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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Gantz exits, but the road to replace Netanyahu is still long👇
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️ @michaelh992
♦️ Benny #Gantz, the former Israeli Defence Minister, exited the war cabinet due to #Netanyahu's failure to present a "day after" plan for #Gaza, but his departure doesn't ensure the collapse of Netanyahu's government.
♦️ Netanyahu has a strategy of delaying decisions to wait for more favorable circumstances, which has worked for him in the past and may be working again as recent polls show rising support for him over Gantz.
♦️ Gantz's support has declined since December, from leading Netanyahu's Likud by 19 seats to a narrow margin of four seats in recent polls, coinciding with his struggle to leave the unity government.
♦️ Gantz issued an ultimatum to Netanyahu to meet six key objectives, including rescuing hostages and normalizing ties with #SaudiArabia, which Netanyahu rejected, complicating Gantz's position.
♦️ Gantz's departure from the government is politically risky as it may disappoint supporters who feel he overstayed or left prematurely, and his timing coincided with Netanyahu regaining narrative control and an Israeli operation rescuing hostages.
♦️ The political struggle will intensify as Gantz and the opposition, led by Yair Lapid, need to find defectors from Netanyahu’s coalition to bring down the government, a challenging task given Netanyahu's loyal base.
♦️ Even if the opposition succeeds in ousting Netanyahu, it would take three months to hold elections, and with the Knesset session ending in late July, the opportunity for autumn elections is narrow. en.majalla.com/node/318871
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Gantz exits, but the road to replace Netanyahu is still long👇
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️ @michaelh992
♦️ Benny #Gantz, the former Israeli Defence Minister, exited the war cabinet due to #Netanyahu's failure to present a "day after" plan for #Gaza, but his departure doesn't ensure the collapse of Netanyahu's government.
♦️ Netanyahu has a strategy of delaying decisions to wait for more favorable circumstances, which has worked for him in the past and may be working again as recent polls show rising support for him over Gantz.
♦️ Gantz's support has declined since December, from leading Netanyahu's Likud by 19 seats to a narrow margin of four seats in recent polls, coinciding with his struggle to leave the unity government.
♦️ Gantz issued an ultimatum to Netanyahu to meet six key objectives, including rescuing hostages and normalizing ties with #SaudiArabia, which Netanyahu rejected, complicating Gantz's position.
♦️ Gantz's departure from the government is politically risky as it may disappoint supporters who feel he overstayed or left prematurely, and his timing coincided with Netanyahu regaining narrative control and an Israeli operation rescuing hostages.
♦️ The political struggle will intensify as Gantz and the opposition, led by Yair Lapid, need to find defectors from Netanyahu’s coalition to bring down the government, a challenging task given Netanyahu's loyal base.
♦️ Even if the opposition succeeds in ousting Netanyahu, it would take three months to hold elections, and with the Knesset session ending in late July, the opportunity for autumn elections is narrow. en.majalla.com/node/318871
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: As #Gantz exits the war cabinet, it's a significant moment in Israeli politics, but #Netanyahu's position remains unchallenged, prolonging the journey towards a potential change in leadership.
Michael Horowitz delves deeper in #AlMajalla👇 @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/318871
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RT @AlMajallaEN: As #Gantz exits the war cabinet, it's a significant moment in Israeli politics, but #Netanyahu's position remains unchallenged, prolonging the journey towards a potential change in leadership.
Michael Horowitz delves deeper in #AlMajalla👇 @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/318871
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Former defence minister Benny #Gantz left the war cabinet in June after #Netanyahu failed to submit a 'day after' plan for #Gaza. But it will take a lot more to collapse the current Likud government.
Read Michael Horowitz' #AlMajalla article. @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/320266
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Former defence minister Benny #Gantz left the war cabinet in June after #Netanyahu failed to submit a 'day after' plan for #Gaza. But it will take a lot more to collapse the current Likud government.
Read Michael Horowitz' #AlMajalla article. @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/320266
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Benny Gantz’s departure does not guarantee that #Netanyahu’s government will collapse: The coalition led by the Israeli Prime Minister still has a majority at the Knesset.
Michael Horowitz discusses this in #AlMajalla. @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/320266
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Benny Gantz’s departure does not guarantee that #Netanyahu’s government will collapse: The coalition led by the Israeli Prime Minister still has a majority at the Knesset.
