U.S.–Iran Talks: 14-Point Theater, Zero Trust
Washington and Tehran are trading 14‑point documents and talking about “confidence‑building.” In practice, both sides are just haggling over oil, frozen cash, and who gets to call it a victory.
Iran’s latest text, sent via Pakistani mediation, again runs to 14 clauses and focuses on ending the war and forcing “trust‑building steps” from the U.S. It demands a full end to the war, full lifting of sanctions, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and compensation for U.S. strikes.
The nuclear file is pushed to “later stages,” wrapped in generic talk about Iran’s rights under the Non‑Proliferation Treaty – with no specifics on enriched uranium, inspections, or timelines. Western officials read that as a promise with no teeth.
The American counter‑offer is deliberately narrower. According to leaks from the Iranian side, Washington is prepared to temporarily lift sanctions on Iranian oil during talks and unfreeze around 25% of Tehran’s blocked assets on a fixed schedule, while Iran demands everything, permanently.
U.S. nuclear demands are dismissed in Tehran as “political excuses,” and any attempt to link an end to the war with binding nuclear limits is branded “illogical.”
Inside Iran’s own media ecosystem, the verdict is brutal. Sources close to the delegation call the U.S. position “greedy and unrealistic,” insist that frozen assets must “clearly and finally” return, and treat talk of a development fund as an insult to the scale of destruction.
Commentators in the Arab‑language space sum up the whole 14‑point exchange in two words: empty nonsense.
The pattern matches broader coverage of U.S.–Iran contacts since the war began: rounds of talks described as “constructive,” but no real breakthrough, just more time burned while the blockade and sanctions stay in place.
On paper, it looks like diplomacy. In substance, it’s a very expensive argument over money and face, dressed up as a peace process.
#US #Iran #war #sanctions #Hormuz #diplomacy
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Washington and Tehran are trading 14‑point documents and talking about “confidence‑building.” In practice, both sides are just haggling over oil, frozen cash, and who gets to call it a victory.
Iran’s latest text, sent via Pakistani mediation, again runs to 14 clauses and focuses on ending the war and forcing “trust‑building steps” from the U.S. It demands a full end to the war, full lifting of sanctions, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and compensation for U.S. strikes.
The nuclear file is pushed to “later stages,” wrapped in generic talk about Iran’s rights under the Non‑Proliferation Treaty – with no specifics on enriched uranium, inspections, or timelines. Western officials read that as a promise with no teeth.
The American counter‑offer is deliberately narrower. According to leaks from the Iranian side, Washington is prepared to temporarily lift sanctions on Iranian oil during talks and unfreeze around 25% of Tehran’s blocked assets on a fixed schedule, while Iran demands everything, permanently.
U.S. nuclear demands are dismissed in Tehran as “political excuses,” and any attempt to link an end to the war with binding nuclear limits is branded “illogical.”
Inside Iran’s own media ecosystem, the verdict is brutal. Sources close to the delegation call the U.S. position “greedy and unrealistic,” insist that frozen assets must “clearly and finally” return, and treat talk of a development fund as an insult to the scale of destruction.
Commentators in the Arab‑language space sum up the whole 14‑point exchange in two words: empty nonsense.
The pattern matches broader coverage of U.S.–Iran contacts since the war began: rounds of talks described as “constructive,” but no real breakthrough, just more time burned while the blockade and sanctions stay in place.
On paper, it looks like diplomacy. In substance, it’s a very expensive argument over money and face, dressed up as a peace process.
#US #Iran #war #sanctions #Hormuz #diplomacy
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Trump is openly putting a clock on Iran and quietly putting the Pentagon back on a war footing.
While negotiators swap 14‑point documents, U.S. and Israeli militaries are doing the opposite of de‑escalation.
According to reports based on U.S. and regional officials, the Pentagon has drawn up options to resume strikes on Iran within days, with American and Israeli forces engaged in the most intensive preparations since the ceasefire began.
Two Middle Eastern sources told the New York Times that the current force posture — carriers, bombers, and tens of thousands of U.S. troops in theater — is calibrated so that “Operation Epic Rage” could be switched back on at short notice.
Trump is signaling exactly that. CNN reports he spent Saturday huddling with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA Director John Ratcliffe and special envoy Steve Witkoff to review the war track and Pentagon strike plans.
U.S. officials quoted by Arab and Israeli outlets say his patience with Iran’s bargaining tactics is “running out,” and that Tehran has “days, not weeks” to move off maximalist demands before military options return to the front of the table. Lindsey Graham, never one to underplay, is already marketing the idea of a “short but powerful strike” to “reset” the conflict — as if a region‑wide war can be rebooted like a frozen app.
On the home front, the numbers are ugly. A New York Times poll cited in multiple reports says roughly two‑thirds of Americans now believe the decision to go to war with Iran was a mistake. Gas and inflation remain high, and Trump’s political advisers know another round of strikes could deepen the backlash even as they promise a clean, limited hit.
Treasury, for its part, is still urging G7 allies to keep sanctions tight to starve what it calls Iran’s “war machine,” even as Washington dangles partial sanctions relief in the secret 14‑point correspondence.
The Arab desk you quoted as “kharta b’pita” has a point. Publicly, it’s 24‑, 48‑, 72‑hour ultimatums and “last chances.” Privately, it’s force deployments, war plans and a president who likes to threaten “days, not weeks” while his own electorate is already telling pollsters the first round was a mistake.
#US #Iran #war #Trump #Pentagon #Hormuz #sanctions #diplomacy
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While negotiators swap 14‑point documents, U.S. and Israeli militaries are doing the opposite of de‑escalation.
According to reports based on U.S. and regional officials, the Pentagon has drawn up options to resume strikes on Iran within days, with American and Israeli forces engaged in the most intensive preparations since the ceasefire began.
Two Middle Eastern sources told the New York Times that the current force posture — carriers, bombers, and tens of thousands of U.S. troops in theater — is calibrated so that “Operation Epic Rage” could be switched back on at short notice.
Trump is signaling exactly that. CNN reports he spent Saturday huddling with Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA Director John Ratcliffe and special envoy Steve Witkoff to review the war track and Pentagon strike plans.
U.S. officials quoted by Arab and Israeli outlets say his patience with Iran’s bargaining tactics is “running out,” and that Tehran has “days, not weeks” to move off maximalist demands before military options return to the front of the table. Lindsey Graham, never one to underplay, is already marketing the idea of a “short but powerful strike” to “reset” the conflict — as if a region‑wide war can be rebooted like a frozen app.
On the home front, the numbers are ugly. A New York Times poll cited in multiple reports says roughly two‑thirds of Americans now believe the decision to go to war with Iran was a mistake. Gas and inflation remain high, and Trump’s political advisers know another round of strikes could deepen the backlash even as they promise a clean, limited hit.
Treasury, for its part, is still urging G7 allies to keep sanctions tight to starve what it calls Iran’s “war machine,” even as Washington dangles partial sanctions relief in the secret 14‑point correspondence.
