π° FREE VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ Nasdaq 100 (US100) πΊπΈ
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entryβ
30810 - 30850
π Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~200 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!
βΊ We had a good start to the week. Gains in Asia / Europe also supported stocks in early US pre-market trading and triggered our Nasdaq 100 TPβ
πΈ for a solid profit. We are now seeing renewed profit-taking in the Nasdaq 100 amid higher oil prices and further profit-taking in the chip sector as attention turns to the start of earnings season. Higher oil prices have also strengthened the USD slightly again. Our GBP/USD position is just a few pips away from TP (1.32256).
βΊ Wall Street is coming off a winning week with new all-time highs. The Nasdaq is now slightly in negative territory and more than 100 points below our triggered TP, and we are re-entering LONG.
βΊ Investors are skeptical about the βenergy ceasefireβ Trump announced over the weekend, which neither Kyiv nor Moscow has confirmed. It looks more like one of Trumpβs typical lies aimed at pushing oil prices lower and putting political pressure on leaders - currently Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in particular. If there was any agreement, Moscow violated it that very same day.
βΊ It will be an eventful week as earnings season for the previous quarter gets underway. I expect another round of strong corporate results. Banks in particular are likely to report strong revenue from trading activities.
βΊ We are re-entering LONG in the Nasdaq.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101201A
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ββββββββββββββ
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LONG (BUY)
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP
Recommended Entry
π Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~200 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!
βΊ We had a good start to the week. Gains in Asia / Europe also supported stocks in early US pre-market trading and triggered our Nasdaq 100 TP
βΊ Wall Street is coming off a winning week with new all-time highs. The Nasdaq is now slightly in negative territory and more than 100 points below our triggered TP, and we are re-entering LONG.
βΊ Investors are skeptical about the βenergy ceasefireβ Trump announced over the weekend, which neither Kyiv nor Moscow has confirmed. It looks more like one of Trumpβs typical lies aimed at pushing oil prices lower and putting political pressure on leaders - currently Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in particular. If there was any agreement, Moscow violated it that very same day.
βΊ It will be an eventful week as earnings season for the previous quarter gets underway. I expect another round of strong corporate results. Banks in particular are likely to report strong revenue from trading activities.
βΊ We are re-entering LONG in the Nasdaq.
Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by ~1.75 - 2.5x (175%-250%) - 2/3 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101201A
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SELL EARLY NYSE TRADING
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP
Recommended Entry
πΉ Nasdaq 100 (-0.1%) - is trading slightly in the red, with continued profit-taking in the chip sector. We found an excellent entry but are tightening our TP
π TP
πΉ Russell 2000 (-0.1%) - is trading slightly lower, similar to the Nasdaq 100, weighed down by higher oil prices, inflation concerns, and a stronger USD. We are keeping our TP unchanged for now (TP
πΉ Intel (-1.3%) - remains the biggest drag on our portfolio. However, we expect chip stocks to stabilize today and attract buyers after the recent losses. We are working with a tighter (off-profit) TP
π TP
πΉ Meta (+1.6%) - is one of the strongest performers in pre-market trading - we remain LONG with a slightly tighter TP.
π TP
πΉ Nvidia (-0.2%) - is opening little changed after some profit-taking in the chip sector over previous sessions. NVDA still has some room to recover before reaching our TP (
πΉ SK Hynix (-2.0%) - is unable to extend Fridayβs rebound attempt and is opening lower as chip stocks remain under pressure. We are tightening our TP
π TP
πΉ SpaceX (+1.3%) - is opening very strongly and offers further upside across all time frames. We are tightening our TP slightly. Investment firm Pivotal reiterated its βBUYβ recommendation for SPCX and raised its price target to $230 (from $220). Pivotal shares our assessment of the substantial upside potential from SPCXβs expansion into mobile internet services.
π TP
βΊ Despite the strong performance of the energy sector over previous sessions, we generated huge overall profits by trading the sector SHORT and repeatedly selling price spikes. XOM is trading well above last weekβs highs in pre-market trading, and we expect further waves of profit-taking, likely after some additional modest gains initially.
βΊ XOM is opening around 1.3% higher (near 171.25), and we are once again looking for an entry against this strong performance. Oil prices are up around 2% (both Brent and WTI). We also expect Trump to try again to convince the market that there is some kind of agreement between the US and Russia or a ceasefire on attacks against energy facilities between Ukraine and Russia. Although the market is rightly not taking Trump seriously here, he will try to artificially push very high oil and fuel prices somewhat lower.
