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🇬🇧🏗 E1: A British Threat, an Israeli Colonial Reply

Britain says Israel’s E1 settlement project could destroy the two-state solution. Israel says Britain has no standing to lecture anyone about territory.

The immediate trigger was Israel’s publication of tenders for roughly 1,200 housing units in E1, the sensitive tract between Jerusalem and Maale Adumim.

The broader plan covers more than 3,400 units. Palestinians and European governments say construction there could split the West Bank from East Jerusalem and make a contiguous Palestinian state far harder to build.

Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband called the tender “unacceptable and destructive.” He said E1 would cut through “the heart of Palestine,” and warned that Britain would not accept the destruction of the two-state solution.

London summoned Israel’s chargé d’affaires and said it would announce a broader response in coming weeks, including targeted sanctions against people involved in settlement expansion.

Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar rejected what he called Miliband’s “patronising” tone.

“The Jewish people have the right to live throughout the Land of Israel, just as the British have the right to live in London and throughout the United Kingdom,” Sa’ar said.

He cited the 1917 Balfour Declaration, arguing that Britain had recognized the Jewish people’s historic right to reestablish a national home in the area, including E1.

Britain, Sa’ar said, still controls territories thousands of miles from its shores. It was therefore absurd, he argued, for London to tell Jews where they may live in what Israel describes as their historic homeland.

He also accused British policy of blaming Israel alone while ignoring Palestinian extremism, and said that approach had contributed to antisemitism and attacks on Britain’s Jewish community.

Britain treats E1 as occupied territory and a test of whether a Palestinian state remains geographically possible. Israel treats it as part of its historic homeland and cites the Balfour Declaration as evidence that Britain once accepted that claim.

London threatens sanctions. Jerusalem answers with the British Empire.

Neither side is discussing who will live between Maale Adumim and East Jerusalem once the arguments become concrete.

#Israel #Palestine #E1 #WestBank #Jerusalem #UK #EdMiliband #GideonSaar #Settlements #MiddleEast

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“Iran Will Hang Tough”


A top Iranian official said on Friday that his country “would hang tough and seek to dampen the effect of economic sanctions after the Trump administration” vowed to aggressively tighten its pressure campaign against Tehran.

“We must plan for the unjust sanctions so that we can overcome them,” the Iranian official, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who is the lead negotiator in talks with the United States, told a gathering of Iranian and Iraqi business representatives in Baghdad, according to a post on his social media channel.

He did not elaborate on how Iran might circumvent further sanctions, after Trump promised this week to hit the country with an “economic D-Day.”

Yet as Tehran braces for the potential for more conflict, Ghalibaf’s comment was one of the most direct acknowledgments from Tehran in recent days that sanctions were hurting and needed to be managed.

The United States has already imposed debilitating sanctions on Iran’s economy and leadership, and the Trump administration has previously imposed sanctions on foreign businesses and organizations that trade with Tehran. But Washington suggested this week that officials were preparing measures to target countries that buy Iranian oil.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who is expected to detail the new measures at a news conference on Monday, wrote on social media on Thursday evening, “Any remaining tie to Tehran will hasten a nation’s economic oblivion, whether that tie be purposefully constructed or willfully ignored.”

Iran has weathered decades of U.S. sanctions since the 1979 revolution that brought the Islamic republic to power, by trying to diversify its economy, developing smuggling routes, and finding new markets, especially for oil.

Pezeshkian of Iran said earlier this month that the number of trains entering the country from China had gone from one a week to three a day, and that Iran was also trying to increase trade through Azerbaijan and other countries in the region.

Davoud Rangi, the vice-chair of the import management committee of Tehran’s Chamber of Commerce, told an Iranian news outlet this month that border authorities had quickly become overloaded when Iran recently tried to bring more goods in overland from Turkey and Pakistan. The rail system could help funnel goods into Iran, he added, but only to a point.

“Every year, perhaps 400 to 500 ships carrying basic goods enter the country,” Rangi was quoted as saying by Eghtesad News, which focuses on the economy. Importing all those goods by land would require a “frightening number” of trucks, he added.

Since a cease-fire in June, the war has settled into an uneasy standoff with little sign of diplomatic progress. Iranian hard-liners argue in favor of maintaining an aggressive posture, whereas moderates, like Pezeshkian, say Iran should take advantage of its effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for energy exports, and reach a deal.

“It is better that we bring the war to an end now as we are in a position of power and dignity,” Pezeshkian told a gathering of doctors in Tehran on Friday, according to Iranian state media.

This week, the United Arab Emirates, a major trading hub for Iran, announced that it was halting all trade and financial transactions with Tehran.

Analysts say that the Emirates has been key to Iranian efforts to evade international sanctions, though Emirati officials deny that.

