πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Nasdaq 100 (US100) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…30810 - 30850

πŸ“Œ Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~200 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


β–Ί We had a good start to the week. Gains in Asia / Europe also supported stocks in early US pre-market trading and triggered our Nasdaq 100 TP βœ…πŸ“Έ for a solid profit. We are now seeing renewed profit-taking in the Nasdaq 100 amid higher oil prices and further profit-taking in the chip sector as attention turns to the start of earnings season. Higher oil prices have also strengthened the USD slightly again. Our GBP/USD position is just a few pips away from TP (1.32256).

β–Ί Wall Street is coming off a winning week with new all-time highs. The Nasdaq is now slightly in negative territory and more than 100 points below our triggered TP, and we are re-entering LONG.

β–Ί Investors are skeptical about the β€œenergy ceasefire” Trump announced over the weekend, which neither Kyiv nor Moscow has confirmed. It looks more like one of Trump’s typical lies aimed at pushing oil prices lower and putting political pressure on leaders - currently Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in particular. If there was any agreement, Moscow violated it that very same day.

β–Ί It will be an eventful week as earnings season for the previous quarter gets underway. I expect another round of strong corporate results. Banks in particular are likely to report strong revenue from trading activities.

β–Ί We are re-entering LONG in the Nasdaq.


Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~1.75 - 2.5x (175%-250%) - 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101201A


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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


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SELL EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”½ ExxonMobil (XOM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 171.90 πŸ”„


πŸ”Ή Nasdaq 100 (-0.1%) - is trading slightly in the red, with continued profit-taking in the chip sector. We found an excellent entry but are tightening our TP
βœ… slightly here, as we expect continued volatility that will also allow for lower entries.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30937.30 (31137.30 future)

πŸ”Ή Russell 2000 (-0.1%) - is trading slightly lower, similar to the Nasdaq 100, weighed down by higher oil prices, inflation concerns, and a stronger USD. We are keeping our TP unchanged for now (TP βœ… @: 2834.70), but expect some headwinds initially.


πŸ”Ή Intel (-1.3%) - remains the biggest drag on our portfolio. However, we expect chip stocks to stabilize today and attract buyers after the recent losses. We are working with a tighter (off-profit) TP βœ….
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 113.20

πŸ”Ή Meta (+1.6%) - is one of the strongest performers in pre-market trading - we remain LONG with a slightly tighter TP.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 758.18

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (-0.2%) - is opening little changed after some profit-taking in the chip sector over previous sessions. NVDA still has some room to recover before reaching our TP (βœ… @: 238.78). UBS said it came away even more convinced after meeting with management and urged investors to β€œBUY” NVDA.

πŸ”Ή SK Hynix (-2.0%) - is unable to extend Friday’s rebound attempt and is opening lower as chip stocks remain under pressure. We are tightening our TP βœ….
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 174.79

πŸ”Ή SpaceX (+1.3%) - is opening very strongly and offers further upside across all time frames. We are tightening our TP slightly. Investment firm Pivotal reiterated its β€œBUY” recommendation for SPCX and raised its price target to $230 (from $220). Pivotal shares our assessment of the substantial upside potential from SPCX’s expansion into mobile internet services.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 166.53


β–Ί Despite the strong performance of the energy sector over previous sessions, we generated huge overall profits by trading the sector SHORT and repeatedly selling price spikes. XOM is trading well above last week’s highs in pre-market trading, and we expect further waves of profit-taking, likely after some additional modest gains initially.

β–Ί XOM is opening around 1.3% higher (near 171.25), and we are once again looking for an entry against this strong performance. Oil prices are up around 2% (both Brent and WTI). We also expect Trump to try again to convince the market that there is some kind of agreement between the US and Russia or a ceasefire on attacks against energy facilities between Ukraine and Russia. Although the market is rightly not taking Trump seriously here, he will try to artificially push very high oil and fuel prices somewhat lower.