βΊ We are also looking for entries in financials ahead of tomorrowβs first major earnings reports (mostly from banks), including JPM, GS, WFC, and C. We particularly like GS after its recent underperformance - however, we are seeing a positive opening initially and are waiting for a dip. We also see potential for outperformance in AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL, as well as other Big Tech stocks outside the chip sector (including META and SPCX, which are already opening strongly).
ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by ~220 - 250 (22.000% - 25.000%) - 3/4 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101202A
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XOM rose a bit further (also above 172.00). We see limited near-term upside for oil prices and some profit taking in energy stocks.
TRADE XOM:
π» VT Markets (π¨π¦π¬π§π³πΏπͺπΊπ)
π» TMGM (π¨π¦π¦πΊπ³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
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π₯ Startrader (π¨π¦π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ Vantage (π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ (ONLY VIP π ) πΊπΈ
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entryβ
(ONLY VIP π )
βΊ We are seeing a mixed market, with continued profit-taking in the important chip sector. Other Big Tech / software companies, however, are trading well in the green - AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, SPCX, and META are all significantly outperforming, just as we expected.
βΊ We wanted to find an entry in (ONLY VIPπ ) ahead of tomorrowβs earnings reports from some of Wall Streetβs most important banks, which unofficially kick off earnings season.
βΊ After initial gains in financials, we saw (ONLY VIPπ ). (ONLY VIP π ) turned negative and is trading more than 1.2% below its session highs - however, we currently see support in the (ONLY VIP π ) range.
βΊ We are buying (ONLY VIPπ ) ...
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101203A
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYEDβ οΈ by: 1οΈβ£ 0οΈβ£ 0οΈβ£ + minutes! β οΈ
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We identified a great entry price / range here.
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π₯ Startrader (π¨π¦π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ Vantage (π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
LONG (BUY)
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP
Recommended Entry
βΊ We are seeing a mixed market, with continued profit-taking in the important chip sector. Other Big Tech / software companies, however, are trading well in the green - AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, SPCX, and META are all significantly outperforming, just as we expected.
βΊ We wanted to find an entry in (ONLY VIP
βΊ After initial gains in financials, we saw (ONLY VIP
βΊ We are buying (ONLY VIP
(ONLY VIPπ ) ...
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101203A
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYED
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ββββββββββββββ
We identified a great entry price / range here.
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π» VT Markets (π¨π¦π¬π§π³πΏπͺπΊπ)
π» TMGM (π¨π¦π¦πΊπ³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ PU Prime (π¨π¦π¦πΊπ³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ Startrader (π¨π¦π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ Vantage (π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
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SHORT (SELL)π½ Silver (XAG/USD) βͺοΈ
β οΈ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entryβ
near/above 60.37
βΊ We closed our Silver SHORT position too early on Friday and are now seeing the move we expected - excessive pressure and a pullback to $60.00. Gold is holding up slightly better as investors increasingly view it as a safe haven again.
βΊ We can re-enter SHORT. Silver continues to face headwinds from a stronger USD (our GBP/USD position hit TP) and further increases in yields. High oil prices remain a key driver of these moves.
βΊ For the USD and precious metal prices, the upcoming inflation data will be in focus (CPI on WED, PPI on THU). These reports are likely to provide further signs that inflation remains too high amid extremely elevated oil and fuel prices.
βΊ We see signs of stabilization in risk assets, but overall a mixed market. Investors remain cautious ahead of earnings season, which gets into full swing tomorrow with reports from some of the largest US banks.
βΊ The USD (DXY) is at its highest level in around 18 months today.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101204A
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYEDβ οΈ by: 1οΈβ£ 2οΈβ£ 0οΈβ£ + minutes! β οΈ
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We found a great entry for another silver short.
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SHORT (SELL)
TP
Recommended Entry
βΊ We closed our Silver SHORT position too early on Friday and are now seeing the move we expected - excessive pressure and a pullback to $60.00. Gold is holding up slightly better as investors increasingly view it as a safe haven again.
βΊ We can re-enter SHORT. Silver continues to face headwinds from a stronger USD (our GBP/USD position hit TP) and further increases in yields. High oil prices remain a key driver of these moves.
βΊ For the USD and precious metal prices, the upcoming inflation data will be in focus (CPI on WED, PPI on THU). These reports are likely to provide further signs that inflation remains too high amid extremely elevated oil and fuel prices.
βΊ We see signs of stabilization in risk assets, but overall a mixed market. Investors remain cautious ahead of earnings season, which gets into full swing tomorrow with reports from some of the largest US banks.
βΊ The USD (DXY) is at its highest level in around 18 months today.
