#Qatar: what's known
❗️🇺🇸🇶🇦Fox News: The #US military base in Qatar was evacuated several days ago
The US military base in Qatar houses about 13,000 people.
⚡️Significant GPS interference is reported in Qatar and other Gulf countries.
#Iran

#Катар: что известно
❗️🇺🇸🇶🇦 Fox News: Военная база #США в Катаре была эвакуирована ещё несколько дней назад
На американской военной базе в Катаре размещено около 13 000 человек.
⚡️Сообщается о помехах в работе GPS в Катаре и других странах Персидского залива.
#Иран

Subscribe | Send content

❗️🇮🇷🇺🇸 #Iran coordinated its attack on Al Udeid Air Base with #Qatar, and the Trump administration was aware of the threat in advance, a source familiar with the matter told Axios.
The #US had "good advance warning" of the Iranian attack, a second source said. 😎
⚡️Iran warns Qatar about strikes on US bases — TASS, NYT
UPD:
According to Axios, Iranian forces fired six missiles at the U.S. Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and another toward Iraq. Al Udeid is the largest U.S. military facility in the region and the forward headquarters of the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM).

❗️🇮🇷🇺🇸#Иран координировал свою атаку на авиабазу Аль-Удейд с Катаром, и администрация Трампа знала об угрозе заранее, сообщил Axios источник, знакомый с ситуацией.
#США получили «хорошее предварительное предупреждение» об иранской атаке, сказал второй источник.
⚡️Иран предупредил #Катар об ударах по базам США — ТАСС, NYT
UPD:
По информации Axios, иранские силы направили шесть ракет по авиабазе США Аль-Удейд в Катаре и еще одну — в сторону Ирака. База Аль-Удейд является крупнейшим американским военным объектом в регионе и одновременно передовой штаб-квартирой Центрального командования США (CENTCOM).

Subscribe | Send content

January 21, 2026
20 hours ago

‼️🇺🇸✈️🌍🇪🇸🇶🇦🇬🇧A massive redeployment of #US Air Force aircraft has commenced: 9-10 KC-135R aerial tankers have departed from the continental United States. Four have headed to Morón Air Base in #Spain, 3-4 to Al-Udeid in #Qatar, and 2 to RAF Mildenhall in the #UK.

Donald Trump in Davos:

"Some places in Europe are no longer recognizable."

🔴🇺🇸🇪🇺 A U.S. Air Force Boeing 747-E4B — the "Doomsday Plane" — was spotted last night flying toward Europe.
Ten KC-135R tankers, based at March Air Reserve Base (California) and Bangor Air National Guard Base (Maine), crossed the transatlantic air bridge toward the #EU; at least four arrived at Morón Air Base in Spain.

➡️ Additionally, increased activity of C-17A Globemaster III transport aircraft has been observed in recent days, likely transferring air defense systems and ammunition to U.S. facilities in the region.

❗️ All of this is happening while Trump creates a "Peace Council" in Davos!
This is everything one needs to know about the #ExtremeEthics of international "peacekeepers."

"WE ARE GETTING STARTED..." — the White House stated on the night of January 12. They have begun.

#world

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

🇮🇷 #IRAN #MiddleEast #PersianGulf

⚡️🇺🇸🇬🇧🇯🇴An American KC-135 tanker aircraft escorted by F-15 fighter jets en route from the UK to #Jordan.

❗️🇺🇸🇮🇱According to Kan News, #US Central Command commander Admiral Brad Cooper will arrive in #Israel tomorrow for meetings with senior Israeli officials to coordinate security matters.

⚡️🇮🇱Israeli airspace is completely clear; no aircraft are currently visible on tracking apps or websites.

⚡️🇩🇪🇮🇱German airline Lufthansa has suspended flights from Frankfurt to Tel Aviv and Riyadh.

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷A US Navy Boeing P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft is conducting surveillance off the coast of Iran in the Persian Gulf

⚡️🇨🇦🇨🇭🇮🇱United Airways, Air #Canada, and #Swiss are also canceling their flights to #Israel.

⚡️🇶🇦#Qatar Air Force Boeing C-17A Globemaster III (callsign LHOB242) took off from RAF Lossiemouth in Scotland and flew over southern Europe and the Middle East before landing in Qatar.

