Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
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Итак:
🇺🇸✈️🇰🇷 B-1B Lancers продолжают красиво летать где-то над Южной Кореей;

🇨🇳🇹🇼 46 китайских боевых самолета и 4 боевых корабля движутся к Тайваню;

🇺🇸🤯 44% американских избирателей ебанулись и считают, что федеральное правительство контролируется тайной сектой;

🇰🇷🇮🇳🇦🇺🇺🇸🇯🇵🇫🇷 18 военных кораблей Южной Кореи, Индии, Австралии и США (авианосец CVN 76 Ronald Reagan) под предводительством Японии (вертолетоносец DDH-183 Izumo) при участии шести истребителей США и Франции прогуливаются где-то в заливе Сагами, демонстрируя "военно-морское единство";

🇺🇸🇪🇸 американский самолет "судного дня" E-6B Mercury продолжает работать в связке с атомной субмариной USS Rhode Island в Средиземном море у берегов Испании;

⁉️и только отдельные вменяемые типа капитана 1-го ранга ВМС США Гари Табаха спрашивают, почему НАТО и американское правительство тратят такую туеву хучу денег налогоплательщиков на все эти понты и демонстрацию мускулов, но до сих пор не удосужились даже закрыть небо над Украиной 🇺🇦
Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
⚡️🇨🇳🇹🇼 China's invasion of Taiwan may happen in the very near future, said Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen. Admiral Lee Hsi-ming, who was chief of Taiwan’s General Staff from 2017 to 2019, points to two possible scenarios. The first is a coercive approach…
Good game! 🤓
🇨🇳🇹🇼🇬🇧 '#China will focus on preparing for war', declares Xi Jinping amidst #Taiwan - #UK trade talks
This is how the Chinese neo-Führer reacted to the visit of British Trade Secretary Greg Hands to Taiwan.
P.S. Apparently, Taiwan will receive a good discount not only from the Americans, but also from the British ...

Неплохая игра!
🤔
🇨🇳🇹🇼🇬🇧 «#Китай сосредоточится на подготовке к войне», — заявил Си Цзиньпин в ходе торговых переговоров между Тайванем и Великобританией.
Так китайский нео-фюрер отреагировал на визит министра торговли Великобритании Грега Хэндса в Тайвань.
P.S. Судя по всему, #Тайвань получит неплохую скидку не только от американцев, но и от англичан...
Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
In March, #NATO extended Stoltenberg's term by more than a year The dubious "achievements" of Stoltenberg as head of NATO are obvious - only a blind man could not notice that Russia is preparing for war ... 🇬🇧🇳🇱🇨🇦 According to the Times, in addition to Wallace…
“NATO’s petting zoo”
⁉️ Surprisingly, but after 9 months of a [yet] local war in Europe, the West found out about its "fundamental unpreparedness" to such a fierce war 🤯
The West thought an artillery and tank war in Europe would never happen again and shrunk weapons stockpiles. It was wrong, the NYT sadly admits

“A day in Ukraine is a month or more in Afghanistan,” said Camille Grand, ex NATO’s assistant secretary general for defense investment.

#Russia and #Ukraine burn through weaponry and ammunition at a pace not seen since World War II, and "even he mighty United States has only limited stocks of the weapons the Ukrainians want and need because Washington is unwilling to divert weapons from key regions like #Taiwan and #Korea."
🇨🇳🇹🇼 The protests in #China have mainly covered regions closer to #Taiwan. It's possible Xi will make soon a decision about the invasion.

🇨🇳🇹🇼 Протесты в Китае охватили в основном регионы, расположенные ближе к Тайваню. Возможно, в ближайшее время Си примет решение о вторжении.
#China #US #Taiwan
❗️🇨🇳🇺🇸 #China accuses #US Navy of ‘violating its sovereignty’ in South China Sea
This morning senior Col. Tian Junli, spokesman of the PLA Southern Theater Command, said in a press statement that earlier in the day the U.S. Navy’s guided missile cruiser USS Chancellorsville “trespassed into the waters adjacent to China’s Nansha (Spratly) islands and reefs.”