China, Iran’s largest trading partner, could be one of the countries most affected by U.S. penalties on importers of Iranian oil. For years, Beijing has defied Western sanctions by buying as much as 90 percent of Tehran’s oil exports, though that amount still represents a marginal share of China’s total oil imports, analysts say.

#ghalibaf #pezeshkian #hormuz #azerbaijan #trump

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🇮🇷🏳️ The Winner Wants to End It

Donald Trump summarized the campaign against Iran in one sentence: “We had no choice, and I would do it again a hundred times. They cannot have a nuclear weapon, and they will not have a nuclear weapon.”

He then described a country that, by his account, has already been dismantled. Iran’s navy is gone. Its air force is gone. Much of its leadership is gone. The United States is “essentially controlling” the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s missile and drone production, Trump said, is far below where it was five months ago. “Nobody knows who’s leading,” he added.

Trump’s version of victory still includes a request for more pressure. Tehran must surrender its nuclear ambitions, reopen Hormuz, and lose whatever economic channels remain.

Tehran’s version also ends in victory. It just wants the war over immediately.

President Masoud Pezeshkian said Iran should end the war “today,” while it remains in a position of “power and dignity.” The whole world, he said, recognizes Iran’s victory and sees the United States as responsible for illegal attacks on Iranian schools, hospitals, and infrastructure.

Pezeshkian also defended the now-collapsed Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, saying it had been unanimously approved by Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and contained no surrender or concession by Tehran. All the obligations, he said, fell on the other side.

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the parliamentary speaker, put the domestic condition more plainly: a country cannot sustain itself militarily if its people are hungry.

The difference between the victory speeches can be measured in dollars.

In early July, Iranian officials said $12 billion in frozen Iranian funds would be released after negotiations in Switzerland. On August 20, Central Bank Governor Abdolnaser Hemmati said not one dollar had been released.

Iran’s armed-forces chief, Ali Abdollahi, still promised a “crushing, punishing and devastating” response to any new threat, saying Iranian forces were prepared on land, at sea, in the air, in air defense, in space, and in cyberspace.

China offered Tehran diplomatic cover. Beijing said it opposes unilateral sanctions not authorized by the U.N. Security Council and argued that military action and economic pressure would only deepen the crisis. It called instead for a political settlement.

Washington, meanwhile, sanctioned 10 people it says operated a Hezbollah cash-transfer network. Treasury alleged the network used couriers on commercial flights between Iran, Turkey, the UAE, and Lebanon to move up to hundreds of millions of dollars outside formal banking channels.

Both governments claim victory. Both describe the other side as weaker. Both are calling for an end to the conflict on terms the other side has not accepted.

That is what a stalemate looks like when every capital has a microphone.

#Iran #Trump #USA #Pezeshkian #Hormuz #Sanctions #Hezbollah #China #MiddleEast

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🇸🇾🛣 Syria: The Fight Over a Land Bridge

Israel has told the Trump administration that the Abu al-Duhur strike was intended to deter a Turkish military buildup in Syria. U.S. and Israeli officials told Axios that Israel remains concerned Turkey could deploy advanced weapons systems and forces at Syrian bases. The willingness to strike is no longer hypothetical.

At least eight bombs hit Abu al-Duhur’s runways and several hangars. The airfield had been visited by a Turkish delegation reviewing rehabilitation work a day earlier. Syrian officials said the strikes caused damage but no casualties.

Then Damascus gave Israel a second reason to look at the base.

Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani said Syria is considering whether to join the Mecca Pact, a defense agreement involving Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. Damascus has not made a decision, he said, but described Turkey as a key partner in Syria’s reconstruction.

Turkey says it had no military delegation at Abu al-Duhur when Israel struck. Syria says it has no plan for a Turkish military base there. Israel says it acted to prevent one. The formal positions have barely moved since the runway was hit.

The Israeli argument is broader than one airfield. Turkish air-defense systems in Syria could constrain Israeli operations along the routes to Iran. Turkey could also support Syrian units tied to Turkish military intelligence near Israel’s border. In this view, rebuilding Syria’s armed forces is not neutral reconstruction. It could create a new Sunni military axis on Israel’s northern frontier.

That argument depends on treating Syria less as a sovereign state rebuilding its own military than as a corridor through which other governments extend their reach.

A retired Turkish special-forces commander, Zekai Aksakalli, gave the flavor of the Turkish response. He said Israel could not match Turkey’s capabilities. He recalled beginning his military career with little more than a rifle and old binoculars, then pointed to how far Turkey’s defense industry has advanced since then.

Reported Turkish artillery and vehicle movements in northern Syria do not, by themselves, threaten Israeli aircraft. They may indicate preparations for ground operations. But the concern in Jerusalem is what could follow: Turkish systems, Turkish training, Syrian units, and a military structure that could outlast the current crisis.

