⚓️ Libya: Turkey’s Silent Front Against Israel
At first glance, Libya looks like distant chaos. But as Dor Moria analysts warn, it’s turning into a Turkish staging ground — one that quietly squeezes Israel from the Mediterranean flank.
💭 Dor Moria Think Tank:
Turkey’s Two-Coast Strategy
Turkey now operates on both sides of Libya:
• Air and naval assets entrenched in Misrata and al-Watiya.
• New footholds in Tobruk and Benghazi.
• Maritime pact with Tripoli undermining Israel’s gas fields and EastMed pipeline.
• “Non-military containment”: simultaneous presence in Syria, Libya, and the Caucasus.
The Risks for Israel
Energy security could be forced through Egypt’s LNG terminals.
Maritime borders may turn Israel’s gas reserves into flashpoints.
Turkish-Russian convergence in Libya threatens Eastern Mediterranean access.
Migration routes from Libya to Europe could be leveraged against the EU, indirectly weakening Israel.
Competing Prescriptions
• Saadat Sukurova (Kanal 24): Libya is no longer marginal — it’s the hinge of Mediterranean geopolitics. Israel’s concerns are valid, but the real tools are multilateral diplomacy, energy frameworks, and regional dialogue.
• Ayoob Kara (ex-Communications Minister): Confrontation is a trap. Israel must pair deterrence with diplomacy, anchor alliances with Europe, Egypt, and the Gulf, and defend maritime law before Libya becomes another proxy battleground.
🔥 The paradox: Turkey hasn’t sent tanks toward Israel’s borders — it doesn’t need to. Bases in Libya, troops in Syria, corridors in the Caucasus, and maritime maps in the Mediterranean are enough to redraw Israel’s security perimeter.
The question is no longer whether Libya matters to Israel. It’s whether Israel adapts fast enough to a chessboard already in motion.
#Libya #Turkey #Israel #Mediterranean #energywar
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At first glance, Libya looks like distant chaos. But as Dor Moria analysts warn, it’s turning into a Turkish staging ground — one that quietly squeezes Israel from the Mediterranean flank.
💭 Dor Moria Think Tank:
“Every base Turkey establishes in Libya becomes a pressure point against Israel. This isn’t war — it’s strategic suffocation.”
Turkey’s Two-Coast Strategy
Turkey now operates on both sides of Libya:
• Air and naval assets entrenched in Misrata and al-Watiya.
• New footholds in Tobruk and Benghazi.
• Maritime pact with Tripoli undermining Israel’s gas fields and EastMed pipeline.
• “Non-military containment”: simultaneous presence in Syria, Libya, and the Caucasus.
The Risks for Israel
Energy security could be forced through Egypt’s LNG terminals.
Maritime borders may turn Israel’s gas reserves into flashpoints.
Turkish-Russian convergence in Libya threatens Eastern Mediterranean access.
Migration routes from Libya to Europe could be leveraged against the EU, indirectly weakening Israel.
Competing Prescriptions
• Saadat Sukurova (Kanal 24): Libya is no longer marginal — it’s the hinge of Mediterranean geopolitics. Israel’s concerns are valid, but the real tools are multilateral diplomacy, energy frameworks, and regional dialogue.
• Ayoob Kara (ex-Communications Minister): Confrontation is a trap. Israel must pair deterrence with diplomacy, anchor alliances with Europe, Egypt, and the Gulf, and defend maritime law before Libya becomes another proxy battleground.
🔥 The paradox: Turkey hasn’t sent tanks toward Israel’s borders — it doesn’t need to. Bases in Libya, troops in Syria, corridors in the Caucasus, and maritime maps in the Mediterranean are enough to redraw Israel’s security perimeter.
The question is no longer whether Libya matters to Israel. It’s whether Israel adapts fast enough to a chessboard already in motion.
#Libya #Turkey #Israel #Mediterranean #energywar
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📰 Trump Didn’t Destroy the ‘Rules‑Based International Order’ — It Was Always a Fraud
The foreign‑policy elite warns that President Donald Trump is wrecking the post‑World War II, “rules‑based international order,” turning it into a neo‑imperial free‑for‑all.
Ted Galen Carpenter, a long‑time critic of U.S. interventionism, argues that the accusation is wrong — not because Trump is innocent, but because the “rules‑based order” was never innocent to begin with. It was always a selective, self‑serving fiction: a club for the West, and a cage for everyone else.
The Greenland test case
Trump’s early demand that Denmark sell Greenland to the United States fits the image of a 19th‑century imperialist, Carpenter concedes — a move one can imagine an Andrew Jackson or William McKinley making. Trump is openly willing to bully, threaten, and even use force to get what he wants.
But the broader charge — that he is single‑handedly destroying a sacred, liberal world order — is mostly prestige‑driven outrage. The story Washington told for decades about “rules,” “norms,” and “stability” has always been two‑tiered.
