Sunday Digest: Earth and Space

Part 1 🌍 EARTH

#UAE #Russia #Ukraine
⚡️🧠❌🇺🇦🇷🇺🇺🇸 The meeting between Ukraine, Russia, and the US scheduled for today in Abu Dhabi will not take place — Reuters.
Preliminary data suggests the aborted round of negotiations has been rescheduled for February 4-5. Zelensky stated that Kyiv is awaiting additional information from Washington.

#USA #Finance
⚡️🇺🇸🪙 The US Government has shut down again, this time due to funding delays in the House of Representatives.
Congress is expected to return from forced recess on Monday. Meanwhile, Trump has signaled a softening of his deportation policy amidst plummeting popularity ahead of the midterms.

#Economy
📉 Crash in gold and silver prices triggers "panic" in New York's Diamond District — FT.

Recap:
🧱 Global silver prices plunged 36% — a historic anti-record.
🧱 Gold lost 12% — the sharpest drop in over 40 years.
The massive sell-off in global precious metals markets occurred on January 30.

Following in Keir Starmer's footsteps:
⚡️🇷🇺🛩🇨🇳 Former Russian Defense Minister, now Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu, has arrived in Beijing for an official visit — TASS.
Odd detail: For some reason, he flew on an Il-96-400 (RA-96102) belonging to the Russian Aerospace Forces, rather than the government flight detachment.

#USA & #China
⚡️🇺🇸🛞🇨🇳 Ford holds talks with Chinese giant Xiaomi regarding a partnership in the EV sector — FT.

⚡️🇨🇳🇹🇼 Xi Jinping has secured full personal control over the army, removing 5 out of 6 high-ranking generals who could have obstructed him. The last to be purged was Zhang Youxia, accused of espionage for the #USA.
According to WSJ, nothing and no one can now stand in the way of Beijing's plans for a military takeover of Taiwan.

#Middle_East
⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is forced to publicly retreat again.

Sentinel-2 satellite imagery taken a few hours ago shows the aircraft carrier CVN 72 Abraham Lincoln leaving the Sea of Oman and heading back toward the Indian Ocean.

➡️Furthermore, satellite images of the US base at Diego Garcia this morning show no American bombers present at the base.

#Ukraine & #Starlink
⚡️🇺🇦🇺🇸🛰❌🇷🇺 New Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov (in office since Jan 14, 2026) stated that Kyiv, together with SpaceX, has finally managed to restrict unauthorized Starlink terminals in occupied territories — and over the front line.

According to Fedorov, only authorized terminals will now function in Ukraine. All "non-Ukrainian" Starlinks will be disabled. Unverified terminals will be cut off.
We shall see.

⏺Reminder: One of Fedorov's first moves as Defense Minister (Jan 18) was an agreement with #Palantir to create an "advanced AI data center" (Brave1 Dataroom). However, it immediately surfaced that Fedorov had actually signed the contract with Palantir back in May 2023, while still Minister of Digital Transformation.

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Middle Eastern Zugzwang
⁉️🇺🇸🇮🇷Can the US strike Iran without regional allies?

🇸🇦🇦🇪🇶🇦🇰🇼🇮🇶🇯🇴🇴🇲🇦🇿🇹🇷🇵🇰❌🇺🇸Insiders report that #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan have refused #US access to their airspace/territory for aggression against #Iran.


➡️ Washington is left with two bad options:


1️⃣ Strike from the sea (Arabian Sea) or Diego Garcia via the narrow Gulf of Oman corridor (<300km).

➡️ The Trap: Predictable flight paths allow Iran to concentrate AD/A2AD in one sector.

➡️ Range Gap: USS Lincoln (JASSM-ER ~925km) vs. Iran (Ghadr-380 >1000km, Drones 1500-4000km).

➡️ Intel: Iranian drones are already shadowing the USS Lincoln group.

➡️ Logistics: Bombers from Diego Garcia (3800-5200km away) carry heavy firepower (B-2/B-52/B1B) but cannot sustain the sortie rate needed to prevent retaliation.


2️⃣ Ignore allies and violate their airspace.

⏺ Risks:
➡️ US branded as an "unreliable partner" (officially).
➡️ Escalation to regional war & Strait of Hormuz blockade (20% of global oil).
➡️ Mass protests and attacks on US bases (Iraq 2020 scenario).

ℹ️SUMMARY: A US attack now is insufficient for regime change. Iran has stabilized internally (crushing protests after the Starlink blackout). This is a diplomatic trap: "No war, no peace."

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News Summary February 6

PART 1. Epstein’s Echo & Intelligence Failures

Operation "MONITUM"
🇮🇱🇹🇷 For the first time in decades, a public failure of Israeli intelligence has been recorded.
Turkish National Intelligence (MİT) detained two suspects in Istanbul for espionage on behalf of Mossad.
➡️ Suspects: Mehmet Budak Derya (an engineer conducting espionage under the guise of marble trading) and his accomplice Veysel Kerimoglu.
Charges include gathering and transmitting intelligence data.
🤍Turks release video of Mossad agents detained


📄The Epstein Case

ℹ️The global intelligence community is bursting at the seams: The FBI finally decided to reveal the secret of the "crime of the century" success in several files.
🇺🇸🔎🇮🇱 Epstein was recruited by Mossad through Harvard law professor Alan Dershowitz.
➡️ It turns out Epstein worked for both US intelligence and "allied" agencies.
🇮🇱🇸🇦🇦🇪❌🇶🇦🇹🇷🇮🇷🇸🇾 Under the Israelis, Epstein underwent spy training under former Israeli PM Ehud Barak. Their alliance was part of a broader geopolitical front: #Israel, #Saudi_Arabia, and #UAE against #Qatar, #Turkey, #Iran, and #Syria.