❗️🇨🇳🇺🇸 #Китай обвинил ВМС #США в «нарушении суверенитета» в Южно-Китайском море
Cегодня утром официальный представитель Южной зоны боевого командования НОАК Тянь Цзюньли заявил, что американский ракетный крейсер Chancellorsville вторгся в воды, прилегающие к островам Наньша (Спратли) в Южно-Китайском море.
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🇺🇸🇹🇼🇺🇦 WSJ: #US government and congressional officials fear the conflict in #Ukraine is exacerbating a nearly $19 billion backlog of weapons bound for #Taiwan, further delaying efforts to arm the island as tensions with #China escalate.
UPD:
On November 29, the Chinese armed forces sent 11 military aircraft and 4 naval ships to the Taiwan area.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳 #US continues to closely monitor China's actions in the Indo-Pacific region. Recently, the Pentagon adopted a program to develop unmanned ships.
🇯🇵🇸🇬🇰🇷🇨🇳 #Japan, #Singapore, #South_Korea and #China have their own programs to develop unmanned ships.
Autonomous surface and underwater unmanned vehicles are cheaper than conventional ships. Such UAVs can play a decisive role in the event of a blockade of #Taiwan by China, according to the Pentagon. In addition, the US is very worried about the safety of its military personnel.

🇺🇸🇨🇳 #США продолжают пристально следить за действиями Китая в Индо-Тихоокеанском регионе. Недавно Пентагон принял программу разработки беспилотных кораблей.
🇯🇵🇸🇬🇰🇷🇨🇳 #Япония, #Сингапур, #Южная_Корея и #Китай имеют собственные программы по разработке беспилотных кораблей.
Такие БПЛА могут сыграть решающую роль в случае блокады Тайваня Китаем, считают в Пентагоне.
Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
🇺🇸🇹🇼🇺🇦 WSJ: #US government and congressional officials fear the conflict in #Ukraine is exacerbating a nearly $19 billion backlog of weapons bound for #Taiwan, further delaying efforts to arm the island as tensions with #China escalate. UPD: On November 29…
Something incredible: even allies convict "American partners" of lies😳
🇹🇼🇺🇸 The #Taiwan MoD has said that all U.S. arms purchases are "within a controlled range". This was announced by the official representative of the Ministry of Defense of Taiwan Sun Lifang.
“Overall, all US arms sales for Taiwan have been carried out in line with the schedule,” he said.
▪️This statement was made after the #US side announced an alleged "backlog" in the supply of arms to Taiwan by $19 billion due to supplies to #Ukraine.

Что-то невероятное: даже союзники уличают "американских партнеров" во вранье🤯
🇹🇼🇺🇸 МО Тайваня заявило, что все закупки оружия в США осуществляются «в пределах контролируемого диапазона». Об этом сообщил официальный представитель МО Тайваня Сунь Лифан.
«В целом все продажи американского оружия Тайваню осуществляются в соответствии с графиком», — сказал он.
▪️Это заявление было сделано после того, как американская сторона сообщила о якобы "отставании" в поставках вооружений Тайваню на $19 млрд из-за поставок в Украину
❗️🇨🇳🇹🇼 On November 30, the Chinese armed forces sent 3 ships and 13 aircraft to the #Taiwan area, of which 1 reconnaissance UAV BZK-005 and 2 Jian-11 fighters flew over the southern part of the air defense identification zone in the Taiwan Strait.
▪️Recall that yesterday the PLA sent 11 military aircraft and 4 warships to the Taiwan area

❗️🇨🇳🇹🇼 30 ноября вооруженные силы Китая направили в район Тайваня 3 корабля и 13 самолетов, из них 1 разведывательный БпЛА BZK-005 и 2 истребителя Цзянь-11 пролетели над южной частью опознавательной зоны ПВО в Тайваньском проливе.
▪️Напомним, вчера НОАК направили в район Тайваня 11 военных самолетов и 4 боевых корабля
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⚡️Xi received NATO consent to invade
🇨🇳🇹🇼 Financial Times: #NATO held first dedicated talks on China's threat to #Taiwan
“It is noteworthy and important that, for the first time, the alliance is having discussions about the status of Taiwan, its democratic government and its critical role in chip manufacturing globally,” said James Stavridis, a retired #US admiral and former supreme commander of NATO allies.
⚠️Brief summary of the chatter: NATO is unlikely to directly intervene in the Taiwan crisis or war 🤓
P.S.
Everything is exactly the same as with Ukraine. With one small difference — the West will not be able to impose sanctions against #China, as all chip manufacturing will be in their hands 🤷🏻