Silver (XAG/USD):
Multiply your usual βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approx. 6.0β7.5 (600%β750%) β 3/5 position size, for contract size 100
Multiply your usual βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approx. 0.6β0.75 (60%β75%) β 3/5 position size, for contract size 1000
Multiply your usual βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approx. 0.12β0.15 (12%β15%) β 3/5 position size, for contract size 5000
You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101204A
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYED
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ββββββββββββββ
We found a great entry for another silver short.
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LONG (BUY)πΌ USD/JPY
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entry Rangeβ
158.575- 158.625 π
βΊ We could have closed our GBP/USD SHORT position (TPβ
πΈ) slightly lower today as the USD extended its gains. The USD (DXY) is trading at its highest level in around 18 months. The pair encountered resistance in the 1.32400 - 1.32450 range exactly (!) as we predicted on Friday.
βΊ As long as oil prices remain elevated, there is little room for the EUR or JPY to recover against the USD.
βΊ Risk sentiment has not deteriorated significantly. Instead, we saw a mostly quiet / rather mixed session, although high energy prices and inflation concerns continued to exert pressure.
βΊ With no signs of an improvement in the situation in the Middle East, there is limited room for elevated oil prices to decline. Trump is actively trying to somehow push oil prices slightly lower, but the market gives his statements little credibility. Tehran also described the US response to Iranβs conditions for ending the war as βinadequate.β
βΊ We see increasing LONG positioning in the USD. The upcoming inflation data will be key. I expect investors to increasingly anticipate a significantly higher inflation reading in the CPI report than in the recent PCE data.
βΊ The JPY remains supported by widespread expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to support the currency. The JPY also benefits from pronounced EUR weakness amid political uncertainty and concerns about stability in Europe.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101205A
Signal/Update istβ οΈ VERZΓGERT β οΈ um: 8οΈβ£ 0οΈβ£ + Minuten!
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LONG (BUY)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
βΊ We could have closed our GBP/USD SHORT position (TP
βΊ As long as oil prices remain elevated, there is little room for the EUR or JPY to recover against the USD.
βΊ Risk sentiment has not deteriorated significantly. Instead, we saw a mostly quiet / rather mixed session, although high energy prices and inflation concerns continued to exert pressure.
βΊ With no signs of an improvement in the situation in the Middle East, there is limited room for elevated oil prices to decline. Trump is actively trying to somehow push oil prices slightly lower, but the market gives his statements little credibility. Tehran also described the US response to Iranβs conditions for ending the war as βinadequate.β
βΊ We see increasing LONG positioning in the USD. The upcoming inflation data will be key. I expect investors to increasingly anticipate a significantly higher inflation reading in the CPI report than in the recent PCE data.
βΊ The JPY remains supported by widespread expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to support the currency. The JPY also benefits from pronounced EUR weakness amid political uncertainty and concerns about stability in Europe.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101205A
Signal/Update ist
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π» VT Markets (π¨π¦π¬π§π³πΏπͺπΊπ)
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π₯ PU Prime (π¨π¦π¦πΊπ³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ Startrader (π¨π¦π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
π₯ Vantage (π³πΏπ¬π§πͺπΊπ)
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β€5π2π2
π August 24 - October 12
ββββββββββββββ
(= 25 full trading days)
πΉ Number of Trades/Signals: 140 (excl. INTC & META)
πΉ Number of Trades Won: 127
πΉ Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.7%
Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100%
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100%
ββββββββββββββ
β 6.10 - SPX500 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 7824.90)
β 6.10 - AAPL - LONG βοΈ (TP - 336.67 | or 335.07 + gap)
β΄οΈ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
π TP
β΄οΈ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit + re-entry in profit)
π TP
β΄οΈ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
2/5 - (3 open positions)
β 7.10 - USOIL - LONG βοΈ (TP - 89.99)
β 7.10 - US30 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar)
β 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61)
β 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG βοΈ (TP - 4128.13)
β΄οΈ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
4/5 - (1 open position)
ββββββββββββββ
It was a slow start into the week. Our π‘ signal accuracy / success rate in the rolling five-week statistic remained stable as a perfect 5/5 session π (SA/SR = 100%) was replaced by last week's flawless Monday performance 5/5 session π (SA/SR = 100%).
Our still open positions came a bit under pressure with the big exception of META closing nearly 3.4% higher + a big profit with SPCX. We expect earnings reports providing some relief to recent profit taking although also in tomorrow's session investors will remain on the cautious side amid geopolitical turbulence, high oil prices and upcoming inflation data.
