🇪🇺🇶🇦🇸🇾🇹🇷 Türkiye officially announced the resumption of the project to transport gas from #Qatar through #Syria and #Turkey to #Europe
The Qatar-Turkey gas pipeline project, which was frozen in 2009, has been brought back on the agenda after the overthrow of the 61-year-old Baath regime in Syria, Anadolu Agency reported.
The new Syrian authorities are already keen to join in the project.
🇸🇦🇯🇴🇸🇾The pipeline was supposed to run through #Saudi_Arabia, #Jordan and Syria, but former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad prevented the project from being realized, and the country's decade-long civil war made it impossible.
❗️If successful, Turkey will become the largest gas hub for Europe, and Qatari gas will flow into the European market in large volumes, thereby ending the “era of dependence” of Brussels on Moscow in the energy sector.
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The Qatar-Turkey gas pipeline project, which was frozen in 2009, has been brought back on the agenda after the overthrow of the 61-year-old Baath regime in Syria, Anadolu Agency reported.
The new Syrian authorities are already keen to join in the project.
🇸🇦🇯🇴🇸🇾The pipeline was supposed to run through #Saudi_Arabia, #Jordan and Syria, but former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad prevented the project from being realized, and the country's decade-long civil war made it impossible.
❗️If successful, Turkey will become the largest gas hub for Europe, and Qatari gas will flow into the European market in large volumes, thereby ending the “era of dependence” of Brussels on Moscow in the energy sector.
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⚡️🇹🇷🇸🇾 The Turkish Air Force continues to carry out drone strikes against Kurdish militia forces in northern #Syria.
⚡️#Turkey Preparing Large-Scale Invasion of Syria — The Wall Street Journal
⚡️🇹🇷🇸🇾 ВВС Турции продолжают наносить удары с беспилотников по силам курдских военизированных формирований на севере Сирии.
⚡️#Турция готовит крупномасштабное вторжение в Сирию — The Wall Street Journal
#Сирия
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⚡️#Turkey Preparing Large-Scale Invasion of Syria — The Wall Street Journal
⚡️🇹🇷🇸🇾 ВВС Турции продолжают наносить удары с беспилотников по силам курдских военизированных формирований на севере Сирии.
⚡️#Турция готовит крупномасштабное вторжение в Сирию — The Wall Street Journal
#Сирия
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
⚡️🇹🇷🇸🇾 The Turkish Air Force continues to carry out drone strikes against Kurdish militia forces in northern #Syria. ⚡️#Turkey Preparing Large-Scale Invasion of Syria — The Wall Street Journal ⚡️🇹🇷🇸🇾 ВВС Турции продолжают наносить удары с беспилотников по…
🇹🇷🇸🇾Turkish intelligence MIT has published additional footage of precision strikes on PKK/YPG positions in #Syria
▪️On December 8, the Syrian National Army (SNA) launched Operation Euphrates Revival, liberating the city of Manbij.
#Turkey
🇹🇷🇸🇾Турецкая разведка MIT опубликовала дополнительные кадры точечных ударов по позициям PKK/YPG в Сирии
▪️8 декабря Сирийская национальная армия (СНА) начала операцию "Возрождение Евфрата", освободив город Манбидж.
#Турция #Сирия
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▪️On December 8, the Syrian National Army (SNA) launched Operation Euphrates Revival, liberating the city of Manbij.
#Turkey
🇹🇷🇸🇾Турецкая разведка MIT опубликовала дополнительные кадры точечных ударов по позициям PKK/YPG в Сирии
▪️8 декабря Сирийская национальная армия (СНА) начала операцию "Возрождение Евфрата", освободив город Манбидж.
#Турция #Сирия
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"We want to start a dialogue"
❗️🇸🇾 New Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa (Abu Mohammed al-Jolani) gave an interview to BBC correspondent Jeremy Bowen in Damascus
Ahmed al-Sharaa says they have no plans to fight Israel, regardless of whether Israel is strong or not. According to him, #Syria will not pose a threat to Israel or anyone else. According to him, instead of war, Syria now needs to focus on its development.
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❗️🇸🇾 New Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa (Abu Mohammed al-Jolani) gave an interview to BBC correspondent Jeremy Bowen in Damascus
Ahmed al-Sharaa says they have no plans to fight Israel, regardless of whether Israel is strong or not. According to him, #Syria will not pose a threat to Israel or anyone else. According to him, instead of war, Syria now needs to focus on its development.
"We aren't strong enough to confront #Russia, the #US, #Israel or #Turkey. We want to start a dialogue. With the right approach, the Russians could stay in Syria..."
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Full BBC Interview of Syrian Leader Abu Mohammed Al-Jolani (Ahmed Al-Sharaa) w/ English subtitles.
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🇸🇾🇺🇸🇶🇦🇹🇷 The name of Hafiz al-Assad, the father of the Assad dynasty, is knocked down from the wall of the Umayyad Mosque
🔗War and Peace in the Middle East
🇸🇾🇺🇸🇶🇦🇹🇷 В мечети Омейядов сбивают со стенки имя Хафиза аль-Асада, отца династии Асадов
— Война и мир на Ближнем Востоке
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Everyone now has only one question — what will the new #Syria look like?
