Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
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ХРОНИКИ СМУТНОГО ВРЕМЕНИ | Горячие точки планеты, шпионские скандалы, анализ событий

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🇨🇳🇦🇺#China is going to lift the ban on the supply of coal from #Australia amid tougher sanctions against Russia
Australia makes up almost 30% of total coal exports, making it the largest supplier behind 🇮🇩#Indonesia.

🇨🇳🇦🇺Китай собирается отменить негласный запрет на поставку угля из Австралии на фоне ужесточения санкций против России
На Австралию приходится почти 30% всего экспорта угля, что делает ее крупнейшим поставщиком после 🇮🇩Индонезии.
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⚡️The occupiers hastily leave Melitopol
On the eve of Melitopol, three explosions thundered in the area of the airfield, where the Russians set up a military base.
🔥Explosions also occurred at the Russian military airfield "Guards" in the occupied Crimea.

⚡️Belgorod publics report that Russian border guards abandoned the Verigovka border checkpoint and seek safety in flight

❗️The propagandists are changing their shoes: live at Solovyov, propagandist Shakhnazarov, under the deathly silence of the studio, announced the need to recognize the defeat of Russia, which had already become obvious.
At the same time, the propagandists were instructed by the presidential administration to save Putin's reputation by any means, shifting the blame to "people in uniform" (ISW)
▪️In response, Russian security forces feverishly began to look for "traitors of Motherland" among the officials; the same is busy the Prosecutor General's Office.

🇩🇪🇷🇺 On Tuesday, during a 1.5-hour telephone conversation, Chancellor Scholz urged Putin to capitulate and completely withdraw troops from Ukrainian territories.
🇫🇷 Earlier on Sunday, Emmanuel Macron also offered Putin an "honorable surrender" — it means that Europe will not seek the resignation of Kremlin Fuhrer.

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 After Putin's defeat near Kharkov, the #US announced a new package of military assistance to #Ukraine — and at the same time sent a secret delegation to Moscow.
Former New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson and his team arrived in Moscow this week, where they held a series of meetings with Russian leadership (CNN)
Details of the negotiations aren't disclosed.

❗️Reuters: Putin himself ensured his defeat: at the beginning of the war, Fuhrer rejected agreements on Ukraine, including Kyiv's refusal to join #NATO
After the Russian invasion on February 24, this deal with the Ukrainian authorities was prepared by the deputy head of the presidential administration Dmitry Kozak. However, Putin has made it clear that he isn't happy with these concessions and plans to occupy the entire territory of Ukraine.

🇺🇦🇪🇺🇷🇺 #Ukraine offered the West a military alliance and refused all concessions to #Russia, which were discussed at the talks in March.
🇺🇸🇬🇧🇨🇦🇵🇱🇮🇹🇩🇪🇫🇷🇦🇺🇹🇷The Office of the President of Ukraine has published a draft Treaty (Kyiv Security Compact), which lists the #US, #UK, #Canada, #Poland, #Italy, #Germany, #France, #Australia and #Turkey as security guarantors.
Kyiv also invites other European countries to join the Treaty: from the Baltics to Western Europe.
▪️In the new document, Ukraine insists that security guarantees should cover the entire territory of the country within its "internationally recognized borders", which means the liberation of Crimea.
There is also no more talk of a non-bloc status
▪️The Treaty was prepared by the International Working Group on Security Assurances for Ukraine, co-chaired by former NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen.
#NATO urged to increase the production of weapons to help #Ukraine
The leaders of the G7 commit themselves indefinitely to support Ukraine in its defense against the invasion of Russia, according to the text of the draft statement following today's G7 summit in Bavaria.
🇨🇦🇵🇱 #Canada is sending 40 military instructors to #Poland to train the Ukrainian military.
🇦🇺🇬🇧 #Australia also made the decision to send its instructors - Australian specialists will train Ukrainians in the #UK
🇩🇪🇫🇷 However, "members of the alliance, including #Germany and #France, are concerned about the war dragging on and, like Elon Musk, have transparently hinted that they may be more open to the idea of a negotiated cease-fire" (on Moscow's terms???).

