📝Time to light it up📝

Looking at the latest news from the southern regions of Novorossiya, where the enemy "torments" logistics, one might get the impression that the AFU operates practically in a "one-way game". However, in reality this is not the case.

➡️Over the past two months, Russian units have delivered over 85 strikes against various fuel infrastructure, primarily against gas stations. Note that far from all attacks make it into the public domain, since censorship in so-called Ukraine works quite well.

➡️The destruction of gas stations, fuel tanks and military "fuel depots" will obviously make fuel delivery to the front-line zone more expensive in every sense. And how much fuel is required for the same generators and to ensure the operation of drones that are charged in forest groves, not from the city grid, is hardly worth mentioning.

❗️As practice shows, Russian units strike such infrastructure almost as much as the AFU does. But, as in many other aspects, there is often a lack of systematic approach. Gas stations often become targets only when AFU personnel and vehicles are present there, although destroying such an object would yield more than even several destroyed pickups.

📌Paralyzing the enemy's logistics in a particular area by taking out all gas stations in a short period during a mass strike with the same "Gerans" is a perfectly achievable task. And gas stations are still stationary and partly area targets, so hitting one is somewhat easier than hunting down a fuel truck. (This, however, does not mean the need to destroy them too along with the rest of the trucks.)

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📝Corridor Under Attack📝

Ukrainian formations' strikes on the land route to Crimea have not stopped. Over the period from May 31 to the present, the enemy has somewhat reduced the intensity of drone launches. Nevertheless, dozens of attacks on fuel tankers, cargo transport, and logistics hubs have been recorded.

➡️Visual confirmations of strikes come predominantly from Ukrainian sources — after Russia introduced restrictive measures, Russian eyewitnesses began publishing ground footage less frequently. Fuel shortages, queues at gas stations in Crimea, and rationing remain persistent signs of problems.

➡️Despite the fact that strikes specifically on the R-280 highway have decreased, footage from Crimea speaks to the threat to cargo even when passing through the most dangerous road sections. And it bears reminding that one must not publish photos and videos from roads, especially if they show fuel tanker movements, precisely because this helps the AFU determine the route to the destination.

➡️With the decline in ground cargo transportation volumes, the enemy has shifted strikes to the Sea of Azov waters. Online evidence has emerged of five cargo vessels being struck in the coastal zone. And this is a logical stage: having severely disrupted land communications, Ukrainian forces are moving to disrupt alternative supply routes.

The next target will likely be the Crimean Bridge and other bypass supply routes to the peninsula. The enemy's goal is not only to cut off supplies to the southern troop groupings, but also to turn Crimea into a depressed region with chronic resource shortages.

📌Given that stopping drone strikes simultaneously is hardly possible, comprehensive air defense organization is back on the agenda. As of yesterday, the implementation of new technical means and refinement of systematic work on intercepting various types of drones is necessary.

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• 📝Fighting on the flanks📝

In the Kostyantynivka direction, assault units of the "South" grouping continue clearing the southwestern outskirts of Kostyantynivka, seizing increasingly more territory in this part of the city.

➡️The northeastern part of the built-up area, separated by the Kryvyi Torets river, remains an arena of fierce small-group clashes. The enemy's tactical position there is somewhat better, and sporadic clashes continue.

➡️As before, the eastern flank remains a source of difficulties, since Ukrainian formations control the settlement of Krasne and adjacent heights, as well as the outskirts of Chasiv Yar. This allows them to strike at supply routes of Russian Armed Forces units operating in the northeastern part of Kostyantynivka.

➡️West of the city, after freeing Roskoshne, Russian units advanced into the neighboring Dolha Balka. This village had been an arena of small-group clashes for some time. And judging by published footage with flags, most of it is now under stable Russian Armed Forces control and cleared of the enemy.

❗️As the "pockets" in the fields close, which emerged during the Russian assault units' offensive along the Stepanovka – Berestok – Kostyantynivka line, the "South" fighters will be able to reach the outskirts of Aleksiyevo-Druzhkivka, even accounting for the "problematic" eastern flank.