➡️🌐🇳🇴 In turn, the #WEF launched an independent investigation into CEO Børge Brende after it was revealed that Brende dined with Epstein multiple times from 2018 at the invitation of former Norwegian Deputy PM Terje Rød-Larsen.

❗️🇺🇸🇸🇦🇨🇳 Epstein’s partnership with the Rothschilds and the Saudis has also been exposed, as well as the financier's race for immortality: Epstein funded a genome editing program (CRISPR) with a solid $193,400.
⏺ The Rothschilds' interaction with Epstein is extensive. The US DOJ archive contains nearly 12,000 mentions (though some documents are being systematically deleted).

➡️🌎 The list of figures in the "Epstein Case" includes half the world, including Google and X co-founder Sergey Brin, Bill Gates, and Apollo Global Management CEO Marc Rowan.
source: 1, 2, 3

➡️ Epstein also funded many Silicon Valley startups, — NYT citing declassified DOJ documents.
In 2014, he invested $3 million in Coinbase, $5 million in the startup Jawbone, and later increased his investment in that company to $11.25 million.

➡️ Furthermore, Epstein invested $40 million in Valar Ventures, the venture fund of Palantir founder and PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel — TASS.

* * *

📉 It is not surprising that against the backdrop of total leaks on the Epstein case and intelligence failures, the US stock market lost $1 trillion in capitalization, and the crypto market lost $350 billion.

📉💸📈 Bitcoin fell below $63,000 in 24 hours, then jumped back to $70,000.

💰 The Fear and Greed Index in the crypto market fell to 9/100, the lowest level since June 2022.

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News Summary February 6

PART 2. Middle East Logistics

⚡️🇺🇸✈️🇮🇷 Since January 16, 2026, the #US Air Force has carried out at least 122 flights to the Middle East.
🤍 114 flights were performed by C-17A Globemaster III aircraft.
🤍 8 flights — by C-5M Super Galaxy.

➡️ Destinations 🇯🇴🇶🇦🇸🇦🇰🇼🇧🇭🇩🇯🇬🇧🇦🇪🇮🇱

▪️ 59 flights — Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, #Jordan;
▪️ 20 flights — Al Udeid Air Base, #Qatar;
▪️ 14 flights — Prince Sultan Air Base, #Saudi_Arabia;
▪️ 9 flights — Ali Al Salem Air Base, #Kuwait;
▪️ 4 flights — #Bahrain (including 3 to Isa Air Base);
▪️ 6 flights — US Navy Base Camp Lemonnier, #Djibouti;
▪️ 7 flights — Diego Garcia Air Base (3 via Al Udeid);
▪️ 2 flights — Al Dhafra Air Base, #UAE;
▪️ 1 flight — Nevatim Air Base, #Israel.

This count does not include intra-regional flights between bases, nor does it include over a dozen flights by US Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM).

🚨🇺🇸🚀 In total, the US has deployed over 450 Tomahawk cruise missiles to the Middle East — NBC News.

🇺🇸⛴ However, according to POLITICO, the US Navy still requires more than a week to reach positions necessary for a potential attack on Iran.

Diplomatic Panic
‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US Virtual Embassy in Tehran issued a major security alert urging US citizens to leave Iran immediately.
🤍 All this during talks between the US and Iran, which on the American side (besides Kushner and Witkoff) included CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper (suggesting that military men make lousy negotiators).

#US and #Iran held eight-hour talks in Muscat mediated by Oman — Axios.

⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸🇴🇲 Iran demanded to secure its right to uranium enrichment — WSJ, IRNA.
Iran is also not ready to make concessions on its ballistic missile program — NYT.

🔴 RESULT: There will be no agreement with Iran.

➡️ Meanwhile, sources at The National report that Kushner is "actively working" with Iranian-American businessmen to create a transitional government following the fall of the Iranian regime.

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Week in Review: The Calm Before the Storm

‼️🇺🇸 🇮🇷 #US vs #Iran: Pre-Strike Buildup Reaches Critical Mass

What we're witnessing is not "increased pressure" or a "negotiating posture." This is a textbook pre-strike force deployment

➡️ Two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford) are now converging on the Middle East. A single carrier group signals deterrence. Two signal an operation. The combined air wing comprises approximately 240 strike aircraft, including F/A-18E/F Super Hornets, F-35C/A, F-22A, F-16, and F-15E platforms, supported by EA-18G electronic warfare aircraft, E-2D/E-3 AWACS, P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol, and KC-135/KC-46 tankers

➡️ Since mid-January, the US has conducted roughly 200 C-17 Globemaster III transport flights to the region. At approximately $25,000 per flight hour and 11 hours per round trip, transport costs alone exceed $55 million — excluding the deployment of dozens of other aircraft and naval vessels

🇯🇴 THAAD missile defense systems have been deployed to Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base in Jordan, with at least 68 cargo aircraft arriving within five days. THAAD is not a deterrence tool — it's a shield you raise when you know the counterpunch is coming

🇳🇴 The US is withdrawing most of its aviation assets from NATO's Cold Response 2026 exercises in #Norway, scheduled for early-to-mid March. This is a direct resource reallocation from "training" to "operational" status

🇵🇹 Portugal's Lajes Field in the Azores experienced its largest-ever influx of American aircraft: at least 11 KC-46 tankers, 12 F-16 fighters, one C-17 transport, and approximately 400 US crew members transited through on February 18-19 alone. Staging bases are running out of capacity

🔴🕘 Estimated timeline: The strike group reaches peak readiness by late February to early March 2026. The operational window opens in the first two weeks of March. The likely scenario is a 72-hour air campaign targeting Iran's nuclear infrastructure (Natanz, Fordow, Isfahan, Arak, Bushehr) and IRGC command centers — not a ground invasion, but a decapitation of the nuclear program

➡️ Trump's mention of 32,000 Iranian protest casualties is narrative preparation — framing the strike as "liberation" rather than aggression