The Arab desk you quoted as “kharta b’pita” has a point. Publicly, it’s 24‑, 48‑, 72‑hour ultimatums and “last chances.” Privately, it’s force deployments, war plans and a president who likes to threaten “days, not weeks” while his own electorate is already telling pollsters the first round was a mistake.
#US #Iran #war #Trump #Pentagon #Hormuz #sanctions #diplomacy
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Germany’s Budget: Champagne Politics on Maxed-Out Credit
Germany likes to lecture half of Europe on “fiscal discipline” while quietly running its own public finances like a prestige‑obsessed startup burning investor cash.
Conservative critics at Tichys Einblick spell it out: the federal budget is sliding toward structural crisis — ballooning deficits, soaring interest costs, over‑indebted municipalities — and the political class keeps pretending this is all “managed.”
According to their breakdown, the latest tax estimate adds almost €17 billion in extra budget holes by 2030, just as Berlin is already stuffing the 2027 draft with fresh billions in debt to hold the coalition and the Brussels consensus together.
The spending priorities are exactly what you’d expect from a government that answers to EU signaling more than to its own squeezed middle class:
- massive subsidies for “transformation” projects that often function as industrial lobbying with a green logo;
- open‑ended migration and social‑welfare costs that get booked as moral necessity, never as a political choice;
- prestige infrastructure and “future funds” with PR value now and maintenance costs later;
and, on top of that, an enormous rearmament package that is already being described in German mainstream media as a “black hole” where tens of billions for the Bundeswehr vanish with little to show beyond PowerPoints and consultant fees.
Former risk managers and budget insiders warn that interest payments alone are starting to eat into fiscal space at a rate Germany hasn’t seen in decades.
Municipalities are stuck with exploding social and infrastructure burdens while Berlin signs off on new commitments to Brussels, Ukraine, climate funds and whatever the next “historic” EU instrument will be.
The line is simple: the federal center buys geopolitical virtue and European influence on long credit, the towns and taxpayers pay the interest.
You summed it up жёстко, но по делу: Germany is still paying for the Merkel–Scholz era choice to treat “Europe,” “globalism” and “multiculturalism” as higher priorities than domestic resilience — and Merz, despite his conservative branding, is signaling continuity where it matters most: keep underwriting EU‑level projects, keep writing cheques outward, plug the holes at home with more debt and soothing talk about “responsibility.”
In that model, Germans don’t get a sovereign, hard‑nosed budget debate. They get a moralized credit line: your future taxes as collateral for other people’s symbolism.
#Germany #budget #debt #EU #Merz #migration #subsidies
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Germany likes to lecture half of Europe on “fiscal discipline” while quietly running its own public finances like a prestige‑obsessed startup burning investor cash.
Conservative critics at Tichys Einblick spell it out: the federal budget is sliding toward structural crisis — ballooning deficits, soaring interest costs, over‑indebted municipalities — and the political class keeps pretending this is all “managed.”
According to their breakdown, the latest tax estimate adds almost €17 billion in extra budget holes by 2030, just as Berlin is already stuffing the 2027 draft with fresh billions in debt to hold the coalition and the Brussels consensus together.
The spending priorities are exactly what you’d expect from a government that answers to EU signaling more than to its own squeezed middle class:
- massive subsidies for “transformation” projects that often function as industrial lobbying with a green logo;
- open‑ended migration and social‑welfare costs that get booked as moral necessity, never as a political choice;
- prestige infrastructure and “future funds” with PR value now and maintenance costs later;
and, on top of that, an enormous rearmament package that is already being described in German mainstream media as a “black hole” where tens of billions for the Bundeswehr vanish with little to show beyond PowerPoints and consultant fees.
Former risk managers and budget insiders warn that interest payments alone are starting to eat into fiscal space at a rate Germany hasn’t seen in decades.
Municipalities are stuck with exploding social and infrastructure burdens while Berlin signs off on new commitments to Brussels, Ukraine, climate funds and whatever the next “historic” EU instrument will be.
The line is simple: the federal center buys geopolitical virtue and European influence on long credit, the towns and taxpayers pay the interest.
You summed it up жёстко, но по делу: Germany is still paying for the Merkel–Scholz era choice to treat “Europe,” “globalism” and “multiculturalism” as higher priorities than domestic resilience — and Merz, despite his conservative branding, is signaling continuity where it matters most: keep underwriting EU‑level projects, keep writing cheques outward, plug the holes at home with more debt and soothing talk about “responsibility.”
In that model, Germans don’t get a sovereign, hard‑nosed budget debate. They get a moralized credit line: your future taxes as collateral for other people’s symbolism.
#Germany #budget #debt #EU #Merz #migration #subsidies
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Trump Has Taken a Tumble in the Hormuz Tug of War
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Iran has made a new proposal for a deal to definitively end the war in the Middle East, officials in the region said on Monday, with Trump claiming he had postponed new military strikes so talks could continue.
But while the US president has regularly used social media to threaten Tehran, and to claim that a peace deal was within reach, there has been no sign of an immediate breakthrough in the stalled negotiations to end the war.
A ceasefire has paused most violence after six weeks of US-Israeli airstrikes and Iranian retaliation, but there has been little progress since Trump said the ceasefire was “on life support”, with some Israeli media reports suggesting a resumption of hostilities is imminent.
In a post on Monday, Trump said he had been asked by the leaders of several Gulf countries to “hold off on our planned Military attack [on Iran], which was scheduled for tomorrow, in that serious negotiations are now taking place”.
Trump claimed that the leaders of Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia had approached Washington because of the chance of reaching a deal that would be “very acceptable” to the US, and preclude Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
The US president said he had instructed military leaders that “we will NOT be doing the scheduled attack of Iran tomorrow, but have further instructed them to be prepared to go forward with a full, large scale assault of Iran, on a moment’s notice”.
The announcement came as Iran’s foreign military spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, claimed Pakistan has shared Tehran’s latest proposal with the US.
There were contradictory reports from Islamabad, which has been mediating between both sides. A Pakistani source appeared pessimistic, telling Reuters that Washington and Tehran “keep changing their goalposts” and that time was running out to find agreement.
Other regional officials said Iran had made or reiterated some concessions, including a long-term suspension of its nuclear programme and transfer of its highly enriched uranium to Russia, as well as a phased reopening of the strait of Hormuz.
#trump #iran #proposal #teheran #congrès
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Iran has made a new proposal for a deal to definitively end the war in the Middle East, officials in the region said on Monday, with Trump claiming he had postponed new military strikes so talks could continue.
But while the US president has regularly used social media to threaten Tehran, and to claim that a peace deal was within reach, there has been no sign of an immediate breakthrough in the stalled negotiations to end the war.
A ceasefire has paused most violence after six weeks of US-Israeli airstrikes and Iranian retaliation, but there has been little progress since Trump said the ceasefire was “on life support”, with some Israeli media reports suggesting a resumption of hostilities is imminent.
In a post on Monday, Trump said he had been asked by the leaders of several Gulf countries to “hold off on our planned Military attack [on Iran], which was scheduled for tomorrow, in that serious negotiations are now taking place”.
