🇮🇷 #IRAN #MiddleEast #PersianGulf

⚡️🇺🇸🇬🇧🇯🇴An American KC-135 tanker aircraft escorted by F-15 fighter jets en route from the UK to #Jordan.

❗️🇺🇸🇮🇱According to Kan News, #US Central Command commander Admiral Brad Cooper will arrive in #Israel tomorrow for meetings with senior Israeli officials to coordinate security matters.

⚡️🇮🇱Israeli airspace is completely clear; no aircraft are currently visible on tracking apps or websites.

⚡️🇩🇪🇮🇱German airline Lufthansa has suspended flights from Frankfurt to Tel Aviv and Riyadh.

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷A US Navy Boeing P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft is conducting surveillance off the coast of Iran in the Persian Gulf

⚡️🇨🇦🇨🇭🇮🇱United Airways, Air #Canada, and #Swiss are also canceling their flights to #Israel.

⚡️🇶🇦#Qatar Air Force Boeing C-17A Globemaster III (callsign LHOB242) took off from RAF Lossiemouth in Scotland and flew over southern Europe and the Middle East before landing in Qatar.

⚡️🇵🇹🇮🇱The aircraft, en route from Lisbon to Tel Aviv, made a sharp 180-degree turn before entering Israeli airspace and then departed the area.

⚡️🇪🇸A flight departing from Madrid performed a similar maneuver, also changing course.

⚡️🇬🇧The Royal Air Force is redeploying a full squadron of fighter jets to the Middle East.

⚡️🇫🇷A French airline has canceled two flights scheduled to arrive in Dubai.

⚡️🇬🇧🇦🇪British Airways has canceled its evening flight to Dubai.

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#Middle_East

⚡️⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸According to Reuters, on February 3, 2026, a US F-35C shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea.

⚡️⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸🇴🇲At the same time, Revolutionary Guard Corps boats and a Mohajer drone attempted to seize the US tanker Stena Imperative in the Strait of Hormuz — CBS News

❗️🇮🇷🇨🇳An Iranian Boeing 747 cargo plane with tail number EP-SIH is en route to #China.

⚡️🇮🇱🇺🇸 #Israel has requested US approval for freedom of action in #Iran.

🇺🇸🇯🇴🇰🇼🇧🇭🇶🇦The #US is deploying additional THAAD and Patriot missile defense systems to #Jordan, #Kuwait, #Bahrain, and #Qatar.

Axios: Donald Trump is restrained from military action due to the lack of a fully secure digital control infrastructure.

Factors cited include an incomplete satellite network required for real-time coordination of drones and air defense systems by AI agents, and the risk of cyberattacks on ground nodes.

Additionally, concerns exist about a potential "digital boomerang" effect, where an immediate strike could disrupt the Western banking system.

There is also the consideration of market stability for upcoming IPOs of companies like xAI and SpaceX.

In the background:
📉 Bitcoin fell below $75,000, and Ethereum fell below $2,200

UPD:
Bitcoin falls to $73,000
Current Bitcoin advice from former MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor

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Middle Eastern Zugzwang
⁉️🇺🇸🇮🇷Can the US strike Iran without regional allies?

🇸🇦🇦🇪🇶🇦🇰🇼🇮🇶🇯🇴🇴🇲🇦🇿🇹🇷🇵🇰❌🇺🇸Insiders report that #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan have refused #US access to their airspace/territory for aggression against #Iran.


➡️ Washington is left with two bad options:


1️⃣ Strike from the sea (Arabian Sea) or Diego Garcia via the narrow Gulf of Oman corridor (<300km).

➡️ The Trap: Predictable flight paths allow Iran to concentrate AD/A2AD in one sector.

➡️ Range Gap: USS Lincoln (JASSM-ER ~925km) vs. Iran (Ghadr-380 >1000km, Drones 1500-4000km).

➡️ Intel: Iranian drones are already shadowing the USS Lincoln group.

➡️ Logistics: Bombers from Diego Garcia (3800-5200km away) carry heavy firepower (B-2/B-52/B1B) but cannot sustain the sortie rate needed to prevent retaliation.


2️⃣ Ignore allies and violate their airspace.

⏺ Risks:
➡️ US branded as an "unreliable partner" (officially).
➡️ Escalation to regional war & Strait of Hormuz blockade (20% of global oil).
➡️ Mass protests and attacks on US bases (Iraq 2020 scenario).

ℹ️SUMMARY: A US attack now is insufficient for regime change. Iran has stabilized internally (crushing protests after the Starlink blackout). This is a diplomatic trap: "No war, no peace."

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News Summary February 6

PART 2. Middle East Logistics

⚡️🇺🇸✈️🇮🇷 Since January 16, 2026, the #US Air Force has carried out at least 122 flights to the Middle East.
🤍 114 flights were performed by C-17A Globemaster III aircraft.
🤍 8 flights — by C-5M Super Galaxy.