It all depends on who exactly Ahmad al-Shara'a (Julani) will be able to form a new government with and what patron Syria will choose. If it's the #US, that's one thing. If it's #Qatar, that's something else entirely. For now, #Turkey is behind him, and it won't abandon him so quickly. For Turkey, Syria is already part of its expansion in the Middle East
🔗War and Peace in the Middle East
🇸🇾🇺🇸🇶🇦🇹🇷 В мечети Омейядов сбивают со стенки имя Хафиза аль-Асада, отца династии Асадов
У всех теперь только один вопрос — как будет выглядеть новая #Сирия?
Все зависит от того с кем именно Ахмад аш-Шара'а (Джулани) сможет сформировать новое правительство и какого патрона выберет Сирия. Если #США это одно. Если #Катар, совсем другое. Пока что за ним стоит #Турция, которая так быстро его нe бросит. Для Турции — Сирия уже часть ее экспансии на Ближнем Востоке,
— Война и мир на Ближнем Востоке
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Война и мир на Ближнем Востоке- Дина Лиснянская.
В мечети Омейядов ( Большая мечеть Дамаска) новые хозяева сбивают со стенки имя Хафиза аль-Асада, отца династии Асадов.
Ну что, король пал, да здравствует новый король!
Кстати, у всех один вопрос- как теперь будет выглядеть Сирия?
Ответ прост- все зависит…
Ну что, король пал, да здравствует новый король!
Кстати, у всех один вопрос- как теперь будет выглядеть Сирия?
Ответ прост- все зависит…
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
🇺🇸🇸🇾 #US special forces spotted in Kobani in northern #Syria. Three former Russian military bases in Syria — Ain al-Arab, Sarrin and Ein Issa — have already come under US control 🇺🇸🇸🇾 Cпецназ #США замечен в Кобани на севере Сирии. Три бывших российских военных…
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⚡️🇸🇾🇺🇸🇹🇷 A convoy of #US army reinforcements has arrived in the Kobani region of northern #Syria, near the border with #Turkey
Earlier it was reported that reinforcements had arrived at the Harb al-Jir base in eastern Syria on American cargo planes
❗️Recall that a week ago three former Russian military bases in Syria — Ain al-Arab, Sarrin and Ain Issa — came under US control
⚡️🇸🇾🇺🇸🇹🇷 В район Кобани на севере Сирии, недалеко от границы с Турцией, прибыла колонна с подкреплениями армии #США
Ранее сообщалось, что на базу Харб-эль-Джир на востоке Сирии прибыло подкрепление на американских грузовых самолетах
❗️Напомним, что неделю назад три бывших российских военных базы в Сирии — Айн-эль-Араб, Cаррин и Айн-Исса — перешли под американский контроль
#Сирия
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Earlier it was reported that reinforcements had arrived at the Harb al-Jir base in eastern Syria on American cargo planes
❗️Recall that a week ago three former Russian military bases in Syria — Ain al-Arab, Sarrin and Ain Issa — came under US control
⚡️🇸🇾🇺🇸🇹🇷 В район Кобани на севере Сирии, недалеко от границы с Турцией, прибыла колонна с подкреплениями армии #США
Ранее сообщалось, что на базу Харб-эль-Джир на востоке Сирии прибыло подкрепление на американских грузовых самолетах
❗️Напомним, что неделю назад три бывших российских военных базы в Сирии — Айн-эль-Араб, Cаррин и Айн-Исса — перешли под американский контроль
#Сирия
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⚡️🇸🇾🇹🇷 The Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan arrived in Damascus to meet with the new leader of #Syria, Ahmed Al-Sharaa (Abu Muhammad al-Julani)
🔗Clash Report:
#Turkey
⚡️🇸🇾🇹🇷 Министр иностранных дел Турции Хакан Фидан прибыл в Дамаск для встречи с новым лидером Сирии Ахмедом Аль-Шараа (Абу Мухаммадом аль-Джулани)
🔗Clash Report:
#Сирия #Турция
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🔗Clash Report:
Once diplomatic issues are resolved, Türkiye will send military advisers to support the training of the new Syrian army at military academies in Aleppo and Damascus.
Discussions are also ongoing on the possibility of deploying a Turkish military contingent in Homs to conduct air defense exercises.
#Turkey
⚡️🇸🇾🇹🇷 Министр иностранных дел Турции Хакан Фидан прибыл в Дамаск для встречи с новым лидером Сирии Ахмедом Аль-Шараа (Абу Мухаммадом аль-Джулани)
🔗Clash Report:
После урегулирования дипломатических вопросов Турция направит военных советников для поддержки подготовки новой сирийской армии в военных академиях Алеппо и Дамаска.
Продолжаются также обсуждения возможности размещения турецкого военного контингента в Хомсе для проведения учений по противовоздушной обороне.