⚡️🇺🇸✈️Boeing C-17 Modernization: $400M for a "Retired" Workhorse

The US Air Force awarded Boeing a $400+ million contract to fully modernize the C-17A Globemaster III cockpit — for an aircraft whose production ended in 2015. The USAF needs the C-17 flying until 2075. This is not a typo. An aircraft designed in the 1980s is being prepared for service into the 2070s. The 200 transport flights to the Middle East in one month are a better justification for this investment than any Pentagon report

🇮🇱 🇦🇪 #UAE - #Israel: Shin Bet Embedded in the Emirates

A leaked UAE Ministry of Interior document reveals a secret agreement embedding seven Shin Bet agents directly within the command centers of Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and all seven emirates. Agents were issued Emirati identity cards for undercover operations. A joint Mossad-Shin Bet office was established at Expo 2020. Israeli "consultants" operate under the direct supervision of local police chiefs

This leak is either a deliberate signal from someone in Abu Dhabi seeking distance from Israel ahead of the Iran strike, or Iranian intelligence demonstrating awareness of Israeli-Gulf coordination. Either way, the message is clear: the Emirates are already inside the operation, whether they acknowledge it publicly or not

🇯🇵 🇩🇪 #Japan and #Germany have repeatedly urged their nationals working at US facilities in the Middle East to leave. MFAs across multiple countries have been issuing similar warnings for at least three weeks — routine noise until embassy evacuations begin, which marks the real countdown

⚠️As a reminder: in early February, #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan officially or privately warned the United States that they would not allow their airspace, land, or waters to be used for aggression against Iran

🇮🇷 #IRAN: News Summary, March 1st
Chaos in the Middle East

⚡️🇺🇸 Four US Air Force B-2A Spirit strategic bombers conducted a series of strikes on targets within Iranian territory, executing a non-stop trans-Atlantic flight from Whiteman Air Force Base with mid-air refueling last night. They have since set a return course.
➡️ The #US has officially confirmed strikes by B-2A Spirit bombers using 2,000-lb GBU-31(V)3/B JDAMs, based on BLU-109B penetrator bombs, against fortified Iranian ballistic missile production facilities.

🇺🇸 Trump stated that US forces have sunk nine Iranian ships and plan to sink the rest.

• CENTCOM announced the sinking of an Iranian Navy Jamaran-class corvette at the pier in the Iranian port of Chabahar.

• Images have been released of a burning Iranian Alvand-class frigate, equipped with 4 Chinese C-802 anti-ship missiles, at the neighboring naval base in Konarak (only 12 km away).

• The US also released a video (above) showing BGM-109 Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAM) being launched from the destroyer USS Thomas Hudner (DDG-116) at Iranian targets in support of Operation "Epic Fury" on March 1, 2026.

• CENTCOM provided a preliminary summary of Operation "Epic Fury" and the targets hit in Iran. Submarines are listed among them.

***

❗️Retaliatory Strikes:

🇫🇷 🇦🇪 Two Iranian Shahed-136 drones struck the French Naval Base "Camp de la Paix" near Port Zayed in Abu Dhabi, #UAE — after which #France decided to urgently redeploy the aircraft carrier "Charles de Gaulle" to the Eastern Mediterranean.

🇩🇪🇮🇶🇯🇴 German troop deployment sites in #Iraq and #Jordan were also attacked by Iranian drones.
Two Jordanian F-16s with AIM-120 and AIM-9 air-to-air missiles were scrambled to intercept Iranian Shahed-136 kamikaze drones.

🇦🇪 An Iranian Shahed-136 drone attacked a United Arab Emirates oil platform in the Persian Gulf.

🇺🇸 The IRGC once again attacked the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea with four ballistic missiles.

🇺🇸🇮🇶 Iran launched a missile strike on a US military base in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan (video below).

🇺🇸🇰🇼 US military personnel recorded a video of an Arash-2 kamikaze drone strike on the US base Camp Buehring in #Kuwait.

⚡️🇺🇸🇧🇭 Iran struck a naval base near the port of Salman in #Bahrain.

➡️ On the map — US bases in the Middle East subjected to confirmed strikes by Iran over the past 24 hours.

So far, Iran has attacked US and allied bases in 15 countries:
– 🇮🇱 Israel
– 🇺🇸 United States (bases)
– 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates
– 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
– 🇶🇦 Qatar
– 🇰🇼 Kuwait
– 🇯🇴 Jordan
– 🇮🇶 Iraq
– 🇧🇭 Bahrain
– 🇴🇲 Oman
– 🇸🇾 Syria
– 🇨🇾 Cyprus
– 🇫🇷 France (Camp de la Paix, UAE)
– 🇮🇹 Italy (in Kuwait)
– 🇬🇧 United Kingdom (in Cyprus)

Friendly Fire
🇪🇬🇵🇼🇴🇲🇬🇮 An Iranian oil fleet tanker — Skylight — registered to Red Sea Ship Management LLC (#Egypt) and sailing under the flag of #Palau, was attacked by the IRGC five nautical miles off the coast of Musandam, #Oman, and continues to burn and sink.
In total, Iran has managed to attack three tankers, two of which belong to Iran itself via proxies (one from the "shadow fleet" — Skylight) and a small #Gibraltar bunkering vessel (Hercules Star).

***

❗️🇺🇸 Trump stated that the war with Iran could last about a month.

⚡️🇦🇪 The #UAE authorities announced the suspension of trading on the Dubai and Abu Dhabi stock exchanges on March 2 and 3.
The Emirates are closing their embassy in Tehran and recalling their ambassador.

⚡️🇮🇱 The Israel Defense Forces announced the call-up of 100,000 reservists.
IDF Chief of Staff Zamir: "We still have many days of fighting ahead of us. We need patience now."