➡️ Destinations 🇯🇴🇶🇦🇸🇦🇰🇼🇧🇭🇩🇯🇬🇧🇦🇪🇮🇱

▪️ 59 flights — Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, #Jordan;
▪️ 20 flights — Al Udeid Air Base, #Qatar;
▪️ 14 flights — Prince Sultan Air Base, #Saudi_Arabia;
▪️ 9 flights — Ali Al Salem Air Base, #Kuwait;
▪️ 4 flights — #Bahrain (including 3 to Isa Air Base);
▪️ 6 flights — US Navy Base Camp Lemonnier, #Djibouti;
▪️ 7 flights — Diego Garcia Air Base (3 via Al Udeid);
▪️ 2 flights — Al Dhafra Air Base, #UAE;
▪️ 1 flight — Nevatim Air Base, #Israel.

This count does not include intra-regional flights between bases, nor does it include over a dozen flights by US Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM).

🚨🇺🇸🚀 In total, the US has deployed over 450 Tomahawk cruise missiles to the Middle East — NBC News.

🇺🇸⛴ However, according to POLITICO, the US Navy still requires more than a week to reach positions necessary for a potential attack on Iran.

Diplomatic Panic
‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US Virtual Embassy in Tehran issued a major security alert urging US citizens to leave Iran immediately.
🤍 All this during talks between the US and Iran, which on the American side (besides Kushner and Witkoff) included CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper (suggesting that military men make lousy negotiators).

#US and #Iran held eight-hour talks in Muscat mediated by Oman — Axios.

⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸🇴🇲 Iran demanded to secure its right to uranium enrichment — WSJ, IRNA.
Iran is also not ready to make concessions on its ballistic missile program — NYT.

🔴 RESULT: There will be no agreement with Iran.

➡️ Meanwhile, sources at The National report that Kushner is "actively working" with Iranian-American businessmen to create a transitional government following the fall of the Iranian regime.

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Week in Review: The Calm Before the Storm

‼️🇺🇸 🇮🇷 #US vs #Iran: Pre-Strike Buildup Reaches Critical Mass

What we're witnessing is not "increased pressure" or a "negotiating posture." This is a textbook pre-strike force deployment

➡️ Two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford) are now converging on the Middle East. A single carrier group signals deterrence. Two signal an operation. The combined air wing comprises approximately 240 strike aircraft, including F/A-18E/F Super Hornets, F-35C/A, F-22A, F-16, and F-15E platforms, supported by EA-18G electronic warfare aircraft, E-2D/E-3 AWACS, P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol, and KC-135/KC-46 tankers

➡️ Since mid-January, the US has conducted roughly 200 C-17 Globemaster III transport flights to the region. At approximately $25,000 per flight hour and 11 hours per round trip, transport costs alone exceed $55 million — excluding the deployment of dozens of other aircraft and naval vessels

🇯🇴 THAAD missile defense systems have been deployed to Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base in Jordan, with at least 68 cargo aircraft arriving within five days. THAAD is not a deterrence tool — it's a shield you raise when you know the counterpunch is coming

🇳🇴 The US is withdrawing most of its aviation assets from NATO's Cold Response 2026 exercises in #Norway, scheduled for early-to-mid March. This is a direct resource reallocation from "training" to "operational" status

🇵🇹 Portugal's Lajes Field in the Azores experienced its largest-ever influx of American aircraft: at least 11 KC-46 tankers, 12 F-16 fighters, one C-17 transport, and approximately 400 US crew members transited through on February 18-19 alone. Staging bases are running out of capacity

🔴🕘 Estimated timeline: The strike group reaches peak readiness by late February to early March 2026. The operational window opens in the first two weeks of March. The likely scenario is a 72-hour air campaign targeting Iran's nuclear infrastructure (Natanz, Fordow, Isfahan, Arak, Bushehr) and IRGC command centers — not a ground invasion, but a decapitation of the nuclear program

➡️ Trump's mention of 32,000 Iranian protest casualties is narrative preparation — framing the strike as "liberation" rather than aggression

⚡️🇺🇸✈️Boeing C-17 Modernization: $400M for a "Retired" Workhorse

The US Air Force awarded Boeing a $400+ million contract to fully modernize the C-17A Globemaster III cockpit — for an aircraft whose production ended in 2015. The USAF needs the C-17 flying until 2075. This is not a typo. An aircraft designed in the 1980s is being prepared for service into the 2070s. The 200 transport flights to the Middle East in one month are a better justification for this investment than any Pentagon report