#Сирия #Турция
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
🇷🇺❌🛢 One of the largest oil refineries in #Russia has been completely shut down after a series of attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces The Novoshakhtinsky oil refinery in the Rostov region has stopped the operation of both primary oil refining units The…
🇺🇦❌🛢🇷🇺 Russia's Fuel Exports Fall Year-On-Year Due to Ukrainian Drone Strikes, — Bloomberg
Seaborne oil product flows from #Russia have averaged about 2.2 million barrels a day so far in 2024. That’s a drop of 9% from the average volumes last year and 10% below the levels in 2022, when Europe was still importing Russian fuels
📌If in 2017–2021 average daily deliveries abroad fluctuated within the range of 2.4–2.8 million barrels, then during the current year they amounted to 1.9–2.6 million. Moreover, they reached their maximum values in 2024 only at the very beginning of the year and in December
Breakdowns of Western equipment, which is now difficult to replace, also led to long downtimes
❗️According to official statistics alone, in January–May, Russian refineries reduced gasoline production by almost 20% and diesel fuel by 11%. After that, the authorities classified the statistics
The main buyers of Russian fuel:
🇹🇷 #Turkey — 20%
🇧🇷 #Brazil — 17%
🇨🇳 #China — 11%
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Seaborne oil product flows from #Russia have averaged about 2.2 million barrels a day so far in 2024. That’s a drop of 9% from the average volumes last year and 10% below the levels in 2022, when Europe was still importing Russian fuels
📌If in 2017–2021 average daily deliveries abroad fluctuated within the range of 2.4–2.8 million barrels, then during the current year they amounted to 1.9–2.6 million. Moreover, they reached their maximum values in 2024 only at the very beginning of the year and in December
Breakdowns of Western equipment, which is now difficult to replace, also led to long downtimes
❗️According to official statistics alone, in January–May, Russian refineries reduced gasoline production by almost 20% and diesel fuel by 11%. After that, the authorities classified the statistics
The main buyers of Russian fuel:
🇹🇷 #Turkey — 20%
🇧🇷 #Brazil — 17%
🇨🇳 #China — 11%
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🔥🇹🇷 A blast at an explosives factory in #Turkey has killed at least 12 people, a government minister said.
Four people were injured in the explosion, which happened in the village of Kavakli, Balikesir, interior minister Ali Yerlikaya said. There was no suspicion of sabotage, he added.
🔗Reuters
🔥🇹🇷 На оружейном заводе в Балыкесире, #Турция, прогремел взрыв.
Погибло по меньшей мере 12 человек, еще четверо ранены
▪️Губернатор провинции Исмаил Устаоглу заявил, что власти не считают произошедшее диверсией.
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Four people were injured in the explosion, which happened in the village of Kavakli, Balikesir, interior minister Ali Yerlikaya said. There was no suspicion of sabotage, he added.
🔗Reuters
🔥🇹🇷 На оружейном заводе в Балыкесире, #Турция, прогремел взрыв.
Погибло по меньшей мере 12 человек, еще четверо ранены
▪️Губернатор провинции Исмаил Устаоглу заявил, что власти не считают произошедшее диверсией.
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
⚡️🇷🇺🚀🎄🌍 Having shot down the Azerbaijani passenger plane, the Russians didn't stop there and on the second day after the tragedy they released a rather unusual New Year's video in which Russian air defense shoots down... Santa Claus! #Russia ⚡️🇷🇺🚀☃️🌍 Сбив…
❗️🇷🇺🌎 There is one more detail worth paying attention to in this video — the globe at the 7th second.
They painted red not only #Russia and #China, but also the rest of #Asia!
I wonder, #Turkey, the Middle East and the Arabian Peninsula, #India, the whole of ASEAN, Japan - do they already know that Russia in its dreams sees them as part of its empire?
❗️🇷🇺🌎 В этом ролике стоит обратить внимание еще на одну деталь — глобус на 7 секунде.
Они закрасили красным не только Россию и Китай, но и всю остальную Азию!
Интересно, Турция, Ближний Восток и Аравийский полуостров, Индия, весь АСЕАН, Япония — они уже знают, что Россия в своих мечтах видит их частью своей империи?
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They painted red not only #Russia and #China, but also the rest of #Asia!
I wonder, #Turkey, the Middle East and the Arabian Peninsula, #India, the whole of ASEAN, Japan - do they already know that Russia in its dreams sees them as part of its empire?
❗️🇷🇺🌎 В этом ролике стоит обратить внимание еще на одну деталь — глобус на 7 секунде.
Они закрасили красным не только Россию и Китай, но и всю остальную Азию!
Интересно, Турция, Ближний Восток и Аравийский полуостров, Индия, весь АСЕАН, Япония — они уже знают, что Россия в своих мечтах видит их частью своей империи?
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
⚡️🇦🇿❌✈️🇷🇺 Musavat Party calls for complete cessation of flights to #Russia after AZAL passenger plane crashed over Grozny ▪️At the moment, at least 4 international airlines have already restricted or suspended flights to Russia for security reasons: 🇦🇿 #Azerbaijan…
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🇦🇿🇹🇷🇷🇺 #Azerbaijan Invites Turkish Experts to Investigate AZAL Plane Crash
The State Civil Aviation Agency of Azerbaijan has invited an investigative team from #Turkey to investigate the causes of the crash of the Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) plane, Turkish TV channel NTV reports
According to Turkish Transport and Infrastructure Minister Abdulkadir Uraloglu, a team of eight people has been dispatched to Baku to conduct a comprehensive study of the incident and prepare a report
▪️Azerbaijan's state-run AzTV channel published a story about the crash of the AZAL plane, the cause of which was an attack by Pantsir S1 air defense system, reportedly given personally to Ramzan Kadyrov to protect his palace, and called on #Russia to admit guilt
One of the deputies of the Mejlis, Rasim Musabekov, pointed this out:
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The State Civil Aviation Agency of Azerbaijan has invited an investigative team from #Turkey to investigate the causes of the crash of the Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) plane, Turkish TV channel NTV reports
According to Turkish Transport and Infrastructure Minister Abdulkadir Uraloglu, a team of eight people has been dispatched to Baku to conduct a comprehensive study of the incident and prepare a report
▪️Azerbaijan's state-run AzTV channel published a story about the crash of the AZAL plane, the cause of which was an attack by Pantsir S1 air defense system, reportedly given personally to Ramzan Kadyrov to protect his palace, and called on #Russia to admit guilt
One of the deputies of the Mejlis, Rasim Musabekov, pointed this out:
“What is the point of flying to Russia at all if the local princes will have air defense systems in their hands and shoot left and right, based on their own considerations?”
