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Mine Clearance, With Mines

U.S. forces struck two Iranian launchers on Larak Island after observing Revolutionary Guards personnel preparing rockets fitted with sea mines, a U.S. official said.

CENTCOM called it “limited, precise action” against an “imminent threat” to civilian shipping and the flow of global commerce. Iran reported at least two people killed and several wounded.

Hours later, the Revolutionary Guards said they had shot down a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone over the Strait of Hormuz. Washington had not publicly confirmed the loss at the time of reporting. Tehran also fired missiles and drones toward U.S. facilities in Jordan and the United Arab Emirates. Jordan said it intercepted eight missiles.

Then came the shipping update. The IRGC Navy said a supertanker caught fire and stopped after hitting two sea mines in an “unauthorized” southern route through the strait. Iran did not name the vessel, its flag, cargo or crew. Independent maritime monitors had not verified the claim.

The contradiction has a hard factual core. Washington says it struck to prevent new mines from entering a sea lane it says it had cleared. Iran says a tanker hit two mines in that same waterway within hours.

The U.S. operation may have stopped one minelaying attempt. It did not make Hormuz safe. Ships still need Iranian coordination, U.S. military protection, or luck. Sometimes all three.

#Iran #Hormuz #USA #IRGC

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The Six-Month Excursion

Trump called the Iran war an “excursion” that would last a few weeks. Six months later, the mission has become a global holding pattern with no exit, no agreed definition of victory and a shipping crisis that was not even on the original list of objectives.

The White House began by talking about Iran’s nuclear program, missile forces and regime change. It now treats reopening the Strait of Hormuz as a central war aim.

Before the war, about one-fifth of global oil moved through the strait. Iran turned that sea lane into leverage, sending fuel and fertilizer costs higher from the Gulf to the supermarket shelf.

The war also pulled U.S. weapons from the places Washington says matter most. Patriot, THAAD and other missile-defense systems moved from Europe and Asia to the Middle East.

The U.S. canceled a major amphibious exercise with South Korea. Taiwan expects significant delays in Patriot deliveries. European Command has reportedly revised operational plans as interceptor and ATACMS stocks reached “beyond critical” levels.

The Pentagon says America still has enough weapons for every mission. That may be true on a briefing slide. But allies do not read slides. They see the cancelled drill, the delayed shipment and the carrier that cannot be in two oceans at once.

Trump wanted a short demonstration of force. He got a six-month supply-chain audit of American power.

The war did not only weaken Iran. It taught every U.S. ally how long Washington’s warehouse stays full when three crises arrive at once.

#Trump #Iran #Hormuz #USA

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🛢Bishkek: Xi Presses Putin as “Power of Siberia 2” Nears Final Deal ⚔️

🤝 The meeting between Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping in Bishkek could mark a new stage in the relationship between Moscow and Beijing.

Behind the official statements and diplomatic language, two issues stand out as particularly consequential: the Russia-China gas deal and the war in Ukraine.

According to information available to us, negotiations over the “Power of Siberia 2” pipeline project are now virtually complete. The massive pipeline is designed to deliver Russian gas to China via Mongolia.

For Moscow, its completion carries major economic and strategic significance.
After losing a large share of its European energy market, Russia has been seeking to permanently redirect its exports toward Asia.

China has become its main energy and trading partner. Finalizing the “Power of Siberia 2” agreement would cement that shift and place Beijing at the heart of Russia’s energy strategy for decades to come.
For China, the benefits are equally clear.

The project would strengthen the security of its gas supplies while further diversifying its energy sources.

But Beijing is negotiating from a position of strength, particularly when it comes to the economic terms and the price of future gas deliveries.

It is precisely this context that gives another element of the Bishkek meeting particular significance: the war in Ukraine.

According to information conveyed by a senior Chinese official, Xi has given Putin nine months to end the war.

If confirmed, the claim would represent a major political signal. Since the conflict began, Beijing has repeatedly called for a political settlement and urged the resumption of negotiations.

But a specific nine-month deadline would mark a significant shift. China would no longer simply be calling for peace; it would be seeking to set a timetable for Moscow.

The timing is particularly telling. On one hand, the two leaders appear close to finalizing a strategically important energy agreement. On the other, Beijing could be asking Moscow to bring an end to a war that has placed enormous strain on European stability and international relations.

The two issues are, of course, not officially linked. But their coincidence is difficult to overlook.

Russia now depends on China for energy markets, trade and part of its economic engagement with the outside world. China, meanwhile, has acquired growing weight within the Russian economy and leverage that extends well beyond the commercial sphere.

