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Nuno Felix
RT @pe1_graa: 10 days of counter offensive: Number of russian casualties ( explanation in tweet below) + Ukraine reports destroying 88 tanks, 141 armoured vehicles and 248 artillery and rocket systems
Ukrainian forces have likely killed an astonishing 7,390 Russian troops and wounded an additional 15,000-22,000 - meaning 22,000-29,000 total casualties - in the 10 days since Ukraine appears to have launched the initial ground assaults of its counteroffensive, according to Ukraine's estimates of Russian troops killed and likely figures for the wounded derived from ratios given by various Ukrainian and Western sources

Ukraine also reports destroying 88 tanks, 141 armoured vehicles and 248 artillery and rocket systems in the past 10 days

The number of wounded is based on a range between 2-to-1 and 3-to-1 for Russia's ratio of wounded to killed, which comes from various Ukrainian and Western experts and officials

My guess at this point is that the actual figure is somewhere in the middle of that range - around 2.5 to 1

This ratio reflects Russia's poor medical care for its wounded troops and is far lower (meaning fewer troops survive being wounded) than, for example, the U.S. rate during World War II (which was 4 to 1), Vietnam (5 to 1) and Iraq (10 to 1) and Ukraine's rate, which has been estimated to be 10 to 1 or better

Ukraine's estimates of Russian losses may seem high (217,330 killed as of yesterday), but here's a thread on why they're likely realistic: nitter.ktachibana.party/ArmedMaidan/stat…

My Kyiv Post story on the same issue:
kyivpost.com/post/14881

#Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive #VelykaNovosilka
- 🇺🇦Ukraine Resists Russian Genocide... Yeah Again
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WarMonitor 🇺🇲🇺🇦
RT @ArmedMaidan: Ukraine "appears to be taking Russian prisoners at a faster pace than at any time in the war so far... this is a sign of the Russian army cracking": Korshak

Ukraine's 47th Brigade, which famously lost a small number of Bradleys and Leopards while advancing near Orikhiv last week, suffered few casualties in that action (thanks to the Western armour), remains "fully combat-capable," went on to liberate two villages and appears to have recovered at least some of the damaged armour, Korshak says

Korshak also comments on Putin's admission Tuesday that Russia lost 54 tanks in the previous week

"If he’s admitting 54, then what’s the real number his underlings didn’t tell him? If his subordinates are giving the loss numbers even a 50 percent haircut, and say the real number for the week was 100 tanks, then we are left with, for Russia, the disconcerting sum that this offensive is knocking out 15 or so Russian tanks A DAY, and the thing about that is — that estimate is almost exactly the same as the UAF [Ukrainian Armed Forces] official estimates for the same period. Point being, if we assume Putin is being lied to by a factor of 50 percent, then that is yet more evidence that when the UAF reports they took out a Russian tank, honestly, they probably did" medium.com/@Stefan.Korshak/j… #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive #VelykaNovosilka
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WarMonitor 🇺🇲🇺🇦
RT @ArmedMaidan: Ukrainian special forces have crossed the Dnipro at Nova Kakhovka and are attacking Russian positions with the possible goal of establishing a bridgehead and opening a new front in Ukraine's counteroffensive, according to volunteer Kenneth Gregg, who says Ukrainian military officials authorize his disclosures

Other reports have suggested Russia pulled back the bulk of its forces in occupied Kherson up to 30-40 km from the Dnipro after Russian forces destroyed the Nova Kakhovka dam and redeployed some of them further east in southern Ukraine to reinforce retreating Russian troops facebook.com/kenneth.gregg.9…

Map source: deepstatemap.live/en#8/46.71… #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive #Kherson #Kakhovka #NovaKakhovka
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OSINTdefender
Nothing about this Post is even close to being True, there have been No Reports of Fighting in or around Nova Kakhovka and while Russian Forces may have “Reorientated” some Units away from the Dnipro saying they “Withdrew 30-40km” is Ridiculous considering that a Significant Defensive Line is still been Manned from near Kherson all the way to at least Vasylivka while Russian Shelling is continuing to occur on the Right Bank.
Ukrainian special forces have crossed the Dnipro at Nova Kakhovka and are attacking Russian positions with the possible goal of establishing a bridgehead and opening a new front in Ukraine's counteroffensive, according to volunteer Kenneth Gregg, who says Ukrainian military officials authorize his disclosures

Other reports have suggested Russia pulled back the bulk of its forces in occupied Kherson up to 30-40 km from the Dnipro after Russian forces destroyed the Nova Kakhovka dam and redeployed some of them further east in southern Ukraine to reinforce retreating Russian troops

facebook.com/kenneth.gregg.9…

Map source: deepstatemap.live/en#8/46.71…

#Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive #Kherson #Kakhovka #NovaKakhovka
- 🇺🇦Ukraine Resists Russian Genocide... Yeah Again
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Nuno Felix
RT @ArmedMaidan: 60 troopers from Ukraine's veteran 68th Jaeger Brigade captured Blahodatne in a methodical 3-day fight against over 100 Russians backed by artillery

Ukraine lost 4 dead. Almost all the Russians were killed. "The last Russian defenders ran away through their own minefield. Few made it"

"Some Ukrainian units have probed well beyond the known front lines. Two soldiers with a reconnaissance unit said they pushed deep into Russian-held territory on Thursday night [June 8], fighting against Russian marines.