#Syria #Turkey #Israel #AbuAlDuhur #Erdogan #Damascus #MeccaPact #Pakistan #SaudiArabia #MiddleEast

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Saving Palestine Now


More than 100 French and British former diplomats have said Palestine is being erased in front of the world’s eyes and called for urgent action including trade and arms sales bans to press Israel to accept a Palestinian state.

An unprecedented joint letter dispenses with diplomatic language by accusing Israel of ethnic cleansing and warning that the world no longer sees Israel as a genuine democracy.

Arguing that Britain and France played a key role in the formation of the modern-day Middle East and noting that both countries took the step of recognising Palestine as a state in 2025, the diplomats contend that their countries now have a responsibility “to make common cause on the region’s fundamental fault line – equal rights for Israeli and Palestinians”.

The letter, addressed to the French president, Emmanuel Macron, and the British prime minister, Andy Burnham, has been signed by 52 French former diplomats and 50 British former ambassadors, many of whom served in the Middle East, in senior posts in Egypt, Iran, Bahrain, Israel, Syria, Turkey, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

The list of British diplomats include two former envoys to the UN, Jeremy Greenstock and Emyr Jones Parry, and a former Foreign Office director of the Middle East, Edward Chaplin.

The French signatories include Patrice Paoli, a former Middle East director at the French foreign ministry, and Stanislas de Laboulaye, a former consul general in Jerusalem.

The UK foreign secretary, Ed Miliband, described the tenders for 1,200 homes bisecting the West Bank as a destructive threat to the viability of a two-state solution and summoned the most senior Israeli diplomat currently in the UK, the chargée d’affaires, Daniela Grudsky Ekstein.

In response, Israel’s foreign minister, Gideon Sa’ar, vowed Israel would not remain passive, saying the “Jewish people have a right to live throughout Israel just as British people have a right to live throughout the UK”.

The former diplomats argue the overdue step of recognising Palestine “needs to be made real by urgent action to safeguard the Palestinian right to self-determination, as the Israeli government seeks to destroy any prospect of an independent Palestinian state, showing contempt for the law, the rulings of the international court of justice and countless UN security council resolutions”.

They write: “Our governments care about the security of the Israeli people, just as they are appalled by the suffering of the Palestinian people under occupation. Hamas committed heinous crimes on 7 October 2023, but nothing justifies Israel’s systematic policy of destruction of Gaza and its population. Mr Netanyahu’s assertion that Israel must live by the sword is morally wrong and counterproductive”.

It imperils Israel’s security and leaves no room for negotiation. As a result, the world no longer sees Israel as a genuine democracy – there is nothing democratic about depriving others of their rights and land.

“In Gaza, 2 million Palestinians are kettled into 30% of their devastated land, hungry, lacking medicine and housing. Over 1,200 Palestinians have been killed since the so-called ‘ceasefire’.

In East Jerusalem and the rest of the West Bank, Palestinian house demolitions and rampant settler violence – with the connivance of the Israeli army and police – amount to ethnic cleansing. Palestine is being erased before our eyes.

This policy of occupation and destruction extends to Lebanon – where many villages have been razed – and Syria. It is a stain on the conscience of humanity, requiring the UK and France to act.”

#paris #london #palestine #erased #save

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🏗⚖️ Governments Go After the Contractors

A group of Western governments has condemned Israel’s E1 construction tenders. The important part is not what they told Jerusalem. It is what they told the companies expected to bid.

Britain, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Canada, Norway, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Belgium, Spain, Austria and Greece signed the joint statement. The first tender covers 1,400 homes between Maale Adumim and Jerusalem. Israel’s broader E1 plan calls for thousands more.

Their argument is familiar. The governments said construction in E1 would cut the West Bank in two, break up the territorial contiguity needed for a future Palestinian state, and further undermine the prospects for a two-state solution. They said Israeli settlements in the West Bank violate international law and called on Israel to rescind the tender and halt settlement expansion.

The statement then addressed the bidders.

“Businesses should not consider bidding for construction tenders,” it said. The signatories warned of legal and reputational consequences, including the risk of complicity in serious violations of international law.

This is diplomacy addressed to chief financial officers: compliance reviews, litigation exposure, insurance questions, investor campaigns, and financing risk. The target is not a ministry in Jerusalem. It is a contractor deciding whether 1,234 homes are worth a court case, an investor campaign, or a bank that walks away.

Israel says E1 will connect Maale Adumim to Jerusalem. Its critics say the plan will break the West Bank’s territorial contiguity. The tenders are scheduled to close on October 19, eight days before Israel’s election.

The governments could not stop the project with a statement. So they sent the statement to the people who build it.

#E1 #Israel #Palestine #WestBank #Jerusalem #Settlements #InternationalLaw #UK #Europe #MiddleEast

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🔴⚖️ Red Notice Diplomacy

Turkey has asked Interpol to issue a Red Notice for Benjamin Netanyahu and other Israeli officials. The request follows arrest warrants issued in July by Istanbul’s 11th High Criminal Court over Israel’s interception of the Gaza-bound Global Sumud flotilla in international waters.