We tighten a bit our BTC TP
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β 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 4111.72)
β 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 1.11870)
β 8.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 167.17)
π‘β8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
β 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit)
β 8.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46)
5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
β 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 31054.90)
β 9.10 - SPCX - LONG βοΈ (TP - 166.53)
β 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 60.811)
β 9.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 168.56)
β 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 1.32256)
5/5 = 100%
β΄οΈ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit + re-entry
π TP
β΄οΈ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
β΄οΈ 12.10 - GS - LONG βοΈ (open - in-profit)
π TP
β 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 59.99) πΈ
β΄οΈ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
1/5 - (4 open positions)
ββββββββββββββ
Today's results show how well we traded on Friday: all positions carried over from that session closed in profit today (Nasdaq πΈ, SPCX πΈ, GBP/USD πΈ), delivering another flawless session (5/5 π; SA/SR = 100%).
We saw a difficult market today - a cautious and unsettled market. Geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over further deterioration in the Middle East continue to weigh on global risk sentiment. Investors also remain cautious ahead of key inflation data and the first major earnings reports due later today.
While we secured some very strong exits today, our overall exposure is a bit too high. We will aim to reduce it over the next 24 hours, including also accepting some exits at a loss.
We can re-enter the Nasdaq in the
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
πΈ π¦πΊ NAB Business Confidence SEP β 00:30 (reported: π΄)
πΈ π¦πΊ RBA Meeting Minutes β 00:30
πΈ π IMF World Economic Outlook OCT 2026 β 02:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Fed Waller Speech β 07:45
πΈ πΊπΈ ADP Employment Change Weekly β 12:15
πΈ πΊπΈ Existing Home Sales SEP β 14:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Existing Home Sales MoM SEP β 14:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Fed Barkin Speech β 17:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Monthly Budget Statement SEP β 18:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Fed Collins Speech β 20:00
πΈ = Event of medium/high importance
β¦οΈ= Event of very high importance
π΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
π‘ = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
π’ = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
βοΈ JPMorgan (JPM) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) πΊπΈ
βοΈ UnitedHealth Group (UNH) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Goldman Sachs (GS) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Wells Fargo (WFC) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Citigroup (C) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Publicis Groupe (PUBGY) π«π·
βοΈ Aeon (AONNY) π―π΅
---
SmartTraderβ’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
πΈ π¦πΊ NAB Business Confidence SEP β 00:30 (reported: π΄)
πΈ π¦πΊ RBA Meeting Minutes β 00:30
πΈ π IMF World Economic Outlook OCT 2026 β 02:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Fed Waller Speech β 07:45
πΈ πΊπΈ ADP Employment Change Weekly β 12:15
πΈ πΊπΈ Existing Home Sales SEP β 14:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Existing Home Sales MoM SEP β 14:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Fed Barkin Speech β 17:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Monthly Budget Statement SEP β 18:00
πΈ πΊπΈ Fed Collins Speech β 20:00
πΈ = Event of medium/high importance
β¦οΈ= Event of very high importance
π΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
π‘ = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
π’ = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
βοΈ JPMorgan (JPM) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) πΊπΈ
βοΈ UnitedHealth Group (UNH) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Goldman Sachs (GS) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Wells Fargo (WFC) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Citigroup (C) πΊπΈ
βοΈ Publicis Groupe (PUBGY) π«π·
βοΈ Aeon (AONNY) π―π΅
---
SmartTraderβ’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
β€6π4π₯3π2
π° FREE VIP SIGNAL π―
SHORT (SELL)π½ EUR/USD
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entry Rangeβ
1.11910 - 1.11960
βΊ The USD is correcting slightly after very strong recent gains, including yesterdayβs advance, pushed it to an 18-month high.
βΊ Further cooling in the chip sector and Big Tech has temporarily reduced support for the USD from expectations that the US economy will outperform Europe / Asia. The IMF warned of a potential crash in AI stocks that could spread across global markets and threaten global financial stability. In its semiannual Global Financial Stability Report, the IMF highlighted the extremely high valuations of AI companies, alongside their growing debt burdens, as one reason why risks in the system are βelevated.β The IMF expects global economic growth of 3.1% this year. That is above its July forecast of 3.0%, but well below the 3.5% expansion in 2025. Selling in AI / chip stocks dragged the Korean stock market sharply lower today, with the market closing down almost 5.5%. We see high valuations but no extreme overvaluation - so while the risk exists, we do not see investors buying blindly.
βΊ We saw a solid start to earnings season, although JPM posted a rare earnings miss. The big winner is Goldman Sachs - the stock is trading almost 3.5% higher after significantly beating earnings expectations (we are LONG).
