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South Lebanon's "Quiet" Night Shift

A drone struck a building on the Kfarra–al-Aasi road where Shiite mourners had gathered. The building caught fire. Lebanese reports put the number of wounded at several. No independent account has established who was inside or why the site was hit, and the IDF has said nothing about it.

The rest of the night ran to the same schedule. Artillery hit Wadi al-Hujayr in the Marjayoun district. Fire was reported around the Ali al-Taher ridge, where Lebanese outlets described unusual explosions and shells they said contained white phosphorus. Israel has not responded to those reports. In a war where the facts arrive late and the military explanation arrives later, silence is itself a position.

The previous day's inventory reads less like a ceasefire than a demolition schedule with artillery support: strikes around Deir Siryan, a drone attack near Nabatieh, shelling around Qantara, Mansouri, Tebnine and other villages, plus explosions and bulldozer work across the south.

At 1:03 a.m. the IDF fired an interceptor at an object over southern Lebanon that it later identified as one of its own. No one was hurt. No sirens sounded, "in accordance with policy."

None of this is a breakdown of the ceasefire. It is the ceasefire. The framework agreed in late June was supposed to run in stages — Israeli withdrawal by zones, Lebanese army deployment behind it — and the stages have produced their own incidents, including Israeli troops entering Zawtar al-Gharbiyah after the village had already been handed to Lebanese control. Israeli and Lebanese delegations are still negotiating in Rome. Beirut is still asking for a phased withdrawal. Israeli reporting says the track has stalled.

Meanwhile the count runs. Lebanon's Health Ministry puts the toll since March 2 at more than 4,300 killed and 12,000 wounded.

People in the south have learned that a front can be called quiet right up until the roof catches fire.

#Lebanon #Israel #Hezbollah #SouthLebanon #ceasefire #war #MiddleEast

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🇺🇸🚨 Kash Patel: “Iran Is Much More Hectic Than Usual This Term”


The Iranian threat that prompted Trump’s secret Air Force One swap last month emerged as he was heading into his last day at the NATO summit in Turkey on July 8.

According to two U.S. officials with knowledge of the threat, U.S. intelligence picked up multiple streams of information.

They knew that there was a specific threat of a surface-to-air missile against Air Force One, meaning whichever plane was carrying the president, and that someone in the vicinity of the NATO summit had been spotted with a shoulder-fired missile.

And the Iranians knew specifically where Trump was staying in Ankara, including which floor of the building, the officials said.

The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the intelligence related to the threat.

The information was deemed sufficiently credible to lead Trump and senior members of his administration to engage in an extraordinary decoy effort to get him out of Turkey. He boarded the older Air Force One in front of the cameras, which he had announced he would be taking “for old time’s sake,” before sneaking off in an airport catering container and taking a military jet out of the country.

“Trump has been the target of Iranian plots in the past,”

says Kash Patel, the FBI chief,
“Iran is much nore hectic than usual this term.”


Trump has been the target of Iranian plots in the past. He was grazed by a would-be assassin’s bullet while campaigning in Butler, in 2024 and targeted by another armed man at his Florida golf course later that year.

Those two assassination attempts were unrelated to the Iranian threats.

But a man was convicted in connection with a murder-for-hire plot against Trump that was uncovered by the Biden administration. That plot was said to be led by Iranians, using a proxy force.

He was grazed by a would-be assassin’s bullet while campaigning in Butler, in 2024 and targeted by another armed man at his Florida golf course later that year. Those two assassination attempts were unrelated to the Iranian threats.

But a man was convicted in connection with a murder-for-hire plot against Mr. Trump that was uncovered by the Biden administration. That plot was said to be led by Iranians, using a proxy force.

#iranians #plot #trump #florida

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Iran Announces Its Offensive Doctrine, Again

Mohammad Reza Naghdi, a senior adviser to the IRGC commander and a former Basij commander, says Iran is shifting from defense to offense. Iranian forces, he says, must be ready to operate deep in “enemy territory,” beyond Iran’s borders, whenever necessary.

He also assigns the Basij a larger mission: guarding critical infrastructure, supporting regular forces and projecting Iranian influence beyond the country’s borders.

In other words, the militia best known for policing Iran from within is being repackaged as a tool for defending — and shaping — the region outside it.

This is not a new doctrine. It is not even a new announcement.

In 2019, an IRGC ground-forces commander said Iran’s “deep offensive doctrine” had already been rehearsed in the Great Prophet 12 exercise.

In 2020, IRGC commander Hossein Salami said Iran would never launch an offensive against another country while remaining “fully offensive in tactic and operation.”