β–Ί We are also looking for entries in financials ahead of tomorrow’s first major earnings reports (mostly from banks), including JPM, GS, WFC, and C. We particularly like GS after its recent underperformance - however, we are seeing a positive opening initially and are waiting for a dip. We also see potential for outperformance in AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL, as well as other Big Tech stocks outside the chip sector (including META and SPCX, which are already opening strongly).

ExxonMobil (XOM): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~220 - 250 (22.000% - 25.000%) - 3/4 position size.



position code / 100% Transparency - 26101202A


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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ”  πŸ“ˆ ⌨️7️⃣2οΈβƒ£πŸ“‰


XOM rose a bit further (also above 172.00). We see limited near-term upside for oil prices and some profit taking in energy stocks.


TRADE XOM:

πŸ’» VT Markets (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ’» TMGM (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ PU Prime (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯
Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Vantage (πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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LONG (BUY)πŸ”Ό (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/5 trade size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…(ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)


β–Ί We are seeing a mixed market, with continued profit-taking in the important chip sector. Other Big Tech / software companies, however, are trading well in the green - AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, SPCX, and META are all significantly outperforming, just as we expected.

β–Ί We wanted to find an entry in (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) ahead of tomorrow’s earnings reports from some of Wall Street’s most important banks, which unofficially kick off earnings season.

β–Ί After initial gains in financials, we saw (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž). (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) turned negative and is trading more than 1.2% below its session highs - however, we currently see support in the (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) range.

β–Ί We are buying (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) ...

(ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) ...


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101203A

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We identified a great entry price / range here.

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πŸ–₯ Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Silver (XAG/USD) βšͺ️
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ… near/above 60.37


β–Ί We closed our Silver SHORT position too early on Friday and are now seeing the move we expected - excessive pressure and a pullback to $60.00. Gold is holding up slightly better as investors increasingly view it as a safe haven again.

β–Ί We can re-enter SHORT. Silver continues to face headwinds from a stronger USD (our GBP/USD position hit TP) and further increases in yields. High oil prices remain a key driver of these moves.

β–Ί For the USD and precious metal prices, the upcoming inflation data will be in focus (CPI on WED, PPI on THU). These reports are likely to provide further signs that inflation remains too high amid extremely elevated oil and fuel prices.

β–Ί We see signs of stabilization in risk assets, but overall a mixed market. Investors remain cautious ahead of earnings season, which gets into full swing tomorrow with reports from some of the largest US banks.

β–Ί The USD (DXY) is at its highest level in around 18 months today.


Silver (XAG/USD):

Multiply your usual β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 6.0–7.5 (600%–750%) – 3/5 position size, for contract size 100

Multiply your usual β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.6–0.75 (60%–75%) – 3/5 position size, for contract size 1000

Multiply your usual β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 0.12–0.15 (12%–15%) – 3/5 position size, for contract size 5000

You can see the contract size of your broker when you right click on the asset and click on "specification" (MetaTrader).


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101204A


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We found a great entry for another silver short.


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LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό USD/JPY
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…158.575- 158.625 πŸ”„

β–Ί We could have closed our GBP/USD SHORT position (TP βœ…πŸ“Έ) slightly lower today as the USD extended its gains. The USD (DXY) is trading at its highest level in around 18 months. The pair encountered resistance in the 1.32400 - 1.32450 range exactly (!) as we predicted on Friday.

β–Ί As long as oil prices remain elevated, there is little room for the EUR or JPY to recover against the USD.

β–Ί Risk sentiment has not deteriorated significantly. Instead, we saw a mostly quiet / rather mixed session, although high energy prices and inflation concerns continued to exert pressure.

β–Ί With no signs of an improvement in the situation in the Middle East, there is limited room for elevated oil prices to decline. Trump is actively trying to somehow push oil prices slightly lower, but the market gives his statements little credibility. Tehran also described the US response to Iran’s conditions for ending the war as β€œinadequate.”

β–Ί We see increasing LONG positioning in the USD. The upcoming inflation data will be key. I expect investors to increasingly anticipate a significantly higher inflation reading in the CPI report than in the recent PCE data.