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LebOSINT Placeholder🇱🇧 #mirror
🇸🇾🇮🇱 Huge explosions and aftershocks as a result of Israeli strikes on a military site in Tartous
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‼️🔥🇮🇱☢️🇸🇾 Info is spreading online that #Israel allegedly used a tactical nuclear bomb in Tartus on the night of December 16, destroying a Scud missile system
The impact triggered a magnitude 3 earthquake that was felt as far away as #Turkey
Iranian journalist Khayal Muazzin has issued a statement claiming controlled nuclear explosions took place in the Syrian cities of Tartus and Latakia. He says the Israeli attack involved the use of a tactical nuclear warhead to destroy fortified sites
#Syria
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The impact triggered a magnitude 3 earthquake that was felt as far away as #Turkey
Iranian journalist Khayal Muazzin has issued a statement claiming controlled nuclear explosions took place in the Syrian cities of Tartus and Latakia. He says the Israeli attack involved the use of a tactical nuclear warhead to destroy fortified sites
These claims are based on published data showing that radiation measuring devices in #Cyprus and Turkish city of Mersin have recorded spikes in radiation
However, experts refute Muazzin's findings, saying that such fluctuations in background radiation levels could be caused by powerful non-nuclear explosions. They stress that the radiation levels recorded in Cyprus and Mersin didn't reach the critical threshold that could indicate the use of nuclear weapons
#Syria
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❗️Additional information on Iran
This is not "preparation for a strike"; a regime change is underway.
Analysis: If even Turkey (a neighbor and key trading partner) is evacuating people while hiding behind denials, it means they expect chaos rather than surgical strikes. Surgical strikes on bunkers do not require the evacuation of civilians from Tehran. Evacuation is necessary if the following is expected:
• Nationwide power and communication blackouts.
• Urban warfare (street fighting).
• The collapse of the government.
Analysis: #Jordan acts as a buffer. If Israel is clearing minefields, it could mean preparation for a ground corridor (unlikely) or, more likely, anticipation of a massive influx of refugees or a breakthrough of militants from the east in the event of a regional collapse. Alternatively, they may be preparing sites for deploying additional Arrow-3 batteries closer to the eastern border to intercept Iranian missiles over Jordan.
Analysis: This is diplomacy in its death throes. The statement "ready for war but want negotiations" is a classic cry for help. However, flying to Beirut (which is currently in Israel's crosshairs) is suicidal. Either Araghchi is delivering a message to Hezbollah to "throw everything you have into the fight, we are perishing," or, more likely, he is trying to negotiate personal security guarantees through #Lebanon (and #France).
Kurdistan, Tehran, Isfahan, Shiraz, Kermanshah, Ilam, Lorestan, Hamadan, and Mashhad — the entire territory of Iran is in a state of full revolutionary surge.
This is the KEY FACTOR:
• In 2025, strikes unified the nation (partially).
• In 2026, if the people are already in the streets, an external strike on IRGC (Revolutionary Guard) bases and government bunkers will be perceived not as aggression, but as assistance to the uprising.
• If the regime wavers, the US will launch a "Decapitation Strike" to finish off the leadership and give the opposition a chance to take power.
Possible Scenario: The West is waiting for a night when protests either subside or, conversely, reach their peak to strike IRGC communication and command centers, paralyzing their ability to suppress the rebellion.
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➡️ The charter of the US-formed "Peace Council" was signed by only 19 countries, including the #USA, #Armenia, #Argentina, #Azerbaijan, #Bulgaria, #Hungary, #Indonesia, #Jordan, #Kazakhstan, the self-proclaimed #Kosovo, #Pakistan, #Paraguay, #Qatar, #Saudi_Arabia, #Turkey, the #UAE, #Uzbekistan, and #Mongolia.
➡️ Устав сформированного США "Совета мира" подписали всего 19 стран, в числе которых #США, #Армения, #Аргентина, #Азербайджан, #Болгария, #Венгрия, #Индонезия, #Иордания, #Казахстан, самопровозглашенное #Косово, #Пакистан, #Парагвай, #Катар, #Саудовская_Аравия, #Турция, #ОАЭ, #Узбекистан и #Монголия.
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
#BREACING ⚡️ 🇦🇪 🇷🇺 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 Trilateral talks between representatives of #Russia, the #US, and #Ukraine have begun in Abu Dhabi, — Sky New. 📌The Russian delegation consists exclusively of military personnel. Admiral Igor Kostyukov, Head of the Main Intelligence Directorate…
#Russia #Ukraine
❗️Analysis of the Power Balance Based on the Delegation Composition in Abu Dhabi
🇷🇺 Russian Side: security forces only (GRU)
▪️ Admiral Kostyukov (GRU): This is a very hard signal. The GRU (Main Directorate of the General Staff) is not about diplomacy; it is about special operations, sabotage, and force-based solutions. The absence of civilians (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Presidential Administration) means that political bargaining is over (it appears Grünbaum settled everything in the Kremlin)
The Key Takeaway: Russia has sent the people who will draw the demarcation line on the ground.