🇩🇪🇫🇷🇬🇧 #Germany, #France, and the #UK stated their readiness to take "defensive actions" to "destroy" Iran's military potential.

‼️🇮🇱🇬🇷🇩🇪 "Wing of Zion" — Israel's "Air Force One" — flew out of Tel Aviv yesterday afternoon, circled over the Mediterranean for four hours, then set course for Greece and eventually landed in Berlin, where it will remain until the end of the war in the Middle East.

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#War in #Iran: When the Stakes Are Higher Than Life

⚡️🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The U.S. government yesterday paid an informant in Iran — 0.0378 BTC ($2,520). This was instantly exposed (screenshot attached).

❗️🇮🇷 Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani on X:

"Through Netanyahu's reckless clownish behavior, Trump dragged the American people into an unjust war with Iran. Let him ask himself today: after more than 500 American soldiers killed in just a few days, does the slogan 'America First' still stand — or has it become 'Israel First'?"

🔴☠️🇺🇸 Over 100 U.S. Marines killed in a strike on Dubai, #UAE — reported by "Khatam al-Anbiya", an Iranian-linked military command.

➡️ 50,000 U.S. military personnel are involved in the operation against Iran — CENTCOM.

⁉️SUDDENLY
❗️🇺🇸 Trump: "If Iran kills me, they will be destroyed. I have left instructions. There will be nothing left of Iran."

⚡️🇺🇸 "Iran's ballistic missile launches have decreased by 86%, strike UAVs — by 73%" — Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Caine.

⚡️🇺🇸 "The war with Iran could last up to 8 weeks. But the U.S. and Israel will gain full control of Iranian airspace in less than a week", — Hegseth.

🇮🇱 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Israeli intel has received info that raises suspicions that some kind of dialogue is taking place between Tehran and Washington — Axios

🇮🇱 🇺🇸 #Israel announced the elimination of Rahman Moqadam, head of the IRGC's Special Operations Division, who allegedly masterminded the assassination attempt on Trump ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

‼️🇺🇸 #USA conducted a test launch of a Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile, according to a statement from the Air Force Global Strike Command.

⚡️🇹🇷 Turkey's Ministry of Defense reported intercepting a ballistic missile over its territory.

⚡️🇺🇳 An independent #UN mission found that U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran violate the UN Charter.
However, the emergency UN Security Council session ended without a resolution (due to U.S. veto).

🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷The Pentagon is burning through precision munitions at such a rate that the U.S. military is "just days away" from having to prioritize which targets to intercept first — WSJ.
OSINT observers: U.S. forces in Qatar are using PAC-2 air defense missiles manufactured in 2000, after running out of PAC-3 interceptors.

📈🇺🇸🛢Average U.S. gas prices have surged at the fastest pace in two days since 2005.
🛩 Jet fuel prices have also spiked sharply.

🛢📉Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped by 90%.
Insurers have pulled coverage — no tanker will sail without insurance. China receives 57% of its oil from the Middle East (Le Monde). This is the beginning of a global crisis.

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#Iran War
Doomsday Sandwiches

It’s time to call the men in white coats to the White House, but Trump invited the priests instead.
✝️ 🇺🇸 POTUS has found a new, extravagant way to fix the mess on the Middle Eastern front: prayer circles in the Oval Office.

➡️ Déjà vu much? Russians under Putin fight fires and floods the exact same way. "Icons it is!"

❌🇮🇷 Meanwhile, the late Khamenei continues to shitpost on X threatening tweets with missiles (what a disgrace, what the hell is Grok doing? Zero national patriotism!)


🥕🗺 While two geezers — one technically dead, the other technically alive — continue to lose their minds in their own special ways, the Arabs are suddenly very interested in a pressing question: what the fuck are we going to eat?

As it turns out, the entire Middle Eastern economy has survived for decades on a primitive scheme: oil for food.

🇦🇪 #UAE imports 80-90% of its food.

🇸🇦 #Saudi_Arabia — 80%.

🇰🇼 #Kuwait — 95%.

❗️Dubai has exactly 10 days of fresh food left, according to Stefan Paul, CEO of logistics giant Kühne+Nagel, in an interview with Heute.


Everyone has their own priorities
🇺🇸 Hegseth and Brad Cooper (CENTCOM Commander) happily reported their "achievements":

✅ Over the past 72 hours, US bombers struck nearly 200 targets deep inside Iran.

✅ In the last hour, B-2A Spirit bombers dropped dozens of 2,000-pound bunker-busters aimed at deep-underground ballistic missile launchers.

✅ Iranian missile strikes have dropped by 90% since day one, and drone strikes by 81%.

✅ We sank over 30 Iranian ships.

➡️ "US troops in Iran ditched PC war rules," — Pentagon Chief Pete Hegseth.

⏺Conscience or basic humanity? MIA too:

NYT reported that the strike on a girls' primary school Shajareh Tayyebeh in Minab, Iran, which killed 171 children and 14 staff members, was carried out by the US Air Force, not Israel.

🇺🇸 🇺🇦 Fox News, backing up claims of outstanding American successes on all fronts, broadcasted footage of Ukrainian STING interceptor drones hitting Russian Geran-2 kamikaze drones in Ukraine, passing it off as incredible US AI drone technology currently crushing Iran.

➡️✈️Meanwhile, in reality: the valiant US Air Force successfully bombed painted Iranian planes on tarmac.
Meanwhile, US intel/military yanked staff from ME (friendly fire flashbacks?)

🇮🇷 #Iran is eagerly waiting for the #US to finally launch a ground operation, which "will become hell for them." As it known, the first attempt at a ground phase via Iraq was a total flop.

"Yeah, right!"
🇺🇸 Trump immediately called the idea of a ground invasion of Iran a "waste of time" (NBC News) and stated:

We had no choice. They were going to hit us if we didn’t hit them because they are crazy, not us."