β–Ί The JPY remains supported by widespread expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to support the currency. The JPY also benefits from pronounced EUR weakness amid political uncertainty and concerns about stability in Europe.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101205A

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ist ⚠️ VERZΓ–GERT ⚠️ um: 8️⃣0️⃣+ Minuten!
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πŸ’» TMGM (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ PU Prime (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
πŸ–₯ Startrader (πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸŒ)
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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 24 - October 12
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 24 - October 05
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 140 (excl. INTC & META)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 127
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.7% πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (August 21)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100%
πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (October 05)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: October 06 - October 12 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 6.10 - SPX500 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 7824.90)
βœ… 6.10 - AAPL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 336.67 | or 335.07 + gap)
✴️ 6.10 - NVDA - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit | +re-entry)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 238.78
✴️ 6.10 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit + re-entry in profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 84819.90 πŸ”„
✴️ 6.10 - US2000 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2834.70

2/5 - (3 open positions)

βœ… 7.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 89.99)
βœ… 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar)
βœ… 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61)
βœ… 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4128.13)
✴️ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 174.79 πŸ”„

4/5 - (1 open position)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


It was a slow start into the week. Our
🟑 signal accuracy / success rate in the rolling five-week statistic remained stable as a perfect 5/5 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%) was replaced by last week's flawless Monday performance 5/5 session πŸ’Ž (SA/SR = 100%).

Our still open positions came a bit under pressure with the big exception of META closing nearly 3.4% higher + a big profit with SPCX. We expect earnings reports providing some relief to recent profit taking although also in tomorrow's session investors will remain on the cautious side amid geopolitical turbulence, high oil prices and upcoming inflation data.

We tighten a bit our BTC TP
βœ…. Crypto have significant upside in Q4 but are currently pressured from the strong USD.
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4111.72)
βœ… 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.11870)
βœ… 8.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 167.17)
🟑❌8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
βœ… 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit)
βœ… 8.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

βœ… 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31054.90) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 9.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 166.53) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 60.811)
βœ… 9.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 168.56)
βœ… 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.32256) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (MONDAY) πŸ”Ή

✴️ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit + re-entry πŸ”„)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30714.70 (30914.70 future) πŸ”„
✴️ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 169.18
✴️ 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 900.49
βœ… 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 59.99) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 158.697 πŸ”„

1/5 - (4 open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


Today's results show how well we traded on Friday: all positions carried over from that session closed in profit today (Nasdaq πŸ“Έ, SPCX πŸ“Έ, GBP/USD πŸ“Έ), delivering another flawless session (5/5 πŸ’Ž; SA/SR = 100%).

We saw a difficult market today - a cautious and unsettled market. Geopolitical uncertainty and concerns over further deterioration in the Middle East continue to weigh on global risk sentiment. Investors also remain cautious ahead of key inflation data and the first major earnings reports due later today.

While we secured some very strong exits today, our overall exposure is a bit too high. We will aim to reduce it over the next 24 hours, including also accepting some exits at a loss.

We can re-enter the Nasdaq in the
πŸ”Ό30400–30450 range and tighten our TP βœ…. We are also setting a tighter TP βœ… for USD/JPY. Silver hit our TP βœ…πŸ“Έ.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί NAB Business Confidence SEP – 00:30 (reported: πŸ”΄)
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Meeting Minutes – 00:30
πŸ”Έ 🌍 IMF World Economic Outlook OCT 2026 – 02:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Waller Speech – 07:45
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ADP Employment Change Weekly – 12:15
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales SEP – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales MoM SEP – 14:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Barkin Speech – 17:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Monthly Budget Statement SEP – 18:00
πŸ”Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Collins Speech – 20:00

πŸ”Έ = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
πŸ”΄ = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟑 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟒 = Data better than analysts' expectations

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Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

β˜€οΈ JPMorgan (JPM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ UnitedHealth Group (UNH) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Goldman Sachs (GS) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Wells Fargo (WFC) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Citigroup (C) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
β˜€οΈ Publicis Groupe (PUBGY) πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
β˜€οΈ Aeon (AONNY) πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅

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SmartTraderβ„’ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ EUR/USD
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…1.11910 - 1.11960

β–Ί The USD is correcting slightly after very strong recent gains, including yesterday’s advance, pushed it to an 18-month high.