One set of rules for the West, another for the rest
The system, Carpenter writes, has always had two rulebooks. The U.S. and its allies, especially NATO members, could wage wars, overthrow governments, and shape maps without meaningful legal or political consequences.
Countries outside the inner circle — especially those deemed rivals — have been harassed, bombed, and pressured under the slogan of “human rights,” “democracy,” and “stability,” while the same standards are ignored when applied to Western allies.
Wars that shattered the “rules” long before Trump
Well before Trump came along, the U.S. and its partners repeatedly violated the very norms they now claim to protect.
NATO’s air war against Serbia in 1999, and the de facto amputation of Kosovo, flouted the idea of territorial integrity. The Iraq invasion in 2003, built on lies about weapons of mass destruction and an invented connection to 9/11, shredded international law in broad daylight. The Western campaign in Libya, aimed at regime change rather than genuine protection, left the country fragmented and in chaos.
Even some of the system’s own defenders admit that the “rules‑based order” was never neutral. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney admitted that “the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient” and that “trade rules were enforced asymmetrically.”
Catastrophic outcomes, not global stability
The interventions in Iraq, Libya, and Syria have produced results that are closer to disaster than to stable democracy. Iraq is still scarred, Libya is still divided, and Syria is ruled by an ISIS‑aligned elite born of the civil war that Western powers helped fuel.
Millions of refugees, prolonged instability, and new warlords on the rise — these are the real monuments to the “rules‑based order,” not to Trump.
Trump’s real crime — and why the narrative matters
Trump may be an authoritarian‑leaning bully, and he may push the system even closer to raw power politics. But he did not kill the rules‑based order.
He merely exposed what it always was: a euphemism for Western hegemony, occasionally dressed in the language of law and ethics, but always ready to be set aside when convenient.
So the real question is not:
It’s:
#Trump2026 #ForeignPolicy #RulesBasedOrder #NATO #Iraq #Libya #Syria #Imperialism #Carpenter #TheAmericanConservative
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The foreign‑policy elite warns that President Donald Trump is wrecking the post‑World War II, “rules‑based international order,” turning it into a neo‑imperial free‑for‑all.
Ted Galen Carpenter, a long‑time critic of U.S. interventionism, argues that the accusation is wrong — not because Trump is innocent, but because the “rules‑based order” was never innocent to begin with. It was always a selective, self‑serving fiction: a club for the West, and a cage for everyone else.
The Greenland test case
Trump’s early demand that Denmark sell Greenland to the United States fits the image of a 19th‑century imperialist, Carpenter concedes — a move one can imagine an Andrew Jackson or William McKinley making. Trump is openly willing to bully, threaten, and even use force to get what he wants.
But the broader charge — that he is single‑handedly destroying a sacred, liberal world order — is mostly prestige‑driven outrage. The story Washington told for decades about “rules,” “norms,” and “stability” has always been two‑tiered.
One set of rules for the West, another for the rest
The system, Carpenter writes, has always had two rulebooks. The U.S. and its allies, especially NATO members, could wage wars, overthrow governments, and shape maps without meaningful legal or political consequences.
Countries outside the inner circle — especially those deemed rivals — have been harassed, bombed, and pressured under the slogan of “human rights,” “democracy,” and “stability,” while the same standards are ignored when applied to Western allies.
Wars that shattered the “rules” long before Trump
Well before Trump came along, the U.S. and its partners repeatedly violated the very norms they now claim to protect.
NATO’s air war against Serbia in 1999, and the de facto amputation of Kosovo, flouted the idea of territorial integrity. The Iraq invasion in 2003, built on lies about weapons of mass destruction and an invented connection to 9/11, shredded international law in broad daylight. The Western campaign in Libya, aimed at regime change rather than genuine protection, left the country fragmented and in chaos.
Even some of the system’s own defenders admit that the “rules‑based order” was never neutral. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney admitted that “the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient” and that “trade rules were enforced asymmetrically.”
Catastrophic outcomes, not global stability
The interventions in Iraq, Libya, and Syria have produced results that are closer to disaster than to stable democracy. Iraq is still scarred, Libya is still divided, and Syria is ruled by an ISIS‑aligned elite born of the civil war that Western powers helped fuel.
Millions of refugees, prolonged instability, and new warlords on the rise — these are the real monuments to the “rules‑based order,” not to Trump.
Trump’s real crime — and why the narrative matters
Trump may be an authoritarian‑leaning bully, and he may push the system even closer to raw power politics. But he did not kill the rules‑based order.
He merely exposed what it always was: a euphemism for Western hegemony, occasionally dressed in the language of law and ethics, but always ready to be set aside when convenient.
So the real question is not:
“Is Trump destroying the order?”