🇺🇦 Ukrainian Side: A "Mixed Bag" of Security Officials and Fixers
• Budanov (as Head of the OP - Office of the President): Symbolizes the fact that power has shifted to the intelligence services.
• Arakhamia: The only "politician," but he is known as a negotiator-communicator (Istanbul-1). He is there to legitimize the signatures. At least, that is how it looks.
• Umerov (Minister of Defense): A figure close to the #USA and #Turkey. He acts as a guarantor for the Americans and the Turks (Abu Dhabi is a convenient platform for the Islamic world)
• Gnatov (General Staff) + Ivashchenko (GUR) + Skibitsky (GUR): The full contingent of military intelligence and the army
• Sense: Ukraine has sent those who actually control the weapons and can issue a "ceasefire" order. Zelensky is absent. Yermak is absent. This means that, in essence, the political leadership has been sidelined from real decision-making.
🇺🇸 American Side (Composition unannounced, but invisibly present):
▪️Judging by the composition of the Russian and Ukrainian groups, it is more than likely that the American side consists of people from the Pentagon and/or the CIA, rather than the State Department. Their task is to moderate the surrender of positions so that it does not look like a complete collapse in the eyes of the "concerned global community."
This is a capitulation in a military format.
When the GRU (Kostyukov) and the GUR (Budanov) sit at the same table, they are not discussing a "peace formula." They are discussing:
1. The troop withdrawal schedule.
2. Demilitarized zones.
3. The surrender of codes, minefield maps, and lists of intelligence assets (quite possible).
4. Personal safety guarantees for the negotiation participants (hence the presence of Arakhamia and Umerov).
Grünbaum was dividing the money in the Kremlin. Kostyukov is dividing the land in Abu Dhabi.
P.S. This is a harsh reality, but it is what it is. The project is closed, Game Over.
And yes, if anyone is interested in the editorial opinion — we don't like this finale any more than you do.
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❗️Analysis of the Power Balance Based on the Delegation Composition in Abu Dhabi
🇷🇺 Russian Side: security forces only (GRU)
▪️ Admiral Kostyukov (GRU): This is a very hard signal. The GRU (Main Directorate of the General Staff) is not about diplomacy; it is about special operations, sabotage, and force-based solutions. The absence of civilians (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Presidential Administration) means that political bargaining is over (it appears Grünbaum settled everything in the Kremlin)
The Key Takeaway: Russia has sent the people who will draw the demarcation line on the ground.
🇺🇦 Ukrainian Side: A "Mixed Bag" of Security Officials and Fixers
• Budanov (as Head of the OP - Office of the President): Symbolizes the fact that power has shifted to the intelligence services.
• Arakhamia: The only "politician," but he is known as a negotiator-communicator (Istanbul-1). He is there to legitimize the signatures. At least, that is how it looks.
• Umerov (Minister of Defense): A figure close to the #USA and #Turkey. He acts as a guarantor for the Americans and the Turks (Abu Dhabi is a convenient platform for the Islamic world)
• Gnatov (General Staff) + Ivashchenko (GUR) + Skibitsky (GUR): The full contingent of military intelligence and the army
• Sense: Ukraine has sent those who actually control the weapons and can issue a "ceasefire" order. Zelensky is absent. Yermak is absent. This means that, in essence, the political leadership has been sidelined from real decision-making.
🇺🇸 American Side (Composition unannounced, but invisibly present):
▪️Judging by the composition of the Russian and Ukrainian groups, it is more than likely that the American side consists of people from the Pentagon and/or the CIA, rather than the State Department. Their task is to moderate the surrender of positions so that it does not look like a complete collapse in the eyes of the "concerned global community."
This is a capitulation in a military format.
When the GRU (Kostyukov) and the GUR (Budanov) sit at the same table, they are not discussing a "peace formula." They are discussing:
1. The troop withdrawal schedule.
2. Demilitarized zones.
3. The surrender of codes, minefield maps, and lists of intelligence assets (quite possible).
4. Personal safety guarantees for the negotiation participants (hence the presence of Arakhamia and Umerov).
Grünbaum was dividing the money in the Kremlin. Kostyukov is dividing the land in Abu Dhabi.
P.S. This is a harsh reality, but it is what it is. The project is closed, Game Over.
And yes, if anyone is interested in the editorial opinion — we don't like this finale any more than you do.
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Chronicles of Troubled Times: prologue to WWIII
❗️Анализ расклада сил, исходя из состава делегаций в Абу Даби
🇷🇺 Российская сторона: Только силовики (ГРУ)
▪️Адмирал Костюков (ГРУ): Это очень жесткий сигнал. ГРУ — это не про дипломатию, это про спецоперации, диверсии и силовое решение вопросов. Отсутствие…
🇷🇺 Российская сторона: Только силовики (ГРУ)
▪️Адмирал Костюков (ГРУ): Это очень жесткий сигнал. ГРУ — это не про дипломатию, это про спецоперации, диверсии и силовое решение вопросов. Отсутствие…
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January 28
❗️🇬🇧 🇨🇳 #UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has arrived in Beijing.