⚡️Си получил согласие НАТО на вторжение
🇨🇳🇹🇼 Financial Times: #НАТО провело первые специализированные переговоры о китайской угрозе Тайваню
«Примечательно и важно, что альянс впервые обсуждает статус Тайваня, его демократическое правительство и его решающую роль в производстве микросхем в мире», — сказал Джеймс Ставридис, адмирал #США в отставке и бывший главнокомандующий ОВС НАТО в Европе
⚠️Коротко итоги болтовни: НАТО вряд ли будет напрямую вмешиваться в тайваньский кризис или войну
P.S.
Всё точно также, как с Украиной🤷🏻С одной небольшой разницей — Запад не сможет ввести санкции против Китая, т.к. в их руках окажется все производство чипов
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#China
🇨🇳🇹🇼The Eastern Command of the PLA Navy is preparing aircrews of the 4th Fighter Aviation Brigade for a potential conflict with #Taiwan.
Jian-10SN and Su-30MK2 fighters are working out tasks using airborne weapons systems

🇨🇳🇹🇼 Восточное командование ВМС НОАК готовит летные экипажи 4-й истребительной авиационной бригады к потенциальному конфликту с Тайванем.
Истребители Цзянь-10SН и Су-30МК2 отрабатывают задачи с применением комплексов бортового вооружения
Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
Another idiot can't live in peace... 🇨🇳🇹🇼 71 aircraft and 7 ships approached the borders of Taiwan - this is the largest approach of Chinese military equipment to the island in history https://twitter.com/SvobodaRadio/status/1607342636381110273 Reuters: Тайвань…
🇨🇳 Jian-16 fighter jets, Hong-6K bombers and the 72nd Army Aviation Brigade (AA) of the 72nd Ground Forces Army of the PLA Eastern Command were involved in the "exercises" in the Taiwan area
🇹🇼 #Taiwan, against the background of large-scale exercises of the PLA off the coast of the island, announced the extension of military service from 4 months to a year

🇨🇳 В "учениях" в районе Тайваня были задействованы истребители Цзянь-16, бомбардировщики Хун-6К и 72 бригада армейской авиации (АА) 72 Армии сухопутных войск Восточного командования НОАК
🇹🇼 #Тайвань на фоне масштабных учений НОАК у берегов острова объявил о продлении срочной военной службы с 4 месяцев до года
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🇯🇵🇹🇼🇨🇳 The Japanese Ministry of Defense will deploy an air defense unit with anti-aircraft missile systems on the island of Yonaguni (Okinawa Prefecture, 110 km northeast of #Taiwan)

https://twitter.com/Abhijithalderr/status/1607683698325098497

🇯🇵🇹🇼🇨🇳 Министерство обороны Японии разместит подразделение ПВО с зенитными ракетными комплексами на острове Йонагуни (префектура Окинава, 110 км к северо-востоку от Тайваня)
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🔥🌍 Europe and Asia are preparing for war

🇵🇱 800 km of ditches, minefields and anti-tank hedgehogs, as well as a video surveillance system will be deployed on the border of Poland with Russia and Belarus, the country's Prime Minister Donald Tusk reported on social media X
The cost of the Eastern Shield project is $2.5 billion, it's planned to be completed by 2028

#Poland also plans to purchase an additional 100 HIMARS launchers to the 486 already purchased

🇱🇻 #Latvia to conduct exercises on the border with Russia to detect and intercept UAVs

🇭🇷 #Croatia brings back compulsory military service to create a personnel 's reserve for potential conflict

🇩🇰 #Denmark is building a military base for reconnaissance drones (MQ-9B or MQ-4C) in Aalborg and plans to deploy an air defense battery (Skyranger-30 SAM) in Oksbøl.