🇮🇱 🇦🇪 #UAE - #Israel: Shin Bet Embedded in the Emirates

A leaked UAE Ministry of Interior document reveals a secret agreement embedding seven Shin Bet agents directly within the command centers of Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and all seven emirates. Agents were issued Emirati identity cards for undercover operations. A joint Mossad-Shin Bet office was established at Expo 2020. Israeli "consultants" operate under the direct supervision of local police chiefs

This leak is either a deliberate signal from someone in Abu Dhabi seeking distance from Israel ahead of the Iran strike, or Iranian intelligence demonstrating awareness of Israeli-Gulf coordination. Either way, the message is clear: the Emirates are already inside the operation, whether they acknowledge it publicly or not

🇯🇵 🇩🇪 #Japan and #Germany have repeatedly urged their nationals working at US facilities in the Middle East to leave. MFAs across multiple countries have been issuing similar warnings for at least three weeks — routine noise until embassy evacuations begin, which marks the real countdown

⚠️As a reminder: in early February, #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan officially or privately warned the United States that they would not allow their airspace, land, or waters to be used for aggression against Iran

🇮🇷 #IRAN: News Summary, March 1st
Chaos in the Middle East

⚡️🇺🇸 Four US Air Force B-2A Spirit strategic bombers conducted a series of strikes on targets within Iranian territory, executing a non-stop trans-Atlantic flight from Whiteman Air Force Base with mid-air refueling last night. They have since set a return course.
➡️ The #US has officially confirmed strikes by B-2A Spirit bombers using 2,000-lb GBU-31(V)3/B JDAMs, based on BLU-109B penetrator bombs, against fortified Iranian ballistic missile production facilities.

🇺🇸 Trump stated that US forces have sunk nine Iranian ships and plan to sink the rest.

• CENTCOM announced the sinking of an Iranian Navy Jamaran-class corvette at the pier in the Iranian port of Chabahar.

• Images have been released of a burning Iranian Alvand-class frigate, equipped with 4 Chinese C-802 anti-ship missiles, at the neighboring naval base in Konarak (only 12 km away).

• The US also released a video (above) showing BGM-109 Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAM) being launched from the destroyer USS Thomas Hudner (DDG-116) at Iranian targets in support of Operation "Epic Fury" on March 1, 2026.

• CENTCOM provided a preliminary summary of Operation "Epic Fury" and the targets hit in Iran. Submarines are listed among them.

***

❗️Retaliatory Strikes:

🇫🇷 🇦🇪 Two Iranian Shahed-136 drones struck the French Naval Base "Camp de la Paix" near Port Zayed in Abu Dhabi, #UAE — after which #France decided to urgently redeploy the aircraft carrier "Charles de Gaulle" to the Eastern Mediterranean.

🇩🇪🇮🇶🇯🇴 German troop deployment sites in #Iraq and #Jordan were also attacked by Iranian drones.
Two Jordanian F-16s with AIM-120 and AIM-9 air-to-air missiles were scrambled to intercept Iranian Shahed-136 kamikaze drones.

🇦🇪 An Iranian Shahed-136 drone attacked a United Arab Emirates oil platform in the Persian Gulf.

🇺🇸 The IRGC once again attacked the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea with four ballistic missiles.

🇺🇸🇮🇶 Iran launched a missile strike on a US military base in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan (video below).

🇺🇸🇰🇼 US military personnel recorded a video of an Arash-2 kamikaze drone strike on the US base Camp Buehring in #Kuwait.

⚡️🇺🇸🇧🇭 Iran struck a naval base near the port of Salman in #Bahrain.

➡️ On the map — US bases in the Middle East subjected to confirmed strikes by Iran over the past 24 hours.

So far, Iran has attacked US and allied bases in 15 countries:
– 🇮🇱 Israel
– 🇺🇸 United States (bases)
– 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates
– 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
– 🇶🇦 Qatar
– 🇰🇼 Kuwait
– 🇯🇴 Jordan
– 🇮🇶 Iraq
– 🇧🇭 Bahrain
– 🇴🇲 Oman
– 🇸🇾 Syria
– 🇨🇾 Cyprus
– 🇫🇷 France (Camp de la Paix, UAE)
– 🇮🇹 Italy (in Kuwait)
– 🇬🇧 United Kingdom (in Cyprus)

Friendly Fire
🇪🇬🇵🇼🇴🇲🇬🇮 An Iranian oil fleet tanker — Skylight — registered to Red Sea Ship Management LLC (#Egypt) and sailing under the flag of #Palau, was attacked by the IRGC five nautical miles off the coast of Musandam, #Oman, and continues to burn and sink.
In total, Iran has managed to attack three tankers, two of which belong to Iran itself via proxies (one from the "shadow fleet" — Skylight) and a small #Gibraltar bunkering vessel (Hercules Star).

***

❗️🇺🇸 Trump stated that the war with Iran could last about a month.