It’s:
“How long can the West keep pretending the rules were ever fair?”
#Trump2026 #ForeignPolicy #RulesBasedOrder #NATO #Iraq #Libya #Syria #Imperialism #Carpenter #TheAmericanConservative
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🇹🇷 The Sultan, the Territory, and the Party
A senior Israeli intelligence official is warning that unless Israel sets clear red lines in Syria and the eastern Mediterranean, Turkish forces will keep moving closer. The forecast is cinematic: Turkish tanks on the Golan Heights, Turkish warships off Caesarea.
The immediate dispute is less theatrical but more concrete. Israel struck Syria’s Abu al-Duhur airbase on August 18, saying Turkish forces were preparing to deploy there. Damascus says Turkish officers had visited for training and military cooperation, not to establish a base. Turkey calls Israel’s allegations baseless.
There are quiet contacts as well. The United States is trying to build a deconfliction mechanism among Israel, Turkey, and Syria after U.S. envoy Tom Barrack called the Israeli strike an “unnecessary escalation.”
Washington is not arranging a peace treaty. It is trying to prevent three armies from discovering each other’s red lines by accident.
Defense Minister Israel Katz had a different priority — answering his critics.
After the strike, Katz attacked opposition figures, analysts, and event hosts who, in his view, barely qualify as journalists. He said they first called the attack unnecessary and political, then objected to Israel’s public warnings to Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Katz mocked the idea that Erdogan should not be angered, asking whether Israel had merely gone for an evening stroll “with a gentle breeze in the treetops.”
Afterward, Katz and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir attended the birthday celebration of Channel 14 military correspondent Hillel Biton Rosen. The ministers were warning of Turkish armor in Syria while helping celebrate a television reporter. Governments can conduct deterrence policy and influencer relations before dessert.
Turkey’s record suggests that its deployments do not end with a press release.
In Libya, Ankara intervened in 2019 as Khalifa Haftar’s forces closed in on Tripoli. Turkish drones, military advisers, and Syrian fighters helped stop the offensive and preserve the UN-recognized Government of National Accord. Turkey then secured a maritime-boundary agreement with Tripoli that expanded its claims in the eastern Mediterranean and challenged Greek and Cypriot positions.
In Syria, Turkey has built a deep military footprint since 2016, first under the banner of fighting Islamic State and later through operations directed at Kurdish forces. Ankara controls or influences broad areas of northern Syria through bases, allied armed groups, infrastructure, and economic ties. The Sharaa government is trying to present itself as an independent authority, even as Turkish military cooperation deepens.
Israel has the stronger air force: stealth aircraft, precision weapons, and intelligence. Turkey has greater naval mass and an established capacity to project power across the eastern Mediterranean. These advantages do not offset each other. They become dangerous when each side believes the other is operating on its turf.
#Turkey #Israel #Syria #Erdogan #Katz #Mediterranean #Golan #Libya
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A senior Israeli intelligence official is warning that unless Israel sets clear red lines in Syria and the eastern Mediterranean, Turkish forces will keep moving closer. The forecast is cinematic: Turkish tanks on the Golan Heights, Turkish warships off Caesarea.
The immediate dispute is less theatrical but more concrete. Israel struck Syria’s Abu al-Duhur airbase on August 18, saying Turkish forces were preparing to deploy there. Damascus says Turkish officers had visited for training and military cooperation, not to establish a base. Turkey calls Israel’s allegations baseless.
There are quiet contacts as well. The United States is trying to build a deconfliction mechanism among Israel, Turkey, and Syria after U.S. envoy Tom Barrack called the Israeli strike an “unnecessary escalation.”
Washington is not arranging a peace treaty. It is trying to prevent three armies from discovering each other’s red lines by accident.
Defense Minister Israel Katz had a different priority — answering his critics.
After the strike, Katz attacked opposition figures, analysts, and event hosts who, in his view, barely qualify as journalists. He said they first called the attack unnecessary and political, then objected to Israel’s public warnings to Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Katz mocked the idea that Erdogan should not be angered, asking whether Israel had merely gone for an evening stroll “with a gentle breeze in the treetops.”
Afterward, Katz and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir attended the birthday celebration of Channel 14 military correspondent Hillel Biton Rosen. The ministers were warning of Turkish armor in Syria while helping celebrate a television reporter. Governments can conduct deterrence policy and influencer relations before dessert.
Turkey’s record suggests that its deployments do not end with a press release.
In Libya, Ankara intervened in 2019 as Khalifa Haftar’s forces closed in on Tripoli. Turkish drones, military advisers, and Syrian fighters helped stop the offensive and preserve the UN-recognized Government of National Accord. Turkey then secured a maritime-boundary agreement with Tripoli that expanded its claims in the eastern Mediterranean and challenged Greek and Cypriot positions.