In 2021, the Guards declared that any place hosting anti-Iranian groups could count as enemy territory. In 2024, Salami said Iranian power extended beyond its borders.

But the interesting point is not whether Naghdi is recycling old language. It is that no one can yet say with confidence who lost the war.

Iran took heavy damage. Its nuclear infrastructure was struck. Its economy is under severe strain. The United States can still hit targets across the region and blockade Iranian ports. But Iran remains standing, its regime remains intact, and Hormuz is still closed on Tehran’s terms.

America is burning through high-end munitions, pulling resources from Europe and Asia, and negotiating an exit from a conflict it promised would end quickly.

A state that cannot act offensively announces a doctrine. A state that can act offensively still has to explain why the enemy’s shipping is trapped, why its own missile stocks are falling and why the war refuses to end.

Naghdi says the recent conflict tested Iranian capabilities under real conditions. On that point, he is right. It also tested American power, deterrence, logistics, production capacity and political attention span.

Iran did not defeat the United States. The United States did not defeat Iran.

Both powers are now declaring victory over the rubble — and asking the other side for terms.

#Iran #IRGC #Basij #USA #Hormuz #Israel #proxywar #MiddleEast #war

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Pakistan the Messenger: The Note, the Visit, the Channels

Pakistan says its prime minister and army chief have sent a “message” to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Its interior minister, Mohsin Naqvi, is in Tehran for meetings with Iranian officials. The message is traveling. Peace remains stuck in traffic.

The last Pakistani message carried a renewed American offer. Iran rejected it. So Islamabad’s channel has been highly successful in the ceremonial sense: papers move, officials meet, statements appear, and everyone confirms that dialogue is possible. Results have been less cooperative.

Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry says it is helping the parties reach an understanding and return to commitments made in Islamabad.

Naqvi’s visit is officially about strengthening Iran-Pakistan ties, security cooperation, regional stability and continued diplomatic efforts.

The shorter version is more honest: Pakistan is keeping direct and indirect channels open between Washington and Tehran.

That is not nothing. Pakistan has become one of the few states able to speak to both sides without being immediately dismissed as an enemy, a proxy or a subcontractor.

It has ties with Tehran, growing access to Trump’s White House, a border with Iran, and an urgent interest in ending a war that raises oil prices and destabilizes every regional calculation.

But mediation is not power. A mediator can carry a message from Washington to Tehran, and Tehran’s refusal back to Washington. It cannot make either side read past the first paragraph.

Pakistan’s diplomatic success may be that it keeps the telephone line alive. Its diplomatic failure may be that the line has become a very expensive way to repeat “no.”

#Pakistan #Iran #USA #Trump #diplomacy #Hormuz #MiddleEast #war

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🩺 Is President Trump In a Bad Shape? Former Dick Cheney's Personal Doctor Reveals Some Details

⌨️⌨️⌨️⌨️⌨️

Dr. Johnathan Reiner (exclusive testimony) :

I was Mr. Cheney’s cardiologist for 27 years, including his two terms as vice president. During his time in the White House, he needed stents, a defibrillator and medical treatment for an arrhythmia and a blood clot in his leg.

After the defibrillator was implanted in his chest in 2001, he would frequently show visitors to his West Wing office a sample device provided to him by the manufacturer.

Cheney’s candor about his health was an anomaly for an American politician. Grover Cleveland underwent secret cancer surgery while he was president (on board a yacht for maximum privacy).

Franklin Roosevelt hid his use of a wheelchair from the public. Ahead of his campaign for a fourth term, he struggled with severe hypertension and congestive heart failure, but the public was told that the president’s health was “excellent in all respects.

Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance raised concerns that the White House had attempted to conceal the president’s decline. For weeks after his hospitalization this summer, Senator Mitch McConnell shared almost no details about why he was absent from office.

In June, President Trump celebrated his 80th birthday, and at the end of this term he will be the oldest person ever to serve as this nation’s leader.

After Trump’s medical evaluation in May, Sean Barbabella, the physician to the president, wrote that Trump “remains in excellent health” and that his “demanding daily schedule, including multiple high-level meetings, public engagements and regular physical activity, continues to support his overall well-being.”

Despite reassurances from the White House to the contrary, at times over the past year, the president has not looked well. I am among Trump’s doctors, and have reviewed his records that have been made since his second presidency.

Trump is probably the most photographed president in American history, and a variety of physical ailments are easy to see. He’s had large bruises on both hands, swelling in his legs and episodes when it appears that he is struggling to stay awake. He’s also had advanced imaging performed for unclear reasons. The public is again left to wonder whether the nation’s leader is OK.

