🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.

Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee

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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 4080

► Our tight SL ✅📸 was triggered for small profit - which was not unexpected. Gold is currently hovering around 4080 🔄, or slightly below. We are getting back in here and expect buying to outweigh selling again very soon.

► Silver continues to fall sharply and has also put pressure on gold. Although silver has more short-term rebound potential, it is good that we chose gold here.

► The USD has rallied sharply in a short period. We now see the USD stabilizing, easing the headwinds for gold.

Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101405A


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Please make sure you are never missing out on gold / silver trades from us.

Over the last 16 weeks we have won 65 from 68 gold trades.
65/68 = 95.6% Success Rate


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 29945

📌 Nasdaq future (Dec'26) ~190 points higher
Dec'26 futures contract!


► It would have been good position management to close before the CPI release. We saw heavy selling after the US CPI data showed the fastest increase in inflation since April, driven almost entirely by high energy / fuel costs. The hot inflation report reinforced expectations that the Fed has little room left to wait and must raise rates further. Markets are now pricing in two rate hikes by year-end again. We already closed our DAX SHORT position at TP ✅📸 today - we could even have closed significantly lower. Initial selling then turned into panic selling.

► These concerns triggered another rotation out of growth stocks - particularly chip / AI stocks - into more defensive sectors and energy stocks.

► Oil prices remain in focus. With no signs of serious peace efforts in the Middle East and instead indications of further escalation, oil prices have risen over recent sessions. A container ship sank in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday as Iran intensified its attacks on commercial vessels and Saudi Arabia faced fresh Houthi attacks. Despite all this, we are seeing little further upside in oil prices today.

► I still expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged this month and opt for a hike in December instead.

► The Nasdaq 100 fell around 2%.

► We are now seeing more signs of stabilization, although tomorrow’s PPI data will likely show that producer price inflation also remains high. Oil prices are stabilizing, and the USD is temporarily giving back some of its very strong gains.

► The sharp pullback invites dip-buying ahead of Big Tech earnings. However, ongoing uncertainty, very high oil prices and yields, and increased rate hike expectations continue to weigh.

► We can make a small re-entry in the Nasdaq 100, but want to close on the next rebound.

Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~1.5 - 2.0x (150%-200%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101201B

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⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
SL
🔑 @: 4054.87
TP ✅ @: 4100.13
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️

We are tightening our TP ✅ and SL 🔑 for our gold position, although we are now seeing more dip-buying again. Oil prices hitting resistance are providing support, also limiting further USD gains for now. We can soon buy the pullback in the USD.


—-

Dell Technologies (DELL) 🇺🇸
SL
🔑 @: 498.79
TP ✅ @: 531.44

ExxonMobil (XOM) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 175.26

We are also updating our DELL position, which fell slightly further, and setting an SL. For XOM, we are working with a tighter TP (off-profit TP).


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Also our second GOLD position from today already closed in profit. If you are still LONG you can close a bit higher ✅ 4104 - 4109.

Congrats!
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LONG (BUY) 🔼 USD/JPY
⚠️ Elevated Volatility
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅158.130 - 158.170

► The USD is sharply higher today, and the DXY reached a new 18-month high. We have since seen a slight correction, likely due to some intervention measures after the pair pushed back toward 159.00, triggering our TP along the way. The pair also moved above its 200-day moving average earlier today. The 158.00 - 160.00 range is considered a zone that makes both the US and Japan very uncomfortable.

► However, even the strong measures and coordinated efforts by Washington and Tokyo have done little to deter traders from betting against the JPY. Recent gains were primarily driven by USD strength, rather than JPY weakness.

► The pair is now trading well below its pre-CPI level. That is quite remarkable, as the hot CPI data triggered a further rise in US Treasury yields and reinforced expectations that high inflationary pressure will force the Fed to raise rates further. The market expects two more Fed rate hikes. These expectations should push the pair toward 160.00.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101406A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 26 - October 14
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 26 - October 07
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 136 (excl. 5 open p.)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 123
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 90.4% 🔽 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 7/7 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (August 25)
Added to statistics: 4/5* - 80%
Signal Accuracy (October 07)
(*1 open position: SKHY)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 08 - October 14 🔹

✅ 8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4111.72)
✅ 8.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11870)
✅ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.17)
🟡❌8.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP- 4116.11 me | or clsd)
✅ 8.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 30958.90 me | or 30942.90 | overall - in-profit)
✅ 8.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 167.57 me | or 167.46)

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31054.90)
✅ 9.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 166.53)
✅ 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 60.811)
✅ 9.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 168.56)
✅ 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.32256)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


——————————————


With the biggest event risk behind us, there is room for modest gains in the second half of the week, although tomorrow's US PPI report will likely deliver another hot inflation reading. However, concerns over escalating geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on risk sentiment and make a strong oil price cooling impossible.