βΊ A temporary decline in oil prices helped yields ease after their recent surge - down 5 basis points today. Investors are becoming slightly more cautious on the USD ahead of tomorrowβs CPI data. The PCE data released in August showed cooler inflation than expected, but was already outdated. The upcoming CPI data will likely show that inflationary pressure has intensified.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101301A
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYEDβ οΈ by 8οΈβ£ 0οΈβ£ + minutes! β οΈ
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ββββββββββββββ
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2β£ Place your trade π»
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SHORT (SELL)
TP
Recommended Entry Range
βΊ The USD is correcting slightly after very strong recent gains, including yesterdayβs advance, pushed it to an 18-month high.
βΊ Further cooling in the chip sector and Big Tech has temporarily reduced support for the USD from expectations that the US economy will outperform Europe / Asia. The IMF warned of a potential crash in AI stocks that could spread across global markets and threaten global financial stability. In its semiannual Global Financial Stability Report, the IMF highlighted the extremely high valuations of AI companies, alongside their growing debt burdens, as one reason why risks in the system are βelevated.β The IMF expects global economic growth of 3.1% this year. That is above its July forecast of 3.0%, but well below the 3.5% expansion in 2025. Selling in AI / chip stocks dragged the Korean stock market sharply lower today, with the market closing down almost 5.5%. We see high valuations but no extreme overvaluation - so while the risk exists, we do not see investors buying blindly.
βΊ We saw a solid start to earnings season, although JPM posted a rare earnings miss. The big winner is Goldman Sachs - the stock is trading almost 3.5% higher after significantly beating earnings expectations (we are LONG).
βΊ A temporary decline in oil prices helped yields ease after their recent surge - down 5 basis points today. Investors are becoming slightly more cautious on the USD ahead of tomorrowβs CPI data. The PCE data released in August showed cooler inflation than expected, but was already outdated. The upcoming CPI data will likely show that inflationary pressure has intensified.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101301A
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SHORT (SELL)π½ Gold (XAU/USD) π‘
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL π @: (ONLY VIPπ )
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entryβ
near/above 4185
βΊ Gold benefited from temporarily lower oil prices as investors assessed the prospect of additional Russian diesel supplies entering global markets. However, with Russian refinery outages up by 3 million bpd from a year earlier, Moscowβs ability to increase production is limited.
βΊ Gold also benefited from a slight correction in the USD following very strong gains over previous sessions and ahead of tomorrowβs CPI data.
βΊ We also see slightly lower yields and stronger demand for safe havens (which also pushed bond prices higher). This comes amid growing concerns about an AI bubble, after the IMF warned of very high valuations and a potential shock to global financial markets if AI stock prices were to fall sharply.
βΊ Overall, however, risk sentiment has not deteriorated. Earnings season also got off to a solid start. Goldman Sachs in particular significantly beat earnings expectations thanks to strong trading revenue - exactly as we predicted.
βΊ Silver is trading slightly lower today, while gold is currently up around 0.3% and hovering near 4185. We are working with a relatively tight SL π
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101302A
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Please make sure you NEVER miss a Gold/Silver trade. We have won more than 93% of our Gold/Silver trades this year.
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SHORT (SELL)
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL π @: (ONLY VIP
TP
Recommended Entry
βΊ Gold benefited from temporarily lower oil prices as investors assessed the prospect of additional Russian diesel supplies entering global markets. However, with Russian refinery outages up by 3 million bpd from a year earlier, Moscowβs ability to increase production is limited.
βΊ Gold also benefited from a slight correction in the USD following very strong gains over previous sessions and ahead of tomorrowβs CPI data.
βΊ We also see slightly lower yields and stronger demand for safe havens (which also pushed bond prices higher). This comes amid growing concerns about an AI bubble, after the IMF warned of very high valuations and a potential shock to global financial markets if AI stock prices were to fall sharply.
βΊ Overall, however, risk sentiment has not deteriorated. Earnings season also got off to a solid start. Goldman Sachs in particular significantly beat earnings expectations thanks to strong trading revenue - exactly as we predicted.
βΊ Silver is trading slightly lower today, while gold is currently up around 0.3% and hovering near 4185. We are working with a relatively tight SL π
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101302A
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π° VIP UPDATE SIGNAL
BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING
β οΈ HIGH VOLATILITY; 3/5 position size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
πΉ Nasdaq 100 (-0.7%) - is underperforming as AI stocks extend their losses, after the IMF heightened concerns about a potential correction and high valuations. Losses are concentrated in the AI sector. More stocks are advancing than declining in New York, also supported by a solid start to earnings season. We found a good / perfect re-entry overnight / during Asian trading. We expect tech stocks to stabilize. We are keeping our current TP (
πΉ Russell 2000 (+0.1%) - is trading slightly higher but continues to hover around 2800. Losses in the tech sector / generally riskier stocks are also weighing somewhat on small caps. Most sectors are trading in the green in New York. We are tightening our TP by 13 points.
