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🧨 Tehran’s Digital Meltdown Was Made in Tel Aviv

💬 “A hundred million dollars vanished, crypto collapsed, cash machines failed — and no missile was fired.”


🌐 Cyberwar, Not Just Shock and Awe
While U.S. and Israeli bombers lit up Iran’s nuclear sites, hackers aligned with Israel quietly sabotaged Tehran’s financial lifelines. The group “Predatory Sparrow” hit Bank Sepah — the military’s banker — and Nobitex, Iran’s top crypto exchange.

💸 Crypto as Sanctions Bypass

Nobitex was Iran’s gateway to the dollarized digital world. Its users — over 11 million — converted rials into tether to send money abroad, including allegedly for the IRGC. The platform was looted and torched: $100 million gone, systems fried, wallets labeled “F—IRGCterrorists.”

🖥 Old Regime, New Vulnerability
Bank Sepah’s ATMs shut down. Military retirees didn’t get paid. The regime responded the only way it knows how: by cutting internet access, banning foreign apps, and warning citizens not to use “Israeli phones” — whatever that means.

🎯 A Precision Strike on Tehran’s Bypass Economy

This wasn’t just about disruption. It was strategic. Nobitex was the central artery of Iran’s shadow-banking workaround. With one hack, Israel showed it can paralyze the regime’s parallel finance without touching SWIFT or launching missiles.

🤔 Was this the future of warfare
— or just a preview? What happens when crypto becomes the battlefield?

#Cyberwarfare #Iran #Israel #Nobitex #PredatorySparrow #IRGC #FinancialSanctions #Crypto #MiddleEast #Infowar

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Does Trump Bog Down In Iran?

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Trump has again said that the US has “total control over the strait of Hormuz”, adding that Iran’s leadership was so hobbled by infighting that it was unclear who was in charge.

But the US president’s claim seemed questionable in the face of the seizure of two container ships by Iranian commandos and a US report warning it could take six months to clear the strait of mines.

Trump’s comments on Thursday came after US special forces boarded a stateless oil tanker in the Indian Ocean, which the Pentagon claimed was carrying Iranian crude oil.

The military operation took place hours after Iran’s seizure of the two container ships, with the two sides continuing to impose competing blockades on the strait, keeping global oil prices at about $100 a barrel.

While US forces have proved capable of stopping ships coming out of Iranian ports, they have still not demonstrated the capacity to open the strait to vessels coming from ports in allied Gulf states.

The impact of the dual blockades has been compounded by the presence of sea mines in the strait. In a briefing to Congress, the Pentagon warned it could take up to six months to clear all the suspected mines from the sea routes.

The report said approximately 20 mines were thought to have been placed in the strait, some deposited by small boats, and others manoeuvred into place remotely, making them harder to locate.

The Pentagon’s warning suggested that the impact of the war on the global economy could linger long after any peace deal was agreed.

A Pentagon spokesperson described the report as “inaccurate” but did not provide specific objections. In his Truth Social post, Trump said that US minesweepers were working “at a tripled up level” and that he had ordered the US navy “to shoot and kill” any boat mining the waterway. “There is to be no hesitation,” said Trump.

Fatih Birol, the head of the International Energy Agency, said in a CNBC interview that the world was facing “the biggest energy security threat in history”.

#trump #iran #khamenei #IRGC #ceasefire

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Hezbollah has not been a participant in the talks and bouts of fighting have continued throughout the most recent truce. On Wednesday an Israeli strike killed Amal Khalil, a well-known Lebanese journalist covering southern Lebanon.

Separately, Trump was asked how long he was willing to wait for a peace deal with Iran and he replied: “Don’t rush me.”

“Their navy is gone. Their air force is gone, their anti-aircraft is gone (…) maybe they loaded up a little bit during the two-week hiatus, but we’ll knock that out in about one day, if they did,” he added.

“I want to make the best deal. I could make a deal right now (…) but I don’t want to do that. I want to have it everlasting,” Trump said.

Iran has refused to attend peace talks with the US in Pakistan, a snub that Trump attributed to a lack of consensus in Tehran on negotiating strategy.