The phrase “comprehensive strategic partnership” therefore masks a more complicated reality: the two countries remain closely aligned in their interests, but the balance of power is gradually shifting in Beijing’s favor.

“Power of Siberia 2” could become the economic symbol of this new relationship. The nine-month deadline, if confirmed, could become its political counterpart.

The message from Bishkek would then be twofold: a major Russia-China gas deal is nearing completion, while at the same time Moscow may have been given a deadline to end the war.

If this reading proves accurate, the Putin-Xi meeting could come to be seen as an important moment in the changing balance of power between the two countries — a Russia that remains formally sovereign in its strategic decisions, but whose growing economic dependence on China is giving Beijing unprecedented influence.

#bishkek #xi #putin #force #siberia2

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Kyiv Under Fire: Russia Has Regained the Initiative 🔥


Kyiv is enduring hours of daytime air raids and air raid warnings as Russia has fired 800 jet-powered drones into Ukraine in four days, using the faster weapons to sustain prolonged waves of attacks

The new-model Shahed drones have a cruising speed of 200mph to 250mph , about double the 115mph achieved by the piston-engine version and beyond the speed of Ukraine’s cheap interceptors, making them harder to stop.

Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, said on Sunday that the jet-powered models now accounted for more than half the drones used by Russia to attack and “wear down” the country.

“There were almost 1,500 drones of all types in these four days alone – about 800 of them jet-powered,”

the president said. Ukraine was currently relying on combat aircraft to shoot them down, he added.

A Geran-4, the latest jet-powered model, struck an ammunition dump at Myla, a village 15 miles west of Kyiv on Thursday. Thirty-eight people were killed as the strike unleashed hours of secondary explosions in one of the deadliest single attacks of the war, destroying warehouses and damaging nearby homes.

Russia has also made heavy use of the drones in waves of daytime attacks in the past five days, leading to hours of air alerts, particularly in Kyiv. Eight air raid alerts sounded in Kyiv by lunchtime on Monday.

Daytime attacks, although far from unknown, were uncommon previously, prompting some businesses to halt operations until the alert had passed, and leaving residents with the decision of whether to remain indoors, seek shelter, or ignore the warnings entirely.

Close drone threats also force emergency services to leave an attack site, potentially worsening the impact of any fire caused by a hit, as happened when a food storage facility was struck in Boryspil, to the east of Kyiv, earlier this month.

Kremlin forces have attacked warehouses around Kyiv in the past month, in retaliation to a Ukrainian campaign targeting the Wildberries and Ozon distribution chains inside Russia. The attacks have led to food shortages in the shops, but a Ukrainian official urged people not to panic.

Serhii Beskrestnov, an adviser to Zelensky on defence technology, urged people “do not give in to rumours, misinformation, and panic” and said that companies were rebuilding supply chains in response to the attacks. “We will not die of hunger,” he wrote in a social media posting.

Shahed drones, with a distinctive delta wing, were originally designed in Iran, and the technology transferred to Russia. The jet Shahed, the 238, was first unveiled by Iran in autumn 2023, and appeared in Ukraine shortly after.

It was not until spring that Russia began to manufacture and deploy its latest jet-powered variant – the Geran-4 – in numbers.

Russia now makes more jet-powered drones than the original piston-engined variants, in two models, the delta winged Geran-4 and the Geran-5, which looks like a missile with wings.

Beskrestnov said that at least 2,500 of the jet drones had been launched into Ukraine during August, up from 1,500 the month before. Production date stamps found on the bodywork suggest they are being fired within days after being made at a factory in Yelabuga, he added.

Ukraine had successfully devised a range of low-cost ground-launched interceptors fast enough to eliminate a piston-engined Shahed, raising interception rates to above 90%. Over the weekend, the president said that level had to be maintained into the autumn.

Engineers are now racing to make faster interceptor drones able to knock out jet-powered Shaheds, though details are scant.

“Four companies have tried to develop the relevant interceptor drones, we're trying to be successful,”

Zelensky said.

#kyiv #russian #zelensky #ukraine #geran2

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The Nuclear Red Line

Tucker Carlson says Donald Trump should be removed from office if he is actively considering first use of nuclear weapons against Iran. The former Trump ally made the remark in a discussion with Joe Kent, the former counterterrorism chief who resigned over the Iran war. “The second any president actively considers first use of nuclear weapons,” Carlson said, “that person should be removed from office immediately.”

The real movement is at the Pentagon. Elbridge Colby, the undersecretary for policy, told U.S. Strategic Command that the department wants to give the president and defense secretary “credible, rational nuclear options.”

