China’s Yemen Assembly Line
The Houthis no longer need to wait for Iran to deliver a finished missile in a fishing boat.
China is supplying the parts catalog: dual-use electronics, industrial machines, engines and drone equipment.
All of that arrive as commercial cargo and can become missiles or attack drones after a short trip through a Yemeni workshop.
The old supply chain was Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, small boats and weapons shipments headed for Yemen’s coast.
Much of it was intercepted. The newer model is harder to stop because a CNC machine, a radio transmitter or a drone engine can plausibly be sold as civilian equipment until it lands in Houthi hands.
U.S. and UN-linked findings cited by reporting say Chinese firms have become the largest source of seized material bound for the group, with Chinese-origin dual-use goods accounting for more than 70% of prohibited or restricted items intercepted from January 2025 through April 2026.
That turns the Houthi arsenal into an import business. Iran supplies expertise, designs and political cover.
Chinese exporters supply the parts. Yemen supplies cheap labor and a coastline built for smuggling.
Every container that clears customs is another installment in a local missile factory.
On Wednesday, the Houthis said they shot down a Saudi ScanEagle surveillance drone above Saada. They described it as a Boeing-made aircraft worth about $11.25 million. Insitu, the ScanEagle maker, is a Boeing subsidiary.
A $11 million drone versus a warehouse of consumer-grade components: this is the Red Sea’s business model. The United States and Saudi Arabia sell the hardware. Iran and China sell the repair kit. The Houthis supply the demonstration.
#Houthis #China #Iran #RedSea
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The Houthis no longer need to wait for Iran to deliver a finished missile in a fishing boat.
China is supplying the parts catalog: dual-use electronics, industrial machines, engines and drone equipment.
All of that arrive as commercial cargo and can become missiles or attack drones after a short trip through a Yemeni workshop.
The old supply chain was Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, small boats and weapons shipments headed for Yemen’s coast.
Much of it was intercepted. The newer model is harder to stop because a CNC machine, a radio transmitter or a drone engine can plausibly be sold as civilian equipment until it lands in Houthi hands.
U.S. and UN-linked findings cited by reporting say Chinese firms have become the largest source of seized material bound for the group, with Chinese-origin dual-use goods accounting for more than 70% of prohibited or restricted items intercepted from January 2025 through April 2026.
That turns the Houthi arsenal into an import business. Iran supplies expertise, designs and political cover.
Chinese exporters supply the parts. Yemen supplies cheap labor and a coastline built for smuggling.
Every container that clears customs is another installment in a local missile factory.
On Wednesday, the Houthis said they shot down a Saudi ScanEagle surveillance drone above Saada. They described it as a Boeing-made aircraft worth about $11.25 million. Insitu, the ScanEagle maker, is a Boeing subsidiary.
A $11 million drone versus a warehouse of consumer-grade components: this is the Red Sea’s business model. The United States and Saudi Arabia sell the hardware. Iran and China sell the repair kit. The Houthis supply the demonstration.
#Houthis #China #Iran #RedSea
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The Two-Minute Security Briefing
Netanyahu warned that Israel’s enemies may attack before the election. Lapid received a 30-minute classified briefing, said the military, Shin Bet and police were ready, and told the public not to panic. Likud’s reply was that he posted the statement two minutes after leaving.
The briefing included Netanyahu, Lapid, the military secretary and the military secretary’s intelligence officer. The Prime Minister’s Office said the intelligence presentation gave detailed warnings of possible attacks on multiple fronts before the election. It offered no public details on the threats.
Before the meeting, Lapid and Bennett had focused on a different warning: the IDF’s manpower shortage. Bennett said Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir had raised 10 red flags over a shortage of 20,000 combat soldiers. Lapid later used the figure of 15,000 ultra-Orthodox men “missing” from the IDF. The numbers describe the same political failure from different ends: an army asked to prepare for several fronts while the coalition preserves mass draft exemptions.
Lapid said Israel’s security agencies were prepared for the vote and that “there is no reason to put the public into panic.” He added that security threats must be handled professionally and that “Israel’s security and IDF bases are not props for election campaign videos.”
Likud did not dispute Lapid’s claim about readiness. It disputed his typing speed. The party said he left at 23:39 and issued his statement at 23:41, so he either writes “at the speed of light” or prepared his response before the briefing.
Meanwhile, the government is set to extend the legal framework for up to 200,000 reserve call-ups through November 30, down from the 240,000 authorized through the end of September. The estimated cost is 6.6 billion shekels. Israel has enough reserve orders for a large war. It is still arguing over whether it has enough soldiers for one.
Netanyahu says there are threats. Lapid says the public is safe. The coalition keeps the draft exemptions. The only uncontested intelligence is that somebody wrote a press release before midnight.
#Israel #Netanyahu #Lapid #IDF
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Netanyahu warned that Israel’s enemies may attack before the election. Lapid received a 30-minute classified briefing, said the military, Shin Bet and police were ready, and told the public not to panic. Likud’s reply was that he posted the statement two minutes after leaving.
The briefing included Netanyahu, Lapid, the military secretary and the military secretary’s intelligence officer. The Prime Minister’s Office said the intelligence presentation gave detailed warnings of possible attacks on multiple fronts before the election. It offered no public details on the threats.
Before the meeting, Lapid and Bennett had focused on a different warning: the IDF’s manpower shortage. Bennett said Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir had raised 10 red flags over a shortage of 20,000 combat soldiers. Lapid later used the figure of 15,000 ultra-Orthodox men “missing” from the IDF. The numbers describe the same political failure from different ends: an army asked to prepare for several fronts while the coalition preserves mass draft exemptions.
Lapid said Israel’s security agencies were prepared for the vote and that “there is no reason to put the public into panic.” He added that security threats must be handled professionally and that “Israel’s security and IDF bases are not props for election campaign videos.”
Likud did not dispute Lapid’s claim about readiness. It disputed his typing speed. The party said he left at 23:39 and issued his statement at 23:41, so he either writes “at the speed of light” or prepared his response before the briefing.
Meanwhile, the government is set to extend the legal framework for up to 200,000 reserve call-ups through November 30, down from the 240,000 authorized through the end of September. The estimated cost is 6.6 billion shekels. Israel has enough reserve orders for a large war. It is still arguing over whether it has enough soldiers for one.
Netanyahu says there are threats. Lapid says the public is safe. The coalition keeps the draft exemptions. The only uncontested intelligence is that somebody wrote a press release before midnight.
#Israel #Netanyahu #Lapid #IDF
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Trump’s Russia Gamble: Prisoners for Sanctions Relief 🏛
The Trump administration is considering an unusual bargain with Moscow: Russia could release political prisoners, while Washington would respond by easing some economic sanctions. According to reporting in The Atlantic, the idea was presented to Trump by his envoy John Coale, who has pursued a similar approach with Belarus.
The proposal reflects a distinctly transactional style of diplomacy. Rather than waiting for a comprehensive settlement of the war in Ukraine, Washington could seek a limited agreement with the Kremlin that produces a visible humanitarian concession while opening the door to broader economic negotiations.
Coale has already used a comparable strategy with Belarus, where the release of political prisoners was linked to sanctions relief. The Russian proposal would take that model into a far more consequential arena.
If Moscow agreed to release prisoners in exchange for sanctions relief, the arrangement could become an opening for renewed U.S.-Russian economic contacts. Energy, commodities and other areas currently constrained by sanctions could eventually become part of a broader conversation, while American companies could once again examine opportunities in the Russian market.