π TP
πΉ ExxonMobil (+0.6%) - is opening strongly after some pre-market losses. We see room for a short-term correction, but the energy sector continues to benefit from concerns that the situation in the Middle East could worsen rather than improve. We are working with a tighter TP
π TP
πΉ Goldman Sachs (+3.7%) - is opening well above our TP
πΉ Intel (-1.4%) - is in oversold territory, but the IMF warning has prolonged the recent underperformance in the chip / AI infrastructure sector.
π TP
πΉ Meta (-0.8%) - gave back some of yesterdayβs strong gains as AI stocks undergo a slight correction. We generally see a temporary rotation into more defensive sectors, particularly financials, after banks unofficially kicked off the new earnings season. Truist issued one of its strongest βBUYβ recommendations for META and sharply raised its price target to $1,000 (from $763).
π TP
πΉ Nvidia (-0.9%) - is becoming very attractive again after its recent decline. Investment banks continue to urge investors to buy the AI leader - today, Bank of America. NVDA is trading in a range where we want to increase our position, with strong support between 221 - 224.
π TP
πΉ SK Hynix (-4.8%) - is very volatile and is opening sharply lower, with memory stocks suffering the biggest losses in the AI sector. We have a very small position, which is now deep in loss (or has already been closed). We are looking for an exit and lowering our TP. SKHY is very attractive at its current price for a medium-term holding. I see potential for a gain of more than 20% over the next three months.
π TP
βΊ There is significant rebound potential in the AI / chip sector - particularly in NVDA, MU - as well as other memory chip stocks, including SKHY, AMD, INTC, and MRVL. However, our tech exposure is already high, as we are also LONG in the Nasdaq. The sell-off has gone too far here after the IMF report triggered market panic. We are also seeing a rotation into sectors outside tech - particularly financials, but also consumer and energy stocks.
βΊ We can make a re-entry in NVDA here and are looking for further entries. SPCX also remains bullish but is opening lower. We may look for a re-entry in SPCX below 160.00.
Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approx. 90 β 100x (9000%β10,000%) β 3/5 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101202A
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β 12.10 - GS - LONG βοΈ
Average movement in our favor: + 2.70%
βοΈ You could have increased your capital by: +4.15%π βοΈ
Example:βοΈ Initial Capital: $5,000 β> +$207.43 Profit with just this Trade (+4.15%π βοΈ π )
β 08.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ
β 08.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ
β 09.10 - SPCX - LONG βοΈ
β 09.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ
β 12.10 - GS - LONG βοΈ
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ (ONLY VIP π ) πΊπΈ
β οΈ Elevated volatility post earnings; 3/5 trade size
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entry Rangeβ
(ONLY VIP π )
βΊ We secured a huge profit with GS at the NYSE opening. Wall Street banks opened sharply higher following strong earnings reports - although JPM posted a rare miss on earnings per share and revenue, but provided a positive outlook.
βΊ GS was the big winner.
βΊ After the strong gains, we saw some typical profit-taking. (ONLY VIPπ ) has now turned negative despite beating analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings. (ONLY VIP π ) raised its (ONLY VIP π )
βΊ Rotation back into tech stocks - as we expected - reduced gains in financials.
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This stock fell a bit further offering a good entry now.
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LONG (BUY)
β οΈ Elevated volatility post earnings; 3/5 trade size
TP
Recommended Entry Range
βΊ We secured a huge profit with GS at the NYSE opening. Wall Street banks opened sharply higher following strong earnings reports - although JPM posted a rare miss on earnings per share and revenue, but provided a positive outlook.
βΊ GS was the big winner.
βΊ After the strong gains, we saw some typical profit-taking. (ONLY VIP
βΊ Rotation back into tech stocks - as we expected - reduced gains in financials.
(ONLY VIPπ )
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYED
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This stock fell a bit further offering a good entry now.
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π¬π§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
π° FREE VIP SIGNAL π― SHORT (SELL) π½ Gold (XAU/USD) π‘ β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size SL π @: (ONLY VIP π ) TP β
@: (ONLY VIP π ) Recommended Entry β
near/above 4185 βΊ Gold benefited from temporarily lower oil prices as investors assessed the prospectβ¦
Gold (XAU/USD)
SL π @: 4178.21
TP
EUR/USD
TP
ExxonMobil (XOM) πΊπΈ
TP
Intel (INTC) πΊπΈ
TP
We are updating some of our positions. We saw a rebound in AI stocks, with NVDA finding support in the range we expected. The Nasdaq 100 also significantly reduced its losses as chip stocks recovered.