He framed the purpose as deterrence and avoiding war. Washington already retains the option of using nuclear weapons first. The review reportedly considers a broader menu of limited strikes, not a new first-use doctrine.

Trump has threatened Iran with “total destruction,” but the administration has not announced that it is preparing to use nuclear weapons.

Trump gave the least costly possible denial. Asked in the Oval Office whether he had ruled out a nuclear weapon against Iran, he said: “I would never say that, but the answer is yes. I rule out — there’s no reason for it.” He called the question “stupid” and said Iran had been “totally defeated militarily.”

If Iran is already defeated, ruling out a nuclear strike gives up no leverage. It merely confirms that the White House has no military reason to turn a six-month war into a planetary crime scene.

#Trump #Iran #NuclearWeapons #USA

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Carney Sweeps, Trump Loses Ground


Canada’s ruling Liberal party has swept three special elections, a result that showed voters backing Prime Minister Mark Carney after his confrontation with Donald Trump.

The Canadian Press, Canada’s national news agency, projected Liberal victories in Chicoutimi–Le Fjord in Quebec, Beaches–East York in Toronto and North Vancouver–Capilano in British Columbia.

Carney said the results of Monday’s votes amounted to an endorsement of his government’s approach.
“At this consequential time for Canada, voters have placed their trust in our government’s plan,”

he said in a statement.

The Quebec result was the most dramatic shift. Liberal candidate Daniel Gobeil was projected to win decisively in Chicoutimi–Le Fjord, a district held by the opposition Conservatives since 2018.

The region is home to aluminium producers, dairy farms and other industries caught up in an escalating trade war with the US.

“This victory means we can maintain Canadian unity all across the country,”

Gobeil said.

The other two seats were previously held by Liberals. In British Columbia, Carney’s former deputy chief of staff, Braeden Caley, won North Vancouver–Capilano.

Liberal MP Hedy Fry told CBC: “The United States is getting a message tonight. Our leader has the support of the Canadian people.”

US-Canada trade talks collapsed on 21 August after the two sides failed to reach a deal, and Trump imposed 50% tariffs on roughly $20bn of Canadian goods. Canada responded with plans for tariffs on US products.

Trump has intensified his rhetoric toward Canada since the talks failed. He signed an executive order renaming Lake Ontario as “Lake America”, while on Monday US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Canada had limited leverage in the dispute because the US economy was roughly 13 times larger. Trump has repeatedly talked about making Canada the 51st state.

Meanwhile, Carney has accelerated efforts to deepen economic ties with Europe and other partners.

The Liberal sweep would bring Carney’s party to 173 seats in the 343-seat House of Commons, further strengthening its position.

The special elections were called after the lawmakers who previously held the three seats resigned from parliament earlier this year.

Daniel Béland, a political science professor at McGill University, said the sweep showed Carney retaining strong support across regions, and he called the Quebec result the most significant.

He said the easy win in Chicoutimi–Le Fjord probably reflected, in part, the popularity in Quebec of Carney’s decision “to pull the plug on trade negotiations with the White House”.

He said the Conservative collapse there was bad news for the party’s leader, Pierre Poilievre. The party had about 41% of the vote in last year’s federal elections but fell to about 13% and third place on Monday.
“These numbers do look bad,”

Béland said.

Carney won Canada’s election last year, fuelled by public anger over Trump’s annexation threats, and he has vowed to reduce Canada’s reliance on the US.

#carney #sweeps #trump #canada

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The Operation Under Air Cover

An Israeli force entered western Gaza City on Tuesday morning. It was detected near al-Katiba and the American Hospital. Gunfire followed. Israeli aircraft then hit targets across the area to cover the force’s withdrawal.

The IDF confirmed strikes against “several targets” to remove threats to security forces and said no Israeli personnel were injured. Defense Minister Israel Katz later said a senior Hamas operative had been captured. Israeli media reported that the operation involved a special force and an Israeli-backed militia.

Palestinian sources said the apparent target was a Hamas Internal Security officer with the rank of colonel. They said he survived. Hamas-linked outlets reported between six and 10 dead.

Gaza medical officials gave a lower confirmed early toll of three people killed, including two children and a woman, with eight wounded. The figures changed through the day and the identity of all casualties has not been independently established.

Witnesses reported at least 12 strikes. Two vehicles were destroyed near the al-Katiba area. A field hospital and school were reportedly evacuated. Smoke bombs were seen in the nearby Shati refugee camp.