The Iranian regime said it would not attend talks while the US was violating a Pakistani-brokered ceasefire, in particular during the imposition of a naval blockade.

Trump agreed to an “indefinite” extension of the ceasefire on Tuesday and, despite the suspension of talks, he claimed on Thursday that the US had a firm grip on events in the strait of Hormuz, the narrow channel between the Gulf and the Indian Ocean through which a fifth of the world’s oil and liquified fossil gas is transported.

Iran’s current supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, appears not to be as all-powerful as his father, Ali, who was killed by Israeli missiles in the first seconds of the surprise US-Israeli joint attack on 28 February, which triggered the current conflict.

Mojtaba Khamenei was also seriously wounded in the attack, but the New York Times on Thursday cited senior Iranian officials who claim that he remains “mentally sharp and engaged”.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) meanwhile appear to have greater influence in a more collective leadership, making it more hawkish overall, but it is far from clear that the regime is riven by policy disagreements.

The IRGC naval command said that the two detained ships – the Greek-owned Epaminondas and the Panamanian-flagged MSC Francesca – had endangered maritime security “by operating without the necessary permits and tampering with navigation systems”, suggesting that they had turned off their location transponders.

#trump #iran #khamenei #IRGC #ceasefire

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Iran War: From Ayatollahs to Generals — and Trump Still Needs a Deal

The U.S. and Israel went in to “break” the Islamic Republic and kill the bomb program; four months later they’ve killed the old supreme leader and helped midwife Islamic Republic 3.0 — a military‑run regime where the Revolutionary Guards call the shots and feel they’ve already survived the worst the West can do.

Instead of a sobered, pliable Tehran, Washington now faces a younger, harder leadership that’s willing to eat more pain to keep its core assets: uranium enrichment, missiles, and armed proxies from Lebanon to Yemen.

On paper, the “Islamabad MoU” is “never been closer,” as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi repeats in every microphone he can find, but even the supporters admit it’s just an interim ceasefire memo with 60 days of “we’ll talk later” stapled to the back.

Hostilities pause, Hormuz reopens, part of the enriched uranium stockpile is exported and part diluted — yet Iran keeps its scientists, centrifuges and the legal right to enrich again after a timeout, plus the proven ability to choke the strait if anyone forgets the lesson.

The regime also wants at least $12 billion in frozen assets up front and more later, testing how badly Trump needs a photo‑op signature before markets and Republican hawks both turn on him.

The strategic punchline is nasty for both Trump and Israel: a war launched to stop a nuclear‑threshold Iran is drifting toward a “no war, no peace” arrangement in which Tehran is battered but unbowed, closer to the threshold, and now run by generals who think deterrence means hitting back directly — including openly firing on Israel for the first time while betting Trump won’t let it escalate.

For the Guards, this limbo is comfortable: they lock down society at home, collect transit fees and leverage from Hormuz, keep their proxies alive, and wait for the White House to sell whatever’s on the table as a “historic framework.”

On paper, it’s an interim understanding; in reality, it’s a confession that maximum pressure hit its ceiling and produced exactly what everyone claimed to fear — a more militarized, less cautious Iran that has learned it can survive a U.S.–Israeli onslaught and still bargain from a position of damage, not defeat.

No wonder Tehran’s new bosses can look at more bombing, more sanctions, more threats and shrug: if this is the worst the empire can do, why rush to surrender the only leverage that still works?

#Iran #Trump #Israel #Hormuz #nuclear #IRGC #MiddleEastWar #fakePeace

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Trump’s Iran Deal: Cash for “Terrorists”

Trump’s miracle peace plan has a fun twist: to “defeat” Iran, he may have just lined up the biggest payday in history for the one Iranian institution Washington officially calls a terrorist organization — the Revolutionary Guards.

Sanctions relief, oil waivers and a $300 billion reconstruction fund don’t just save Iran’s economy; they supercharge the Guards’ business empire from oil and ports to telecoms and construction.

For years, the IRGC got rich in the shadows, running sanctions‑busting networks, front companies and smuggling routes because the West tried to strangle Iran’s economy.