This is the first visit by a British Prime Minister to #China in eight years. The last time China was visited was by Theresa May in 2018 during her premiership.
Right now, Russian military channels are writing with almost mocking sarcasm that it is unknown whether Starmer's own phone has been hacked... But the mentioned events and the Prime Minister's urgent visit to Beijing speak for themselves.
⚡️ 📈 Meanwhile:
⏺ Gold has broken a new record, exceeding $5300 per ounce ($5305)
⏺ S&P 500 index exceeded 7,000 points for the first time in its history.
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This is the first visit by a British Prime Minister to #China in eight years. The last time China was visited was by Theresa May in 2018 during her premiership.
Food for thought: On Monday, January 26, The Telegraph released a piece titled "China hacked Downing Street phones for years."
However, it refers to the 2021-2024 period, when state hackers from China and Russia successfully breached the phones of the closest aides to Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, and Rishi Sunak.
Data leaks had been occurring since at least 2021, but intelligence agencies only discovered them in 2024. The US was the first to expose this operation, stating that China gained access to confidential data by infiltrating telecommunications companies worldwide.
The espionage, linked to an advanced cyber-group called Salt Typhoon, affected aides to PMs Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, and Rishi Sunak. Truss’s own phone was also hacked at the time, after which she quickly resigned once hackers gained access not only to metadata but to the Prime Minister's actual conversations. In total, Salt Typhoon managed to penetrate over 200 targets in 80+ countries.
Not long ago, the incumbent UK PM Keir Starmer approved the construction of a Chinese "mega-embassy" in London, which journalists believe threatens the national security of the United Kingdom.
The permission to build the Chinese embassy raised legitimate fears that it would allow Beijing to tap into fiber-optic cables used by financial companies running beneath the embassy's territory.
Furthermore, MI6 warned that allowing China to build a much larger embassy simultaneously means an increase in the number of Chinese spies in the UK, as well as an increase in the number of diplomats.
Intelligence ranking by countries with the largest number of embassies worldwide:
China has the most embassies — 173.
🇺🇸 #USA — 168
🇫🇷 #France — 158
🇹🇷 #Turkey — 145
🇧🇷 #Brazil — 135
Right now, Russian military channels are writing with almost mocking sarcasm that it is unknown whether Starmer's own phone has been hacked... But the mentioned events and the Prime Minister's urgent visit to Beijing speak for themselves.
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Middle Eastern Zugzwang
⁉️ 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Can the US strike Iran without regional allies?
🇸🇦 🇦🇪 🇶🇦 🇰🇼 🇮🇶 🇯🇴 🇴🇲 🇦🇿 🇹🇷 🇵🇰 ❌ 🇺🇸 Insiders report that #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan have refused #US access to their airspace/territory for aggression against #Iran.
➡️ Washington is left with two bad options:
1️⃣ Strike from the sea (Arabian Sea) or Diego Garcia via the narrow Gulf of Oman corridor (<300km).
➡️ The Trap: Predictable flight paths allow Iran to concentrate AD/A2AD in one sector.
➡️ Range Gap: USS Lincoln (JASSM-ER ~925km) vs. Iran (Ghadr-380 >1000km, Drones 1500-4000km).
➡️ Intel: Iranian drones are already shadowing the USS Lincoln group.
➡️ Logistics: Bombers from Diego Garcia (3800-5200km away) carry heavy firepower (B-2/B-52/B1B) but cannot sustain the sortie rate needed to prevent retaliation.
2️⃣ Ignore allies and violate their airspace.
⏺ Risks:
➡️ US branded as an "unreliable partner" (officially).
➡️ Escalation to regional war & Strait of Hormuz blockade (20% of global oil).
➡️ Mass protests and attacks on US bases (Iraq 2020 scenario).
ℹ️ SUMMARY: A US attack now is insufficient for regime change. Iran has stabilized internally (crushing protests after the Starlink blackout). This is a diplomatic trap: "No war, no peace."
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1️⃣ Strike from the sea (Arabian Sea) or Diego Garcia via the narrow Gulf of Oman corridor (<300km).
2️⃣ Ignore allies and violate their airspace.
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News Summary February 6
PART 1. Epstein’s Echo & Intelligence Failures
Operation "MONITUM"
🇮🇱 🇹🇷 For the first time in decades, a public failure of Israeli intelligence has been recorded.
Turkish National Intelligence (MİT) detained two suspects in Istanbul for espionage on behalf of Mossad.
➡️ Suspects: Mehmet Budak Derya (an engineer conducting espionage under the guise of marble trading) and his accomplice Veysel Kerimoglu.
Charges include gathering and transmitting intelligence data.
🤍 Turks release video of Mossad agents detained
📄 The Epstein Case
ℹ️ The global intelligence community is bursting at the seams: The FBI finally decided to reveal the secret of the "crime of the century" success in several files.
🇺🇸 🔎 🇮🇱 Epstein was recruited by Mossad through Harvard law professor Alan Dershowitz.
➡️ It turns out Epstein worked for both US intelligence and "allied" agencies.