The official version says Israel removed threats. The local version says a force was exposed while trying to seize or kill a Hamas officer. Both accounts agree on the useful part: someone entered Gaza City in daylight, the extraction required airstrikes, and civilians paid for the cover.

#Gaza #Hamas #Israel #GazaCity

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SCO’s Parallel Checkout

Masoud Pezeshkian came to Bishkek claiming Iran dealt the United States and Israel “heavy strategic defeats.”

Then he offered Washington a way back into the ceasefire memorandum it allegedly broke less than two weeks after signing. Tehran says it will “immediately reciprocate” if the U.S. returns to its commitments.

That is not surrender. It is a proposal to restart the same transaction with a different receipt. Iran wants de-escalation without admitting military defeat. Washington wants Hormuz open without accepting Tehran’s control of the terms.

Both sides say they want peace. Both need the other side to sign first.

Pezeshkian also pitched the Shanghai Cooperation Organization as a sanctions survival system. He called for an SCO bank, an export-credit and investment-insurance union, an energy consortium, a strategic-security research center and a parliamentary forum. The financial core is obvious.

Build enough institutions to trade, insure and lend without asking Washington’s dollar system for permission.

Vladimir Putin supplied the scale. SCO countries represent more than 40% of the world’s population and roughly one-third of global GDP, he said.

He urged members to expand trade in national currencies and speed up common financial institutions. Those figures do not make a common currency. They do make a large customer base for alternatives to the dollar.

Pezeshkian met Xi Jinping on the sidelines. Iran needs Chinese buyers, Chinese technology and Chinese payment channels. China needs cheap Iranian energy and a partner that helps test the limits of U.S. sanctions.

The SCO cannot replace the Western financial system tomorrow. It can make every sanction less clean, every oil payment harder to trace and every U.S. ultimatum more expensive to enforce.

#Iran #China #Russia #SCO

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The Gulf of Aden Franchise

The Houthis have turned Yemen’s war into a regional export business. Since 2023, they have reportedly built a weapons-and-training network with Somalia’s al-Shabaab, using smugglers and intermediaries across the Gulf of Aden.

The requested hardware reportedly included shoulder-fired air-defense missiles, 107mm rockets, anti-tank missiles, attack drones, night-vision gear and small arms.

A 2025 U.N. report said Houthi and al-Shabaab representatives met in Somalia at least twice in 2024. The reported deal was simple.

The Houthis would provide weapons and technical expertise. Al-Shabaab would expand piracy and help collect ransoms from ships off Somalia and in the Gulf of Aden.

At least 100 al-Shabaab fighters are believed to have received training in Houthi-controlled Yemen, according to regional reporting.

The shared target is maritime control. Houthi networks want eyes on the African side of the Gulf of Aden, including radar and ship-tracking capacity.

Al-Shabaab wants weapons, cash and operational knowledge. Israel is a useful slogan for both sides. Cargo routes are the real asset.

The network’s alleged Somali coordinator was killed in a U.S. strike in February. Al-Shabaab reportedly replaced him. Smuggling networks do not collapse when one broker dies. They issue a vacancy notice.

In Yemen itself, Saudi-led coalition special forces and Yemen’s Counterterrorism Force 22 killed ISIS spokesman Abu Hudhayfah al-Ansari in an operation that was meant to capture him. Yemeni authorities did not disclose the location.

One local source said the raid happened in Seiyun, Hadramout, and that al-Ansari died after being wounded and detained.

The coalition has removed one ISIS spokesman. The Houthis are building a maritime network across the water.

Counterterrorism is winning the press release. Smuggling is winning the geography.

#Yemen #Houthis #AlShabaab #RedSea

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The Water System Hits Pause

Five of Israel’s six major Mediterranean desalination plants shut down again Tuesday morning. Only Hadera remained operating after the Sorek plants briefly returned overnight and then stopped when seawater turbidity rose again.

The cause is not sabotage or a cyberattack. The Water Authority says suspended material in the Mediterranean has clogged the plants’ filtration systems.

Researchers believe an unusual microalgae bloom, likely originating near Egypt’s Nile Delta, is behind the turbidity. Operators stopped production to avoid permanent damage to membranes that could take months to replace.

Homes remain the priority. Authorities say household drinking-water supply continues, though residents in Jerusalem, the Judean Hills, Maale Adumim, Beit Shemesh and parts of the Negev have been warned of possible low pressure or local outages. Public irrigation has been suspended. Sderot residents received notice that water for gardens has stopped.