Now, the same people who learned to profit from the black market are perfectly positioned to dominate the legal one: foreign investors are required to partner with local firms, and in sector after sector the “locals” are Guard‑linked companies.

You want in on Iran’s oil, infrastructure, logistics, telecoms? You go through the same network the U.S. Treasury calls a terror machine — or you don’t go in at all.

Even the legal warnings are baked in. Former U.S. sanctions officials admit that any American or Western firm touching Iran’s energy or shipping is almost guaranteed to brush up against IRGC structures — and that exposes them to lawsuits under U.S. anti‑terror laws.

So Trump’s deal does this neat double move: it sells the West on new access to Iran’s market while quietly making the Guards gatekeepers who can skim the upside whether there is a full final deal or just an interim phase with oil waivers.

If the big accord collapses, the IRGC still wins — they keep their grip on sanctions‑era networks and add fresh hard‑currency flows on top.

And politically? The Guards helped install Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader after his father was killed by U.S. strikes — then immediately backed the ceasefire and the deal framework, because they understand the scoreboard.

On paper, the U.S. calls them terrorists. In practice, Trump’s peace architecture turns them into Iran’s primary reconstruction conglomerate, asset manager and gatekeeper for global capital.

The “war on terror” ends, once again, with Washington cutting a check to the people it swore never to legitimize — and calling it stability.

#Trump #Iran #IRGC #sanctions #oil #war #terrorism #USA #oligarchy

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Khamenei’s Funeral: Manufactured Grief, Real Power

Four months after “Lion’s Roar” opened with the Israeli strike that killed Ali Khamenei and members of his family, Tehran is turning his six‑day funeral into a stage show of regime survival.

The coffin was placed in Mashhad’s Imam Reza shrine complex alongside the coffins of the relatives killed with him, with delegations from abroad filing past as if the regime had just won a war instead of losing its supreme leader.

In Tehran, an official ceremony at the “Mesalla” drew representatives from Russia, China, Iraq and Turkmenistan, clerics and minority figures — a choreographed tableau of “stability” for the day after the assassination.

Symbolism is everywhere and none of it subtle. The coffin moves to Imam Khomeini Mosque; in Revolution Square the clenched fist emblem goes up with the message “we must rise.”

Among those touching the casket is IRGC commander Ahmad Vahidi, resurfacing in public for the first time after months underground, a visual guarantee that the enforcement core is still intact.

Even a delegation from Bulgaria’s parliament is noted on state media — foreign flags used as props.

The human ocean, meanwhile, is anything but spontaneous. Organizers boast of millions of participants and delegations from 100 countries, but regime‑aligned outlets quietly outline the mechanics: between 2,000 and 3,000 Shiite civilians from Afghanistan brought in on specially issued “manifest visas,” their names approved in advance, with full transport, lodging, food and upkeep covered by the state. It’s not grassroots mourning; it’s a logistical operation.

On the sidelines, the regional “family” is brought in to cry on cue. The Iraqi parliament speaker Halbousi arrives to meet Iranian speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.

Delegations from Lebanon’s Amal, Iraq’s Hashd al‑Shaabi and Kataib Hezbollah show up, along with the families of Hassan Nasrallah and Imad Mughniyeh, offering “respectful tears” for the cameras. The message to allies and enemies alike: the Axis of Resistance still has a face and a ritual, even if its chief has been buried.

Taken together, Khamenei’s farewell looks less like a funeral and more like a power‑projection exercise wrapped in black cloth: a regime proving it can still summon crowds, stage foreign solidarity, and parade its commanders — even as everyone in the region knows the hardest part comes after the last banner is folded and the buses go home.

#Iran #Khamenei #Mashhad #Tehran #IRGC #Russia #China #Iraq #Lebanon #funeral #war #fakeDemocracy

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Missiles, Fatwas and Uranium: Iran’s New “Negotiation” Manual

Tehran just put its nuclear doctrine back on the table — not in a secret memo, but as an open threat: you touch our leaders, we touch the enrichment levels.