В #НАТО призвали увеличить производство оружия для помощи Украине
Лидеры «большой семерки» обязуются на неопределенный срок поддерживать Украину в ее защите от вторжения России, говорится в тексте проекта заявления по итогам сегодняшнего саммита G7 в Баварии.
🇨🇦🇵🇱 #Канада направляет в Польшу 40 военных иструкторов для тренировки украинских военных.
🇦🇺🇬🇧Также решение об отправке своих инструкторов приняла Австралия - австралийские специалисты будут тренировать украинцев в Великобритании
🇩🇪🇫🇷 Однако "некоторые члены альянса, включая Германию и Францию, обеспокоены затянувшейся войной и, как Илон Маск, непрозрачно намекнули, что они "более открыты" для идеи прекращения огня путем переговоров" (на условиях Москвы???)
Iron Wolf 2022-II, one of the largest international military exercises in Lithuania, kicks off on Monday.
🇱🇹🇧🇪🇨🇿🇩🇪🇳🇱🇳🇴🇱🇺🇬🇧🇺🇸🇦🇺Troops from #Lithuania, #Belgium, the #Czech_Republic, #Germany, the #Netherlands, #Norway, #Luxembourg, the #UK, #US, and #Australia will be training in and around the General Silvestras Žukauskas training grounds near Pabradė, eastern Lithuania, for two weeks.
▪️The drills will involve approximately 3,500 troops and 700 units of military equipment.
/LRT/

В Литве стартовали крупнейшие международные военные учения Iron Wolf 2022-II («Железный волк 2022-II»)
🇱🇹🇧🇪🇨🇿🇩🇪🇳🇱🇳🇴🇱🇺🇬🇧🇺🇸🇦🇺 Военнослужащие из Литвы, Бельгии, Чехии, Германии, Нидерландов, Норвегии, Люксембурга, Великобритании, США и Австралии в течение двух недель будут тренироваться на полигоне генерала Сильвестраса Жукаускаса возле Пабраде, восточная Литва, в течение 2 недель.
▪️В учениях примут участие около 3500 военнослужащих и 700 единиц боевой техники
🇸🇪🇺🇦 #Sweden will hand over to #Ukraine 12 of the 48 155-mm Archer self-propelled artillery systems in service with the kingdom, which are among the fastest and most accurate in the world.

🇦🇺🇺🇦🇬🇧 #Australia will transfer 30 more Bushmaster PMV armored vehicles to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In addition to Bushmasters, Australia has already donated six M777 towed howitzers and their ammunition, 28 M113 armored vehicles, as well as anti-tank and other weapons.
70 Australian instructors will also train the Ukrainian military in the #UK
/ABC/

🇩🇪🇺🇦 #Germany donated MARS II MLRS, Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled guns, 155-caliber shells, cartridges for 40-mm grenade launchers, two drones and much more to Ukraine
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🇺🇸🇦🇺🇨🇳🇹🇼 #US Air Force to deploy B-52H strategic bombers to #Australia amid rising tensions with #China
The United States is preparing to deploy up to six nuclear-capable B-52 bombers to northern Australia in what experts say is a warning to China amid growing fears that Beijing is preparing for an imminent attack on #Taiwan.
▪️Nuclear capable B-52s to be regularly based at RAAF base in Tyndall
▪️The upgrades to Tindal that will allow it to house B-52 are expected to cost $22.5 million and be financed by the US.