⚡️🇵🇹🇮🇱The aircraft, en route from Lisbon to Tel Aviv, made a sharp 180-degree turn before entering Israeli airspace and then departed the area.

⚡️🇪🇸A flight departing from Madrid performed a similar maneuver, also changing course.

⚡️🇬🇧The Royal Air Force is redeploying a full squadron of fighter jets to the Middle East.

⚡️🇫🇷A French airline has canceled two flights scheduled to arrive in Dubai.

⚡️🇬🇧🇦🇪British Airways has canceled its evening flight to Dubai.

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

#Middle_East

⚡️⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸According to Reuters, on February 3, 2026, a US F-35C shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea.

⚡️⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸🇴🇲At the same time, Revolutionary Guard Corps boats and a Mohajer drone attempted to seize the US tanker Stena Imperative in the Strait of Hormuz — CBS News

❗️🇮🇷🇨🇳An Iranian Boeing 747 cargo plane with tail number EP-SIH is en route to #China.

⚡️🇮🇱🇺🇸 #Israel has requested US approval for freedom of action in #Iran.

🇺🇸🇯🇴🇰🇼🇧🇭🇶🇦The #US is deploying additional THAAD and Patriot missile defense systems to #Jordan, #Kuwait, #Bahrain, and #Qatar.

Axios: Donald Trump is restrained from military action due to the lack of a fully secure digital control infrastructure.

Factors cited include an incomplete satellite network required for real-time coordination of drones and air defense systems by AI agents, and the risk of cyberattacks on ground nodes.

Additionally, concerns exist about a potential "digital boomerang" effect, where an immediate strike could disrupt the Western banking system.

There is also the consideration of market stability for upcoming IPOs of companies like xAI and SpaceX.

In the background:
📉 Bitcoin fell below $75,000, and Ethereum fell below $2,200

UPD:
Bitcoin falls to $73,000
Current Bitcoin advice from former MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

Middle Eastern Zugzwang
⁉️🇺🇸🇮🇷Can the US strike Iran without regional allies?

🇸🇦🇦🇪🇶🇦🇰🇼🇮🇶🇯🇴🇴🇲🇦🇿🇹🇷🇵🇰❌🇺🇸Insiders report that #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan have refused #US access to their airspace/territory for aggression against #Iran.


➡️ Washington is left with two bad options:


1️⃣ Strike from the sea (Arabian Sea) or Diego Garcia via the narrow Gulf of Oman corridor (<300km).

➡️ The Trap: Predictable flight paths allow Iran to concentrate AD/A2AD in one sector.

➡️ Range Gap: USS Lincoln (JASSM-ER ~925km) vs. Iran (Ghadr-380 >1000km, Drones 1500-4000km).

➡️ Intel: Iranian drones are already shadowing the USS Lincoln group.

➡️ Logistics: Bombers from Diego Garcia (3800-5200km away) carry heavy firepower (B-2/B-52/B1B) but cannot sustain the sortie rate needed to prevent retaliation.


2️⃣ Ignore allies and violate their airspace.

⏺ Risks:
➡️ US branded as an "unreliable partner" (officially).
➡️ Escalation to regional war & Strait of Hormuz blockade (20% of global oil).
➡️ Mass protests and attacks on US bases (Iraq 2020 scenario).

ℹ️SUMMARY: A US attack now is insufficient for regime change. Iran has stabilized internally (crushing protests after the Starlink blackout). This is a diplomatic trap: "No war, no peace."

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

News Summary February 6

PART 1. Epstein’s Echo & Intelligence Failures

Operation "MONITUM"
🇮🇱🇹🇷 For the first time in decades, a public failure of Israeli intelligence has been recorded.
Turkish National Intelligence (MİT) detained two suspects in Istanbul for espionage on behalf of Mossad.
➡️ Suspects: Mehmet Budak Derya (an engineer conducting espionage under the guise of marble trading) and his accomplice Veysel Kerimoglu.
Charges include gathering and transmitting intelligence data.
🤍Turks release video of Mossad agents detained


📄The Epstein Case

ℹ️The global intelligence community is bursting at the seams: The FBI finally decided to reveal the secret of the "crime of the century" success in several files.
🇺🇸🔎🇮🇱 Epstein was recruited by Mossad through Harvard law professor Alan Dershowitz.
➡️ It turns out Epstein worked for both US intelligence and "allied" agencies.
🇮🇱🇸🇦🇦🇪❌🇶🇦🇹🇷🇮🇷🇸🇾 Under the Israelis, Epstein underwent spy training under former Israeli PM Ehud Barak. Their alliance was part of a broader geopolitical front: #Israel, #Saudi_Arabia, and #UAE against #Qatar, #Turkey, #Iran, and #Syria.