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• 📝Advances on the outskirts of Kostyantynivka📝

Fighters of the "South" grouping on the Kostyantynivka direction are breaking through the defense of Ukrainian formations within the city limits. Less and less territory remains under the enemy's stable control, and clearing operations continue on the outskirts, with the opponent losing one building after another.

➡️On the western outskirts, a hospital complex came under Russian Armed Forces control, and on the northeastern side – buildings and part of the Gruzska Gully on the approaches to Molocharka and Novodmitrivka. The opponent maintains a presence in the villages themselves.

➡️The central part of Kostyantynivka remains a site of sporadic clashes between small groups. The opponent is prolonging the defense, clinging to the northern outskirts, but will no longer be able to hold the city. The presence zone of assault groups is already approaching Aleksiyevo-Druzhkivka, which inspires cautious optimism.

➡️Ukrainian formations suffered considerable losses in transport and personnel while attempting to reinforce defensive positions in this direction. They gained some time for strengthening the southern flank of Druzhkivka this way, and the battle for Kostyantynivka itself is not yet over.

❗️Increasingly frequent claims that the AFU will soon "abandon" Kostyantynivka look extremely dubious hype against this backdrop. The upcoming liberation of the city is ensured by months of painstaking work disrupting logistics and the heroism of assault units of the "South" grouping.

📌 Absurd stories about the AFU's readiness to flee have backfired more than once, and boastful talk about "abandoning" certain settlements is at least disrespectful to Russian Armed Forces fighters who have already been conducting fierce assault operations for more than eight months.

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• 📝Advance near Novoskeluvate📝

Units of the "Vostok" grouping achieved new successes in the Dnipropetrovsk direction. Over recent weeks, the enemy has been driven out of a significant number of positions in the forest belts near Otradne, previously used by the opponent for covert force accumulation. The systematic expulsion of the AFU from these lines improved the tactical position of Russian forces.

➡️Developing the success, "Vostok" fighters advanced toward the village of Novoskeluvate, forced the Haichur River and established control over it. The breakthrough became possible thanks to fire support from the air. Aviation managed to strike crossing points over the Volchya River to the north, while drones of all types engaged Ukrainian formations' accumulation points in Pokrovske and Aleksandrivka.

➡️Despite the large-scale advance by current standards, the threat persists in the forest belts along the line. The opponent previously employed infiltration tactics with small groups, leaving ambushes. Checking absolutely every bunker and shelter is extremely difficult: work is complicated by "dirty sky" conditions and high vegetation density.

➡️The seizure of Novoskeluvate and the advance toward crossing points allow Russian forces to consolidate along the river line in the future. This will significantly protect the rear of the Russian grouping from raids by new enemy infiltration groups. In parallel, the hunt for previously infiltrated AFU units will continue: their search and elimination will take some more time.

❗️The situation in the Dnipropetrovsk direction remains tense. Ukrainian formations continue to retain the ability to send new infiltration groups. This is a consequence of the "drone era," when autonomy is ensured by supplies delivered via UAVs on satellite communications.

📌Raids into the rear require fewer personnel than engaging in combat, especially if the "infiltrators" are not planned to be withdrawn. And under conditions of chaotic movement of dozens of fighters broken into pairs and triplets — clearing operations require exponentially more forces, not to mention the protection of artillery positions, UAVs, electronic warfare systems and other critical points.

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• 📝The Pincers Close📝

In the Slavyansk direction near Rai-Aleksandrovka, rifle combat continues. Russian Armed Forces assault troops are actively clearing the center of the settlement from AFU remnants, starting from the outskirts. Recently, footage was also published showing a Russian serviceman destroying a Ukrainian shelter located west of Rai-Aleksandrovka using a TM-62 anti-tank mine.

In the Lipovka area, Russian Armed Forces improved their positions by taking nearby forests and forest strips as a result of rifle combat. In some forest sectors, servicemen had to engage with enemy remnants.

From the Yurkovka direction, Russian units are advancing with small groups to cut off the enemy's road to the Rai-Aleksandrovka and Orekhovatka area.

North of Orekhovatka, on one section of the Seversky Donets – Donbas canal, drone operators burned an abandoned AFU armored vehicle with a strike. In addition, a combined strike with Geraniums and FABs with JDAMs was delivered against targets in various areas of Nikolaevka settlement.