β–Ί Further cooling in the chip sector and Big Tech has temporarily reduced support for the USD from expectations that the US economy will outperform Europe / Asia. The IMF warned of a potential crash in AI stocks that could spread across global markets and threaten global financial stability. In its semiannual Global Financial Stability Report, the IMF highlighted the extremely high valuations of AI companies, alongside their growing debt burdens, as one reason why risks in the system are β€œelevated.” The IMF expects global economic growth of 3.1% this year. That is above its July forecast of 3.0%, but well below the 3.5% expansion in 2025. Selling in AI / chip stocks dragged the Korean stock market sharply lower today, with the market closing down almost 5.5%. We see high valuations but no extreme overvaluation - so while the risk exists, we do not see investors buying blindly.

β–Ί We saw a solid start to earnings season, although JPM posted a rare earnings miss. The big winner is Goldman Sachs - the stock is trading almost 3.5% higher after significantly beating earnings expectations (we are LONG).

β–Ί A temporary decline in oil prices helped yields ease after their recent surge - down 5 basis points today. Investors are becoming slightly more cautious on the USD ahead of tomorrow’s CPI data. The PCE data released in August showed cooler inflation than expected, but was already outdated. The upcoming CPI data will likely show that inflationary pressure has intensified.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101301A


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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 4185


β–Ί Gold benefited from temporarily lower oil prices as investors assessed the prospect of additional Russian diesel supplies entering global markets. However, with Russian refinery outages up by 3 million bpd from a year earlier, Moscow’s ability to increase production is limited.

β–Ί Gold also benefited from a slight correction in the USD following very strong gains over previous sessions and ahead of tomorrow’s CPI data.

β–Ί We also see slightly lower yields and stronger demand for safe havens (which also pushed bond prices higher). This comes amid growing concerns about an AI bubble, after the IMF warned of very high valuations and a potential shock to global financial markets if AI stock prices were to fall sharply.

β–Ί Overall, however, risk sentiment has not deteriorated. Earnings season also got off to a solid start. Goldman Sachs in particular significantly beat earnings expectations thanks to strong trading revenue - exactly as we predicted.

β–Ί Silver is trading slightly lower today, while gold is currently up around 0.3% and hovering near 4185. We are working with a relatively tight SL πŸ”‘

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101302A


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πŸ”Ή NYSE OPENING UPDATE πŸ”Ή


πŸ”° VIP UPDATE SIGNAL πŸ•―
BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING πŸ”ΌNvidia (NVDA) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ HIGH VOLATILITY; 3/5 position size
TP βœ… @: 231.03

Recommended Entry Range βœ…222.00 - 223.40


πŸ”Ή Nasdaq 100 (-0.7%) - is underperforming as AI stocks extend their losses, after the IMF heightened concerns about a potential correction and high valuations. Losses are concentrated in the AI sector. More stocks are advancing than declining in New York, also supported by a solid start to earnings season. We found a good / perfect re-entry overnight / during Asian trading. We expect tech stocks to stabilize. We are keeping our current TP (
βœ… @: 30714.70 | 30914.70 future).