🇺🇸🇦🇺🇨🇳🇹🇼 ВВС #США развертывают стратегические бомбардировщики В-52Н в Австралии на фоне роста напряженности в отношениях с Китаем.
Соединенные Штаты готовятся развернуть до шести бомбардировщиков B-52, способных нести ядерное оружие, в северной части Австралии, что, по мнению экспертов, является предупреждением Китаю, на фоне растущих опасений, что Пекин готовится к скорому нападению на #Тайвань.
▪️B-52 с ядерными боеголовками будут регулярно базироваться на базе RAAF в Тиндале
▪️Модернизация Tindal, которая позволит разместить B-52, будет стоить $22,5 млн и будет финансироваться США.
Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
🇺🇸🇦🇺🇨🇳🇹🇼 #US Air Force to deploy B-52H strategic bombers to #Australia amid rising tensions with #China The United States is preparing to deploy up to six nuclear-capable B-52 bombers to northern Australia in what experts say is a warning to China amid growing…
🇺🇸🇵🇱 Well, how can you not remember that on October 8, for the first time in history, Northrop B-2 Spirit arrived in #Poland
The Northrop B-2 Spirit is an American heavy stealth strategic bomber developed by Northrop Grumman (capable of carrying 16 nuclear-tipped cruise missiles, a combat load of up to 27,000 kg)
▪️Poland rather sluggishly tried to refute this news on the grounds that someone on Twitter attached a video of a B-2 landing at the "official" European base RAF Fairford in 2020 to the text.
In Poland, the B-2 Spirit landed at the Gdynia air base, 100 km from Kralovec.
The arrival of the B-2 in Poland was confirmed by the Defense Forces.
P.S.
🇦🇺In July, four B-2A stealth bombers have deployed to RAAF Base Amberley, #Australia.

🇺🇸🇵🇱 Ну и как тут не вспомнить, что 8 октября в Польшу впервые в истории прибыл Northrop B-2 Spirit — американский тяжёлый малозаметный стратегический бомбардировщик, разработанный Northrop Grumman (способен нести 16 крылатых ракет с ядерными боеголовками, боевая нагрузка до 27 000 кг)
▪️Польша довольно вяло пыталась опровергнуть эту новость на том основании, что в Твиттере кто-то прицепил к тексту видео посадки B-2 на "официальной" европейской базе RAF Fairford в 2020.
В Польше B-2 Spirit приземлился на авиабазе Гдыня в 100 км от Краловец.
Прибытие B-2 в Польшу подтвердил Defense Forces.
P.S.
🇦🇺В июле четыре бомбардировщика-невидимки B-2A были переброшены на базу Королевских ВВС Эмберли, #Австралия.
🇺🇸✈️🇰🇷 So, B-1B Lancers continue to fly beautifully somewhere over #South_Korea;

🇨🇳🇹🇼 46 Chinese warplanes and 4 warships are moving towards #Taiwan;

🇺🇸🤯 44% of American voters went crazy and believe that the federal government is controlled by a secret cabal;

🇰🇷🇮🇳🇦🇺🇺🇸🇯🇵🇫🇷 18 warships of #South_Korea, #India, #Australia and #US (CVN-76 Ronald Reagan) led by Japan (helicopter carrier DDH-183 Izumo) with the participation of six US and French fighters are walking somewhere in Sagami Bay, demonstrating "naval unity" ;

🇺🇸🇪🇸 E-6B Mercury doomsday aircraft continues to operate in conjunction with the nuclear submarine USS Rhode Island in the Mediterranean off the coast of #Spain;

⁉️and only a few sane people like US Navy Captain 1st Rank Gary Tabach ask why NATO and the US government spend such a ton of taxpayer money 🤑on all these show-offs and muscle demonstrations, but still haven’t even bothered to close the sky over #Ukraine 🇺🇦
Итак:
🇺🇸✈️🇰🇷 B-1B Lancers продолжают красиво летать где-то над Южной Кореей;

🇨🇳🇹🇼 46 китайских боевых самолета и 4 боевых корабля движутся к Тайваню;

🇺🇸🤯 44% американских избирателей ебанулись и считают, что федеральное правительство контролируется тайной сектой;

🇰🇷🇮🇳🇦🇺🇺🇸🇯🇵🇫🇷 18 военных кораблей Южной Кореи, Индии, Австралии и США (авианосец CVN 76 Ronald Reagan) под предводительством Японии (вертолетоносец DDH-183 Izumo) при участии шести истребителей США и Франции прогуливаются где-то в заливе Сагами, демонстрируя "военно-морское единство";