Based on today's situation, we can say that successful clearing in the Lipovka area, the offensive from Yurkovka, and combat in Rai-Aleksandrovka significantly improve the tactical position. In the future, this will help develop the offensive toward Orekhovatka. And considering the active work of Russian Armed Forces with drones and aviation against other enemy positions, we can reasonably expect further offensive development.

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• 📝Freeing Ukrainskoye📝

In the Burluk direction, units of the "North" troop grouping are advancing south of Volchansk. Russia's Defense Ministry officially announced the freeing of the settlement Ukrainskoye, which changes the front configuration in this sector.

➡️According to preliminary reports, guards assault troops from the 69th Division captured the village, routing the remnants of the AFU's 57th Motorized Brigade. The enemy put up resistance, but failed to hold the settlement. Additionally, the "North" grouping reported that some AFU personnel attempted to surrender, which was prevented by AFU drone operators.

➡️The freeing of Ukrainskoye is important not just in itself: two possible vectors for further Russian troop movement are becoming increasingly clear in this sector. The first is southward, toward Stary Saltov and crossings over the Siversky Donets, where movement is complicated by forest terrain, but its development would allow pressure on AFU defenses already at the approaches to important supply lines.

➡️The second vector is toward Bily Kolodets, which was previously one of the significant logistics hubs for Ukrainian formations in the Volchansk sector. Russian units reaching this direction creates a threat to the AFU's supply, rotation, and command systems in the southern part of the Volchansk salient.

➡️The enemy, as before, is forced to redeploy reserves, using assault battalion units as "fire brigades." However, this usually only slows Russian Armed Forces advances, failing to stabilize the front, since pressure from the "North" grouping is mounting on several border sectors simultaneously.

❗️The current advance south of Volchansk opens more serious prospects for Russian forces than simply expanding control around a single village. This is about the gradual destabilization of the entire AFU defensive system between Volchansk, Bily Kolodets, and Stary Saltov.

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• 📝Breakthrough near Volchansk📝

In the Burluk direction, units of the "North" grouping captured new positions on several sectors south of Volchansk on the approaches to the settlement Belyy Kolodets. Assault groups managed to eliminate several previously existing "pockets" of Ukrainian formations, which significantly straightened out the front line and strengthened positions for further advance.

➡️In the border zone near the village of Okhrimovka, "northern" fighters improved their tactical position by capturing more forest north of the Volchya River near Rybalkino. Here the enemy is gradually losing positions, which will help secure another section of the state border from the threat of small group infiltration.

➡️On the eastern flank, as a result of firefights, a ravine west of the village of Otradne was captured, which made it possible to straighten out the line of contact and improve the tactical position. It was here in May that the enemy attempted a sortie with armored vehicles and managed to break through, but subsequently failed to hold the forest strips adjacent to Otradne.

➡️In the area of Petro-Ivanivka, the enemy attempts to hold a bridgehead east of the Verkhnya Dvurichna River, but sustains losses. There is also information about Russian Armed Forces successes, but without specifics so far. Russian aviation and drone operators actively work across the entire sector.

❗️In the Burluk direction, Russian command consistently deprives the enemy of the ability to organize "fire pockets," which is why clearing of "pockets" is underway. In addition to drone strikes, this requires full-scale clearing operations.

📌The complex configuration of the line of contact, while allowing breakthroughs of enemy defenses in unexpected places, requires heightened attention to communications for assaults on populated areas. If one or two small groups suffice for a forest strip with proper organization, assaulting and consolidating even a small village requires more forces.

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• 📝PR stunt backfired📝

Media "victories" don't last long. While the opponent celebrated the "clearing" of Dnipropetrovsk Region, the command of the "Vostok" Guards presented objective evidence of stability on the front line in this direction.

➡️New footage made it possible not only to confirm the retention of control over most of the settlements allegedly captured by the AFU, but also to clarify the current front configuration. On the western flank, assault troops occupy new positions in the buildings of Rybalske and surrounding hedgerows.