🇮🇱 🇸🇦 🇦🇪 ❌ 🇶🇦 🇹🇷 🇮🇷 🇸🇾 Under the Israelis, Epstein underwent spy training under former Israeli PM Ehud Barak. Their alliance was part of a broader geopolitical front: #Israel, #Saudi_Arabia, and #UAE against #Qatar, #Turkey, #Iran, and #Syria.
➡️ 🌐 🇳🇴 In turn, the #WEF launched an independent investigation into CEO Børge Brende after it was revealed that Brende dined with Epstein multiple times from 2018 at the invitation of former Norwegian Deputy PM Terje Rød-Larsen.
❗️ 🇺🇸 🇸🇦 🇨🇳 Epstein’s partnership with the Rothschilds and the Saudis has also been exposed, as well as the financier's race for immortality: Epstein funded a genome editing program (CRISPR) with a solid $193,400.
⏺ The Rothschilds' interaction with Epstein is extensive. The US DOJ archive contains nearly 12,000 mentions (though some documents are being systematically deleted).
➡️ 🌎 The list of figures in the "Epstein Case" includes half the world, including Google and X co-founder Sergey Brin, Bill Gates, and Apollo Global Management CEO Marc Rowan.
source: 1, 2, 3
➡️ Epstein also funded many Silicon Valley startups, — NYT citing declassified DOJ documents.
In 2014, he invested $3 million in Coinbase, $5 million in the startup Jawbone, and later increased his investment in that company to $11.25 million.
➡️ Furthermore, Epstein invested $40 million in Valar Ventures, the venture fund of Palantir founder and PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel — TASS.
* * *
📉 It is not surprising that against the backdrop of total leaks on the Epstein case and intelligence failures, the US stock market lost $1 trillion in capitalization, and the crypto market lost $350 billion.
📉 💸 📈 Bitcoin fell below $63,000 in 24 hours, then jumped back to $70,000.
💰 The Fear and Greed Index in the crypto market fell to 9/100, the lowest level since June 2022.
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PART 1. Epstein’s Echo & Intelligence Failures
Operation "MONITUM"
Turkish National Intelligence (MİT) detained two suspects in Istanbul for espionage on behalf of Mossad.
Charges include gathering and transmitting intelligence data.
source: 1, 2, 3
In 2014, he invested $3 million in Coinbase, $5 million in the startup Jawbone, and later increased his investment in that company to $11.25 million.
* * *
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Week in Review: The Calm Before the Storm
‼️ 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 #US vs #Iran: Pre-Strike Buildup Reaches Critical Mass
What we're witnessing is not "increased pressure" or a "negotiating posture." This is a textbook pre-strike force deployment
➡️ Two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford) are now converging on the Middle East. A single carrier group signals deterrence. Two signal an operation. The combined air wing comprises approximately 240 strike aircraft, including F/A-18E/F Super Hornets, F-35C/A, F-22A, F-16, and F-15E platforms, supported by EA-18G electronic warfare aircraft, E-2D/E-3 AWACS, P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol, and KC-135/KC-46 tankers
➡️ Since mid-January, the US has conducted roughly 200 C-17 Globemaster III transport flights to the region. At approximately $25,000 per flight hour and 11 hours per round trip, transport costs alone exceed $55 million — excluding the deployment of dozens of other aircraft and naval vessels
🇯🇴 THAAD missile defense systems have been deployed to Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base in Jordan, with at least 68 cargo aircraft arriving within five days. THAAD is not a deterrence tool — it's a shield you raise when you know the counterpunch is coming
🇳🇴 The US is withdrawing most of its aviation assets from NATO's Cold Response 2026 exercises in #Norway, scheduled for early-to-mid March. This is a direct resource reallocation from "training" to "operational" status
🇵🇹 Portugal's Lajes Field in the Azores experienced its largest-ever influx of American aircraft: at least 11 KC-46 tankers, 12 F-16 fighters, one C-17 transport, and approximately 400 US crew members transited through on February 18-19 alone. Staging bases are running out of capacity
🔴 🕘 Estimated timeline: The strike group reaches peak readiness by late February to early March 2026. The operational window opens in the first two weeks of March. The likely scenario is a 72-hour air campaign targeting Iran's nuclear infrastructure (Natanz, Fordow, Isfahan, Arak, Bushehr) and IRGC command centers — not a ground invasion, but a decapitation of the nuclear program
➡️ Trump's mention of 32,000 Iranian protest casualties is narrative preparation — framing the strike as "liberation" rather than aggression
⚡️ 🇺🇸 ✈️ Boeing C-17 Modernization: $400M for a "Retired" Workhorse
The US Air Force awarded Boeing a $400+ million contract to fully modernize the C-17A Globemaster III cockpit — for an aircraft whose production ended in 2015. The USAF needs the C-17 flying until 2075. This is not a typo. An aircraft designed in the 1980s is being prepared for service into the 2070s. The 200 transport flights to the Middle East in one month are a better justification for this investment than any Pentagon report
🇮🇱 🇦🇪 #UAE - #Israel: Shin Bet Embedded in the Emirates
🇯🇵 🇩🇪 #Japan and #Germany have repeatedly urged their nationals working at US facilities in the Middle East to leave. MFAs across multiple countries have been issuing similar warnings for at least three weeks — routine noise until embassy evacuations begin, which marks the real countdown
⚠️ As a reminder: in early February, #KSA, #UAE, #Qatar, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Jordan, #Oman, #Azerbaijan, #Turkey, and #Pakistan officially or privately warned the United States that they would not allow their airspace, land, or waters to be used for aggression against Iran
What we're witnessing is not "increased pressure" or a "negotiating posture." This is a textbook pre-strike force deployment
The US Air Force awarded Boeing a $400+ million contract to fully modernize the C-17A Globemaster III cockpit — for an aircraft whose production ended in 2015. The USAF needs the C-17 flying until 2075. This is not a typo. An aircraft designed in the 1980s is being prepared for service into the 2070s. The 200 transport flights to the Middle East in one month are a better justification for this investment than any Pentagon report
A leaked UAE Ministry of Interior document reveals a secret agreement embedding seven Shin Bet agents directly within the command centers of Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and all seven emirates. Agents were issued Emirati identity cards for undercover operations. A joint Mossad-Shin Bet office was established at Expo 2020. Israeli "consultants" operate under the direct supervision of local police chiefs
This leak is either a deliberate signal from someone in Abu Dhabi seeking distance from Israel ahead of the Iran strike, or Iranian intelligence demonstrating awareness of Israeli-Gulf coordination. Either way, the message is clear: the Emirates are already inside the operation, whether they acknowledge it publicly or not
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#US vs. #IRAN #War
CONSEQUENCES: Between Past and Future
PART 2: Who Pays for the War
➡️ 🇺🇸 🔥 🌎 The US is dragging more countries into the war
🇧🇭 🇰🇼 The US military is using the territory of Bahrain and Kuwait for strikes against Iran: transport-launch containers for American ATACMS tactical missiles, launched via HIMARS MLRS, have been discovered in the Kuwaiti desert.