In our five (!) years of recorded performance, we have never had five open positions in our rolling five-week statistics. We aim to reduce that number later this week, although we will likely hold some positions a little longer - such as NVDA & SKHY. We are tightening the TP
✅ on our BTC position, which came under pressure as the USD rallied sharply and expectations for rate hikes increased.
BTC/USD 👉 TP
✅ @: 83767.30

Meanwhile, our
🔽 signal accuracy / success rate edged down slightly as an outstanding 7/7 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%) rolled out of the calculation.
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✴️❌ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - TP off-profit + re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 30123.90| 30313.40 Dec future) 🔄
✴️❌ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (open - TP off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 175.26 🔄
✅ 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 910.49 me | or 900.49 + gap)
✅ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 59.99)
✅ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.697) 🔄📸

3/5 - (2 open positions)

✅
13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11882) 🔄📸
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4156.16)
❌ 13.10 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4153.06)
❌ 13.10 - MS - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.39) 🔄📸

3/5 = 60% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (WEDNESDAY) 🔹

✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4094.73) 📸
✅ 14.10 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 25321.60) 📸
✅ 14.10 - AAPL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 343.54) 📸
✴️ 14.10 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 498.79 | TP ✅ @: 531.44
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4100.13) 📸
✴️ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit + pot. re-entry 🔄)
👉 TP ✅ @: 158.227 🔄

4/6 - (2 open positions)


——————————————


We closed many positions today, most in profit, but position management fell a bit short. We anticipated hotter CPI data, yet the market was still surprised by the contrast with September's already outdated PCE report. We missed larger profits on our two LONG USD positions and should have protected our Nasdaq 100 position.

Markets attempted to stabilize, but fears of renewed inflation and further rate hikes weighed heavily. Sky high oil and fuel prices remain the dominant driver of global inflation and are already straining the economy.

Strong gold 📸 trading "as always," although we were a little too cautious in trading the rebound. Also a good NYSE "opening" trade with AAPL 📸.

Surprisingly strong Japanese machinery orders gave the "sell America" trade some momentum during Asian trading. We are tightening our USD/JPY TP
✅, but still expect the USD to remain in demand. EUR/USD above 1.12000 is also attractive (SHORT). We want to avoid excessive exposure, but you can take a small USD/JPY re-entry in the 🔼 157.60 - 157.70 range.

An unlucky exit on MS erased much of my profit. The stock opened in reality at 180.45, well above my exit price, and is now back at 183.00 in after-hours trading. The key metrics matched our expectations, but weak risk sentiment and an overall less impressive report than GS weighed on the stock. Financials nevertheless are attractive after the recent sell-off.
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Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)

🔸 🇦🇺 Employment Change SEP – 00:30 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇦🇺 Full Time Employment Change SEP – 00:30
🔸 🇦🇺 Unemployment Rate SEP – 00:30 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇺🇸 Fed Bowman Speech – 02:55
♦️ 🇬🇧 GDP MoM AUG – 06:00
🔸 🇬🇧 GDP 3-Month Avg AUG – 06:00
🔸 🇬🇧 Goods Trade Balance AUG – 06:00
🔸 🇬🇧 Industrial Production MoM AUG – 06:00
🔸 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production MoM AUG – 06:00
🔸 🇪🇺 Industrial Production MoM AUG – 09:00
♦️ 🇺🇸 PPI SEP (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Retail Sales MoM SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Core PPI SEP (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims OCT/10 – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index OCT – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index OCT – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Retail Sales Control Group MoM SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM SEP – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change OCT/09 – 16:00
🔸 🇺🇸 Fed Hammack Speech – 20:30

🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations

---

Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)