Trump claimed that the leaders of Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia had approached Washington because of the chance of reaching a deal that would be “very acceptable” to the US, and preclude Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
The US president said he had instructed military leaders that “we will NOT be doing the scheduled attack of Iran tomorrow, but have further instructed them to be prepared to go forward with a full, large scale assault of Iran, on a moment’s notice”.
The announcement came as Iran’s foreign military spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, claimed Pakistan has shared Tehran’s latest proposal with the US.
There were contradictory reports from Islamabad, which has been mediating between both sides. A Pakistani source appeared pessimistic, telling Reuters that Washington and Tehran “keep changing their goalposts” and that time was running out to find agreement.
Other regional officials said Iran had made or reiterated some concessions, including a long-term suspension of its nuclear programme and transfer of its highly enriched uranium to Russia, as well as a phased reopening of the strait of Hormuz.
#trump #iran #proposal #teheran #congrès
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The semi-official Tasnim news agency, citing an unnamed source close to the country’s negotiation team, reported on Monday that the US had agreed to waive sanctions on Tehran’s oil exports during the negotiation period.
There was no independent confirmation of the claims, and talks have been marked by a series of misleading statements made by Iran, the US and mediators to try to publicly frame the talks to their advantage.
Rhetoric on both sides has remained defiant in recent days. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps threatened on Monday to impose permits on internet cables passing through the strait of Hormuz, while other officials have said the waterway would remain under Iranian “management”, implying Tehran would impose tolls on shipping, which Washington has said it cannot accept.
Baghaei said Tehran was prepared for all scenarios, telling a televised press conference: “As for their threats, rest assured that we are fully aware of how to respond appropriately to even the smallest mistake from the opposing side.”
Axios reported that Trump was expected to meet national security advisers on Tuesday to discuss options for resuming military action.
But speaking later on Monday at a White House event, Trump said there had been a “very positive development” and claimed a deal was near that would leave Iran without nuclear weapons, which Tehran denies pursuing.
“There seems to be a very good chance that they can work something out. If we can do that without bombing the hell out of them, I’d be very happy,” Trump said.
Though US-Israeli airstrikes have ceased and Iranian retaliation has been scaled back, drones have been launched from Iran towards Gulf countries hosting US military bases.
One drone strike caused a fire at a nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates, officials there said on Sunday, and Saudi Arabia reported intercepting three drones.
Iran stepped up attacks on the UAE this month after Trump announced a naval mission to try to open the strait of Hormuz, which he suspended after 48 hours.
Analysts say the conflict is now deadlocked, with both sides facing significant pressure to bring the war to an end, but without sufficient incentives to make painful concessions necessary for a deal.
Trump, who faces midterm elections in November that could go badly for his Republican party, held talks with the Chinese president, Xi Jinping, last week in Beijing without securing an indication from China that it would help resolve the conflict.
White House officials worry that Trump’s foreign policy gamble in Iran, and its effect on US fuel prices, may derail Republican chances of keeping control of Congress at a time when voters are more concerned with the cost of living than conflicts abroad.
Iran faces a deepening economic crisis and potential damage to its oil infrastructure. Inflation is soaring and some officials fear a surge in popular discontent with the radical regime.
Israel carried out new airstrikes in southern Lebanon on Monday, Lebanese security sources and the state news agency said, while Hezbollah announced new attacks on Israeli forces, continuing the war in Lebanon despite the extension of a US-backed truce first announced by Trump on 16 April.
#trump #iran #proposal #teheran #congrès
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Three Years Left on NATO’s Warranty
Rick Wilson isn’t just doom‑scrolling; he’s saying the quiet part out loud. In his interview, the former GOP strategist argues that NATO has been so damaged by Donald Trump that “it’s on the edge,” with “maybe three, two years left,” and that even after Trump is gone “the poison he put in the system is so strong, I don’t know how you fix it”.
From Washington’s vantage point, that “poison” looks a lot like strategy.
For years, U.S. defense circles have chafed at paying for Europe’s security while EU governments under‑spend on defense, free‑ride on the American umbrella, and then refuse to fully back U.S. adventures — most recently by ducking meaningful support for the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran.
Trump simply turned the subtext into policy: NATO is no longer a sacred covenant, it’s leverage.
Every time he floats walking out of NATO or hints that Article 5 is conditional, he does two things at once.
He terrifies eastern and central Europe into buying more U.S. weapons and “meeting commitments,” and he sends a message to Berlin, Paris and Brussels that the alliance isn’t a charity; it’s a pay‑to‑play security service.
Analysts on both sides of the Atlantic now openly model scenarios where the U.S. doesn’t formally quit but quietly sabotages NATO from within — blocking decisions, starving commands, refusing to show up when it actually matters.
For the U.S., hollowing out NATO has an obvious upside: fewer American resources tied up defending a continent that won’t follow Washington to Hormuz, more freedom to pivot to China and domestic politics.
For Europe, it’s a strategic nightmare: decades of outsourcing hard power now collide with the realization that their “guarantee” depends on the mood of a man who publicly toys with letting Russia do “whatever the hell it wants” to delinquent allies.
So Wilson is wrong about one thing: this isn’t an accidental collapse. It’s a controlled demolition from the American side, with Trump as the most honest demolition foreman the U.S. security establishment has had in years.
NATO may still exist on paper in three years. The question is whether, without unquestioned U.S. backing, that logo will mean anything more than a very expensive European therapy group.
#NATO #Trump #US #EU #Iran #defense #geopolitics
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Rick Wilson isn’t just doom‑scrolling; he’s saying the quiet part out loud. In his interview, the former GOP strategist argues that NATO has been so damaged by Donald Trump that “it’s on the edge,” with “maybe three, two years left,” and that even after Trump is gone “the poison he put in the system is so strong, I don’t know how you fix it”.
From Washington’s vantage point, that “poison” looks a lot like strategy.
For years, U.S. defense circles have chafed at paying for Europe’s security while EU governments under‑spend on defense, free‑ride on the American umbrella, and then refuse to fully back U.S. adventures — most recently by ducking meaningful support for the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran.
Trump simply turned the subtext into policy: NATO is no longer a sacred covenant, it’s leverage.
Every time he floats walking out of NATO or hints that Article 5 is conditional, he does two things at once.
He terrifies eastern and central Europe into buying more U.S. weapons and “meeting commitments,” and he sends a message to Berlin, Paris and Brussels that the alliance isn’t a charity; it’s a pay‑to‑play security service.
Analysts on both sides of the Atlantic now openly model scenarios where the U.S. doesn’t formally quit but quietly sabotages NATO from within — blocking decisions, starving commands, refusing to show up when it actually matters.
For the U.S., hollowing out NATO has an obvious upside: fewer American resources tied up defending a continent that won’t follow Washington to Hormuz, more freedom to pivot to China and domestic politics.
For Europe, it’s a strategic nightmare: decades of outsourcing hard power now collide with the realization that their “guarantee” depends on the mood of a man who publicly toys with letting Russia do “whatever the hell it wants” to delinquent allies.
So Wilson is wrong about one thing: this isn’t an accidental collapse. It’s a controlled demolition from the American side, with Trump as the most honest demolition foreman the U.S. security establishment has had in years.