As they say, there's no arguing over flavors of nuts. Putin said the exact same thing about Ukraine in 2022.

UPD:
⚡️🇨🇺 Trump also stated that after Iran there will be #Cuba — Rubio will "prepare everything."

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#US vs. #IRAN — Middle East #War: Market Meltdown

⚡️💸📉Bitcoin crashed to $68,000. The entire crypto market is bleeding.

⚠️📉 Not just crypto — the entire US stock market is on fire because of Trump's war.
Investors lost over $800 billion in minutes.

⚡️🛢📈 Brent crude surged to $92/barrel — first time since 2024. Oil is up 43% since the start of this year.
@banki_oil

➡️ The Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

Key stats: ~25% of all global seaborne oil trade passes through Hormuz.

• 🇸🇦 37% — #Saudi Arabia

• 🇮🇶🇦🇪🇮🇷🇰🇼 Followed by #Iraq, #UAE, #Iran, #Kuwait

Top buyers:

• 🇨🇳 #China — 37.7% of all shipments

• 🇮🇳 #India — 14.7%

For comparison, in 2017:

• 🇨🇳 China bought 26% of Iranian oil

• 🇮🇳 India — 20%

• 🇪🇺 Europe — 19%

• 🇰🇷 South Korea — 12%

Today Europe buys zero — nearly all its oil comes from #Russia (including via India).

Conclusion: The Kremlin is playing by its own rules — and winning.

🇺🇸🛢 Depleted oil reserves make the US vulnerable if the war with Iran drags on — Financial Times

➡️ Here's why Trump needs this war: The US economy "unexpectedly" lost 92,000 jobs in February 2026 alone — WSJ (confirmed: PBS, NBC, EPI — unemployment rose to 4.4%)

🇦🇪💵🪖❌🇺🇦 Gulf states are willing to pay more for weapons: The US approved a $184M Patriot missile system deal for the UAE — instead of Ukraine. (confirmed: Raytheon contract, $183.7M, approved March 4-5)

⚡️⚡️UPD:
❌💸 BlackRock just froze $1.2B in withdrawal requests at its private credit fund.

What happened:
• Investors in BlackRock's $26B fund asked to pull out 9.3% of their money
• BlackRock said no — capped withdrawals at 5%
• Blackstone's $82B fund saw record withdrawal requests the same week
• Blackstone had to put in $400M of its own cash to cover the exits

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#US vs. #IRAN #War
Second phase of the war: neither oil nor water
ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHE IN THE MIDDLE EAST · Part 1: #OIL

🇺🇸🇮🇱🔥🛢🇮🇷 Having fortunately refrained from a nuclear strike, Washington and Tel Aviv have moved to the second phase of the war, simultaneously attacking Iran's oil infrastructure and triggering an environmental catastrophe

FACTS:
➡️ Oil depots are burning across Tehran.

⏺Massive columns of smoke rise above fuel tanks at oil refineries, blanketing the skies over Iran's capital.

⏺Following a massive US and Israeli attack on an oil storage facility in Rey, south of Tehran, crude oil entered the sewage system and ignited fires in the streets.

⏺CNN reports black, oil-contaminated rain falling over Tehran following US and Israeli airstrikes.

⏺ Yesterday the White House declared it "wants" to "take oil out of the hands of terrorists" — and hours later bombed Iranian oil facilities, triggering an environmental catastrophe in the Tehran metro area, home to 14 million people.

🔴 The IDF confirmed the attacks and released initial results:

"The Israeli Air Force, under the guidance and in cooperation with Military Intelligence (Aman) and the Operations Directorate (Amatz), recently struck several fuel storage facilities in Tehran."

• Over 300 targets were hit over the weekend with approximately 1,500 munitions.

• Israeli Air Force Commander Major General Tomer Bar personally participated in bombing raids on Iran, flying an F-15 fighter jet.

🔴 US officials are discussing the possible seizure of Iran's oil terminal on Kharg Island — Axios

Collateral damage:
📈💵Average US gasoline prices rose to $3.45, the highest since September 2024.
But Trump, as usual, casually declared that oil prices would go down.

REASONS:
➡️#Israel understands and is in a hurry: the US-backed war may end within a week — the Pentagon is critically short of funds to continue the war at its initial pace.

• Just one week into the war, the US-Israeli coalition was forced to sharply reduce strikes on Iran: the daily volume of attacks dropped by 55–65%.

• According to a CENTCOM bulletin, US forces struck 1,250 targets in the first 48 hours and 1,700 targets in the first 72 hours.

OBJECTIVE:
➡️ The logic behind the oil carnage: closing the Strait of Hormuz poses catastrophic risks to Asia's entire energy security.

🇦🇪🇰🇼 #UAE and #Kuwait are cutting oil production due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz — Bloomberg

Asia remains critically dependent on Middle Eastern oil and LNG transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
The latest data shows that ~85–90% of crude oil and ~82–90% of LNG (from Qatar/UAE) flow to Asian countries:
🇨🇳 #China accounts for ~38% of oil volume
🇮🇳 #India ~15%
🇰🇷 #South_Korea ~12%.

🛢📈 WTI crude oil prices surged more than 35% this week — the largest weekly gain in 43 years.

BENEFICIARIES:
➡️ 🇺🇸 🇷🇺 ❌🇨🇳 By engineering an environmental catastrophe in Iran, the US is pulling the chair out from under Beijing — while simultaneously handing Russia carte blanche in its war against Ukraine, now in its fifth year.

Russia is the second beneficiary after the US. Oil at $93+ (Murban), WTI +35%. Every dollar of oil price increase means billions into the Russian budget.

Russia was suffocating at $60+ (with $70 baked into the budget). At $90+ the Kremlin breathes freely. Washington understands this better than anyone — remember Trump's words: "At $40 a barrel, Russia can't afford to fight."