Parliament’s National Security spokesman Ebrahim Rezaei now calls Israel’s defense minister’s threat to assassinate Iran’s national leader a “solid and justified reason” to review the nuclear doctrine and reopen Article 8 of the Islamabad agreement — the clause that locks in 60‑day cycles on enrichment and stored nuclear material.

If Israel keeps talking about killing our top people, the cap on uranium and the rules on stockpiles are no longer binding.

At the same time, speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has boiled Iran’s position down to one line: “We secure concessions not through dialogue, but with missiles.”

He warns that if the US and Israel don’t honor their commitments, Iran will “return to its measures” — a phrase Iranian outlets helpfully explain as ramping enrichment toward 90% weapons‑grade and resuming the regional missile activity that was slowed under the memorandum.

Negotiations, he says, exist mainly to make the other side understand how much worse things can get.

The IRGC is there to add volume and menace. Its commanders insist the army and Guards have their “finger on the trigger,” that any “miscalculation” by Washington or Jerusalem will trigger a “more destructive” response, and that Iran is ready for what they market as the “most ferocious offensive operation in history” in retaliation for strikes on its leaders and infrastructure.

Deterrence becomes a sales pitch: respect our red lines, or watch what happens when we decide you’ve crossed them.

Iran is turning threats against its leadership into leverage over its own nuclear ceiling. Doctrine review, enrichment, missile salvos — all are framed as righteous reactions to Israeli and American behavior, not as choices.

Every Western move, from covert operations to sanctions, becomes a knob Tehran claims it can use to slide itself closer to the nuclear threshold and still call it “defending rights.”

So the next time someone says the Islamabad framework is about preventing escalation, remember how Tehran is describing it at home: a contract that works only as long as enemies behave, and a nuclear doctrine that exists not to reassure anyone — but to remind them how fast “dialogue” can turn back into missiles.

#Iran #nuclear #Ghalibaf #Rezaei #IRGC #Israel #USA #Hormuz #war #fakeDemocracy

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Six Nights of Silence, One Salvo, and a Denial in Real Time

The ceasefire lasted almost a week. Then Tuesday evening, Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired a barrage of ballistic missiles from Lorestan province toward Jordan's Muwaffaq Salti Air Base and the regional headquarters of U.S. Central Command, the first Iranian strike on an American position since President Trump paused the bombing campaign to give diplomacy a shot, Al Jazeera reported.

CENTCOM said the missiles were launched "in an attempted surprise attack on U.S. forces based in the Middle East" and that "all Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted," per its own statement.

Jordan's army separately confirmed it intercepted five missiles over its own territory that morning, according to The Hindu.

Tehran, naturally, framed the same event as righteous payback, with the Revolutionary Guard's Aerospace Force saying it struck the air base and CENTCOM headquarters in retaliation for what it called the "aggressive actions" of the American military, IRNA reported via The Hindu.

Iranian state media, meanwhile, offered its own footnote: an "enemy missile" reportedly landed in an unpopulated stretch of West Azerbaijan province near Piranshahr, no casualties, nothing to see here, Fars News told Xinhua. Everyone launched something. Nobody got hurt.

Both governments still managed to declare a kind of victory by dinnertime.
Asked for comment, Trump did not reach for diplomatic language.

"We're going to beat the f------ s--- out of them," he told Fox News, adding, "We'll be hitting them hard. They're going to get a beating," the network reported.

This is the same president who spent Friday through Tuesday selling a pause as proof his maximum-pressure strategy was finally working.

It took one salvo of missiles that hurt nobody to knock the diplomacy talking points clean off the table.

What actually happened here is a five-day intermission in a war neither side has the appetite to end and neither side can afford to admit it started for nothing.

Iran gets to claim it punished American aggression without losing a single soldier or a single missile that mattered.

Washington gets to claim total defensive success while quietly signaling the bombing campaign is back on.

Jordan, again, absorbs the actual shrapnel, the actual sirens, and none of the actual leverage.

Two governments fired weapons at each other and both walked away insisting they'd won something.

If a war can restart, pause, and restart again without anyone changing position by an inch, what exactly is anyone still fighting to prove, and to which audience back home?