"'They were screaming and panicking,' said one of the Ukrainians. 'They are quite broken right now' in terms of morale"

Fyi, this story is from June 13, but I just got to it today wsj.com/articles/just-the-be… #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive #VelykaNovosilka #Zaporizhya #Blahodatne
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Nuno Felix
RT @ArmedMaidan: With 12,300 Russian soldiers killed in the 17 days of Ukraine's counteroffensive, over double the 5,910 killed at the same point in last September's Kharkiv counteroffensive, Ukraine's current campaign is dramatically outpacing the success of its much-lauded earlier effort in destroying key categories of Russia's war-waging ability, according to Ukrainian military figures

Ukraine has also destroyed:
• about two times more Russian artillery and multiple-launch rocket systems (407 vs 206)
• two times as many Russian air defense systems (27 vs 14)
• approximately comparable numbers of tanks, armoured vehicles and supply vehicles
• about a third of the number of warplanes and helicopters

* Depleted Russian armoured equipment and aerial assets and sparing use of what remaining may account for the fact that some Russian losses aren't higher in the current counteroffensive #Ukraine #UkraineCounteroffensive #UkraineRussiaWar
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Nuno Felix
This is important
With 12,300 Russian soldiers killed in the 17 days of Ukraine's counteroffensive, over double the 5,910 killed at the same point in last September's Kharkiv counteroffensive, Ukraine's current campaign is dramatically outpacing the success of its much-lauded earlier effort in destroying key categories of Russia's war-waging ability, according to Ukrainian military figures

Ukraine has also destroyed:
• about two times more Russian artillery and multiple-launch rocket systems (407 vs 206)
• two times as many Russian air defense systems (27 vs 14)
• approximately comparable numbers of tanks, armoured vehicles and supply vehicles
• about a third of the number of warplanes and helicopters

* Depleted Russian armoured equipment and aerial assets and sparing use of what remaining may account for the fact that some Russian losses aren't higher in the current counteroffensive

#Ukraine #UkraineCounteroffensive #UkraineRussiaWar
- 🇺🇦Ukraine Resists Russian Genocide... Yeah Again
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WarMonitor 🇺🇲🇺🇦
RT @Demoguardian: For current occasion. Palace revolt in Moscow?
The Ukrainians are happy about it.

Well... and one in particular.

Sound on! And rejoice with him. #RussiaIsCollapsing #ukrainecounteroffensive #Ukraine
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WarMonitor 🇺🇲🇺🇦
RT @ArmedMaidan: US close to okay for 300-km ATACMS for Ukraine: WSJ

"Officials said that the matter is pending approval at the highest levels... Previously reluctant quarters of the U.S. government, namely the White House, have come to see an urgent need to bolster Ukraine’s fight in the coming weeks...

"European officials also have been pressing Washington privately on the need for longer range missile systems...

"A senior Ukrainian defense official told The Wall Street Journal that Kyiv had received positive signs in recent weeks that the U.S. had come around on the ATACMS system" wsj.com/articles/u-s-close-t… #Ukraine #UkraineCounteroffensive #UkraineRussianWar #Kherson #ATACMS
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RT @ArmedMaidan: Ukraine has reportedly freed Urozhaine in a careful, well-planned operation: Artillery first significantly depleted enemy manpower, then the 35th and 36th Marines gained footholds in the north and northeast parts of village breaching Russian defenses, while other troops attacked from the west and east encircling the enemy and "compelling them to abandon positions and hastily retreat," according to Euromaidan Press's frontline report today

Russian analysts are now seeking scapegoats for the collapse of the defenses, blaming everything from "leadership failures" to "inadequate organizational efforts," "disastrous" inter-unit coordination and "struggles to enforce discipline and concerns over troop shortages, masking the reality of a perpetually intoxicated rearward half of the forces"

"The deteriorating front line suggests an impending collapse," the report concludes

https://t.co/hOYv11zN3Z

Screenshot: Euromaidan Press

#Ukraine #UkraineWarNews #UkraineRussianWar #UkraineCounteroffensive #Urozhaine
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Nuno Felix
RT @NatalkaKyiv: Budanov responds to the question about the Ukrainian counteroffensive going too slow. #Budanov #ukrainecounteroffensive #UkraineRussianWar #Ukraine
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RT @ArmedMaidan: Ukraine's "victory is closer than you think": US Military Academy asst prof

Ukraine needs to advance just 7-10 km more to put Russia's east-west supply routes in HIMARS/MLRS range

"(Then) it’s very hard to see how the Russian army can continue to fight"

"Ukrainians must advance another 10km southward to cover all the terrain between them and the Sea of Azov.

