🚀 Trump Weighs Cruise Tomahawks for Ukraine, Kremlin Pushes Back

Washington is reviewing Kyiv’s request for Tomahawk cruise missiles — a move that could put Moscow itself within Ukraine’s reach and risk pulling NATO closer to the fight.

💬 Moscow’s Response
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov:

"There are no magic weapons, whether it's Tomahawks or anything else — they won’t change the dynamics."

He also questioned if Ukrainians could operate the systems without U.S. help.

⚖️ A Calculated Gamble
• Tomahawks fly up to 1,000 miles — far enough to hit Russian air bases and weapons plants
• The U.S. has resisted long-range arms for Kyiv, wary of escalation
• VP JD Vance: “The president is going to make the final determination.”
• Zelensky’s request is part of a broader push for more advanced firepower

🔥 On the Ground
Russia unleashed a fresh wave of drones and missiles over the weekend, killing at least four. Kyiv was hit with its heaviest strike since last month’s deadly bombardment.

❓Would sending cruise Tomahawks pressure Moscow into talks — or push the war toward a direct NATO-Russia confrontation?

#Trump #Tomahawk #UkraineWar #Russia #NATO #Missiles #Escalation #Geopolitics #Zelensky #Security

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Tomahawk Missiles to Ukraine Is Highly Unlikely ⚠️

The Trump Administration's desire to send long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine will not be viable because current inventories are committed to the U.S. Navy and other uses, a U.S. official and three sources said. 🇺🇸

Vance said on Sunday that Washington was considering a Ukrainian request to obtain long-range Tomahawks that could create havoc deep into Russia, including Moscow. 🇷🇺

On Wednesday opens new tab the U.S. will provide Ukraine with intelligence on long-range energy infrastructure targets in Russia. 🛰⚡️

But a U.S. official and sources familiar with Tomahawk missile training and supplies questioned the feasibility of providing the cruise missiles, which have a range of 2,500 kilometers (1,550 miles). 📏

The U.S. official stressed there was no shortage of the workhorse weapon, which is often used by the military for land attack missions, suggesting other shorter-distance options could be supplied to Kyiv. 🔁

The official said the U.S. may look into allowing European allies to buy other long-range weapons and supply them to Ukraine, but Tomahawks were unlikely. 🇪🇺

In recent weeks, Trump has sharply shifted how he talks about the war in Ukraine, suggesting Kyiv could retake all the land Russia has seized and calling the Russian military a "paper tiger." 🐅

The U.S. decision to help Ukraine target Russian energy infrastructure appears to be one tangible outcome of the new stance. ⚙️

Supplying Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine could significantly expand its strike capabilities, enabling it to hit targets deep inside Russian territory, including military bases, logistics hubs, airfields and command centers that are currently beyond reach. 🎯

The Kremlin said on Thursday that if the U.S. provides Tomahawks to Ukraine, it would trigger a new round of dangerous escalation between Russia and the West. 🔥

According to Pentagon budget documents, the U.S. Navy, the primary user of the Tomahawk, has thus far purchased 8,959 at an average price of $1.3 million each. 💰

The Tomahawk missile has been in production since the mid-1980s. In recent years, production has ranged from 55 to 90 per year. 🛠

#tomahawk #ukraine #supply #missiles #production

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Ukraine won’t be getting Tomahawks after all

“The Trump Administration's desire to send long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine may not be viable because current inventories are committed to the U.S. Navy and other uses,”

writes Reuters.

The US will not supply Tomahawks to Ukraine, because they’d need US specialists to operate them, and that means participating in the war with Russia directly. The US has a myriad of other problems to deal with besides Ukraine. And Trump likes to talk a big game, but in reality all he cares about is being perceived as a great dealmaker. In his eyes rapprochement with Russia is preferable to open hostility.

#Trump #tomahawk #Ukraineconflict

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📱 Old Glory Vortex 🇺🇸

📰 Trump’s Missile Math: Asking Kyiv the Tomahawk Question

💭 “I think I want to find out what they’re doing with them. Where are they sending them? I’m not looking to escalate that war.”