#Iran #Jordan #CENTCOM #IRGC #Trump

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Iran Announces Its Offensive Doctrine, Again

Mohammad Reza Naghdi, a senior adviser to the IRGC commander and a former Basij commander, says Iran is shifting from defense to offense. Iranian forces, he says, must be ready to operate deep in “enemy territory,” beyond Iran’s borders, whenever necessary.

He also assigns the Basij a larger mission: guarding critical infrastructure, supporting regular forces and projecting Iranian influence beyond the country’s borders.

In other words, the militia best known for policing Iran from within is being repackaged as a tool for defending — and shaping — the region outside it.

This is not a new doctrine. It is not even a new announcement.

In 2019, an IRGC ground-forces commander said Iran’s “deep offensive doctrine” had already been rehearsed in the Great Prophet 12 exercise.

In 2020, IRGC commander Hossein Salami said Iran would never launch an offensive against another country while remaining “fully offensive in tactic and operation.”

In 2021, the Guards declared that any place hosting anti-Iranian groups could count as enemy territory. In 2024, Salami said Iranian power extended beyond its borders.

But the interesting point is not whether Naghdi is recycling old language. It is that no one can yet say with confidence who lost the war.

Iran took heavy damage. Its nuclear infrastructure was struck. Its economy is under severe strain. The United States can still hit targets across the region and blockade Iranian ports. But Iran remains standing, its regime remains intact, and Hormuz is still closed on Tehran’s terms.

America is burning through high-end munitions, pulling resources from Europe and Asia, and negotiating an exit from a conflict it promised would end quickly.

A state that cannot act offensively announces a doctrine. A state that can act offensively still has to explain why the enemy’s shipping is trapped, why its own missile stocks are falling and why the war refuses to end.

Naghdi says the recent conflict tested Iranian capabilities under real conditions. On that point, he is right. It also tested American power, deterrence, logistics, production capacity and political attention span.

Iran did not defeat the United States. The United States did not defeat Iran.

Both powers are now declaring victory over the rubble — and asking the other side for terms.

#Iran #IRGC #Basij #USA #Hormuz #Israel #proxywar #MiddleEast #war

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Iran Prepares for the Next Round

Abbas Araghchi says Iran “fought with strength and negotiated with strength.” Foreign ministers from other countries, he says, told him Tehran won both the war and the diplomacy.

This is the official version of victory: missiles did the talking, diplomats kept the phone lines open, and the unnamed “senior leadership” decided when either tool would be used. Araghchi did not need to name Mojtaba Khamenei. The title did the work for him.

A senior Iranian official told Reuters that Tehran has moved from a defensive posture to a “fully offensive” one. The United States has a few weeks to implement the memorandum in full. Iran will communicate the timetable through mediators, prepare for escalation in Hormuz and the wider region, and consider a “timely and precise” strike to break the U.S. naval blockade if diplomacy fails.

Tehran says that pressure on Washington and reliance on mediators cannot produce a permanent settlement. Yet it will use the same mediators to transmit its deadline. The channel survives. Confidence in what the channel can deliver does not.

The Wall Street Journal reports that Iran’s hard-line leadership used the pause under the memorandum to prepare for a longer war.

The Revolutionary Guard is expanding its authority over the regular military, tightening domestic counterintelligence, promoting battle-hardened veterans, and accelerating missile and drone production. The ceasefire became a rearmament window.

NBC News reports that Moscow is sending drone components, ammunition and TNT across the Caspian Sea to replenish Iranian stocks damaged in U.S. and Israeli strikes.

Russia is helping Iran rearm while both governments continue to describe their partnership as deeply respectful of other people’s sovereignty.

China has chosen the language of principle. Its ambassador in Tehran condemned what he called illegal U.S. and Israeli actions against Iran and set out four Chinese initiatives for regional peace and stability.

Iran’s next move will not be decided by an initiative. It will be decided by how quickly Tehran can rebuild its missiles, drones and confidence that the next round will cost its enemies more than the last one.