☀️ Charles Schwab (SCHW) 🇺🇸
🌙 Interactive Brokers (IBKR) 🇺🇸
☀️ Prologis (PLD) 🇺🇸
☀️ Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) 🇺🇸
☀️ U.S. Bancorp (USB) 🇺🇸
☀️ PNC Financial (PNC) 🇺🇸
☀️ Marsh McLennan (MRSH) 🇺🇸
☀️ Nordea Bank (NRDBY) 🇫🇮
☀️ Antofagasta (ANFGF) 🇬🇧
☀️ Ericsson (ERIC) 🇸🇪
🌙 J.B. Hunt (JBHT) 🇺🇸

---

SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner
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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 3/4 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/above 1.12190

► An already nervous market reacted negatively to revenue updates from TSMC, even though the world’s most important chip foundry reported better-than-expected profit for the September quarter. More important was the outlook from Anthropic: The Claude developer told prospective investors that third-quarter revenue reached $16.8 billion - an increase of 46% from $11.5 billion in the preceding three months. Growth rates that other companies or industries can only dream of. Anthropic presented the figures at its headquarters on Wednesday, just weeks before a planned IPO that could value the company at up to $2 trillion. The AI growth story remains intact, but concerns are growing that a slowdown could arrive sooner than expected, particularly as much of the growth is debt-financed (which is completely normal). Debt concerns were particularly pronounced at CoreWeave, whose corporate bond yields surged. Panic selling in the chip sector is going very far.

► Overall, however, we see a mixed market, with only the technology sector trading significantly lower. The more defensive Dow, for example, is trading in positive territory.

► The ongoing sell-off, now concentrated primarily in AI / chip stocks, triggered a flight to safety. Some investors bought bonds, pushing the 10-year US Treasury yield down by more than 10 basis points. The USD has given back all the gains it made following yesterday’s hot inflation data.

► USD/JPY found buyers in the range we expected (157.60 - 157.70).

► We expect the PPI data to be less concerning than yesterday’s CPI data. However, inflationary pressure will also be visible in producer prices.

► Temporarily lower oil prices also helped unwind the USD’s recent excessive gains.

► We expect EUR/USD to retest 1.12000 later today and remain bearish over the medium term. The decline in US Treasury yields will be temporary.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101501A


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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.11902
OR
CLOSE
✅ @: below 1.11950
⚠️ NO LONGER CURRENT - upd. to close near/below 1.12040⚠️

USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 158.266
⚠️ NO LONGER CURRENT - upd. to 158.197 ⚠️

The PPI data came in very hot. Nevertheless, we are seeing a relatively muted reaction. We expect some rebound in the USD from here, as both the core and headline figures are well above analyst expectations.

Headline PPI rose 1.3% month over month (very hot!) versus 0.5% expected. Core PPI came in at 0.7% month over month versus 0.3% expected. Core PPI was 5% year over year (!) versus 4.4% expected.

Since we are LONG the USD through two positions, we do not want to get too greedy. Our USD/JPY position is also well in profit overall. We are making slight adjustments to our TPs for now.

An important point, however - analyst forecasts were not updated after yesterday’s hot CPI report, so actual market expectations had already adjusted higher.

The USD would be stronger if oil prices had not eased somewhat for now.


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅4137.50 - 4142.50

► Another hot inflation report has strengthened the case for rate hikes, providing fundamental support for the USD and headwinds for gold. Nevertheless, yields continue to decline for now as demand for bonds remains strong.

► The 10-year US Treasury yield is now 13 basis points lower - partly because investors are lowering their economic growth expectations.

► Oil prices also remain lower, but are likely to attract buyers during regular US trading. Tensions between the US and Iran are escalating rather than easing - particularly following reports that the US military has developed new strike plans. These could include using the so-called “mother of all bombs” against Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear facilities if US President Donald Trump orders combat operations to resume before or after the midterm elections.

► We are seeing mixed reactions, as investors are currently unsure how to price in the PPI data.

► Increased demand for safe havens should continue to support gold demand. We are entering with a small position here.


Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101502A


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🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹


🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
BUY EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 (ONLY VIP 💎) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅(ONLY VIP 💎)


🔹 Nasdaq 100 (-1.1%) | Russell 2000 (+0.2%) - are showing a mixed picture. Chip stocks, particularly memory stocks, are trading sharply lower and weighing on Wall Street. Overall, however, more stocks are rising than falling in New York. The panic sell-off has extended further as investors continue to unwind their AI exposure in a panic. We expect markets to stabilize today, despite another hot inflation report.