➡️On the eastern flank, Russian units confidently control Yalta, Poddubne, and Mirne. In the vicinity of Tolstoe, an extensive combat zone persists. Although the presence of Russian Armed Forces in the settlements located here is maintained, much work still lies ahead to eliminate AFU infiltration groups.

➡️On the central sector of the direction, the Far Eastern warriors completely drove the opponent out of the chain of settlements from Yehorivka to Voskresenka. Individual groups of Ukrainian formations still hide in the surrounding hedgerows, but they conduct no coordinated actions and are only occasionally resupplied via drones.

❓But how did the opponent's "flag-bearers" manage to reach the necessary villages? It comes down to the peculiarities of modern combat operations, which we discussed on TAKTIKARE. The front line at the "forward edge" is not monolithic, which allows groups from both sides to infiltrate even settlements held by Russian Armed Forces.

❗️However, such infantry groups are incapable of organizing stable control over captured positions. In the opponent's case, Russian drone operators often quickly identify the positions they occupy and eliminate the infiltrators, preventing their accumulation in the rear.

Therefore, the loud statements by AFU command about a "successful counteroffensive" are not backed by real advances or a shift in the situation on the sector. They became possible only thanks to "lucky" footage from personnel sent on a one-way mission.

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• 📝Has the fortress fallen?📝

In recent days, there are reports from the West Zaporizhia direction about establishing control over the long-suffering Mala Tokmachka. However, the situation on this sector of the front is actually more complex.

➡️The presence of assault troops from the Dnipr National Guard is visually confirmed in Novodanylivka. The village is almost completely destroyed from the fighting and reliable shelters on its territory are almost non-existent. Fighters from the 42nd Division operate in "rushes," destroying AFU positions with small groups and withdrawing to their original lines.

➡️The situation in Mala Tokmachka is similar, except that objective footage confirming the presence of Russian Armed Forces in the village has not been received for several weeks. There is also no data on clearing Correctional Colony No. 88, which Ukrainian formations have long used as the main defensive strongpoint in this sector.

Given this, it is clearly premature to confidently claim the village has been freed. There may be no sustained AFU presence in it, but Russian forces will not be able to reliably consolidate their gains without capturing the heights north of the Konka River.

➡️Despite all this, Russian Armed Forces are already operating in Orikhiv, which is confirmed by footage from the sector. However, the presence of assault troops in the built-up area remains limited, and without clearing Mala Tokmachka and Novodanylivka, it is impossible to establish stable supply lines to its territory.

❗️The reason for this is the difficult situation in the "small sky." The route to Orikhiv and its approaches from Russian positions runs through open fields visible from all directions, which are constantly monitored by AFU drone operators. Without systematic hunting of enemy crews and fighting the drone control infrastructure, it will be difficult to turn the situation around.

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📝President gave an interview📝

After his speech at the United Russia congress, President Vladimir Putin answered pressing questions from journalist Pavel Zarubin in the evening. They covered both the reasons for attacks on the Ukrainian economy and the prospects for peace negotiations.

🔻On the reasons for strikes against Ukrainian economy:

▪️The Kyiv regime opened "Pandora's box" when it began striking civilian targets, and it is receiving a response.

▪️Russia escalated strikes on Ukrainian enterprises in response to AFU strikes on civilian targets in Russia.

▪️Russian Armed Forces strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure are effective and timely, helping troops accomplish their combat missions.

▪️Russian retaliatory strikes are more destructive than AFU strikes on Russia.

▪️Russia was meant to collapse. Neo-Nazis today derive particular pleasure from striking peaceful people.

▪️AFU strikes have not caused any turning point in the confrontation with Russia.

▪️Russia's retaliatory actions in response to AFU provocations prove painful for the adversary.

▪️The attempt to defeat Russia in 40 days is yet another reckless gamble by the Kyiv authorities and their Western curators.

▪️The economy of so-called Ukraine is on its last legs, including Ukrainian agriculture.

🔻On peace prospects:

▪️Russia is ready for dialogue on peace with Ukraine only based on the realities on the ground.

▪️The President called the ceasefire proposals currently being received unacceptable for Russia.