In Syria, Turkey has built a deep military footprint since 2016, first under the banner of fighting Islamic State and later through operations directed at Kurdish forces. Ankara controls or influences broad areas of northern Syria through bases, allied armed groups, infrastructure, and economic ties. The Sharaa government is trying to present itself as an independent authority, even as Turkish military cooperation deepens.
Israel has the stronger air force: stealth aircraft, precision weapons, and intelligence. Turkey has greater naval mass and an established capacity to project power across the eastern Mediterranean. These advantages do not offset each other. They become dangerous when each side believes the other is operating on its turf.
#Turkey #Israel #Syria #Erdogan #Katz #Mediterranean #Golan #Libya
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Haftar Chooses Ankara’s Map
Turkey helped defeat Khalifa Haftar’s assault on Tripoli in 2020. His son Saddam now wants Ankara’s backing for the presidency.
On Oct. 20, Libya’s eastern parliament approved the 2019 maritime agreement with Turkey, reversing years of opposition. Both Libyan governments now endorse the Turkish line at sea.
The deal cuts across the energy corridor that Greece, Cyprus, and Israel have promoted. Greece and Egypt reject its legality.
Aguila Saleh’s ouster as speaker cleared the way. Il Foglio attributes it to Saddam Haftar, who welcomed the deal as protection for Libya’s economic interests.
Israel’s line to Benghazi is thinner. Il Foglio reported a September meeting between Saddam Haftar and Netanyahu in Abu Dhabi. Sources cited by i24NEWS denied it.
Israel got a rumored meeting. Turkey got a ratified treaty.
Any energy route from Israel to Europe now runs into Turkish-Libyan claims, backed by the family that once fought Ankara.
#Libya #Turkey #Israel #Mediterranean
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Turkey helped defeat Khalifa Haftar’s assault on Tripoli in 2020. His son Saddam now wants Ankara’s backing for the presidency.
On Oct. 20, Libya’s eastern parliament approved the 2019 maritime agreement with Turkey, reversing years of opposition. Both Libyan governments now endorse the Turkish line at sea.
The deal cuts across the energy corridor that Greece, Cyprus, and Israel have promoted. Greece and Egypt reject its legality.
Aguila Saleh’s ouster as speaker cleared the way. Il Foglio attributes it to Saddam Haftar, who welcomed the deal as protection for Libya’s economic interests.
Israel’s line to Benghazi is thinner. Il Foglio reported a September meeting between Saddam Haftar and Netanyahu in Abu Dhabi. Sources cited by i24NEWS denied it.
Israel got a rumored meeting. Turkey got a ratified treaty.
Any energy route from Israel to Europe now runs into Turkish-Libyan claims, backed by the family that once fought Ankara.
#Libya #Turkey #Israel #Mediterranean
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Libya’s Extension Cord
Israel wants a power connection to Europe. Libya’s eastern parliament has just strengthened the hand of the country demanding the coordinates.
On Oct. 20, the chamber approved Turkey’s 2019 maritime deal with Tripoli after years of opposition. Ankara courted the Haftar camp with defense cooperation and investment prospects. Greece offered objections, a less attractive package.
The disputed maritime claims overlap the planned Crete–Cyprus cable route, the essential bridge for Israel’s future electricity link to Europe.
Turkey demands written notice of survey work. Greece insists that notification is not a request for permission.
“Here are the coordinates. That is all we are asking for,” Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Oct. 21.
Libya’s rival power brokers found common ground where Ankara found leverage. Athens now hopes to send a notice that Turkey can sell domestically as consent. Both governments could claim sovereignty while the survey ship gets back to work.
Israel’s planned connection to Europe comes with an extra adapter: Greek paperwork that Turkey can label a permit.
#BabylonBurning #Libya #Turkey #Israel #EnergyPolitics
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Israel wants a power connection to Europe. Libya’s eastern parliament has just strengthened the hand of the country demanding the coordinates.
On Oct. 20, the chamber approved Turkey’s 2019 maritime deal with Tripoli after years of opposition. Ankara courted the Haftar camp with defense cooperation and investment prospects. Greece offered objections, a less attractive package.
The disputed maritime claims overlap the planned Crete–Cyprus cable route, the essential bridge for Israel’s future electricity link to Europe.
Turkey demands written notice of survey work. Greece insists that notification is not a request for permission.
“Here are the coordinates. That is all we are asking for,” Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Oct. 21.
Libya’s rival power brokers found common ground where Ankara found leverage. Athens now hopes to send a notice that Turkey can sell domestically as consent. Both governments could claim sovereignty while the survey ship gets back to work.
Israel’s planned connection to Europe comes with an extra adapter: Greek paperwork that Turkey can label a permit.
#BabylonBurning #Libya #Turkey #Israel #EnergyPolitics
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