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
👉 TP ✅ @: 30043.90 | 30234.90 Future
Russell 2000 (US2000) 🇺🇸
👉 TP ✅ @: 2796.40


🔹 ExxonMobil (+0.5%) - is trading higher, benefiting from the rotation out of tech stocks. However, we expect some waves of profit-taking to kick in today. We are looking for an exit.
👉 TP ✅ @: 175.36

🔹 Dell (-5.6%) - is opening nearly 6% lower. We bought the sharp dip yesterday, but panic selling continued. Our position is opening below the SL. Investors are unwinding some of DELL’s very strong gains this year. There is currently too much panic selling to attempt buying the dip right at the NYSE opening.

🔹 Nvidia (-1.7%); Intel (-3.6%); SK Hynix (-5.7%) - remain in panic-selling mode. We now see very attractive entries for medium-term investments in many chip stocks. Concerns about rising chip production in China potentially flooding the market, but above all about the debt-financed AI rally, are making investors nervous. We can close well above today’s opening prices, but we are managing our exposure. Meanwhile, KeyBank reiterates its “Overweight” recommendation for NVDA. Even CoreWeave received a “BUY” rating from Deutsche Bank, which explicitly recommends “BUYING THE DIP.”


► While the tech sector is down, more S&P 500 stocks are rising than falling in pre-market trading, supported by the ongoing rotation out of the AI sector. We see strong gains in healthcare and consumer staples. I see short-term upside potential in WMT, COST, HD, and even AAPL, which we successfully SHORTed yesterday. Today, we could do the opposite and initially expect further gains in AAPL.

► WMT is up around 3.5%, also benefiting from a Deutsche Bank upgrade to “BUY” (from “HOLD”). I expect consumer staples stocks (defensive consumer stocks) to remain bullish today. We are buying (ONLY VIP 💎) at (ONLY VIP 💎). The stock has rebound potential, remains bullish for now, and benefits from the very strong gains in (ONLY VIP 💎)

► Higher inflation generally improves (ONLY VIP 💎) ...

(ONLY VIP 💎) ...


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101503A


⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
EUR/USD
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: below 1.12040
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸

USD/JPY
TP ✅ @: 158.197

We see a somewhat confused market. The PPI data came in very hot, but unlike yesterday, the market had prepared for a high reading. We want to reduce our exposure now and close EUR/USD in profit very soon. We remain LONG in USD/JPY for now.

We see something of a typical “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” effect.

Further bond purchases are pushing yields lower - creating some headwinds for the USD.


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———


This one was missing in TRIAL.

EUR/USD already closed in profit | we went already SHORT again near 1.12200 (perfect entry).
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LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP
✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 4151


► Gold has already triggered our TP ✅📸 (before that, we closed EUR/USD 📸 in profit). We are re-entering and now see gold trading back near 4150.

► Yields remain lower and are edging down even further. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries is now down 14 basis points. That provides a tailwind for gold.

► Nevertheless, we should not be too aggressive here. The USD is somewhat oversold - even trading below its pre-CPI level - and remains bullish overall.


Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.10-0.12x (10%-12%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101504A


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Our gold / silver trades from the past 7 days:


✅ 09.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️
✅ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️

🆕 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: 1.11957
⚠️ ALREADY TRIGGERED ⚠️📸

Recommended Entry ✅1.12190 - 1.12240

► Although we “only just” closed our EUR/USD position in profit and generally emphasized that we do not want to increase our USD exposure too much, we are selling EUR/USD again here. Fundamentally, it makes very little sense for EUR/USD to rise after hot CPI and PPI reports showing that US inflation is accelerating and running higher than in the Eurozone.

► We see rising expectations for Fed rate hikes.

► The USD has now eased somewhat, partly due to a “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” effect, but primarily because of lower yields as investors bought bonds.

► Increased rate hike expectations have also somewhat dampened expectations that the US economy will continue to run hot in the coming quarters.

► Nevertheless, the Eurozone is in no better position. Oil prices will remain elevated. We see political uncertainty in Europe. The slightly improved growth figures were achieved through massive government borrowing - in Germany, for example. Weakness in US tech stocks (particularly US AI stocks) is also weighing on the USD for now.