The oil price surge is not a side effect. It's part of the deal. The Anchorage agreement is bearing fruit.

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#US vs. #IRAN #War
🔥Second phase of the war: neither oil nor water
ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHE IN THE MIDDLE EAST · Part 2: #WATER & #URANIUM

⚡️BREAKING:
🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Axios, citing informed sources, reports negotiations between the US and Israel on plans to send special forces into Iranian territory to seize uranium stockpiles:

The US is considering deploying special forces to capture Iran's nuclear arsenal.

❗️Note: in the editors' opinion, this may be a planted story — the US lacks the capacity for a ground operation.

⚡️"Trump has privately expressed serious interest in deploying American troops on Iranian soil" — NBC News
➡️ Why haven't they been deployed yet, and why did the attack through Iraq stall?


📝 ⚔️Information warfare in progress:

🇦🇪 🚀🇮🇷 The #UAE struck an Iranian desalination plant for the first time — Israeli media

🇮🇷🚀 🇦🇪 The UAE, in turn, claims that Iran struck the Emirates hardest, carrying out 42.8% of all attacks (over 1,276) — more than double Israel's 20.1% (approximately 600 attacks).

🇰🇼 🇧🇭 🇸🇦 Next in scale is #Kuwait at 16.8% (approximately 500 attacks), while #Bahrain (6.6%) and #Saudi_Arabia (5.4%) account for a smaller share of the nearly 2,981 recorded attacks.

🇮🇷🚀🇧🇭 Bahrain's Ministry of Interior stated that an Iranian drone caused "material damage" to their desalination facility.

💧 Persian Gulf states rely on desalination for more than 85–90% of their drinking water.

🇶🇦 #Qatar depends on desalination for nearly 100%
🇰🇼🇧🇭 #Kuwait and #Bahrain ~ 90%
🇴🇲 #Oman — 86%
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 70%.

🇧🇭 Bahrain allows the US to use its territory to strike Iran, and confirms that the US previously bombed an Iranian desalination plant.
The strike was carried out after US airstrikes, supported by Israel, hit an Iranian desalination plant on Qeshm Island.

🇺🇸 When asked whether the US attacked a water desalination plant in Iran, Trump responded in classic fashion:

Iranians are "some of the most vicious people on Earth," "They cut babies' heads off..."

As seen in the video, Witkoff and Hegseth nod in agreement.


➡️ For US financial losses in the war against Iran, read on.

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#US vs. #IRAN #War
🔥Second phase of the war: neither oil nor water
ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHE IN THE MIDDLE EAST · Part 3: #LOSSES

🗺 The first map shows the deployment of US Air Force strategic bombers for strikes on Iranian territory.

Math puzzles:
🇺🇸 According to US sources, more than 200 strikes were carried out on Iranian targets over the past 72 hours.
🇮🇱 As a reminder, Israel claims 300 targets were hit only in the last 24 hours alone.

⚡️💵The State Department approved an emergency $151.8 million deal to sell Israel 12,000 BLU-110 bombs.
According to the IDF, more than 6,500 various munitions have been dropped on Iran since the start of the military operation.

🇮🇶 Yesterday: US troops supported by AH-64 Apache attack helicopters engaged in combat with Iranian proxies in Mosul, Iraq, according to local sources (video).

⚡️🇬🇧 Today: US Air Force B-1B Lancer long-range bombers arrived at RAF Fairford in the UK en route to the Middle East.

❗️ 🇦🇪 Chinese satellite imagery shows visible damage from Iranian attacks on Al Dhafra Air Base in the #UAE, where US forces are stationed.

🛰 Planet Labs satellite imagery reveals at least 17 aircraft, most of them civilian, destroyed in yesterday's US and Israeli attacks on Mehrabad International Airport.

SUDDENLY:
‼️🇺🇸 The Pentagon has cancelled major exercises of the US Army's 82nd Airborne Division.

Analysts believe one of the military's premier units, specializing in large-scale invasion operations, may be deployed to the Middle East.

➡️ Putin did the same thing back in the day: he committed his best troops in the first days of the war.

⚡️🇮🇱 🇦🇿 Israeli officials expressed confidence that #Azerbaijan will join the war against Iran "in the very near future."
➡️ Azerbaijan — a former Soviet republic — is under Turkey's umbrella and is increasingly distancing itself from Moscow.

🔴 KEY TAKEAWAY (map 2):

➡️ US financial losses (confirmed by the Pentagon) — at least $2.52B.

⏺ AN/FPS-132 air defense radar system worth $1.1 billion — Qatar;

⏺ AN/TPY-2 radar from the THAAD system worth $500 million — UAE;

⏺ At least three F-15E Strike Eagle fighters worth a combined $282 million — Kuwait (total losses: five F-15Es, 2 unconfirmed, plus one F-16 and possibly one F-35);

⏺ Three AN/GSC-52B satellite communication terminals worth a combined $30 million — Kuwait;

⏺ Two AN/GSC-52B satellite communication terminals worth a combined $20 million — Bahrain;

⏺ AN/TPY-2 radar from the THAAD system worth $500 million — Jordan;

⏺ Three MQ-9 Reaper drones worth a combined $90 million — in Iran.

💸🪖 NYT: The war against Iran cost the US at least $6B in the first week
About $4B of this amount was spent on munitions, primarily on missile interception systems.


➡️ 🇪🇺 #Europe under fire:
🔥🇳🇴 An explosion occurred on the grounds of the US Embassy in Oslo, #Norway (video).

🇵🇱 In Warsaw, #Poland, metro stations are being stocked with supplies to shelter the population in the event of a major war (video).
"Thanks," Trump!

⚡️⚡️UPD:
💀 Iran reported 104 sailors were killed and 32 wounded in U.S. Submarine Strike on Frigate Dena on March 4, 2026.