🇰🇷🇺🇸 #South_Korea and #US today conducted their first joint drone strike exercise
The RQ-4B Global Hawk high-altitude reconnaissance drone of the South Korean Air Force provided targeting information to the American MQ-9 Reaper attack drone during its work on ground targets.

🛩 Before this, 110 US and South Korean Air Force aircraft had practiced delivering strikes. During the exercises, mock-ups of North Korean ballistic missile launchers were hit.

🇨🇳 China's Defense Ministry called #Taiwan a "province of China," accused the US of supplying weapons to the island, and conducted a so-called "elephants walk" of 15 Jian-20 fighter jets from the 111th Fighter Brigade of the PLA Air Force's Urumqi Base, Western Command, at Korla Airfield in Xinjiang.

🇹🇼🇺🇸 Taiwanese troops complete training on American HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems at the US Army Fires Center of Excellence (Fort Sill, Oklahoma)

🇨🇳 PLA Navy carrier strike groups led by aircraft carrier Shandong and aircraft carrier Liaoning conduct combat coordination exercises in the South China Sea

🇺🇸 From October 18 to 26, the US conducted strategic forces exercises Global Thunder 25
The main objective of Global Thunder was to test the readiness and evaluate the current plans of the Joint Strategic Command for the use of nuclear forces in a crisis.
❗️Today the second strategic nuclear exercise in 2 weeks, SKYMASTER, began in the US

⚡️The #US plans to launch a Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile from the Vandenberg Space Center to the Ronald Reagan Missile Range (Pacific Ocean) between November 6 and 10

🇺🇦🇷🇺 The Pentagon assesses that #Ukraine has enough soldiers to fight for six to 12 more months, — The New York Times

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🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭🇹🇼 The U.S. will set up temporary bases along Japan's southwestern Nansei island chain and the Philippines to deploy missile units in the event of a Taiwan contingency, — Kyodo News

The 12th Marine Regiment, equipped with HIMARS multiple rocket launchers, will be deployed along the island chain stretching from the Japanese prefectures of Kagoshima and Okinawa toward #Taiwan

The U.S. Army will also deploy the Multi-Domain Task Force's long-range fire units in the Philippines. The MDTF is designed to operate in a multi-domain environment, including air, land, water, space, cyber, and information.

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🇹🇼 Today, #Taiwan's parliament saw a heated showdown between ruling party deputies and the opposition

«Парламент — не место для дискуссий»
🇹🇼 Сегодня в парламенте Тайваня произошло бурное выяснение отношений депутатов правящей партии с оппозицией
#Тайвань

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⚡️🇹🇼🇨🇳 #Taiwan prepares to repel Chinese attack

From July 9 to 18, Taiwan will hold large-scale exercises "Hanguang-41" aimed at practicing scenarios for repelling a PLA invasion of the island.

The exercises will consist of 3 stages; for the first time, the following will be used:
⏺M142 Hymars multiple launch rocket systems;
⏺Tianjian-2 anti-aircraft missile systems (TS-2, or Sky Sword II);
⏺Tou-2B anti-tank missile systems;
⏺reconnaissance and attack drones.

🔴 The X hour is expected in October 2027, when the main peak of typhoons will pass.

🔗 China army

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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
⚡️🇹🇼🇨🇳 #Taiwan prepares to repel Chinese attack From July 9 to 18, Taiwan will hold large-scale exercises "Hanguang-41" aimed at practicing scenarios for repelling a PLA invasion of the island. The exercises will consist of 3 stages; for the first time,…
🇺🇸🇦🇺🇹🇼#Taiwan, the #US and #Australia will hold joint military exercises in the West Pacific in July. These include Taiwan's "Han Kuang 41" exercise, the US full mobile exercise "Reforpac 25" and Australia's "Talisman Sabre".
➡️ With the participation of a total of 19 countries, these maneuvers are the greatest multinational exercise of their kind in history. The extent of these three main exercises will also be historically unprecedented.