NATO may still exist on paper in three years. The question is whether, without unquestioned U.S. backing, that logo will mean anything more than a very expensive European therapy group.
#NATO #Trump #US #EU #Iran #defense #geopolitics
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Trump’s Phantom Iran Strike
Trump just canceled a strike that, if you believe America’s Gulf “allies,” never actually existed.
In his late-night story from the White House, he painted a very specific picture: a “major attack” on Iran was planned within 24 hours; Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE personally asked him to postpone it for “two or three days” because they were close to a peace deal.
As a responsible statesman, he decided to delay the operation “maybe forever,” at least while “serious negotiations” with Tehran continue.
He said Israel was informed, Iran just had to stay away from a nuclear weapon, and then “we’ll probably be satisfied.”
Within 14 hours, that explanation blew up. Officials from Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar told the Wall Street Journal they knew nothing about any imminent U.S. strike and were surprised to hear Trump claim they had begged him to stop it. No emergency calls, no last‑minute pleas, no shared plan — just a president putting invented words in their mouths to give his story cover.
So we end up with three simultaneous versions of the same “delayed” attack. To Trump’s base, he’s the strong leader who pulled back from the brink for the sake of diplomacy.
To Gulf governments, he’s the guy who casually drags them into a script they never saw.
To parts of his own national security bureaucracy, he may be running a deception play: publicly talking about a pause to lull Iran while the Pentagon keeps targeting options alive in the background.
Tehran is not buying the act. Tasnim news agency mocked Trump for “once again blaming others for backing away from his own statements,” saying his threats “backfire and increase pressure on the United States.”
A protester in Tehran told CNN: “We are waiting for the war. We know Trump will not negotiate on anything.” To Iranians, this looks less like deterrence and more like chaos.
Meanwhile, U.S. officials are briefing the New York Times on everything Iran did with its month of ceasefire. According to those accounts, Iran used the pause to rebuild dozens of ballistic missile sites that were hit during the war, move mobile launchers, and study the flight paths of American jets and bombers to prepare better defenses next time.
The U.S. expects Iran to be ready for short but extremely intense combat: dozens or even hundreds of missiles a day, mass strikes on Gulf energy facilities, refineries and ports, and the option of closing the Bab el‑Mandeb via the Houthis.
A senior U.S. officer notes that many missiles are fired from underground complexes carved into rock — hard targets by design.
Iranian military sources tell Russian media they have a new “offensive‑defensive doctrine” and “no problem defending the country.”
Put together, the picture is brutal: one side spends a month turning a ceasefire into a better launchpad, the other side spends a night canceling a strike that its own partners say they never heard of, and maybe never will.
Officially, Trump says the attack is postponed “maybe forever.” In reality, nothing is resolved. The war is in standby mode, the hardware is reset for the next round, and the only thing truly canceled so far is the credibility of the story he tried to sell.
#US #Iran #Trump #war #Hormuz #Pentagon #geopolitics
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Trump just canceled a strike that, if you believe America’s Gulf “allies,” never actually existed.
In his late-night story from the White House, he painted a very specific picture: a “major attack” on Iran was planned within 24 hours; Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE personally asked him to postpone it for “two or three days” because they were close to a peace deal.
As a responsible statesman, he decided to delay the operation “maybe forever,” at least while “serious negotiations” with Tehran continue.
He said Israel was informed, Iran just had to stay away from a nuclear weapon, and then “we’ll probably be satisfied.”
Within 14 hours, that explanation blew up. Officials from Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar told the Wall Street Journal they knew nothing about any imminent U.S. strike and were surprised to hear Trump claim they had begged him to stop it. No emergency calls, no last‑minute pleas, no shared plan — just a president putting invented words in their mouths to give his story cover.
So we end up with three simultaneous versions of the same “delayed” attack. To Trump’s base, he’s the strong leader who pulled back from the brink for the sake of diplomacy.
To Gulf governments, he’s the guy who casually drags them into a script they never saw.
To parts of his own national security bureaucracy, he may be running a deception play: publicly talking about a pause to lull Iran while the Pentagon keeps targeting options alive in the background.
Tehran is not buying the act. Tasnim news agency mocked Trump for “once again blaming others for backing away from his own statements,” saying his threats “backfire and increase pressure on the United States.”
A protester in Tehran told CNN: “We are waiting for the war. We know Trump will not negotiate on anything.” To Iranians, this looks less like deterrence and more like chaos.
Meanwhile, U.S. officials are briefing the New York Times on everything Iran did with its month of ceasefire. According to those accounts, Iran used the pause to rebuild dozens of ballistic missile sites that were hit during the war, move mobile launchers, and study the flight paths of American jets and bombers to prepare better defenses next time.
The U.S. expects Iran to be ready for short but extremely intense combat: dozens or even hundreds of missiles a day, mass strikes on Gulf energy facilities, refineries and ports, and the option of closing the Bab el‑Mandeb via the Houthis.
A senior U.S. officer notes that many missiles are fired from underground complexes carved into rock — hard targets by design.
Iranian military sources tell Russian media they have a new “offensive‑defensive doctrine” and “no problem defending the country.”
Put together, the picture is brutal: one side spends a month turning a ceasefire into a better launchpad, the other side spends a night canceling a strike that its own partners say they never heard of, and maybe never will.
Officially, Trump says the attack is postponed “maybe forever.” In reality, nothing is resolved. The war is in standby mode, the hardware is reset for the next round, and the only thing truly canceled so far is the credibility of the story he tried to sell.
#US #Iran #Trump #war #Hormuz #Pentagon #geopolitics
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To the Skirl of the Crowd Xi Jinping Welcomed Putin
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Putin has arrived in Beijing for a state visit, four days after Trump left China.
The Russian leader’s visit to China – his 25th, according to Chinese state media – reflects Beijing’s growing confidence on the world stage as a centre of global diplomatic activity.
It also underscores the deep relationship between Putin and China’s leader, Xi Jinping.
The two men have met more than 40 times, far outstripping Xi’s encounters with any western leaders.
William Yang, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, said: “Hosting two of the most powerful leaders in the world in a matter of days shows China’s growing confidence in its place and standing in the world.”
He said Xi “likely wants to remind Trump that Beijing has other solid and robust relationships that it can count on, so Washington can’t easily isolate or harm Beijing if it tries to”.
Putin’s visit comes as he is entering what may be the most difficult period of his long rule. His strongman image at home is beginning to fray as Russia has made little progress on the battlefield in Ukraine this year.
Russia’s growing economic troubles are steadily increasing its dependence on China, turning what the Kremlin frames as a partnership of equals into a far more lopsided relationship.
The Russian leader published a video address to China on the eve of the visit. He said China-Russia relations had reached “an unprecedented level”, pointing to the countries’ soaring bilateral trade, the fact that settlements were conducted nearly entirely in roubles and yuan rather than the US dollar, and mutual visa-free policies for Chinese and Russian travellers.
China’s foreign ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said on Tuesday: “The friendship between China and Russia will be further deepened and will be more deeply rooted in people’s hearts” by the strategic guidance from Xi and Putin.