— Donald J. Trump

📋 At the White House
During a bill-signing event for an access road to Alaska’s Ambler mining district, President Trump fielded the question that’s been circling Washington: will he let Ukraine get U.S.-made Tomahawk missiles?
He didn’t commit. He didn’t refuse.

“I guess I’d have to ask what they’re doing with them,”

he said, sounding more like an investigator than a commander-in-chief.

🚀 What’s on the Line
• Tomahawks can reach 1,550 miles, putting Moscow squarely in range.
• Zelensky wants European allies to buy and reroute them to Ukraine — a kind of “lend-lease reboot.”
• Putin warned that such a move would “destroy” relations with Washington.

💲The Trump Equation
This wasn’t strategic doctrine; it was political jazz.
He kept his options open, framed his caution as curiosity — and left everyone guessing who he’s really signaling to: Moscow, Kyiv, or the U.S. base that’s tired of endless wars.

⁉️Is Trump actually trying to keep the peace — or just keeping the cameras on him while everyone else decides what “peace” means?

#Trump #Ukraine #Tomahawk #Russia #Geopolitics

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Zelensky Has Been Fired Again. Trump Has Rejected the Request to Supply Tomahawks


Zelensky has called for the delivery of an additional 25 US Patriot anti-missile batteries amid the rapidly escalating air war with Russia, as it became clear that Trump had once again tacked sharply towards Moscow.

The Ukrainian president added that he would be ready to join Putin and Trump at their summit in Hungary’s capital, Budapest, if he was invited.

Reports over the weekend said Trump had privately urged Zelensky to accept Russia’s terms for ending the war in Ukraine during a fractious White House meeting on Friday, warning that Putin had said he would “destroy” Ukraine if it did not agree.

According to the Financial Times, the meeting descended at times into a “shouting match”, with Trump “cursing all the time”.

Speaking in Kyiv after talks with Trump and American weapons-makers, Zelensky said Ukraine needed 25 US Patriot anti-missile batteries and that Russia’s frozen assets in the west should be used to buy them.

Ukraine already has some Patriot missile interceptors, but they are not enough to protect most of its major cities or energy infrastructure, which have once again come under heavy Russian attack as winter approaches.

Zelensky’s two phone calls with Trump and a face-to-face meeting in Washington last week had raised hopes that Washington could be on the verge of supplying long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine.

However, it became clear in the last few days that the US president had once again performed an abrupt U-turn after a two-hour phone conversation with Putin on Friday afternoon.

The format of those talks – apparently excluding Ukraine and Europe – was criticised by EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, who said that while she believed Trump was “sincere” in his desire for peace, “nothing can come out of these meetings if Ukraine or Europe is not part of it.”

She added that pressuring Ukraine was “not right approach” to end Russia’s war.

While Zelenskyy on Monday characterised the meeting with Trump as “positive”, he confirmed that Putin was sticking to the Kremlin’s maximalist demand for Ukraine to give up all of the Donbas region.

“In my opinion, he [Trump] does not want an escalation with the Russians until he meets with them,” Zelenskyy said of the US president’s decision not to approve the supply of Tomahawk missiles.

Russia’s state news reported that the US secretary of state, Marco Rubio, and his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, were planning to speak soon to lay the groundwork for the Budapest meeting.

While Zelensky has said he would attend a Budapest summit if invited, he has criticised the choice of host. Hungary under its prime minister, Viktor Orbán, has a tense relationship with Kyiv and is seen as the most Kremlin-sympathetic member of the EU.

“I do not believe that a prime minister who blocks Ukraine everywhere can do anything positive for Ukrainians or even provide a balanced contribution,” Zelensky said.