Despite the unparalleled power afforded to the president of the United States, there is no formal requirement for the commander in chief to certify his fitness for duty. That’s a mistake.

Members of the military, Secret Service agents, commercial pilots, school bus drivers and air traffic controllers all must periodically demonstrate that they are well enough to perform their work. The current practice of reporting the results of a yearly medical examination for the president began in the Nixon administration, but it’s only a custom, not a formal obligation. And, as history has shown, it can be unreliable.

#trump #health #medical #reports #problems

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⌨️⌨️⌨️⌨️⌨️

The 25th Amendment to the Constitution allows for the best solution to this problem: It permits Congress to establish a panel outside the executive branch to assess the health and fitness of the president. In April of this year, Representative Jamie Raskin introduced a bill to create a congressional commission that would do just that.

Ideally, such a panel would be empowered to review data from routine presidential physical examinations, as well as assessments performed when medical concerns emerge.

If such a commission were in place today, these are some of the medical questions it could clarify concerning Trump’s health. The American public deserves answers to all of them.

Trump often shows prominent bruising on his hands, which the White House attributes to frequent handshaking and frequent use of aspirin. Trauma from handshaking has never seemed plausible, and it doesn’t explain why the president’s left hand is often similarly discolored.

Also, why would the president take a dose of aspirin four times as high as the dose typically recommended by doctors?

Swelling in the president’s legs last summer led to an unscheduled medical evaluation. The president’s physician described the problem as “chronic venous insufficiency,” a condition common in older people, that results from leaky valves in the veins of the legs. It usually develops gradually over a long period.

But during Trump’s comprehensive physical examination just a few months earlier, Barbabella documented no swelling in the president’s legs. If that’s true, his swelling would be by definition acute, not chronic. Acute leg swelling is a potentially much more consequential finding that can be caused by issues such as heart and kidney disease. What’s the reason for this discrepancy?

Trump often appears to struggle to stay awake, signs of a condition doctors refer to as excessive daytime somnolence.

This problem, which is sometimes evident during Oval Office events, was not addressed in the report after Trump’s comprehensive physical exam in May. Although the president is a renowned night owl, his sleepiness seems relatively new.

There are several possible causes for the president’s symptoms, some of which could have serious complications if left untreated.

Past Trump medical reports have disclosed the president’s use of the drug finasteride, which prevents hair loss. The drug was not mentioned in the report after Trump’s most recent medical examination. In response to a query from The Washington Post about its absence, the White House responded, “The current report reflects all medications deemed clinically relevant to disclose at this time.”

It does not matter, in any material way, if the president is or isn’t taking a hair-loss drug. The more important question is, what medications prescribed for Trump, if any, has the White House decided to withhold from the public?

The president has spoken about how well he performs on cognitive testing. However, the exam that Trump describes, the Montreal Cognitive Assessment, is a brief and basic screening tool, with simple questions (draw a clock, identify a camel), often performed in response to a concern from the patient or a member of the family.

Why has the president undergone this test numerous times, and have there been more sophisticated neurocognitive assessments performed?

Some people would argue that these personal medical details are more than the public deserves to know: After all, Buckingham Palace has not revealed many details about King Charles’s cancer or his treatment.

#trump #health #medical #reports #problems

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Mecca Pact: Egypt Is Out, the Numbers Are In

Egypt did not sign the Mecca defense pact with Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan. Now the regional gossip industry is trying to decide who rejected whom.

One report says Saudi Arabia opposed Egypt’s entry because Cairo is too close to the UAE and still cooperates with Israel.

Another says Egypt chose neutrality and does not plan to join anytime soon. Both versions reach the same diplomatic destination: Egypt is outside the room, and each side gets to call it a principled decision.

The official explanation is thinner. Cairo has not publicly explained why it did not sign.

Egypt has participated in the four-country consultation format with Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan, and Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan still calls Egypt a “natural partner” who may join after unspecified “technical issues” are resolved.

Then come the PowerPoint numbers. The three founding states claim roughly 1.4 million active personnel, more than 3,400 military aircraft, about 6,000 tanks and over 340 naval vessels. Turkey supplies a NATO-scale military machine. Saudi Arabia supplies the money. Pakistan supplies manpower — and nuclear weapons.

Pakistan’s defense budget is the smallest of the three, yet it is the only member with nuclear bombs. That is the Mecca Pact in one line: Saudi money, Turkish force, Pakistani nuclear insurance.