META hit our TP
We are already securing profits on Gold, but see further downside from here. Silver is down almost 1.5%.
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π° FREE VIP SIGNAL π―
SHORT (SELL)π½ Gold (XAU/USD) π‘
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL π @: (ONLY VIPπ )
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entry Rangeβ
4158 - 4162
βΊ We set a nearly perfect TPβ
πΈ for our gold position. Gold found some buyers as oil prices stabilized. It really is all about oil prices and the USD.
βΊ Gold also benefited somewhat from demand for safe havens, as the stock market remains mixed.
We see no signs of easing geopolitical tensions and little room for a significant near-term decline in oil prices, even as the Trump administration actively seeks ways to lower prices ahead of the midterm elections. Republicans, including the Trump administration, are panicking over terrible poll numbers. These suggest that Democrats could win both the House and the Senate, making Trump a βlame duckβ - at least on domestic policy.
βΊ We can remain SHORT in Gold and also expect some concerns that tomorrowβs CPI data will show increased inflationary pressure.
βΊ We continue to expect the USD to remain in demand.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101304A
β±οΈ Signal / Update is DELAYEDβ οΈ by 8οΈβ£ 0οΈβ£ + minutes! β οΈ
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Congrats on another round of beautiful gold profits!π‘ π΅
We re-entered in the perfect range.
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SHORT (SELL)
β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL π @: (ONLY VIP
TP
Recommended Entry Range
βΊ We set a nearly perfect TP
βΊ Gold also benefited somewhat from demand for safe havens, as the stock market remains mixed.
We see no signs of easing geopolitical tensions and little room for a significant near-term decline in oil prices, even as the Trump administration actively seeks ways to lower prices ahead of the midterm elections. Republicans, including the Trump administration, are panicking over terrible poll numbers. These suggest that Democrats could win both the House and the Senate, making Trump a βlame duckβ - at least on domestic policy.
βΊ We can remain SHORT in Gold and also expect some concerns that tomorrowβs CPI data will show increased inflationary pressure.
βΊ We continue to expect the USD to remain in demand.
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your βstandard (EUR/USD)β position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101304A
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Congrats on another round of beautiful gold profits!
We re-entered in the perfect range.
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π° VIP SIGNAL π―
LONG (BUY)πΌ Citigroup (C) πΊπΈ
β οΈ Elevated volatility post earnings; 1/2 trade size
SL π @: 124.97
TPβ
@: 128.21
β οΈ SL ALREADY TRIGGERED β οΈ
Recommended Entryβ
125.60 - 125.90
π° FREE VIP SIGNALπ―
LONG (BUY)πΌ Morgan Stanley (MS) πΊπΈ
β οΈ Elevated volatility & risk pre earnings; 3/5 trade size
SL π @: (ONLY VIPπ )
TPβ
@: (ONLY VIP π )
Recommended Entry Rangeβ
186.40 - 186.70
βΊ Profit-taking in C continued and was substantial. We can make a small re-entry slightly below 126.00 and work with a tighter TP and a tight SL. We saw capital flowing back into tech stocks, with several key names recovering, including NVDA, META, AVGO, and INTC. The chip sector delivered the strong rebound we expected.
βΊ We expect a very strong Q3 earnings report from Morgan Stanley tomorrow and are therefore buying todayβs weakness in MS ahead of earnings. Investors are concerned about MSβs weak share price performance following the investment bankβs strong Q2 report.
βΊ I expect the report to be strong enough to support a higher opening tomorrow. MS is also trading well below its levels before the last earnings report, even though the Wall Street bank delivered strong results. MS will report very strong revenue from equity trading, along with strong results in investment banking and wealth management.
βΊ Overall, I consider financials very attractive after their recent weak performance.
βΊ Dovish comments from Fed official Williams weighed somewhat on the financial sector - which they should not have - and briefly pushed the USD lower (which also helped gold). The overall mixed performance and weakness in AI stocks have weighed on investment banks.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101303B
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101305A
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LONG (BUY)
β οΈ Elevated volatility post earnings; 1/2 trade size
SL π @: 124.97
TP
Recommended Entry
π° FREE VIP SIGNAL
LONG (BUY)
β οΈ Elevated volatility & risk pre earnings; 3/5 trade size
SL π @: (ONLY VIP
TP
Recommended Entry Range
βΊ Profit-taking in C continued and was substantial. We can make a small re-entry slightly below 126.00 and work with a tighter TP and a tight SL. We saw capital flowing back into tech stocks, with several key names recovering, including NVDA, META, AVGO, and INTC. The chip sector delivered the strong rebound we expected.