Turkish prosecutors accuse the defendants of genocide, crimes against humanity, torture, unlawful detention, property damage, aggravated robbery, and hijacking. The proceedings are taking place in absentia.

A Red Notice is not an international arrest warrant. It is a request circulated through Interpol asking national authorities to locate and provisionally arrest someone pending extradition or another legal process. Whether to act on it remains a decision for each country.

That distinction matters. Ankara has launched a legal process with international reach. It has not acquired the power to put Netanyahu in handcuffs outside Turkey.

Netanyahu’s office called Erdogan an “antisemitic dictator,” accused him of harboring Hamas, and said Turkey was trying to extend its aggression against Israel into Syria. Ankara says it is pursuing accountability for crimes committed against civilians. Jerusalem says the request is an attempt to intimidate Israeli leaders and soldiers.

The proposed Israeli response followed the same script: seek a Red Notice for Erdogan over Turkey’s support for Hamas and its alleged role in encouraging attacks on Israelis.

Interpol is meant to help police locate fugitives. Turkey and Israel are using it to announce that the other belongs in custody.

Neither leader is booking a flight to appear in the other’s court.

#Turkey #Israel #Netanyahu #Erdogan #Interpol #RedNotice #Gaza #InternationalLaw #MiddleEast

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🚔📊 Israel’s Top Party for Personal Security

A recent HaMadad survey, analyzed by Shmuel Rosner, placed Otzma Yehudit first among parties Israelis associate with fighting crime and improving personal security. The underlying crosstabs, sample details, field dates, and margin of error were not available in the material reviewed, so the finding should be treated as a reported poll result rather than a complete measurement of public opinion.

The party’s leader is National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, who has held the portfolio since December 2022.

Crime and violence remain a central problem, especially in Arab communities. The Abraham Initiatives has recorded 151 Arab citizens killed in crime- and violence-related incidents in Israel so far in 2026, according to figures cited in recent coverage.

Ben-Gvir can point to policies that are highly visible to his voters: looser gun-licensing rules, tougher prison conditions for Palestinian security detainees, and a campaign against unlicensed construction. His political advantage is the ability to sell public anxiety back to the people who feel it.

A separate and stronger claim is the demolition count.

Ben-Gvir announced this week that authorities had demolished their 10,000th “illegal structure” during his enforcement drive. The milestone was marked in Juarish, a neighborhood in Ramla. The ministry’s wording referred to structures across the country, a category that can include permanent buildings, shacks, caravans, tents, and agricultural enclosures.

In a response to criticism, Ben-Gvir said he had demolished 10,000 “houses” in the Negev in the past year and a half. The claim is broader than his ministry’s own announcement in two ways: it turns nationwide structures into homes, and relocates the entire count to the Negev.

Those are not interchangeable figures. The improvement in enforcement may be real. The political number is doing more work than the underlying category can support.

Ben-Gvir has also made political symbolism central to his public appeal: his past portrait of Baruch Goldstein, the noose imagery used by his circle, and his promotion of capital punishment for people convicted of terrorism. A death-penalty bill does not itself specify hanging, and the proposed execution facility is a separate policy initiative.

The poll returns us to the same question. Israelis may rank Otzma Yehudit highest on personal security not because crime has fallen under Ben-Gvir, but because he has made fear, punishment, and visible force the clearest product on offer.

#Israel #BenGvir #OtzmaYehudit #Crime #PersonalSecurity #Politics #Knesset #FarRight

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🇸🇾✈️ An Airfield Nobody Agrees On

Israel’s strike on Abu al-Duhur air base has produced a rare public clash between Israel’s defense minister and the Trump administration’s envoy for Syria.

Tom Barrack, the U.S. ambassador to Turkey and special envoy for Syria, said the intelligence Israel presented before the strike did not hold up. Israel raised concerns about possible Turkish movement at the base about six days earlier, he said. U.S. intelligence agencies checked and found that no such movement was taking place.

Barrack outlined other possibilities. Israel may have detected a threat no one else saw. Or it may have learned of a future Turkish plan to expand training at the site and treated it as a deployment already under way. He also raised a darker possibility: Israel may have been trying to provoke a Turkish response during an election period.

The Turkish military, Barrack said, could have scrambled its own aircraft after seeing Israeli planes approaching without knowing their target or purpose. Cooler heads in Ankara kept it from escalating.

Regional stability, apparently, depended on who in Turkey took the first phone call.

Barrack also disclosed that Turkey, Israel, and Syria coordinate every evening against ISIS. “As long as there is a vacuum,” he said, “ISIS is very aggressively trying to reconstitute itself.” The three governments coordinate against ISIS at night and publicly accuse one another of preparing for war by day.