For Trump, such a deal could offer a tangible diplomatic achievement even while the larger Russia-Ukraine conflict remains unresolved.
But the proposal carries major political risks. Ukraine has consistently opposed sanctions relief for Russia while the war continues.
Zelensky has argued that sanctions should remain in place until Moscow ends its aggression. Any unilateral American move to ease restrictions could therefore create another serious dispute between Washington and Kyiv.
European allies and some members of Congress could also object to separating sanctions relief from a broader settlement of the war. The question is particularly sensitive because economic pressure remains one of the principal tools available to the United States and its allies.
The plan is still at an early stage. There is no final agreement with Moscow, and it remains unclear which prisoners could be released, what sanctions might be lifted, or what conditions Washington would impose.
The economic dimension is equally significant. Jared Kushner has reportedly discussed with Russian officials the business opportunities that could emerge after a potential peace agreement, including the possibility of renewed American-Russian commercial cooperation.
That points to a broader vision of diplomacy: not simply ending the fighting, but rebuilding economic ties that were severed or sharply restricted after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
For Moscow, sanctions relief would provide an immediate economic incentive. For Washington, the release of political prisoners could offer a concrete humanitarian result. For Trump, a deal could be presented as evidence that direct negotiation and transactional diplomacy can produce concessions from the Kremlin.
But the central obstacle remains the war itself. A prisoner-for-sanctions arrangement would not resolve the territorial, security and political disputes between Russia and Ukraine. It would be a limited bargain, not a peace settlement.
For now, Washington appears to be exploring a radically different approach to Moscow — one based on immediate exchanges, concrete concessions and the promise of larger economic opportunities.
Whether the Kremlin would accept such a bargain remains uncertain. But if the idea moves forward, it could become an important test of Trump’s strategy toward Russia and a new source of tension between Washington, Kyiv and its European allies.
#Trump #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions
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The Trump administration is considering an unusual bargain with Moscow: Russia could release political prisoners, while Washington would respond by easing some economic sanctions. According to reporting in The Atlantic, the idea was presented to Trump by his envoy John Coale, who has pursued a similar approach with Belarus.
The proposal reflects a distinctly transactional style of diplomacy. Rather than waiting for a comprehensive settlement of the war in Ukraine, Washington could seek a limited agreement with the Kremlin that produces a visible humanitarian concession while opening the door to broader economic negotiations.
Coale has already used a comparable strategy with Belarus, where the release of political prisoners was linked to sanctions relief. The Russian proposal would take that model into a far more consequential arena.
If Moscow agreed to release prisoners in exchange for sanctions relief, the arrangement could become an opening for renewed U.S.-Russian economic contacts. Energy, commodities and other areas currently constrained by sanctions could eventually become part of a broader conversation, while American companies could once again examine opportunities in the Russian market.
For Trump, such a deal could offer a tangible diplomatic achievement even while the larger Russia-Ukraine conflict remains unresolved.
But the proposal carries major political risks. Ukraine has consistently opposed sanctions relief for Russia while the war continues.
Zelensky has argued that sanctions should remain in place until Moscow ends its aggression. Any unilateral American move to ease restrictions could therefore create another serious dispute between Washington and Kyiv.
European allies and some members of Congress could also object to separating sanctions relief from a broader settlement of the war. The question is particularly sensitive because economic pressure remains one of the principal tools available to the United States and its allies.
The plan is still at an early stage. There is no final agreement with Moscow, and it remains unclear which prisoners could be released, what sanctions might be lifted, or what conditions Washington would impose.
The economic dimension is equally significant. Jared Kushner has reportedly discussed with Russian officials the business opportunities that could emerge after a potential peace agreement, including the possibility of renewed American-Russian commercial cooperation.
That points to a broader vision of diplomacy: not simply ending the fighting, but rebuilding economic ties that were severed or sharply restricted after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
For Moscow, sanctions relief would provide an immediate economic incentive. For Washington, the release of political prisoners could offer a concrete humanitarian result. For Trump, a deal could be presented as evidence that direct negotiation and transactional diplomacy can produce concessions from the Kremlin.
But the central obstacle remains the war itself. A prisoner-for-sanctions arrangement would not resolve the territorial, security and political disputes between Russia and Ukraine. It would be a limited bargain, not a peace settlement.
For now, Washington appears to be exploring a radically different approach to Moscow — one based on immediate exchanges, concrete concessions and the promise of larger economic opportunities.
Whether the Kremlin would accept such a bargain remains uncertain. But if the idea moves forward, it could become an important test of Trump’s strategy toward Russia and a new source of tension between Washington, Kyiv and its European allies.
#Trump #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions
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🪖💲Washington Cashes Egypt’s Iran War Credit
Secretary of State Marco Rubio waived human-rights conditions on $320 million in U.S. military aid to Egypt, citing Cairo’s “helpful role” after the launch of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
The State Department said the funds are necessary for counterterrorism, border security, nonproliferation, or other U.S. national-security interests.
Rubio’s signed justification said the waiver was essential to the U.S.-Egypt relationship, but did not specify what Egypt had done to earn it.
Egypt receives roughly $1.3 billion in U.S. military assistance annually.
Human-rights conditions are a bargaining chip, not a principle. Cairo became useful in a regional war, so Washington removed the price of its domestic repression.
@Burning_Babylon
#Egypt #UnitedStates #Iran #Rubio #BabylonBurning
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio waived human-rights conditions on $320 million in U.S. military aid to Egypt, citing Cairo’s “helpful role” after the launch of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
The State Department said the funds are necessary for counterterrorism, border security, nonproliferation, or other U.S. national-security interests.
Rubio’s signed justification said the waiver was essential to the U.S.-Egypt relationship, but did not specify what Egypt had done to earn it.
Egypt receives roughly $1.3 billion in U.S. military assistance annually.
Human-rights conditions are a bargaining chip, not a principle. Cairo became useful in a regional war, so Washington removed the price of its domestic repression.
@Burning_Babylon
#Egypt #UnitedStates #Iran #Rubio #BabylonBurning
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Turkey’s Export Model: Turn Allies Into Fronts
Azerbaijan has already shown where its priorities sit when Israel’s interests collide with Turkey’s.
When Israel’s government decided to recognize the Armenian genocide in June, Baku condemned the decision as a “distortion of historical facts,” demanded that Jerusalem reverse it and adopted Ankara’s line almost word for word.
The country Israel treated as a strategic partner chose Turkey’s national myth over Israel’s political decision.
For years, Israeli diplomats had cited Azerbaijan’s sensitivities as a reason to avoid recognition. Then Jerusalem signaled it was ready to cross that line, and Baku did not merely complain.
It reportedly pushed to curb further Knesset action, proving that the Turkish veto can now travel through Israeli-Azerbaijani relations without Turkish diplomats entering the room.
Israel knows this story. Before 1979, Iran was one of Israel’s closest regional partners: intelligence cooperation, arms ties, oil and a shared interest in containing Arab nationalist states. The Islamic Revolution converted a strategic partner into Israel’s central regional enemy.
Turkey followed the same trajectory. It was the first Muslim-majority state to recognize Israel in 1949 and developed deep defense, intelligence and commercial ties with Jerusalem. Under Erdoğan, those ties collapsed into open hostility over Gaza, Syria and regional power. Turkey’s leadership now treats Israel as a source of regional disorder.