🇺🇸🇪🇸 американский самолет "судного дня" E-6B Mercury продолжает работать в связке с атомной субмариной USS Rhode Island в Средиземном море у берегов Испании;

⁉️и только отдельные вменяемые типа капитана 1-го ранга ВМС США Гари Табаха спрашивают, почему НАТО и американское правительство тратят такую туеву хучу денег налогоплательщиков на все эти понты и демонстрацию мускулов, но до сих пор не удосужились даже закрыть небо над Украиной 🇺🇦
Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
🤑🇷🇺Russian Billionaires Will Become $26 Billion Richer in 2024, According to BBI rating. The largest amount of money, $4.81 billion, was earned by Vladimir Lisin, chairman of Novolipetsk Steel (NLMK), an international steel company with assets in Russia, US…
"There is no money, but you hold on..."
🇪🇺❌🇺🇦 Meanwhile: 'War-weary' West no longer wants to help Ukraine, BBC writes

🇺🇸 The gist of the very long BBC article boils down to the fact that #US supplies only outdated equipment, and in the last six months, heavy armored vehicles have only appeared three times in American deliveries — a batch of heavy Bradley infantry fighting vehicles in the list of aid packages from September 6, May 10 and April 24.
Kyiv was still unable to obtain permission from the White House to use ATACMS tactical missiles

🇩🇪 On October 25, the German company Rheinmetall reported on the delivery of 20 IFVs of the Marder family. In total, the company delivered 200 IFVs to Ukraine, but these deliveries did not begin until March 2023.
🇳🇱 #Netherlands has sent 269 YPR-765 tracked IFVs to Ukraine since the beginning of 2022.
🇦🇺 #Australia promises to transfer 49 M1A1 Abrams tanks to Ukraine - these are outdated modifications that the Australians were going to write off anyway.

At the end of 2023, the US Congress failed to pass a law on funding military aid to Ukraine, as the Republicans linked it to measures to strengthen the border with Mexico and tighten immigration policy.
As a result, Ukraine was left without American aid for several months, which affected not only the intensity of hostilities, when Ukrainian artillerymen were seriously short of shells, but also the further planning of military operations.


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⚡️🇺🇸The Pentagon has signed a $253.7 million contract with Williams International to increase production of gas turbine engines used in the Harpoon, JASSM, LRASM, and Tomahawk missiles

The #US already has more than 7,000 of these cruise missiles in its arsenal, produced specifically for a potential conflict with #China

▪️In parallel, Raytheon received a $402 million contract to produce 131 Block V Tactical Tomahawk missiles. Of these, 26 are intended for ground-based launchers of the US Army, 16 for the Marine Corps, 11 for #Australia, and 78 for #Japan

🔗defense.gov

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🎄🇦🇺☃️ Following New Zealand, New Year has come to #Australia ✨
💥Friends, what you don't see on the channel, you will always find in our chat, subscribe!

🎄🇦🇺❄️ Вслед за Новой Зеландией, Новый Год встречает #Австралия
💥Друзья, то, чего вы не видите на канале, вы всегда найдёте в нашем чате, подписывайтесь!

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⚡️🇺🇸 Two US KC-46A Pegasus tanker aircraft arrived in Hawaii about an hour ago
⚡️🇬🇧🇦🇺 A British air tanker also landed at Darwin Air Base in northern #Australia.
▪️What's happening clearly shows that the US is preparing to deploy something heavy to the Indo-Pacific and Middle East operational areas.
#USA #UK #Israel #Iran


⚡️🇺🇸 Два американских самолёта-заправщика KC-46A Pegasus прибыли на Гавайи около часа назад
⚡️🇬🇧🇦🇺 Британский воздушный танкер также приземлился на авиабазе Дарвин, северная #Австралия.
▪️Происходящее чётко показывает, что США готовятся перебросить нечто тяжелое в районы операций Индо-Тихоокеанского региона и Ближнего Востока.
#США #Великобритания #Израиль #Иран

