OSINT
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OSINT
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Nuno Felix
RT @CovertShores: ***UPDATE***

Massive explosion in Tartus likely the ammunition storage facility near village of Bmalkah, about 10km (6 miles) inland. Likely not the Naval Base. #OSINT https://t.co/61kjC4SawK
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Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: RF 810th Marines preparing to load onto a bus to go on an all-inclusive vacation where they will get delousing and shower spa treatments, clean clothes, warm and clean accommodations, free meals and all of the crystal clear clean water they want to drink.

#OSINT #Ukraine #Russia https://t.co/paLoOLeasI
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Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: The Ukrainian drone activity in the #Bryansk and #Smolensk regions of Russia may be targeting infrastructure along the Yamalโ€“Europe natural gas pipeline.

#OSINT #Ukraine #Russia https://t.co/b1PD2H38MX
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Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: Multiple Russian sources confirm that the AFU has initiated a counteroffensive in the #Kursk AO, involving armored columns, from #Sudzha in the direction of #BolshoeSoldatskoe.

Base Map: @Majakovsk73

#OSINT #Ukraine #Russia https://t.co/LL7KhZQFcq
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๐Ÿ‘1
Nuno Felix
RT @CovertShores: ***BREAKING***

After loss of Tartus, #Russia now has no submarines in the Mediterranean

This is symptomatic of wider issues. The Ru Navy is overstretched following the 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine and is suffering maintenance challenges

#OSINT https://t.co/9lnBIKNtVy
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๐Ÿ‘1
ELINT News
RT @CovertShores: ***BREAKING***

#China Suddenly Building Fleet Of Special Barges Suitable For Taiwan Landings #OSINT

https://t.co/W9KuMycnWU
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๐Ÿ‘1
Nuno Felix
RT @CovertShores: ***BREAKING***

#China Suddenly Building Fleet Of Special Barges Suitable For Taiwan Landings #OSINT

https://t.co/W9KuMycnWU
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Nuno Felix
RT @RealCynicalFox: One of the big questions about a potential conventional PRC invasion of Taiwan has always been how & where communist forces would make landfall. Attempting to take a port intact has, historically, been near impossible. This appears to be the beginning of an answer to that problem.

This is a dedicated offensive platform, no one would build something like this if they weren't contemplating a need to deploy troops and heavy equipment onto a hostile shore. Article from @CovertShores featuring commentary from @salisbot is well worth the read.

***BREAKING***

#China Suddenly Building Fleet Of Special Barges Suitable For Taiwan Landings #OSINT

https://t.co/W9KuMycnWU
- H I Sutton
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Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: Ukrainian drone "debris" successfully struck the Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez Refinery, the 4th largest in Russia, in #Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, Russia tonight.

Location: 56.109454, 44.149944

#OSINT #Russia #UkraineWar

Please repost to help defeat Ex's anti-Ukraine algorithms.
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Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: ALERT: Russian channels are reporting Storm Shadow missile inbound to Crimea through #Kherson.

FYI: Traffic on the Kerch Bridge in Crimea has been stopped. Sea passenger ferries has also been suspended. Russian authorities have not officially reported an air raid alert.

#OSINT #Russia #UkraineWar
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Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: The first batch of recruits under age 25 are seen being sworn in as the newest members of the AFU's 10th Mountain Brigade.

#OSINT #Russia #UkraineWar https://t.co/e8tVicXNTT
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Nuno Felix
RT @noclador: Just the guidance section. The 950 M74 bomblets came down somewhere else... and likely did their job.

(On 8 January 1996 Loral sold its defense electronics biz to Lockheed Martin and at the time the only ATACMS in production was the MGM-140A ATACMS Block 1 (M39)

This is the first confirmed evidence I have seen of the shootdown of an ATACMS warhead, which occurred over Russian territory, and not just the spent booster section. Note dates...

#OSINT #Russia #UkraineWar https://x.com/UKikaski/status/1905228482176544829/photo/1
- OSINT Intuit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช
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โ Nuno Felix
RT @UKikaski: Grouping of French Air Force (FrAF) aircraft currently operating over the Black Sea. The three A330-243MRTT tankers on the western side are likely refueling FrAF fighter jets providing CAP coverage for two FrAF AWACS and a Beech King โ€œVADORโ€ ISR aircraft further east.