⚡️ 🇹🇷 An Iranian ballistic missile was intercepted today in Turkish airspace.
Debris fell near Gaziantep.
🇺🇸 🇹🇷 The US has ordered non-essential embassy staff and their families to leave the consulate in Adana, southern Turkey, due to security threats related to the war against Iran.
🇮🇷 🇨🇾 🇹🇷 🇦🇿 Iran has not attacked #Cyprus, #Turkey, or #Azerbaijan — Iranian Foreign Ministry.
Iran also reported 1,255 civilian deaths as a result of US and Israeli airstrikes — Al Jazeera
🇹🇷 🇨🇾 Turkey has deployed six F-16 fighter jets and air defense systems to the territory of Northern Cyprus.
⚡️ 🇬🇧 Three US Air Force B-52H Stratofortress strategic bombers have arrived at the UK's RAF Fairford airbase.
⚡️ ⚡️ 🇮🇱 Trump's special envoy Witkoff and the US President's son-in-law Kushner have abruptly canceled their planned March 10 trip to Israel — reported by Israel's Channel 12.
➡️ Not hard to guess what this means.
🇹🇷 Erdogan:
CASUALTIES:
⚡️ 🇸🇦 The US is urgently evacuating its tankers from a Saudi base.
The US has withdrawn its aerial refueling tankers from Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia following intense strikes on the facility last night.
🇺🇸 Trump said ships waiting at the Strait of Hormuz should “show some guts” and move through the waterway despite tensions with Iran.
ECONOMIC STRIKE:
➡️ 💵 📈 Dollar surged as the war in the Middle East drove oil prices above $110 per barrel.
📉 🇦🇪 Dubai's real estate price index collapsed by 15-20%.
💸 Over $900 billion was wiped off the US stock market at the opening bell.
📉 European stock exchanges also opened with significant declines:
🇫🇷 Paris -2.29%,
🇩🇪 Frankfurt -2.50%,
🇬🇧 London -1.26% (AFP).
REACTION IN THE US:
⁉️ 🇺🇸 🪖Americans on social media have called for Trump's youngest son, 19-year-old Barron, to voluntarily enlist in the military and go to the war in Iran.
🇺🇸 Trump immediately stated that he is far from ordering a ground mission in Iran.
➡️ But at the same time, we remind you, the White House "does not rule out mobilization."
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CONSEQUENCES: Between Past and Future
PART 2: Who Pays for the War
Debris fell near Gaziantep.
Iran also reported 1,255 civilian deaths as a result of US and Israeli airstrikes — Al Jazeera
"Turkey stands on the side of justice, honesty, international law, peace, and stability in the Iranian crisis.
We support the resolution of conflicts through dialogue."
CASUALTIES:
🔥☠️ The IRGC has struck five US bases in the Middle East and Israeli bases in the Tel Aviv and Haifa areas — pro-Russian sources.
🇦🇪 The #UAE has reported the death of two of its servicemen "in a helicopter crash while on duty."
🇱🇧 Hezbollah missiles struck a vital Israeli satellite communications center (Radar station in Beit Shemesh
"The latest missile attack from Lebanon on the center of the country was carried out using precision surface-to-surface missiles." — Israeli media.🇮🇱 The IDF reported the death of one of its soldiers.🇵🇰 War is approaching to #Pakistan.
Israeli/US drones have been spotted over Zahedan, the capital of Iranian Balochistan, the closest major city to the Pakistani border
The US has withdrawn its aerial refueling tankers from Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia following intense strikes on the facility last night.
In an interview with Fox News host Brian Kilmeade on Sunday, Trump said,
“There’s nothing to be afraid of, they have no Navy, we sunk all their ships… and all but 20% of their launchers.”
ECONOMIC STRIKE:
REACTION IN THE US:
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