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🇦🇺 The first MQ-28A Ghost Bat UAVs, controlled by artificial intelligence, have entered service with the Royal Australian Air Force.
#Australia

🇦🇺 Первые БПЛА MQ-28A Ghost Bat, управляемые искусственным интеллектом, поступили в строевые подразделения ВВС Австралии.
#Австралия

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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
❗️🇺🇸At the #NATO Summit, Trump compared US strikes on Iran to the nuclear bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki: "That hit ended the war. I don't want to use an example of Hiroshima. I don't want to use an example of Nagasaki. But that was essentially the same…
☄️🌎Surviving a global nuclear war would be almost impossible: it would destroy up to 5 billion people, — Daily Mail

➡️ 🇦🇺🇳🇿The only relatively safe places might be #Australia and #NewZealand.

🇺🇸🇷🇺🇨🇳They are far from the major nuclear powers which would likely spark a world war, the #US, #Russia, and #China. They won't be hit by a nuclear winter, and growing food there will still be possible.

Nuclear winter would result in the severe, long-lasting global cooling that could happen after a large-scale nuclear war in which many cities are hit by nuclear bombs, those explosions would cause huge fires, burning buildings, forests and everything around.

The smoke and soot from these fires would rise high into the sky, into a part of the atmosphere called the stratosphere, where it can stay for years because rain can't wash it away.

This thick layer of soot would block sunlight from reaching the Earth's surface, like a giant shade over the planet.

With less sunlight, the Earth would get much colder. The temperatures in the US would plunge by roughly 40 degrees Fahrenheit, making farming impossible.

This cold and darkness would lead to massive food shortages and starvation. Animals and fish would also struggle to survive, making food even scarcer.


The rest of the world (the remaining 3 billion who are lucky enough to survive) will be plunged into radiation, hunger and an underground existence.

P.S. 🔴 This is to the question about Trump's admiration for the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
⚡️🇹🇼🇨🇳 #Taiwan prepares to repel Chinese attack From July 9 to 18, Taiwan will hold large-scale exercises "Hanguang-41" aimed at practicing scenarios for repelling a PLA invasion of the island. The exercises will consist of 3 stages; for the first time,…
🇺🇸🇦🇺🇹🇼#Taiwan, the #US and #Australia will hold joint military exercises in the West Pacific in July. These include Taiwan's "Han Kuang 41" exercise, the US full mobile exercise "Reforpac 25" and Australia's "Talisman Sabre".
➡️ With the participation of a total of 19 countries, these maneuvers are the greatest multinational exercise of their kind in history. The extent of these three main exercises will also be historically unprecedented.


🇺🇸🇦🇺🇹🇼 #Тайвань, #США и #Австралия проведут совместные военные учения в западной части Тихого океана в июле. Они включают в себя тайваньские учения «Han Kuang 41», американские полномасштабные мобильные учения «Reforpac 25» и австралийские «Talisman Sabre».
➡️ С участием в общей сложности 19 стран эти маневры являются крупнейшими многонациональными учениями такого рода в истории. Масштаб этих трех основных учений также будет исторически беспрецедентным.

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🇮🇷 #IRAN

❗️Additional information on Iran

This is not "preparation for a strike"; a regime change is underway.

🇬🇧🇮🇳🇨🇦🇦🇺🇷🇺🇹🇷 #UK, #India, #Canada, #Australia, and #Russia are urging their citizens to leave Iran immediately; #Turkey is working on an emergency evacuation of its citizens from Iran, with 12 planes having departed in the last 24 hours (Ankara has already issued a denial, claiming it’s "nothing special" and "everyone just imagined it...").

Analysis: If even Turkey (a neighbor and key trading partner) is evacuating people while hiding behind denials, it means they expect chaos rather than surgical strikes. Surgical strikes on bunkers do not require the evacuation of civilians from Tehran. Evacuation is necessary if the following is expected:
• Nationwide power and communication blackouts.
• Urban warfare (street fighting).
• The collapse of the government.