Farmers get the bill. In the Nitzana area near the Egyptian border, about 20,000 dunams of vegetable crops are at risk. Growers say 24 hours without irrigation can cause irreversible damage during the growing season.

The Ramat Negev Regional Council has cut fresh-water supplies for agriculture, leaving farmers dependent on reclaimed water.

Israel built its water security around desalination. Then the Mediterranean delivered a reminder that even a high-tech water system still starts with seawater, filters and weather.

#Israel #Water #Desalination #Agriculture

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US-Iran War Flares Up Again 🪖


The US has launched new airstrikes on Iranian targets, prompting counter strikes by Tehran targeting American interests in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Iraq, fuelling concerns about a ⁠wider renewal of hostilities.

US Marine Corps base Camp Titin in Jordan was targeted for an “intense ballistic missile attack”, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) said early on Wednesday, according to Iranian news outlet Tasnim.

The Jordanian army said it intercepted 10 ballistic missiles fired from Iran, and did not confirm any injuries or hits on the US training camp located on the Gulf of Aqaba, near the borders with Israel and Saudi Arabia. Three other missiles landed in remote areas, it said.

Missile and drone attacks were also reported in Kuwait, where the army said it was responding to Iranian hostilities. Agence France-Presse reporters in Bahrain heard alert sirens for airborne attacks go off early on Wednesday. The IRGC also claimed it struck a US base in Erbil, Iraq.

US central command (CentCom) said it had completed a new wave of strikes that targeted the IRGC. It said the strikes were in response to attempted attacks on commercial shipping in the strait of Hormuz and against American service members.

The Iranian Red Crescent said four people, including a child, were killed and more than 50 were wounded when shrapnel from a US missile attack hit a home where a wedding celebration was taking place in the city of Kuhestak.

Asked if the US military had received any credible reports of civilian casualties, US CentCom spokesperson Captain Tim Hawkins said “the US military never targets civilians, unlike the IRGC”.

Iran’s state broadcaster reported explosions on Iran’s Qeshm Island, on the northern side of the strait, and state-linked news agency Nour ‌News reported explosions in the port city of Bandar Abbas.

Oil prices are ​already on the rise after an exchange of attacks by the US and Iran at the weekend, the first since July, and after reports that two tankers had been hit in the strait of Hormuz, the global oil supply waterway that Iran has effectively closed to shipping.

Tehran warned ⁠that it would prevent oil being exported from the Gulf, despite a threat by Trump to hit Iran “hard” in response to the Iranian strikes, and a warning from Scott Bessent, the US treasury secretary, that Washington was about to ⁠impose new sanctions.

The six-month conflict had shifted into an economic standoff before the weekend strikes, in which US forces attacked Iran’s Larak Island on Sunday and Iran responded by launching missiles at two US airbases in Jordan.

On Tuesday, Trump warned that if Iran retaliated against the US’s latest strikes, “they will be hit again at a much harder and higher level, but it will not be the biggest attack of them all, that is waiting in the wings and, when it is over, there will be very little left of the Islamic Republic of Iran”.

In its statement, the IRGC said that “in blind and desperate attacks”, the US had bombed several locations, including civilian areas. It described them as “attacks that tightened the blockade of the strait of Hormuz and strengthened the determination of the fighters to suppress the foreign forces interfering in the strait of Hormuz.”

Pezeshkian, Iran’s president, had said early on Tuesday ​that Tehran would reciprocate immediately if Washington honoured its commitments under a June memorandum of understanding that was intended to halt the conflict.

“I am stating clearly that if the US returns to its commitments under the ⁠memorandum of understanding, the Islamic Republic of Iran will immediately reciprocate,”

Pezeshkian said in the Kyrgyz capital, Bishkek, at ​a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, which includes Russia ​and China.

“If the enemy wants us not to export oil from the Persian Gulf, no one will be ​able to export oil,”

Mohammad Baqer QalibafIran’s parliament speaker was ​quoted as saying by Iranian media.

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Netanyahu’s Split Screen

Benjamin Netanyahu wants the far right to merge before the October election. He says every small party must unite or right-wing votes will be wasted below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold. His problem is that the people he needs to merge prefer their own logos.

Netanyahu has urged Itamar Ben Gvir, Bezalel Smotrich, Moshe Feiglin and former general Ofer Winter to consolidate. Ben Gvir rejected a joint list with Smotrich immediately and called the decision “final and complete.” Smotrich and Feiglin are still negotiating, while Winter’s new party is drawing voters from both Likud and Religious Zionism.