πŸ”Ή Russell 2000 (+0.1%) - is trading slightly higher but continues to hover around 2800. Losses in the tech sector / generally riskier stocks are also weighing somewhat on small caps. Most sectors are trading in the green in New York. We are tightening our TP by 13 points.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2821.70


πŸ”Ή ExxonMobil (+0.6%) - is opening strongly after some pre-market losses. We see room for a short-term correction, but the energy sector continues to benefit from concerns that the situation in the Middle East could worsen rather than improve. We are working with a tighter TP βœ….
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 171.21

πŸ”Ή Goldman Sachs (+3.7%) - is opening well above our TP βœ… (900.49), delivering a huge profit. The stock is leading bank shares higher. We saw the strong revenue driven by high demand for equity trading that we expected. Overall, GS significantly exceeded third-quarter revenue expectations. Trading revenue was the key driver, supported by strong contributions from its own investment banking operations, as well as asset and wealth management. GS is opening near 925 (!)
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED TP βš οΈπŸ“Έ

πŸ”Ή Intel (-1.4%) - is in oversold territory, but the IMF warning has prolonged the recent underperformance in the chip / AI infrastructure sector.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 113.20

πŸ”Ή Meta (-0.8%) - gave back some of yesterday’s strong gains as AI stocks undergo a slight correction. We generally see a temporary rotation into more defensive sectors, particularly financials, after banks unofficially kicked off the new earnings season. Truist issued one of its strongest β€œBUY” recommendations for META and sharply raised its price target to $1,000 (from $763).
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 758.18
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED TP βš οΈπŸ“Έ

πŸ”Ή Nvidia (-0.9%) - is becoming very attractive again after its recent decline. Investment banks continue to urge investors to buy the AI leader - today, Bank of America. NVDA is trading in a range where we want to increase our position, with strong support between 221 - 224.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 231.03

πŸ”Ή SK Hynix (-4.8%) - is very volatile and is opening sharply lower, with memory stocks suffering the biggest losses in the AI sector. We have a very small position, which is now deep in loss (or has already been closed). We are looking for an exit and lowering our TP. SKHY is very attractive at its current price for a medium-term holding. I see potential for a gain of more than 20% over the next three months.
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 161.49


β–Ί There is significant rebound potential in the AI / chip sector - particularly in NVDA, MU - as well as other memory chip stocks, including SKHY, AMD, INTC, and MRVL. However, our tech exposure is already high, as we are also LONG in the Nasdaq. The sell-off has gone too far here after the IMF report triggered market panic. We are also seeing a rotation into sectors outside tech - particularly financials, but also consumer and energy stocks.

β–Ί We can make a re-entry in NVDA here and are looking for further entries. SPCX also remains bullish but is opening lower. We may look for a re-entry in SPCX below 160.00.

Nvidia (NVDA): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 90 – 100x (9000%–10,000%) – 3/5 position size.



position code / 100% Transparency - 26101202A


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πŸš€ Trade of the Day πŸš€

βœ… 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️

Average movement in our favor: + 2.70% πŸ“ˆ

❗️You could have increased your capital by: +4.15% πŸ“ˆβ—οΈ

Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 β€”> +$207.43 Profit with just this Trade (+4.15% πŸ“ˆβ—οΈπŸš€)


πŸ“Š Last 5 closed Stocks trades
βœ… 08.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 08.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 09.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️
βœ… 09.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ
βœ… 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️

πŸ–₯ Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator

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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility post earnings; 3/5 trade size
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…(ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)


β–Ί We secured a huge profit with GS at the NYSE opening. Wall Street banks opened sharply higher following strong earnings reports - although JPM posted a rare miss on earnings per share and revenue, but provided a positive outlook.

β–Ί GS was the big winner.

β–Ί After the strong gains, we saw some typical profit-taking. (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) has now turned negative despite beating analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings. (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) raised its (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

β–Ί Rotation back into tech stocks - as we expected - reduced gains in financials.


(ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)



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β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


This stock fell a bit further offering a good entry now.


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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑 ⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) Recommended Entry βœ…near/above 4185 β–Ί Gold benefited from temporarily lower oil prices as investors assessed the prospect…
⚑️ LIGHTNING - RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
SL
πŸ”‘ @: 4178.21
TP
βœ… @: 4156.16
⚠️ TP ALREADY TRIGGERED βš οΈπŸ“Έ


EUR/USD
TP
βœ… @: 1.11757

ExxonMobil (XOM) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 171.51

Intel (INTC) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
TP βœ… @: 109.39


We are updating some of our positions. We saw a rebound in AI stocks, with NVDA finding support in the range we expected. The Nasdaq 100 also significantly reduced its losses as chip stocks recovered.