The vessel, carrying 136 crew members, was returning from the MILAN 2026 multinational naval exercise hosted by India.
20 crew members are missing; the wounded are in Sri Lanka.

The US confirmed the strike — The Global Eye

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#US vs. #IRAN #War
CONSEQUENCES: Between Past and Future
PART 2: Who Pays for the War

➡️ 🇺🇸🔥🌎 The US is dragging more countries into the war

🇧🇭 🇰🇼 The US military is using the territory of Bahrain and Kuwait for strikes against Iran: transport-launch containers for American ATACMS tactical missiles, launched via HIMARS MLRS, have been discovered in the Kuwaiti desert.

⚡️🇹🇷 An Iranian ballistic missile was intercepted today in Turkish airspace.
Debris fell near Gaziantep.

🇺🇸 🇹🇷The US has ordered non-essential embassy staff and their families to leave the consulate in Adana, southern Turkey, due to security threats related to the war against Iran.

🇮🇷🇨🇾🇹🇷🇦🇿 Iran has not attacked #Cyprus, #Turkey, or #Azerbaijan — Iranian Foreign Ministry.
Iran also reported 1,255 civilian deaths as a result of US and Israeli airstrikes — Al Jazeera

🇹🇷🇨🇾 Turkey has deployed six F-16 fighter jets and air defense systems to the territory of Northern Cyprus.

⚡️🇬🇧 Three US Air Force B-52H Stratofortress strategic bombers have arrived at the UK's RAF Fairford airbase.
⚡️⚡️🇮🇱 Trump's special envoy Witkoff and the US President's son-in-law Kushner have abruptly canceled their planned March 10 trip to Israel — reported by Israel's Channel 12.
➡️ Not hard to guess what this means.

🇹🇷 Erdogan:

"Turkey stands on the side of justice, honesty, international law, peace, and stability in the Iranian crisis.
We support the resolution of conflicts through dialogue."

CASUALTIES:

🔥☠️ The IRGC has struck five US bases in the Middle East and Israeli bases in the Tel Aviv and Haifa areas — pro-Russian sources.

🇦🇪 The #UAE has reported the death of two of its servicemen "in a helicopter crash while on duty."

🇱🇧 Hezbollah missiles struck a vital Israeli satellite communications center (Radar station in Beit Shemesh
"The latest missile attack from Lebanon on the center of the country was carried out using precision surface-to-surface missiles." — Israeli media.

🇮🇱 The IDF reported the death of one of its soldiers.

🇵🇰 War is approaching to #Pakistan.
Israeli/US drones have been spotted over Zahedan, the capital of Iranian Balochistan, the closest major city to the Pakistani border

⚡️🇸🇦 The US is urgently evacuating its tankers from a Saudi base.
The US has withdrawn its aerial refueling tankers from Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia following intense strikes on the facility last night.

🇺🇸 Trump said ships waiting at the Strait of Hormuz should “show some guts” and move through the waterway despite tensions with Iran.

In an interview with Fox News host Brian Kilmeade on Sunday, Trump said,
“There’s nothing to be afraid of, they have no Navy, we sunk all their ships… and all but 20% of their launchers.”

ECONOMIC STRIKE:
➡️ 💵📈 Dollar surged as the war in the Middle East drove oil prices above $110 per barrel.

📉🇦🇪 Dubai's real estate price index collapsed by 15-20%.

💸Over $900 billion was wiped off the US stock market at the opening bell.

📉 European stock exchanges also opened with significant declines:
🇫🇷 Paris -2.29%,
🇩🇪 Frankfurt -2.50%,
🇬🇧 London -1.26% (AFP).

REACTION IN THE US:
⁉️🇺🇸🪖Americans on social media have called for Trump's youngest son, 19-year-old Barron, to voluntarily enlist in the military and go to the war in Iran.

🇺🇸 Trump immediately stated that he is far from ordering a ground mission in Iran.
➡️ But at the same time, we remind you, the White House "does not rule out mobilization."

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#US vs #IRAN
Third phase of war

💰Monetization of the Strait of Hormuz
🇯🇵🇨🇳🇮🇷 #Japan agreed to pay Iran in yuan in exchange for passage of its ships through Hormuz
Other countries wishing their ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz will apparently also be forced to pay Iran in yuan

➡️ Iran has retained some mini-submarines operating in "free hunt" mode in the Hormuz Strait zone — Israel's Channel 9 citing British media (details)

❗️🇦🇪 #UAE MFA published a joint statement from 22 countries expressing readiness to "contribute to efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz":
Including Australia, Bahrain, UK, Germany, Denmark, Italy, Canada, Republic of Korea, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, Slovenia, Finland, France, Czech Republic, Sweden, Estonia and Japan.


💵🇺🇸 US has spent over $27 billion on the military operation so far
First 6 days of conflict cost $11.3 billion, each subsequent day — about $1 billion. This estimate excludes some associated costs, including force deployment and equipment replacement

🇩🇪🇯🇵 #Germany and #Japan plan to conclude a new defense agreement
Defense Minister Pistorius proposed a "Reciprocal Access Agreement" for joint training, exercises and troop deployment


Trump trapped
🇺🇸 Trump faces the toughest decision of his presidency — whether to deploy hundreds or even thousands of American ground troops in Iran — CNN

➡️ Polymarket odds of US launching ground invasion before end of 2026 have risen to 57% — up more than 40% since early March
Amphibious Ready Groups (ARG), over 5,000 Marines and several thousand soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division are heading to the Middle East

➡️ However, according to Reuters/Ipsos poll, 59% of Americans disapprove of military action against Iran


#UK seizes initiative
⚡️🇬🇧🇨🇾 Keir Starmer declared the US can no longer use Akrotiri airbase in #Cyprus for strikes on Iran