Israel’s historical gift is finding the region’s most strategically useful non-Arab partner and discovering, a generation later, that it has acquired a new ideology, a new map and a reason to treat Israel as the enemy.
Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler brought Turkish, Azerbaijani and Uzbek forces together for joint exercises in Azerbaijan and called for Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to join future drills.
Ankara is drawing the Turkic states into a military bloc of its own.Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler brought Turkish, Azerbaijani and Uzbek forces together for joint operations in Azerbaijan, and called for Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to join future drills.
The project creates common doctrine, common officers and a political hierarchy in which Turkey supplies the strategic vocabulary.
Iran’s old resistance axis was built around militias that advertised their hatred of Israel. Turkey’s emerging axis works through governments, transport corridors, military exercises and historical vetoes.
It is quieter because it does not need a masked spokesman. It has ministries.
Azerbaijan is not yet Israel’s enemy, and its extensive relations with Israel still matter. But Ankara is changing Baku from Israel’s strategic depth into Turkey’s forward operating environment.
Israel watched Iran and Turkey travel from partnership to hostility.
#Turkey #Azerbaijan #Israel #Armenia
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Azerbaijan has already shown where its priorities sit when Israel’s interests collide with Turkey’s.
When Israel’s government decided to recognize the Armenian genocide in June, Baku condemned the decision as a “distortion of historical facts,” demanded that Jerusalem reverse it and adopted Ankara’s line almost word for word.
The country Israel treated as a strategic partner chose Turkey’s national myth over Israel’s political decision.
For years, Israeli diplomats had cited Azerbaijan’s sensitivities as a reason to avoid recognition. Then Jerusalem signaled it was ready to cross that line, and Baku did not merely complain.
It reportedly pushed to curb further Knesset action, proving that the Turkish veto can now travel through Israeli-Azerbaijani relations without Turkish diplomats entering the room.
Israel knows this story. Before 1979, Iran was one of Israel’s closest regional partners: intelligence cooperation, arms ties, oil and a shared interest in containing Arab nationalist states. The Islamic Revolution converted a strategic partner into Israel’s central regional enemy.
Turkey followed the same trajectory. It was the first Muslim-majority state to recognize Israel in 1949 and developed deep defense, intelligence and commercial ties with Jerusalem. Under Erdoğan, those ties collapsed into open hostility over Gaza, Syria and regional power. Turkey’s leadership now treats Israel as a source of regional disorder.
Israel’s historical gift is finding the region’s most strategically useful non-Arab partner and discovering, a generation later, that it has acquired a new ideology, a new map and a reason to treat Israel as the enemy.
Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler brought Turkish, Azerbaijani and Uzbek forces together for joint exercises in Azerbaijan and called for Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to join future drills.
Ankara is drawing the Turkic states into a military bloc of its own.Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler brought Turkish, Azerbaijani and Uzbek forces together for joint operations in Azerbaijan, and called for Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to join future drills.
The project creates common doctrine, common officers and a political hierarchy in which Turkey supplies the strategic vocabulary.
Iran’s old resistance axis was built around militias that advertised their hatred of Israel. Turkey’s emerging axis works through governments, transport corridors, military exercises and historical vetoes.
It is quieter because it does not need a masked spokesman. It has ministries.
Azerbaijan is not yet Israel’s enemy, and its extensive relations with Israel still matter. But Ankara is changing Baku from Israel’s strategic depth into Turkey’s forward operating environment.
Israel watched Iran and Turkey travel from partnership to hostility.
#Turkey #Azerbaijan #Israel #Armenia
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The Warnings Department
Benjamin Netanyahu told CBS he did not ignore warnings before October 7 because he never received them.
Donald Trump told Time he did not believe reports that Egypt and the UAE warned Netanyahu, reasoning that Netanyahu would have acted if he had known.
That same day, Israel’s Supreme Court allowed the name of the Gaza Division’s intelligence officer on October 7 to be published: Lt. Col. Aryeh Amidror, son of retired Maj. Gen. Yaakov Amidror, a former national security adviser.
Amidror had fought both the end of his career service and publication of his identity while the IDF moved to dismiss him over alleged professional failures.
Supreme Court President Isaac Amit found no remaining security reason to preserve the gag order.
The name had circulated online, the public interest was clear, and even Amidror’s own position suggested the restriction might expire within months.
The official chain now looks almost elegant. Foreign leaders may have warned Netanyahu. Netanyahu says no warning reached him. Trump says he believes Netanyahu.
A military intelligence officer who allegedly rejected a detailed Hamas raid scenario has spent months litigating whether Israel may say who he is.
October 7 did not lack warnings. It lacked a department willing to own them.
#Israel #Netanyahu #October7 #Intelligence
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Benjamin Netanyahu told CBS he did not ignore warnings before October 7 because he never received them.
Donald Trump told Time he did not believe reports that Egypt and the UAE warned Netanyahu, reasoning that Netanyahu would have acted if he had known.
That same day, Israel’s Supreme Court allowed the name of the Gaza Division’s intelligence officer on October 7 to be published: Lt. Col. Aryeh Amidror, son of retired Maj. Gen. Yaakov Amidror, a former national security adviser.
Amidror had fought both the end of his career service and publication of his identity while the IDF moved to dismiss him over alleged professional failures.
Supreme Court President Isaac Amit found no remaining security reason to preserve the gag order.
The name had circulated online, the public interest was clear, and even Amidror’s own position suggested the restriction might expire within months.
The official chain now looks almost elegant. Foreign leaders may have warned Netanyahu. Netanyahu says no warning reached him. Trump says he believes Netanyahu.
A military intelligence officer who allegedly rejected a detailed Hamas raid scenario has spent months litigating whether Israel may say who he is.
October 7 did not lack warnings. It lacked a department willing to own them.
#Israel #Netanyahu #October7 #Intelligence
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💲🎚The Proxy War Graduates
Marco Rubio already called Ukraine a “proxy war between nuclear powers.”
Today Vladimir Putin supplied the next chapter: he told the Valdai Discussion Club that international conflicts are highly likely to continue, blamed the upheaval on the decline of Western hegemony, and warned the West against escalation.
He also said Russia would use “all weapons at [its] disposal” if attacked.
This is the logic of a proxy war after it has run too long. Washington says it is helping Ukraine defend itself. Moscow says it is fighting the West through Ukraine.
Both states preserve the line that keeps their own soldiers from meeting openly, while Ukraine remains the place where the line is paid for in bodies and ruins.
Putin’s threat is not a peace proposal. It is a demand that NATO stay outside the ring while Russia continues fighting inside it. The Kremlin’s promise to reach for its entire arsenal if Russia is attacked gives the arrangement its nuclear perimeter.
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico recently described the same machine more crudely, calling the Western effort to defeat Russia through Ukraine a failed strategy and warning that some Western politicians want a direct NATO-Russia confrontation.
Rubio called it a proxy war. Putin calls it Western hegemony.
Fico calls it an attempt to destroy Russia. Everyone has a phrase. Ukraine has the cemetery.
#Ukraine #Russia #Putin #NATO
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Marco Rubio already called Ukraine a “proxy war between nuclear powers.”
Today Vladimir Putin supplied the next chapter: he told the Valdai Discussion Club that international conflicts are highly likely to continue, blamed the upheaval on the decline of Western hegemony, and warned the West against escalation.
He also said Russia would use “all weapons at [its] disposal” if attacked.