➡️🌐🇳🇴 In turn, the #WEF launched an independent investigation into CEO Børge Brende after it was revealed that Brende dined with Epstein multiple times from 2018 at the invitation of former Norwegian Deputy PM Terje Rød-Larsen.

❗️🇺🇸🇸🇦🇨🇳 Epstein’s partnership with the Rothschilds and the Saudis has also been exposed, as well as the financier's race for immortality: Epstein funded a genome editing program (CRISPR) with a solid $193,400.
⏺ The Rothschilds' interaction with Epstein is extensive. The US DOJ archive contains nearly 12,000 mentions (though some documents are being systematically deleted).

➡️🌎 The list of figures in the "Epstein Case" includes half the world, including Google and X co-founder Sergey Brin, Bill Gates, and Apollo Global Management CEO Marc Rowan.
source: 1, 2, 3

➡️ Epstein also funded many Silicon Valley startups, — NYT citing declassified DOJ documents.
In 2014, he invested $3 million in Coinbase, $5 million in the startup Jawbone, and later increased his investment in that company to $11.25 million.

➡️ Furthermore, Epstein invested $40 million in Valar Ventures, the venture fund of Palantir founder and PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel — TASS.

* * *

📉 It is not surprising that against the backdrop of total leaks on the Epstein case and intelligence failures, the US stock market lost $1 trillion in capitalization, and the crypto market lost $350 billion.

📉💸📈 Bitcoin fell below $63,000 in 24 hours, then jumped back to $70,000.

💰 The Fear and Greed Index in the crypto market fell to 9/100, the lowest level since June 2022.

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

News Summary February 6

PART 2. Middle East Logistics

⚡️🇺🇸✈️🇮🇷 Since January 16, 2026, the #US Air Force has carried out at least 122 flights to the Middle East.
🤍 114 flights were performed by C-17A Globemaster III aircraft.
🤍 8 flights — by C-5M Super Galaxy.

➡️ Destinations 🇯🇴🇶🇦🇸🇦🇰🇼🇧🇭🇩🇯🇬🇧🇦🇪🇮🇱

▪️ 59 flights — Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, #Jordan;
▪️ 20 flights — Al Udeid Air Base, #Qatar;
▪️ 14 flights — Prince Sultan Air Base, #Saudi_Arabia;
▪️ 9 flights — Ali Al Salem Air Base, #Kuwait;
▪️ 4 flights — #Bahrain (including 3 to Isa Air Base);
▪️ 6 flights — US Navy Base Camp Lemonnier, #Djibouti;
▪️ 7 flights — Diego Garcia Air Base (3 via Al Udeid);
▪️ 2 flights — Al Dhafra Air Base, #UAE;
▪️ 1 flight — Nevatim Air Base, #Israel.

This count does not include intra-regional flights between bases, nor does it include over a dozen flights by US Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM).

🚨🇺🇸🚀 In total, the US has deployed over 450 Tomahawk cruise missiles to the Middle East — NBC News.

🇺🇸⛴ However, according to POLITICO, the US Navy still requires more than a week to reach positions necessary for a potential attack on Iran.

Diplomatic Panic
‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US Virtual Embassy in Tehran issued a major security alert urging US citizens to leave Iran immediately.
🤍 All this during talks between the US and Iran, which on the American side (besides Kushner and Witkoff) included CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper (suggesting that military men make lousy negotiators).

#US and #Iran held eight-hour talks in Muscat mediated by Oman — Axios.

⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸🇴🇲 Iran demanded to secure its right to uranium enrichment — WSJ, IRNA.
Iran is also not ready to make concessions on its ballistic missile program — NYT.

🔴 RESULT: There will be no agreement with Iran.