βΊ We expect a very strong Q3 earnings report from Morgan Stanley tomorrow and are therefore buying todayβs weakness in MS ahead of earnings. Investors are concerned about MSβs weak share price performance following the investment bankβs strong Q2 report.
βΊ I expect the report to be strong enough to support a higher opening tomorrow. MS is also trading well below its levels before the last earnings report, even though the Wall Street bank delivered strong results. MS will report very strong revenue from equity trading, along with strong results in investment banking and wealth management.
βΊ Overall, I consider financials very attractive after their recent weak performance.
βΊ Dovish comments from Fed official Williams weighed somewhat on the financial sector - which they should not have - and briefly pushed the USD lower (which also helped gold). The overall mixed performance and weakness in AI stocks have weighed on investment banks.
Citigroup (C): Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 130 - 140 (13,000% - 14,000%) - 1/2 position size
Morgan Stanley (MS): Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 130 -140 (13,000% - 14,000%) - 3/5 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101303B
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101305A
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π¦
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π¬π§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
π° FREE VIP SIGNAL π― SHORT (SELL) π½ Gold (XAU/USD) π‘ β οΈ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size SL π @: (ONLY VIP π ) TP β
@: (ONLY VIP π ) Recommended Entry Range β
4158 - 4162 βΊ We set a nearly perfect TP β
πΈ for our gold position. Gold found some buyers asβ¦
Gold (XAU/USD)
TP
OR
CLOSE SOON
We are setting a tight TP
However, we can find better trade setups here.
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π₯6β€5π4πΎ3
π August 25 - October 13
ββββββββββββββ
(= 25 full trading days)
πΉ Number of Trades/Signals: 139 (excl. 4 open p.)
πΉ Number of Trades Won: 126
πΉ Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.6%
Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100%
Added to statistics: 2/5* - 40% Signal Accuracy (October 06)
(*3 open positions: NVDA, BTC/USD & US2000)
ββββββββββββββ
β 7.10 - USOIL - LONG βοΈ (TP - 89.99)
β 7.10 - US30 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar)
β 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61)
β 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG βοΈ (TP - 4128.13)
β΄οΈ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
4/5 - (1 open position)
β 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 4111.72)
β 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 1.11870)
β 8.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 167.17)
π‘β8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
β 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit)
β 8.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46)
5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
ββββββββββββββ
We closed our previously open META position today, while three more positions from the previous week are now included as open positions in our rolling five-week statistics. We are looking for exits later this week and expect more market activity tomorrow following the CPI release and as earnings reports continue. We will also use tighter stop-loss levels.
BTC had a strong session today, and we secured a phenomenal re-entry in NVDA. For now, we are tightening the TP
Our signal accuracy / success rate is little changed and stands at an exceptional 90.6%
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β 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG βοΈ (TP - 31054.90)
β 9.10 - SPCX - LONG βοΈ (TP - 166.53)
β 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 60.811)
β 9.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 168.56)
β 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 1.32256)
5/5 = 100%
β΄οΈ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit + re-entry in profit)
π TP
β΄οΈ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
β 12.10 - GS - LONG βοΈ (TP - 910.49 me | or 900.49 + gap)
β 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 59.99) πΈ
β΄οΈ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
1/5 - (4 open positions)
β΄οΈ 13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT βοΈ (open - off-profit)
π TP
β 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 4156.16) πΈ
β 13.10 - C - LONG βοΈ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
β 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT βοΈ (TP - 4153.06) πΈ
β΄οΈ 13.10 - MS - LONG βοΈ (open - near break-even))
π SL π @: 184.39 | TP
2/5 - (2- open positions)
ββββββββββββββ
It was another mixed session, with weakness during Asian / pre-market trading and stabilization during US trading. Our exposure remains too high, but we expect more trading activity in Wednesdayβs session, giving us opportunities to reduce it further.
As always, very strong precious metals trading over the past few sessions, with two successful Gold trades πΈ in a difficult precious metals market + the Silver closing πΈ during Asian trading. We reduced the total number of open stock positions somewhat and secured some strong exits, including META πΈ and GS πΈ. On the other side was C πΈ, which saw significant profit-taking despite a strong earnings report.
We saw a temporarily weaker USD today, but expect the USD to remain in demand.
Overall, it was still a very profitable session for us
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β€10π5π₯4π3