#Iran #USA #Russia #China #IRGC #Hormuz #missiles #MiddleEast

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🇮🇷☢️ Tehran’s Reply: Everything Is Fine. So Let’s Leave the Nuclear Treaty.

Iran’s response to Trump’s “Economic D-Day” rests on one claim: American pressure is proof of American weakness.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Trump’s announcement was a distraction from the United States’ own “unprecedented debt & surging interest costs.” He warned that “doubling down on failed policies” would bring Washington another defeat and harden Iranian hostility. He called U.S. pressure “economic terrorism” against the global economy and national sovereignty.

Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi put the contradiction more bluntly. Washington, he said, claims Iran is near defeat and “hanging by a thread,” yet asks every ally to help defeat it. The military campaign failed, he argued, and Washington is now calling its next failure economic warfare.

Then came the parliamentary answer.

Ebrahim Rezaei, a member of parliament’s National Security Committee, said the “best response” to Trump’s escalation would be for Iran to leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. He said a withdrawal would require approval from Iran’s senior leadership.

Iran may respond to economic pressure by leaving the legal framework it cites whenever Washington questions its nuclear program.

The committee’s chairman, Ebrahim Azizi, took a different line. He said Iran was monitoring U.S. moves closely and warned that another miscalculation would bring consequences “more severe than before.” He called for an end to the U.S. military presence in the region and for Washington to accept “Iran’s new regional order.”

The IRGC promised an upgrade. Its spokesman, Brig. Gen. Hossein Mohebbi, said Iran is making its weapons more precise, more destructive, and more technologically advanced. If another war starts, he said, its weapons will be different from those used before — in warhead design, accuracy, range, or other capabilities.

Those threats sit alongside a less heroic list of priorities.

Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has put military reinforcement and food supplies on the same list. The pairing reflects a practical concern: inflation and shortages can erode a country’s ability to sustain a long conflict.

Former president Mohammad Khatami has warned against turning “wartime emotions” into a method of government.

On the ground, fuel shortages have reportedly shut some gas stations in Tehran, while drivers at others waited more than an hour to fill their tanks. At the Two Dolphins market in Dargahan on Qeshm Island, shops were open but the aisles were largely empty. A fuel tank exploded in Tehran. Officials said the cause was under investigation.

Iran also announced the execution of a foreign national, Qassem Hosseini, convicted of taking part in anti-government unrest in Isfahan.

The state says it is preparing stronger weapons, a new regional order, and a response outside the nuclear treaty. It is also managing fuel lines, empty markets, unexplained explosions, and the public mood that comes with them.

#Iran #Trump #NPT #Nuclear #IRGC #Araghchi #Sanctions #Hormuz #MiddleEast

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🌊🇺🇸 American Territory

Donald Trump explained U.S. policy in two sentences.

First: “We have total control of that whole area having to do with the Strait of Hormuz.” Iran, he said, wants a deal but refuses to make the right one.

Then: “I view the Strait of Hormuz as an American territory right now. It’s an American territory.”

The operational numbers are specific for an administration that has kept much of the operation vague. U.S. Central Command says its forces have redirected 68 commercial vessels, disabled three, and boarded two to enforce the naval blockade against Iran.

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the U.S. military helped move more than 15 million barrels of oil and petroleum products through Hormuz on Tuesday. Including pipeline exports, nearly 20 million barrels left the region.

The seven-day average moving through the strait has risen above 8 million barrels a day, he said. “Thanks to the U.S. Navy, oil is flowing through the Strait of Hormuz.”

Before the war, roughly 20 million barrels a day of crude, condensates, and petroleum products passed through Hormuz. What remains is a reduced flow, sustained by a full naval operation and a blockade.

Iran’s leverage has also changed shape. Tehran, which threatened to close the strait, now says it has authorized Iraqi tankers to pass through it. The country that once threatened to shut the artery is issuing permissions to its neighbors.

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s parliamentary speaker, says Tehran has received messages from neighboring countries about new “security arrangements and economic cooperation.” Translated, that means the region is working out how to manage the crisis around Iran without waiting for Iran.