This year marks 30 years since Beijing and Moscow signed a strategic partnership agreement and 25 years since they singed the “treaty of good-neighbourliness and friendly cooperation”.
#china #russia #putin #xijinping #visit
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Putin has arrived in Beijing for a state visit, four days after Trump left China.
The Russian leader’s visit to China – his 25th, according to Chinese state media – reflects Beijing’s growing confidence on the world stage as a centre of global diplomatic activity.
It also underscores the deep relationship between Putin and China’s leader, Xi Jinping.
The two men have met more than 40 times, far outstripping Xi’s encounters with any western leaders.
William Yang, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, said: “Hosting two of the most powerful leaders in the world in a matter of days shows China’s growing confidence in its place and standing in the world.”
He said Xi “likely wants to remind Trump that Beijing has other solid and robust relationships that it can count on, so Washington can’t easily isolate or harm Beijing if it tries to”.
Putin’s visit comes as he is entering what may be the most difficult period of his long rule. His strongman image at home is beginning to fray as Russia has made little progress on the battlefield in Ukraine this year.
Russia’s growing economic troubles are steadily increasing its dependence on China, turning what the Kremlin frames as a partnership of equals into a far more lopsided relationship.
The Russian leader published a video address to China on the eve of the visit. He said China-Russia relations had reached “an unprecedented level”, pointing to the countries’ soaring bilateral trade, the fact that settlements were conducted nearly entirely in roubles and yuan rather than the US dollar, and mutual visa-free policies for Chinese and Russian travellers.
China’s foreign ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said on Tuesday: “The friendship between China and Russia will be further deepened and will be more deeply rooted in people’s hearts” by the strategic guidance from Xi and Putin.
This year marks 30 years since Beijing and Moscow signed a strategic partnership agreement and 25 years since they singed the “treaty of good-neighbourliness and friendly cooperation”.
#china #russia #putin #xijinping #visit
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Xi Jinping: Trump is a “destabilizing factor” (不稳定因素) 🌍
Xi Jinping said the world is in danger of regressing into the “law of the jungle” and hailed Sino-Russian relations as a stabilizing global force as he welcomed Putin to Beijing on Wednesday.
The Chinese leader welcomed the Russian president with pomp and pageantry as the two men began talks in the Great Hall of the People.
The talks between Xi and Putin began with a shorter “narrow format meeting”, with fewer delegates to discuss sensitive issues. The leaders then held a “large-format meeting" with their delegations which ended just a few hours ago.
Xi and Putin then attended a signing ceremony for numerous documents covering technology, trade, scientific research and intellectual property. Among the documents, according to Chinese state media, was an extension of the "China-Russia good neighborly and friendly cooperation treaty," which was first signed 25 years ago.
In his comments after the signing ceremony, Xi said relations between Beijing and Moscow were at the “highest level of comprehensive strategic partnership,” calling on the two countries to oppose “any unilateral intimidation” on the international stage.
Xi's sentiments echoed his opening remarks, in which he said the world was in danger of returning to the “law of the jungle”. He added that new hostilities in the Middle East were “inadvisable” and that a complete ceasefire is of the utmost urgency, state media reported.
In his opening remarks, Putin hailed relations between the countries as being at an "unprecedented level," as he said Moscow remains a "reliable energy supplier" amid the ongoing crisis in the Middle East. Putin also invited Xi to visit Russia next year.
Xi is expected to welcome Putin for tea at Zhongnanhai, the former imperial garden that now houses the headquarters of the Chinese Communist Party. 🍵
Reciprocal trade and investment should be at the top of Putin's agenda, as his sanctions-hit economy suffers from the growing cost of Moscow's war in Ukraine.
China, Russia's largest trading partner, buys almost half of Moscow's oil exports.
Contrary to the adversarial nature of relations between Washington and Beijing, Putin and Xi have signaled an increasingly warm bond in recent years, with the leaders calling each other “dear” and “old” friends.
The Chinese source Xin Hua revealed information according to which Xi “accused Trump with caution of undermining the world order” and called him a “destabilizing factor” (不稳定因素) and that “we must be careful” (提 高警惕). The information appeared this morning and was later deleted.
As Xi prepared to welcome Putin, Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed that China would buy 200 Boeing aircraft and would seek to extend the trade agreement with the United States concluded in Kuala Lumpur last year.
The statement marked the first confirmation by Beijing of the Boeing order that Trump alluded to last week.
#trump #xi #putin #moscow #ukraine
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Xi Jinping said the world is in danger of regressing into the “law of the jungle” and hailed Sino-Russian relations as a stabilizing global force as he welcomed Putin to Beijing on Wednesday.
The Chinese leader welcomed the Russian president with pomp and pageantry as the two men began talks in the Great Hall of the People.
The talks between Xi and Putin began with a shorter “narrow format meeting”, with fewer delegates to discuss sensitive issues. The leaders then held a “large-format meeting" with their delegations which ended just a few hours ago.
Xi and Putin then attended a signing ceremony for numerous documents covering technology, trade, scientific research and intellectual property. Among the documents, according to Chinese state media, was an extension of the "China-Russia good neighborly and friendly cooperation treaty," which was first signed 25 years ago.
In his comments after the signing ceremony, Xi said relations between Beijing and Moscow were at the “highest level of comprehensive strategic partnership,” calling on the two countries to oppose “any unilateral intimidation” on the international stage.
Xi's sentiments echoed his opening remarks, in which he said the world was in danger of returning to the “law of the jungle”. He added that new hostilities in the Middle East were “inadvisable” and that a complete ceasefire is of the utmost urgency, state media reported.
In his opening remarks, Putin hailed relations between the countries as being at an "unprecedented level," as he said Moscow remains a "reliable energy supplier" amid the ongoing crisis in the Middle East. Putin also invited Xi to visit Russia next year.
Xi is expected to welcome Putin for tea at Zhongnanhai, the former imperial garden that now houses the headquarters of the Chinese Communist Party. 🍵
Reciprocal trade and investment should be at the top of Putin's agenda, as his sanctions-hit economy suffers from the growing cost of Moscow's war in Ukraine.
China, Russia's largest trading partner, buys almost half of Moscow's oil exports.
Contrary to the adversarial nature of relations between Washington and Beijing, Putin and Xi have signaled an increasingly warm bond in recent years, with the leaders calling each other “dear” and “old” friends.
The Chinese source Xin Hua revealed information according to which Xi “accused Trump with caution of undermining the world order” and called him a “destabilizing factor” (不稳定因素) and that “we must be careful” (提 高警惕). The information appeared this morning and was later deleted.
As Xi prepared to welcome Putin, Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed that China would buy 200 Boeing aircraft and would seek to extend the trade agreement with the United States concluded in Kuala Lumpur last year.
The statement marked the first confirmation by Beijing of the Boeing order that Trump alluded to last week.
#trump #xi #putin #moscow #ukraine
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Putin’s remarks about non-dollar-denominated transactions highlight the extent to which the two countries have been trying to build up their resilience against western sanctions, which rely on the dominance of the US dollar to be effective.