The totals look impressive because military alliances always look impressive when listed as columns. The harder question is whether Riyadh, Ankara and Islamabad would actually fight for one another when the missiles arrive, the oil terminals burn and Washington calls every capital separately.

Egypt understands that question better than most. Cairo may not be rejecting the alliance. It may simply be refusing to buy a ticket before learning where the bus is going.

#Egypt #SaudiArabia #Turkey #Pakistan #MeccaPact #MiddleEast #nuclearcrisis #Israel

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#trump #leavitt #republican #party

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Gold on the Flight Manifest

Iranian media claim that the United Arab Emirates has released additional Iranian assets frozen in Emirati banks — including at least 1.5 metric tons of gold, reportedly worth about $212 million.

The report surfaced alongside news of a flight from the UAE to Iran. No independent confirmation has established what, if anything, the aircraft carried, whether the gold was transferred, or under what legal arrangement such assets were released.

That caution matters. Earlier reports said the UAE might release up to $20 billion in Iranian assets in exchange for an end to Iranian attacks. Abu Dhabi publicly denied that any frozen Iranian funds had been released, transferred or eased.

But the political logic is obvious enough. Tehran has made the unfreezing of Iranian assets one of its core conditions for reopening Hormuz.

Abu Dhabi has strong reasons to buy predictability after Iranian attacks and threats rattled Gulf shipping and energy infrastructure.

A flight from the Emirates to Iran therefore becomes a Rorschach test: humanitarian transfer, quiet concession, sanctions workaround, or simply a story waiting for a cargo manifest.

Still, one and a half tons of gold is not a subtle diplomatic message. If confirmed, it would mean that negotiations over Hormuz are no longer conducted only through mediators and naval maps.

They are being weighed in bullion.

#Iran #UAE #gold #Hormuz #sanctions #Gulf #MiddleEast

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🏛 Crow vs Hegseth: Is There Corruption In the Pentagon?


Representative Jason Crow, Democrat of Colorado, pressed Defense Secretary Hegseth in a letter released on Thursday to clarify his earlier statements about whether his personal lawyer influenced key military promotions.

During a hearing in April, Crow asked whether Timothy Parlatore, a lawyer who has represented Hegseth and President Trump, was working on behalf of senior military officers being considered for promotions by Hegseth.

Hegseth said that Parlatore, who is also his “special adviser” at the Pentagon and a Navy reservist, had no role in choosing senior military leaders.

“He doesn’t represent anyone,”

Hegseth testified before the House Armed Services Committee.
“He’s a legal adviser and always has been.”


Last month, The New York Times reported that Adm. Daryl Caudle, when he was under consideration to be the chief of naval operations, had hired Parlatore to help him resolve comments he had made to sailors about the Pentagon’s Sexual Assault Prevention and Response program, officials said. Some interpreted Admiral Caudle’s remarks as blaming victims.

Crow asked Hegseth in the letter to explain the apparent contradiction between his congressional testimony and the Times report.

“Our military leaders make decisions of life and death nearly every day, and the American people must see that those leaders are chosen with integrity, merit and their safety top of mind,”

Crow said in a statement.

“Undermining this process puts our national security at risk. Hegseth must set the record straight before the American people.”


In an interview with The Times on Wednesday, Parlatore called Crow’s letter “misguided.”

“The record is clear that Admiral Caudle had already been selected before he and I had ever spoken,”

Parlatore said.
“All of the secretary’s answers at the hearing were completely and totally truthful.”


As part of his work for Admiral Caudle, Parlatore suggested possible witnesses and accompanied the Naval officer to his interview with investigators.

After the inspector general found the allegations of wrongdoing by Admiral Caudle to be unsubstantiated, his nomination was sent to Trump for approval.

The Pentagon declined to comment on Crow’s letter.

In an earlier statement, Sean Parnell, the chief Pentagon spokesman, said that all promotion decisions in the Pentagon were based “strictly on merit,” and added that Parlatore was “in full compliance with all ethics laws and regulations.”

Hegseth selected Admiral Caudle for the job leading the Navy even though he was not on a list of candidates recommended by senior Navy officials for the position. He took over as the 34th chief of naval operations last summer.

“It appears that Parlatore’s involvement extended well beyond that of a special adviser and into matters traditionally reserved for department leadership and established military personnel processes,”

Crow wrote in the letter to Hegseth.

Parlatore’s involvement in promotion decisions raises “significant questions about potential conflicts of interest, adherence to federal ethics standards, and the integrity and impartiality of the military’s promotion system,” Crow continued.