#OSINT
1/2 https://twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1988570821921534123/photo/1
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OSINT
โ Nuno Felix RT @mobbs_mentality: โ€œEurope decided that stopping Russian influence operations inside the U.S. national decision chain now outweighs the cost of exposing their capabilities. They also signaled to the White House that any attempt to run off-bookโ€ฆ
allest possible piece that demonstrates access.

That leaves the final question. Why now?

From an OSINT perspective, the answer is straightforward. Europe decided that stopping Russian influence operations inside the U.S. national decision chain now outweighs the cost of exposing their capabilities. They also signaled to the White House that any attempt to run off-book diplomacy with Moscow will not be uncontested. The warning was calibrated and unmistakable.

Someone in Europe sent a message so clear that anyone who has ever worked behind classified doors can feel the shift. They did not reveal the conversation. They revealed the system behind it. They revealed they are inside it. They revealed they are watching.

And for the actors who built the Miami channel, that changes everything. Their private discussions were never private. Their assumption of secrecy was never real. Their belief that they were moving unseen was incorrect.

Europe did not just publish a leak. Europe fired a warning shot. It crossed oceans. It landed in two capitals.

And it hit its mark.

---------------------------------

Follow #OSINT Intuitโ„ข for evidence-based analysis of hostile influence and information warfare.
Photo: Getty Images via NBC News - OSINT Intuitโ„ข tweet
OSINT
โ Nuno Felix RT @CaitlinDoornbos: If it's true that Europe leaked the call, it has deep implications for how allies feel about the US' ability to counter Russian influence in the America. โ€œEurope decided that stopping Russian influence operations inside theโ€ฆ
ey kept, follows a classic intelligence pattern. When a service wants to send a warning without blowing up the geopolitical environment, it releases the smallest possible piece that demonstrates access.

That leaves the final question. Why now?

From an OSINT perspective, the answer is straightforward. Europe decided that stopping Russian influence operations inside the U.S. national decision chain now outweighs the cost of exposing their capabilities. They also signaled to the White House that any attempt to run off-book diplomacy with Moscow will not be uncontested. The warning was calibrated and unmistakable.

Someone in Europe sent a message so clear that anyone who has ever worked behind classified doors can feel the shift. They did not reveal the conversation. They revealed the system behind it. They revealed they are inside it. They revealed they are watching.

And for the actors who built the Miami channel, that changes everything. Their private discussions were never private. Their assumption of secrecy was never real. Their belief that they were moving unseen was incorrect.

Europe did not just publish a leak. Europe fired a warning shot. It crossed oceans. It landed in two capitals.

And it hit its mark.

---------------------------------

Follow #OSINT Intuitโ„ข for evidence-based analysis of hostile influence and information warfare.
Photo: Getty Images via NBC News - OSINT Intuitโ„ข tweet
OSINTdefender
RT @DefenceGeek: MAP: 25/01/2026 (v2.0)

Ok so trying a different format today in the hopes it's clearer/easier to understand (it will probably change again!)

#OSINT work by @MATA_osint team, special thanks to @ArmchairAdml @TheIntelFrog @ameliairheart for their assistance with this!
#FreeIran https://twitter.com/DefenceGeek/status/2015486788417024135/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @Euan_MacDonald: It was extremely unwise for Hungary and Slovakia to threaten Ukraineโ€™s energy supplies.

โ€ผ๏ธ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅOrbรกn and Fico's precious lifeline just got torched.

Large fires burn at the NPS "Druzhba-1", Kaleykino, Tatarstan, oil pumping station, which is approximately 1,300 km (800 miles), from unoccupied Ukraine after an AFU LR-UAV strike overnight.

Geolocation: 54.9226, 52.2192

#OSINT
- OSINT Intuitโ„ข
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Nuno Felix
And people treat this as serious without even batting an eye to how difficult and time consuming it is to setup this properly to challenge an entrenched regime.

๐—ง๐—›๐—˜๐—ฌ ๐—ก๐—˜๐—˜๐—— ๐—ง๐—ข ๐—•๐—˜ ๐—”๐—ฅ๐— ๐—˜๐——!