This is the logic of a proxy war after it has run too long. Washington says it is helping Ukraine defend itself. Moscow says it is fighting the West through Ukraine.
Both states preserve the line that keeps their own soldiers from meeting openly, while Ukraine remains the place where the line is paid for in bodies and ruins.
Putin’s threat is not a peace proposal. It is a demand that NATO stay outside the ring while Russia continues fighting inside it. The Kremlin’s promise to reach for its entire arsenal if Russia is attacked gives the arrangement its nuclear perimeter.
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico recently described the same machine more crudely, calling the Western effort to defeat Russia through Ukraine a failed strategy and warning that some Western politicians want a direct NATO-Russia confrontation.
Rubio called it a proxy war. Putin calls it Western hegemony.
Fico calls it an attempt to destroy Russia. Everyone has a phrase. Ukraine has the cemetery.
#Ukraine #Russia #Putin #NATO
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Meridian: The War Chatbot Cabinet
Pete Hegseth has launched Project Meridian, a 120-day Pentagon exercise in designing future wars. Its co-leads are Elon Musk, Anduril founder Palmer Luckey and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.
The task is to identify the domains America must “conquer” and the weapons it must field, from underground battlefields to somewhere beyond the Moon.
The Pentagon has assembled a billionaire who owns rockets, a billionaire who sells autonomous weapons, and a retired politician to forecast the future of war.
Musk arrives at the Pentagon with a special credential: according to Time, Trump spent hours questioning Musk’s Grok chatbot about his own presidency and legacy. While considering the capture of Nicolás Maduro, Trump asked Grok how Venezuelans would react.
Grok answered that many would celebrate the fall of an unpopular dictator. Trump saw celebrations after Maduro’s capture and decided the chatbot was “genius.”
A military superpower is now treating a chatbot’s regime-change mood board as a presidential reference desk.
Google released Gemini 4 Argon, a frontier model that can autonomously find, verify and patch critical software vulnerabilities.
Google is initially limiting access to vetted cybersecurity specialists because the model’s abilities could also help attackers.
Argon is safe enough to defend critical networks, and dangerous enough that Google will not hand it to the public. That is less a product launch than a classified warning label.
The Pentagon wants to map future war. Trump asks Grok whether a foreign public will applaud a captured president. Google locks its strongest cyber model behind a trusted-defenders gate because it could turn digital locks into open doors.
The machines are learning to break into systems. The humans are learning to outsource judgment.
#Pentagon #AI #Trump #Grok
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Pete Hegseth has launched Project Meridian, a 120-day Pentagon exercise in designing future wars. Its co-leads are Elon Musk, Anduril founder Palmer Luckey and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.
The task is to identify the domains America must “conquer” and the weapons it must field, from underground battlefields to somewhere beyond the Moon.
The Pentagon has assembled a billionaire who owns rockets, a billionaire who sells autonomous weapons, and a retired politician to forecast the future of war.
Musk arrives at the Pentagon with a special credential: according to Time, Trump spent hours questioning Musk’s Grok chatbot about his own presidency and legacy. While considering the capture of Nicolás Maduro, Trump asked Grok how Venezuelans would react.
Grok answered that many would celebrate the fall of an unpopular dictator. Trump saw celebrations after Maduro’s capture and decided the chatbot was “genius.”
A military superpower is now treating a chatbot’s regime-change mood board as a presidential reference desk.
Google released Gemini 4 Argon, a frontier model that can autonomously find, verify and patch critical software vulnerabilities.
Google is initially limiting access to vetted cybersecurity specialists because the model’s abilities could also help attackers.
Argon is safe enough to defend critical networks, and dangerous enough that Google will not hand it to the public. That is less a product launch than a classified warning label.
The Pentagon wants to map future war. Trump asks Grok whether a foreign public will applaud a captured president. Google locks its strongest cyber model behind a trusted-defenders gate because it could turn digital locks into open doors.
The machines are learning to break into systems. The humans are learning to outsource judgment.
#Pentagon #AI #Trump #Grok
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🚀Iranian Footprints, By Rumor
Donald Trump was asked whether Iran was tied to the Flydubai co-pilot who allegedly stabbed the captain and tried to crash a Dubai-to-Tel Aviv flight.
Trump said.
Asked about retaliation, he replied:
The president supplied no public evidence. Netanyahu had said earlier that it was too early to establish Iranian involvement.
The investigation is still trying to determine the co-pilot’s motive, contacts and whether the cockpit attack was directed by anyone beyond the man in the seat.
That creates the usual Middle East evidence ladder. A pilot attacks another pilot. The plane sends the hijack code. A Saudi airport receives the aircraft. Israel, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Washington begin comparing intelligence.
Before the investigators complete the first version of the file, the White House has placed Iran under an implied retaliatory deadline.
Trump’s phrase is more than an accusation. It is a diplomatic fuse. If evidence later identifies an Iranian chain of command, Washington already has its warning line.
If it does not, the public has still spent a day watching the United States threaten a country that has not been formally tied to the attack.
The co-pilot may prove to be an Iranian operative. He may prove to be a lone attacker.
Trump has decided the escalation script should be written before the investigation finishes.
#Iran #Trump #Flydubai #Israel
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Donald Trump was asked whether Iran was tied to the Flydubai co-pilot who allegedly stabbed the captain and tried to crash a Dubai-to-Tel Aviv flight.
“We’re working on it right now,”
Trump said.
“I would say the answer, based on what I’m hearing, is yes, but we’re working on it right now.”
Asked about retaliation, he replied:
“They’ll be hit, very hard, don’t worry.”
The president supplied no public evidence. Netanyahu had said earlier that it was too early to establish Iranian involvement.
The investigation is still trying to determine the co-pilot’s motive, contacts and whether the cockpit attack was directed by anyone beyond the man in the seat.
That creates the usual Middle East evidence ladder. A pilot attacks another pilot. The plane sends the hijack code. A Saudi airport receives the aircraft. Israel, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Washington begin comparing intelligence.
Before the investigators complete the first version of the file, the White House has placed Iran under an implied retaliatory deadline.
Trump’s phrase is more than an accusation. It is a diplomatic fuse. If evidence later identifies an Iranian chain of command, Washington already has its warning line.
If it does not, the public has still spent a day watching the United States threaten a country that has not been formally tied to the attack.
The co-pilot may prove to be an Iranian operative. He may prove to be a lone attacker.
Trump has decided the escalation script should be written before the investigation finishes.
#Iran #Trump #Flydubai #Israel
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Ukraine Warns of Possible New Russian Campaign Against Energy Infrastructure ⚠️
Ukraine has presented European partners with documents that it says contain intercepted Russian plans for attacks on the country’s energy system during the coming winter.
According to Ukrainian officials, the material describes a potential campaign aimed at critical infrastructure serving major Ukrainian cities. The facilities identified in the documents include parts of the electricity network as well as systems connected to heating and water supplies.
The information has emerged as Kyiv and its European allies prepare for another winter in which energy infrastructure is expected to remain a major security concern. Russia has repeatedly attacked Ukrainian power facilities during the war, while Ukraine has sought to strengthen air defenses, repair damaged infrastructure and secure alternative sources of electricity.
The documents presented by Kyiv have not been independently authenticated in public. Their contents therefore represent Ukrainian assessments of Russian planning rather than independently established evidence of what Moscow will ultimately do.