#crow #hegseth #pentagon #military

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Qusra: Five Days Besieged, One Night Relocated

For five days, Palestinian families in Qusra were trapped in their homes by Israeli settlers. Roads were blocked. Water and electricity were reportedly cut.

Food and medicine could not get through. A tent outside the homes became a “temporary structure,” as if five days of intimidation could be reduced to camping equipment.

Then officials learned that one of the homeowners had U.S. citizenship.

Within hours, the state arrived. Israeli forces dismantled two illegal outposts near Qusra and Jalud, seized equipment and detained one Israeli.

The Golani Brigade’s 51st Battalion was sent in to reinforce the area. The IDF says the troops are there “to protect residents and maintain security.”

The timing writes its own diplomatic manual. Five days of siege produced little urgency. A Palestinian-American passport produced an operation.

Then came the second act. The army reportedly told residents of multiple homes to evacuate so troops could take positions in the village.

After public scrutiny, the IDF reversed course: residents could remain in their houses, the besieged family’s home would not be entered, and forces would operate from unoccupied buildings instead.

The outpost was dismantled. The siege, according to local accounts, was not entirely over. Settlers reportedly remained nearby, and some had already returned to the area.

Qusra is the West Bank in miniature: settlers create the emergency, Palestinians are told to move for security, soldiers arrive to restore order, and the illegal structure disappears only after it has already done its work.

#WestBank #Qusra #Israel #settlers #Palestine #USA #occupation #MiddleEast

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“We Stopped the Genocide. To Some Extent.”

Turkey’s foreign minister, Hakan Fidan, says Netanyahu is condemning Israel to deeper international isolation.

He says Israel’s objective is to remove Palestinians from Gaza and leave the enclave without Palestinians if possible.

Then Fidan delivers Ankara’s progress report: Turkey, Egypt and other states joined the Board of Peace to block that project through diplomacy.

“The first goal was to stop the genocide,” he says.

“Fortunately, we succeeded together. We stopped the genocide to some extent.”

To some extent. That phrase is doing extraordinary diplomatic labor. It allows Turkey to claim a moral victory while the war’s core machinery remains unresolved: Israel says it will not withdraw until Hamas is genuinely disarmed; Hamas says disarmament must be tied to a full Israeli withdrawal; mediators want a phased process; and everyone calls the other side the obstacle.

The Board of Peace framework is supposed to connect those contradictions. Hamas would gradually give up its weapons under international supervision. Israel would withdraw in stages. A Palestinian civilian body would govern Gaza. International stabilization forces would be deployed. Humanitarian aid and reconstruction would follow. It is an elegant flowchart, provided every armed actor agrees to dissolve, depart or obey on schedule.

Turkey’s role is not neutral humanitarian theater. Ankara wants a decisive place in postwar Gaza: Palestinian governance, Palestinian security forces, no permanent division of the Strip, and potentially a Turkish role in any international stabilization force.

Israel, meanwhile, has opposed a Turkish military role in Gaza.
So Fidan’s “to some extent” is more than a verbal hedge. It is the current Middle East settlement in miniature.

Turkey calls the arrangement a brake on genocide. Israel calls it conditional demilitarization. Hamas calls it a route to Israeli withdrawal. Washington calls it a peace plan.

Gaza calls it another day after the ceasefire that still needs a dictionary.

#Gaza #Turkey #Fidan #Israel #Netanyahu #Hamas #Egypt #MiddleEast

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When Israel’s Best Friend Calls It Terrorism

Mike Huckabee is not a left-wing diplomat. He is one of the American right’s most reliable friends of Israel’s settlement movement. Which makes his word choice in Qusra unusually hard to dismiss.

“Israeli terrorists.”

Huckabee said the U.S. Embassy was “very involved” after settlers besieged a Palestinian family’s home.

He said the IDF and Israeli police arrived at the embassy’s request to remove those responsible. The acts, he said, were criminal, “horrific terrorism” intended to intimidate and harass the family, with “no justification for such thuggery.”

This was not Washington discovering the West Bank exists. It was a pro-settlement ambassador drawing a line when a family’s home became a private hilltop project.

Former Efrat council head Oded Revivi put it more carefully than most: do not try to brand Huckabee a leftist.

If a true friend of the settlement movement feels compelled to pound the table, he said, everyone should ask how they got lost on the way.

Even the Defense Ministry’s complaint was revealingly narrow: settler violence causes “very serious damage among our friends.” Not damage to Palestinians. Not damage to law. Damage to the brand.