Polls explain the panic. One survey gave Winter six seats and pushed Smotrich below the threshold. Another showed a Smotrich-Feiglin alliance reaching seven seats while Winter fell out. Netanyahu is not preaching ideological unity. He is conducting electoral damage control with a calculator.

Tally Gotliv has become part of the rearrangement. Netanyahu’s associates publicly moved against her and fellow Likud lawmaker May Golan after reports they might leave for Ben Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit. Gotliv says she remains loyal to Likud and Netanyahu, but said she would “seriously consider” a strong offer from Ben Gvir.

Then she went on Kol Barama and said Netanyahu “stabbed me in the back.” A former Lod deputy mayor has petitioned Likud’s internal court to remove her, accusing her of threats against Netanyahu and harm to the party. Those allegations are now for the party tribunal to assess.

Netanyahu wants Likud to look moderate enough for the center. Ben Gvir wants the voters who think Gotliv is too moderate. The prime minister wants fewer parties. His coalition is auditioning for a remake.

#Israel #Likud #Netanyahu #Elections

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#trump #hollywood #voight

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Kazakhstan Will Receive Its First Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft ✈️🇰🇿


The Kazakhstan Air Force is scheduled to receive its first fifth generation fighter aircraft within two years, according to reports from multiple Kazakh and Russian sources, which will mark a major milestone in the fleet’s modernisation.

A number of sources have indicated that the orders for the Russian Su-57 fifth generation fighter have already been placed, following confirmation in 2025 that multiple countries have already ordered the new aircraft. The Air Force currently operates exclusively Soviet and Russian origin combat jets.

While the majority of sources have not confirmed the type of fifth generation fighter that will be procured, only three such aircraft are currently available for export worldwide, including the Chinese J-35, U.S. F-35, and Russian Su-57.

While F-35 sales are unlikely for political reasons, the J-35 has long been expected to be a leading competitor to Russian aircraft in Central Asia. China achieved its first major fighter sales to the region in the early 2020s, supplying JF-17 Block 3 fighters to Azerbaijan, and J-10C fighters to Uzbekistan, both to replace MiG-29 fighters inherited from the Soviet Union.

While not confirmed, the Su-57 is a likely option for Kazakhstan due to its close defence ties with Russia, and the type’s far higher combat potential than other Russian combat jets.

The Kazakhstan Air Defence Forces currently operate MiG-31 interceptors inherited from the Soviet Union, and subsequently modernised to the MiG-31BM standard in Russia in the 2010s.

The service also received Soviet Su-27 air superiority fighters from Russia in exchange for Tu-95MS bombers it had inherited from the Soviet era, and subsequently procured the Su-27’s enhanced derivative the Su-30SM which currently forms the backbone of its fleet.

The Su-57 is expected to replace the Su-27, and possibly later the MiG-31, in Kazakhstan Air Defence Forces service, providing a significant improvement to combat capabilities. A procurement would make Kazakhstan the second Soviet successor state to field fifth generation fighter aircraft after Russia, and the likely second foreign client for the Su-57 after Algeria.

The Su-57 is in many respects less sophisticated than the J-35 and F-35, but has a number of advantages including lower maintenance requirements, a much longer range, a far higher degree of combat testing, and access to several unique missile types.

#kazakhstan #generation #fighter #aircraft

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The $40 Trillion Tab

U.S. public debt passed $40 trillion for the first time on Aug. 18. By Aug. 31, Treasury’s daily ledger put the total at $40.175 trillion. About $32.4 trillion is held by investors, pension funds, banks and foreign creditors. Another $7.8 trillion is money the federal government owes to its own trust funds.

That works out to roughly $290,000 to $300,000 per U.S. household. But the real bill is not a hypothetical invoice in the mailbox. It is interest.

Federal net interest costs are on track to exceed $1 trillion this fiscal year, making debt service one of Washington’s largest budget items.

Both parties created this tab. Republicans cut taxes, expand defense and call the borrowing growth.

Democrats expand spending, defend programs and call the borrowing investment. Then each side discovers fiscal discipline when the other side holds the pen.

The United States can carry debt in its own currency because the dollar remains the world’s reserve asset. That privilege gives Washington room that Iran, Russia or Venezuela do not have. It does not turn every deficit into free money.

As rates rise, more tax revenue goes to bondholders instead of infrastructure, housing, research or industrial capacity.

The dangerous fantasy is that America must choose between rebuilding at home and acting abroad. A country that abandons allies does not automatically build factories. It may simply save less than expected, lose markets and spend more later when the crisis returns.

The problem is simpler. Washington borrows for tax cuts, wars, consumption and political theater, then calls the result leadership.