► We generally want to hold a small EUR/USD SHORT position and can therefore re-enter (more than 15 pips above our previous exit price). We remain LONG in USD/JPY and are therefore trading a small position here.

► The EUR would need lower energy prices to make sustained gains against the USD.

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101505A


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——————————————


We made a beautiful seconds EUR/USD SHORT (already hit TP 📸)

DON'T MISS OUR FX Trades. We have closed 88.9% of our FX trades this year with a significant profit.


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SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅1.12140 - 1.12190 🔄

► We completed an excellent second EUR/USD trade, which has already hit its TP ✅📸. Our USD/JPY also hit TP ✅📸 near session highs.

► EUR/USD rose a bit further and we can get in more than 15 pips above our previously triggered TP.

► We expect the pair to give back more of its recent rebound gains.

► Yields are easing as market sentiment improves, as we expected, despite renewed gains in oil prices. The IEA's commitment to complete the release of the remaining 100 million barrels of oil and 20 million barrels of diesel as quickly as possible has provided only limited relief for oil and fuel prices. Brent is flat on the day. Fuel prices are around 2% lower. WTI, however, is trading sharply higher.

► The latest hot US inflation readings have reinforced expectations for Fed rate hikes. Swap markets are now pricing in two rate hikes by year-end (I consider one hike more likely).

position code / 100% Transparency - 26101506A


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 AMD (AMD) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 3/5 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry ✅near/below 551.00


► Wall Street has stabilized after heavy overselling. The S&P 500 is back in positive territory, while the Dow is up nearly 1%. Only the technology sector, particularly chip / AI stocks, continues to weigh heavily. The Nasdaq has rebounded more than 1.7% from its session lows - a very strong recovery.

► We are seeing a sharp rebound, with even MU trading nearly flat again. This should provide considerable reassurance to investors, as memory chip stocks suffered a particularly sharp correction - albeit after extraordinary gains year to date.

► INTC and NVDA are moving sharply higher, and we see further upside in the very near term. AI infrastructure stocks are lagging. Several look very attractive over the medium term, including DELL, HPE, CSCO, AMAT, and LRCX.

► We also see significant near-term rebound potential in AMD. The stock has reclaimed $550 and is now attracting strong dip buying. We expect this level to remain important for now and want to join the rebound near it. TSMC also looks very attractive.

► At around 552.00, AMD is still down more than 3.2% on the day. We expect another dip toward 550.00, potentially slightly below it, and plan to enter there.

AMD (AMD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 40–50x (4,000%–5,000%) – 3/5 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26090207A


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LONG (BUY) 🔼 SpaceX (SPCX) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)

Recommended Entry Range ✅147.50 - 148.00


► We saw a massive rebound in New York, with the Nasdaq now trading flat (!) on the day. AMD has risen more than 2.5% since our entry (near ~551), outperforming all other chip stocks over that period - I closed slightly higher 📸. If you are still LONG, you can close even higher in the ✅ 568 - 572 range for a very large profit.

► There are strong fundamental reasons for SPCX to perform well in the coming sessions - particularly the strong growth of Starlink and SPCX’s expansion into the mobile network business. This triggered a spike, but substantial profit-taking followed, primarily due to weaker risk sentiment.

► In its latest quarterly report, SPCX reported 92% revenue growth and a narrower quarterly net loss. However, the next report is still relatively far away (November 17).

► We do not want to increase our exposure too much, but we see strong rebounds in the AI sector. Big tech stocks are also trading higher overall. NVDA is lagging somewhat.

► We are opening a small LONG position in SPCX. SPCX is still down around 2.8% on the day. SPCX also came under significant pressure due to its high valuation and ties to the AI industry. However, the company has a substantial liquidity cushion: around $100 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities against $38.4 billion in outstanding debt principal (as of June 30, although this is unlikely to have changed significantly).