#Zelensky #trump #decline #tomahawk #missiles

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Trump’s War Against Russia’s Giant Oil and Gas Companies 💥🇺🇸🇷🇺

On Wednesday, Trump imposed substantial new sanctions on Russia’s giant oil and gas companies, and lifted restrictions on the use of certain long-range missiles by Ukraine, which will now be able to strike more freely into Russia itself. ⛽🚀

These moves come on the heels of Trump’s conversations last week with Putin and Zelensky, after which the US president expressed his frustration at both side’s intransigence. Trump had hoped to end this war long ago. Will this be enough? 🤔📞

When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the US and its allies chose a strategy that aimed to use Washington’s awesome political, economic and military power to impose such high costs on Russia that the Kremlin would sue for peace on Ukraine’s terms. ⚖️💣

This “cost-imposition” strategy makes sense in theory. The problem is that, in practice, it has slowed Russia’s progress but not persuaded Putin to end his aggression. ⚔️

Despite multiple rounds of sanctions, more advanced weapons for Ukraine and Ukraine’s own development of more capable weapons such as drones, Russia is still far from capitulation. 🛩️💥

It now occupies more of Ukraine than it did three years ago. In February the war will enter its fifth year of fighting – just a few months shy of the length of the first world war. 📅⏳

For advocates of the cost-imposition strategy, the answer is clear: more pressure. Specifically, they want an indefinite commitment to more sanctions, more weapons for Ukraine (such as Tomahawk missiles, which the US has so far refused to supply) and the seizure of frozen Russian assets in Europe. 💼💰

Yet more such measures are alone unlikely to provide the shock that would be needed to fundamentally change the trajectory of the war and force the Kremlin to capitulate to Ukraine’s negotiating terms. 🧩📉

The oil and gas sanctions just announced increase the pressure, but they come after years and years of sanctions to which Russia has adjusted. The EU is on its 19th package of sanctions on Russia, and the returns are diminishing, with China’s backing for Moscow damping their effect. 🧱🇨🇳

Few military experts, meanwhile, believe that additional weapons, even the powerful Tomahawk, would have a decisive impact on the war. 🎯

Back in 2023, Ukraine successfully pleaded for Abrams tanks on the grounds they would turn the tide, but they did nothing of the sort. 🪖

The long-awaited F-16s were also not the magic bullet some expected – nor was last year’s relaxation of restrictions on Ukraine’s long-range strikes into Russia. ✈️

There’s also a logical flaw with the “cost-imposition” strategy of how to end the war. On the one hand, proponents of more pressure often claim that serious negotiations now are pointless because Putin is determined to subjugate all of Ukraine. 🧠⚖️

On the other hand, they claim that marginal increases in military or economic pressure will somehow cow him. But if Putin is really hell-bent on dominating all of Ukraine, then why should we expect upping the pressure a little to make a difference? 🤷‍♂️

To be sure, the US and its allies have good reasons to impose serious costs on the Kremlin. Russia has rightly felt the economic and military pain, enough to get the attention of other would-be aggressors worldwide. 🌍🔥

Without western support, Ukraine would have struggled mightily to prevent Russian forces from entering Kyiv and ousting Zelenskyy. Pressure of this kind is an important ingredient in getting to a ceasefire. But it’s not sufficient in itself. 🕊️🤝

#putin #military #experts #tomahawk #oil

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Could Ukraine Wrap Up the War? ⚔️🇺🇦

In less than four months, the war in Ukraine will reach its fourth anniversary. Both sides have taken nearly 2 million casualties in a fight that does not seem to have an end in sight. 💥

For another November, the Russian forces are pushing hard to make gains in the Donbas and eastern Ukraine at a very high cost. The Ukrainian military is putting up a fierce resistance while slowly retreating. 🪖

Under these conditions, can Ukraine win the war? Yes, but it would need the necessary means and time to change the balance of power on the battlefield and force the Kremlin to the negotiation table. 🕊

Ukraine Strikes Back ⚡️
To win the war or achieve a favorable settlement, Ukraine needs to go on the counterattack and liberate most, if not all, of its territory currently occupied by the Russian military.