Michael Horowitz discusses this in #AlMajalla. @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/320266
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Michael A. Horowitz
Kissing the ring: the delicate politics behind #Netanyahu’s US visit. My new analysis for @AlMajallaEN, discussing the Israeli and US politics behind Netanyahu's visit. en.majalla.com/node/321639/p…
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Kissing the ring: the delicate politics behind #Netanyahu’s US visit. My new analysis for @AlMajallaEN, discussing the Israeli and US politics behind Netanyahu's visit. en.majalla.com/node/321639/p…
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: The politics of Israel’s unprecedented strikes in Beirut and Tehran👇
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️ @michaelh992
♦️ By carrying out two attacks in #Beirut and #Tehran in less than 24 hours, #Israel flexed its muscle by showing that it could find and hit high-value targets even at the heart of enemy territory.
♦️ For Netanyahu, however, the attacks are an unmitigated success. Moments after Shukr was killed, the Prime Minister’s Office posted a picture of #Netanyahu during the attack, seemingly on the phone, as if he had given the order himself.
♦️ His nonchalance and machismo contrasted sharply with the uncertainty and anxiety of both the region and of the families of Israeli hostages left wondering if that now meant the end of negotiations, given that Haniyeh was leading them for Hamas.
♦️ Even more worrying were the riots that broke out at two military bases after Israel’s military police detained nine Israeli soldiers for allegedly torturing and sexually abusing a male Palestinian prisoner from #Gaza who was being held there.
♦️ This showed a deep fracture within Israeli society, as religious nationalists, Israeli soldiers, and even a far-right Member of Parliament from Netanyahu’s own party, took part in protests that became riots, to defend the soldiers accused of torture.
♦️ There are two other, deeper crises that may break the government apart. One concerns the conscription of ultra-Orthodox Jews. Tensions are high after a court decision forced the military to start drafting several thousand of them.
♦️ For now, Netanyahu can divert pressure from his far-right cabinet colleagues, who have wanted him to go further. The recess even lets him consider options that were unavailable to him politically just a week ago. en.majalla.com/node/321718
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RT @AlMajallaEN: The politics of Israel’s unprecedented strikes in Beirut and Tehran👇
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️ @michaelh992
♦️ By carrying out two attacks in #Beirut and #Tehran in less than 24 hours, #Israel flexed its muscle by showing that it could find and hit high-value targets even at the heart of enemy territory.
♦️ For Netanyahu, however, the attacks are an unmitigated success. Moments after Shukr was killed, the Prime Minister’s Office posted a picture of #Netanyahu during the attack, seemingly on the phone, as if he had given the order himself.
♦️ His nonchalance and machismo contrasted sharply with the uncertainty and anxiety of both the region and of the families of Israeli hostages left wondering if that now meant the end of negotiations, given that Haniyeh was leading them for Hamas.
♦️ Even more worrying were the riots that broke out at two military bases after Israel’s military police detained nine Israeli soldiers for allegedly torturing and sexually abusing a male Palestinian prisoner from #Gaza who was being held there.
♦️ This showed a deep fracture within Israeli society, as religious nationalists, Israeli soldiers, and even a far-right Member of Parliament from Netanyahu’s own party, took part in protests that became riots, to defend the soldiers accused of torture.
♦️ There are two other, deeper crises that may break the government apart. One concerns the conscription of ultra-Orthodox Jews. Tensions are high after a court decision forced the military to start drafting several thousand of them.
♦️ For now, Netanyahu can divert pressure from his far-right cabinet colleagues, who have wanted him to go further. The recess even lets him consider options that were unavailable to him politically just a week ago. en.majalla.com/node/321718
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: A gloating Benjamin #Netanyahu gives himself leeway with his far-right coalition partners, but Israelis are in no mood to cheer, while #Iran and Hezbollah are working out how to hit back.
Explore Michael Horowitz's insights on #AlMajalla. en.majalla.com/node/321718 @michaelh992
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RT @AlMajallaEN: A gloating Benjamin #Netanyahu gives himself leeway with his far-right coalition partners, but Israelis are in no mood to cheer, while #Iran and Hezbollah are working out how to hit back.