A report by the Jerusalem Center for Foreign Affairs argues that pressure on Iran will fail unless Washington closes four routes: commercial links through Turkey, smuggling networks through Iraq, cryptocurrency channels, and front companies. The report’s premise is that these routes let the Revolutionary Guard and businesses linked to the regime protect themselves while shifting the cost onto ordinary Iranians.

Its recommendation is to close the escape routes and force powerful networks to compete over a shrinking pot. The report argues that this kind of internal struggle offers a more plausible route to political change than another war from outside.

#Iran #USA #Trump #Hormuz #Oil #CENTCOM #Sanctions #IRGC #MiddleEast

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Missile Factory, Basement Edition

Iranian state television showed Maj. Gen. Ali Abdollahi, the armed forces chief of staff, touring an underground missile facility on Aug. 22.

The footage included what appears to be an industrial planetary mixer, the kind of machine used to blend solid propellant for ballistic missiles. Tehran did not reveal the location. It did reveal the message.

Israel says its earlier strikes destroyed at least 12 such mixers in above-ground missile facilities. Iranian officials now claim missile production continued and weapons output has increased.

Neither side has released enough evidence to verify the scale of damage, the volume of current production or the condition of Iran’s underground network.

That uncertainty is the point. Israel can destroy a factory it can locate. Iran can move equipment underground, disperse lines and film the survivors. A planetary mixer does not prove a full production chain. It does show Tehran still has industrial capacity worth hiding, guarding and putting on camera.

Iranian media also claim the Revolutionary Guards recovered a mostly intact U.S.-made AGM-158 JASSM cruise missile after it failed to detonate. That claim remains unverified.

Analysts have reported possible JASSM wreckage and unexploded penetrator warheads, but there is no public evidence that Iran holds an intact missile or can reverse-engineer its guidance and low-observable systems.

The weapons show came with a political instruction. An Iranian Army spokesman said damaged systems had been rebuilt and declared a shift from a “defensive” to an “offensive” doctrine.

State media productions now function as part of that doctrine. The camera crew is manufacturing deterrence alongside the technicians.

Trump can promise that damaged infrastructure will take 15 years to rebuild. Tehran can claim it repaired everything yesterday. Both sides sell certainty because the real inventory is classified.

The underground factory is not proof that Iran is untouchable. It is proof that “obliterated” is a slogan, not a battle-damage assessment.

#Iran #Missiles #IRGC #JASSM

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Mine Clearance, With Mines

U.S. forces struck two Iranian launchers on Larak Island after observing Revolutionary Guards personnel preparing rockets fitted with sea mines, a U.S. official said.

CENTCOM called it “limited, precise action” against an “imminent threat” to civilian shipping and the flow of global commerce. Iran reported at least two people killed and several wounded.

Hours later, the Revolutionary Guards said they had shot down a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone over the Strait of Hormuz. Washington had not publicly confirmed the loss at the time of reporting. Tehran also fired missiles and drones toward U.S. facilities in Jordan and the United Arab Emirates. Jordan said it intercepted eight missiles.

Then came the shipping update. The IRGC Navy said a supertanker caught fire and stopped after hitting two sea mines in an “unauthorized” southern route through the strait. Iran did not name the vessel, its flag, cargo or crew. Independent maritime monitors had not verified the claim.

The contradiction has a hard factual core. Washington says it struck to prevent new mines from entering a sea lane it says it had cleared. Iran says a tanker hit two mines in that same waterway within hours.

The U.S. operation may have stopped one minelaying attempt. It did not make Hormuz safe. Ships still need Iranian coordination, U.S. military protection, or luck. Sometimes all three.

#Iran #Hormuz #USA #IRGC

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Iran’s Three-Front Security State

Iran woke to a patrol ambush in Sistan and Baluchestan, two executions in Isfahan and a warning that Starlink could become a military target. The state faces gunmen on a southeastern highway, prisoners in its jails and satellite terminals on its rooftops.

Gunmen attacked a police patrol from the Nokju station near Bampur on the Bampur–Iranshahr road. Two officers, Amirhossein Ghasemi and Nezam Dastgoshadeh, were killed and a third was wounded, according to Iranian media.