Trump during May 4 Salem News interview:

"The people of Iran, if they had weapons, which they do not, would confront the government. You cannot expect an unarmed crowd to resist people with Kalashnikovs, even if they number 250,000. They lost 42,000 in about two weeksโ€ฆ I donโ€™t really want to see that. They have to have guns. ๐™„ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™  ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ฎโ€™๐™ง๐™š ๐™œ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™จ๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™œ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™จ. As soon as they have weapons, theyโ€™ll fight as good as anybody."

#OSINT #Iran #OperationEpicFury
- OSINT Intuitโ„ข
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OSINT
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OSINTdefender
RT @DefenceGeek: UPDATE: Today's Coronet East Movements in Full #IranWarโ€Œ

This morning I noted that two Coronet East movements were underway, comprising 083 and 110. Now that both have completed for the day and I have complied the available information for both, I figured I would summarise the details & provide the approximate route maps:

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Coronet East 083 - Vermont F-35As Heading Home
Today a total of 8 out of the 12 "VT" F-35As deployed to CENTCOM in February on Coronet East 035 have begun their journey home. We understand that the remaining 4 jets will complete the move by Sunday night, and all 12 will likely depart RAF Lakenheath (EGUL) on Tuesday. Today's movements were:

CE 083 - Cell 1:
KC-135R "CLEAN35" 57-1453 #AE04B2 (LROP -> LROP)
KC-135R "CLEAN36" ? (LFOA -> LFOA)
F-35A "TABOR81" 17-5280 (VT)
F-35A "TABOR82" 18-5336 (VT)
F-35A "TABOR83" 18-5360 (VT)
F-35A "TABOR84" 18-5340 (VT)

CE 083 - Cell 2:
KC-135T "CLEAN45" 60-0337 #AE0482 (LROP -> LROP)
KC-135R "CLEAN46" ? (LFOA -> LFOA)
F-35A "TABOR91" 18-5338 (VT)
F-35A "TABOR92" 18-5339 (VT)
F-35A "TABOR93" 18-5341 (VT)
F-35A "TABOR94" 18-5343 (VT)

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Coronet East 110 - Ohio F-16s Move to CENTCOM
All 12 of the 180th Fighter Wing (OH) F-16Cs that were moved to Lajes last week have moved forwards into CENTCOM today, with supporting C-17 flights in recent days indicating they've gone to Prince Sultan Airbase (OEPS) to directly replace the Aviano-based F-16s (AV) that left the region last week. Today's movements were:

CE 110 - Cell 1:
KC-135T "GOLD11" 58-0057 #AE0651 (LGSA -> LGSA)
KC-46A "GOLD12" 22-46101 #AF4EE7 (LPLA -> LPLA)
KC-46A "GOLD13" 21-46086 #AE63C2 (LPLA -> LPLA)
F-16C "TABOR11" 88-0257 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR12" 89-2051 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR13" 89-2082 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR14" 89-2109 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR15" 89-2114 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR16" 89-2128 (OH)

CE 110 - Cell 2:
KC-135R "GOLD21" 59-1478 #AE04E5 (LGSA -> LGSA)
KC-46A "GOLD25" 19-46109 #AF4F4D (LPLA -> LPLA)
KC-46A "GOLD26" 20-46077 #AE63B9 (LPLA -> LPLA)
F-16C "TABOR21" 89-2151 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR22" 90-0700 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR23" 90-0702 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR24" 90-0704 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR25" 89-2132 (OH)
F-16C "TABOR26" 89-2112 (OH)

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All of the above information is as accurate as we can identify via #OSINT methods and the maps below are approximate, for illustrative purposes only. Huge thanks as always to the @MATA_osint Coronet tracking team: @ArmchairAdml @AUX_OSINT and our Lajes friends @Azorean_Lion @x_diogo_01

@MATA_osint
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OSINTdefender
RT @DefenceGeek: US Bombers at Fairford - That's all Folks! #IranWarโ€Œ

Just over 7 months after they began arriving at RAF Fairford (EGVA), the last of the 29 US Air Force bombers deployed to the base have gone home. Over the coming weeks I'll release more of the in-depth data collected by MATA team members since March, but for now - a tribute to the aircraft that have dominated the skies over the south-west of England in the largest US overseas bomber deployment to Europe we'll likely ever see.

255 missions tracked - combat and training

#OSINT
@MATA_osint
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