⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷🧨 Tehran is being pushed towards War - Political Scientist Nikolay Sevostyanov on the Terrorist Attack in #Iran⚡️

🗓 On 3 January 2020, the Americans assassinated one of Iran's main symbols, Qasem Suleimani. On 3 January 2024, terrorists blew up a funeral procession dedicated to his memory. The death toll is now over 100.

🔹In all cultures, even criminal ones, killing in cemeteries is considered unacceptable and condemned. But in this case it is also a demonstrative challenge to Tehran: "We will kill your leaders and anyone who follows them. Even the dead."

🔹And the bombings come less than a day after a strike on the southern suburbs of Beirut, where the IDF killed a Hamas leader. For Israel and the United States, Hamas (like the Yemeni Houthis) is also #Iran, and the war in Gaza is perceived as an indirect clash with Tehran, similar to how in #Ukraine Russia is primarily at war not with Kiev but with #NATO.

🔹On the agenda are Tel Aviv's readiness for a full-scale invasion of #Lebanon and US-British plans to strike #Yemen. However, the West realises that even the elimination of Hezbollah (which is hardly possible) and the destruction of the Houthis (which is impossible in principle) do not solve their main problem. This problem is not the Iranian regime, but the Iranian state itself, which has turned into the main regional player in the Middle East.

🔹The project that Tehran is building is no longer just a Shiite project. Shiite groups remain an important instrument of Iranian policy, but there are also enough Sunnis among the supporters of the Islamic Republic. And their numbers are growing. From #Morocco to #Pakistan, Muslims are asking themselves: "How is it that the rich Sunni states lie down to the Zionists and the Americans, while the Rafidis [an insulting nickname for Shiites] fight them?".

🔹The main danger for the West is that #Iran has managed to create its own world, invulnerable to American pressure and international sanctions. This world is expanding, drawing more and more forces into its orbit, and time is working in Iran's favour. The Islamic Republic's military-industrial complex is a vivid example of this.

🔹That is why the West is trying hard to push Tehran to "retaliate", which will lead to a full-fledged war, believing that today Iran will not pull it out and will collapse under its own weight.

🔹It doesn't matter which particular group will claim responsibility. It will probably be the local "branch" of ISIS, which is banned in Russia. What is important is that in Iran itself this attack is perceived as a second assassination of Suleimani, organised by the same forces.

📌 The Iranian State may look as cruel as it likes, but it has no right to appear weak. This is too dangerous for both internal stability and the viability of the project itself. This means that Tehran will have to respond in any case. But this is exactly what the West is pushing him to do.

📜 Nikolay Sevostyanov specially for the Voenkor Kotenok Channel; 3 Jan 2024, 17:15

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⚡️🇮🇶🇸🇾🇮🇷 About the Combined IRGC Strike on Erbil and the Outskirts of Idlib⚡️

🗓 On the night of 16 January, units of the IRGC aerospace forces carried out a massive strike on Erbil in Iraqi #Kurdistan, as well as on targets of pro-Turkish terrorist groups in #Syria.

🔹 First, at least six Fateh-110 operational-tactical missiles were fired from the vicinity of the IRGC missile base 'Tangey Kenesht' near Kermanshah in the direction of Erbil.

▪️ To overload the air defence systems, the Iranians used tactics that had already been worked out during the air defence, Before the missile attack on Erbil, several Shahed-136 drones were launched, to which the C-RAM systems from the Harir military base responded.

▪️ Immediately after this, several missiles hit Erbil neighborhoods near the #US consulate, Erbil International Airport and the Harir military base, as well as the home of Kurdish businessman Pishrav Diziziye.

❗️The latter, judging by data in open sources, was the owner of the Falcon Group and Empire companies, affiliated with the Israeli Mossad. The blow definitely hit the house where the businessman lived.

🔹 At the same time, the latest Khyber Shikan medium-range ballistic missiles were launched from #Khuzestan province towards #Syria. It was their flight over the #Basra province in #Iraq that was filmed by Iraqi residents.

▪️ The range of the IRBM is 1,450 km, and the target was the positions of the terrorist groups Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and the Islamic Party of Turkistan in Taltit near Idlib. Explosions from the arrivals were mistaken for Israeli Air Force strikes on the province of #Aleppo.

▪️ The press service of the IRGC stated that the choice of these targets is due to the fact that a group of IS militants responsible for the terrorist attack in Kerman was being trained in territories controlled by pro-Turkish forces.

📌 But this version seems far-fetched, and the raid itself, apparently, was carried out to demonstrate #Iran’s capabilities. After all, the Iranians had not previously carried out attacks at such a range (1230 km), which was noted in the Israeli media.

🗺 High Resolution: 🇬🇧 MAP; 🇷🇺 MAP

📜 RYBAR; 16 Jan 2024, 12:31

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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷⚔️ On the Upcoming #US - #Iran War⚡️

🔹Biden said he had already decided how to respond to the attack on the #US At-Tanf base. The strikes could be launched as early as this night. The #US are running out of time, and further delays in responding will look like another sign of weakness.

🔹#Iran informed the #US that it would regard any attack on its territory as a reason for direct attacks on #US forces in the Middle East.

🔹Shiite groups in #Syria and #Iraq have already reported that, regardless of #US actions, they will continue to attack #US bases.

🔹With the Houthis everything is clear, given #Israel’s refusal to cease fire and withdraw troops from Gaza, missiles and drones will continue to fly at tankers and #US destroyers for a long time.

⚠️ Note, the usual Evening Report is canceled, cause still not available, I am sorry about!

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