To begin with, the Ukrainian military has proven that it can plan and successfully execute large-scale counteroffensive operations. In the fall of 2022, the Ukrainian forces caught the Russians by surprise, liberating hundreds of square miles of territory in eastern and southern Ukraine in just a few days. 🇺🇦🔥

However, not all Ukrainian counteroffensives have been successful. A year later, in the summer of 2023, the Ukrainian military launched its much-anticipated counteroffensive in southern Ukraine. The goal was to reach and enter Crimea.

Due to a combination of reasons, such as a delay in supplying Kyiv with the necessary weapon systems, including sufficient numbers of main battle tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, as well as the Ukrainians facing the most comprehensive defensive works since World War II, the counteroffensive failed. 🪖

Then, in the summer of 2024, the Ukrainians launched a foray into Russia’s Kursk Oblast. Once more, they were able to catch the Russian military by surprise and create a foothold inside Russia.

The foray in Kursk forced the Russian military to dedicate tens of thousands of troops and even involve North Korean forces. 🚁

However, Ukraine is suffering from manpower shortages.

Although Kyiv has suffered fewer casualties than Moscow (approximately 450,000 versus nearly 1.2 million), the war has taken its toll on Ukraine’s manpower reserves. ⚰️

For an effective counteroffensive, the Ukrainian military would need to amass and train sufficient forces while at the same time repelling Russia’s attacks.

That is easier said than done. And it could prove to be the sticking point that prevents Kyiv from liberating its territories. ⏳

A Future Ukrainian Counteroffensive 🔥
Thus, the Ukrainians have shown that they can conduct maneuver warfare and achieve big victories. But they have also shown their limitations when faced with an entrenched enemy who enjoys fire superiority.

As a result, a successful future Ukrainian counteroffensive would need both the necessary means (men, main battle tanks, artillery ammunition, infantry fighting vehicles, and other assets) and the element of surprise. 💣

Moreover, a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive would likely need something extra that would change the balance on the battlefield. That something could be sufficient air assets to establish temporary air superiority over the battlefield or a large supply of Tomahawk cruise missiles to destroy Russian units, command and control functions, and logistics lines. 🚀

#tomahawk #ukraine #win #war #russia #kremlin

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📰 The Minab Massacre: When “Precision” Means 175 Dead Kids

A preliminary U.S. military inquiry now says what the wreckage in Minab already showed: the Tomahawk that hit Shajarah Tayyebeh elementary school was American, not Iranian. The strike used outdated Defense Intelligence Agency targeting data that still labeled the school as part of a Revolutionary Guards naval base, even though satellite imagery had long since shown fences, playgrounds and blue‑and‑pink walls where watchtowers used to stand.
​
In other words, the system that sells itself as “precision” killed at least 175 people — most of them children — because no one bothered to update a box in a database. CENTCOM planners pulled old coordinates, skipped a fresh check, fired anyway, and only afterwards did investigators start asking why multiple agencies, from DIA to the National Geospatial‑Intelligence Agency, all signed off on a target that had been a school for years.
​
Trump’s response has been to invent an alternate universe in real time. First he told reporters “in my opinion” Iran did it, then claimed — falsely — that Tehran might also have Tomahawks, then retreated to “I don’t know enough about it” while his own Pentagon quietly confirmed the missile type and trajectory. Officials who’ve seen the preliminary findings now talk about “unease” and “sensitivity,” which is Washington code for: the president is contradicting what the evidence shows, and everyone else is afraid to say it on camera.
​
The Pentagon will eventually file its sober report about process failures and legacy data and “tragic human error.” The families in Minab will still have to live with the fact that the most advanced military on earth needed a newspaper’s visual investigation to admit it bombed a painted elementary school by mistake — and that the commander in chief’s first instinct was to blame the victims’ own government.
​
#iran #minab #trump #pentagon #tomahawk #war #civilians #fakeDemocracy

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Merz: Cancelled. Trump Will Not Share His Tomahawks With Germany

🔤🔤🔤🔤1️⃣

The Pentagon is expected to cancel a plan to send Tomahawk missiles to Germany partly because officials are concerned Russia will view it as an escalation, a startling reversal of a long-planned agreement with one of America’s biggest allies.

