π‘ HERE ARE THE TOP 15 PERFORMERS OF 2026
π±οΈ $SNDK +588%
π±οΈ $MRNA +388%
π±οΈ $AEHR +369%
π±οΈ $DELL +350%
π±οΈ $TWST +301%
π±οΈ $AXTI +296%
π±οΈ $MU +242%
π±οΈ $BE +217%
π±οΈ $AAOI +202%
π±οΈ $INTC +179%
π±οΈ $MRVL +178%
π±οΈ $NBIS +168%
π±οΈ $PENG +162%
π±οΈ $WDC +160%
π±οΈ $LITE +152%
βοΈ @venture
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Trump called NVDA CEO Jensen Huang live during an interview: βHe can create the best AI chip in the world but canβt figure out how to put me on speakerphone.β
They agreed AI is a major driver of growth and U.S. national security.
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After 30-year Treasury yields rose above 5% in May 2026, more than 75% of the increase in marketable Treasury debt since July came from T-bills. That compares with 18% in 2025.
The US now has a record $7.25 trillion in T-bills outstanding. They mature within a year and must be constantly refinanced. Yields are already around 3.8%-4%, while another 25 bps Fed hike is expected on Wednesday.
BofA expects 3 25 bps hikes this year, which could add over $50 billion in annual interest costs once the debt is fully rolled over. The Treasury avoided more expensive long-term borrowing by using short-term debt. Now that short-term funding is getting more expensive too.
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$11.4 billion in customer advances helped Oracle report operating cash flow of $23.1 billion, up 184%. Yet free cash flow was negative $5.4 billion for the quarter.
The advances fund infrastructure before delivery, but they are not free cash. Oracle spent $28.5 billion on capital projects and reported $18.0 billion of net cash outlay after deducting advances.
Treating $18.0 billion as spending creates an apparent $5.1 billion surplus, but it counts the advances twice. Oracleβs own calculation uses the full spending figure.
Cloud infrastructure revenue rose 121% to $7.4 billion, while Oracle added 850 megawatts of data-centre capacity. If advances slow while construction spending stays high, funding must come from elsewhere or spending must adjust.
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Ask an AI assistant to block a gambling app for 30 days, and to keep the block even if you later ask for it back. On day 2, you ask for access. Both outcomes are obedience. One instruction has to lose.
Most systems let the most recent request win. That is a position on whether you can bind your later self, set silently above the settings you chose. The hidden question is whether your settings survive you.
The law answers this differently. In Europe, the Consumer Rights Directive gives you 14 days to withdraw from a distance contract. Article 25 says this right cannot be waived or restricted to the consumerβs detriment. The law sides with your later self.
Dutch mental health law takes the opposite view. A person aged 16 or over can make a self-binding declaration naming compulsory care for a future crisis. It requires a care plan, a responsible clinician, an independent doctor, signatures, and court authorisation.
Two societies wrote opposite rules into law. An assistant answers the same question every time, but no one wrote its rule down or offered it to you. You can choose the rule, but not always the rule about the rule.
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U.S. stocks lost $490 billion in 25 minutes after the Fed raised rates 25 bps. Warsh warned inflation is still elevated.
βοΈ @venture
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Chinaβs benchmark crude futures hit a record 929.4 yuan a barrel after a major Middle East pipeline shutdown disrupted supply. Chinese refiners bought more cargoes, lifting the Shanghai contract to its highest since launching in 2018. Oman and Murban crude also trade above $126 a barrel.
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Cathie Wood calls SPCX a βdeep value opportunity.β Meanwhile, ARKK sold 859,000 Nvidia shares at the bottom of Q4 2022.
The sale cost investors over $850M in potential profits.
βοΈ @venture
The sale cost investors over $850M in potential profits.
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"If the new thing isnβt better than what is available, it hasnβt met your threshold; then that screens out 99% of what you see, and itβs an enormous thought conserver. That is not taught in business schools.β
Charlie Munger.
βοΈ @venture
Charlie Munger.
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After rate hike, the 10-year yield fell to 4.94% and the 20-year yield to 5.337%.
The move suggests the bond market is pricing in lower inflation after the Fed reaffirmed its commitment to bring inflation under control.
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AMD is reportedly preparing to raise chip prices by ~10% as higher TSM wafer costs flow through to customers.
The increases are expected to hit AI accelerators and consumer GPUs in Q4, as advanced-node manufacturing gets more expensive.
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βYou don't need a lot of brains in this businessβ¦What you do need is emotional stability.
You have to be able to think independently: when you come to a conclusion, you have to really not care what other people say and just follow the facts and your reasoning.β
Warren Buffett
βοΈ @venture
You have to be able to think independently: when you come to a conclusion, you have to really not care what other people say and just follow the facts and your reasoning.β
Warren Buffett
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π₯ BOJ Signals Further Rate Hikes
The Bank of Japan voted 7-2 to raise rates to 1.25%. Further hikes will depend on activity, prices, and financial conditions.
Underlying inflation could exceed the 2% target as wage growth, rising expectations, a weak yen, higher oil prices, and strong AI-related demand push up selling prices.
The economy is recovering moderately, supported by employment, income growth, and AI-related demand. CPI is expected to move clearly above 2% from the second half of FY2026, while financial conditions remain accommodative.
Governor Uedaβs remarks will be watched for clues on the timing and pace of further hikes.
βοΈ @venture
The Bank of Japan voted 7-2 to raise rates to 1.25%. Further hikes will depend on activity, prices, and financial conditions.
Underlying inflation could exceed the 2% target as wage growth, rising expectations, a weak yen, higher oil prices, and strong AI-related demand push up selling prices.
The economy is recovering moderately, supported by employment, income growth, and AI-related demand. CPI is expected to move clearly above 2% from the second half of FY2026, while financial conditions remain accommodative.
Governor Uedaβs remarks will be watched for clues on the timing and pace of further hikes.
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Coffee prices are down 20% this year as supply exceeds demand for the first time in 4 years.
Brazil, the world's top coffee producer, is behind the surplus, with exports up 40% from a year ago.
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Trump says he is creating an AI Force and will appoint an AI czar. The U.S. will not slow or stifle AI development.
AI could eventually account for 25% of U.S. GDP.
βοΈ @venture
AI could eventually account for 25% of U.S. GDP.
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Michael Burry says Big Tech filings may not show the full scale of AI commitments. Oracle is his main example, with $288B in leases it has not started paying.
Burry is not calling it fraud. His point is that the truth may not be in the filings.
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Published by Oman on 6th May 2025, the one-sentence deal bars Houthi and US attacks on each other, including American vessels, in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait. Saudi Arabia is not mentioned, while Israel was excluded by the Houthis.
The arrangement has held: no American bomb has fallen since then, and no confirmed Houthi strike on a US target has been recorded. US officials say ships still targeted are Saudi.
That leaves a policy contradiction. More than 100 US military personnel are reportedly in Saudi Arabia, providing targeting data to aircraft fighting the Houthis.
The coalition said it destroyed Fridayβs missile, but AFP saw a burning Aramco-branded fuel tank and the Journal reported hits to jet-fuel facilities. The cause remains unconfirmed, but the strike reached Riyadh for the first time since March 2022.
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Global oil inventories are projected to hit their operational floor of 6.8 billion barrels this month if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut, according to JPMorgan.
Below that level, pipelines cannot maintain pressure and refineries start failing, regardless of the oil price. It would be the first time in recorded history that physical oil availability, not just price, becomes the concern.
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