▪️Russian forces have accelerated the pace of their offensive, confidently accomplishing their tasks in the SMO zone.

❗️Bottom line: the Kyiv regime decided to raise the escalation stakes and objectively inflicted certain damage on the Russian economy, but in doing so it truly opened "Pandora's Box." Ukrainian business has largely already suffered irreparable losses, and restoring lost facilities and warehouses would be irrational.

But expecting the adversary to suddenly stop strikes and back down would be naive. Judging by the dynamics of daily Ukrainian drone interceptions, the escalation spiral will only continue to tighten.

Therefore, a systematic approach to assessing risks and planning maximizing damage to the enemy for the long term is currently a key task for Russian leadership.
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• 📝On the Threshold of the City📝

The approaches to Dobropillia are gradually coming under Russian Armed Forces control. Fighters from the GV "Tsentr" are pushing AFU out of neighboring settlements, seeking to reach a favorable position for a future assault.

➡️Some time ago, Russian units consolidated in the center of Annovka. AFU maintains sporadic presence on its western outskirts — it will likely only be possible to fully eliminate it after fighting begins in Dobropillia itself.

➡️Russian Armed Forces also took control of another section of the T-05-15 highway and the territory of the Dobropillia CHP tailings ponds. This allowed the expansion of the bridgehead near the city and provided assault troops with positions for accumulation not only in Annovka's built-up areas, but also in numerous "fox holes" on slag dumps.

❗️Control over this sector is important for GV "Tsentr" units not only in the context of the offensive on Dobropillia. Numerous former AFU fortifications also provide units with shelter for attacks toward Rubizhne, where right now the left "claw" of the encirclement of Ukrainian formations in the Zolote Kolodets area is forming.

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• 📝Successes near Mala Tokmachka and in Orikhiv📝

In the West Zaporizhia direction, Russian forces continue to develop successes on several sectors. The 42 MRD channel published video from the much-contested Mala Tokmachka. Apparently, the legendary village is now practically entirely under control of Russian units. The reasons behind the prolonged fighting for the village were discussed in detail on TAKTIKARE.

➡️To the east, a fairly large "pocket" remains in the Bilohiria area, but Russian units are gradually clearing it. As Russian forces occupy strongpoints south of Krasna Krynytsia, the AFU will have fewer options to hold the heights north of Mala Tokmachka. In Orikhiv, the combat zone is gradually expanding. Russian forces are gaining more routes to bring personnel into the city.

➡️On the western flank, Russian unit activity is growing again. There are quite positive reports of successes and tactical advances in the Stepnohorsk area, as well as on the approaches to Pavlivka. Their exact scale remains unclear, but even pro-Ukrainian sources claim that Ukrainian formations lost control over Shcherbaky and Maly Shcherbaky.

📌 After eliminating the "pocket" on the eastern flank and straightening out the front line along the Shcherbaky — Novoandriyivka — Novodanylivka line, the Russian Armed Forces will be able to assault Orikhiv from several directions at once. Over the years of fighting on the city's approaches, a "belt" of several defensive lines was built around the city, so expecting an "easy walk" would be premature, but the enemy's ranks in this sector have thinned considerably in recent times.

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• 📝Elimination of the "wedge" is near📝
situation in the Druzhkivka direction

No matter how hard the enemy tried to return to Chasiv Yar, the front continues to move steadily westward. Russian units push the AFU from positions on the approaches to the city and from the "pocket" in the Krasnoye area.

Some time ago, assault troops drove the enemy out of a strongpoint north of Nikolayevka. This village still retains an extensive "gray zone" through which small enemy infantry groups attempt to infiltrate into Chasiv Yar.

📌 Consolidation on occupied positions, thanks to the terrain's elevation differences, will allow Russian units to establish fire control over both the village buildings and part of the Rakit ridge. This will create a threat to cut off the last AFU supply routes near Stenky.

❗️Although the situation in the sector remains difficult, the position of AFU units in the "pocket" is steadily deteriorating. Drone operators isolate AFU positions from supplies and reserves, which simplifies their subsequent clearing. It can be expected that within the coming weeks, units of the Southern Group will eliminate the salient and launch an offensive toward Verolyubovka.