🇺🇸🇦🇺🇹🇼 #Тайвань, #США и #Австралия проведут совместные военные учения в западной части Тихого океана в июле. Они включают в себя тайваньские учения «Han Kuang 41», американские полномасштабные мобильные учения «Reforpac 25» и австралийские «Talisman Sabre».
➡️ С участием в общей сложности 19 стран эти маневры являются крупнейшими многонациональными учениями такого рода в истории. Масштаб этих трех основных учений также будет исторически беспрецедентным.

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❗️🇺🇸🇨🇳🇹🇼The CIA secretly warned Apple, Nvidia and AMD in 2023 that #China could invade #Taiwan by 2027 — NYT

It's noted that 97% of high-quality chips are produced in Taiwan. If this island is blocked and its power is destroyed, it will lead to an economic apocalypse.

➡️ The warning was made due to the threat to national security, as well as in order to force Silicon Valley to abandon the production of microchips in Taiwan.


❗️
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇹🇼ЦРУ тайно предупредило Apple, Nvidia и AMD в 2023 году, что #Китай может вторгнуться на #Тайвань к 2027 году, — The New York Times

Отмечается, что 97% высококачественных микросхем производятся на Тайване. Если этот остров будет заблокирован, а его мощности уничтожены, это приведёт к экономическому апокалипсису.

➡️ Предупреждение было сделано по факту угрозы нацбезопасности, а также с целью вынудить Силиконовую долину отказаться от производства микросхем на Тайване.

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#US vs. #IRAN #War
🧠 Analysis: The Domino Effect

PART 1: "The Curse of Hormuz"

1. China's Data Vacuum Cleaner

🔴 This is the most important — and the most underestimated — aspect of the entire conflict.

While the US burns billions of dollars in missiles over Iran, China is receiving a priceless dataset for free.
Over 300 Chinese Jilin-1 satellites have been recording every detail of the war since day one, second by second. Jilin-1 is nominally a commercial constellation, but its operator — Chang Guang Satellite Technology — is a de facto PLA structure. Sub-meter resolution. Real-time video. And they are monitoring everything:

• Weapons loading times at US air bases (Al Udeid, Al Dhafra, Fairford)

• Tomahawk and JASSM flight trajectories

• Air defense response times to Iranian drones

• In-flight refueling patterns

• B-2 flight paths — aircraft that are supposed to be invisible

This is a full-spectrum X-ray of the US military machine under real combat conditions. Everything China couldn't learn from exercises and simulations — they're now getting from an actual war. Every second of air defense operation, every Tomahawk guidance algorithm — all of it is being converted into terabytes of training data for Chinese neural networks.

⏺ If China moves on Taiwan tomorrow, the PLA will know the response time of every air defense system, every deployment pattern, every logistics vulnerability. The US has effectively conducted an open exam for its primary strategic adversary.

➡️ The obvious question: do 18 US intelligence agencies not see 300 satellites?

Of course they do. The NRO (National Reconnaissance Office) has tracked every Jilin-1 since launch. The NSA intercepts their data downlinks. They know China is recording everything.

And they went to war anyway.

➡️ This means one of three things:
A. Taiwan has already been conceded. The decision was made: Iran matters more than Taiwan. Oil matters more than chips. This explains why Trump said as early as 2025 that Taiwan is "far away" and "should pay for its own protection." On February 24, 2026 — just four days before the war began — the New York Times reported that the CIA had secretly warned Apple, Nvidia, and AMD back in 2023 that China could invade Taiwan by 2027. NATO had already signaled it would "not intervene." If Taiwan is already written off, Chinese intelligence gathering isn't a threat — it's an acceptable cost.

B. The decision wasn't made at the strategic level. Defense Secretary Hegseth is a TV host. Kushner is a real estate developer. If the decision to go to war was made by people who don't understand what Jilin-1 is — then this isn't an "acceptable cost." It's blindness. And that's far more terrifying.

C. The war is the product, not the tool. If the goal is chaos itself, then Chinese intelligence, oil at $200, and recession aren't bugs — they're features. Who needs chaos on this scale remains an open question.


@REALITY_ANALYST
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