Explore Michael Horowitz's insights on #AlMajalla. en.majalla.com/node/321718 @michaelh992
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: The strikes illustrate that "good things come to those who wait", a fitting motto for #Netanyahu. For a prime minister needing a boost, they provide some room to maneuver. Michael Horowitz explores this in #AlMajalla. @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/321718
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RT @AlMajallaEN: The strikes illustrate that "good things come to those who wait", a fitting motto for #Netanyahu. For a prime minister needing a boost, they provide some room to maneuver. Michael Horowitz explores this in #AlMajalla. @michaelh992 en.majalla.com/node/321718
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Michael A. Horowitz
So we're at the stage of #Israel-#Egypt tensions where there is just not enough real sh..t Cairo can use, and Egypt is just dumping nonsense onto the press.
Not a great sign.
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So we're at the stage of #Israel-#Egypt tensions where there is just not enough real sh..t Cairo can use, and Egypt is just dumping nonsense onto the press.
Not a great sign.
#Netanyahu is permitting arms smuggling from #Israel to West Bank, turning a blind eye to these transactions to justify his aggression against #Palestinians, a senior Egyptian source told Daily News Egypt - Daily News Egypttweet
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Why Israel constantly hesitates when it comes to Hezbollah👇 en.majalla.com/node/322256
Since the conflict broke out in October last year, #Israel has repeatedly threatened to carry out an operation in #Lebanon to remove the threat posed by Hezbollah.
These threats are driven in part by real concerns: While Hezbollah has been presented along the border for decades, the 7 October cross-border attack by Hamas from #Gaza has shattered Israelis' sense of security.
The most recent threat came last week when Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant warned that they would soon launch a broad operation against the Lebanon-based Hezbollah.
He recalled that while some may have doubted Israel would enter Gaza in the early stage of the war, the Israeli military eventually did, vowing the same would happen in Lebanon.
There are also reports that #Netanyahu is now willing to add a new objective to the war, namely the return of residents to the northern border with Lebanon.
It is clear that the Israeli military is preparing for a confrontation with Hezbollah and, in fact, has been "rehearsing" a third Lebanon war ever since 2006, creating a fake Lebanese village (with tunnels) to regularly train all combat units on how to fight in Lebanon.
In many ways, Israel is far more prepared to take on Hezbollah than it was to launch an operation in Gaza, in the sense that it has been training for the former for years while having to improvise a plan for the latter.
The reason for Israel's constant hesitation and regular threats in Lebanon is that Israel is effectively stuck between a rock and a hard place.
On the one hand, no serious decision-maker in Israel believes that a diplomatic deal to remove Hezbollah from the border will actually materialise. No UN resolution or deployment has ever led to the removal of Hezbollah, and a future agreement—whatever its content—is very unlikely to force the group to move out.
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️ @michaelh992
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Why Israel constantly hesitates when it comes to Hezbollah👇 en.majalla.com/node/322256
Since the conflict broke out in October last year, #Israel has repeatedly threatened to carry out an operation in #Lebanon to remove the threat posed by Hezbollah.
These threats are driven in part by real concerns: While Hezbollah has been presented along the border for decades, the 7 October cross-border attack by Hamas from #Gaza has shattered Israelis' sense of security.
The most recent threat came last week when Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant warned that they would soon launch a broad operation against the Lebanon-based Hezbollah.
He recalled that while some may have doubted Israel would enter Gaza in the early stage of the war, the Israeli military eventually did, vowing the same would happen in Lebanon.
There are also reports that #Netanyahu is now willing to add a new objective to the war, namely the return of residents to the northern border with Lebanon.
It is clear that the Israeli military is preparing for a confrontation with Hezbollah and, in fact, has been "rehearsing" a third Lebanon war ever since 2006, creating a fake Lebanese village (with tunnels) to regularly train all combat units on how to fight in Lebanon.
In many ways, Israel is far more prepared to take on Hezbollah than it was to launch an operation in Gaza, in the sense that it has been training for the former for years while having to improvise a plan for the latter.
The reason for Israel's constant hesitation and regular threats in Lebanon is that Israel is effectively stuck between a rock and a hard place.
On the one hand, no serious decision-maker in Israel believes that a diplomatic deal to remove Hezbollah from the border will actually materialise. No UN resolution or deployment has ever led to the removal of Hezbollah, and a future agreement—whatever its content—is very unlikely to force the group to move out.
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️ @michaelh992
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Nuno Felix
RT @AdamKinzinger: Hahahahahah.
Didn’t he hide for a year????