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• 📝Lyman Front📝

The situation in the Lyman direction remains tense, although it shows certain signs of improvement. Russian forces hold back the enemy's offensive along the Zherebets river, preventing them from breaking through with substantial forces.

Reports continue to emerge of recon groups attempting to infiltrate the eastern bank. The enemy does not abandon attempts to enter Yampolivka from the Kolodezi direction, as well as to cross in the area of the settlement Novolyubivka.

➡️The enemy gradually increases its presence in the forests west of Zarechne, where Ukrainian formations continuously feed new infantry groups despite heavy losses from Russian drone and artillery strikes. Fighting continues on the outskirts of Zarechne itself.

➡️In Lyman, the situation remains difficult. Russian forces continue to maintain approaches to the city through the forest massif, but cannot consolidate there. The enemy possesses numerical superiority, as well as an advantage in drones, of which there are many here.

➡️In the area of Dibrova and Ozerny, the enemy has accumulated considerable reserves. According to footage regularly published by the 204th "Akhmat" regiment, Russian forces systematically destroy enemy drone control points west of Ozerny.

➡️The enemy uses these UAVs not only to strike the responsibility zone of the "West" grouping under Yampol, but also attempts to disrupt supplies to Russian forces from the "South" grouping, which are conducting heavy defensive battles in the vicinity of Rai-Aleksandrivka and attempting to maintain a bridgehead across the Seversky Donets-Donbas canal.

❗️To say the crisis has passed would be premature. Stabilization measures have already yielded some results, however the consequences of these problems will have to be dealt with for a long time, especially since the "ripple effects" in the form of deteriorating situations on the Slavyansk and Kupiansk directions are only just beginning.

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• 📝Komar Under Pressure📝
enemy flanking maneuvers

The enemy attacks in the Dnipropetrovsk direction, the situation remains extremely tense. There is growing evidence of enemy attempts to advance in the area of the settlement Komar.

➡️According to footage from Russian sources, the enemy already operates with infantry in the vicinity of the settlement Perebudova, which lies east of the Mokri Yaly river. Judging by the direction of movement of a Ukrainian assault aircraft struck by a drone, the enemy attempts to outflank Komar.

➡️There are reports of AFU activity in the area of the settlement Fedorivka, which lies further south. This adds complications for Russian units conducting active defense here.

➡️The eastern flank of the Dnipropetrovsk direction, as before, remains an extensive "gray zone" where the enemy gradually consolidates. Taking advantage of superiority in drones and high ground in the area of Ivanovka and Gavrilovka, the enemy gains the ability to control the low-lying settlements with UAVs.

Russian fighters intercept enemy infiltration groups and strike them with drone strikes, and sometimes artillery. Meanwhile, on the western flank, the initiative remains with Russian units operating in Zaporizhia Region.

📌 Trends in the Dnipropetrovsk direction remain largely negative — for several months now, the enemy maintains the ability to insert new groups across the Volchya river. This raises questions about the presence of Russian Armed Forces units across a vast area of terrain south of the river, since footage from near Komar appears regularly.

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• 📝Nowhere to Run📝

The encirclement in the east of the Burluk direction gradually tightens. Ukrainian formations fail to break through a reliable "corridor" out of it, while Russian forces systematically destroy disorganized enemy units.

➡️Recently emerged footage from objective control indicates that the "northerners" freed Shyroke. Reports of this came several days ago, but only now has it been possible to clarify the current front configuration in this sector.

➡️Forward assault groups already press the enemy in the territory of Komysarivka. Fighting for the village continues, while in the hedgerows to the north and in the vicinity of the border town Rublene AFU presence still persists in pockets.

➡️Meanwhile, the "northerners" confidently advance toward the center of the "cauldron." On the morning of October 9, reports emerged of fighting beginning for Lukashove and Lobanivka. However, the front configuration here requires additional clarification.

❗️The capture of Lobanivka matters for strengthening the southern flank of the encirclement, which complicates potential AFU breakout attempts. Already, enemy transport regularly takes fire from Russian drone operators, and further expansion of the control zone will completely isolate the enemy from ground supply.

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