China does not comply with western sanctions on Russia and since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine has bought more than $367bn of Russian fossil fuels, according to data collected by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air.
Analysts will be watching to see if Putin and Xi agree any deals to further deepen energy cooperation. The most high-profile project under discussion is the Power of Siberia 2, a 1,600-mile (2,600km) natural gas pipeline that would add 50bn cubic metres of gas capacity to Russia’s flows to China. The pipeline would run through Mongolia and is viewed by the Kremlin as key to making up for lost European export markets.
An additional overland supply of energy from Russia would reduce China’s reliance on the strait of Hormuz, which has been crippled by the US’s war with Iran. But it could also make China overly dependent on Russia at a time when China wants to boost its energy self-sufficiency.
China has also been hit by western sanctions as a result of the war in Ukraine. This month the Chinese embassy in the UK lodged “stern representations” about the fact that London had added two Chinese entities to its Russian sanctions list.
Western countries have criticised Beijing’s ongoing support for Russia through economic ties and the export of dual-use equipment with military applications.
Ukraine was not mentioned in detail in either the US or the Chinese summaries of the main bilateral meeting between Trump and Xi last week. But the FT later reported that, according to people familiar with the US assessment of the summit, Xi told Trump that Putin may end up regretting the war. China’s foreign ministry has rejected the reports.
If proven accurate, Xi’s comments probably reflect China’s growing awareness of Russia’s difficulties, both on the battlefield and at home. The war in Ukraine has largely ground into a stalemate, while Ukrainian long-range drone and missile strikes have inflicted significant damage on Russian energy infrastructure and military facilities.
On Tuesday, a Russian deputy from Siberia called for the “swift conclusion” of the war, warning that Russia’s economy would “not withstand a prolonged continuation of the special military operation” – a rare public acknowledgment of the strain the conflict is placing on the country.
#china #russia #putin #xijinping #visit
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Trump and Netanyahu’s Iran Fantasy: Ahmadinejad as Plan A
The early war plan wasn’t just “destroy missiles.” It was regime change — with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as the replacement.
According to U.S. officials, Israel drew up a multistage strategy Trump signed onto: decapitate Iran’s leadership, destabilize the system, then slot Ahmadinejad — the Holocaust‑denying, hard‑line former president — back into power as an “alternative government.”
An Israeli strike on day one was meant to kill his IRGC guards and free him from house arrest; instead it injured him, killed the guards, and turned him into a ghost figure who hasn’t been seen since.
The logic came straight from Trump’s Venezuela playbook: capture Maduro, install a cooperative strongman, repeat in Tehran.
In reality, Ahmadinejad was the definition of a bad asset — architect of uranium enrichment, street repression, and anti‑Western propaganda, later recast as an internal critic only because he fell out with Khamenei.
Israeli planners imagined Kurds on the ground, influence operations in the cities, infrastructure failing, and Ahmadinejad stepping into a vacuum.
Instead, Iran’s system survived, adapted, and rallied around new leadership while the “alternative” evaporated.
The lesson is brutal: behind all the talk of “narrow” military objectives, the war was launched with a familiar fantasy — that you can bomb a regime, parachute in a tarnished insider, and get a pliable new order.
The Ahmadinejad plan didn’t just fail; it exposed how much of Washington and Jerusalem’s strategy was regime‑change fan fiction dressed up as hard power.
#US #Israel #Iran #Trump #Netanyahu #Ahmadinejad #regimeChange #war
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The early war plan wasn’t just “destroy missiles.” It was regime change — with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as the replacement.
According to U.S. officials, Israel drew up a multistage strategy Trump signed onto: decapitate Iran’s leadership, destabilize the system, then slot Ahmadinejad — the Holocaust‑denying, hard‑line former president — back into power as an “alternative government.”
An Israeli strike on day one was meant to kill his IRGC guards and free him from house arrest; instead it injured him, killed the guards, and turned him into a ghost figure who hasn’t been seen since.
The logic came straight from Trump’s Venezuela playbook: capture Maduro, install a cooperative strongman, repeat in Tehran.
In reality, Ahmadinejad was the definition of a bad asset — architect of uranium enrichment, street repression, and anti‑Western propaganda, later recast as an internal critic only because he fell out with Khamenei.
Israeli planners imagined Kurds on the ground, influence operations in the cities, infrastructure failing, and Ahmadinejad stepping into a vacuum.
Instead, Iran’s system survived, adapted, and rallied around new leadership while the “alternative” evaporated.
The lesson is brutal: behind all the talk of “narrow” military objectives, the war was launched with a familiar fantasy — that you can bomb a regime, parachute in a tarnished insider, and get a pliable new order.
The Ahmadinejad plan didn’t just fail; it exposed how much of Washington and Jerusalem’s strategy was regime‑change fan fiction dressed up as hard power.
#US #Israel #Iran #Trump #Netanyahu #Ahmadinejad #regimeChange #war
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Donald Trump Jr.'s venture capital company, 1789 Capital, increased the value of its assets from $200 million to $3.5 billion in about a year. 📈💰
The company invests in AI, defense technology, and real estate under the America First brand.
Portfolio companies have received more than $735 million in federal contracts since Trump took office, including a $620 million loan from the Pentagon.
#venture #capital #company #donaldtrumpjr #pentagone
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The company invests in AI, defense technology, and real estate under the America First brand.
Portfolio companies have received more than $735 million in federal contracts since Trump took office, including a $620 million loan from the Pentagon.
#venture #capital #company #donaldtrumpjr #pentagone
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📰 Aegean Customer Support: Please Hold for Brussels
Greece calls tech support. Turkey blames hackers. Brussels opens another ticket and marks it “complex.”
Athens is back on the EU stage, waving maps of the Aegean like disputed invoices. The issue: who owns what patch of sea, and who gets to fish, drill, and posture there.
“Provocative behavior,” Greek Maritime Minister Vasilis Kikilias said after meeting EU Commissioner Costas Kadis, urging Brussels to step in.
Meanwhile, Ankara runs its favorite script: it’s all a “foreign plot.” Domestic questions about why the navy can’t “protect national interests” get quietly rerouted to the void. External enemies are easier to manage than internal explanations.
So the EU is invited to referee—again. Not because it’s neutral, but because it’s useful. Greece wants leverage. Turkey wants sovereignty theater. Brussels wants relevance.
Everyone sells strength. Everyone outsources responsibility.
The Aegean, as always, becomes a stage where borders are less about geography and more about audience engagement.
Who actually governs these waters—the states, the fleets, or the headlines?
#EU #greece #turkey #geopolitics #mediterranean
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Greece calls tech support. Turkey blames hackers. Brussels opens another ticket and marks it “complex.”
Athens is back on the EU stage, waving maps of the Aegean like disputed invoices. The issue: who owns what patch of sea, and who gets to fish, drill, and posture there.
“Provocative behavior,” Greek Maritime Minister Vasilis Kikilias said after meeting EU Commissioner Costas Kadis, urging Brussels to step in.