Forty trillion dollars is not proof that America is bankrupt. It is proof that every administration found a reason to send the bill to the next one.

#USA #Debt #Economy #Trump

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Xi’s Sanctions Waiting Room

Donald Trump tried to make Washington the only door to the global economy. Xi Jinping opened a second waiting room in Bishkek.

At the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, Xi hosted Vladimir Putin, Narendra Modi and Masoud Pezeshkian alongside leaders from a bloc that now includes 10 member states.

The New York Times called the gathering a display of Beijing’s ability to support U.S. adversaries in peacetime and during war.

Iran needs buyers, payment channels and political cover while U.S. sanctions squeeze its trade. Russia needs markets and technology that do not come with NATO conditions. India needs room to buy Russian oil and resist U.S. tariffs without becoming China’s client. China is the only country large enough to keep all three at the same table.

That does not make the SCO a united anti-American command. India distrusts China. Russia sells energy to China because it has fewer options. Iran wants Chinese protection but fears dependency. The club is held together less by friendship than by the price of access to Western systems.

Still, the direction matters. Putin called for more trade in national currencies and shared financial institutions.

Pezeshkian proposed an SCO bank, an export-insurance union and an energy consortium. Such plans will not end dollar dominance next week.

They can make sanctions slower, oil payments harder to trace and U.S. pressure more expensive.

China’s leverage does not come from winning every war. It comes from remaining useful when Washington turns trade, finance and technology into weapons.

Trump tells states to choose sides. Xi offers them a table, a market and a currency workaround. They may not trust Beijing. They still show up.

#China #SCO #Russia #Iran

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🌎🇨🇳 Xi’s Power Play: Building a New Global Order


As the leaders of China, Russia, India, Iran and other nations converged on Central Asia for a two-day summit beginning on Monday, one thing was clear from the outset.

Even as Trump tries to bend the world to revolve around Washington, Xi Jinping of China has his own powerful orbit.

The Chinese leader’s arrival in Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan, for a meeting of the 10-nation political and security grouping known as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization underscored Xi’s broad ability to sustain Washington’s foes, both in peacetime and in war.

The talks come against the backdrop of two wars that have pushed the globe into a period of intense geopolitical instability, suppressing economic growth and driving up inflation.

Those challenges were at the heart of discussions taking place simultaneously on the other side of the globe in Asheville, N.C., at a gathering of finance ministers from the Group of 20 countries.

The meeting in Bishkek, in contrast, was a showcase for the incredible leverage that the wars have given Xi.

No nation has been more critical to Russia and Iran in sustaining their economies and war efforts than China. Xi has undermined efforts by the United States and its allies to pressure Russia and Iran economically, employing Beijing’s vast geopolitical and economic clout as the world’s largest importer of crude oil and exporter of consumer goods.

Xi’s biggest rival, the United States, has been distracted by the war in Iran and has pulled some of its military forces from Asia and Europe. Last month, the Chinese leader was able to brush off threats by Trump that the United States would inflict an “economic D-Day” on countries that provided Tehran with a lifeline.

Trump once made similar threats about purchasers of Russian oil, but did not follow through with any actions against Beijing.

#trump #xi #beijing #russia

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The Blindness Campaign

The United States says it launched a new wave of strikes on Sept. 1 to blind Iran before Iran could blind the global economy.

CENTCOM says it hit Revolutionary Guards air-defense sites, radar systems, maritime facilities, mine-laying capabilities and communications sites.

The stated trigger was recent Iranian attempts to attack commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. personnel in the region. More than 50,000 American service members are now deployed across the Middle East.

The target list makes the strategy clear. Washington is not just hitting missile launchers. It is trying to degrade Iran’s ability to see, communicate, lay mines and rebuild its coastal pressure system.
The Pentagon wants Hormuz open without negotiating the conditions of passage with Tehran.

Iran’s response shows why this is not a clean operation. Tehran says it launched missiles and drones at U.S. sites in Jordan, Bahrain and Kuwait.

It also claims that a U.S. strike hit a wedding gathering in Sirik, killing five people including a child and wounding dozens. CENTCOM has not publicly addressed that allegation.

Two Saudi oil supertankers were hit by unidentified projectiles while sailing outbound through Hormuz on Monday night, according to shipping-data firms Marisks and Kpler. The incidents came within minutes of each other. No side has publicly established responsibility.

Washington calls it a limited response. Tehran calls it aggression. Commercial shipping calls it another reason to avoid the strait.