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RT @AdamKinzinger: Hahahahahah.
Didn’t he hide for a year????
He didn’t fear tanks.
He didn’t fear missiles.
He didn’t fear drones.
He didn’t fear invaders.
He only feared God.
💔🇵🇸
#Netanyahu - Mohsin Khantweet
Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: While #Netanyahu seeks #Trump’s favor, their relationship is far from a friendship. Disagreements on key issues and contrasting political styles mean that Trump is more of a reluctant ally than a dependable partner.
Dive deeper in #AlMajalla with Michael Horowitz.
@michaelh992
https://t.co/uHkYTYwjpk
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RT @AlMajallaEN: While #Netanyahu seeks #Trump’s favor, their relationship is far from a friendship. Disagreements on key issues and contrasting political styles mean that Trump is more of a reluctant ally than a dependable partner.
Dive deeper in #AlMajalla with Michael Horowitz.
@michaelh992
https://t.co/uHkYTYwjpk
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Israel opens Schrödinger’s box as Gaza ceasefire takes hold
https://t.co/nisChuV63G
In the 15 months since the beginning of the war, Israelis have felt uncertain as to a number of critical issues.
The ceasefire in #Gaza means Israelis are finally able to open the box, and they are understandably both terrified and hopeful at what they will find.
The most pressing question regards the status of the hostages. In 15 months of negotiations, Hamas has constantly refused to give a status update on whether and who of the hostages are alive.
The assessment in #Israel is that a majority of the 33 hostages who will be released in the first phase of the ceasefire are alive, but this still could mean a dozen of them will return only to be buried.
The second critical question that has agitated Israel’s political leadership in the days before the signing of the agreement is whether the ceasefire will turn permanent or not.
#Netanyahu himself claimed he would not agree to a deal that ended the war and would continue to fight until “total victory”.
This is critical and points to the possibility that the deal may collapse after the first phase. According to the parameters of the deal, the agreement is separated into three distinct phases.
As a result, the transition from Phase 1 to Phase 2 will be critical, and so will the negotiations on the parameters of this permanent ceasefire.
Israel is likely to push significant demands as part of those negotiations, potentially demanding that Hamas be fully disarmed and that its remaining top leaders be exiled.
If Hamas agrees, Netanyahu will be able to claim that he effectively forced the group to "surrender" and that he did, indeed, achieve "total victory".
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️
@michaelh992
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Israel opens Schrödinger’s box as Gaza ceasefire takes hold
https://t.co/nisChuV63G
In the 15 months since the beginning of the war, Israelis have felt uncertain as to a number of critical issues.
The ceasefire in #Gaza means Israelis are finally able to open the box, and they are understandably both terrified and hopeful at what they will find.
The most pressing question regards the status of the hostages. In 15 months of negotiations, Hamas has constantly refused to give a status update on whether and who of the hostages are alive.
The assessment in #Israel is that a majority of the 33 hostages who will be released in the first phase of the ceasefire are alive, but this still could mean a dozen of them will return only to be buried.
The second critical question that has agitated Israel’s political leadership in the days before the signing of the agreement is whether the ceasefire will turn permanent or not.
#Netanyahu himself claimed he would not agree to a deal that ended the war and would continue to fight until “total victory”.
This is critical and points to the possibility that the deal may collapse after the first phase. According to the parameters of the deal, the agreement is separated into three distinct phases.
As a result, the transition from Phase 1 to Phase 2 will be critical, and so will the negotiations on the parameters of this permanent ceasefire.
Israel is likely to push significant demands as part of those negotiations, potentially demanding that Hamas be fully disarmed and that its remaining top leaders be exiled.
If Hamas agrees, Netanyahu will be able to claim that he effectively forced the group to "surrender" and that he did, indeed, achieve "total victory".
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️
@michaelh992
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Despite the closeness between the two administrations, #Trump’s team is not afraid of disagreeing with #Netanyahu, and even crossing #Israel’s red lines if necessary.
Michael Horowitz elaborates in #AlMajalla.
@michaelh992
https://en.majalla.com/node/324754 https://twitter.com/AlMajallaEN/status/1901180502876315910/photo/1
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Despite the closeness between the two administrations, #Trump’s team is not afraid of disagreeing with #Netanyahu, and even crossing #Israel’s red lines if necessary.
Michael Horowitz elaborates in #AlMajalla.
