.05% away.

Aside from that, we reacted very well to today’s market moves, made strong decisions, and showed excellent timing - including an absolutely perfect TSLA πŸ“Έ prediction.

Our new Gold πŸ“Έ position has already hit TP. We could have found a slightly better entry here; with the previous position, we should not (!) have let it reach an SL closing in the first place.

Toward the end of NYSE trading, we found an excellent entry in SKHY. SKHY is already trading at 181.50 after hours, putting it well above our TP.

I closed AAPL πŸ“Έ in pre-market trading after widening my TP. AAPL opened at 336.96 - so if your position had not already been closed in pre-market by you or your broker, your exit was even better.

Our portfolio positions delivered mixed performances. However, we see signs of stabilizing risk sentiment. INTC rebounded strongly, while we want to give META, NVDA, Russell 2000, and BTC a little more time.

Today’s session was an important reminder to be a little more conservative with positions that are sensitive to risk sentiment. At the same time, it is essential to recognize changing market conditions and make informed decisions (the right ones!), rather than act out of panic. We did that very well today πŸ‘
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

♦️ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Balance of Trade AUG – 06:00 (reported: 🟒)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Exports MoM AUG – 06:00 (reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ BoE Credit Conditions Survey – 08:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Waller Speech – 08:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts – 11:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ BoE Gov Bailey Speech – 12:15
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Initial Jobless Claims OCT/03 – 12:30
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 – 15:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Musalem Speech – 17:40
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Household Spending AUG (MoM/YoY) – 23:30

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

β˜€οΈ PepsiCo (PEP) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Tesco (TSCDY) πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§

---

SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 4123


β–Ί We are seeing significantly higher oil prices: WTI and Brent are up around 5% - supported by additional panic buying following the initial gains. Escalation concerns are keeping markets on edge after reports emerged that the Trump administration is considering large-scale military operations in Iran in the coming weeks. US President Donald Trump said last week, and reiterated in statements this week, that he does not want a deal with Iran to end the war. Yields have risen further and are also climbing sharply today / right now with the US 10-year Treasury yield up more than 7 basis points, for example.

β–Ί Gold is currently still trading higher for the day as investors pull out of risk assets and, with few places to hide, some turn to gold as a safe haven. Gold has benefited little from this recently, as it has been strongly negatively correlated with oil prices, whose rise has pushed yields to their highest levels in decades.

β–Ί We expect selling pressure in Gold. Silver is already down more than 1.5%, and Gold will also be unable to stay in positive territory from here unless oil’s gains ease very significantly. We are selling near 4125.


Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100801A


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ EUR/USD
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 1.11970

β–Ί We are seeing some β€œSell America” trading amid concerns that the US will soon resume its strikes against Iran. At the same time, there are no signs that US President Donald Trump is pushing for a deal with Iran to end the ongoing war.

β–ΊWe are seeing significantly higher oil prices today, with WTI up nearly 5%. The β€œSell America” trade is limiting USD gains here. However, higher oil prices will continue to weigh on the EUR, JPY, and other currencies. In the Eurozone, more EUR must be exchanged for USD to pay for more expensive oil imports.

β–Ί We are seeing sharply rising yields in the US - but also in Europe, so this effect creates no additional headwinds for EUR/USD.

β–Ί The β€œSell America” trade will fade as strong US corporate earnings continue to confirm Wall Street’s outperformance relative to Europe.

β–Ί Additionally, the FOMC minutes reinforced the hawkish tone that accompanied the Fed’s September rate hike. Most participants considered further tightening appropriate, and almost all saw inflation risks tilted to the upside. Recent weaker hiring data and the surprisingly cooler-than-expected, though already outdated, PCE report will only temporarily temper expectations that further tightening is needed.

β–Ί We also see an attractive entry in USD/JPY at πŸ”Ό 158.000 - 158.100, but are choosing EUR/USD here near the key level of πŸ”½ 1.12000.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26100802A


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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


πŸ”° VIP UPDATE SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”Ό Nvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…233.30 - 233.90


πŸ”°
VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”½ (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…(ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)


πŸ”Ή Russell 2000 (-0.5%) - is trading weaker in pre-market, as sharp gains in oil prices and higher yields weigh on stocks. As we saw yesterday, we expect stocks to stabilize and trade well above their pre-market lows. However, much will depend on oil prices. We are tightening our TP
βœ….
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2819.70


πŸ”Ή Intel (-1.7%) - is opening lower after yesterday’s outperformance relative to the Nasdaq 100 / chip stocks. Uncertainty over INTC’s involvement in Musk’s Terafab AI chip complex persists and will likely cause INTC to temporarily fall below 110.00. This is compounded by broader profit-taking, as higher oil prices and another surge in yields have dampened risk sentiment.

πŸ”Ή Meta (+1.1%) - is opening very well after some profit-taking yesterday, but faces an unfavorable sentiment environment, primarily due to high oil prices. META continues to offer significant upside potential, but will likely remain mostly in a volatile sideways range for a while longer.

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (-0.7%) - continues to see some profit-taking and is opening in a range where we want to re-enter. NVDA remains bullish regardless and will continue to receive very positive analyst calls - such as today’s call from Citi, which again urged investors to β€œBUY” Nvidia and sees significant upside potential in the fourth quarter. We are making a re-entry and tightening our TP.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

πŸ”Ή SK Hynix (-1.0%) - traded well above our TP after hours, but has since given back those gains and is now opening around 1% lower. We have a very small position and had expected continued high volatility. SKHY offers significant upside potential following its recent weakness.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 178.44


β–Ί We are buying the dip in NVDA. However, NVDA will be volatile at the opening and fluctuate around 234.00, allowing us to find an entry slightly below 234.00 as well.

β–Ί We are selling the very strong opening in (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) - the stock is opening around (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)% higher today. Although that is a smaller gain than (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž), especially as β€œBig Money” prefers to invest in tech / AI stocks ahead of the upcoming earnings reports.


Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~65 – 75x (6,500%–7,500%) – 1/2 position size.

(ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)



position code / 100% Transparency - 26100803A
position code / 100% Transparency - 26100804A


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Perfect Re-Entry


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⚑️ RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
TP
βœ… @: 4117.71
⚠️ ALREADY WIDENED TO βœ… @: 4111.72 ⚠️

EUR/USD
TP
βœ… @: 1.11826

ExxonMobil (XOM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP
βœ… @: 167.17

Nvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP
βœ… @: 238.78


Gold will retest 4100 and fall further as long as oil prices remain this elevated / continue to rise.

We are not currently seeing sharp losses in Gold, as investors are looking for somewhere to park their money. Bonds continue to fall, and other risk assets, including stocks, are also under pressure today from higher oil prices and further gains in yields.

Gold has become more of a safe haven again - even in an environment of sharply rising yields. We are tightening our TP here and would prefer to close our position soon, as we can continue to find good / even better entries.

We are also adjusting the TPs for our XOM and EUR/USD positions. There is absolutely no reason (!) to panic, but we want to work with tighter TPs.


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