Still, Ukrainian officials regard the material as significant because of the potential scale of the infrastructure involved. Damage to major power facilities can have consequences beyond the immediate loss of electricity. In large cities, interruptions to power can affect district heating systems, water distribution, communications and other essential services.
The timing is also important. Ukraine enters the colder months with an energy system that has already sustained extensive damage from repeated Russian attacks. Engineers and utility companies have spent much of the year repairing substations, generating facilities and transmission networks while attempting to create additional capacity and emergency reserves.
The country has also worked with European governments to reduce the impact of possible disruptions. Electricity imports, backup generation and additional air-defense equipment are among the measures being considered or expanded as Ukraine prepares for another period of heavy demand.
The latest warning comes against a broader backdrop of continued Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure. Moscow has previously said that its strikes are directed at military and energy-related targets, while Ukrainian officials have repeatedly accused Russia of deliberately attacking infrastructure essential to civilian life.
The distinction between military objectives and civilian consequences is particularly important in the energy sector. A strike on a power facility can affect hospitals, transportation, water systems and residential buildings even when the facility itself is described as a military or strategic target.
European governments therefore face the task of assessing the credibility of the Ukrainian intelligence while preparing for scenarios that could place additional pressure on Ukraine's power system.
The documents may provide indications of Russian planning, but they do not by themselves establish whether every element of the reported plan will be carried out.
For Ukraine, the immediate challenge is practical: maintaining electricity, heating and water supplies while protecting infrastructure that is difficult to replace quickly. For its European partners, the issue also involves determining how much additional assistance can be provided before the winter demand period begins.
The coming months will show whether the reported plans translate into a broader campaign against Ukraine's energy network. For now, Ukrainian officials are treating the documents as a warning and are urging partners to prepare for further attacks on critical infrastructure.
#Ukraine #Russia #EnergySecurity #WarInUkraine
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Ukraine has presented European partners with documents that it says contain intercepted Russian plans for attacks on the country’s energy system during the coming winter.
According to Ukrainian officials, the material describes a potential campaign aimed at critical infrastructure serving major Ukrainian cities. The facilities identified in the documents include parts of the electricity network as well as systems connected to heating and water supplies.
The information has emerged as Kyiv and its European allies prepare for another winter in which energy infrastructure is expected to remain a major security concern. Russia has repeatedly attacked Ukrainian power facilities during the war, while Ukraine has sought to strengthen air defenses, repair damaged infrastructure and secure alternative sources of electricity.
The documents presented by Kyiv have not been independently authenticated in public. Their contents therefore represent Ukrainian assessments of Russian planning rather than independently established evidence of what Moscow will ultimately do.
Still, Ukrainian officials regard the material as significant because of the potential scale of the infrastructure involved. Damage to major power facilities can have consequences beyond the immediate loss of electricity. In large cities, interruptions to power can affect district heating systems, water distribution, communications and other essential services.
The timing is also important. Ukraine enters the colder months with an energy system that has already sustained extensive damage from repeated Russian attacks. Engineers and utility companies have spent much of the year repairing substations, generating facilities and transmission networks while attempting to create additional capacity and emergency reserves.
The country has also worked with European governments to reduce the impact of possible disruptions. Electricity imports, backup generation and additional air-defense equipment are among the measures being considered or expanded as Ukraine prepares for another period of heavy demand.
The latest warning comes against a broader backdrop of continued Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure. Moscow has previously said that its strikes are directed at military and energy-related targets, while Ukrainian officials have repeatedly accused Russia of deliberately attacking infrastructure essential to civilian life.
The distinction between military objectives and civilian consequences is particularly important in the energy sector. A strike on a power facility can affect hospitals, transportation, water systems and residential buildings even when the facility itself is described as a military or strategic target.
European governments therefore face the task of assessing the credibility of the Ukrainian intelligence while preparing for scenarios that could place additional pressure on Ukraine's power system.
The documents may provide indications of Russian planning, but they do not by themselves establish whether every element of the reported plan will be carried out.
For Ukraine, the immediate challenge is practical: maintaining electricity, heating and water supplies while protecting infrastructure that is difficult to replace quickly. For its European partners, the issue also involves determining how much additional assistance can be provided before the winter demand period begins.
The coming months will show whether the reported plans translate into a broader campaign against Ukraine's energy network. For now, Ukrainian officials are treating the documents as a warning and are urging partners to prepare for further attacks on critical infrastructure.
#Ukraine #Russia #EnergySecurity #WarInUkraine
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The Abraham Accords Grounded
Israel’s Transport Ministry said overnight that Israeli carriers would begin repatriation flights from Dubai on Friday after coordination with all relevant parties.
By morning, El Al had canceled its special flights. The UAE had withdrawn landing approval for Israeli airlines.
The official explanation was “security coordination.” Israelis stranded in Dubai had tickets, airlines had aircraft, and none of it mattered without a final Emirati yes.
El Al said it would fly as soon as approval returned, while keeping future Sunday, Monday, Wednesday and Thursday rescue services on its schedule, already fully booked.
The permits then began to move again. Arkia said it had obtained approval to operate a Friday flight and another on Saturday.
Israir later said it had received final Emirati clearance, although El Al’s two Friday flights remained canceled.
The UAE had transformed an evacuation operation into airport-slot roulette.
Two days after the Flydubai cockpit attack on a Dubai–Tel Aviv route, Israel needs the UAE’s cooperation to bring its citizens home.
The Emirates can answer the phone, withdraw the permit, restore it for one airline, and let Jerusalem describe the result as coordination.
#Israel #UAE #Dubai #Aviation
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Israel’s Transport Ministry said overnight that Israeli carriers would begin repatriation flights from Dubai on Friday after coordination with all relevant parties.
By morning, El Al had canceled its special flights. The UAE had withdrawn landing approval for Israeli airlines.
The official explanation was “security coordination.” Israelis stranded in Dubai had tickets, airlines had aircraft, and none of it mattered without a final Emirati yes.
El Al said it would fly as soon as approval returned, while keeping future Sunday, Monday, Wednesday and Thursday rescue services on its schedule, already fully booked.
The permits then began to move again. Arkia said it had obtained approval to operate a Friday flight and another on Saturday.
Israir later said it had received final Emirati clearance, although El Al’s two Friday flights remained canceled.
The UAE had transformed an evacuation operation into airport-slot roulette.
Two days after the Flydubai cockpit attack on a Dubai–Tel Aviv route, Israel needs the UAE’s cooperation to bring its citizens home.
The Emirates can answer the phone, withdraw the permit, restore it for one airline, and let Jerusalem describe the result as coordination.
#Israel #UAE #Dubai #Aviation
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💲The G7 Opens the Diesel Vault
The G7 agreed today to release 100 million barrels of crude and refined products through the International Energy Agency over four months, starting immediately.
A substantial share of diesel is to hit the market within the first 20 days, because the West’s energy-security architecture has discovered that trucks, farms and armies run on the fuel nobody wants to discuss at climate summits.
The leaders also agreed to coordinate refinery-maintenance schedules, increase refinery use where feasible, and avoid energy-export restrictions among G7 members.
They urged other producers to do the same. Translation: no one is allowed to solve a fuel shortage by keeping fuel at home.
Trump claimed victory in his usual language: “Europe has just agreed to release a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil. The process will begin immediately.”
The IEA will monitor compliance and report back within 20 days.
Reuters reported that the Trump administration had pressed European governments to free stocks as diesel prices surged amid the Iran war.