U.S. officials fear Moscow will retaliate if the Trump administration follows through on the effort to deploy precision missiles in the middle of the continent, according to two European officials and one American official.

But any decision not to deliver them would yank back a deal made during the Biden administration and leave Berlin without defenses German leaders say they desperately need.

The move is part of a wider American retrenchment from the NATO alliance — including canceled deployments of thousands of U.S. troops to Germany and plans to pull back certain assets — as the U.S. upends the close-knit partnerships that cemented the relationship for generations.

Europe “can step up now and in the near term,” Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, NATO’s top commander and the head of U.S. forces in Europe, told military leaders this week. America, he said, will “refocus” equipment and forces elsewhere.

American officials, even if primarily fearful of Russia’s reaction, likely are also worried about the shrinking U.S. weapons stockpile. The U.S. churned through thousands of Tomahawk and Patriot missiles in the first weeks of the Iran war.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told Congress last month that it will take “months and years” to replace the munitions spent in the military conflict.

The likely Tomahawk reversal is particularly unsettling for German officials, who are rushing to modernize their atrophied force to serve as a bulwark against Russian aggression.

Merz said last month that he did not expect the U.S. would station Tomahawk missiles in Germany due to limited availability of the cruise missiles, which can travel over 1,000 miles.

“The Americans don’t have enough for themselves right now,” he told German public television.

The U.S. unveiled further changes to its role in NATO this week at a quarterly conference of military leaders.

“The whole point is to give allies the information and clarity they need to drive forward as quickly and effectively as possible,” said a Defense Department official, who like others, was granted anonymity to discuss internal conversations.

#tomahawk #trump #merz #germany

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🔤🔤🔤🔤2️⃣

This is about “allies taking primary responsibility for Europe’s conventional defense.”

The Pentagon did not respond to a request for comment.
Berlin has felt the retrenchment particularly hard.

The Pentagon this spring canceled the deployment of 5,000 U.S. troops to Germany, a move that stunned European officials and GOP defense hawks.

The troop decision, which reduces levels to what they were before the Ukraine war, came after Merz said President Trump had “humiliated” himself with the Iran war.

The Pentagon has not yet released the plan for those troops, two American defense officials said, and whether they might deploy elsewhere in Europe.

The U.S. may worry about Moscow, but Germany and the rest of Europe must contend with an all-out war between Russia and Ukraine on their doorstep.

Russian forces have long deployed nuclear capable Iskander missiles to the Kaliningrad exclave between Poland and Lithuania.

They also have placed medium-range Oreshnik missiles in Belarus, which can reach all of Europe in a matter of minutes. Eastern and Central Europe officials have eyed the moves warily, as they are still working on fielding their own comparable systems.

“We submitted an official request to the Americans a year and a half ago to import — that is, to purchase — Tomahawk missiles,” German defense minister Boris Pistorius told German public television last month.

“We are still awaiting a response. But to be honest, given the current state of the world, I don’t have much hope in that regard.”

Pistorius expressed interest in buying America’s Typhon ground-based missile system, which launches Tomahawks, on a Washington visit last July with Hegseth, according to the Germany defense ministry. But he has not received an update.

German officials have been exploring European alternatives to fill the long-range precision-strike gap. The debate in Berlin is less about any single weapons system than about how quickly Germany can acquire the ability to hold targets at a distance — whether through off-the-shelf purchases, expanded production with allies or longer-term European development.

Drones and cheaper systems may help, but German defense planners do not see them as a one-for-one replacement for Tomahawk-class missiles. German officials are worried more broadly that the U.S. pullback will force Europe to close military gaps faster than its defense industry can deliver.

#tomahawk #trump #merz #germany

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