He then said Israel still occupies the Golan Heights in violation of U.N. resolutions and international law. That position tracks the international legal consensus and U.N. Security Council Resolution 497, but it contradicts Trump’s 2019 recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the territory.

Israel’s response arrived on Saturday, the Jewish Sabbath, when the defense minister’s office does not usually issue lengthy political statements.

Israel Katz said the IDF had repeatedly recommended a strike based on “clear intelligence” about Turkish intentions at Abu al-Duhur. Israel, he said, warned Syria through senior channels, shared the information with U.S. officials, and struck only after Damascus failed to respond.

“Erdogan was caught with his hand in the cookie jar and was forced to back down,” Katz said. He called Barrack’s comments inaccurate and said they contradicted Trump’s position on the Golan.

Much of Katz’s statement was aimed at home. He accused Israel’s opposition and parts of the media of portraying the operation as political out of ignorance, a failure to understand Israel’s security interests, and a reflexive urge to attack the government.

Turkey’s presidency supplied the reverse accusation, calling Israeli statements cheap election tactics by a government trying to escape responsibility for war crimes.

The dispute over Abu al-Duhur now has three versions: Israel says it stopped a Turkish deployment; Washington says the intelligence was wrong; Turkey says there was nothing there to stop.

#Syria #Israel #Turkey #AbuAlDuhur #TomBarrack #IsraelKatz #Erdogan #GolanHeights #MiddleEast

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🌊🇺🇸 American Territory

Donald Trump explained U.S. policy in two sentences.

First: “We have total control of that whole area having to do with the Strait of Hormuz.” Iran, he said, wants a deal but refuses to make the right one.

Then: “I view the Strait of Hormuz as an American territory right now. It’s an American territory.”

The operational numbers are specific for an administration that has kept much of the operation vague. U.S. Central Command says its forces have redirected 68 commercial vessels, disabled three, and boarded two to enforce the naval blockade against Iran.

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the U.S. military helped move more than 15 million barrels of oil and petroleum products through Hormuz on Tuesday. Including pipeline exports, nearly 20 million barrels left the region.

The seven-day average moving through the strait has risen above 8 million barrels a day, he said. “Thanks to the U.S. Navy, oil is flowing through the Strait of Hormuz.”

Before the war, roughly 20 million barrels a day of crude, condensates, and petroleum products passed through Hormuz. What remains is a reduced flow, sustained by a full naval operation and a blockade.

Iran’s leverage has also changed shape. Tehran, which threatened to close the strait, now says it has authorized Iraqi tankers to pass through it. The country that once threatened to shut the artery is issuing permissions to its neighbors.

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s parliamentary speaker, says Tehran has received messages from neighboring countries about new “security arrangements and economic cooperation.” Translated, that means the region is working out how to manage the crisis around Iran without waiting for Iran.

A report by the Jerusalem Center for Foreign Affairs argues that pressure on Iran will fail unless Washington closes four routes: commercial links through Turkey, smuggling networks through Iraq, cryptocurrency channels, and front companies. The report’s premise is that these routes let the Revolutionary Guard and businesses linked to the regime protect themselves while shifting the cost onto ordinary Iranians.

Its recommendation is to close the escape routes and force powerful networks to compete over a shrinking pot. The report argues that this kind of internal struggle offers a more plausible route to political change than another war from outside.

#Iran #USA #Trump #Hormuz #Oil #CENTCOM #Sanctions #IRGC #MiddleEast

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⚠️ Iran Has Warned Its Neighbours Against Joining US


The new leader of Iran’s top security body has warned its neighbours against joining new US efforts to squeeze Tehran’s economy, and threatened US commercial interests in the region, as Trump doubled down on his fanciful view that the strait of Hormuz was a new US territory.

Mohsen Rezaei, the hardline new leader of Iran’s supreme national security council, told state television that Iran would target oil-shipping routes out the Gulf – alternatives to the strait of Hormuz – if its neighbours joined what he called the “economic war” waged by the US.

Those neighbours would be “considered an enemy” and “we will target their interests”, he said.

Rezaei was a commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) for most of the 1980-88 war with Iraq and was named this month in a series of senior appointments widely seen as hardening Tehran’s political and military stance.

His interview with broadcaster IRIB is his most extensive public statement since his appointment.

Rezaei also claimed the Islamic republic had more cards to play in the war, saying “we have not yet attacked any American economic interests”.

“So far, we have only targeted military bases, but if they want to impose economic sanctions on us, the United States has oil and economic companies around Iran and elsewhere, and we will strike them,” Rezai said in the interview, broadcast on Saturday.

Last week, Trump announced a new campaign to isolate Iran’s economy, threatening “tremendous economic consequences” on any country that helps or does business with Tehran, as the US president’s unpopular war drags toward the six-month mark without any significant sign of resolution.