Europe did not wake up with a sudden passion for collective logistics. Washington reminded it that the alternative could be an American ban on diesel exports.
The statement blamed Iran for attacks on regional neighbors and disruption to trade, demanded the restoration of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, and praised U.S. action to keep the strait open.
#G7 #Iran #Diesel #Hormuz
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The G7 agreed today to release 100 million barrels of crude and refined products through the International Energy Agency over four months, starting immediately.
A substantial share of diesel is to hit the market within the first 20 days, because the West’s energy-security architecture has discovered that trucks, farms and armies run on the fuel nobody wants to discuss at climate summits.
The leaders also agreed to coordinate refinery-maintenance schedules, increase refinery use where feasible, and avoid energy-export restrictions among G7 members.
They urged other producers to do the same. Translation: no one is allowed to solve a fuel shortage by keeping fuel at home.
Trump claimed victory in his usual language: “Europe has just agreed to release a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil. The process will begin immediately.”
The IEA will monitor compliance and report back within 20 days.
Reuters reported that the Trump administration had pressed European governments to free stocks as diesel prices surged amid the Iran war.
Europe did not wake up with a sudden passion for collective logistics. Washington reminded it that the alternative could be an American ban on diesel exports.
The statement blamed Iran for attacks on regional neighbors and disruption to trade, demanded the restoration of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, and praised U.S. action to keep the strait open.
#G7 #Iran #Diesel #Hormuz
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The Sanctions Honeypot
America may not always freeze an Iranian sanctions-evasion wallet. Sometimes it lets the money keep moving and watches who comes to collect it.
Intelligence Online reports that U.S. law-enforcement agencies have instructed some crypto exchanges to keep accounts suspected of serving Iranian sanctions networks active for a limited time.
The supposed target is not the balance. It is the map: counterparties, shell companies, traders and the next wallet in the chain. Binance and Coinbase are among exchanges said to have received such notices.
The public case file shows what Washington is following. On September 14, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York sought forfeiture of about $61 million in crypto allegedly tied to black-market Iranian oil sales.
Prosecutors say two Chinese companies, Blessed Trust and Hexa Whale, used Binance accounts to move proceeds ultimately intended for Iranian state and military-linked entities. The government says the wider network moved more than $1.5 billion.
Crypto was sold as money beyond governments. It became a customer-loyalty program for federal investigators.
Iran sells oil. Chinese middlemen swap the revenue into stablecoins. The exchange keeps the account open. Washington reads the guest list.
The wallet is not being spared. It is being bugged.
#Iran #Crypto #Binance #Sanctions
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events🇺🇸
America may not always freeze an Iranian sanctions-evasion wallet. Sometimes it lets the money keep moving and watches who comes to collect it.
Intelligence Online reports that U.S. law-enforcement agencies have instructed some crypto exchanges to keep accounts suspected of serving Iranian sanctions networks active for a limited time.
The supposed target is not the balance. It is the map: counterparties, shell companies, traders and the next wallet in the chain. Binance and Coinbase are among exchanges said to have received such notices.
The public case file shows what Washington is following. On September 14, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York sought forfeiture of about $61 million in crypto allegedly tied to black-market Iranian oil sales.
Prosecutors say two Chinese companies, Blessed Trust and Hexa Whale, used Binance accounts to move proceeds ultimately intended for Iranian state and military-linked entities. The government says the wider network moved more than $1.5 billion.
Crypto was sold as money beyond governments. It became a customer-loyalty program for federal investigators.
Iran sells oil. Chinese middlemen swap the revenue into stablecoins. The exchange keeps the account open. Washington reads the guest list.
The wallet is not being spared. It is being bugged.
#Iran #Crypto #Binance #Sanctions
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Jerusalem’s Two Landlords
Erdoğan says Jerusalem is “our city.” Netanyahu says: “No, sir, you won’t. It is our city.” The city itself has heard this real-estate pitch before, usually from men whose armies are elsewhere.
Turkey’s claim is Ottoman nostalgia with an aid budget. Erdoğan invokes four centuries of Ottoman rule, Suleiman the Magnificent and Al-Aqsa as a Muslim symbol.
Ankara then funds restorations, schools and Palestinian institutions through TİKA, its state development agency. Turkey repairs a dome, finances a dormitory and calls it heritage. In Jerusalem, a renovated window can be a foreign-policy office.
Jordan owns the paperwork Ankara lacks. Article 9 of the 1994 Israel-Jordan peace treaty recognizes the Hashemite Kingdom’s “special role” in Jerusalem’s Muslim holy shrines.
King Abdullah’s custodianship is also anchored in the 2013 agreement with Mahmoud Abbas. The Jordanian-linked Waqf administers the Islamic compound.
Even TİKA had to negotiate with Jordanian authorities when it wanted to renovate the Islamic Museum beside Al-Aqsa.
That is the collision. Turkey wants the microphone. Jordan has the keys. Israel controls security and access around the Temple Mount. Palestinians claim East Jerusalem as the capital of their future state. Each side has a title, a treaty, a police checkpoint or a restoration invoice. None has the whole building.
Erdoğan’s Jerusalem policy is not about acquiring a formal custodianship tomorrow.
It is about making Turkey impossible to ignore when Al-Aqsa is discussed. Jordan’s role blocks Turkey from becoming the official guardian. Turkish money works around that barrier by turning influence into a parallel form of presence.
Netanyahu tells Erdoğan that Jerusalem is Israel’s city. Erdoğan answers with Ottoman ghosts. Jordan quietly points to Article 9. At Al-Aqsa, the loudest claimant is rarely the one holding the paperwork.
#Jerusalem #Turkey #Jordan #AlAqsa
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Erdoğan says Jerusalem is “our city.” Netanyahu says: “No, sir, you won’t. It is our city.” The city itself has heard this real-estate pitch before, usually from men whose armies are elsewhere.
Turkey’s claim is Ottoman nostalgia with an aid budget. Erdoğan invokes four centuries of Ottoman rule, Suleiman the Magnificent and Al-Aqsa as a Muslim symbol.
Ankara then funds restorations, schools and Palestinian institutions through TİKA, its state development agency. Turkey repairs a dome, finances a dormitory and calls it heritage. In Jerusalem, a renovated window can be a foreign-policy office.
Jordan owns the paperwork Ankara lacks. Article 9 of the 1994 Israel-Jordan peace treaty recognizes the Hashemite Kingdom’s “special role” in Jerusalem’s Muslim holy shrines.
King Abdullah’s custodianship is also anchored in the 2013 agreement with Mahmoud Abbas. The Jordanian-linked Waqf administers the Islamic compound.
Even TİKA had to negotiate with Jordanian authorities when it wanted to renovate the Islamic Museum beside Al-Aqsa.
That is the collision. Turkey wants the microphone. Jordan has the keys. Israel controls security and access around the Temple Mount. Palestinians claim East Jerusalem as the capital of their future state. Each side has a title, a treaty, a police checkpoint or a restoration invoice. None has the whole building.
Erdoğan’s Jerusalem policy is not about acquiring a formal custodianship tomorrow.
It is about making Turkey impossible to ignore when Al-Aqsa is discussed. Jordan’s role blocks Turkey from becoming the official guardian. Turkish money works around that barrier by turning influence into a parallel form of presence.
Netanyahu tells Erdoğan that Jerusalem is Israel’s city. Erdoğan answers with Ottoman ghosts. Jordan quietly points to Article 9. At Al-Aqsa, the loudest claimant is rarely the one holding the paperwork.