No group immediately claimed responsibility. Tasnim, a state-linked outlet, blamed forces it described as affiliated with the “U.S.-Israeli enemy.”

Iran also executed Alireza Sepahi and Alireza Raeisi, two men arrested during the January protests in Isfahan. Iran’s judiciary said they were convicted of membership in an armed rebel group, “waging war against God” and involvement in the deaths of four police officers.

Rights groups described them as protesters tried in the Alikhani Square case. The executions bring to at least seven the number of defendants in that case put to death, according to rights-monitoring reports.

Mohammad Amin Aghamiri, secretary of Iran’s Supreme Council of Cyberspace, said the authorities had disabled Starlink terminals during the January unrest.

He warned that satellite-internet infrastructure used for military purposes could become a target. Tehran treats internet access as a battlefield because a phone signal can mobilize a crowd faster than a police van can disperse it.

Iranian Armed Forces Chief of Staff Maj. Gen. Ali Abdollahi gave the external version. A new war against Iran, he said, would spread across the region.

If Washington moves against Tehran before or after the midterms, Iran would strike U.S. interests without limits. The message is aimed at Washington, but it lands on every Gulf state hosting American troops.

Iran calls its enemies terrorists, rioters and foreign agents. The categories change according to the battlefield. The answer does not: treat every threat as war, then make the target disappear.

#Iran #Starlink #IRGC #SistanBaluchestan

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Scorched Earth, Same-Day Repairs

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have announced a maintenance policy. Iranian infrastructure gets repaired immediately. Israel gets destroyed permanently.

IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi threatened that attacks on Iran’s energy facilities would turn Israel into “scorched earth forever” and drive its population into the Sinai Desert.

Damage at home, he promised, would be fixed immediately by Iran’s “young scientists.”

The same statement offers instant reconstruction and mass displacement.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi answered Netanyahu’s Sunday-night promise that Israel and the United States would “complete the mission.” “Last time you wanted to ‘finish the job,’ Iran emerged even stronger,” he wrote. “We have unfinished jobs too.”

Both sides promise to finish the job. Tehran’s spokesmen add a warranty covering damage to their own facilities and a threat covering everyone living in Israel.

#Iran #Israel #IRGC #Netanyahu

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Tehran’s Disconnect Button

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have found another way to defend the country. They threaten the neighbors’ internet.

On Oct. 19, IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi pointed to “seven major cables” beneath the Strait of Hormuz and announced that “new targets will be unveiled.” He claimed the world’s internet and commercial data depended on them.

Cutting the cables would disrupt regional communications, banking, and cloud services. How far the damage spread would depend on how many cables were hit and what alternative routes remained, rather than on a single Iranian switch marked WORLD INTERNET.

On Iranian state television, hardline analyst Mostafa Khoshcheshm added a threat for Europe. He said Tehran could abandon its declared missile-range limit and pursue ranges up to 6,000 kilometers if European countries entered the conflict.

The Guards threaten civilian infrastructure, the television analyst threatens longer-range strikes, and both aim to spread the bill beyond the battlefield.

#Iran #Hormuz #IRGC #DigitalInfrastructure

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The Superpower Will Disconnect You

Tehran’s next bid for world power could begin by cutting off the neighbors’ internet.

Iran has drawn up detailed plans to attack Gulf undersea communications cables if the United States and Israel strike again, two senior Iranian security officials told Reuters. One said Iran would also try to prevent repairs, prolonging the disruption.

“If Iran is attacked, there will be no more red lines ... from undersea cables to military bases, including covert ones,” one official said.

Revolutionary Guards spokesman Brig. Gen. Hossein Mohebbi promised a response “several times greater” to even a limited attack. He also insisted Iran’s enemies currently lack the capacity for effective military operations. Apparently, the incapable enemy still requires an expanding target list.

Washington’s regional security promise and Tehran’s deterrence doctrine now meet at the same cable. One side stations forces to protect the neighborhood. The other threatens to disconnect it if those forces attack.

The neighbors bought connectivity. The powers supplied the cancellation policy.

#BabylonBurning #Iran #IRGC #GulfSecurity

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