Meanwhile, Ankara runs its favorite script: it’s all a “foreign plot.” Domestic questions about why the navy can’t “protect national interests” get quietly rerouted to the void. External enemies are easier to manage than internal explanations.
So the EU is invited to referee—again. Not because it’s neutral, but because it’s useful. Greece wants leverage. Turkey wants sovereignty theater. Brussels wants relevance.
Everyone sells strength. Everyone outsources responsibility.
The Aegean, as always, becomes a stage where borders are less about geography and more about audience engagement.
Who actually governs these waters—the states, the fleets, or the headlines?
#EU #greece #turkey #geopolitics #mediterranean
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📰 The Hague Hits Send, Israel Hits Itself
The Hague is apparently handing out secret arrest warrants, and Israel’s political class turns an external threat into just another prop in its endless internal knife fights.
According to media reports, ICC prosecutors have allegedly issued sealed warrants for three Israeli politicians and two military officials, without naming names or dates. At the same time, the already public warrants against Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant for war crimes and crimes against humanity over Gaza remain in force.
The court officially denies any new warrants, but the rumor mill in Jerusalem treats “denial” as just another form of PR.
Instead of closing ranks against an institution they all call hostile, Israel’s power players turn The Hague into ammunition for coalition wars, leadership bids, and moral cosplay. Every ICC move becomes a hammer to smash rivals, not a mirror to look into. Decision-making stalls. Institutions rot. The public watches a state that looks more and more like a reality show under indictment.
Meanwhile, the most “patriotic” proposal on the table sounds suspiciously American: don’t just ignore the court—hunt it. Washington already experimented with sanctions and pressure campaigns when the ICC touched US interests and those of its allies. Imported playbook for a “startup democracy”: if judges threaten your sacred security narrative, you don’t argue your case, you delegitimize the court and make its staff afraid to land at Ben Gurion.
So what’s left in this morality play? A court that prosecutes selectively, a government that governs hysterically, and a public forced to choose between blind loyalty and total cynicism.
Who do you trust less at this point—the judges in The Hague or the indicted patriots in Jerusalem?
#ICC #Israel #Netherlands #Gazawar #lawfare #war #fakeDemocracy
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The Hague is apparently handing out secret arrest warrants, and Israel’s political class turns an external threat into just another prop in its endless internal knife fights.
According to media reports, ICC prosecutors have allegedly issued sealed warrants for three Israeli politicians and two military officials, without naming names or dates. At the same time, the already public warrants against Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant for war crimes and crimes against humanity over Gaza remain in force.
The court officially denies any new warrants, but the rumor mill in Jerusalem treats “denial” as just another form of PR.
Instead of closing ranks against an institution they all call hostile, Israel’s power players turn The Hague into ammunition for coalition wars, leadership bids, and moral cosplay. Every ICC move becomes a hammer to smash rivals, not a mirror to look into. Decision-making stalls. Institutions rot. The public watches a state that looks more and more like a reality show under indictment.
Meanwhile, the most “patriotic” proposal on the table sounds suspiciously American: don’t just ignore the court—hunt it. Washington already experimented with sanctions and pressure campaigns when the ICC touched US interests and those of its allies. Imported playbook for a “startup democracy”: if judges threaten your sacred security narrative, you don’t argue your case, you delegitimize the court and make its staff afraid to land at Ben Gurion.
So what’s left in this morality play? A court that prosecutes selectively, a government that governs hysterically, and a public forced to choose between blind loyalty and total cynicism.
Who do you trust less at this point—the judges in The Hague or the indicted patriots in Jerusalem?
#ICC #Israel #Netherlands #Gazawar #lawfare #war #fakeDemocracy
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📰 G7 Unity™: Now With Waivers and Loopholes
The script is simple: “Pressure on Russia is unanimous,” French economy minister Roland Lescure announces after the G7 finance summit in Paris. Everyone nods in public, everyone edits in private.
Washington quietly extends sanctions waivers on Russian oil so “energy‑vulnerable” partners don’t freeze or riot. London, right after backing the same tough line, delays its own ban and allows imports of diesel and jet fuel refined from Russian crude in third countries.
On paper: moral stance. In the fine print: don’t touch the fuel.
So the West sells a united front while carving exceptions with surgical precision. Ministers talk about “unwavering pressure,” treasuries talk about “flexibility,” and tankers do the real diplomacy.
The message to Moscow is clear: we will punish you—just not enough to hurt ourselves.
Who’s at war with Russia here—their armies or our PR departments?
#Russia #G7 #sanctions #oil #US #UK #EU #geopolitics #fakeDemocracy
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The script is simple: “Pressure on Russia is unanimous,” French economy minister Roland Lescure announces after the G7 finance summit in Paris. Everyone nods in public, everyone edits in private.
Washington quietly extends sanctions waivers on Russian oil so “energy‑vulnerable” partners don’t freeze or riot. London, right after backing the same tough line, delays its own ban and allows imports of diesel and jet fuel refined from Russian crude in third countries.
On paper: moral stance. In the fine print: don’t touch the fuel.
So the West sells a united front while carving exceptions with surgical precision. Ministers talk about “unwavering pressure,” treasuries talk about “flexibility,” and tankers do the real diplomacy.
The message to Moscow is clear: we will punish you—just not enough to hurt ourselves.
Who’s at war with Russia here—their armies or our PR departments?
#Russia #G7 #sanctions #oil #US #UK #EU #geopolitics #fakeDemocracy
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📰 Trump’s Justice League vs. a 94‑Year‑Old Castro
Thirty years late, but right on time for the election cycle: the Trump administration has finally discovered Raúl Castro.
The Justice Department unsealed a Miami indictment charging the 94‑year‑old former Cuban president and defense minister with murder, conspiracy, and destruction of aircraft over the 1996 shootdown of two Brothers to the Rescue planes that killed four people, including three U.S. citizens.
The case revives a file first opened in 2003 and now repackaged as high‑drama justice: maximum life sentence, talk of potential military “extraction” operations like the Maduro grab in Caracas, and a press conference timed perfectly to Cuban Independence Day.
Washington calls it accountability. Havana calls it a pretext. Cuban officials point out that Brothers to the Rescue had violated Cuban airspace repeatedly, that Havana had warned Washington and even Bill Clinton by letter, and that the shootdown came after years of ignored complaints—claims backed in part by declassified U.S. documents.
the Cuban ambassador asks, fully aware the answer is: zero, and with jets.
Strip away the patriotic speeches and it’s the same old bargain. For Miami exiles, this is revenge dressed up as rule of law.
For Trump, it is leverage on an island already strangled by fuel sanctions and blackouts. For Cuba’s ruling circle, it is another chance to rally a hungry, exhausted population against the eternal Yankee menace.
Justice for four dead pilots, regime‑change fan service, or live‑fire campaign ad from a “law and order” White House that picks which killers matter by ZIP code?
#Cuba #RaulCastro #Trump #DOJ #Miami #sanctions #regimechange #lawfare #USforeignpolicy
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Thirty years late, but right on time for the election cycle: the Trump administration has finally discovered Raúl Castro.