➡️ Meanwhile, sources at The National report that Kushner is "actively working" with Iranian-American businessmen to create a transitional government following the fall of the Iranian regime.

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

Week in Review: The Calm Before the Storm

‼️🇺🇸 🇮🇷 #US vs #Iran: Pre-Strike Buildup Reaches Critical Mass

What we're witnessing is not "increased pressure" or a "negotiating posture." This is a textbook pre-strike force deployment

➡️ Two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford) are now converging on the Middle East. A single carrier group signals deterrence. Two signal an operation. The combined air wing comprises approximately 240 strike aircraft, including F/A-18E/F Super Hornets, F-35C/A, F-22A, F-16, and F-15E platforms, supported by EA-18G electronic warfare aircraft, E-2D/E-3 AWACS, P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol, and KC-135/KC-46 tankers

➡️ Since mid-January, the US has conducted roughly 200 C-17 Globemaster III transport flights to the region. At approximately $25,000 per flight hour and 11 hours per round trip, transport costs alone exceed $55 million — excluding the deployment of dozens of other aircraft and naval vessels

🇯🇴 THAAD missile defense systems have been deployed to Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base in Jordan, with at least 68 cargo aircraft arriving within five days. THAAD is not a deterrence tool — it's a shield you raise when you know the counterpunch is coming

🇳🇴 The US is withdrawing most of its aviation assets from NATO's Cold Response 2026 exercises in #Norway, scheduled for early-to-mid March. This is a direct resource reallocation from "training" to "operational" status

🇵🇹 Portugal's Lajes Field in the Azores experienced its largest-ever influx of American aircraft: at least 11 KC-46 tankers, 12 F-16 fighters, one C-17 transport, and approximately 400 US crew members transited through on February 18-19 alone. Staging bases are running out of capacity

🔴🕘 Estimated timeline: The strike group reaches peak readiness by late February to early March 2026. The operational window opens in the first two weeks of March. The likely scenario is a 72-hour air campaign targeting Iran's nuclear infrastructure (Natanz, Fordow, Isfahan, Arak, Bushehr) and IRGC command centers — not a ground invasion, but a decapitation of the nuclear program

➡️ Trump's mention of 32,000 Iranian protest casualties is narrative preparation — framing the strike as "liberation" rather than aggression

⚡️🇺🇸✈️Boeing C-17 Modernization: $400M for a "Retired" Workhorse

The US Air Force awarded Boeing a $400+ million contract to fully modernize the C-17A Globemaster III cockpit — for an aircraft whose production ended in 2015. The USAF needs the C-17 flying until 2075. This is not a typo. An aircraft designed in the 1980s is being prepared for service into the 2070s. The 200 transport flights to the Middle East in one month are a better justification for this investment than any Pentagon report

🇮🇱 🇦🇪 #UAE - #Israel: Shin Bet Embedded in the Emirates

A leaked UAE Ministry of Interior document reveals a secret agreement embedding seven Shin Bet agents directly within the command centers of Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and all seven emirates. Agents were issued Emirati identity cards for undercover operations. A joint Mossad-Shin Bet office was established at Expo 2020. Israeli "consultants" operate under the direct supervision of local police chiefs

This leak is either a deliberate signal from someone in Abu Dhabi seeking distance from Israel ahead of the Iran strike, or Iranian intelligence demonstrating awareness of Israeli-Gulf coordination. Either way, the message is clear: the Emirates are already inside the operation, whether they acknowledge it publicly or not

🇯🇵 🇩🇪 #Japan and #Germany have repeatedly urged their nationals working at US facilities in the Middle East to leave. MFAs across multiple countries have been issuing similar warnings for at least three weeks — routine noise until embassy evacuations begin, which marks the real countdown

⚠️As a reminder: in early February, #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan officially or privately warned the United States that they would not allow their airspace, land, or waters to be used for aggression against Iran

🏁Zugzwang: Epstein as a "Nuclear Button"

The Nuclear Quid Pro Quo
🇺🇸 🤝☢️ 🇸🇦 The White House has informed Congress of a potential civil nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia that weakens previous non-proliferation safeguards.
➡️Translation: Riyadh's price for supporting (or not obstructing) the Iran operation is the right to enrich uranium. The irony is staggering — a strike justified by "non-proliferation" is being paid for with proliferation.