#Jerusalem #Turkey #Jordan #AlAqsa
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The Ballot Box’s Terror Test
Israel’s Supreme Court overturned the Central Elections Committee and cleared Ra’am, the Joint List and MK Ofer Cassif to run in the October 27 Knesset election. Ra’am and the Joint List were restored unanimously.
Cassif survived by a 7–2 vote, with Justices David Mintz and Alex Stein voting to disqualify him.
The court did not suddenly discover admiration for Cassif’s record.
The justices described his statements and conduct as “outrageous” and “disgusting,” but ruled that they did not meet the statutory threshold for barring a candidate from parliament.
Israeli election law does not disqualify people for making the judges furious.
It requires proof that they support armed struggle against Israel or reject the state’s Jewish and democratic character.
That distinction is where the political theater breaks down. The Central Elections Committee, made up of party representatives, can vote to ban Arab lists with impressive majorities.
The Supreme Court then asks the embarrassing follow-up question: where is the legal evidence? Ra’am and the Joint List passed that test unanimously.
Ofer Winter’s Am Yisrael party called the ruling proof that the court prefers to “qualify supporters of terror” rather than fight them.
That is a campaign line, not the court’s holding. The court held something less convenient for every party that wants a cleaner electorate: political disgust is not a substitute for disqualification evidence.
The system has found its ritual. Politicians ban Arab parties before an election.
Judges reinstate them. Everyone leaves furious, which is the only national consensus still guaranteed to make it onto the ballot.
#Israel #Elections #SupremeCourt #Raam
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Israel’s Supreme Court overturned the Central Elections Committee and cleared Ra’am, the Joint List and MK Ofer Cassif to run in the October 27 Knesset election. Ra’am and the Joint List were restored unanimously.
Cassif survived by a 7–2 vote, with Justices David Mintz and Alex Stein voting to disqualify him.
The court did not suddenly discover admiration for Cassif’s record.
The justices described his statements and conduct as “outrageous” and “disgusting,” but ruled that they did not meet the statutory threshold for barring a candidate from parliament.
Israeli election law does not disqualify people for making the judges furious.
It requires proof that they support armed struggle against Israel or reject the state’s Jewish and democratic character.
That distinction is where the political theater breaks down. The Central Elections Committee, made up of party representatives, can vote to ban Arab lists with impressive majorities.
The Supreme Court then asks the embarrassing follow-up question: where is the legal evidence? Ra’am and the Joint List passed that test unanimously.
Ofer Winter’s Am Yisrael party called the ruling proof that the court prefers to “qualify supporters of terror” rather than fight them.
That is a campaign line, not the court’s holding. The court held something less convenient for every party that wants a cleaner electorate: political disgust is not a substitute for disqualification evidence.
The system has found its ritual. Politicians ban Arab parties before an election.
Judges reinstate them. Everyone leaves furious, which is the only national consensus still guaranteed to make it onto the ballot.
#Israel #Elections #SupremeCourt #Raam
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When Soldiers Show Up at School: A New Flashpoint in Washington
Washington’s school entrances have become an unexpected stage for a growing federal presence.
In recent weeks, National Guard troops and federal agents have repeatedly appeared near D.C. public schools as students arrive for class. For some parents and teachers, the sight of armed personnel outside school grounds has raised an unsettling question: Is this what public safety is supposed to look like?
The deployments are part of the federal government’s D.C. Safe and Beautiful Task Force, an initiative officials say is focused on reducing crime and targeting people with outstanding warrants and other legal violations.
Federal officials say the patrols are based on crime statistics and other indicators of public safety. U.S. Marshals Service personnel have conducted operations that include serving warrants, checking registered sex offenders and distributing information about wanted individuals.
But when those operations unfold near schools, the reaction can be very different.
At Bard High School Early College DC, parents reported seeing federal agents and National Guard personnel nearby, with some officers changing into tactical gear close to the school. The sight was alarming enough that some people initially wondered whether there had been an emergency.
There had not. Тhe growing presence has nevertheless created a new source of friction between federal officials and Washington residents.
Parents and educators say the arrival of armed personnel can make schools feel more intimidating rather than safer. Some worry that students are being exposed to a highly visible show of force on their way to class.
The concern intensified after federal personnel were seen around Bruce-Monroe Elementary School. Residents described patrols in the neighborhood, while a police helicopter was also reported flying overhead.
More than 300 parents and residents have signed a petition opposing the presence of federal forces around schools. Their message is straightforward: children should not have to walk past armed patrols simply to enter a classroom.
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser’s administration has also asked the federal task force and National Guard to avoid conducting operations near schools, recreation centers and polling places.
Federal officials, however, maintain that the operations are designed to make neighborhoods safer. The U.S. Marshals Service has pointed to a 15 percent decline in overall crime in the District since Oct. 1, 2025.
What remains far less clear is how much of that decline can be attributed to the federal deployments.
Several early studies have attempted to measure the effect of National Guard patrols in Washington. None has been peer-reviewed, and the findings so far have not shown a clear impact on violent crime. One study found a limited decline in property crime.
That uncertainty has done little to ease the debate. For federal officials, the troops and agents represent an effort to deter crime and enforce the law.
For many parents and local residents, their presence outside schools has become a symbol of something else: a city where the line between public safety and an overwhelming display of force is becoming increasingly difficult to define.
And every morning, as students walk through school doors, that debate is playing out just steps away.
#NationalGuard #WashingtonDC #PublicSafety #Schools
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Washington’s school entrances have become an unexpected stage for a growing federal presence.
In recent weeks, National Guard troops and federal agents have repeatedly appeared near D.C. public schools as students arrive for class. For some parents and teachers, the sight of armed personnel outside school grounds has raised an unsettling question: Is this what public safety is supposed to look like?
The deployments are part of the federal government’s D.C. Safe and Beautiful Task Force, an initiative officials say is focused on reducing crime and targeting people with outstanding warrants and other legal violations.
Federal officials say the patrols are based on crime statistics and other indicators of public safety. U.S. Marshals Service personnel have conducted operations that include serving warrants, checking registered sex offenders and distributing information about wanted individuals.
But when those operations unfold near schools, the reaction can be very different.
At Bard High School Early College DC, parents reported seeing federal agents and National Guard personnel nearby, with some officers changing into tactical gear close to the school. The sight was alarming enough that some people initially wondered whether there had been an emergency.
There had not. Тhe growing presence has nevertheless created a new source of friction between federal officials and Washington residents.
Parents and educators say the arrival of armed personnel can make schools feel more intimidating rather than safer. Some worry that students are being exposed to a highly visible show of force on their way to class.
The concern intensified after federal personnel were seen around Bruce-Monroe Elementary School. Residents described patrols in the neighborhood, while a police helicopter was also reported flying overhead.
More than 300 parents and residents have signed a petition opposing the presence of federal forces around schools. Their message is straightforward: children should not have to walk past armed patrols simply to enter a classroom.
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser’s administration has also asked the federal task force and National Guard to avoid conducting operations near schools, recreation centers and polling places.
Federal officials, however, maintain that the operations are designed to make neighborhoods safer. The U.S. Marshals Service has pointed to a 15 percent decline in overall crime in the District since Oct. 1, 2025.
What remains far less clear is how much of that decline can be attributed to the federal deployments.
