#US vs. #IRAN #War
CONSEQUENCES: Between Past and Future
PART 2: Who Pays for the War

➡️ 🇺🇸🔥🌎 The US is dragging more countries into the war

🇧🇭 🇰🇼 The US military is using the territory of Bahrain and Kuwait for strikes against Iran: transport-launch containers for American ATACMS tactical missiles, launched via HIMARS MLRS, have been discovered in the Kuwaiti desert.

⚡️🇹🇷 An Iranian ballistic missile was intercepted today in Turkish airspace.
Debris fell near Gaziantep.

🇺🇸 🇹🇷The US has ordered non-essential embassy staff and their families to leave the consulate in Adana, southern Turkey, due to security threats related to the war against Iran.

🇮🇷🇨🇾🇹🇷🇦🇿 Iran has not attacked #Cyprus, #Turkey, or #Azerbaijan — Iranian Foreign Ministry.
Iran also reported 1,255 civilian deaths as a result of US and Israeli airstrikes — Al Jazeera

🇹🇷🇨🇾 Turkey has deployed six F-16 fighter jets and air defense systems to the territory of Northern Cyprus.

⚡️🇬🇧 Three US Air Force B-52H Stratofortress strategic bombers have arrived at the UK's RAF Fairford airbase.
⚡️⚡️🇮🇱 Trump's special envoy Witkoff and the US President's son-in-law Kushner have abruptly canceled their planned March 10 trip to Israel — reported by Israel's Channel 12.
➡️ Not hard to guess what this means.

🇹🇷 Erdogan:

"Turkey stands on the side of justice, honesty, international law, peace, and stability in the Iranian crisis.
We support the resolution of conflicts through dialogue."

CASUALTIES:

🔥☠️ The IRGC has struck five US bases in the Middle East and Israeli bases in the Tel Aviv and Haifa areas — pro-Russian sources.

🇦🇪 The #UAE has reported the death of two of its servicemen "in a helicopter crash while on duty."

🇱🇧 Hezbollah missiles struck a vital Israeli satellite communications center (Radar station in Beit Shemesh
"The latest missile attack from Lebanon on the center of the country was carried out using precision surface-to-surface missiles." — Israeli media.

🇮🇱 The IDF reported the death of one of its soldiers.

🇵🇰 War is approaching to #Pakistan.
Israeli/US drones have been spotted over Zahedan, the capital of Iranian Balochistan, the closest major city to the Pakistani border

⚡️🇸🇦 The US is urgently evacuating its tankers from a Saudi base.
The US has withdrawn its aerial refueling tankers from Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia following intense strikes on the facility last night.

🇺🇸 Trump said ships waiting at the Strait of Hormuz should “show some guts” and move through the waterway despite tensions with Iran.

In an interview with Fox News host Brian Kilmeade on Sunday, Trump said,
“There’s nothing to be afraid of, they have no Navy, we sunk all their ships… and all but 20% of their launchers.”

ECONOMIC STRIKE:
➡️ 💵📈 Dollar surged as the war in the Middle East drove oil prices above $110 per barrel.

📉🇦🇪 Dubai's real estate price index collapsed by 15-20%.

💸Over $900 billion was wiped off the US stock market at the opening bell.

📉 European stock exchanges also opened with significant declines:
🇫🇷 Paris -2.29%,
🇩🇪 Frankfurt -2.50%,
🇬🇧 London -1.26% (AFP).

REACTION IN THE US:
⁉️🇺🇸🪖Americans on social media have called for Trump's youngest son, 19-year-old Barron, to voluntarily enlist in the military and go to the war in Iran.

🇺🇸 Trump immediately stated that he is far from ordering a ground mission in Iran.
➡️ But at the same time, we remind you, the White House "does not rule out mobilization."

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#US vs #IRAN
Third phase of war

💰Monetization of the Strait of Hormuz
🇯🇵🇨🇳🇮🇷 #Japan agreed to pay Iran in yuan in exchange for passage of its ships through Hormuz
Other countries wishing their ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz will apparently also be forced to pay Iran in yuan

➡️ Iran has retained some mini-submarines operating in "free hunt" mode in the Hormuz Strait zone — Israel's Channel 9 citing British media (details)

❗️🇦🇪 #UAE MFA published a joint statement from 22 countries expressing readiness to "contribute to efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz":
Including Australia, Bahrain, UK, Germany, Denmark, Italy, Canada, Republic of Korea, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, Slovenia, Finland, France, Czech Republic, Sweden, Estonia and Japan.


💵🇺🇸 US has spent over $27 billion on the military operation so far
First 6 days of conflict cost $11.3 billion, each subsequent day — about $1 billion. This estimate excludes some associated costs, including force deployment and equipment replacement

🇩🇪🇯🇵 #Germany and #Japan plan to conclude a new defense agreement
Defense Minister Pistorius proposed a "Reciprocal Access Agreement" for joint training, exercises and troop deployment


Trump trapped
🇺🇸 Trump faces the toughest decision of his presidency — whether to deploy hundreds or even thousands of American ground troops in Iran — CNN

➡️ Polymarket odds of US launching ground invasion before end of 2026 have risen to 57% — up more than 40% since early March
Amphibious Ready Groups (ARG), over 5,000 Marines and several thousand soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division are heading to the Middle East

➡️ However, according to Reuters/Ipsos poll, 59% of Americans disapprove of military action against Iran


#UK seizes initiative
⚡️🇬🇧🇨🇾 Keir Starmer declared the US can no longer use Akrotiri airbase in #Cyprus for strikes on Iran

Daily Mail: Nuclear submarine HMS Anson of the Royal Navy has arrived in the Arabian Sea with Tomahawk Block IV cruise missiles with range up to 1,600 km and Spearfish heavy torpedoes

🚢 📉 US shipbuilding in decline: today the US builds about three major cargo vessels per year, while China builds about 1,000
⚡️US Air Force continues demonstrative testing of AGM-181 Long Range Stand Off (LRSO) missile — a new supersonic nuclear-armed cruise missile — on B-52H Stratofortress bomber


Experts: US and Israeli positions increasingly diverging
➡️ Trump decided to start war with Iran under pressure from external allies such as Netanyahu and Rupert Murdoch — Bloomberg

🇹🇷 Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan:

War may continue for another two-three weeks, Israel will try to drag it out by pressuring the US
The problem is not the lack of plans to end the war, but that Israel doesn't want peace

🇫🇷 French General Nicolas Richoux on Trump:

He shot himself in the foot. He wanted to invade a European Union country, Greenland, not long ago.
And now, his old friends whom he didn’t consult, whom he scorned, especially the British, telling them: 'We’ll remember this.'
He can go fuck himself

🇫🇮 Finnish President Alexander Stubb:

Previously the US consulted with its allies before [invading] Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan, and also sought UN Security Council approval

⚡️🇺🇸 Trump is trying to figure out who actually makes decisions in Iran in search of possible peace negotiations — Axios

🇪🇬🇶🇦🇬🇧 In recent days there have been no direct contacts between the US and Iran, however #Egypt, #Qatar and #UK have been passing messages between the two sides

US wants Iran to commit to:

1. No missile program for 5 years

2. No uranium enrichment

3. Decommissioning of reactors at Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow

4. Observer oversight of centrifuge use

5. Missile limit of 1,000

6. Cessation of funding for Hezbollah, Ansar Allah and Hamas

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