The Kill List
🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 Axios reports, citing Trump administration sources, that the President has been briefed on military options including targeted strikes to eliminate Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his son Mojtaba, considered his likely successor.
➡️No final decision has been made. Meanwhile, hundreds of US personnel have been evacuated from Al Udeid Air Base in #Qatar (NYT, citing Pentagon officials).

⚡️Iran issues NOTAM related to air defense drills

Politico suggests the strike could begin as early as this weekend.

Iran's Response
⚡️🇮🇷🚀Tehran test-fired its first naval SAM missile, Sayyad-3G, from the warship Shahid Sayyad Shirazi in the Strait of Hormuz during "Smart Control" naval exercises, extending Iran's naval air defense radius to 150 km.
➡️Separately, #Iran has deployed decoys at Isfahan air base, replacing its S-300 air defense system with an older, non-functional S-200 launcher — a classic deception tactic signaling they expect the strike and are actively preparing.

Britain Breaks Ranks
❗️🇬🇧❌🇺🇸 #UK PM Keir Starmer has denied the US access to British military bases — including Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean and RAF Fairford — for potential strikes on Iran (The Times).
➡️Diego Garcia is the only forward base capable of launching B-2 Spirit stealth bombers carrying GBU-57 bunker-busting munitions — the only weapon that can credibly threaten Iran's underground Fordow enrichment facility. Without it, B-2s must fly 30+ hours from Whiteman AFB in Missouri.
⏺ This either cripples the deep-strike component of the operation or is public theater ahead of a quiet compromise.

"Biblical Right" to Control the Middle East
🇺🇸🤝🇮🇱 US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee declared that "Israel has a biblical right to control the Middle East."
➡️This is not diplomacy — it's theological justification for regional dominance, spoken by an official US representative.
And this inevitably raised questions: Is Washington acting under pressure from Jerusalem? Entirely possible, given that Epstein was a Mossad agent.

Yellow Sea Provocation
🇺🇸 🇰🇷⚔️🇨🇳 Bloomberg reports that US and Chinese fighter jets "clashed" over the Yellow Sea on February 18. Approximately 10 US fighters launched from Pyeongtaek Air Base conducted unannounced exercises over international waters off #SouthKorea's west coast. Beijing scrambled interceptors.
⏺ Notably, South Korean military and officials were not informed in advance — Seoul learned of the incident after the fact.
➡️The message to Beijing: "We operate in your backyard without asking permission." The message to Seoul: "Your consent is optional."

#Cuba: The Oil Tanker Test
🇷🇺🇨🇺⚔️🇺🇸The #Russia-linked tanker SEA HORSE (IMO 9278686), carrying 200,000 barrels of oil, is attempting to breach the US blockade to deliver "critically needed fuel" to Cuba.
What else may be aboard remains undisclosed.
➡️А harmless humanitarian delivery or a probe of American response capacity on a secondary front?

Tariffs vs. The Supreme Court
🇺🇸⚖️The #US Supreme Court has ruled Trump's tariffs illegal. Trump responded by imposing an additional 10% tariff on top of the tariffs already declared unconstitutional, announcing this via his personal social network Truth Social.
➡️In any other era, this would be a constitutional crisis. Today, it's buried beneath the Iran headlines — which may be the point.

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

#US vs. #IRAN #War
🔥Second phase of the war: neither oil nor water
ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHE IN THE MIDDLE EAST · Part 2: #WATER & #URANIUM

⚡️BREAKING:
🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Axios, citing informed sources, reports negotiations between the US and Israel on plans to send special forces into Iranian territory to seize uranium stockpiles:

The US is considering deploying special forces to capture Iran's nuclear arsenal.

❗️Note: in the editors' opinion, this may be a planted story — the US lacks the capacity for a ground operation.

⚡️"Trump has privately expressed serious interest in deploying American troops on Iranian soil" — NBC News
➡️ Why haven't they been deployed yet, and why did the attack through Iraq stall?


📝 ⚔️Information warfare in progress:

🇦🇪 🚀🇮🇷 The #UAE struck an Iranian desalination plant for the first time — Israeli media

🇮🇷🚀 🇦🇪 The UAE, in turn, claims that Iran struck the Emirates hardest, carrying out 42.8% of all attacks (over 1,276) — more than double Israel's 20.1% (approximately 600 attacks).