META hit our TP βœ…πŸ“Έ (as did GS πŸ“Έ at the NYSE opening - the stock actually opened much higher at 923, so you may have closed significantly higher). META jumped almost 4% again, also supporting the Nasdaq.

We are already securing profits on Gold, but see further downside from here. Silver is down almost 1.5%.


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1⃣ Get trade recommendation πŸ“²
2⃣ Place your trade πŸ’»
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πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP
βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…4158 - 4162

β–Ί We set a nearly perfect TP βœ…πŸ“Έ for our gold position. Gold found some buyers as oil prices stabilized. It really is all about oil prices and the USD.

β–Ί Gold also benefited somewhat from demand for safe havens, as the stock market remains mixed.
We see no signs of easing geopolitical tensions and little room for a significant near-term decline in oil prices, even as the Trump administration actively seeks ways to lower prices ahead of the midterm elections. Republicans, including the Trump administration, are panicking over terrible poll numbers. These suggest that Democrats could win both the House and the Senate, making Trump a β€œlame duck” - at least on domestic policy.

β–Ί We can remain SHORT in Gold and also expect some concerns that tomorrow’s CPI data will show increased inflationary pressure.

β–Ί We continue to expect the USD to remain in demand.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your β€œstandard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.12-0.15x (12%-15%) - 2/3 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101304A

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Congrats on another round of beautiful gold profits! πŸŸ‘πŸ’΅

We re-entered in the perfect range.

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πŸ”° VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Citigroup (C) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility post earnings; 1/2 trade size
SL πŸ”‘ @: 124.97
TP βœ… @: 128.21
⚠️ SL ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

Recommended Entry βœ…125.60 - 125.90


πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•―
LONG (BUY) πŸ”Ό Morgan Stanley (MS) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
⚠️ Elevated volatility & risk pre earnings; 3/5 trade size
SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)
TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž)

Recommended Entry Range βœ…186.40 - 186.70


β–Ί Profit-taking in C continued and was substantial. We can make a small re-entry slightly below 126.00 and work with a tighter TP and a tight SL. We saw capital flowing back into tech stocks, with several key names recovering, including NVDA, META, AVGO, and INTC. The chip sector delivered the strong rebound we expected.

β–Ί We expect a very strong Q3 earnings report from Morgan Stanley tomorrow and are therefore buying today’s weakness in MS ahead of earnings. Investors are concerned about MS’s weak share price performance following the investment bank’s strong Q2 report.

β–Ί I expect the report to be strong enough to support a higher opening tomorrow. MS is also trading well below its levels before the last earnings report, even though the Wall Street bank delivered strong results. MS will report very strong revenue from equity trading, along with strong results in investment banking and wealth management.

β–Ί Overall, I consider financials very attractive after their recent weak performance.

β–Ί Dovish comments from Fed official Williams weighed somewhat on the financial sector - which they should not have - and briefly pushed the USD lower (which also helped gold). The overall mixed performance and weakness in AI stocks have weighed on investment banks.

Citigroup (C): Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 130 - 140 (13,000% - 14,000%) - 1/2 position size

Morgan Stanley (MS): Multiply your usual lot size by ~ 130 -140 (13,000% - 14,000%) - 3/5 position size


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101303B
position code / 100% Transparency - 26101305A


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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
πŸ”° FREE VIP SIGNAL πŸ•― SHORT (SELL) πŸ”½ Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑 ⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size SL πŸ”‘ @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) TP βœ… @: (ONLY VIP πŸ’Ž) Recommended Entry Range βœ…4158 - 4162 β–Ί We set a nearly perfect TP βœ…πŸ“Έ for our gold position. Gold found some buyers as…
⚑️ RAPID UPDATE πŸ•―
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟑
TP
βœ… @: 4153.06
OR
CLOSE SOON βœ… @: near/below 4155

We are setting a tight TP βœ… or will close the position in profit shortly. We see further downside from here, as oil prices remain elevated and concerns persist that the upcoming CPI data will show increased inflationary pressure. Dovish comments from New York Fed President Williams, who sees no urgent need for interest rate hikes and expects only one increase, temporarily weighed on the USD and pushed gold back above 4160, after our position had initially moved well into profit following our entry.