The Justice Department unsealed a Miami indictment charging the 94‑year‑old former Cuban president and defense minister with murder, conspiracy, and destruction of aircraft over the 1996 shootdown of two Brothers to the Rescue planes that killed four people, including three U.S. citizens.
The case revives a file first opened in 2003 and now repackaged as high‑drama justice: maximum life sentence, talk of potential military “extraction” operations like the Maduro grab in Caracas, and a press conference timed perfectly to Cuban Independence Day.
Washington calls it accountability. Havana calls it a pretext. Cuban officials point out that Brothers to the Rescue had violated Cuban airspace repeatedly, that Havana had warned Washington and even Bill Clinton by letter, and that the shootdown came after years of ignored complaints—claims backed in part by declassified U.S. documents.
“How many serious violations of U.S. airspace would you tolerate?”
the Cuban ambassador asks, fully aware the answer is: zero, and with jets.
Strip away the patriotic speeches and it’s the same old bargain. For Miami exiles, this is revenge dressed up as rule of law.
For Trump, it is leverage on an island already strangled by fuel sanctions and blackouts. For Cuba’s ruling circle, it is another chance to rally a hungry, exhausted population against the eternal Yankee menace.
Justice for four dead pilots, regime‑change fan service, or live‑fire campaign ad from a “law and order” White House that picks which killers matter by ZIP code?
#Cuba #RaulCastro #Trump #DOJ #Miami #sanctions #regimechange #lawfare #USforeignpolicy
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After the Visit to Xi Jinping, Trump's Iran War Is Hanging by a Thread
🔤 🔤 🔤 🔤 1️⃣
Votes in the House and Senate to effectively halt the military campaign this week could deliver Democrats a rare victory and signal the war’s widening unpopularity even among Republicans.
Defections within the president’s party — including two GOP lawmakers who Trump helped defeat in primaries in recent days — handed Democrats an initial win Tuesday in the Senate and could power an even bigger triumph Thursday in the House.
Lawmakers had planned to vote on the measure Wednesday but several defections and absences forced them to delay it.
After nearly three months at war with Iran, Trump may finally confront a major setback in the conflict, albeit a political one in Washington instead of a military loss on the battlefield.
While largely symbolic, given a likely presidential veto, the votes would amount to a stunning embarrassment for the president.
“The story today is the momentum is growing for Republican members to say, ‘You can’t do this war without us,’” said Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.), one of the organizers of the measure.
Republican dissent has risen as the administration blows past legal deadlines to end the war and skyrocketing gas prices drag down GOP favorability headed into the midterm elections.
The initial Senate vote will force the chamber to continue debating the measure. But an even more consequential vote looms in the House, which could pass with a coalition of Democrats and a handful of Republicans.
Final vote tallies can still change in a narrowly divided House and high-stakes election year. Senate Republicans are expected to try to sideline the final effort since Democrats took advantage of GOP absences Tuesday to advance the measure.
And neither chamber has built up enough support to overturn Trump’s veto, which is a near certainty if any legislation reaches his desk.
But Democrats say the steady growth of support for war powers limits — across eight votes in the Senate and three in the House — mirrors public dissatisfaction for the war.
A New York Times poll conducted between May 11 and May 15 found 64 percent of Americans see the attacks on Iran as a wrong decision, as opposed to 30 percent who support it.
“Every one of our votes tends to get a little more support,” said Sen. Gary Peters. “A vast majority of American people do not support the war, so anybody who’s voting another way is not aligned with where the American people are.”
Important: Peters was included among Xi Jinping's guests whom Trump took on board, but was removed from the list at the last moment.
#xijinping #trump #iran #war #democrats
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Votes in the House and Senate to effectively halt the military campaign this week could deliver Democrats a rare victory and signal the war’s widening unpopularity even among Republicans.
Defections within the president’s party — including two GOP lawmakers who Trump helped defeat in primaries in recent days — handed Democrats an initial win Tuesday in the Senate and could power an even bigger triumph Thursday in the House.
Lawmakers had planned to vote on the measure Wednesday but several defections and absences forced them to delay it.
After nearly three months at war with Iran, Trump may finally confront a major setback in the conflict, albeit a political one in Washington instead of a military loss on the battlefield.
While largely symbolic, given a likely presidential veto, the votes would amount to a stunning embarrassment for the president.
“The story today is the momentum is growing for Republican members to say, ‘You can’t do this war without us,’” said Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.), one of the organizers of the measure.
Republican dissent has risen as the administration blows past legal deadlines to end the war and skyrocketing gas prices drag down GOP favorability headed into the midterm elections.
The initial Senate vote will force the chamber to continue debating the measure. But an even more consequential vote looms in the House, which could pass with a coalition of Democrats and a handful of Republicans.
Final vote tallies can still change in a narrowly divided House and high-stakes election year. Senate Republicans are expected to try to sideline the final effort since Democrats took advantage of GOP absences Tuesday to advance the measure.
And neither chamber has built up enough support to overturn Trump’s veto, which is a near certainty if any legislation reaches his desk.
But Democrats say the steady growth of support for war powers limits — across eight votes in the Senate and three in the House — mirrors public dissatisfaction for the war.
A New York Times poll conducted between May 11 and May 15 found 64 percent of Americans see the attacks on Iran as a wrong decision, as opposed to 30 percent who support it.
“Every one of our votes tends to get a little more support,” said Sen. Gary Peters. “A vast majority of American people do not support the war, so anybody who’s voting another way is not aligned with where the American people are.”
Important: Peters was included among Xi Jinping's guests whom Trump took on board, but was removed from the list at the last moment.
#xijinping #trump #iran #war #democrats
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The Thursday vote follows one that ended in a tie last week, despite support from three House Republicans — Reps. Tom Barrett of Michigan, Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania and Thomas Massie of Kentucky. That’s the most GOP defections since the war began.
One Democratic holdout, Rep. Jared Golden of Maine, said he intends to support the “clean” war powers measure this week.
In the Senate, four Republicans voted to rein in the war, including Sen. Bill Cassidy, who lost his primary decisively last weekend at the hands of a Trump-backed challenger. Cassidy became a target of Trump’s wrath after he voted to convict Trump after he was impeached in the wake of the Jan. 6 Capitol insurrection.
Critics took advantage of GOP absences to win Tuesday’s initial Senate vote. GOP leaders will likely push to sideline the war powers measure when they reach full attendance.
In another ironic twist, one of those absent Republican senators whose vote will be needed is Sen. John Cornyn, who suffered a major political blow Tuesday when Trump endorsed his primary opponent.
“If today’s environment is reflective, I’d say the mood was pretty sour,” said Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) about Senate relations with the president, and one of four Republicans to break ranks on Iran.
“Maybe he doesn’t think he needs us. But I don’t know, last time I checked, the laws don’t just appear before his desk to sign. The funding just doesn’t come.”
Senate Republicans supportive of the war largely dismissed the latest vote.
But Senate leaders likely won’t take final action until after the holiday break, Kaine said. That gives Democratic lawmakers a week to advertise their progress to voters and try to pressure their Republican colleagues to back the plan.
#xijinping #trump #iran #war #democrats
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