@michaelh992
https://en.majalla.com/node/324754 https://twitter.com/AlMajallaEN/status/1901180502876315910/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @Charles_Lister: #Netanyahu: "We don’t want #Turkey to exploit #Syria as a base for activity."
In the last 7 weeks, #Israel has launched 89 ground incursions & 64 airstrikes in #Syria -- data: http://SyriaWeekly.com
POT. KETTLE. BLACK. https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1909327934923419773/photo/1
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RT @Charles_Lister: #Netanyahu: "We don’t want #Turkey to exploit #Syria as a base for activity."
In the last 7 weeks, #Israel has launched 89 ground incursions & 64 airstrikes in #Syria -- data: http://SyriaWeekly.com
POT. KETTLE. BLACK. https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1909327934923419773/photo/1
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Trump and Iran: deal or strike?
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin #Netanyahu wants the second option, while #Trump prefers the first and has employed a carrot-and-stick approach to bring #Iran to the negotiating table. The stakes could not be higher. Therefore, #AlMajalla has chosen "Trump and Iran: deal or strike?" as our May cover story. We outline the possible ramifications of either outcome for Iran and the broader region.
Read more 👇
🔗http://en.majalla.com/node/325455/
♦️ #Trump and #Iran: deal or strike?
@ibrahimhamidi
http://en.majalla.com/node/325451/
♦️ What if the #US-Iran talks fail?
@arash_tehran
http://en.majalla.com/node/325454/
♦️ Trump's Iran strategy is irking Israel
@michaelh992
http://en.majalla.com/node/325453/
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Trump and Iran: deal or strike?
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin #Netanyahu wants the second option, while #Trump prefers the first and has employed a carrot-and-stick approach to bring #Iran to the negotiating table. The stakes could not be higher. Therefore, #AlMajalla has chosen "Trump and Iran: deal or strike?" as our May cover story. We outline the possible ramifications of either outcome for Iran and the broader region.
Read more 👇
🔗http://en.majalla.com/node/325455/
♦️ #Trump and #Iran: deal or strike?
@ibrahimhamidi
http://en.majalla.com/node/325451/
♦️ What if the #US-Iran talks fail?
@arash_tehran
http://en.majalla.com/node/325454/
♦️ Trump's Iran strategy is irking Israel
@michaelh992
http://en.majalla.com/node/325453/
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: Trump wants “wins" that Netanyahu refuses to deliver
https://en.majalla.com/node/325678
♦️ US President Donald #Trump surprised #Israel by announcing a ceasefire with #Iran-backed Houthis without prior Israeli knowledge, leaving Israel to face ongoing Houthi attacks alone.
♦️ During his Gulf visit, Trump met and praised Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and lifted US sanctions on Syria, moves that unsettled Israel as they were not consulted and saw sanctions as leverage.
♦️ Trump’s administration pressured Hamas to release a US-Israeli citizen, Edan Alexander, bypassing Israeli involvement, which highlighted a growing gap between US and Israeli interests.
♦️ Many Israelis viewed Trump more favorably than #Netanyahu during protests, hoping Trump could achieve a ceasefire and hostage release that Netanyahu has struggled to secure.
♦️ The Trump-Netanyahu relationship lacks genuine personal closeness and is driven more by Trump’s focus on quick "wins" and deals rather than traditional foreign policy or alliances.
♦️ Netanyahu struggles to deliver the kind of deals Trump seeks on key regional issues like #Gaza, #Syria, Iran, and Saudi normalization, which likely explains why Trump avoided Israel on his recent #MiddleEast trip.
♦️ He may try to delay or resist concessions, hoping to outwait Trump’s shifting focus, but risks being forced to compromise to stay relevant with the US administration’s unconventional, deal-driven approach.
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️
@michaelh992
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RT @AlMajallaEN: Trump wants “wins" that Netanyahu refuses to deliver
https://en.majalla.com/node/325678
♦️ US President Donald #Trump surprised #Israel by announcing a ceasefire with #Iran-backed Houthis without prior Israeli knowledge, leaving Israel to face ongoing Houthi attacks alone.
♦️ During his Gulf visit, Trump met and praised Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and lifted US sanctions on Syria, moves that unsettled Israel as they were not consulted and saw sanctions as leverage.
♦️ Trump’s administration pressured Hamas to release a US-Israeli citizen, Edan Alexander, bypassing Israeli involvement, which highlighted a growing gap between US and Israeli interests.