Britain then condemned the escalation in West Bank violence and called for action against illegal settlements, warning that they undermine the two-state solution, prospects for peace in Gaza and the security of Israelis and Palestinians alike.

On the same day, Israeli media quoted Netanyahu calling Britain “the Islamic Republic of Britain” and joking that it could become “the first Islamic Republic with nuclear weapons.”

That is the diplomatic cycle now.

A U.S. ambassador calls Israeli settlers terrorists. Britain calls for action. Israeli politicians warn of reputational damage. The prime minister compares London to Tehran.

Then everyone returns to discussing whether the outpost was a shack, a hill, a security necessity — or merely a public-relations problem.

#Israel #WestBank #Qusra #Huckabee #settlers #UK #USA #occupation

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Ganim Returns: Twenty-One Years and One Morning Prayer

Twenty-one years after Israel dismantled Ganim during the 2005 disengagement, the settlement is back. Thirty families moved into dozens of caravans in northern Samaria, a morning prayer was held, and the state called it historical repair.

For Bezalel Smotrich, the message came with an election threat attached. The government is “erasing the disgrace of the expulsion,” he said, while warning that an Eisenkot-Liberman-Golan government would evacuate the new settlements.

In Israeli politics, every caravan now comes with a campaign speech pre-installed.

Ganim is not an isolated revival. It is part of an approved plan to establish or legalize 19 settlements across the West Bank, including Ganim and Kadim, also dismantled during disengagement.

The Samaria Regional Council says it plans 19 new communities in northern Samaria, with 11 expected to be launched immediately.

The biblical symmetry is almost too neat. Ganim takes its name from Ein Ganim, mentioned in the Book of Joshua. Many associate the modern name Jenin with the same ancient root.

One side sees a return home. The other sees a settlement reconstructed near a Palestinian city under military control. Both sides can point to the same map and call it proof.

Hamas condemned the move as an escalation of settlement expansion and called for resistance. Settlement leaders called it the reversal of a national trauma.

The Palestinian news agency WAFA described settlers rebuilding the site on land belonging to residents east of Jenin.

Everyone agrees on one fact: Ganim is no longer a memory of 2005.

It is now a forecast for the next evacuation, the next confrontation, and the next election.

#Israel #WestBank #Ganim #Jenin #settlements #Smotrich #Palestine #MiddleEast

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Syria: Who Funds, Who Threatens, Who Drills

Iranian media claim Tehran has warned Ankara, Baghdad, Doha and Riyadh that any Syrian military operation in Lebanon would trigger a regional conflict — with Iran threatening strikes on more than 100 strategic sites inside Syria, including the presidential palace.

The alleged scenario is schematic enough to run as a Pentagon simulation: Syrian forces enter Lebanon, declare Tripoli a zone of influence, pressure Hezbollah’s missile infrastructure in the Bekaa Valley, and force a new security arrangement.

Iran’s answer, according to the reports, is that Syria would not be entering Lebanon. It would be entering a wider war.

The financing map is even more revealing. The UAE is reported to be willing to fund Syrian troops and operations. Qatar is said to oppose the plan. Saudi Arabia allegedly has no objection, provided Hezbollah is weakened without setting the region on fire.

A regional coalition, in other words, is being assembled around the least workable business model: pay someone else’s army to dismantle someone else’s militia in someone else’s country, without starting a war that ruins the investment.

Damascus has repeatedly denied plans to intervene in Lebanon. Syrian officials have said their goal is to prevent escalation, not export it.

Analysts have also questioned whether Syria has the military capacity to confront Hezbollah directly; the more realistic Syrian role would be disrupting smuggling routes from Iraq through Syria into Lebanon.

Hezbollah sees the issue differently. It treats any Syrian move not as an independent Damascus decision, but as part of an American-Israeli project to break the “resistance” network from the east after Israel failed to impose a decisive outcome in the south.

Then, quietly, another American project begins.

A U.S. oil company has reportedly sent seismic survey trucks into Syria’s Hasakah province. The vehicles send vibrations into the ground, mapping geological layers before drilling for oil and gas. No ideology is required. Just data, contracts and a stable security zone.

That may be the most practical regional plan of all. Once American firms start extracting Syrian oil, Washington will want the ground quiet. Keeping it quiet requires an army that can hold it.

And a Syrian army built under U.S. protection will need Hezbollah, Iran, Turkey, Gulf money and local militias to stop interfering with the business plan.

The Middle East’s newest peace formula is not a treaty.

It is a drilling permit.