SpaceX (SPCX): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by ~130-140x (13,000%-14,000%) - 1/2 position size.


position code / 100% Transparency - 26101508A


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🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹

🗓 August 27 - October 15
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)


——————————————


📊 5 - Week -Performance: August 27 - October 08
(= 25 full trading days)

🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 137 (excl. 5 open p.)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 123
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 89.8% 🔽 🏆

Dropped from statistics: 5/5 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (August 26)
Added to statistics: 5/6 - 83.3%
Signal Accuracy (October 08)


——————————————


🔹 The last 5 trading days: October 09 - October 15 🔹

✅ 9.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 31054.90)
✅ 9.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (TP - 166.53)
✅ 9.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 60.811)
✅ 9.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 168.56)
✅ 9.10 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.32256)

5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✴️❌ 12.10 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (open - TP off-profit + re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 30117.40 | 30307.90 Future 🔄
❌ 12.10 - XOM - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 175.26 or 175.36) 🔄
✅ 12.10 - GS - LONG ↗️ (TP - 910.49 me | or 900.49 + gap)
✅ 12.10 - XAG/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 59.99)
✅ 12.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.697)

3/5 - (1 open position)


——————————————


A flawless 5/5 session 💎 (SA/SR = 100%) rolled out of the calculation and was replaced by last Thursday’s 5/6 session (SA/SR = 83.3%), pushing our
🔽 success rate over the rolling five-week period below 90%. In practice, it was already below that level when accounting for open positions with off-profit TPs. Most members may have already closed many of these trades following the recent sharp decline.

Please ensure that your loss on any single trade - including potential re-entries - does not exceed 3-4% of your account balance. You can use our
SL & TP calculator, which we will further simplify over the coming weeks. This simple risk management approach helps you generate consistent profits.

We also closed our XOM position at a loss. We could have secured a slightly lower exit, as XOM subsequently saw the profit-taking we had expected today.

We can raise our TP
✅ for the Nasdaq slightly here. Although we do not expect substantial gains tomorrow, New York delivered a strong session overall today, despite underperformance in technology stocks.
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🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹

✅
13.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11882)
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4156.16)
❌ 13.10 - C - LONG ↗️ (SL - 124.97 | +re-entry)
✅ 13.10 - XAU/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 4153.06)
❌ 13.10 - MS - LONG ↗️ (SL - 184.39)

3/5 = 60% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)

✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (SL - 4094.73)
✅ 14.10 - DAX_40 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 25321.60)
✅ 14.10 - AAPL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 343.54)
❌ 14.10 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (SL - 498.79) 🔄📸
✅ 14.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4100.13)
✅ 14.10 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 158.197) 🔄📸

5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)


🔹TODAY'S TRADES (THURSDAY) 🔹

✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.12016 me | or clsd) 📸
✅ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4163.39) 📸
✴️ 15.10 - COST - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1018.79
✅ 15.10 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4176.79 me | or 4171.96) 📸
✅ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.11957) 📸
✴️ 15.10 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.11987 🔄
✅ 15.10 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 559.58) 📸
✴️ 15.10 - SPCX - LONG ↗️ (open - in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 151.74

5/8 - (3 open positions)


——————————————


It was a very busy session - also for us - and one of the most chaotic days this year, with huge swings as investors continued to trade in panic amid the a long list of uncertainties. As in previous sharp corrections in AI / AI infrastructure stocks, the market is overreacting to any sign that the exceptional revenue growth (=the AI boom) could slow. Concerns range from China's progress in AI models and chip production to reports suggesting weaker growth ahead, with now concerns about debt financed overblown investments.

We also successfully capitalized on these swings in AMD 📸 and - "as always" - gold 📸 and FX, but DELL 📸 was a clear "stinker" for us.


Today's sharp rebound brought a chaotic session to a positive close. Overall, we made very strong trading decisions. I closed the second gold positions slightly higher - at session highs. We will continue looking for attractive entries in the Friday session.

We are tightening the TP ✅ on our EUR/USD position slightly, although we still expect the USD to remain in demand over the coming sessions. Today's decline in bond yields, however, complicated the picture and added to investor uncertainty.

After an eventful week marked by the start of earnings season and long-awaited inflation data, we expect investors to scale back large directional bets during Friday's session.

Congratulations on keeping a cool head in these conditions and on a strong session today.
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Frank 🇩🇪 – a SmartTrader Community member since October 2026 – took a minute to share this with us. We truly appreciate it.

Frank praises our trading signals and risk management calculator for helping manage positions and keep potential losses under control.


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Feel free to leave feedback and share what we can do even better from your perspective.

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