🇰🇼 🇧🇭 🇸🇦 Next in scale is #Kuwait at 16.8% (approximately 500 attacks), while #Bahrain (6.6%) and #Saudi_Arabia (5.4%) account for a smaller share of the nearly 2,981 recorded attacks.

🇮🇷🚀🇧🇭 Bahrain's Ministry of Interior stated that an Iranian drone caused "material damage" to their desalination facility.

💧 Persian Gulf states rely on desalination for more than 85–90% of their drinking water.

🇶🇦 #Qatar depends on desalination for nearly 100%
🇰🇼🇧🇭 #Kuwait and #Bahrain ~ 90%
🇴🇲 #Oman — 86%
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 70%.

🇧🇭 Bahrain allows the US to use its territory to strike Iran, and confirms that the US previously bombed an Iranian desalination plant.
The strike was carried out after US airstrikes, supported by Israel, hit an Iranian desalination plant on Qeshm Island.

🇺🇸 When asked whether the US attacked a water desalination plant in Iran, Trump responded in classic fashion:

Iranians are "some of the most vicious people on Earth," "They cut babies' heads off..."

As seen in the video, Witkoff and Hegseth nod in agreement.


➡️ For US financial losses in the war against Iran, read on.

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

#US vs #IRAN
Third phase of war

💰Monetization of the Strait of Hormuz
🇯🇵🇨🇳🇮🇷 #Japan agreed to pay Iran in yuan in exchange for passage of its ships through Hormuz
Other countries wishing their ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz will apparently also be forced to pay Iran in yuan

➡️ Iran has retained some mini-submarines operating in "free hunt" mode in the Hormuz Strait zone — Israel's Channel 9 citing British media (details)

❗️🇦🇪 #UAE MFA published a joint statement from 22 countries expressing readiness to "contribute to efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz":
Including Australia, Bahrain, UK, Germany, Denmark, Italy, Canada, Republic of Korea, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, Slovenia, Finland, France, Czech Republic, Sweden, Estonia and Japan.


💵🇺🇸 US has spent over $27 billion on the military operation so far
First 6 days of conflict cost $11.3 billion, each subsequent day — about $1 billion. This estimate excludes some associated costs, including force deployment and equipment replacement

🇩🇪🇯🇵 #Germany and #Japan plan to conclude a new defense agreement
Defense Minister Pistorius proposed a "Reciprocal Access Agreement" for joint training, exercises and troop deployment


Trump trapped
🇺🇸 Trump faces the toughest decision of his presidency — whether to deploy hundreds or even thousands of American ground troops in Iran — CNN

➡️ Polymarket odds of US launching ground invasion before end of 2026 have risen to 57% — up more than 40% since early March
Amphibious Ready Groups (ARG), over 5,000 Marines and several thousand soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division are heading to the Middle East

➡️ However, according to Reuters/Ipsos poll, 59% of Americans disapprove of military action against Iran


#UK seizes initiative
⚡️🇬🇧🇨🇾 Keir Starmer declared the US can no longer use Akrotiri airbase in #Cyprus for strikes on Iran

Daily Mail: Nuclear submarine HMS Anson of the Royal Navy has arrived in the Arabian Sea with Tomahawk Block IV cruise missiles with range up to 1,600 km and Spearfish heavy torpedoes

🚢 📉 US shipbuilding in decline: today the US builds about three major cargo vessels per year, while China builds about 1,000
⚡️US Air Force continues demonstrative testing of AGM-181 Long Range Stand Off (LRSO) missile — a new supersonic nuclear-armed cruise missile — on B-52H Stratofortress bomber


Experts: US and Israeli positions increasingly diverging
➡️ Trump decided to start war with Iran under pressure from external allies such as Netanyahu and Rupert Murdoch — Bloomberg

🇹🇷 Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan:

War may continue for another two-three weeks, Israel will try to drag it out by pressuring the US
The problem is not the lack of plans to end the war, but that Israel doesn't want peace

🇫🇷 French General Nicolas Richoux on Trump:

He shot himself in the foot. He wanted to invade a European Union country, Greenland, not long ago.
And now, his old friends whom he didn’t consult, whom he scorned, especially the British, telling them: 'We’ll remember this.'
He can go fuck himself

🇫🇮 Finnish President Alexander Stubb:

Previously the US consulted with its allies before [invading] Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan, and also sought UN Security Council approval

⚡️🇺🇸 Trump is trying to figure out who actually makes decisions in Iran in search of possible peace negotiations — Axios

🇪🇬🇶🇦🇬🇧 In recent days there have been no direct contacts between the US and Iran, however #Egypt, #Qatar and #UK have been passing messages between the two sides

US wants Iran to commit to:

1. No missile program for 5 years

2. No uranium enrichment

3. Decommissioning of reactors at Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow

4. Observer oversight of centrifuge use

5. Missile limit of 1,000

6. Cessation of funding for Hezbollah, Ansar Allah and Hamas

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

#US vs #IRAN
Controlled War Dump: New Deadline

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 A meeting between US and Iranian representatives could take place this week in Islamabad, #Pakistan — Axios
The American delegation will be led by JD Vance; Iranian officials have lost trust in Witkoff

⚡️🇮🇷 Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei:

"Over the past few days, messages have indeed been received through friendly countries indicating a US request for negotiations aimed at ending the war"

➡️ IRGC demands a broad set of concessions before agreeing to end the conflict — WSJ

• A new Strait of Hormuz agreement allowing Iran to control access and collect transit fees from passing vessels

• Firm guarantees that the war will not resume

• Cessation of Israeli attacks on Hezbollah

• Closure of American military bases in the Persian Gulf

• Financial compensation for damages suffered by Iran during the war

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 US has set April 9 as the date for the end of the conflict with Iran — Israeli source:

"Ending the war on April 9 will allow Trump to arrive in Israel for Independence Day to receive the Israel Prize."

⚡️🇺🇸 Units of the 82nd Airborne Division — the ready brigade — have arrived in the Middle East on cargo flights from Fort Bragg and Fort Campbell — FOX News

Aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford will deploy from Norfolk to replace USS George H.W. Bush

Amphibious group USS Tripoli is expected to arrive in the Middle East in the coming days, and the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit aboard USS Boxer will arrive ~one month after departing San Diego

🇺🇸 Trump predictably blamed the start of the war on Hegseth:

"Pete Hegseth was the first one who said: 'Let's do it'"

➡️ Trump wants "nuclear dust" and claimed Iran agreed to abandon uranium enrichment even for civilian purposes
One wonders if Iran is aware

🪖 NATO responded to "nuclear dust" in its own way and today urgently completed the withdrawal of its contingent from Iraq


ECONOMY:
🛢📈 Fatih Birol — IEA Chief:

"This crisis is equivalent to both oil crises of the 1970s and the 2022 gas market collapse combined"

➡️ Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a US recession to 30%, estimating oil prices could exceed the 2008 record of $147

🇵🇰 #Pakistan will run out of LNG by the end of March
Pakistan imports 99% of its LNG from #Qatar, and the Ras Laffan refinery has declared force majeure and canceled all future contracts

🇦🇺A fuel crisis has begun in #Australia: hundreds of petrol stations have completely run out of petrol and diesel fuel

Smells like famine
🌾 Fertilizer prices have risen to their highest level since September 2022 — up 44% year-over-year
Moreover, there is no strategic fertilizer reserve
Unlike oil, nobody stores ammonia in underground storage facilities

🔴 Analysts warn the world is on the brink of a colossal food crisis

An offer you can't refuse
🤖📉 FT: Even without energy shocks, closing Hormuz would collapse the AI bubble and crash the stock market

The war with Iran is shaking the entire semiconductor supply chain
Chip supplies depend on energy and chemical imports from the Middle East, and Qatari helium (1/3 of global supply), critical for cooling silicon wafers, has completely disappeared from the market

If the conflict drags on, chip prices will skyrocket and production will halt

In the US, elevated energy costs will make data centers unviable. Valuations of tech companies will plummet, and debts secured against AI assets will be at risk

Once money was at stake, the "greens" activated
💵🥗 "The Earth is at the limit of its capacity. The energy imbalance has reached a record level" — Guterres
Just 14 days of US war produced 5 million tons of CO2 — The Guardian

❌ Elon Musk in 2025: "If you look at our national debt... if AI and robots don't solve our national debt, we're toast."