⚡️🇦🇪 The #UAE authorities announced the suspension of trading on the Dubai and Abu Dhabi stock exchanges on March 2 and 3.
The Emirates are closing their embassy in Tehran and recalling their ambassador.

⚡️🇮🇱 The Israel Defense Forces announced the call-up of 100,000 reservists.
IDF Chief of Staff Zamir: "We still have many days of fighting ahead of us. We need patience now."

🇩🇪🇫🇷🇬🇧 #Germany, #France, and the #UK stated their readiness to take "defensive actions" to "destroy" Iran's military potential.

‼️🇮🇱🇬🇷🇩🇪 "Wing of Zion" — Israel's "Air Force One" — flew out of Tel Aviv yesterday afternoon, circled over the Mediterranean for four hours, then set course for Greece and eventually landed in Berlin, where it will remain until the end of the war in the Middle East.

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#US vs #IRAN — is it REALLY over?

Trump: "We're done, but we're not done."
⚡️🇺🇸 The U.S. operation against Iran is over, Trump said in a Fox News interview.

"This morning we got a call from the right people, the right ones, and they want to make a deal."

According to Vance, "The U.S. has achieved its goals in Iran, which is why they're winding down the military operation" — Fox News


⚡️🇺🇸 The U.S. has fully blockaded Iranian ports and completely halted maritime trade with Iran in less than 36 hours — CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper

🇬🇧❌🇺🇸 The #UK did not join the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
🇪🇺🇫🇷🇬🇧 Europe is preparing a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after the war, led by France and the UK, but without U.S. involvement — WSJ

⚡️🇮🇷 In the past 24 hours, 20 commercial vessels were allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz — Iran granted passage
Ships from Iran continue to cross Hormuz despite the U.S. blockade — Kpler Intelligence
Among them, a sanctioned Iranian VLCC supertanker capable of carrying up to 2 million barrels of crude oil passed through Hormuz

⚡️🇨🇳 Beijing called the US blockade dangerous and irresponsible
The U.S.-sanctioned Chinese tanker Rich Starry passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, carrying 250,000 barrels of methanol

🇮🇹❌🇮🇱 #Italy suspended the renewal of its defense cooperation agreement with #Israel

🇪🇸 Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez:

"I firmly believe it is in the interest of both #Spain and #Europe to strengthen ties with #China."

🇸🇦❌🇺🇸 Saudi Arabia is urging the US to end the Hormuz blockade and resume negotiations, fearing escalation — WSJ
Iran could retaliate by blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — a key oil export route.


➡️ The real reasons the war ended

🪖 LOSSES:
🇺🇸❌🚀U.S. Army spokesperson Jimmy Arter stated that the deployed artillery unit had exhausted its entire stock of Lockheed Martin Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM) early in the war against Iran last month — Aviation Week

✈️ Following recent losses and damage to its tanker fleet, the U.S. Air Force was forced to return decommissioned KC-135 tankers to service, including a 68-year-old Stratotanker built in 1958 — Bild

🇮🇷🇨🇳 It has been revealed that Iran secretly acquired a Chinese-built spy satellite (TEE-01B) in late 2024 through the IRGC's aerospace division — FT
The satellite was used to monitor key U.S. military bases in the Middle East, providing real-time imagery and coordinates.
➡️ Compare this with U.S. and Israeli strikes based on 15-year-old Google Maps imagery (the strike on kid's school in Minab, carried out 2.5 hours before Trump's order)

⚡️Confirmed: U.S. Navy surveillance drone MQ-4C Triton crashed on April 9 over the Persian Gulf — TWZ
It suddenly descended and disappeared from radar
The drone, carrying critical reconnaissance technology, is valued at $238 million

🗺 Satellite imagery shows a U.S. CH-47 Chinook helicopter was hit by Iranian strikes at Camp Buehring in Kuwait, and a CH-53 Sea Stallion helicopter was damaged at Ali Al Salem Air Base

The losses don't end there
⏺ 399 U.S. service members have been wounded during the conflict with Iran

❗️The U.S. has lost 7 more MQ-9 Reaper drones, bringing the total number of destroyed MQ-9 Reapers to 24 — EGYOSINT

🚢 U.S. destroyers USS Michael Murphy and USS Frank E. Peterson narrowly avoided destruction in the Strait of Hormuz.

💸 Iran demands reparations
‼️🇮🇷🪙 🇧🇭🇸🇦🇶🇦🇦🇪🇯🇴 Iran has officially demanded compensation from #Bahrain, #Saudi_Arabia, #Qatar, the #UAE, and #Jordan, accusing them of facilitating U.S. and Israeli attacks by allowing the use of their airspace, bases, or territory.
Tehran is demanding full reparations of $270 billion.

➡️ UPD:
Trump lifted his own blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, saying he did so for the sake of China and the world.

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