Daily Mail: Nuclear submarine HMS Anson of the Royal Navy has arrived in the Arabian Sea with Tomahawk Block IV cruise missiles with range up to 1,600 km and Spearfish heavy torpedoes

🚢 📉 US shipbuilding in decline: today the US builds about three major cargo vessels per year, while China builds about 1,000
⚡️US Air Force continues demonstrative testing of AGM-181 Long Range Stand Off (LRSO) missile — a new supersonic nuclear-armed cruise missile — on B-52H Stratofortress bomber


Experts: US and Israeli positions increasingly diverging
➡️ Trump decided to start war with Iran under pressure from external allies such as Netanyahu and Rupert Murdoch — Bloomberg

🇹🇷 Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan:

War may continue for another two-three weeks, Israel will try to drag it out by pressuring the US
The problem is not the lack of plans to end the war, but that Israel doesn't want peace

🇫🇷 French General Nicolas Richoux on Trump:

He shot himself in the foot. He wanted to invade a European Union country, Greenland, not long ago.
And now, his old friends whom he didn’t consult, whom he scorned, especially the British, telling them: 'We’ll remember this.'
He can go fuck himself

🇫🇮 Finnish President Alexander Stubb:

Previously the US consulted with its allies before [invading] Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan, and also sought UN Security Council approval

⚡️🇺🇸 Trump is trying to figure out who actually makes decisions in Iran in search of possible peace negotiations — Axios

🇪🇬🇶🇦🇬🇧 In recent days there have been no direct contacts between the US and Iran, however #Egypt, #Qatar and #UK have been passing messages between the two sides

US wants Iran to commit to:

1. No missile program for 5 years

2. No uranium enrichment

3. Decommissioning of reactors at Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow

4. Observer oversight of centrifuge use

5. Missile limit of 1,000

6. Cessation of funding for Hezbollah, Ansar Allah and Hamas

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#US vs #IRAN — is it REALLY over?

Trump: "We're done, but we're not done."
⚡️🇺🇸 The U.S. operation against Iran is over, Trump said in a Fox News interview.

"This morning we got a call from the right people, the right ones, and they want to make a deal."

According to Vance, "The U.S. has achieved its goals in Iran, which is why they're winding down the military operation" — Fox News


⚡️🇺🇸 The U.S. has fully blockaded Iranian ports and completely halted maritime trade with Iran in less than 36 hours — CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper

🇬🇧❌🇺🇸 The #UK did not join the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
🇪🇺🇫🇷🇬🇧 Europe is preparing a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after the war, led by France and the UK, but without U.S. involvement — WSJ

⚡️🇮🇷 In the past 24 hours, 20 commercial vessels were allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz — Iran granted passage
Ships from Iran continue to cross Hormuz despite the U.S. blockade — Kpler Intelligence
Among them, a sanctioned Iranian VLCC supertanker capable of carrying up to 2 million barrels of crude oil passed through Hormuz

⚡️🇨🇳 Beijing called the US blockade dangerous and irresponsible
The U.S.-sanctioned Chinese tanker Rich Starry passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, carrying 250,000 barrels of methanol

🇮🇹❌🇮🇱 #Italy suspended the renewal of its defense cooperation agreement with #Israel

🇪🇸 Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez:

"I firmly believe it is in the interest of both #Spain and #Europe to strengthen ties with #China."

🇸🇦❌🇺🇸 Saudi Arabia is urging the US to end the Hormuz blockade and resume negotiations, fearing escalation — WSJ
Iran could retaliate by blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — a key oil export route.


➡️ The real reasons the war ended

🪖 LOSSES:
🇺🇸❌🚀U.S. Army spokesperson Jimmy Arter stated that the deployed artillery unit had exhausted its entire stock of Lockheed Martin Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM) early in the war against Iran last month — Aviation Week

✈️ Following recent losses and damage to its tanker fleet, the U.S. Air Force was forced to return decommissioned KC-135 tankers to service, including a 68-year-old Stratotanker built in 1958 — Bild

🇮🇷🇨🇳 It has been revealed that Iran secretly acquired a Chinese-built spy satellite (TEE-01B) in late 2024 through the IRGC's aerospace division — FT
The satellite was used to monitor key U.S. military bases in the Middle East, providing real-time imagery and coordinates.
➡️ Compare this with U.S. and Israeli strikes based on 15-year-old Google Maps imagery (the strike on kid's school in Minab, carried out 2.5 hours before Trump's order)

⚡️Confirmed: U.S. Navy surveillance drone MQ-4C Triton crashed on April 9 over the Persian Gulf — TWZ
It suddenly descended and disappeared from radar
The drone, carrying critical reconnaissance technology, is valued at $238 million

🗺 Satellite imagery shows a U.S. CH-47 Chinook helicopter was hit by Iranian strikes at Camp Buehring in Kuwait, and a CH-53 Sea Stallion helicopter was damaged at Ali Al Salem Air Base

The losses don't end there
⏺ 399 U.S. service members have been wounded during the conflict with Iran

❗️The U.S. has lost 7 more MQ-9 Reaper drones, bringing the total number of destroyed MQ-9 Reapers to 24 — EGYOSINT

🚢 U.S. destroyers USS Michael Murphy and USS Frank E. Peterson narrowly avoided destruction in the Strait of Hormuz.

💸 Iran demands reparations
‼️🇮🇷🪙 🇧🇭🇸🇦🇶🇦🇦🇪🇯🇴 Iran has officially demanded compensation from #Bahrain, #Saudi_Arabia, #Qatar, the #UAE, and #Jordan, accusing them of facilitating U.S. and Israeli attacks by allowing the use of their airspace, bases, or territory.
Tehran is demanding full reparations of $270 billion.

➡️ UPD:
Trump lifted his own blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, saying he did so for the sake of China and the world.

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