Trump’s efforts to finish the war he started along with Israel on 28 February have foundered after a ceasefire agreement signed in June collapsed – leaving Iran in control of the strait of Hormuz, a waterway that was the conduit for one-fifth of the world’s oil supplies before the conflict.

One of Iran’s major trading partners, the United Arab Emirates, announced on Tuesday last week that it was suspending all trade and financial transactions with Tehran until further notice.

The US treasury has for months been carrying out Operation Economic Fury, aiming to cut off Iran’s funding with targeted sanctions, while a naval blockade in the strait of Hormuz has sought to block Iranian ports from exporting oil vital to keeping the country’s economy afloat.

On Saturday night, Trump again shared on his social media platform a map graphic showing the Gulf and describing the strait of Hormuz as a “new US territory”.

Rezaei said in his interview that discussions continued with cross-strait neighbour Oman over management of the waterway, and said fees would be imposed.

France's Macron and Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman are expected to discuss plans to develop alternative routes to the strait of Hormuz during the Saudi leader’s two-day visit to Paris that starts on Sunday, according to officials in the presidency who weren’t authorised to speak publicly.

France and Saudi Arabia have formed a taskforce on energy and logistics connections between the Middle East and Europe that is scheduled to meet at the ministerial level on Monday.

The officials said the work would focus on identifying the most strategic projects, securing financing and establishing roles for French companies.

#iran #join #american #trump #france

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🎈🟨 The Yellow Line and the Kites

The sequence in Deir al-Balah unfolded in fragments: an Israeli drone strike near the Palestinian Mental Health Association in al-Bassa; reports of casualties; then confirmation that one man was killed and another wounded when two missiles hit a home’s courtyard.

The dead man was Sharif Hussein al-Hasanat, 44. Israel identified him as a Hamas company commander in the Deir al-Balah battalion who had helped rebuild the group’s underground infrastructure and was planning attacks against Israeli troops and civilians. Palestinian medical sources identified him as the owner of the home that was hit.

The strike occurred beyond the Yellow Line, the ceasefire boundary separating Israeli-held areas from the rest of Gaza. The line has also moved westward since the ceasefire took effect, further restricting access to land inside the enclave.

Hamas has called on the ceasefire’s mediators and guarantors — including the Trump administration, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey — to press Israel over repeated strikes. The demand matters because disarmament is supposed to be the next step in the agreement: U.S. officials have discussed beginning it within 30 days, with an American general supervising the process.

The same weekend supplied material for competing ceasefire claims.

Givati troops shot a man who crossed the Yellow Line and approached their position in southern Gaza, the IDF said. Troops from the 99th Division later detained another alleged Hamas operative carrying a knife after he crossed the line in central Gaza.

This is a ceasefire in which killings and detentions are counted by the day.

On the Israeli side of the fence, the day’s threat came on paper and string.

Four kites crossed from Gaza and were found near Be’eri. The IDF said they contained nothing suspicious and posed no danger. Uri Epstein, head of the Sha’ar HaNegev Regional Council, said residents would not accept another assurance that “everything will be fine” after October 7. “The writing is already in the sky,” he said, demanding that the army act against every kite in real time.

In Gaza, anti-Hamas militias said they had captured several Hamas members in what they called a successful military operation in the north.

#Gaza #Israel #Hamas #YellowLine #Ceasefire #DeirAlBalah #Beeri #MiddleEast

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🇮🇶🇪🇬 Hamas Moves Between Baghdad and Washington

A Hamas delegation led by Osama Hamdan was reported to have met in Baghdad with Hadi al-Ameri, head of Iraq’s Badr Organization and a central figure in the country’s Iran-aligned political and militia network.

If confirmed, the meeting would underline a familiar fact: Hamas still operates through the regional relationships built with Iran and its partners. Baghdad is not Doha or Ankara. But it is part of the same political geography in which Hamas’s external leadership has sought money, protection, influence, and military support.

At the same time, Washington is dealing with Hamas through a very different channel.

On Sunday, Jared Kushner, President Trump’s envoy, met Khalil al-Hayya, Hamas’s overall leader, in El Alamein, Egypt. It was Kushner’s second meeting with al-Hayya after their October 2025 talks helped produce the ceasefire and hostage-release agreement. The meeting marked another break with Washington’s long-standing policy of refusing direct engagement with Hamas, which the United States designates as a terrorist organization.

Kushner was joined by Nickolay Mladenov and Tony Blair, senior envoys of the U.S.-backed Board of Peace.

The body is intended to oversee the Gaza roadmap, including a planned transfer of Gaza’s civilian administration to a Palestinian technocratic committee and a process for placing Hamas weapons under that committee’s control. Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey also sent senior diplomats.