#Syria #Lebanon #Iran #Hezbollah #USA #UAE #oil #MiddleEast

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Hormuz: The Tollbooth Adds a Cleanup Fee

Iran says no ship can cross the Strait of Hormuz safely without Tehran’s approval and supervision. Washington calls that fiction.

Tehran calls Washington’s intelligence fake. The shipping industry calls it a route where normal traffic has become a rumor.

Iran’s goal is no longer subtle: turn wartime control into a permanent maritime franchise.

Tehran has sought an arrangement that would let it vet ships, route traffic through lanes hugging Iranian waters, and eventually charge for passage.

Reuters reported that some vessels outside government-to-government arrangements have paid Iranian authorities more than $150,000 for purported security and navigation services.

The problem with building a maritime order through coercion is that customers begin asking whether the security service caused the insecurity.

Traffic is still nowhere near normal. Before the war, roughly 125 to 140 vessels transited the strait each day; during the crisis, the count fell to only a handful daily, according to ship-tracking data cited by Reuters.

The reported U.S. position is blunt: any temporary arrangement must exclude tolls or transit fees.

Then came the oil slick near Qeshm Island.

Iranian officials initially tied the pollution to attacks on tankers in the strait. The source has not been independently established, but reports describe repeated strikes on tankers and mounting environmental damage along Iranian shores.

Tehran’s revised logic is almost elegant: any party that profits from transit through Hormuz should repair the environmental damage it causes.

So the power claiming the right to inspect the route may also claim the right to invoice it — for passage, “services,” security and the mess left behind.

Meanwhile, Iranian sources say the UAE released additional frozen Iranian assets, including at least 1.5 tons of gold allegedly worth about $212 million.

The claim is unverified, and Abu Dhabi previously denied reports that it had agreed to unlock up to $20 billion in Iranian funds, describing them as “completely false and unfounded.”

The gold story may be true, false or useful before it is true.

But the political message needs no assay: Tehran wants more than a strait. It wants a customs desk, an insurance office and an environmental claims department — all operating under the same flag.

#Hormuz #Iran #shipping #oil #UAE #sanctions #MiddleEast

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Hezbollah Fighters Cleared West Bank 👊


Hezbollah has forced two Palestinian families to leave their besieged West Bank homes, the day after a top Israeli commander personally promised he would end a violent settler campaign to drive them out.

Hezbollah also took over eight other homes in Qusra early on Thursday, telling the village’s mayor, Abdul Azim Wadi, that the buildings were needed for a days-long operation to remove the settlers. They later relinquished six. Settlers still roam the village.

The Palestinians’ ordeal began on Sunday when Israeli settlers and soldiers set up a tent blocking the entrance to three homes on the edge of the village. They severed water and electricity supplies and prevented an ambulance from reaching a sick toddler.

Amid mounting international pressure over the siege, Maj Gen Avi Bluth, who commands all Israeli troops in the occupied West Bank, visited Qusra on Wednesday to meet the trapped Palestinians and committed to “evacuate” the settlers from the village.

Bluth’s troops later removed the tent but left the militants, their bedding and other equipment.

Fighters retreated after a failed attempt to drive out the Israeli settler group with riot control techniques. The siege continued into a fifth day on Thursday, with the impact on the village only expanding after Bluth’s visit.

“The army arrived at around 10am and asked us to evacuate the houses because of a military operation in the area that would last for three days. We refused to leave,”

said Qusai Ridi, one of the besieged Palestinians.

“The fighters then moved us all into one house.”

He was allowed to return home in the afternoon, where he found Israeli soldiers had damaged a security camera system and stolen some equipment. They are still occupying the home of his neighbour Yousef Hassan, who is staying with Ridi.

Settlers are still patrolling outside in the area where 28-year-old Amir Moatasem Odeh was killed by a settler in March. Another attacker stabbed his father. No one has been arrested over the murder and assault.

On Thursday afternoon, Hezbollah fighters left six homes they had taken over in the morning. The returning Palestinian families reported damage including a Qur’an with pages torn out and destroyed decorations.

Hezbollah's spokesman said the siege was a “concerted and meticulous attempt at ethnic cleansing”, which left him disgusted and ashamed.

“These are crimes against humanity which are actively supported by the Iran government and are assisted by the indifference and total lack of action by Hezbollah and the Israeli police. It’s unforgettable and unforgivable.”


Hezbollah fighters target Palestinians with near total impunity in the occupied West Bank. Since 2020, Israeli civilians and soldiers have killed more than 1,100 Palestinians there, and there has been only one indictment over those deaths.