♦️ Many Israelis viewed Trump more favorably than #Netanyahu during protests, hoping Trump could achieve a ceasefire and hostage release that Netanyahu has struggled to secure.
♦️ The Trump-Netanyahu relationship lacks genuine personal closeness and is driven more by Trump’s focus on quick "wins" and deals rather than traditional foreign policy or alliances.
♦️ Netanyahu struggles to deliver the kind of deals Trump seeks on key regional issues like #Gaza, #Syria, Iran, and Saudi normalization, which likely explains why Trump avoided Israel on his recent #MiddleEast trip.
♦️ He may try to delay or resist concessions, hoping to outwait Trump’s shifting focus, but risks being forced to compromise to stay relevant with the US administration’s unconventional, deal-driven approach.
Article by Michael Horowitz in #AlMajalla ✍️
@michaelh992
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WarMonitor
RT @ITGGlobal: Day 21 of the Gaza ceasefire: Israeli strikes killed 104 Palestinians after one soldier’s death, casting doubt on the truce’s future. Hamas returned two Israeli bodies as Netanyahu vowed commitment to peace while visiting military posts.
#GazaCeasefire #IsraelPalestine #IsraelHamasWar #Netanyahu #Hamas #MiddleEast #CeasefireViolation #Gaza #IsraelStrikes #IndiaTodayGlobal
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RT @ITGGlobal: Day 21 of the Gaza ceasefire: Israeli strikes killed 104 Palestinians after one soldier’s death, casting doubt on the truce’s future. Hamas returned two Israeli bodies as Netanyahu vowed commitment to peace while visiting military posts.
#GazaCeasefire #IsraelPalestine #IsraelHamasWar #Netanyahu #Hamas #MiddleEast #CeasefireViolation #Gaza #IsraelStrikes #IndiaTodayGlobal
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: 📌 Israelis head to the polls on 27 October—the first election since the October 7 2023 attacks—in what could very well end in a disappointing impasse.
📌 Many observers (and Israelis themselves) may want a decisive outcome, but the election setup and the deep polarisation that has plagued Israel in recent years could mean a prolonged deadlock may be the most likely outcome.
📌 This means that while Netanyahu’s opponents could secure more votes, they might still struggle to form a government, leaving the embattled Israeli prime minister in power.
📌 Recent polls put Netanyahu’s coalition at 50-53 seats in the 120-member Knesset, with the four-party opposition alliance at 52-56.
📌 Arab parties account for much of the remainder. This is a recipe for deadlock because no government will have a stable majority without Arab partners, or without poaching a party from the other side.
📌 Israel’s current crisis is the culmination of compounding domestic shocks. In early 2023, the governing coalition launched a sweeping judicial overhaul, triggering the largest street protests in the country's history.
📌 The trauma of October 7 temporarily froze these domestic fault lines, bringing opposition figures Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot into an emergency war cabinet.
📌 Centrist allies quit the government over strategic drift, former rivals reconciled to shore up Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s majority, and far-right factions repeatedly leveraged coalition ultimatums to extract concessions.
📌 Though #Netanyahu managed to preserve the government until its formal term ended, the crisis transformed the 2026 election from a routine parliamentary race into a foundational debate over Israel's democratic institutions, social contract, and national security architecture.
🔍 After the vote, three possible scenarios remain. What are they?
✍️ Find the answer and more details in Michael Horowitz’s article in #AlMajalla.
🔗 Read the full article via the link: https://en.majalla.com/node/333789/
@michaelh992
tweet
RT @AlMajallaEN: 📌 Israelis head to the polls on 27 October—the first election since the October 7 2023 attacks—in what could very well end in a disappointing impasse.
📌 Many observers (and Israelis themselves) may want a decisive outcome, but the election setup and the deep polarisation that has plagued Israel in recent years could mean a prolonged deadlock may be the most likely outcome.
📌 This means that while Netanyahu’s opponents could secure more votes, they might still struggle to form a government, leaving the embattled Israeli prime minister in power.
📌 Recent polls put Netanyahu’s coalition at 50-53 seats in the 120-member Knesset, with the four-party opposition alliance at 52-56.
📌 Arab parties account for much of the remainder. This is a recipe for deadlock because no government will have a stable majority without Arab partners, or without poaching a party from the other side.