However, we can find better trade setups here.



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πŸ”Ή FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days πŸ”Ή

πŸ—“ August 25 - October 13
πŸ’― Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ“Š 5 - Week -Performance: August 25 - October 06
(= 25 full trading days)

πŸ”Ή Number of Trades/Signals: 139 (excl. 4 open p.)
πŸ”Ή Number of Trades Won: 126
πŸ”Ή Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.6% πŸ”½ πŸ†

Dropped from statistics: 4/4 - 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (August 24)
Added to statistics: 2/5* - 40%
Signal Accuracy (October 06)
(*3 open positions: NVDA, BTC/USD & US2000)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


πŸ”Ή The last 5 trading days: October 07 - October 13 πŸ”Ή

βœ… 7.10 - USOIL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 89.99)
βœ… 7.10 - US30 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 51249.90 me or similar)
βœ… 7.10 - TSLA - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 375.57 me | or 376.61)
βœ… 7.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4128.13)
✴️ 7.10 - SKHY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 161.49 πŸ”„

4/5 - (1 open position)

βœ… 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4111.72)
βœ… 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.11870)
βœ… 8.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 167.17)
🟑❌8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
βœ… 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit)
βœ… 8.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


We closed our previously open META position today, while three more positions from the previous week are now included as open positions in our rolling five-week statistics. We are looking for exits later this week and expect more market activity tomorrow following the CPI release and as earnings reports continue. We will also use tighter stop-loss levels.

BTC
had a strong session today, and we secured a phenomenal re-entry in NVDA. For now, we are tightening the TP
βœ… on our Russell 2000 position - πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 2812.90 πŸ”„

Our signal accuracy / success rate is little changed and stands at an exceptional 90.6% πŸ†
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πŸ”Ή OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days πŸ”Ή

βœ… 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31054.90)
βœ… 9.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 166.53)
βœ… 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 60.811)
βœ… 9.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 168.56)
βœ… 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 1.32256)

5/5 = 100% πŸ’Ž Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✴️ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit + re-entry in profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 30714.70 (30914.70 future)
✴️ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 171.51 πŸ”„
βœ… 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 910.49 me | or 900.49 + gap) πŸ”„πŸ“Έ
βœ… 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 59.99) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 158.697

1/5 - (4 open positions)


πŸ”ΉTODAY'S TRADES (TUESDAY) πŸ”Ή

✴️
13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (open - off-profit)
πŸ‘‰ TP βœ… @: 1.11757
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4156.16) πŸ“Έ
❌ 13.10 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
βœ… 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT β†˜οΈ (TP - 4153.06) πŸ“Έ
✴️ 13.10 - MS - LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even))
πŸ‘‰ SL πŸ”‘ @: 184.39 | TP βœ… @: 189.43

2/5 - (2- open positions)


β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”


It was another mixed session, with weakness during Asian / pre-market trading and stabilization during US trading. Our exposure remains too high, but we expect more trading activity in Wednesday’s session, giving us opportunities to reduce it further.


As always, very strong precious metals trading over the past few sessions, with two successful Gold trades πŸ“Έ in a difficult precious metals market + the Silver closing πŸ“Έ during Asian trading. We reduced the total number of open stock positions somewhat and secured some strong exits, including META πŸ“Έ and GS πŸ“Έ. On the other side was C πŸ“Έ, which saw significant profit-taking despite a strong earnings report.

We saw a temporarily weaker USD today, but expect the USD to remain in demand.

Overall, it was still a very profitable session for us πŸ’΅
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