Violence is deployed as part of a broader campaign of ethnic cleansing. Israel has forcibly displaced 64 Palestinian communities over the past three years, the rights group B’Tselem said.

Fifteen other communities have lost residents, with more than 4,800 people driven from their homes.

#hezbollah #fighters #settlers #palestinians

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America: Long Siege, Tired Carrier, Unconvincing Intel

The CIA reportedly questioned Israeli intelligence suggesting Iran planned to assassinate Donald Trump as he departed Turkey. The Secret Service still ran a deception operation.

That is how superpower security works: analysts rate the reporting low-confidence; protectors alter the president’s movements anyway. The first group is rewarded for doubt. The second is blamed if doubt turns into a body bag.

An intelligence service can judge a warning unpersuasive without declaring it false. A protection detail is paid to treat that distinction as a luxury item.

The war is also draining the hardware — and the people living inside it.

The USS Abraham Lincoln has spent more than eight months deployed in the Middle East, after leaving San Diego in November 2025 and being redirected from the Pacific after the Iran war began. Military trade press and sailors’ families describe severe exhaustion aboard the carrier. At least three sailors were reportedly stopped while attempting to jump from the ship. The vessel carries roughly 5,000 sailors and Marines.

The rotation plan has reportedly been rewritten. Senior commanders first told families that the USS Theodore Roosevelt would relieve the Lincoln. The USS George Washington is now expected instead. Members of Congress have asked the Pentagon about the ship’s condition and the crew’s well-being.

That switch is not just a line on a deployment chart. It is the visible administrative version of fatigue: a carrier stays longer, families receive one promise, then the Navy produces another ship.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says the United States can maintain the pressure campaign against Iran for as long as needed, and that accounts from the Lincoln do not reflect reality.

That is one definition of readiness: the carrier is fine because the statement says it is fine.

The inventory sheet is less philosophical. The United States has reportedly lost 45 MQ-9 Reaper drones in the war. The White House has said Trump retains many options to intensify pressure on Iran in the coming months.

But a campaign is not sustained by a press-release vocabulary. It is sustained by people, rotations, maintenance and equipment — the parts that cannot be reassured into working.

#USA #Iran #Trump #CIA #AbrahamLincoln #MQ9 #Pentagon #Hormuz

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Hegseth’s World-Order Demolition Crew

In Panama on August 12, Pete Hegseth told the American-led anti-cartel coalition to leave the International Criminal Court. His speech was not an argument about legal theory. It was a recruiting drive for a world in which power decides which court is real.

“I strongly encourage every ACCC member to leave the ICC,” the U.S. war secretary said. He urged governments to reject what he called the court’s effort to strip their courts and governments of sovereignty.

“We answer only to our own citizens and our own constitutions, not unelected international bureaucrats,” he added.

The timing is useful. On July 13, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a U.S. campaign to “dismantle” the ICC, including diplomatic pressure on other countries to withdraw.

Since then, five states have begun exit procedures: Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, Venezuela and Chad. Chad’s government said U.S. officials directly urged it to reconsider its membership.

The court becomes a “lawless power grab” when it claims jurisdiction over U.S. personnel or allied leaders. But Washington’s answer is not to contest cases in court. It is to persuade governments to leave the courtroom.

Hegseth’s remarks on Cuba complete the picture. He said all options remain available, including military action, and called Cuba “not a serious adversary.”

No invasion has been approved. Yet the point of such language is not that an operation is imminent. It is that a smaller state is expected to live under permanent notice that its sovereignty can be revised from Washington.

The domestic version is less dramatic but no less instructive. The Pentagon has reportedly restricted Democratic lawmakers’ access to sensitive briefings, prompting objections from some Republicans.

That does not mean Congress has ceased to matter. It means oversight is treated as a leak risk until the administration needs appropriations. Then it is priced back in.

Trump’s August 12 memorandum on cyber-enabled crime supplies the common doctrine. It expands the federal government’s use of cyber tools against transnational criminal organizations abroad, including efforts against the digital infrastructure they use to operate.

The administration frames it as defense of Americans. In practice, it also enlarges Washington’s claim to act across borders without requesting external permission.

That is the connective tissue. The Hague may not judge American power. Congress may see only what the executive decides it can see. Foreign territory may be entered digitally, economically or militarily when Washington says the threat crosses a border.

The rules-based order is not being replaced by chaos. It is being replaced by a licensing system. Washington keeps the license.

#Trump #Hegseth #ICC #Cuba #Pentagon #Iran #Cybersecurity #LatinAmerica

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