🇮🇱🇯🇴 #Israel is detonating minefields on the Israeli-Jordanian border in preparation for the construction of a border wall.

Analysis: #Jordan acts as a buffer. If Israel is clearing minefields, it could mean preparation for a ground corridor (unlikely) or, more likely, anticipation of a massive influx of refugees or a breakthrough of militants from the east in the event of a regional collapse. Alternatively, they may be preparing sites for deploying additional Arrow-3 batteries closer to the eastern border to intercept Iranian missiles over Jordan.


🇱🇧 Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi arrived in Beirut this morning on an official visit, leading a political-economic delegation to meet with Lebanese officials. Araghchi stated that Tehran is ready for negotiations with the #US based on mutual interests, but also remains ready for war if that is Washington's intention.

Analysis: This is diplomacy in its death throes. The statement "ready for war but want negotiations" is a classic cry for help. However, flying to Beirut (which is currently in Israel's crosshairs) is suicidal. Either Araghchi is delivering a message to Hezbollah to "throw everything you have into the fight, we are perishing," or, more likely, he is trying to negotiate personal security guarantees through #Lebanon (and #France).


🇮🇷 Iranian opposition media:
Kurdistan, Tehran, Isfahan, Shiraz, Kermanshah, Ilam, Lorestan, Hamadan, and Mashhad — the entire territory of Iran is in a state of full revolutionary surge.

This is the KEY FACTOR:
• In 2025, strikes unified the nation (partially).
• In 2026, if the people are already in the streets, an external strike on IRGC (Revolutionary Guard) bases and government bunkers will be perceived not as aggression, but as assistance to the uprising.
• If the regime wavers, the US will launch a "Decapitation Strike" to finish off the leadership and give the opposition a chance to take power.


Possible Scenario: The West is waiting for a night when protests either subside or, conversely, reach their peak to strike IRGC communication and command centers, paralyzing their ability to suppress the rebellion.

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🌎#G7 countries and their allies met in Washington to discuss ways to reduce dependence on China for rare earth elements
☄️WASHINGTON, Jan 12 (Reuters) — The meeting, convened by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, included finance ministers from G7 members #Japan, #UK, #France, #Germany, #Italy, #Canada and the #US as well as officials from #Australia, #Mexico, #SouthKorea and #India

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🌎Страны «Большой семерки» и их союзники встретились в Вашингтоне, чтобы обсудить пути снижения зависимости от Китая в отношении редкоземельных элементов.
☄️ВАШИНГТОН, 12 января (Reuters) — Во встрече, созванной министром финансов США Скоттом Бессентом, приняли участие министры финансов стран «Большой семерки»: #Япония, #Великобритания, #Франция, #Германия, #Италия, #Канада и #США, а также официальные лица из #Австралия, #Мексика, #ЮжнаяКорея и #Индия

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🇦🇺🇬🇧🇳🇴🚃🇨🇳 While Russia’s Transmashholding, together with the Kurchatov Institute (Kovalchuk Sr.), are racking their brains over how to replicate the historic 1989 "incident" with a 12-kiloton yield to scare the living daylights out of NORAD and the entire world, #Australia is searching for a "digital kill switch" in Chinese electric buses.

Canberra has launched an investigation into cyber threats associated with Chinese-made electric buses after British authorities warned about the possibility of their remote deactivation.

A prominent Australian cybersecurity expert claims these buses pose a threat to national interests.

British media reported that the UK National Cyber Security Centre and the Department for Transport discovered that Yutong electric buses could be remotely shut down from China using an "emergency kill switch."

A similar problem was discovered in November by the Norwegian transport operator Ruter. Ruter published test results showing that the bus manufacturer, Yutong Group, has access to the buses' control systems "for software updates and model diagnostics."

The Yutong Australia website states that since 2012, the company has "supplied" over 1,500 buses and electric buses to Australia.