A mine does not need to sink a tanker to work. It only needs to make the next captain hesitate.

#Iran #Hormuz #USA #CENTCOM

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Four Countries, One Message

Iran answered U.S. strikes with missiles and drones aimed at American positions in Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait and Iraq’s Kurdistan Region. The targets were spread across four states because Tehran’s problem is not only the U.S. military. It is the regional network that hosts it.

Jordan gave the clearest account. Its air defenses engaged 13 Iranian ballistic missiles. Ten were intercepted and destroyed. Three landed in remote areas away from population centers. Jordan reported no casualties. Two U.S. officials told Reuters that initial assessments also found no American casualties.

The IRGC claimed a “heavy” missile strike on Camp Titin, a U.S. Marine facility near Aqaba, and said many Americans were killed.

It also claimed strikes on bases in Erbil, Bahrain and Kuwait, including the headquarters and residence of the U.S. commander at Kuwait’s Ali Al Salem Air Base.

Bahrain’s authorities said they intercepted and destroyed Iranian drones. Kuwait said it activated air defenses against Iranian drone and missile attacks. Air-raid sirens sounded in Bahrain. Neither government publicly confirmed major damage or casualties at U.S.-linked facilities.

Iran says any state that works with the U.S. military will face “more severe, broader and more destructive” responses.

That warning is designed to do more than hit bases. It tells Gulf capitals that an American security guarantee may also function as an Iranian target marker.

The Iranian barrage did not produce a verified U.S. casualty count or confirmed strategic damage.

It did produce what Tehran needed most. Four governments spent the night defending American bases inside their borders.

#Iran #USA #Jordan #Gulf

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🇮🇱 From The Apprentice to Jerusalem: How Jewish New York Helped Shape Trump

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To understand Trump’s relationship with Jewish America and Israel, it is tempting to begin with the White House — with the embassy in Jerusalem, Jared Kushner, the Abraham Accords, or Trump’s unusually close relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

But the story actually begins much earlier. It begins in New York, in the worlds of real estate, television, law and deal-making that shaped Trump long before he entered politics. And one of the most revealing places to start is television.

In 2004, Trump became the star of The Apprentice, the reality show that transformed him from a famous New York developer into a national celebrity.

The program did more than put Trump on television. It created a political persona before Trump was even a politician: the powerful businessman, the ruthless negotiator, the billionaire who supposedly knew how to recognize talent, punish failure and make decisions without hesitation. His signature phrase — “You’re fired” — became part of American popular culture.

The show was created by British television producer Mark Burnett, but its success depended on something Trump had already spent decades cultivating: his image as the ultimate New York deal-maker.

The Apprentice turned that image into a mass-market product. Millions of Americans who knew little about Trump’s actual business career suddenly knew his face, his voice and his mythology.

Years later, political analysts would point to the show as one of the most important pieces of infrastructure behind Trump’s political rise. Before he had a political movement, he had an audience. Before he had a campaign organization, he had a recognizable character.

Television had already done much of the work of introducing “Donald Trump” as a national political brand. There was also a revealing Jewish connection to the television chapter.

During negotiations over his Apprentice contract, Trump reportedly wondered whether he needed a Jewish agent because he believed a Jewish representative might be better at negotiating the deal.

The anecdote, reported by The New York Times and the Jewish Telegraphic Agency in 2016, is striking less as evidence of some hidden influence than as a window into Trump's own understanding of New York’s business culture.

Trump had spent his entire adult life in a city where Jewish lawyers, bankers, developers, agents, media executives and entrepreneurs were an important part of the professional networks surrounding real estate and entertainment. He understood that network as a source of power. But television was only one part of the story.

Perhaps the most consequential Jewish figure in Trump's early career was Roy Cohn.

Cohn was a powerful New York lawyer, political operator and one of the city's most controversial public figures. He had worked as a prosecutor in the Julius and Ethel Rosenberg case, became a close associate of Senator Joseph McCarthy, and eventually established himself as a formidable fixer in New York’s legal and political worlds.

Trump met Cohn in the 1970s, when the young real-estate developer was facing battles with New York authorities over alleged discriminatory practices in his apartment buildings.

Cohn became Trump's lawyer and, over the following years, much more than that. He became a mentor. The lessons Trump absorbed from Cohn were not primarily about Judaism or Israel. They were about power.

Cohn's philosophy was famously combative: never concede weakness, attack opponents aggressively, use the media, and turn legal or political pressure into a public relations battle. Trump adopted many of these habits and carried them with him for decades.

#trump #apprentice #jews #jerusalem #washington

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