The central dispute was not diplomatic etiquette. It was sequencing.

Hamas told Kushner it would begin handing over weapons only after Israel publicly committed to the plan’s terms. Israel has maintained that it will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed.

The American-backed framework asks each side to move first while promising that the other side eventually will.

Freddy Eytan, a former senior Israeli Foreign Ministry official and researcher at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign Affairs, criticized the meeting as a step toward legitimizing Hamas. In an opinion piece, he wrote: “How can Donald Trump authorize direct negotiations with a terrorist organization?”

He argued that Israel should “be uncompromising on security issues and obtain robust guarantees from the United States.” This is Eytan’s assessment, not an account from the negotiating room.

Hamas can speak with an Iran-aligned militia leader in Baghdad while its leadership negotiates with a U.S. envoy in Egypt.

The organization is not being asked to choose between those channels. It is being asked to surrender weapons while keeping both open.

#Hamas #Gaza #Iraq #Egypt #Kushner #Iran #Ceasefire #MiddleEast

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🇵🇸 “Palestine Exists,” Says Ra’am. The Denial Choir Begins.

Ra’am convened in Tayibe to select its Knesset slate and authorize party leader Mansour Abbas to reserve slots for possible recruits. Abbas opened with a statement designed to trip every Israeli coalition wire:

“The State of Palestine exists, and most of the world recognizes it, except for the United States and Israel. We want them to recognize it as well, and we are working to achieve peace, reconciliation and an end to the occupation and the conflict.”

The conference approved a list led by Abbas, followed by Walid Taha, Walid al-Hawashla, Iman Khatib-Yassin, and Yasser Hujeirat. It also authorized Abbas to reserve places on the ticket while talks continue over a possible move by former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz. Abbas said Segalovitz would be suited to serve as national security minister; Segalovitz has not formally joined Ra’am.

Then Israel’s political class began racing each other to reject the premise.

Gadi Eisenkot wrote: “There is no Palestinian state, and under a government we establish, no Palestinian state will be created.”

Benjamin Netanyahu seized on the same line. “As long as I am prime minister, there will be no Palestinian state controlled by Iran: not in Gaza, and not in Judea and Samaria. Period.” He then cast Abbas as proof of the danger posed by a prospective left-wing coalition with the Muslim Brotherhood.

The point is not that Abbas, Eisenkot, and Netanyahu agree on Palestinian statehood. They plainly do not. Abbas’s line became raw political material: Ra’am offered recognition; Eisenkot offered refusal; Netanyahu turned both into a campaign argument about coalition arithmetic.

The Joint List is watching from the Arab flank. Its chairman, Yousef Jabareen, says the reunited alliance expects more than 10 seats in the next election and claims Ra’am was invited to join but “was not serious.” Ra’am, meanwhile, is betting that Abbas’s route still runs through a future governing coalition.

In Israeli election politics, a Palestinian state can be a legal fact, a security threat, an impossible promise, and a coalition weapon — often inside a single news cycle.

#Israel #Palestine #Raam #MansourAbbas #Eisenkot #Netanyahu #Elections #Knesset

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🌊🇺🇸 Trump’s Hormuz Pageant

Donald Trump posted the same image again: the Strait of Hormuz circled on a map and labeled “NEW U.S. TERRITORY.” No treaty. No annexation. Just a presidential marker pen having a maritime episode on Truth Social. It was the second time in a week he had shared it.

Iran replied with a toy-block animation. This is the current contest over one of the world’s most consequential shipping chokepoints: a presidential graphic versus an animation.

Neither side should be taken at its word. Tehran calls the strait closed. Trump calls it American. The waterway remains legally international, and neither slogan answers the questions that matter: who can move cargo, how safely, and for how long.

Beneath the performance, some ships are moving.

The New York Post, citing UK Maritime Trade Operations data, reported that nearly 200 vessels crossed Hormuz last week, up from about 150 the week before and roughly 40 two weeks earlier. That is an increase of almost 400 percent from the low point — but still only about one-fifth of prewar traffic.

Oil firms from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates have reportedly hired tankers that turn off their transponders while using a U.S.-backed route near Oman. In other words, the Gulf’s oil is moving under American protection, provided it does not advertise its itinerary.

That gives Trump material for the show: more hulls in the strait, a corridor that functions, a map ready for the cameras. It does not make Hormuz American territory, and it does not turn a volatile, partially reopened passage into a dependable victory.

But Iran supplied the day’s accounting problem. Its central bank said the Oil Ministry had deposited $7.5 billion in oil-sale and foreign-exchange proceeds over the first four months of the Iranian year. It does make the word “blockade” less straightforward.

A blockade that still leaves billions reaching the central bank is not a slogan-proof reality. It is a contested system with leaks, exemptions, and very good accountants.