Several early studies have attempted to measure the effect of National Guard patrols in Washington. None has been peer-reviewed, and the findings so far have not shown a clear impact on violent crime. One study found a limited decline in property crime.
That uncertainty has done little to ease the debate. For federal officials, the troops and agents represent an effort to deter crime and enforce the law.
For many parents and local residents, their presence outside schools has become a symbol of something else: a city where the line between public safety and an overwhelming display of force is becoming increasingly difficult to define.
And every morning, as students walk through school doors, that debate is playing out just steps away.
#NationalGuard #WashingtonDC #PublicSafety #Schools
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Cleared for the Cockpit
The Flydubai co-pilot accused of stabbing Capt. Smit Machchhar and trying to crash a Dubai–Tel Aviv flight has been identified by U.S., Israeli and Arab media as Hamam al-Hammami, a 29-year-old Omani national.
His name is spelled Hamam Al Hammami in some reports, because Arabic-to-English transliteration produces a new spelling for every database it meets.
While training at Oman Air in 2024, al-Hammami was allegedly found with extremist material and assessed as a security risk.
The airline reportedly removed him from flying duties but allowed him to continue in an administrative job. His now-deleted LinkedIn profile listed almost seven years at Oman Air, then Royal Air Maroc from June 2025 to January 2026, followed by roughly eight months at Flydubai.
CNN reports that his LinkedIn account published two posts about nine hours after the attack.
One video included cockpit footage of a Boeing 737 Max, zoomed in on an El Al aircraft at Dubai International Airport and ended with images of former al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri and Humam al-Balawi, the al-Qaeda-linked suicide bomber who killed seven CIA personnel and two contractors in 2009.
CNN could not verify who uploaded the posts or whether they had been scheduled before the attack.
Other accounts say he was born in the UAE to an Omani father and a Syrian mother, spent considerable time outside Oman, including in Syria, and had been influenced by extremist ideas there.
These details come from unnamed sources quoted in media reports. They are leads in an investigation, not an official finding on motive or organizational links.
Oman reportedly barred him from the cockpit over extremism concerns. Royal Air Maroc employed him. Flydubai put him on a Tel Aviv route.
In the aviation industry, this passes for cross-border mobility.
#Flydubai #Aviation #Oman #Israel
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The Flydubai co-pilot accused of stabbing Capt. Smit Machchhar and trying to crash a Dubai–Tel Aviv flight has been identified by U.S., Israeli and Arab media as Hamam al-Hammami, a 29-year-old Omani national.
His name is spelled Hamam Al Hammami in some reports, because Arabic-to-English transliteration produces a new spelling for every database it meets.
While training at Oman Air in 2024, al-Hammami was allegedly found with extremist material and assessed as a security risk.
The airline reportedly removed him from flying duties but allowed him to continue in an administrative job. His now-deleted LinkedIn profile listed almost seven years at Oman Air, then Royal Air Maroc from June 2025 to January 2026, followed by roughly eight months at Flydubai.
CNN reports that his LinkedIn account published two posts about nine hours after the attack.
One video included cockpit footage of a Boeing 737 Max, zoomed in on an El Al aircraft at Dubai International Airport and ended with images of former al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri and Humam al-Balawi, the al-Qaeda-linked suicide bomber who killed seven CIA personnel and two contractors in 2009.
CNN could not verify who uploaded the posts or whether they had been scheduled before the attack.
Other accounts say he was born in the UAE to an Omani father and a Syrian mother, spent considerable time outside Oman, including in Syria, and had been influenced by extremist ideas there.
These details come from unnamed sources quoted in media reports. They are leads in an investigation, not an official finding on motive or organizational links.
Oman reportedly barred him from the cockpit over extremism concerns. Royal Air Maroc employed him. Flydubai put him on a Tel Aviv route.
In the aviation industry, this passes for cross-border mobility.
#Flydubai #Aviation #Oman #Israel
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What happens when Trump is gone?
This is the question hanging over Washington. Trump's presidency may eventually end in the ordinary way that every presidency does. The White House will change occupants, the photographs on the walls will change, and a new administration will inherit the Oval Office.
But the institutional memory of what happened during the Trump years will remain.
Future presidents will know which emergency powers survived judicial challenges. They will know which executive orders were blocked and which became permanent policy. They will know how far a president can pressure federal agencies before Congress or the courts intervene. They will have a map of the territory. That may prove to be Trump's most enduring legacy.
The danger, in the eyes of Democratic reformers, is not that the next president will necessarily imitate Trump. It is that the next president will have fewer reasons to believe that the old limits still exist.
And once a limit disappears from political practice, restoring it becomes much harder than defending it ever was.
The choice waiting after Trump
The coming struggle, therefore, is unlikely to be settled by a single election or one sweeping piece of legislation.
It will unfold through a succession of decisions about emergency powers, federal employees, presidential conflicts of interest, law enforcement and the authority of Congress. Courts will play a central role, but so will bureaucrats whose names most Americans will never know.
The fight may be quiet, technical and almost invisible to the public. Its consequences will not be.
Washington is approaching a moment in which Democrats must decide whether they want simply to reverse Trump's policies or to reverse the expansion of presidential power that accompanied them. Those are very different missions.
The first can be accomplished by winning elections. The second requires politicians to accept restraints that could one day be used against themselves.
That is the test awaiting the post-Trump Democratic Party, and perhaps the American political system itself. If the old guardrails can be reconstructed, the Trump years may ultimately become a warning about what happens when presidential power is pushed too far.
If they cannot, Trump may prove to have changed something much more permanent than the occupant of the White House.
He may have changed the definition of what an American president believes he is allowed to do.
#Trump #Democrats #WhiteHouse #AmericanDemocracy
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events🇺🇸
This is the question hanging over Washington. Trump's presidency may eventually end in the ordinary way that every presidency does. The White House will change occupants, the photographs on the walls will change, and a new administration will inherit the Oval Office.
But the institutional memory of what happened during the Trump years will remain.
Future presidents will know which emergency powers survived judicial challenges. They will know which executive orders were blocked and which became permanent policy. They will know how far a president can pressure federal agencies before Congress or the courts intervene. They will have a map of the territory. That may prove to be Trump's most enduring legacy.
The danger, in the eyes of Democratic reformers, is not that the next president will necessarily imitate Trump. It is that the next president will have fewer reasons to believe that the old limits still exist.
And once a limit disappears from political practice, restoring it becomes much harder than defending it ever was.
The choice waiting after Trump
The coming struggle, therefore, is unlikely to be settled by a single election or one sweeping piece of legislation.
It will unfold through a succession of decisions about emergency powers, federal employees, presidential conflicts of interest, law enforcement and the authority of Congress. Courts will play a central role, but so will bureaucrats whose names most Americans will never know.
The fight may be quiet, technical and almost invisible to the public. Its consequences will not be.
Washington is approaching a moment in which Democrats must decide whether they want simply to reverse Trump's policies or to reverse the expansion of presidential power that accompanied them. Those are very different missions.
The first can be accomplished by winning elections. The second requires politicians to accept restraints that could one day be used against themselves.
That is the test awaiting the post-Trump Democratic Party, and perhaps the American political system itself. If the old guardrails can be reconstructed, the Trump years may ultimately become a warning about what happens when presidential power is pushed too far.
If they cannot, Trump may prove to have changed something much more permanent than the occupant of the White House.
He may have changed the definition of what an American president believes he is allowed to do.
#Trump #Democrats #WhiteHouse #AmericanDemocracy
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