"Ukraine is now closing in on this goal at several spots along the frontline...

"Once this happens, there is (forgive the use of this old term) a domino effect"

Crimea would be supplied only by the Kerch Bridge, whose capacity "will likely not be enough to supply both the western part of the front and the civilian population" #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive
cepa.org/article/ukraine-vic… - Jan Kallberg, Ph.D.
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Nuno Felix
RT @ArmedMaidan: "By not allowing Ukrainian drones to destroy part of the Russian military fleet via Starlink interference, Elon Musk allowed this fleet to fire Kalibr missiles at Ukrainian cities”: Podolyak

“As a result, civilians, children are being killed. This is the price of a cocktail of ignorance and big ego" cnbc.com/2023/09/07/ukraine-… #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive
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WarMonitor 🇺🇲🇺🇦
RT @ArmedMaidan: Euromaidan Press's front line report on Ukraine's breakthrough at #Optyne, just north of the Donetsk City airport euromaidanpress.com/2023/09/… #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive
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RT @ArmedMaidan: Ukraine is starting to push its way into thinly defended areas of the eastern front after Russia scraped together all available troops to buck up its retreating forces in the south

Case in point: #Opytne

Ukrainian forces launched an operation to liberate this village just 2 km north of Donetsk Airport, apparently last week

When enemy troops started retreating through a field, Russian drone pilots mistook them for Ukrainians and directed artillery to let loose, Euromaidan Press says in its front line report today

Over 60 Russian troops were reportedly killed or wounded in the little accident

"Ukrainians obviously exploited this opportunity to the fullest, and after Russians killed their own troops that defended Opytne, Ukrainians managed to defeat the remnants of the Russian forces," Euromaidan Press's report says.

Ukrainian units were able to advance about 2 km here and to make inroads at two other nearby sites west of Donetsk City #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineCounteroffensive
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Nuno Felix
RT @randymot4: The ships get the attention. But the tanks, artillery, APC and special equipment are a real story. Huge losses in the combat effectiveness of the Russian army. But perhaps even more important, Russians officers and troops are feeling it, seeing it and it is sinking morale to new lows.
This is not an army with its clumsy command and control and limitations of small nit commanders that will react well to the breakthroughs coming by Ukraine. #RussianLosingBadly

OMG...a daily record!!! Ukraine has killed 42 Russian artillery pieces and 3 MLRS! Damn that's great shooting! 👍🇺🇦
#UkraineWarNews #ukrainecounteroffensive
- Kris Wustrow
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Nuno Felix
RT @tweetforAnna: #ukrainecounteroffensive #Ukraina #UkraineRussiaWar️ #RussiaIsLosing
🇺🇦🇷🇺 #RussiaIsCollapsing #Ukraine
❗#Russia 👰🇷🇺 commander & his trench wife While the #Russians are dying in the trenches under #Ukrainian artillery & have constant problems with communication, the commander of the 810th Separate Guards Marine Brigade, communications company, ordered his subordinates to set up a tent for his „private entertainment”.
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Nuno Felix
RT @suis_del_Toro_: ‼️Russian soldiers record the exact moment an Ukrainian FPV drone arrives 💥🔥 #ukrainecounteroffensive #Ukraine️
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Nuno Felix
RT @ArmedMaidan: Russia "has absolutely no strategic reserve": Ukrainian military intel chief Gen. Budanov tells The Economist

"Russia’s 25th Combined Arms Army, now being prematurely deployed in the eastern front around Lyman and Kupyansk, has only 80% of the manpower and 55% of the equipment it was supposed to have...

"If everything is fine and Russia has enough resources, why are they looking for them all over the world?"

"As far as nuclear threats are concerned, these are arguments put forward by those sympathetic to the Russia lobby"

In the photo: Budanov leading a legendary 2016 operation to destroy a group of Russian military helicopters that had arrived at Dzhankoi airbase in occupied Crimea

During the op, Budanov's team also took out a Russian Vimpel special forces unit in a brief two-minute action and killed its commander, a decorated Chechen war vet #Ukraine #UkraineCounteroffensive #UkraineWarNews
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