#Trump #Hormuz #Iran #Oil #Shipping #USA #MiddleEast

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🎟🇮🇷 Iran: Food Vouchers and Dreams From the River to the Sea

An Iranian lawmaker on parliament’s Economic Commission has called for food-assistance vouchers to rise with inflation, so poorer households can keep up.

On the same day, the hardline daily Kayhan attacked President Masoud Pezeshkian and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, saying their remarks projected weakness to the enemy.

The prescription was familiar: rely on military power, domestic capability, and national effort; do not yield to sanctions or pressure. A state debating whether its food vouchers cover inflation is instructed to trust its domestic capabilities.

Iran is also claiming an invitation to join the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, a new Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani security pact. Mehdi Rahimi, head of Iran’s parliamentary news agency, told Lebanon’s Al Mayadeen that Tehran had received an offer and was considering it.

None of the three founding governments has publicly confirmed the invitation. For now, Iran’s prospective place in the region’s new security architecture remains somewhere between a signal and a rumor.

That uncertainty has not limited Tehran’s imagination. While officials weigh a possible defense arrangement with neighboring states, an Iranian parliamentarian has reportedly demanded “all UAE territory” as compensation. Regional integration, apparently, begins with an invoice to a neighboring country.

In Tehran’s Revolution Square, effigies of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu were displayed amid chants of “Death to Israel” and “Death to America.” Quds Force commander Esmail Qaani said Israeli settlement expansion and military operations could not conceal Israel’s “strategic failures” since October 7. He added: “The Palestinian dream from the river to the sea is more alive than ever.”

The survival strategy is to outlast Trump’s remaining two years and hope Democrats return.

#Iran #Economy #Rial #Sanctions #Chile #MeccaAgreement #Trump #MiddleEast

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🇬🇧 Four Days of Darkness — Somewhere Britain Wasn’t Looking

Iran-linked hackers reportedly shut down a British power plant for four days in July. The Telegraph called it the first known case of hackers affiliated with Tehran successfully forcing a UK electricity facility offline — and the most consequential Iranian cyberattack of its kind reported so far.

The target was a small generator. The outage did not affect Britain’s national electricity supply, according to the UK government. No regulated operator reported an outage to the National Cyber Security Centre. Four days offline, and the British public had no reason to notice.

That does not make the intrusion irrelevant. It suggests that attackers linked to Iran may have moved from probing industrial systems to taking a British generating asset offline. But British authorities have not publicly confirmed the attribution, and officials have not identified the facility. The account relies on unnamed sources and concerns a single, limited incident.

The timing is part of the picture. In July, U.S. authorities warned that hackers had remotely accessed water and wastewater infrastructure in at least seven states, disrupting monitoring and control functions. Reporting later expanded the count to systems targeted in at least 12 states. Officials have treated Iran as a leading suspect, but have not formally attributed the attacks.

A government facing sanctions, a collapsing currency, and shrinking maritime leverage can still make itself expensive to ignore. Not by blacking out Britain.

Not yet. By showing that small, overlooked pieces of Western infrastructure can be reached — and that someone will have to spend money, manpower, and political attention to make sure the next target is not small.

#Iran #Cybersecurity #UK #CriticalInfrastructure #CyberAttack #USA #WaterSecurity

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🇵🇰🇮🇷 The General Going to Tehran

Iran announced that Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi spoke by phone with Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, about regional developments and “effective ways to strengthen peace, stability and security.” Tehran then said Munir would arrive Monday with an official delegation for meetings with senior Iranian officials.

Officially, this is bilateral cooperation and Pakistan’s effort to promote regional peace. In practice, Pakistan has become a channel both Washington and Tehran are willing to use when direct diplomacy stalls.

Reports say Munir will carry American messages and test whether talks between Tehran and Washington can be restarted. Pakistan has helped mediate contacts between the two sides, while Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian defended a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding on Sunday as the best available route out of the war. The document’s terms have not been made public.

The uniform matters.

Washington sends envoys, sanctions notices, and Trump’s maps of “NEW U.S. TERRITORY.” Pakistan sends the man who commands its army. Tehran receives him because the messenger arrives with access to Washington, ties to the region, and enough institutional weight to make a phone call look like a negotiation.

Lawrence Norman of The Wall Street Journal expects Washington and Tehran eventually to return to negotiations over a memorandum. His assessment is that Iran will demand more concessions at the outset and that Trump may agree. That is analysis, not a confirmed negotiating position.

If Norman is right, the political theater has an awkward ending. After the blockade rhetoric, new sanctions, the collapsing rial, and Trump’s annexation-style graphics, the United States could return to the table with Iran asking for more than before.

For now, Munir’s visit is not proof of a deal. It shows that when public language gets louder, diplomacy changes costume and enters through a side door.

#Iran #Pakistan #AsimMunir #Araghchi #Trump #Diplomacy #Sanctions #MiddleEast

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