📌 Israel’s current crisis is the culmination of compounding domestic shocks. In early 2023, the governing coalition launched a sweeping judicial overhaul, triggering the largest street protests in the country's history.
📌 The trauma of October 7 temporarily froze these domestic fault lines, bringing opposition figures Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot into an emergency war cabinet.
📌 Centrist allies quit the government over strategic drift, former rivals reconciled to shore up Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s majority, and far-right factions repeatedly leveraged coalition ultimatums to extract concessions.
📌 Though #Netanyahu managed to preserve the government until its formal term ended, the crisis transformed the 2026 election from a routine parliamentary race into a foundational debate over Israel's democratic institutions, social contract, and national security architecture.
🔍 After the vote, three possible scenarios remain. What are they?
✍️ Find the answer and more details in Michael Horowitz’s article in #AlMajalla.
🔗 Read the full article via the link: https://en.majalla.com/node/333789/
@michaelh992
tweet
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @AlMajallaEN: 📌 Israelis head to the polls on 27 October—the first election since the October 7 2023 attacks—in what could very well end in a disappointing impasse.
📌 Many observers (and Israelis themselves) may want a decisive outcome, but the election setup and the deep polarisation that has plagued Israel in recent years could mean a prolonged deadlock may be the most likely outcome.
📌 This means that while Netanyahu’s opponents could secure more votes, they might still struggle to form a government, leaving the embattled Israeli prime minister in power.
📌 Recent polls put Netanyahu’s coalition at 50-53 seats in the 120-member Knesset, with the four-party opposition alliance at 52-56.
📌 Arab parties account for much of the remainder. This is a recipe for deadlock because no government will have a stable majority without Arab partners, or without poaching a party from the other side.
📌 Israel’s current crisis is the culmination of compounding domestic shocks. In early 2023, the governing coalition launched a sweeping judicial overhaul, triggering the largest street protests in the country's history.
📌 The trauma of October 7 temporarily froze these domestic fault lines, bringing opposition figures Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot into an emergency war cabinet.
📌 Centrist allies quit the government over strategic drift, former rivals reconciled to shore up Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s majority, and far-right factions repeatedly leveraged coalition ultimatums to extract concessions.
📌 Though #Netanyahu managed to preserve the government until its formal term ended, the crisis transformed the 2026 election from a routine parliamentary race into a foundational debate over Israel's democratic institutions, social contract, and national security architecture.
🔍 After the vote, three possible scenarios remain. What are they?
✍️ Find the answer and more details in Michael Horowitz’s article in #AlMajalla.
🔗 Read the full article via the link: https://en.majalla.com/node/333789/
@michaelh992
tweet
RT @AlMajallaEN: 📌 Israelis head to the polls on 27 October—the first election since the October 7 2023 attacks—in what could very well end in a disappointing impasse.
📌 Many observers (and Israelis themselves) may want a decisive outcome, but the election setup and the deep polarisation that has plagued Israel in recent years could mean a prolonged deadlock may be the most likely outcome.
📌 This means that while Netanyahu’s opponents could secure more votes, they might still struggle to form a government, leaving the embattled Israeli prime minister in power.
📌 Recent polls put Netanyahu’s coalition at 50-53 seats in the 120-member Knesset, with the four-party opposition alliance at 52-56.
📌 Arab parties account for much of the remainder. This is a recipe for deadlock because no government will have a stable majority without Arab partners, or without poaching a party from the other side.
📌 Israel’s current crisis is the culmination of compounding domestic shocks. In early 2023, the governing coalition launched a sweeping judicial overhaul, triggering the largest street protests in the country's history.
📌 The trauma of October 7 temporarily froze these domestic fault lines, bringing opposition figures Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot into an emergency war cabinet.
📌 Centrist allies quit the government over strategic drift, former rivals reconciled to shore up Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s majority, and far-right factions repeatedly leveraged coalition ultimatums to extract concessions.
📌 Though #Netanyahu managed to preserve the government until its formal term ended, the crisis transformed the 2026 election from a routine parliamentary race into a foundational debate over Israel's democratic institutions, social contract, and national security architecture.
🔍 After the vote, three possible scenarios remain. What are they?
✍️ Find the answer and more details in Michael Horowitz’s article in #AlMajalla.
🔗 Read the full article via the link: https://en.majalla.com/node/333789/
@michaelh992
tweet