"We are sleepwalking into a more serious threat to our national interests," says cybersecurity expert Alastair MacGibbon, Chief Strategy Officer at CyberCX and former cybersecurity advisor to Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull.

"Can you change the way the brakes work? Can you turn off the lights at night? Or perhaps something even more terrifying… imagine the battery overfilling, overheating, and exploding."

"Transport Canberra downloads [Chinese] software, but they don’t check every line of code. And even if they did, they don’t know what that code does."


#Australia #UK #Norway #China

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#US vs #IRAN
Controlled War Dump: New Deadline

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 A meeting between US and Iranian representatives could take place this week in Islamabad, #Pakistan — Axios
The American delegation will be led by JD Vance; Iranian officials have lost trust in Witkoff

⚡️🇮🇷 Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei:
"Over the past few days, messages have indeed been received through friendly countries indicating a US request for negotiations aimed at ending the war"


➡️ IRGC demands a broad set of concessions before agreeing to end the conflict — WSJ
• A new Strait of Hormuz agreement allowing Iran to control access and collect transit fees from passing vessels

• Firm guarantees that the war will not resume

• Cessation of Israeli attacks on Hezbollah

• Closure of American military bases in the Persian Gulf

• Financial compensation for damages suffered by Iran during the war


⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 US has set April 9 as the date for the end of the conflict with Iran — Israeli source:
"Ending the war on April 9 will allow Trump to arrive in Israel for Independence Day to receive the Israel Prize."


⚡️🇺🇸 Units of the 82nd Airborne Division — the ready brigade — have arrived in the Middle East on cargo flights from Fort Bragg and Fort Campbell — FOX News
Aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford will deploy from Norfolk to replace USS George H.W. Bush

Amphibious group USS Tripoli is expected to arrive in the Middle East in the coming days, and the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit aboard USS Boxer will arrive ~one month after departing San Diego


🇺🇸 Trump predictably blamed the start of the war on Hegseth:
"Pete Hegseth was the first one who said: 'Let's do it'"


➡️ Trump wants "nuclear dust" and claimed Iran agreed to abandon uranium enrichment even for civilian purposes
One wonders if Iran is aware

🪖 NATO responded to "nuclear dust" in its own way and today urgently completed the withdrawal of its contingent from Iraq


ECONOMY:
🛢📈 Fatih Birol — IEA Chief:
"This crisis is equivalent to both oil crises of the 1970s and the 2022 gas market collapse combined"


➡️ Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a US recession to 30%, estimating oil prices could exceed the 2008 record of $147

🇵🇰 #Pakistan will run out of LNG by the end of March
Pakistan imports 99% of its LNG from #Qatar, and the Ras Laffan refinery has declared force majeure and canceled all future contracts

🇦🇺A fuel crisis has begun in #Australia: hundreds of petrol stations have completely run out of petrol and diesel fuel

Smells like famine
🌾 Fertilizer prices have risen to their highest level since September 2022 — up 44% year-over-year
Moreover, there is no strategic fertilizer reserve
Unlike oil, nobody stores ammonia in underground storage facilities

🔴 Analysts warn the world is on the brink of a colossal food crisis

An offer you can't refuse
🤖📉 FT: Even without energy shocks, closing Hormuz would collapse the AI bubble and crash the stock market
The war with Iran is shaking the entire semiconductor supply chain
Chip supplies depend on energy and chemical imports from the Middle East, and Qatari helium (1/3 of global supply), critical for cooling silicon wafers, has completely disappeared from the market

If the conflict drags on, chip prices will skyrocket and production will halt

In the US, elevated energy costs will make data centers unviable. Valuations of tech companies will plummet, and debts secured against AI assets will be at risk


Once money was at stake, the "greens" activated
💵🥗 "The Earth is at the limit of its capacity. The energy imbalance has reached a record level" — Guterres
Just 14 days of US war produced 5 million tons of CO2 — The Guardian

❌ Elon Musk in 2025: "If you look at our national debt... if AI and robots don't solve our national debt, we're toast."

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