Subscribe | Send content | Boost

#US vs #IRAN — is it REALLY over?

Trump: "We're done, but we're not done."
⚡️🇺🇸 The U.S. operation against Iran is over, Trump said in a Fox News interview.

"This morning we got a call from the right people, the right ones, and they want to make a deal."

According to Vance, "The U.S. has achieved its goals in Iran, which is why they're winding down the military operation" — Fox News


⚡️🇺🇸 The U.S. has fully blockaded Iranian ports and completely halted maritime trade with Iran in less than 36 hours — CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper

🇬🇧❌🇺🇸 The #UK did not join the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
🇪🇺🇫🇷🇬🇧 Europe is preparing a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after the war, led by France and the UK, but without U.S. involvement — WSJ

⚡️🇮🇷 In the past 24 hours, 20 commercial vessels were allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz — Iran granted passage
Ships from Iran continue to cross Hormuz despite the U.S. blockade — Kpler Intelligence
Among them, a sanctioned Iranian VLCC supertanker capable of carrying up to 2 million barrels of crude oil passed through Hormuz

⚡️🇨🇳 Beijing called the US blockade dangerous and irresponsible
The U.S.-sanctioned Chinese tanker Rich Starry passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, carrying 250,000 barrels of methanol

🇮🇹❌🇮🇱 #Italy suspended the renewal of its defense cooperation agreement with #Israel

🇪🇸 Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez:

"I firmly believe it is in the interest of both #Spain and #Europe to strengthen ties with #China."

🇸🇦❌🇺🇸 Saudi Arabia is urging the US to end the Hormuz blockade and resume negotiations, fearing escalation — WSJ
Iran could retaliate by blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — a key oil export route.


➡️ The real reasons the war ended

🪖 LOSSES:
🇺🇸❌🚀U.S. Army spokesperson Jimmy Arter stated that the deployed artillery unit had exhausted its entire stock of Lockheed Martin Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM) early in the war against Iran last month — Aviation Week

✈️ Following recent losses and damage to its tanker fleet, the U.S. Air Force was forced to return decommissioned KC-135 tankers to service, including a 68-year-old Stratotanker built in 1958 — Bild

🇮🇷🇨🇳 It has been revealed that Iran secretly acquired a Chinese-built spy satellite (TEE-01B) in late 2024 through the IRGC's aerospace division — FT
The satellite was used to monitor key U.S. military bases in the Middle East, providing real-time imagery and coordinates.
➡️ Compare this with U.S. and Israeli strikes based on 15-year-old Google Maps imagery (the strike on kid's school in Minab, carried out 2.5 hours before Trump's order)

⚡️Confirmed: U.S. Navy surveillance drone MQ-4C Triton crashed on April 9 over the Persian Gulf — TWZ
It suddenly descended and disappeared from radar
The drone, carrying critical reconnaissance technology, is valued at $238 million

🗺 Satellite imagery shows a U.S. CH-47 Chinook helicopter was hit by Iranian strikes at Camp Buehring in Kuwait, and a CH-53 Sea Stallion helicopter was damaged at Ali Al Salem Air Base

The losses don't end there
⏺ 399 U.S. service members have been wounded during the conflict with Iran

❗️The U.S. has lost 7 more MQ-9 Reaper drones, bringing the total number of destroyed MQ-9 Reapers to 24 — EGYOSINT

🚢 U.S. destroyers USS Michael Murphy and USS Frank E. Peterson narrowly avoided destruction in the Strait of Hormuz.

💸 Iran demands reparations
‼️🇮🇷🪙 🇧🇭🇸🇦🇶🇦🇦🇪🇯🇴 Iran has officially demanded compensation from #Bahrain, #Saudi_Arabia, #Qatar, the #UAE, and #Jordan, accusing them of facilitating U.S. and Israeli attacks by allowing the use of their airspace, bases, or territory.
Tehran is demanding full reparations of $270 billion.

➡️ UPD:
Trump lifted his own blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, saying he did so for the sake of China and the world.

Subscribe | Send content | Boost